Recalibrating CSDP-NATO Relations: The Real Pivot

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Recalibrating CSDP-NATO Relations: The Real Pivot
No. 47
                                                                                                         June 2013

                                                                                          This Policy Brief is published
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Recalibrating CSDP-NATO Relations:
The Real Pivot
Jo Coelmont & Maurice de Langlois

 In an age of major power shifts, which we                       “leadership from behind” are not that well
 know from history always to be particularly                     understood in Europe. The message that at
 dangerous, different scenarios are possible;                    times it will be up to Europeans to take
 the only promising one is that of more and                      responsibility has not come across.
 well-structured international cooperation.                      Consequently, so far Europeans have not
 Yet, critical voices point at a drifting apart                  achieved more coherence in defence
 of longstanding allies. Recalibrating CSDP-                     capabilities, let alone more integration – barely
 NATO relations has become more                                  some limited cooperation and minimal savings.
 important than ever.                                            Persistent shortfalls in military capabilities are
                                                                 not being met, quite the contrary.

 Are long-standing allies drifting apart? In the                     All of this signals the absence of
 US, struggling with budget deficits, questions                  transatlantic dialogue. And as to the
 such as “Is current US security strategy not                    institutional dialogue between NATO and the
 stimulating free-riding by allies and friends?”, or             EU/CSDP, it is difficult to label that
 “NATO: what is in it for us? “, and even                        constructive or successful. Yet, there is one
 “Should the US not withdraw from NATO’s                         common concern: austerity. Its impact on
 military command structure?”1, are more than                    defence on both sides of the Atlantic can
 ever coming to the fore. In Europe on the                       hardly be overestimated. Quoting Churchill –
 other hand, even if some worry about the                        “Gentlemen, we have run out of money. Now
 effects of the “the US pivot to Asia”, many are                 we must think” – may inspire us to give
 still looking to the US to take ultimate                        serious thought to a renewed transatlantic
 responsibility for crisis management operations.                relationship, in particular to an appropriate
 The effect of the post-Iraq/post-Afghanistan                    CSDP-NATO link.
 context in the US and the real meaning of

                                     EGMONT Royal Institute for International Relations                                    1
Recalibrating CSDP-NATO Relations: The Real Pivot
Until recently, the common view was that                  called “pivot”. Consequently, there is a shift in
putting this issue on the political agenda would             the location and numbers of US soldiers
be counterproductive – and rightly so. Many                  stationed abroad, but that shift remains
well-intended efforts in that sense have fallen              remarkably small.
victim to lethal collateral damage due to the
asymmetric membership. The Turkey-Cyprus                        Furthermore, for the first time since the
issue is of the utmost importance – and must                 early 1990s, the US defence budget will
therefore be dealt with at the highest political             decrease substantially over the next decade.
level and not be reduced to a secondary issue                But then again, since World War II there have
dealt with in the slipstream of revisiting                   been several ups and downs in the DOD
arrangements between NATO and CSDP.                          budget. This time however the impact on allies
Confusing those two debates effectively is                   and friends may be quite different. Even if the
counterproductive. Today, after more than a                  US maintains its leadership in NATO, it
decade of hesitation, it is time to develop the              expects from the Europeans a more balanced
CSDP-NATO relationship on a new basis. The                   burden-sharing. Free-riding has now, more
objective of this paper is to present some                   than ever, become an issue. Many experts
practical recommendations to that end, to be                 agree that in the past the US was seen as the
part and parcel of a strong transatlantic                    overall guarantor of security, allowing partners
dialogue. To arrive at these recommendations,                to steadily lower their defence expenditure
we will examine the new posture of the US and                without having to fear direct or even indirect
the EU, major changes in NATO and CSDP,                      consequences. Now, it is clear that the US no
and the way crisis management operations are                 longer sees Europe as a security consumer but
conducted.                                                   as a security provider. In the context of crisis
                                                             management operations, this boils down to:
THE US: REMARKABLE CONTINUITY                                “dear allies and friends, sometimes you will be
ENTAILING TREMENDOUS CHANGE                                  on your own!” To conclude, even if the
After having been drawn into two World Wars                  current US security strategy is more a
and with the Cold War looming, the US was                    rebalancing of its efforts than a full pivot to
naturally propelled into the role of “leading                Asia, Europeans are under gentle pressure
nation”, in particular within the transatlantic              from Washington to recalibrate their defence
community. It took the lead for about half a                 effort. So, the ball is in the European camp,
century, by stationing troops abroad, providing              with Washington being one of the strongest
for reinforcements and strategic transport                   supporters to develop an effective and efficient
whenever required, ensuring overall strategic                CSDP.
balance and, indeed, by determining the
security strategy for the whole of the Alliance              THE EU: NO OPTION BUT BECOMING
and its friends. Since the end of the Cold War               THE ACTOR OF ITS FUTURE
the political environment has changed                        For the Europeans and the EU as such, the
drastically. And so has the US.                              general picture looks quite different. During
                                                             the a-typical period of the Cold War, from a
   However, a closer look at the American                    European perspective, the security paradigm
position in the present geopolitical context                 appeared remarkably self-evident.
reveals that its grand strategy remains
reasonably intact: defending its position in the                At present, that certainty has all but
world, politically, economically and militarily.             evaporated. The crisis in former Yugoslavia
But there is a shift towards a new area of                   was a wake-up call, demonstrating for all to see
concern, the Asian and Pacific region: the so-               the absence of a European security strategy

