Q2 FINANCIAL INSIGHTS TO ENRICH YOUR LIFE - Planning Alternatives
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W W EE LL C CO ME OM E Years ago, my parents, siblings and I gathered in a If there are loose ends in your incapacity and estate Maine hotel room. We had all come to New England plans, we can assist you. Our senior wealth advisors from across the country for an event. While we were all have decades of experience in navigating these together, my father called a formal family meeting. My discussions as well as a process for helping manage parents wanted to discuss their wishes should they these critical conversations with empathy. We are N AT H A N become incapacitated or pass away. It was a lengthy equipped to give your family a safe space to hold a conversation that was difficult and heavy but also highly productive discussion and plan for the future. M E R S E R E A U , C F P® productive. The decisions we worked through – from who was responsible for financial matters to how things If the pandemic taught us anything, it’s that life is far were to be managed in the event of incapacity – during from predictable. If you’re having trouble initiating an that pivotal meeting became powerful reference points estate planning discussion with your family, please for our family. contact us for guidance. We are here for you. Having held that meeting proved to be highly valuable On a lighter note, as Planning Alternatives continues to after my father died and as my mother continues to deal grow and evolve, so does the look and feel of our with Alzheimer’s disease. brand. Not only are we going to continue to provide frequent communications about personal finances, we I understand firsthand the importance of holding family are looking forward to unveiling our new website and meetings. It’s one of the reasons that Planning logo. Please see our News and Events section for Alternatives has focused in recent years on facilitating more information. forthright conversations with our clients and their family TA B L E O F circles. While topics such as death or disability or Wishing you an enjoyable summer, long-term care are certainly challenging, it’s ultimately CONTENTS far more challenging if you choose not to address them. How to Protect Yourself Against 2 Fraudulent Push Notifications When a loved one is sick or a family is grieving a loss, you want everyone involved to be able to focus on care News & Events 3 and support. You do not want family members 5 Nathan Mersereau, CFP® Family Wealth Planning attempting to coordinate a hotbed of thorny unresolved President Investment Commentary 7 issues, bickering over financial accounts, or trying to Disclosures & Footnotes 10 reconcile various opinions regarding healthcare. THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 1
HOW TO PROTECT YOURSELF AGAINST F R AU D U L E N T P U S H N OT I F I C AT I O N S While most people now regularly watch for suspicious emails from scammers posing as trusted contacts or corporations, savvy cybercriminals have turned to a new avenue to commit fraud: fake push notifications. W H AT A R E P U S H HOW TO PROTECT YOURSELF N OT I F I C AT I O N S ? Push notifications are alerts that pop up on devices 1. Scrutinize All Notifications 3.Review Device Settings – to attract attention. They are small dialog boxes For one, smartphone and computer users should Especially Notifications (i.e., windows) that usually appear in the upper scrutinize all notifications. If you receive a It’s prudent to regularly review the settings on right-hand corner of your PC or laptop screen or at notification from a company you have not your PC/laptop and smartphone, including the top of a smartphone screen informing you of interacted with in the past, it could be fraudulent. notifications. Think of it as a notifications audit. something new for a site, app, or service. Do not click on it. Be sure to check your browser and smartphone settings to determine what notifications are Examples of these types of notifications include an Of course, the notification might not be fake, as it is turned on. Disable those that look unfamiliar and alert for a sale at your favorite online store, an a common practice for companies to sell their those services which you no longer use. announcement that a new email or WhatsApp customer lists to other companies who then send message has arrived, a reminder prompting you to messages to those customers. Further, some One way to avoid fraudulent push notifications is update your software or the publication of a recent websites automatically opt-in users to receive push to turn off notifications altogether or limit article on a news outlet website. notifications even though explicit authorization was notifications to only apps you wish to hear from not granted. regularly. Fraudulent push notifications were first reported as a phishing tactic in 2019, with one attack using In short, use your judgment when evaluating the A “spring cleaning” of push notifications can go push notifications fraudulently designed to legitimacy of push notifications, and don’t be so a long way toward staying safe and secure originate from Google Chrome. Since then, quick to click on them. It is best to err on the side online. fraudsters have leveraged the logos from trusted of caution. companies to create fake notifications, encouraging users to click on what they think is a 2.Use Strong Passwords and Update safe link. Furthermore, attackers also use security Antivirus Software flaws in trusted apps to send “real” push Be sure to take protective measures online by notifications that carry dangerous links or using strong passwords, changing them often, and encourage users to share personal information. installing and updating antivirus software. THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 2
