Protecting Abortion Rights: A Guide for - Update: Thursday, June 2nd - Navigator Research
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Update: Thursday, June 2nd Protecting Abortion Rights: A Guide for This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022. Advocates Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
• In the wake of the leak of the draft decision overturning Roe v. Wade, majorities remain pro-choice and support abortion being legal. • While Republicans identify banning abortion as a long-time stance of their party, independents are unsure if it is a well-established or newer position for Republicans. • The most concerning messaging lanes about Republican stances on abortion focus on the party’s support for bans without exceptions and their interference in a decision that should be between a woman and her doctor. • Since the draft decision leaked, a growing plurality support expanding the Supreme Court. This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022. Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Americans Are Increasingly Pro-Choice and Majorities Feel
Abortion Should Be Legal in All or Most Cases
A majority of independents (53%) and nearly half of Republicans (44%) identify as “pro-choice,” while majorities across gender (55% of
men, 58% of women) and racial groups think abortion should be legal in all or most cases.
When it comes to the issue of abortion, which of the following best Which of the following comes closest to your position regarding the
describes your position? issue of abortion? Abortion should be…
Net Pro-Choice Don’t Net Legal
Pro-choice Don’t know Pro-life May 23 April 18 Legal in all or most cases know Illegal in all or most cases May 23 April 18
Overall 63 7 30 +33 +22 57 5 38 +19 +14
Democrats 81 7 12 +69 +58 77 5 18 +59 +51
Independents 53 21 26 +27 +26 43 15 42 +1 +15
Republicans 44 5 51 -7 -21 38 3 59 -21 -29
Black 73 12 15 +58 +35 65 9 26 +39 +29
Hispanic 63 8 29 +34 +31 58 4 38 +20 +22
White 60 7 33 +27 +15 55 4 41 +14 +9
AAPI 66 8 26 +40 +47 67 5 28 +39 +15
Men 56 10 34 +22 +19 55 6 39 +16 +14
Women 68 6 26 +42 +23 58 6 36 +22 +13
Catholic 58 7 35 +23 +21 56 5 39 +17 +12
Protestant 56 7 37 +19 -3 48 5 47 +1 -13
Evangelical Christians 44 8 48 -4 -20 35 6 59 -24 -34
This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022.
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgBipartisan Majorities Feel the Right to an Abortion in the United
States Is at Risk
Nearly seven in ten Americans say the right to an abortion nationally is at risk. Americans in the Midwest (67%), the South (66%), and in
states with trigger laws* (70%) most strongly feel the right to an abortion in their state is at risk.
What is your impression: the right to an abortion in our country... What is your impression: the right to an abortion in [STATE]…
Is very Is somewhat Don’t know Total At Risk Is very Is somewhat Don’t know Total At Risk
at risk at risk enough to say Is not at risk May 23 April 18 enough to say Is not at risk May 23 April 18
at risk at risk
Overall 46 23 14 17 69 63 32 25 16 27 57 50
Democrats 61 21 7 11 82 73 39 22 11 28 61 52
Independents 40 15 27 18 55 55 27 18 31 24 44 46
Republicans 32 27 17 24 59 54 26 30 17 27 56 50
Black 47 24 13 16 70 63 39 24 15 22 63 50
Hispanic 34 27 18 21 62 53 27 26 19 28 53 50
White 49 21 13 17 70 65 32 26 15 27 58 50
AAPI 43 25 11 21 68 63 29 20 12 39 49 45
Northeast 39 23 16 21 62 64 18 22 18 42 39 39
Midwest 50 25 13 12 75 64 38 29 15 18 67 50
South 48 21 13 18 69 61 41 25 15 19 66 61
West 45 24 13 18 69 64 22 24 17 37 46 41
Trigger law states* 47 20 16 17 67 59 50 20 15 15 70 65
Non-trigger law states* 46 23 14 17 70 64 28 26 16 30 54 47
*”Trigger
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navigatorresearch.orgAmericans are Split on Whether Supporting Overturning
Abortion Rights Is a New or Long-Standing Republican View
While a plurality of Republicans (45%) believe overturning Roe is an outcome their party has long wanted, Democrats and independents
are more split: 44% of Democrats and 32% of independents believe it is evidence modern Republicans have become more extreme.
If the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, the ruling that protects the right to an abortion, would you feel that the elimination of protections of
federal abortion rights would be more so ...
Evidence that modern Republicans have
An outcome that Republicans have long become more extreme on abortion currently
wanted and pushed for for decades Don’t know than the party was in the past
Overall 42 24 34
Democrats 43 13 44
Independents 31 37 32
Republicans 45 33 22
Black 43 15 42
Hispanic 25 25 50
White 45 26 29
AAPI 41 24 35
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conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgLess Effective Messages on Republican Abortion Stances Focus
on Extreme Judicial Nominees, Defunding Child-Focused Policies
Nearly three in five Republicans find a statement about Republicans supporting abortion bans even in cases of rape, incest, or when
the mother’s life is at risk “concerning” (57%).