                                EGMONT Royal Institute for International Relations                               2
Recalibrating CSDP-NATO Relations: The Real Pivot
and of any structures to steer a crisis                      Petersberg Tasks, up to peace enforcement, but
management operation of limited magnitude in                 with a strong preference for “quick in, quick
Europe’s own backyard. Saint-Malo signalled to               out” operations. For Europeans traditionally
European countries that any ambition to alter                focussed almost exclusively on maintaining
this situation leaves them no other option than              tactical military capabilities, their defence
to rebuild their respective sovereignties at the             planning is now confronted with a new
level of the EU, as they already did for so many             paradigm. The question now is whether they
other vital “national” policies. Four decades                are still in favour of conducting the high-end
after the rejection of a European Defence                    Petersberg      operations,  up     to   peace
Community, the taboo that rested on “defence”                enforcement, or not. In short, Europeans need
as part of the European construction was lifted.             to reach agreement on the role and usefulness
Saint-Malo thus symbolises a first and most                  of the military instrument within the overall
remarkable paradigm shift.                                   toolbox of external action.

   However, in practice Saint-Malo was only                     One of the EU’s mantras is its strong
about gathering some military capabilities for               ambition to act preventively. “We need to
potential “peacekeeping operations”, while                   develop a strategic culture that fosters early,
“agreeing to disagree” on strategy. For some it              rapid and when necessary, robust intervention.
was about becoming a more significant                        […] Preventive engagement can avoid more
contributor during such military operations                  serious problems in the future”, states the 2003
with the purpose of gaining influence on                     European       Security   Strategy.     However,
decision-making in Washington; for others it                 operations in Libya and Mali have made clear
was about the ability to launch autonomous EU                that setting up preventive crisis management
operations. This ambiguity led many countries                operations, let alone urgent interventions,
to believe that listing some of their existing               remains among the structural weaknesses of the
capabilities in an EU catalogue would do the                 Union. Ad hoc solutions have shown their
job and that when push would come to shove,                  limits and can no longer hide the need for a
any shortfalls would in any case be filled by                more structured approach, for the ability to call
NATO – read by the US. That implicit                         on permanent capabilities for planning and
paradigm is on its way out.                                  conduct of crisis management operations, and
                                                             for stand-by assets to implement them. That
   Experience has shown that – if there is                   very sensitive paradigm shift is in the making.
sufficient political will – European countries
are able to deploy and sustain quite impressive                 Finally, the paradigm that CFSP and CSDP
numbers of troops. On the other hand, the                    are to be built exclusively through a bottom-up
operation in Libya once again highlighted that               approach with no need for any top-down
the already identified strategic capability                  steering is running out of steam. With the
shortfalls (strategic air transport, air-to-air              Lisbon Treaty the European External Action
refuelling, ISR, and SEAD) constitute the                    Service was created to bridge “the
limiting factor for Europeans. Moreover, at                  supranational” and “the intergovernmental” in
present there is little appetite among Europeans             security matters. It has started to develop sub-
to launch operations that could be long-lasting,             strategies, each focused on a specific region,
with many boots on the ground, with                          such as the Sahel or the Horn of Africa.
potentially many casualties, or considerable                 However, recent events prove that such sub-
collateral damage. The “declared ambition”                   strategies, valuable though they are, must be
remains to conduct the whole spectrum of                     anchored in a much broader strategy, which

