Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021

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Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
Rapid evaluation of
    health and care services
    - planning a sustainable
    solution for the
    post-COVID reset
    February 2021

    Supported by:

1
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
Foreword
In the first wave of COVID-19, health and         campaign, which seeks to shape what the
care services innovated and adapted at            health and care system should look like in
unprecedented speed to provide care               the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic.
and protect staff and patients during a           As well as understanding what changes
rapidly developing global pandemic.               have taken place in response to COVID-19,
                                                  through our Reset campaign we have been
This White Paper, led by UCLPartners              exploring what clinicians, academics, leaders
and the London School of Hygiene &                and innovators believe should be retained,
Tropical Medicine, explores the barriers and      adapted, reinstated or stopped, and for
facilitators to performing timely, rigorous       which populations or settings. The insights                 Richard Stubbs
and effective evaluations of these changes.       in this White Paper – developed through           Lead for AHSN Network Health and Care
Using learning from the pandemic, it sets         interviews and a roundtable with leaders            Reset campaign and Chief Executive
                                                                                                           Yorkshire & Humber AHSN
out recommendations for how to prioritise         from health, research and the voluntary
and resource rapid service evaluations to         sector – are a key element of this work.
enable more efficient and effective scale-up
of health and care innovations, both regionally   The recommendations presented here
and nationally. These recommendations are         suggest the need for changes in how
relevant to the future health and care system     rapid service evaluations are resourced,
                                                                                                                                        PLAY
both within and beyond the current pandemic.      co-ordinated and delivered. At the AHSN
                                                  Network we are committed to working with
The findings highlight examples of outstanding    the wide range of stakeholders involved to
regional practice in rapid evaluation, as well    help ensure that rapid service evaluation
as revealing where changes are needed on          underpins all significant future health and      Click ‘PLAY’ to hear Professor Mike Roberts
a broader national level.                         care service changes, providing confidence                set the scene for this work.
                                                  to commissioners, health care professionals
This work was carried out as part of the          and the public that changes are to the benefit         Professor Mike Roberts
AHSN Network’s Health and Care Reset              of the health and care of the population.             Managing Director UCLPartners

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                              2
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
Executive summary

UCLPartners on behalf of the               Overview of recommendations:
AHSN Network commissioned
the London School of Hygiene &             • There should be a national policy to        • There should be greater national
Tropical Medicine to undertake rapid         promote evaluation of all significant         and regional co-ordination of effort
research to inform recommendations           service changes                               across research and evaluation
for how to prioritise and resource                                                         potential partners
rapid service evaluations, drawing         • Large-scale service change should have
on learning during the pandemic.             an appropriate funding allocation to        • There should be a national repository of
                                             support a relevant evaluation programme       available evaluations and applied research
The findings have highlighted both
areas of excellence and deficiencies.      • Clarity is required on expectations of      • There is a need to increase the capacity
A number of recommendations are made         different funded entities regarding           for evaluation and applied research
that if implemented would help ensure        balance of research and evaluation            that can be met through increased
that all significant health and care                                                       staff training and collaborations
service changes in the future would be     • Greater parity for social care evaluation     across a wider range of providers
subject routinely to relevant evaluation     and research is needed                        with complementary skill sets.
that should provide confidence to
commissioners and the public that          • There should be a system for ongoing
change is for the better – and where         dialogue between the NHS and care with
it is not, that it is discontinued.          researchers to identify priority needs
                                             for service evaluation and research

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                     3
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
Contents

              Contents
              5          Background
              6          Approach
              7          What we learned - Key findings from
                         interviews and the roundtable
              7          Can we develop a shared agreement
                         on what a good evaluation is?
              10         What resources are available for service
                         evaluations and what are the roles of
                         national bodies?
              12         How can we align research infrastructure
                         with the NHS and agree a strategic approach
                         at national, regional and local level?
              16         Recommendations
              18         Authorship
              19         References

              Appendix

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                    4
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
Background

Background
In 2014, the NHS Five Year Forward View set          While pandemic plans provided a framework             Service Evaluation Team (RSET) to do rapid service
out a clear intention to strengthen innovation       to prioritise funding for more traditional (often     evaluation nationally, these teams were reported to
and develop new ways of working, arguing             clinical) research, there were no pre-prepared        have had limited flexibility, as reflected in funding
that future gains were as likely to come from        plans for rapid evaluations or monitoring using       and priorities, in the first stages of the pandemic.
changes in process and service delivery as from      routine data. Research priorities were defined
technology (NHS, 2014). However, implementing        nationally but it was unclear how these aligned       At the same time, the academic community
untested innovations without learning and            with regional or integrated care system (ICS)         mobilised quickly to produce additional research,
sharing lessons about their impacts or               level service needs, including evaluation of          but their work was not always coordinated (for
identifying the key ingredients that are required    innovations. In many parts of the country there       example multiple simultaneous studies of COVID-19
for them to succeed can be harmful and costly.       were no obvious mechanisms that allowed               ‘risk factors’ by different academic teams) and did
For this reason, it is generally accepted that       local health systems to signal their immediate        not necessarily fulfil all the rapid service evaluation
innovations should be evaluated before they          priorities for rapid evaluation and activate a        needs of health and care providers. This divergence
are extended to other areas across the NHS.          coordinated system to undertake them in the           between the research enterprise and the health
                                                     first wave. In addition, there was little clarity     care delivery system has been shaped by a legacy
During the early stages of the COVID-19              about where resources for rapid research and          of policy decisions and investment over the past
pandemic, health and social care service             service evaluation could be mobilized from            two decades (Walshe and Davies, 2013).
providers across England transformed many            and how they could be co-ordinated at pace
aspects of service delivery, rapidly implementing    to support requests for rapid evaluations             While there have been some good regional
new interventions and models of care,                from NHS England and NHS Improvement                  solutions to systems change, these vary across the
sometimes in the absence of a directly applicable    (NHSE/I) and the care sector at ICS, regional,        country. The Beneficial Changes Network (set up by
evidence base. Health and care leaders had to        or national level.                                    NHSE/I and built on realignment of existing capacity
act in the absence of a system-wide mechanism                                                              rather than new funding) is an example that seeks
to evaluate and gather real time insights, leaving   This challenge exists both during and outside         to extract learning at a national level to determine
them to innovate in spite of the system rather       of a health crisis. Although the National Institute   which innovations were successful, with widespread
than because of it. Yet, while many performed        for Health Research (NIHR) have a Health              acceptance that these should be retained and
rapid service evaluations and gathered rapid         Services and Delivery Research Programme              scaled-up. However, there remain bigger questions
insights, not all did, and it was unclear whether    and commission two teams including the                about how service evaluations should be prioritised,
the innovations that service providers deployed      NIHR BRACE (The Birmingham, RAND and                  funded, resourced, and conducted in order
were always appropriate or effective.                Cambridge Evaluation Centre) and the Rapid            to better align with the needs of the system.

