Private Market Update: March 2021 - Forge Global
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CONFIDENTIAL Private Market Overview February sees more tech-companies ready to make their splash into the public markets Last 3 Month Forge Platform Activity Against Public Equity Market • Even though public markets took a slight turn in the last month, the IPO market remains strong as we User Indications of Interest(1) vs. S&P 500, Week Ending Indexed: Nov 21st = 100 saw many companies announce a targeted 2021 IPO 300 4,000 • Throughout the month of February, Coupang, DigitalOcean, Marqeta, and Oscar Health, were all Indications of Interest Indexed Number of S&P 500 Level added to the backlog of companies ready to exit through an IPO 200 3,800 100 3,600 Investors renew their interest in legacy names, while new issuer interest plateaus • While the number of new issuers grew marginally, the percentage of sell interest jumped off the back 0 3,400 of the changing market conditions and premium valuations of companies. The divergence between the 21-Nov 5-Dec 19-Dec 2-Jan 16-Jan 30-Jan 13-Feb 27-Feb two sides of the market modestly narrowed in the past month S&P 500* (RHS) Indication of Sell Interest Indication of Buy Interest • The number of issuers with sell interest jumped ~40% from January to February • Investors sought out legacy unicorn names, UiPath and Databricks, after both companies raised Monthly Summary December January February massive funding rounds, registering these two as top companies of interest on the platform Buy Interest as % of Total Platform Interest 93% 95% 91% • Databricks closed an impressive $1B round at a reported ~$28B valuation and UiPath raised a $750m Sell Interest as % of Total Platform Interest 7% 5% 9% Number of Unique Issuers 411 456 458 round for an estimated ~$35B valuation, both over 3x their previous valuations Year-over-Year VC Private Funding Summary ($M) Investors continue to write large checks as primary VC funding reaches new heights Year- over-Year VC Private Funding ($M) (2) 2019 YTD 19,839 2020 YTD 17,075 $20,000 • Following the tailwinds of January, February recorded an impressive ~$19B into 274 companies, 2021 YTD 35,142 surpassing January as the most active month in prior years $16,000 • While Automotive was the most active vertical in January with ~$2.75B raised, Financial Software took $12,000 over this month, accounting for nearly a third of the month’s funding at ~$4.4B (up from January’s $8,000 ~$1B) $4,000 SPAC’s take flight in February $0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec • According to the Refinitiv Deals Intelligence report, 50 acquisitions by Special Purpose Acquisition 2018 2019 2020 2021 Companies were announced globally during February 2021, the highest monthly tally of all time and combined value of these deals was $108.6 billion Annual Summary 2018 2019 2020 2021 Sources: Forge Global, Yahoo Finance, Refinitiv, TechCrunch, PitchBook (Data has not been reviewed by PitchBook analysts) – As of 2/28/2021 Total Deal Volume ($M) 108,229 108,075 113,718 35,142 *Note: Public market data as of 2/26/2021; Platform activity as of 2/28/2021 # of Deals 2,309 2,439 2,372 505 (1) Indication of Interest defined as a user manually placing a non-binding bid or ask on the Forge platform. Indexed values are based on the unique number of indications of interest, not the total dollar volume Average Deal Size ($M) 47 44 48 70 (2) Includes U.S. issuer VC-backed deals with an investment amount of $10M or greater Copyright © 2020 Forge Global, Inc. All rights reserved. For more info contact: info@forgeglobal.com (415) 881-1612 415 Mission St, San Francisco, CA 94105 – 55th Floor 2
CONFIDENTIAL Tech IPO Landscape (1) Performance of Largest VC-Backed Tech IPOs in Since 2020 Historical Returns Public Market Performance Latest Private Market Activity Return If 2019 2020 Last 3 Months Last Month Current Last 3 Last Funding Company IPO Date Since IPO Series Invested Pre- Stock Price Months Month Round(2) IPO (3) NASDAQ 34.6% 41.8% 6.8% -1.6% Announced / In Progress (Filed: 25-Feb-21) May-20 C - S&P 500 28.7% 15.3% 4.1% 1.0% Announced / In Progress (Confidentially Filed: 16-Feb-21) May-19 E - Renaissance IPO ETF (5) 33.6% 103.5% 7.1% -3.6% Announced / In Progress (Confidentially Filed: 12-Feb-21) May-14 D - Market information as of 2/26/21 Announced / In Progress (Filed: 05-Feb-21) Mar-18 G - Last 24 Months Indexed Month-Over-Month Performance Announced / In Progress (Confidentially Filed: 28-Jan-21) Apr-14 B - Index: Feb 28th 2019 = 100 240 Announced / In Progress (Confidentially Filed: 14-Jan-21) Nov-19 G - Announced / In Progress (Confidentially Filed: 17-Dec-20) Oct-18 E - 220 Announced / In Progress (Confidentially Filed: 17-Dec-20) Jul-20 E - 200 Announced / In Progress (Filed: 19-Nov-20) Feb-20 G - 13-Jan-21 $93.06 89.9% - -13.5% Apr-19 F 606.1% 180 16-Dec-20 $19.61 -18.3% - -37.1% May-15 E N/A(6) 160 10-Dec-20 $206.35 203.5% - 14.4% Sep-17 F 293.0% 9-Dec-20 $112.46 167.8% - -18.4% Sep-19 H 2131.3% 140 9-Dec-20 $169.49 66.2% - -11.3% Jun-20 H 269.2% 120 30-Sep-20 $34.63 28.3% 27.7% -2.3% Nov-18 E 322.8% 30-Sep-20 $23.90 139.0% -6.9% -29.6% Jan-16 K 110.0% 100 18-Sep-20 $107.63 107.0% -26.9% -29.6% May-19 E 389.2% 80 17-Sep-20 $30.38 38.1% 21.1% -9.7% May-19 G 175.7% Feb-19 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Oct-20 Feb-21 16-Sep-20 $259.54 116.3% -15.1% -8.0% Feb-20 G 569.4% NASDAQ S&P 500 Renaissance IPO ETF 2-Jul-20 $125.79 333.8% 97.6% -15.7% Apr-19 D 198.0% 9-Jun-20 $44.25 101.1% 25.1% 9.8% Dec-18 G 146.5% Sources: PitchBook (Data has not been reviewed by PitchBook analysts), Yahoo Finance 31-Jan-20 $47.51 239.4% 37.9% -11.8% Aug-18 I 282.2% (1) Includes all IPOs issued in USD by formerly VC-backed TMT, SaaS, E-Commerce, or FoodTech companies with a pre-money valuation of $1B or greater (2) Latest funding round based on latest investment round leading up to the Initial Public Offering when price per share figures are publicly disclosed Market information as of 2/26/21 Averages 119.2% 20.1% -12.5% 426.9% (3) Return based on current market price and the preferred share price of the latest investment round leading up to the IPO when the figure is publicly disclosed (4) Active on Forge platform defined as one completed trade or over $1 million of buy or sell side interest prior to priced public filing (5) “The Renaissance IPO ETF reflects approximately the top 80% of newly public companies based on full market capitalization, is weighted by free float capitalization and imposes a 10% cap on large constituents” (renaissancecapital.com) Active on Forge platform (4) (6) Wish historically has not publicly disclosed the preferred share prices of their investment rounds Copyright © 2020 Forge Global, Inc. All rights reserved. For more info contact: info@forgeglobal.com (415) 881-1612 415 Mission St, San Francisco, CA 94105 – 55th Floor 3
CONFIDENTIAL Fundraising Activity Summary LTM Funding by Stage ($M) $21,000 $80 $18,000 $60 $15,000 $12,000 $40 $9,000 $6,000 $20 $3,000 $0 $0 Mar '20 Apr '20 May '20 Jun '20 Jul '20 Aug '20 Sep '20 Oct '20 Nov '20 Dec '20 Jan '21 Feb '21 Seed - Series C Series D - F Series G + Other Average Deal Size (RHS) Largest 10 Primary Financings in Last 60 Days By Investment Amount (2) Company Business/Productivity Network Management Primary Industry Financial Software Automotive Database Software Aerospace and Defense Holding Companies Energy Storage Drug Discovery Platform Software Software Software Deal Date 01-Feb-21 19-Jan-21 01-Feb-21 16-Feb-21 01-Feb-21 09-Feb-21 26-Jan-21 07-Jan-21 11-Jan-21 06-Jan-21 Series - F G - F - F D B H Investment Amount ($M) 3,400 2,650 1,000 850 750 750 590 525 525 520 Post-Money Valuation ($M) - 27,600 28,000 74,000 35,000 - 3,300 1,000 - 29,500 Lead Investor(s) Ribbit Capital T. Rowe Price Franklin Templeton Sequoia Capital Alkeon, Coatue - Coatue Altimeter, Sutter Hill - Altimeter, Dragoneer Source: PitchBook (Data has not been reviewed by PitchBook analysts) – As of 2/28/2021 Active on Forge platform (1) Note: includes U.S. issuer VC-backed deals with an investment amount of $10M or greater (1) Active on Forge platform defined as one completed trade or over $1 million of buy or sell side interest (2) Source: PitchBook and other publicly available news outlets Copyright © 2020 Forge Global, Inc. All rights reserved. For more info contact: info@forgeglobal.com (415) 881-1612 415 Mission St, San Francisco, CA 94105 – 55th Floor 4
CONFIDENTIAL Growing Unicorn Universe Companies That Have Surpassed a $1B Post-Money Valuation in the Last 30-Days Series D - $1.7B Series D - $1.0B Series E - $2.3B Series E - $1.4B Series D - $1.3B Series D - $1.0B 25-Feb-21 25-Feb-21 22-Feb-21 22-Feb-21 19-Feb-21 18-Feb-21 Series D - $1.2B Series E - $1.0B Series D - $1.2B Series B - $1.0B Later Stage VC - $1.1B Series G - $1.2B 17-Feb-21 17-Feb-21 11-Feb-21 10-Feb-21 05-Feb-21 03-Feb-21 With a Growing Unicorn Universe, Exit Opportunities Remain Limited Active Unicorns vs. Exits (1) 100 95 $1,000,000 Aggregate Unicorn Valuation (RHS) Exit Value Per Year (RHS) New Unicorns Per Year Unicorn Exits Per Year 78 80 $800,000 63 60 $600,000 46 41 37 40 $400,000 $30 $26 21 $20 17 20 $14 $200,000 9 $11 8 $7 $7 $7 4 $5 $5 $1 0 $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Source: PitchBook (Data has not been reviewed by PitchBook analysts) – As of 2/28/2021 Note: includes U.S. issuer VC-backed deals with an investment amount of $10M of greater (1) From PitchBook’s 2019 Unicorn Report - *Data as of 12/31/2020 Copyright © 2020 Forge Global, Inc. All rights reserved. For more info contact: info@forgeglobal.com (415) 881-1612 415 Mission St, San Francisco, CA 94105 – 55th Floor 6
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