                                EGMONT Royal Institute for International Relations
                                                                                                                 3
moreover needs to be well known and                             state. All of these dimensions must be
supported by the Heads of State and                             represented in the “civil-military strategic HQ,
Government. On defence matters, the Lisbon                      their respective competences and specificities
Treaty produced all the instruments to provide                  acknowledged. The aim is to safeguard unity of
effective top down direction. The respective                    direction or unity of command in each and
white books or defence plans of the Member                      every distinct area, while at the same time
States , all established in more or less splendid               ensuring overall coherence. This calls for
isolation, have produced so far an impressive list              permanent structures, which is indeed
of redundant military capabilities at the EU level,             common practice at the national level in
which far outnumber the list of shortfalls. All                 countries experienced in crisis management, as
these are good reasons for the December                         well as in some international organisations.
European Council on Defence to tackle crisis                    Only thus can a strategic HQ be structurally
management and the corresponding military                       part of the overall holistic set-up.
capability requirements, and to provide effective
top-down steering. If not a new paradigm, this is                  At the military level, the US has set up six
at least a major change in policy.                              permanent      regional      unified    combat
                                                                commands. Among them US Europe
CRISIS MANAGEMENT: SOMETHING                                    Command (USEUCOM), which is in no way
QUITE DIFFERENT THESE DAYS                                      considered to be duplicating NATO’s strategic
In crisis management there is no such thing as                  HQ, SHAPE, because in the US system,
soft or hard power. There are but instruments of                whenever operations are conducted, the
soft and hard power. Recent experience has                      principle of supporting and support HQ is
made it evident, once more, that real power lies                applied to all of the permanent combat or
in a holistic and tailored approach, and in the                 force HQs. In the EU however, the strategic
ability to mobilize all of the required means at                military HQ is still in the making. For well-
the right moment. The weakest link is                           known political reasons, progress has had to
determining the final outcome. The military and                 remain under the radar screen. The paradox is
civilian capabilities deployed are simply catalysts,            that the current organisation within the Union
and even then if and only if, on the ground,                    is rendering any preventive or urgent action
within local communities and in the region,                     impossible. Moreover, not only is an EU
some crucial political ingredients are present.                 strategic HQ essential in a command and
For durable solutions to be possible, the                       control structure, but it too has to be
economic dimension must be brought in as well.                  complemented by appropriate force or combat
Primus inter pares is the political factor: a clear             HQs.
desired political end-state that fits into a longer-
term strategy. Such a holistic and well-tailored                   The final observation on crisis management
approach is no longer simply a desirable                        is that the specificities of a given crisis will
objective in crisis management, but a necessity.                determine the international organisation, the
                                                                country, or the group of countries best placed
    In this context the strategic headquarters for              to take the lead. All of this pleads in favour of
planning and conduct of operations acquires a                   recalibrating CSDP-NATO relations.
totally different meaning. Such a strategic HQ is
to integrate all factors. Its scope goes beyond the             NATO IS TRANSFORMED
traditional 3D approach; in the light of the                    NATO remains the transatlantic forum to deal
growing “economization” of security, economic                   with collective defence and military
policies are to be integrated as well into an                   interoperability, but also to conduct military
overarching roadmap leading to the desired end-                 crisis management operations when North