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                                           5
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
Approach

Approach
To understand the challenges in aligning          2) What are the facilitators, barriers
rapid service evaluation with service needs,         and opportunities to performing rapid
UCLPartners on behalf of the AHSN Network            service evaluations, regionally and
commissioned researchers at the London               nationally, both during and outside
School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine                of a rapidly developing emergency?
to perform a piece of rapid qualitative
research with key stakeholders.                  In December 2020, the London School of
                                                 Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and UCLPartners
Eighteen independent semi-structured             presented the findings to an AHSN Network
interviews were carried out with leaders from    sponsored roundtable of eminent leaders in
                                                                                                “Health and care leaders had to act
a range of health policy, research and service   health (including NHSE/I and NICE), research   in the absence of a system-wide
delivery organisations including NHSE/I,         (including NIHR), the voluntary sector         mechanism to evaluate and gather
NIHR, AHSNs, regional medical directors,         and independent thinktanks, to develop
an applied research collaboration (ARC),         recommendations about how to prioritise
                                                                                                real time insights, leaving them
universities, National Institute for Health      and mobilise resources for rapid evaluation    to innovate in spite of the system
and Care Excellence (NICE), the Nuffield         of services in the NHS and social care         rather than because of it. “
Trust, the Strategy Unit, and individuals        (for more details about how the roundtable
with experience of carrying out regional         was structured see Appendix).
service evaluation (see Appendix for further
information about methods). Interviews           A parallel evaluation has been undertaken
sought to understand stakeholders                by the AHSN Network, led by Oxford AHSN,
perspectives on two main questions:              that specifically addresses the insights
                                                 of patients and frontline workers as key
 1) How can rapid evidence reviews and           influencers of coproduction in evaluation
    rapid service evaluations be resourced       and research. We therefore did not include
    and prioritised to inform meaningful         these stakeholders as part of our research,
    service transformation in health and         and its findings should be considered with
    social care systems?                         those presented here.

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                   6
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
What we learned - Key findings from interviews and the roundtable

What we learned - Key findings from interviews and the roundtable
Can we develop a shared agreement           The Medical Research Council has published
on what a good evaluation is?               a framework for performing complex
                                            evaluations (Craig et al., 2008; Moore et al.,
Evaluations are an important element of     2015), which includes a portfolio of methods,
effective service change but there is no    but the rigour with which they can be applied
single framework that can be used for all   may be limited by time constraints facing
purposes, to the disappointment of some.    service managers who need immediate
One stakeholder we spoke to reflected:      answers. Other frameworks also exist,
                                            including the Treasury’s Magenta and Green
                                            Books (HM Treasury, 2013, 2020) and various
 “The broader question is how               others that are often used in the international
 do you respond to new areas of             development sector. However, in practice,
                                            as one stakeholder we spoke to said:
 interest and is there a standard
 pre-packaged methodology that
 can rapidly be adopted off the shelf?”      “Other areas of practice and policy
                                             do this perhaps slightly more
The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
                                             rigorously …in health…there is
define evaluation as ‘the systematic,        a slightly sporadic approach.”
objective assessment of an ongoing or
completed intervention, project, policy,
program, or partnership. Evaluation is      We identified an appetite among some
best used to answer questions about what    key stakeholders to produce some kind of
actions work best to achieve outcomes,      pre-prepared package of evaluation methods
how and why they are or are not achieved,   and designs that could be used in health and
what the unintended consequences have       social care in a pandemic situation and
been, and what needs to be adjusted to      beyond. In real life, however, this is not
improve execution.’                         straightforward and evaluations exist      ➜

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                           7
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
What we learned - Key findings from interviews and the roundtable

on a continuum of scope and resource              et al., 2019). This is partly attributable to      We asked what a good evaluation
requirements (Lamont et al., 2016),               dissonance between research, evaluation            needed to be:
ranging from:                                     and practice, which can mean that the
                                                  priorities and expectations of researchers and
• Those performed to monitor the progress         research commissioners are often misaligned,                    Researchers
  of a project and adapt it – usually             particularly with respect to what questions can                    said:
  performed in-house                              reasonably be answered in short timescales
• Those that are intended for others to           and how likely the work is to be publishable.                      • Independent
  learn from and test further – which may         It is important also to recognise that whilst               • Well designed • Assess:
  require modest external research funding        applied health researchers (who are in short                     - Impact - Timing
• Those that are designed to influence            supply) are required for substantive research                    - Value - Process
  a change in practice at a national or           evaluations, this level of expertise is not                       • Generalizable
  international level – which can require         necessarily required for progress monitoring,                 • Publishable (to satisfy
  substantive research efforts that can           which can be undertaken by those trained                          research funders)
  last as long as 3-5 years.                      specifically as service evaluators.