Below is a list of statements from critics of Republicans for their stances on abortion and Roe v. Wade. Please indicate how concerning you find each statement.
*/** Split sample Very Somewhat Not Total Concerning
concerning concerning concerning Dem Ind Rep
*Republicans are no longer just supporting restrictions on abortion: they are now overturning Roe v. Wade and banning abortion, even in
cases of rape, incest, or when the mother's life is at risk 53 22 25 92 71 57
*Republicans want to control a decision that should be made by a woman and her doctor and take that right away by banning abortion 52 23 25 94 72 54
Republicans are not just pushing to ban abortion, but to take away other private rights, such as the right to buy and use contraception,
marriage equality, and interracial marriage 51 22 27 91 67 53
*Republicans are forcing women to have children, regardless of whether it is right for them, while blocking policies that help kids and
families succeed 50 23 27 93 71 50
*Republicans have been intentionally pushing extreme nominees to the Supreme Court while passing bans in states to set up an ultra-
conservative majority to eliminate the right to an abortion 50 22 28 92 69 49
**Republicans are no longer just supporting restrictions on abortion: they are now overturning Roe v. Wade and banning abortion, even
in cases of rape, incest, or when the women is a victim of human trafficking 49 22 29 89 68 52
Republicans are more focused on banning abortion – going against the will of a majority of Americans who support the right to an
abortion – than they are on helping the economy recover and bringing down costs for working families 48 23 29 90 71 50
**Republicans are forcing women to have children, regardless of whether it is right for them, while blocking policies that help kids and
families succeed: opposing affordable childcare and healthcare, funding for public schools, and food assistance 48 23 28 88 67 55
**Republicans want to insert politicians and government into a decision that should be made by a woman and her doctor and take that
right away by banning abortion 48 23 29 88 75 51
**Republicans have been intentionally pushing extreme nominees to the Supreme Court while passing bans in states to set up an ultra-
conservative majority to eliminate the right to an abortion and other rights such as same-sex marriage and the right to buy and use birth 46 23 31 87 67 50
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visit navigatorresarch.org.Three in Five Are Familiar With the Filibuster, and Bipartisan
Pluralities Say Eliminating It Would Have a Positive Impact
A majority of Democrats (70%) think getting rid of the filibuster would have a positive impact on making our government work better for
the people it represents, as do pluralities of independents (36%) and Republicans (41%).
Please indicate what kind of impact you think this change would have in
How well do you understand what the filibuster is? making our government work better for the people it represents: Getting rid
of the loophole that allows a small minority of U.S. senators to block legislation
that a majority of senators support.
Very well Somewhat well Not well Total Well Positive impact No real impact Not sure Negative impact Net Positive
Overall 23 39 38 62 54 13 12 21 +33
Democrats 22 41 37 63 70 10 11 9 +61
Independents 15 36 49 51 36 23 21 20 +16
Republicans 25 39 36 64 41 13 12 34 +7
Black 16 40 44 56 59 15 17 9 +50
Hispanic 21 29 50 50 57 14 17 12 +45
White 25 40 35 65 53 12 10 25 +28
AAPI 15 44 41 59 61 17 12 10 +51
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May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgSince the Leak of SCOTUS’s Draft Decision on Roe v. Wade, a
Growing Share Support Expanding the Supreme Court
Support for expanding the Supreme Court has increased by 13 points since late March (from net -5 to net +8).
• Support has grown by 19 points among Black Americans (net +28 to net +47) and 18 points among Hispanics (net +8 to net +26).
Some people have recently suggested that the Supreme Court should be expanded beyond its current 9 seats. Do you support
or oppose adding more Justices to the Supreme Court beyond the current 9 seats?
Net Support
Strongly support Somewhat support Not sure Oppose May 23 May 9 March 21
Overall 21 24 17 38 +8 +5 -5
Democrats 32 33 15 20 +45 +47 +31
Independents 13 18 31 38 -7 +5 -4
Republicans 12 17 13 58 -30 -42 -50
Black 34 30 19 17 +47 +43 +28
Hispanic 20 34 18 28 +26 +29 +8
White 20 21 16 43 -2 -6 -15
AAPI 19 32 14 35 +16 +7 +20
This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022.
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgAbout Navigator For Press inquiries contact:
In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment press@navigatorresearch.org
analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to
act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable
guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global To learn more about Navigator:
Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel
Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive http://navigatorresearch.org
strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie
Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund. @NavigatorSurvey on Twitter
About the Study
Global Strategy Group conducted public opinion surveys among a sample of 998 registered voters from May 19-
May 23, 2022. 102 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 62 additional interviews were
conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 105 additional interviews were conducted among
African American voters. 102 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The survey was
conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were verified against
This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022.
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