                                  EGMONT Royal Institute for International Relations                                4
American and European countries decide to join                 policies constituting our international relations.
forces.                                                        Part of that endeavour is bringing ever closer
   NATO is an excellent forum to generate                      the defence policies of the Member States,
military capacity through its force generation                 forging a Common Security and Defence
conferences among Allies and partners.                         Policy leading to a common European
Moreover, it has access to some irreplaceable                  defence. Throughout the Atlantic all of our
capabilities, in particular several highly                     nations have national obligations and military
specialised force HQs, co-financed by Allies.                  tasks to ensure at home, but will be called
However, NATO lacks the various civilian                       upon ever more to operate in an international
components needed for a comprehensive                          context. All of us are faced with tight budgets.
approach. This constitutes a kind of mirror                    Defence matters, defence budgets as well, but
image to EU – and another good reason to                       so does the justified expectation that the
redefine arrangements between the two.                         defence effort achieves maximum efficiency
                                                               and effectiveness. This requires standing
   To a large extent the “Berlin Plus”                         arrangements, allowing for prevention, rapid
arrangement still defines the relationship                     action, and being part of reconstruction
between CSDP and NATO. But it has in effect                    whenever required. This implies all partners
never been applied in the circumstances for                    to assume responsibility and show solidarity.
which it was designed, i.e. to provide support to              In that context, it is not advisable to suggest
the EU “when NATO as such is not involved”.                    that the US leave the military structure of
Berlin Plus was used only for post-conflict                    NATO. It is advisable for the EU to be more
management, transferring from a NATO to an                     present in the Alliance. A sense of urgency is
EU operation, and never under time pressure.                   justified at this pivotal moment. Time has
Supporting urgent or even preventive EU                        come to create a new era in the NATO-CSDP
operations would be quite a challenge.                         relationship. Recommendations to do so are
                                                               offered in 3 distinct domains.
   Berlin Plus has outlived itself. At the time it
was about “no Discrimination, no Duplication,                  Co-operation
no Decoupling”, creating, in political terms, the              • Establish a new deal on security, a
notion of hierarchy between NATO and CSDP.                        transatlantic Strategic Security Compact,
But this did not stop unproductive competition                    codifying a broad concept of security,
between NATO and CSDP. Today, it is well-                         analyzing the challenges posed by a
known that for political reasons Berlin Plus                      multipolar world, and aspiring to joint
cannot be used. It is time to turn a dysfunctional                strategy and coordinated action to offer the
CSDP-NATO relationship into a constructive                        right solutions. This compact should be
and future-oriented one.                                          part and parcel of the EU-US Strategic
                                                                  Partnership.
RECOMMENDATIONS:
THREE CS UNDERPINNING                    A     NEW             •    Convene regular and structured bilateral
CSDP- NATO RELATIONSHIP                                             EU and US meetings in the context of the
The new geopolitical environment creates                            transatlantic Strategic Security Compact to
valuable opportunities. The US is ending two                        enhance effectiveness and better support
wars in Central Asia. European countries are                        today’s “multi-bilateral” scheme. Analyse
repatriating their military forces as well. The US                  the possibility of deepening permanent
is rebalancing it posture. In the EU we are                         liaison arrangements, not only through
embarked on a process of Europeanising all                          embassies but also between relevant

                                 EGMONT Royal Institute for International Relations
                                                                                                                    5
policy-making and executive bodies, e.g.                         dependent on direct support from US
     between the EEAS and the National Security                       military capabilities.
     Council.
                                                                 •    Implement an effective decision-making
 •   This bilateral EU-US partnership should                          process allowing emergency action by both
     inspire the debate at the level of CSDP and                      NATO and the EU, underpinned by
     NATO.                                                            arrangements for immediate mutual
                                                                                support. Establish liaisons teams
“It is important to avoid doing ‘too                                            between the Strategic HQs of
                                                                                both NATO and the EU, the
little too late’”                                                               latter to be further strengthened
                                                                                and thus to become permanent.