Each requires different approaches, often         Evaluations mean different things to different
involving a mix of methods, ranging from          stakeholders so any evaluation must be planned
experimental designs, such as randomised          in close consultation with those who will be
trials, to complex adaptive system evaluations,   affected by the resulting changes. This includes               Commissioners
and process evaluations, depending on what        patient groups and carers as well as frontline                    said:
is being evaluated and why.                       health and care workers. It is also important
                                                  to take account of stakeholder readiness to                      • Rapid • Focused
Previous work by the Nuffield Trust has           receive information, ensuring clarity of intent,             • Flexible • Easy to read
revealed that many evaluations of health          and whether commissioners want to know if                         • Be sufficiently
and care services are poorly designed, fail to    something that they have invested in does                    well-resourced, including
define clear research questions or evaluate       not actually work. It is crucial to ensure that                  specialist evaluators
the processes involved, and are often unable      commissioners and funders value the results                  • Inform service change
to achieve their desired outcomes (Kumpunen       enough to prioritise their implementation. ➜

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                         8
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
What we learned - Key findings from interviews and the roundtable

It is important to note that every               better to implement them than not to.
innovation does not necessarily need             Nevertheless, an evaluation of the costs,
rigorous evaluation and a variety of             benefits and potential harms should be
approaches exist to prioritise what to           undertaken at the first opportunity.
evaluate and what not to (McGill et al.,
2015). In general, it is, however, ill-advised   The Beneficial Changes Programme is
to scale up any major innovation without         led by NHSE/I and seeks to catalogue local
rigorously evaluating implementation,            innovations that have been successfully
although this does happen, with a recent         implemented during the pandemic in
and somewhat controversial example               order to identify those that can be scaled
being the national roll-out of mass              up nationally in partnership with AHSNs
repeated rapid antigen tests for COVID-19.       and ARCs. The programme’s success will
                                                 ultimately depend on the ability of service
In times of crisis, where decisions must         providers to evaluate the innovations
be taken quickly and evidence from               they have implemented and compare
rigorous evaluations is lacking, decisions       them in different settings, accounting
to scale-up interventions may be taken           for differences in context.
where it seems likely, a priori, that
benefits to patients and the workforce           For many commissioners and policy-makers,
will exceed the harms and where the              relevance is more desirable than academic
intervention is backed by theory, has            rigour (Petticrew, Chalabi and Jones, 2012).
plausible mechanisms and justifies the           However, poorly designed studies could
opportunity cost. During the pandemic            cause harm and don’t help identify where
many of the innovations that were rolled         quality improvement or change is needed.
out were already in the pipeline, with           For these reasons, a rigid evaluation
some benefiting from an existing evidence        framework is challenging but a package
base. Most were presumed to have few             of options may well provide credibility for
unforeseen harms and under the extreme           the different methodological approaches
circumstances, it was considered to be           adopted matched to the topic in question.

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                             9
Rapid evaluation of health and care services - planning a sustainable solution for the post-COVID reset - February 2021
What resources are available for service evaluations and what are the roles of national bodies?

What resources are available                     One participant said:
for service evaluations                           “There were some great examples of pre-           programme, drawing on several regional
and what are the roles                            specified work around pandemic response           service evaluations in collaboration with the
                                                                                                    AHSN Network (West of England Academic
of national bodies?                               that worked quite well….having pre-specified
                                                                                                    Health Science Network, 2020).
                                                  teams was interesting. I don’t know if it is a
Those interviewed were unable to identify         re-usable model more generally….but there         Earlier examples of national evaluations
any formal mechanism whereby NHS or care          was some really good practice from the            within the NHS include the ‘New Care Models
organisations could articulate their needs for    pre-prepared pandemic response plans.”            Programme’, commissioned by NHSE, the NIHR
rapid research and evaluation, at national or                                                       Policy Research Programme and undertaken by
regional level, during the first wave, or any                                                       various universities and the Health Foundation
organisation with a formal role in conducting                                                       (Operational Research and Evaluation Unit NHS
such work. Some regions have created their       The national process for prioritising rapid        England, 2016; Checkland et al., 2019; Morciano
own solutions to this, which are outlined in     research and evaluation needs is based in NIHR,    et al., 2020). This evaluation of NHS vanguards
case studies on page 14.                         which funds two specialized national rapid         played a key role in informing the NHS Five Year
                                                 evaluation teams, including the NIHR BRACE         Forward view and is a good example of one
                                                 Rapid Evaluation Centre and the Rapid Service      of the ways in which national evaluations can
                                                 Evaluation Team (RSET). These teams reported       support innovation in the NHS, but large-scale
                                                 having limited capacity but the ability to         evaluations such as this can take time to set
What happened nationally?                        perform rapid, high-quality, and generalisable     up and need to allow time to elapse in order
                                                 research to inform national policy, a recent       to make valid pre/post comparisons.
The pandemic plans included pre-prepared         example being remote home monitoring
frameworks for clinical trials, including        of COVID-19 patients (Vindrola et al., 2020).      More recently, an internal evaluation hub
for treatments and vaccines. Research            Priorities are established in a horizon-scanning   within NHSE/I has been established to enable
priorities were determined early in the          process that includes multiple stakeholders.       collaboration across different teams to share
pandemic by the Government Office for                                                               knowledge, tools and experience. A wider
Science and SAGE, feeding into national          Other organisations also fund and undertake        evaluation community supports shared learning
funding calls by UKRI and NIHR. However,         rapid evaluations, including the Health            by bringing together people working on applied
rapid service evaluations did not receive        Foundation. NHSE has also supported the            evaluation across health and social care system,
dedicated funding.                               scale-up of the COVID-19 Oximetry @home            About Applied Evaluation Community of Practice.