NEWS & EVENTS C O M PA N Y R E B R A N D U P D AT E In the coming weeks, you will notice some differences when you interact with Planning Alternatives and we want to make sure you are not surprised. The changes will be in our logo, on our materials and will be noticeable when you log onto our website. We are introducing a new look that we think best reflects what we do for our clients and how we stand out. What will not change is our commitment to you. We will work closely with you at every step of your planning and life, taking the journey with you. You will still enjoy the same relationships here, with a team working on your behalf. We will continue our ongoing education events and other ways we can add value to the experience of Planning Alternatives. We look forward to our team sharing the new look with you, in a variety of ways, and continue to appreciate the trust you place in Planning Alternatives. Thank you for your feedback! Thank you to all who took the time to complete (EST) our survey via email recently, we sincerely appreciate your feedback. We strive to bring you the utmost value and are grateful that you volunteered yourself to give us tools to better serve you. Please do not hesitate to continue communicating with us on how we can improve our services and communication, we look forward to hearing from you. THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 3
WELCOMING OUR NEW TEAM MEMBERS K AV I SA DAS I VA N MADISON COIL AMANDA ABI-SAMRA Intern Intern Marketing Officer In his role as an intern, Kavi assists in creating Maddy assists with a variety of organizational Amanda is the Marketing Officer at Planning financial plans, attends advisor meetings, and projects within the firm and is motivated by Alternatives. With a passion for client helps organize client data. His eagerness to helping others. engagement and business development, learn about the industry comes from his Amanda designs events and communications aspiration to help people plan and save for a Maddy is currently a senior at Michigan State for our firm that engages our community and better future. University, and studies Social Relations and adds value to people’s lives. Policy at the James Madison Residential College Kavi is an honors student pursuing a bachelor’s for Public Affairs. She is also involved on Amanda received an undergraduate degree in degree in Finance from Michigan State campus at MSU, including being a third-year Marketing from Oakland University. She is a University and expects to graduate in the spring member and Secretary of an A Capella group on life-long learner and constantly works to of 2022. In his free time, he loves to play sports campus called “State of Fifths.” educate herself on evolving trends. and spend time with his friends and family. THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 4
F A M I LY W E A LT H P L A N N I N G : T R A N S PA R E N T C O N V E R S AT I O N S A R E K E Y FORMULATING A PLAN AND Family Lifestyle ENCOURAGING COMMUNICATION The parents should disclose all family members to Planned travel, hobbies, and spending habits When it comes to building and maintaining wealth whom they would like to bequeath assets. Family also have a place in family wealth planning across generations, it is vital to formulate a solid plan. members may not necessarily be children; they discussions. These affect how much money At Planning Alternatives, we believe this process could also be grandchildren, distant relatives, or the heads of the family will need to live begins with candid and transparent conversations. even close family friends whom the parents would comfortably in retirement and, ultimately, We find that even the most carefully designed like included in their estate plan. how much money they will leave as part of strategy can fail if the plan is not clarified and their legacy. embraced by all relevant family members. Work Knowing when a transition to part-time work or 2. Financial Disclosure Since 1983, Planning Alternatives has advised clients stopping work altogether helps identify a timeline Once the parents have completed the on how to deal with the challenges of family wealth for income needs and prepare for lifestyle and living discussions outlined above, the next phase is succession. We have refined our four-phase process location changes. for their wealth advisor team to organize the and use a direct but empathetic approach to help