 Co-ownership                                                    •    Coordinate the defence planning of
 • Implement new structures for dialogue                              countries, ensuring on the one hand that
    between NATO and CSDP based on full                               EU member states are able to set up
    participation, on both sides, of all Nations                      operations for the whole spectrum of the
    and Members States. Joint meeting at all                          Petersberg Tasks and on the other hand
    levels of both organisations should be                            that missions commonly agreed upon in
    allowed to deal at all times with issues related                  NATO are adequately supported as well.
    to all on-going or potential crisis                               In this context the defence planning of
    management operations, in whatever                                European member states will focus on
    international context.                                            identifying    and    reducing     existing
                                                                      redundancies at the EU level, solving the
 •   Whenever a military operation is launched                        already identified shortfalls, maximising
     by the EU or NATO, apply a supporting-                           “pooling and sharing”, prioritising future
     supported approach in both directions                            requirements, and favouring multilateral
     allowing for the transfer or dual use of both                    solutions while ensuring corresponding
     NATO’s and the EU’s collective assets and                        national budgetary margins to do so.
     capabilities: the HQs, centres of excellence,
     training facilities etc. In this context,                   •    For EU member states, in the spirit of
     establish      command        and     control                    Permanent      Structured   Cooperation,
     arrangements for such transfer, in particular                    develop a co-leadership of countries that
     of a specific HQ from one organisation into                      have the will to become the engine of
     the chain of command of the other when it                        Europe in defence and security (capacities,
     has the lead in a given operation.                               operations, budget).

 •   Synergies on military capabilities, and in                  •    Preserve current procedures and practices
     particular on civil-military and even dual use                   to ensure interoperability between the
     capabilities, should be jointly explored.                        forces of members and partners of NATO
                                                                      and the EU. The Connected Forces
 Capabilities                                                         Initiative offers a promising way forward in
 • Develop for the EU member states an                                this regard. Intensified multinational
    appropriate level of strategic autonomy,                          education and training is key to
    allowing in specific cases to prepare, plan                       maintaining capable, knowledge-based
    and conduct operations without being                              militaries.

                                   EGMONT Royal Institute for International Relations
                                                                                                                     6
EPILOGUE                                                          defence outside the structures of the EU by
Must the dialogue between CSDP and NATO remain                    turning to the Western European Union. An
impossible, for “well-known reasons”? More and                    experiment not to be repeated. Setting up a
more, the relevance of NATO is becoming an                        kind of European pillar (or caucus for that
issue of pressing importance for Americans and                    matter) in NATO surely is a useful technical
Europeans alike. Should they connect their                        instrument for the purpose of internal
respective forces, how, and at what cost? The                     coordination within the Alliance. But by no
relationship between the EU and Turkey is                         means can such a pillar substitute for a
important as well, but of a different nature and                  comprehensive security and defence policy of
magnitude, and will therefore not to be solved in                 the Union and its Member States. Consistency
the slipstream of any renewed CSDP-NATO                           and synchronisation of efforts will be of the
relationship. Continuing to link these issues will                essence.
at best lead to a standstill in the relationship,
which is a luxury that we can no longer afford.                       Military Capabilities. Military capabilities are
Within our transatlantic community we have a                      of the essence. It is an illusion to hope that
longstanding tradition of confronting highly                      optimizing the institutional relations between
sensitive issues and subsequently solving them.                   CSDP and NATO will generate additional
The same is true within the process of European                   capabilities. The added value lies in making
integration. Mutual respect for autonomy is                       better use of existing capabilities and expertise,
another tradition to keep. Rearticulating and                     creating a win-win situation through a
deepening       CSDP-NATO          relations    is                “supporting and supported” approach during
undoubtedly a good step to transcend the                          crisis management operations. Hence the
present blockage.                                                 proposed 3 Cs and in particular the suggestion
                                                                  to replace the concept of “assured access to
   Events dear boy, events. The specificities of a                NATO’s planning capacities” by “assured
given crisis always determine the international                   transfer of NATO’s assets and capabilities to
organization, the country or group of countries                   the EU”, notably C2 structures to be inserted
best placed to take the lead in crisis management                 in a modular way into overarching C2
operations. The more options available, the                       structures of the EU. Vice versa the UE is to
better. Some argue that NATO is no longer set                     support NATO operations by providing
to launch any military operation of some                          specific capabilities and instruments it has
magnitude. Others argue that CSDP is finished.                    developed within the framework of CSDP and
We believe that both these convictions about the                  in other areas relevant to crisis management,
future are reckless and wrong. Circumstances                      including support and expertise that can be
will dictate. Credibility and cohesion will be of                 provided by the EU Commission.
the essence, for CSDP as for NATO, which calls
for mutual support, not for competition.                             Too daring proposals or too short-term? The
                                                                  recommendations put forward in this paper
    Europe’s defence will be European or not. By nature           may at first glance look rather daring, but they
a European defence policy has to be part of a                     are but a continuation and enhancement of
comprehensive foreign policy and of a global                      both CSDP and NATO as autonomous but
European security strategy even, covering both                    cooperative      projects.    The       profound
the internal and external aspects of security. In                 modifications which both CSDP and NATO
this context CSDP and NATO are but subsets,                       will undergo in the years and decades to come
although of the first importance. Not that long                   may reveal these recommendations to be
ago, European countries tried to forge European                   unsustainable in the long term, to be replaced