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                                 10
What resources are available for service evaluations and what are the roles of national bodies?

What happened regionally?
We were unable to identify where the              Although ARCs individually and collectively      from multiple local partner organisations
responsibility or funding to perform rapid        carried out local evaluations during the         and regional budgets to fund rapid service
evaluations of complex interventions was          pandemic, they are mainly funded to carry        evaluations. These examples of linkages
intended to come from regionally. There was       out research. Rapid service evaluations may      across local geographies were seen as
a particular absence of direction in relation     not result in publishable work, presenting       extremely positive, although it was noted
to social care, and in the largely private care   a challenge for researchers who are normally     that the AHSN boundaries do not always align
home sector.                                      judged and funded on their publication           with NHS regions. In terms of funding, AHSNs
                                                  record both by the NIHR and their hosting        are commissioned mainly to support regional
Many commented on the Applied Research            higher education institutes.                     uptake and spread of innovations at pace
Collaborations (ARCs), which are funded by                                                         and scale rather than to evaluate innovations
NIHR, as best positioned to lead this work as     The ARCs differ regionally in terms of the       (Ferlie et al., 2017).
they are designed to respond to local needs.      research themes and priorities they are
When asked what recommendations they              funded to fulfil and how that funding is         What was clear was that the NHS was not
would make to NHSE/I and NIHR to develop          allocated in advance. All have some kind         viewed as an entity that systematically funds
frameworks for health and care leaders to         of responsive function to address service        rapid service evaluations or training of staff
articulate their rapid evaluation needs, one      providers’ needs, but the degree to which        to conduct them, instead seeing the NIHR
person told us:                                   rapid service evaluations feature in this work   as holding that function, and as a result
                                                  varies. There are examples of outstanding        the response has been inconsistent. Those
                                                  individual leadership in supporting service      organisations that innovated and performed
 “Work more closely with the                      evaluation at regional level amongst single      rapid service evaluations felt that they did so
                                                  and groupings of ARCs formed through             in spite the system and not because of it.
 ARCs because they have their                     shared interest but not co-ordinated by
 networks. That would be the                      a national response.
 strongest message.”
                                                  Some interviewees also gave examples
                                                  of rapid evaluations being undertaken by
                                                  the Academic Health Science Networks
                                                  (AHSNs). Manchester and Yorkshire and
                                                  Humber AHSNs, for example, pooled funding

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                                  11
How can we align research infrastructure with the NHS and agree a strategic approach at national, regional and local level?

How can we align research                 Barriers to rapid evaluation
infrastructure with the NHS and           Many stakeholders identified several barriers   ‘capabilities’, scanning across the system to
agree a strategic approach at             to performing rapid evaluations, including      identify what skills and contributions could
                                          a shortage of health services researchers       be accessed in different ways, including
national, regional and local level?       and evaluators and a lack of funding for        performance of rapid reviews of evidence,
                                          timely applied research, such as that using     which struggle to acquire resources and are
                                          routine data.                                   frequently duplicated by different groups.
One participant told us:                                                                  For example, many third sector organisations
                                          It was clear that there is a range of           have suffered large budget cuts but
                                          organisations occupying the service             can contribute research and evaluation
 “I’d like to get to a point where we     evaluation landscape, including universities,   resources, including support for patient and
 are not just thinking about what we      consultancies, thinktanks, trusts, Public       user engagement and, in some cases, skilled
 did in an emergency but about how        Health England and others, but there            evaluators. It was repeatedly emphasised
                                          is often inadequate collaboration or            that, when designing evaluations rapidly,
 we create adaptable, responsive and      coordination among them. One potential          the contribution of patients and staff should
 flexible systems going forward.”         solution has been to view resources as          not be ignored.

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                       12
How can we align research infrastructure with the NHS and agree a strategic approach at national, regional and local level?

Facilitators of rapid evaluation
Relationships, political will, existing capacity,   One participant commented that:                    evaluation and scale up of ‘mass’ testing
and pre-established programmes of work                                                                 for COVID-19 using rapid tests.
were identified as levers for resourcing and         “Perhaps one way forward is to ensure we
facilitating innovation and rapid evaluations.       have the right network at national level          Participants highlighted the importance of
We heard that it was much easier to                                                                    developing early plans to disseminate and
                                                     including health, social care, voluntary sector
resource and initiate rapid evaluations where                                                          embed evaluation findings within wider
there were pre-existing relationships                and people with lived experience….I’m sure        practice, co-ordinating the cycle of continuous
between researchers and service providers.           many good networks were happening before          improvement and innovation, underpinned
Many were based on previous personal                 but the data-sharing and shared purpose           by research and evaluation.
connections and collaborations, while others         through COVID-19 have definitely thrown
involved creation of new formal and informal         people together in a way not seen before          Reduced restrictions on accessing and
networks across boundaries. Areas that                                                                 sharing data played a core role in this and
already had applied health researchers               leading to new partnerships and relationships.”   one participant said:
embedded in trusts were also more able
to launch new evaluations more quickly.             Allied to this was the call for a joined-up
A particular theme was also that many               approach linking those involved in evaluation       “Everything that we do in terms of research…
programmes of work, including remote                and implementation across organisations to          and improvement relies on data and there
triage, social prescribing and virtual wards        agree priorities. There were also suggestions       is a golden opportunity to start to influence
were also based on previously defined               that a single repository might be created
                                                                                                        what data is collected. The Data Alliance
programmes of research, where it was easier         where regions could signal their research
to overcome immediate barriers (such as             needs and intentions; this could facilitate         Partnership has come about because of
data access) and move to scale-up quickly.          pooling of resources and avoid duplication          COVID-19…one of the biggest things that
                                                    (See Recommendations).                              underpinned the ability to do things at pace
Our discussions highlighted the importance                                                              was the data sharing across boundaries.”
of ensuring that this process is as inclusive       Initiatives that were backed by political will
as possible, drawing on as many stakeholders        were more likely to attract resources. One
as possible in establishing the goals of            controversial example was the prioritization,
evaluations, noting that wide engagement            accompanied by direct government funding, to
is essential for subsequent dissemination.          the University of Liverpool for the simultaneous