information. This helps facilitate financial clients optimize their wealth transfer plans and foster Expenses disclosures between parents, children, and healthy communication. We pre-plan each meeting, All large, predictable expenses are vital parts of the other involved family members. It's important gather information and design a strategy which initial discussion regarding family wealth planning. to note, this conversation is often includes a concise action plan with a calendar for Examples include down payments for children's challenging, as many families do not enjoy implementation. Our wealth advisors are here to help homes or funding the grandchildren's openly discussing money and wealth. Still, every step of the way. college education. transparency is vital to advancing the family wealth plan. FOUR-PHASE PROCESS Health 1. The Initial Meeting – What we cover. The parents should also discuss health status at the This disclosure may include the presentation The aim of the initial meeting between the parents initial meeting, as the cost of care has skyrocketed . of the parents' net worth. Funds in all and their wealth advisor team is to review and Part of the financial plan might need to be allocated savings, checking, investment, retirement articulate goals. To promote openness and clarity, we to healthcare provisions for one or both parents. accounts, and other financial products (e.g. advise the first meeting does not include other family insurance or annuity policies) are included. members. That way, the wealth advisors can get a Charitable Giving Apart from investments, other information clearer picture of the family heads' wishes before Charitable giving is a topic that also should be (e.g. credit card statements and titles to interpersonal relationships, and family politics have a discussed. There may be current obligations with a assets, including homes and property) needs chance to complicate matters. Values and goals charity, or the parents may wish to consider to be presented. It is important to share discussed in this meeting can include any or all donations to one or more charities as part contact information for all key professional of the following: of their legacy. THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 5
F A M I LY W E A LT H P L A N N I N G : T R A N S PA R E N T C O N V E R S AT I O N S A R E K E Y contacts, so the advisors can help coordinate attorney or allowing an adult child or other READY TO TAKE THE NEXT STEP TO FAMILY efforts. responsible family member or friend, to assume WEALTH PLANNING? responsibility for the execution of the will when the Parents should not feel obligated to provide parent becomes ill, incapacitated, or dies. HERE’S YOUR ACTION LIST: 100% access to all financial accounts upfront. 1. Speak to your advisor to discuss To ease the transition and maintain some initial 4. Family Wealth Planning Action List Family Wealth Planning. privacy, adult children can begin discussions Once the information outlined above is presented to 2. Gather all relevant information. about taking over one or more financial tasks. all family stakeholders, the advisors can craft a 3. Schedule an Initial Family Meeting. For instance, offering to help organize bill holistic family wealth plan with specific 4. Identify gaps in communication payments may be a way to start the process of implementation steps. This plan could include or knowledge. transferring control. everything from reviewing succession planning for 5. Planning Alternatives customizes a the family business, to allocating a portion of detailed plan with an Implementation 3. Discussion of Incapacity or Death investable assets to long-term strategies designed to Calendar. While often a complicated conversation, be passed down to the next generation, to updating 6. Execute the Plan. discussions regarding potential future estate documents to ensure all wishes are incapacity and death are essential for family memorialized. An action list with a realistic HOW PLANNING ALTERNATIVES wealth planning considerations. implementation timeline will help intentions CAN HELP become a reality. Transitions are never easy. Frequently, a family As a common example, a family may need to can benefit from the the holistic wealth planning redraft estate plans. The estate plan includes Including everyone in the conversations helps ensure conversations and solutions offered by Planning the will, trusts, and the naming of an executor that all family members understand the vision and Alternatives. and beneficiaries. Since the original drafting of financial goals held by the heads of the family. documents, several personal life events and Though there is no guarantee that family wealth can Planning Alternatives uses a team-based changes may have occurred. For example, the be preserved, these transparent conversations can approach. As a result, you and your family can death of a spouse, an illness, a divorce, the foster a more cooperative and harmonious interaction access the entire firm's skill and experience to birth of a grandchild (or several of these that helps families achieve their financial goals. help guide these wealth planning conversations instances) can all impact estate plans. and make these transitions as seamless Changes in estate and tax laws may also as possible. require parents to rewrite their will to ensure that assets are preserved, managed, and distributed as intended. Families may consider designating a power of THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 6