                                    EGMONT Royal Institute for International Relations
                                                                                                                         7
by more profound adjustments. In the meantime                                          Brigadier General (Ret.) Jo Coelmont,
though it is important to avoid doing “too little                                      Senior Associate Fellow at Egmont and at
too late”.                                                                             the Royal Higher Institute for Defence,
                                                                                       former Permanent Military Representative
   This calls for a strategic reflection, on all                                       of Belgium to the EU Military Committee.
sides. A message to be taken on board at the
upcoming European Council on defence in                                                Major General (Ret.) Maurice de Langlois,
December 2013 and at the NATO summit in                                                Director for European and Transatlantic
2014.                                                                                  Security at IRSEM, former Deputy
                                                                                       Permanent Military Representative of
                                                                                       France to the EU Military Committee.

REFERENCES
1   Barry Posen, “Pull Back: The Case for a Less Activist Foreign Policy”, Foreign Affairs, Jan./Feb. 2013.	
  

This policy brief results from a series of brainstorming meetings held by an informal working group. All members of the group took
part in their personal capacity. While all subscribe to the general thrust of this paper, they do not necessarily agree with every single
point. The authors express their warm gratitude to every single member, for their insightful and creative contributions.

Members:
Prof. Dr. Sven Biscop, Egmont;
Mr. Robert Golanski, European Parliament;
Dr. Giovani Grevi, Foundation for International Relations (FRIDE);
Prof. Dr. Jolyon Howorth, University of Yale;
Mr. Paul Huynen, Foreign Affairs Belgium;
Dr. Maya Kandel, IRSEM;
Daniel Keohane, Foundation for International Relations (FRIDE);
Dr. Alexander Mattelaer, Institute for European Studies ( IES), Vrije Universiteit Brussel;
Dr. Christian Moelling, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik( SWP), Berlin;
Lt.Gen. (Ret.) Jean-Paul Perruche, President of EuroDefense-France, Former Director General of the EU Military Staff;
Jamie Shea, NATO HQ;
Dr. Luis Simón, Institute for European Studies (IES), Vrije Universiteit Brussel;
Prof. Dr. Richard Whitman, Kent University

The Security Policy Brief is a publication of Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations. Founded in 1947, the Egmont
Institute is an independent and non-profit Brussels-based think tank dedicated to interdisciplinary research.
> www.egmontinstitute.be

The opinions expressed in this Policy Brief are those of the authors and are not those of EGMONT, Royal Institute for International Relations

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