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                                  13
Case studies

The London
Evaluation Cell                                                      Chief Executive of
                                                               Health Innovation Manchester,
London Regional NHS has now convened
an Evaluation Cell that incorporates the                     Professor Ben Bridgewater told us:
three London AHSNs and the three London
ARCs, working with the regional clinical            “Health Innovation Manchester        Together, we harnessed regional
and transformation leads.                           incorporates Manchester’s AHSN,      funding and partners brought their
                                                    academic health science centre       own funding too. We supported some
The cell has agreed a set of criteria               (AHSC), ARC and integrated           of these programmes using local
with regional clinical and academic                 care system digital office.          funding at risk, and utilised national
leaders, considering the scale of impact,           It also represents Greater           funding for others.
generalisability, measurability etc to prioritise   Manchester’s wider research
regional evaluation plans. The cell is working      and innovation system which          A key reflection from our experience is
to define and prioritise specific evaluation        creates a powerful integrated        that technology has been at the heart
and research questions and to develop a             cross-system perspective for         of so much and ‘digital’ has rapidly
regional learning health system programme           research and evaluation, as well     become elevated right to the top of
using research grade evidence.                      as transformation. This enabled      the agenda. Secondly, organisations
                                                    us to collectively define trials     must work as a network of capabilities
The London evaluation cell is chaired by            and diagnostics to evaluate, and     (clinical, digital, academic, delivery, etc),
an NHS chief executive and is a good                respond to the national priorities   not separate entities. Whilst national
example of collaborative engagement                 on research, along with local        oversight and planning is essential
between key partners to perform rapid               priorities for innovation and        in a pandemic, senior NHS leadership
learning and evaluation. It benefits from           transformation from the city         must also trust the local areas to
regular meetings with clear actions                 region NHS command and               know what they need to do
and outputs that are aligned with                   control structures.                  and how to sustain it.”
NHS service needs.

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                      14
Case studies

                           Evaluation Lead and Spread Fellow in the
                         South West Academic Health Science Network,
                                    Sarah Robens, told us:

                      “In the South West, rapid learning      share links to online questionnaires
                      from the pandemic has changed           across our system, as well as
                      our usual approach to service           maximising our existing networks
                      evaluation. It allowed us to gather     and relationships. We built on
                      information quickly, in a way that      information gathered through
                      is meaningful and useful to our         questionnaires, with in-depth
                      stakeholders in real-time.              interviews and distilled information
                                                              down to shareable summaries.
                      When COVID-19 hit, we immediately
                      recognised the imperative of            Building on this region-wide
                      learning from the pandemic in a         learning, we were commissioned
                      way that could help organisations       across our three counties to
                      and individuals to make decisions       undertake rapid learning work
                      on a much shorter cycle than our        across each.
                      usual evaluation work.
                                                              The model we developed set out
                      To ensure we harnessed the              eight conditions for rapid change,
                      positive changes and new                outlining the importance of
                      approaches, our focus was on how        organizational and cultural shifts
                      the response happened, rather           in creating the environment for
                      than what happened. We engaged          positive change. We have now
                      as many people as we could in a         adopted this as an assessment tool
                      short space of time, using twitter to   and framework going forward.”

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                  15
Recommendations

                                             Resources and Infrastructure for rapid evaluations         appropriate funding allocation to support a
                                                                                                        relevant evaluation programme to understand
                                             NIHR should:                                               the benefits or otherwise of those programmes
                                             - Clarify expectations of different funded entities    -   Align resources to create the infrastructure
                                               regarding balance of research and evaluation             to engage with frontline organisations across
Recommendations                              - Consider training more clinical academics to             all sectors in order to build learning systems
                                               undertake applied research and evaluations,              through new ways of working
These headline recommendations, based          potentially with the support of the Royal Colleges   -   Incentivise and build adaptable, responsible and
upon stakeholder interviews and the          - Ensure that funding for rapid service evaluations        flexible systems by building on existing expertise
subsequent roundtable discussion, are          reaches other relevant sectors, including social         e.g. the ARC and AHSN networks to create
presented as learning from the COVID-19        care and ensure that the relevant expertise is           an asset-based national network of regional
pandemic relevant to the NHS and care          made available to these partners                         structures for rapid service evaluations
reset period and the longer term, to         - Promote and fund work that can shows                 -   Build on existing partnerships, such as the Data
ensure that resources required for rapid       demonstrable systems benefit, shifting the               Alliance Partnership to permanently lower barriers
evaluation of changes to the NHS and           funding conditions and career progression of             to accessing data quickly to enable sharing of
care systems are prioritised, co-ordinated     researchers to reward demonstrable systems               health and social care data across boundaries
and appropriately applied to the benefit       benefit as well as academic outputs                  -   Prevent duplication of resources by performing
of patients and the wider public.            - Provide opportunities for less established               some rapid reviews nationally or regionally
                                               researchers to access funding for applied                rather than locally.
                                               research, where they show the capacity to
                                               innovate to produce quality applied research         Co-ordinating function
                                               (e.g. the OPENSAFELY group)
                                             - Reduce the bureaucracy for regional service          NHSE/I and NIHR should:
                                               providers to access research funding for             - Consider creating a national database of
                                               evaluating service innovations.                        evaluations that have been completed or
                                                                                                      are underway, as done for the global UKCDR
                                             NHS regions should work with sustainability              COVID-19 research tracker or clinicaltrials.gov.
                                             and transformation partnerships (STPs)/ICSs to:          This would have to be appropriately resourced
                                             - Ensure large scale service change has an               and updated frequently                        ➜