INVESTMENT IN C O M M E N TA R V E S T M E N T C O M M E N TA R Y Y J I M L O N G C F A , C F P® , C M F C® Director of Investments PERFORMANCE BONDS Sparked by accelerating economic growth and a Longer-term interest rates fell from their first quarter worldwide COVID-19 vaccination effort gaining steam, all highs; in response, bonds (Barclays U.S. Aggregate major asset classes advanced in the second quarter. index) rose 1.8% during the quarter (typically, there is an Inflation spiked in the second quarter, resulting from inverse relationship between interest rates and existing several factors: comparisons to last year’s pandemic bond prices). The Federal Reserve signaled that depths, supply and demand imbalances, and consumers short-term interest rates would likely remain near zero signaling their improving confidence via increased through 2022, while leaving the door open to multiple Source: Planning Alternatives spending on the services sector of the economy. rate hikes in 2023. While not our baseline expectation, Commodity prices rose, helping alternative assets to the possibility of higher, persistent inflation remains a performance leadership for the quarter. Bonds recovered threat to future fixed income returns. a portion of their first quarter decline as interest rates A LT E R N A T I V E S retreated somewhat from their first quarter highs. Most raw materials prices rose during the second quarter; commodities from oil to lumber to copper STOCKS moved higher. As supply and demand moved back Stocks in all regions climbed higher in the second quarter. towards balance, some spot prices retreated from their U.S. stocks (Russell 3000) returned 8.2% for the quarter, highs; still, commodities (Bloomberg Commodity) was outpacing the 5.5% return of International stocks (MSCI the alternative category’s leading performer. Overall, All Country World Index ex-U.S.). Large-sized (S&P 500) alternative assets rose 9.9% for the quarter, with Source: Planning Alternatives U.S. companies outperformed their small-sized (S&P contributions from global real estate (FTSE SmallCap 600) and mid-sized (S&P MidCap 400) EPRA/NAREIT Developed) and natural resources (S&P counterparts, even as all three categories continued their Global Natural Resources), which also gained as strong 2021 performance. Overseas, developed markets economic demand strengthened. (MSCI EAFE) bettered returns from emerging markets (MSCI EM) on a relative basis. Source: Planning Alternatives THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 7
I N V E S T M E N T C O M M E N TA R Y J I M L O N G C F A , C F P® , C M F C® Director of Investments PERSPECTIVE available workforce at any given time. After so Why is employment so important to understanding the Arguably, the pandemic disrupted the labor market more many discouraged workers left the workforce economy and markets? Aside from the obvious effect of more than any other facet of the American economy. Think back entirely during the pandemic, it is crucial that people working equaling more economic output, the answer to January 2020: record low unemployment levels in the this number returns at least pre-pandemic resides with the Federal Reserve, whose stated goals are U.S. and expectations for continued full employment. While levels. price stability (i.e. inflation around a certain target) and it is easy to understand why employment dropped off a maximum sustainable employment. While prices have cliff last spring – a shutdown of the U.S. economy! –the After more than 22 million workers lose their fluctuated based over the past year due to supply/demand path forward is murkier. jobs at the start of the pandemic, we have seen imbalances as well as extensive fiscal stimulus, longer-lasting So many facts, figures, and statistics go into describing this a slow but steady return to work as the inflation generally requires a broad level of wage increases sector that it is sometimes challenging to keep everything economy has reopened. U.S. employers have that results from full employment in a growing economy. straight. Summarized below are some key labor market brought millions back to work; however, there When these conditions are present, the Fed starts raising metrics along with their current status and directional remains a record 9.3 million job openings. Why? interest rates – which in turn can cause stock market trend: One opinion is that the enhanced volatility. unemployment benefits extended through Labor force participation rate, defined as the percentage of September 2021 via the most recent legislation Based on the decline in the labor force participation rate, the civilian population 16 and older that is working or actively signed into law by President Biden