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                                  16
Recommendations

- Consider developing pre-prepared pandemic      evaluation needs, incorporating local            otherwise
  response evaluations mimicking the process     perspectives, and considering the priorities   - Ensure that patients, service users and
  for drug trials such as the RECOVERY trial     of the NHS Long Term Plan                        health and social care workers are central
- Agree roles and responsibilities and key     - Promote a dialogue between the service and       to all evaluations, being particularly mindful
  contributions of research users and            researchers to help frame the potential and      to include social care, where research
  agree a memorandum of understanding            the limitations of research and evaluation       infrastructure is less well developed
  (e.g. PHE, NHSE, Health Education              to facilitate honest conversations about       - Ensure that any comparisons of outcomes
  England (HEE))                                 questions that can and cannot be answered        account for differences in populations, study
- Consider approaches to co-ordinating           with available data.                             design, capacity of recipients to benefit
  expertise and resources across agencies,                                                        and key process outcomes
  such as the Improvement Analytics Unit,      Evaluation design                                - Ensure, where feasible and appropriate
  the Health Services and Delivery Research                                                       that evaluations have a strategic plan
  Programmes, the Rapid evaluation centres     ARC and AHSN Networks:                             for disseminating the findings, with
  (RSET, BRACE), This Institute, Discovery,    - Use the existing ARC/AHSN networks               consideration of how they will contribute
  and Q community                                to build stronger relationships between          to any potential scale-up
- Promote the ARCs and AHSNs to work             sectors, potentially using the NHS Assembly    - Ensure that process outcomes are monitored
  as collaborators in service evaluation         as a forum to develop these relationships        when evaluating any new intervention.
  when appropriate for example within the        and ensuring that social care is not left
  Beneficial Changes Network programme.          behind                                         Implementers should:
                                                 o As part of this, charitable organisations    - Ensure ongoing monitoring if an evaluation
Signalling research and evaluation needs           could provide support in kind (e.g.            is incomplete before scaling up, including
nationally and regionally                          data, support with patient participant         adverse effects with clear stopping rules
                                                   involvement and potentially funding).          o Specific examples included the use of
Research organisations (e.g. NIHR, MRC                                                              non-invasive ventilation in COVID-19
and Economic and Social Research Council       Evaluators should:                                   respiratory failure patients and also the use
(ESRC)) and NHSE/I should:                     - Design evaluations to reflect the mixed            of lateral flow devices for COVID-19 testing
- Develop and co-ordinate clear demand           economy of methodologies that can              - Align evaluations with systematic and
  signalling processes for health and care       most appropriately address the desired           co-ordinated data collection to complete
  providers to articulate their research and     outcomes, whether national, regional or          the cycle back to implementation.

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                            17
Authorship

Selina Rajan is an experienced Public Health           Professor Martin McKee
Specialist and Honorary Research Fellow at             Martin McKee CBE is Medical Director and
the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.      Professor of European Public Health at
She also consults for the European Observatory         the London School of Hygiene & Tropical
on Health Systems and Policies, hosted by              Medicine, and a member of the board of
the WHO Regional Office for Europe and has             UCLPartners. He has published extensively
experience across health and care, performing local    on health and health systems in countries
public health evaluations in social care settings,     undergoing major economic, social, and
international policy analyses and global mental        political change, and on European health
health policy and epidemiology research.               policy and law.

Professor Mike Roberts is Managing Director            Katie Mantell is Director of
of UCLPartners. Mike is a Respiratory Physician,       Communications and Engagement at
Professor of Medical Education for Clinical Practice   UCLPartners, where she leads on all
at Queen Mary University of London, and Deputy         aspects of communications and patient
Director at NIHR Applied Research Collaboration        and public involvement. She has more        Supported by:
North Thames and Senior Clinical Lead in the           than two decades’ experience of working     Strawberry.London managed the logistics,
Clinical Quality and Effectiveness Department          in the health and research sectors.         development and design of the report,
for the Royal College of Physicians of London.                                                     roundtable and filming.

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                           18
References

References
Walshe, K., & Davies, H. T. (2013) ‘Health      Mikelyte, Louise Laverty and Pauline              Moore, G. F., Audrey, S., Barker, M., Bond, L.,
research, development and innovation in         Allen (2019) National evaluation of the           Bonell, C., Hardeman, W., Moore, L., O’Cathain,
England from 1988 to 2013: from research        Vanguard new care models programme.               A., Tinati, T., Wight, D. and Baird, J. (2015)
production to knowledge mobilization’           Available at: https://www.necsu.nhs.uk/           ‘Process evaluation of complex interventions:
Journal of Health Service Research and Policy   wp-content/uploads/2019/07/2019-07-               Medical Research Council guidance’, BMJ
doi: 10.1177/1355819613502011                   InterimReportNCM-ManchesterUniversity.pdf         (Online). doi: 10.1136/bmj.h1258.
                                                (Accessed: 25 January 2021).
Craig, P., Dieppe, P., Macintyre, S.,                                                             Morciano, M., Checkland, K., Billings,
Michie, S., Nazareth, I. and Petticrew,         Kumpunen, S., Edwards, N., Georghiou, T.          J., Coleman, A., Stokes, J., Tallack, C.
M. (2008) ‘Developing and evaluating            and Hughes, G. (2019) Evaluating integrated       and Sutton, M. (2020) ‘New integrated
complex interventions: The new Medical          care: Why are evaluations not producing           care models in England associated with
Research Council guidance’, BMJ.                the results we expect? https://www.               small reduction in hospital admissions in
doi: 10.1136/bmj.a1655.                         nuffieldtrust.org.uk/resource/evaluating-         longer-term: A difference-in-differences
                                                integrated-care-why-are-evaluations-not-          analysis’, Health Policy. doi: 10.1016/j.
HM Treasury (2013) The Green Book:              producing-the-results-we-expect                   healthpol.2020.06.004.
appraisal and evaluation in central
government - GOV.UK. Available at:              Lamont, T., Barber, N., De Pury, J., Fulop,       Ferlie E., Nicolini D., Ledger J., D’Andreta
https://www.gov.uk/government/                  N., Garfield-Birkbeck, S., Lilford, R., Mear,     D., Kravcenko D. , de Pury J. ‘NHS top
publications/the-green-book-appraisal-          L., Raine, R. and Fitzpatrick, R. (2016) ‘New     managers, knowledge exchange and
and-evaluation-in-central-governent             approaches to evaluating complex health           leadership: the early development of
(Accessed: 15 January 2021).                    and care systems’, BMJ (Online). doi:             Academic Health Science Networks – a
                                                10.1136/bmj.i154.                                 mixed-methods study’. Health Services and
HM Treasury (2020) The Magenta Book -                                                             Delivery Research. doi: 10.3310/hsdr05170.
GOV.UK. Available at: https://www.gov.uk/       McGill, E., Egan, M., Petticrew, M., Mountford,
government/publications/the-magenta-book        L., Milton, S., Whitehead, M. and Lock, K.        NHS (2014) ‘NHS five year forward
(Accessed: 15 January 2021).                    (2015) ‘Trading quality for relevance: Non-       view’, NHS England. Available at:
                                                health decision-makers’ use of evidence on        www.england.nhs.uk/wp-content/
Kath Checkland, Anna Coleman, Professor         the social determinants of health’, BMJ Open,     uploads/2014/10/5yfv-web.pdf.
Jenny Billings, Julie Macinnes, Rasa            5(4). doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007053.           NHS England (2020) Advice on how to            ➜

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                              19
References

establish a remote ‘total triage’ model in general   The Strategy Unit (2020a) COVID-19
practice using online consultations. Available       Evidence - Helping you to keep up to date.
at: https://www.england.nhs.uk/coronavirus/          Available at: https://www.strategyunitwm.
wp-content/uploads/sites/52/2020/03/C0098-           nhs.uk/evidence-helping-you-keep-date
total-triage-blueprint-september-2020-v3.pdf         (Accessed: 19 January 2021).
(Accessed: 15 January 2021).
                                                     The Strategy Unit (2020b) How can we learn
Ogilvie, D., Cummins, S., Petticrew, M.,             from changes in practice under COVID-19?
White, M., Jones, A. and Wheeler, K. (2011)          A guide for health and care teams to learn from
‘Assessing the evaluability of complex public        innovations during the pandemic. https://www.
health interventions: Five questions for             strategyunitwm.nhs.uk/publications/how-can-
researchers, funders, and policymakers’,             we-learn-changes-practice-under-covid-19-0
Milbank Quarterly, 89(2), pp. 206–225.
doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0009.2011.00626.x.               Vindrola-Padros C., Sidhu M.S., Georghiou
                                                     T, Sherlaw-Johnson C., Singh KE, Tomini
Operational Research and Evauation Unit              S.M., Ellins J., Morris S., Fulop N.J. ‘The
NHS England (2016) New care models:                  implementation of remote home monitoring
valuation strategy for new care model                models during the COVID-19 pandemic in
vanguards. Available at: https://www.england.        England’ medRxiv 2020.11.12.20230318; doi:
nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/ncm-               https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.12.20230318
evaluation-strategy-may-2016.pdf
(Accessed: 25 January 2021).                         West of England Academic Health Sciences
                                                     Network (2020) COVID Oximetry @home and
Petticrew, M., Chalabi, Z. and Jones, D. R.          COVID virtual wards - West of England Academic
(2011) ‘To RCT or not to RCT: Deciding when          Health Science Network. Available at: https://
“more evidence is needed” for public health          www.weahsn.net/our-work/transforming-
policy and practice’, Journal of Epidemiology        services-and-systems/keeping-people-safe-
and Community Health, 66(5), pp. 391–396.            during-and-after-covid-19/covid-oximetry-at-
doi: 10.1136/jech.2010.116483.                       home/ (Accessed: 26 January 2021).

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                    20
Appendix
Rapid evaluation of health
and care services - planning
a sustainable solution for
the post-COVID reset
Research methods for stakeholder analysis

Research methods for stakeholder analysis:    Results were analysed using thematic           1) Delivering a shared aim:
                                              analysis, with key themes tested iteratively      How to overcome the many different
This piece of qualitative research was        in subsequent interviews to produce a set         views about the role of evaluation
undertaken by a researcher at the London      of draft recommendations. Results were            in healthcare and work to deliver a
School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine         compiled into a set of slides outlining the       common goal.
who conducted 18 independent semi-            key themes identified in the interviews,
structured key informant interviews with      and these are available on request.            2) Funding and responsibilities:
leaders across a range of health policy                                                         To establish what sources of funding
and service delivery organisations as         A roundtable on 10 December 2020                  already exist and to explore the roles
well as selected applied health services      brought together 12 leaders from                  of national bodies, including NIHR
researchers. Interviewees were selected       research, NHS and voluntary sector                and improve transparency and
purposively to include perspectives from      organisations, including national and             understanding around how the
a range of different types of organisations   regional NIHR organisations, NICE,                NHS funds and resources rapid
that fund, deliver or benefit from rapid      NHSE/I (including leaders from the                service evaluation.
research and evaluation and snowball          Accelerated Access Collaborative
sampling was used to enable further           and Beneficial Changes Network                 3) Capability and aligning resources:
investigation of evolving themes. Key         programmes), Alzheimer’s Society, the             To establish ways of creating a system
organisations included NHSE/I, NIHR,          Health Foundation, AHSNs and the London           to align research infrastructure with
AHSNs, regional medical directors, an         School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.            the NHS and to mutually agree a
individual ARC, universities, NICE, the       Participants discussed the results                strategic approach at national, regional
Nuffield Trust, the Strategy Unit, and        of the qualitative research and draft             and ICS level, considering what this
individuals with experience of carrying       recommendations and considered                    system could look like and how it
out regional service evaluation.              three major challenges:                           could be implemented.                      ➜