are to blame increase in the unemployment rate, the still-elevated number looking for work, serves as an important measure of the for the persistently high numbers. By paying of first-time and continuing unemployment claims, and the benefits recipients their standard record number of job openings – we still have a long way to unemployment amount, plus an additional $300 go. Once the unemployment rate falls, and businesses are per week, many argue that this provides a competing (in the form of higher salaries) for workers, “ Hard work never killed anybody, but why take a chance? disincentive to work for those earning more to increasing wages will likely be the catalyst for Fed action. “ – Edgar Bergen remain idle. Another opinion is that childcare logistical challenges and COVID health POSITIONING concerns are keeping workers from seeking Our investment philosophy continues to be guided by our employment. Whatever individuals’ reasons, the company’s four key tenets: asset allocation, global fact remains that workers are proving very diversification, cost sensitivity, and marrying portfolios to a difficult to find at the precise time when many financial plan. The current state of employment, and the companies need them. Federal Reserve’s interpretation of the data, helps to inform our opinion about which investments are currently most THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 8
I N V E S T M E N T C O M M E N TA R Y J I M L O N G C F A , C F P® , C M F C® Director of Investments appropriate, while always practicing a discipline However, close attention and analysis will be of risk management. required for 2022 and beyond. The interplay between employment, interest rates, and the We expect that throughout the remainder of Federal Reserve will be superimposed on a 2021, employment metrics will improve, background of stretched stock and bond economic growth will remain strong, and that valuations. Return expectations may need to be inflation will fluctuate up and down as supply adjusted downward, and flexibility in search of chains work their way back to normal. However, opportunities will be necessary. We are ready for we feel this combination of factors will not be the challenge. significant enough to force the Fed into meaningfully altering their game plan of tapering Please contact us with bond purchases beginning in late 2021 / early 2022 and beginning short-term interest rate questions, or just to chat! hikes in late 2022 or early 2023. We continue to favor stocks over bonds on a relative basis; earlier this year we effected a 5% reduction in bond exposure in favor of stocks. The post-pandemic combination of GDP growth, corporate earnings growth, and continued central bank low interest rate policy has been Jim Long, CFA, CFP®, CMFC® positive for stocks and likely will be through the Director of Investments end of the year. Although obstacles remain before the pandemic can be declared over, especially within the labor market, we are confident in our current investment positioning. THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 9
DISCLOSURES & FOOTNOTES The content of this newsletter is intended for 1. Asset Classes: Domestic Stocks are represented by Foreign Developed Stocks are represented by the Managed Futures are represented by the educational purposes only. Certain material in this the Russell 3000 Index, which measures the MSCI EAFE Index, a market capitalization weighted Morningstar Managed Futures category, which work is proprietary to and copyrighted by Planning performance of the largest 3,000 U.S. companies index designed to track the performance of stocks in captures the performance of mutual funds that trade Alternatives. Reproduction or distribution of this representing approximately 98% of the investable developed markets (excluding the U.S. and Canada). liquid global futures, the majority of which follow a material is prohibited and all rights are reserved. U.S. stock market. International Stocks are Emerging Market Stocks are represented by the trend-following strategy. Performance data is from represented by the MSCI ACWI ex U.S. Index, a MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which is a market Morningstar Office, Bloomberg and Tamarac Advisor This material contains our current opinions and such market capitalization weighted index that is designed capitalization weighted index designed to capture View. opinions are subject to change without notice. to measure the global stock market performance of the stock market performance of emerging markets. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed developed and emerging non-U.S. markets. Long/Short Stocks are represented by the 2. Benchmark Performance: The components of the herein constitutes a recommendation to invest in Alternative Strategies are represented by the Morningstar Long/Short Equity category, which benchmarks are listed below. Data from Tamarac accordance with a particular strategy or a solicitation Morningstar Multialternative Fund Category, which captures the performance of mutual funds that hold AdvisorView/Schwab PortfolioCenter. for the sale or purchase of any particular security. consists of mutual funds that provide exposure to sizable stakes in both long and short stock positions. There is no assurance that any securities discussed different alternative investment strategies that may Long/Short Bonds are represented by the herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time take short positions, invest in currencies, derivatives Morningstar Nontraditional Bond category, which you receive this report or that securities sold have not or other alternative asset classes. Alternative Assets captures the performance of mutual funds that been repurchased. The securities discussed are held are represented by a blend of three indices: 33% pursue strategies divergent in one or more ways in Planning Alternatives’ Tactical “model” accounts, (Commodities) Bloomberg Commodity TR Index, from conventional practice in the broader bond-fund including Conservative; Moderate Conservative; which is a broadly diversified index composed of 19 universe, such as tactical management of bond Moderate Conservative Plus; Moderate; Moderate commodity futures contracts on physical commodities exposures, active management of duration, currency Plus; Moderate Aggressive; and Aggressive; and do in seven sectors; 33% (Natural Resource Stocks) S&P trading and/or shorting. not necessarily represent a client’s entire portfolio. Global Natural Resources Index, which is comprised Furthermore, the securities discussed may in fact of 90 of the largest publicly traded companies in represent only a small percentage of a client’s natural resources and commodities businesses that portfolio holdings. A complete list of the performance meet investability requirements; 34% (Global Real for all of the securities in your accounts managed by Estate) FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index, which Planning Alternatives is included in your personalized is designed to track the performance of listed real quarterly performance report. Accounts may not own estate companies and REITs worldwide. Bonds are every security discussed due to variations in account represented by the Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond size, tax status, fund closures, custodian rules and Index, which represents most intermediate, availability, etc. It should not be assumed that any of investment grade bonds traded in the U.S., including the securities transactions or holdings discussed Treasury securities; government agency bonds; were profitable or will prove to be profitable, or that mortgage-backed bonds; corporate bonds and a the investment recommendations or decisions we small amount of foreign bonds traded in the U.S. make in the future will be profitable or will be Short-term Bonds are represented by the Barclays equivalent to the investment performance of the U.S. Govt/Credit 1-5 Yr. TR index, which measures the securities discussed herein. There is no guarantee performance of U.S. dollar-denominated U.S. Treasury that current or future investment decisions will be bonds, government related bonds and investment profitable and, in fact, may result in a loss to grade U.S. corporate bonds that have a remaining investors. Data contained herein from third-party maturity of greater than or equal to one year and less providers is obtained from what are considered than five years. Municipal Bonds are represented by reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness the Barclays 1-10 Year Municipal Blend Index, which is or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Performance an unmanaged, total return, market value-weighted information is net of all mutual fund or index that tracks the short and intermediate exchange-traded fund fees and expenses; is components of U.S. investment-grade tax-exempt annualized for periods greater than one year; bond market, including General Obligation, Revenue, assumes reinvestment of all dividends and capital Insured and Prerefunded bonds with a remaining gains; and assumes investment occurred at the maturity from 1 up to 12 years. beginning of the period indicated. Investment return and principal value of a fund will fluctuate so that an Large Cap Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 investor’s shares on redemption may be worth more Index, a group of 500 large companies selected by or less than the original cost. Index returns are for S&P and weighted by market capitalization. Mid Cap illustrative purposes only. Index performance returns Stocks are represented by the S&P 400 Index, which do not reflect any management fees, transaction is a group of 400 mid-size companies selected by costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one S&P and weighted by market capitalization. Small cannot invest directly in an index. The information Cap Stocks are represented by the S&P 600, which is presented is past performance and is not an a group of 600 small-size companies selected by S&P indication of future results. and weighted by market cap. THRIVE REPORT Q2|2021 Please review Disclosures and Footnotes | 10
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