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                        22
Research methods for stakeholder analysis

Semi structured interview topic guide           The purpose of this evaluation is to             Consent:
                                                understand what went well and what didn’t
‘I would like to start by explaining a little   go so well during the first wave of COVID-19     ‘I would like to ask you some questions
background the research and to check that       in terms of prioritizing local research needs,   about your experiences of the systems
you are still happy to participate. This work   conducting rapid evidence reviews and            and resources available for rapid service
is being carried out as part of the Academic    rapidly evaluating frontline services during     evaluations in health and social care. I will
Health Science Network Health and Care          a rapidly evolving emergency. The hope is        record this interview for my own records,
Reset campaign. It is led by UCLPartners        that this learning may also be applied to a      but will only use it for the purposes of the
in association with the London School of        future long-term relationship between the        evaluation and the analysis and nothing
Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.                    NHS and the health and social care system        you say will be directly attributed to you.
                                                and, in the broadest sense, the research         We are also making a short video to
‘During the first wave of COVID-19              and evaluation provision.                        showcase the highlights of the research at
infections, best practice guidance was not                                                       the roundtable in December and may ask
available so much was unknown about             Our aim is to establish how we can mobilise      some participants if they might be able to
the virus and many health and social            resources to support closer collaboration        contribute a very short video clip to this
care providers innovated and adapted to         between academic partners and the health         a little later. We appreciate the pressures
provide the best possible care. In order to     and social care system to rapidly evaluate       on your time and there is of course no
establish how successful these changes          frontline services to improve patient care       obligation to do this.’
are, providers must rapidly collate             in the longer term, using COVID-19 as an
emerging frontline clinical evidence and        exemplar for change. These findings will
undertake service evaluations as quickly        inform policy recommendations that will be
as possible, whilst awaiting traditional        discussed at a roundtable event with health
research findings, which tend to be             systems leaders in December, and will
considerably slower.                            eventually be presented in a White Paper.’                                                       ➜

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                              23
Research methods for stakeholder analysis

Questions:                                              there between academic and health
                                                        and social care partners? (Process)
1. From your experience, do service evaluations      c. What resources, if any were available
   differ from traditional research and if so           to facilitate these research and
   could you describe these differences to me?          evaluation needs? (Financial,
                                                        technical expertise, workforce)
2. Could you explain to me how research              d. What resources would you have liked to
   priorities were determined during                    have had but weren’t easily available?
   the first wave nationally and how this
   differs regionally?                             6. In your experience, what went well with
                                                      respect to service evaluations and rapid
3. Is there a similar process for service             evidence reviews during the first wave?
   evaluations and how are they then
   prioritised nationally and regionally?            a. What didn’t go so well and what do
                                                        you think we can learn for the future?
4. Are those national and regional                   b. Which bodies do you think should be
   prioritisations linked in any way?                   responsible for overseeing service
                                                        evaluations and rapid reviews in the
5. Were you involved personally in conducting           NHS and who should be involved?
   or co-ordinating any rapid reviews or service
   evaluations during the first wave?              7. Who do you think should fund this?

  a. Who was responsible for overseeing this       8. And who do you think should actually
     and who was involved in implementing             carry out these evaluations?
     it? Who did what? What were the roles of
     NHSE/I and NIHR and other stakeholders        9. What should a policy document recommend
     e.g. third sector, Wellcome, MRC?                for a future relationship between the system
  b. How was this taken forward and                   and the research and evaluation community
     co-ordinated. Prompt: what links were            to ensure that the system’s needs are met?     ➜

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                  24
Brief overview of evaluation approaches

Brief overview of evaluation approaches

Source: Lamont, T., Barber, N., De Pury, J., Fulop, N., Garfield-Birkbeck, S., Lilford, R., Mear, L., Raine, R. and Fitzpatrick, R. (2016)
‘New approaches to evaluating complex health and care systems’, BMJ (Online)                                                                 ➜

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                          25
Brief overview of evaluation approaches

However, it is also important to note that        An example of a ‘Network of Capabilities’     The Midlands Decision Support Network
every innovation does not necessarily need        We spoke to the Strategy Unit in the          acts as a network of capabilities across a
rigorous evaluation, and there is a risk that     West Midlands who also described a new        number of local footprints and includes
the ‘perfect’ can become the enemy of the         collaborative system, that has been enabled   training on evaluation methodologies as an
good in imposing such standards universally.      by pooling local funds between numerous       integral part, as shown below. (The Strategy
The level of rigour required depends on the       health, research and civic organisations.     Unit, 2020b, 2020a)
decisions that the evaluation is expected
to inform, the plausibility of benefit, the
risk of harm, the cost of the innovation
and whether the benefits are large. If an
innovation is highly likely to produce benefit,
at low cost and low risk then rigorous
evaluation may be superfluous, although this
decision must be taken carefully to avoid
potential unintended harms. This has been
the case for policies on minimum unit pricing
of alcohol in Scotland and smoking bans,
neither of which were evaluated before being
implemented nationally. It is also important
to note that evaluations of relatively new
innovations are more easily and quickly
assessed by process or formative evaluations
than those that seek to capture outcomes.
(Ogilvie et al., 2011).

www.ahsnnetwork.com/rapidevaluation                                                                                                            26
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