RETAIL PARK, LIMERICK - Prime Retail Park Investment Opportunity For Sale by Private Treaty - City East
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R E TA I L PA R K , L I M E R I C K Prime Retail Park Investment Opportunity For Sale by Private Treaty
The Asset Modern fully let retail park extending to 16,607.8 sq m (178,764 sq ft) Comprising 7 retail warehouse units Situated on the Ballysimon Road 4km from Limerick City Centre and 1km from the M7 Motorway, a major arterial route linking Limerick to Dublin Excellent tenant mix including B&Q, Harvey Norman, Halfords, Home Store + More and EZ Living Current rent roll of more than €2.3 million per annum Attractive WAULT of circa 8.4 years Additional income potential through the form of turnover top-ups and future development opportunities on site with the benefit of P.P For the avoidance of doubt please note this is a property investment sale and the Tenants are unaffected
AUDI BMW Delta Retail Park M7 M7 DUBLIN LIMERICK CITY Northern East Point Trust Retail Park C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
Location CityEast Retail Park is located approximately 4kms south east of Limerick City, benefiting from extensive frontage onto the Ballysimon Road. The park is positioned just off Junction 29 of the M7 motorway, one of Ireland’s busiest arterial routes. R464 R463 Ballynanty R445 R463 R464 Castletroy R445 Limerick R445 R445 M7 Groody Park R527 Garryowen Ballysheedy N18 R511 Galvone R526 R511 R512 N18 M7 Dooradoyle M20 Limerick City is the regional capital Limerick is well connected and easily CityEast Retail Park is located within an of the south west of Ireland and the accessible by all modes of transport. established commercial location. In the third largest city overall. The city It benefits from an extensive road / immediate area around the park there is has a population of 94,192 as per motorway network with drive times to also Garryglass Industrial Estate, Delta the 2016 census. Limerick is located Dublin in 2hrs 25mins, Cork 1hr 40mins Retail Park, Eastway Business Park, East approximately 202km south west of and Galway in 1hr 20mins. There are Point Retail Park, Monaclinoe Industrial Dublin (M7), 102km north of Cork (N20) local city bus services operating as well Estate and Crossagalla Industrial Estate, and 107km south of Galway (M18). as expressway routes direct to other all located on the Ballysimon Road. City towns and cities. There are numerous East Plaza, a modern office development Limerick is one of three cities which rail connections from Limerick (Colbert) is located directly opposite the retail makes up the Cork-Limerick-Galway Station connecting Dublin (Heuston) park where Northern Trust are the main corridor along the west of Ireland and in 2hrs, Cork (Kent) in 1hr 25mins tenant. has a population of over 1 million people. and Galway (Ceannt) in 1hr 55mins. The city lies on the River Shannon and is Shannon International Airport is located a popular tourist destination, it also acts 33km to the northwest of the subject as a gateway to County Kerry, Ireland’s property providing various domestic and main tourist destination outside of international connections. Dublin. P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
Catchment Analysis Dunkerrin Ballyslattery Ballymoylan Nenagh Barrisnoe Ennis M7 Craglea Broadford Cooleen O’Briensbridge Ballynacally Ahane Shannon M7 Upperchurch Limerick Ahane Murroe Milltown (Asceaton) Clarina M20 N24 Foynes Cliggin St Patrickswell Carrigoreilly Ballagh Dromkeen Curra More N20 Fedamore N24 Rathkeale Croom Cashel Meanus Carrickettle Carrickerry N21 Tipperary Newcastle Tipperary Kilmeedy Rockhill Kilmallock Limerick is well connected and easily accessible by all modes of transport. It benefits from an extensive road / motorway network with drive times to Dublin in 2hrs 25mins, Cork 1hr 40mins and Galway in 1hr 20mins. C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
Population Growth 2006 - 2016 Household Expenditure Average Weekly Spend €790 +6% +2% Total Expenditure €63,327,489 2006 2011 2016 205,362 216,701 221,581 Workforce Housing Goods & Services €13m €11m 51% of catchment area is within the A, B, C1 Socio-Economic Group. Food Transport €9m €9m Permanent Households total 80,184 2,490 (not stated) 1,448 4,632 12,927 Recreation 3 4 0 & Culture Fuel €6m €3m 2 Per household Clothing Alcohol 1 €2m €2m 26,695 31,992 Population by Age Catchment 221,581 Ireland 4,761,865 < 15 years 29,628 46,227 637,567 1,006,552 13% 13% 15 - 24 years 52,421 21% 1,135, 003 21% 25 - 44 years 24% 24% 13% 12% 45 - 64 years 30,001 576,452 29% 30% 65+ years 63,304 1,406,291 P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
The Property CityEast Retail Park was constructed in 2006 and comprises 7 retail warehouse units extending to 16,607.8 sq m (178,764 sq ft) GIA. The scheme is laid out in two detached blocks, the anchor unit occupied by B&Q is a large rectangular shaped building with the other remaining units laid out in an “L” shaped configuration. The retail park sits on a site area of approximately 6.64hectares (16.41 acres) and provides for 525 surface car parking spaces which is free for customers. Units range in size from approximately 704.00 sq m (7,578 sq ft) to 5,546.2 sq m (59,699 sq ft). The units are of steel portal frame construction with block work walls and cast in-situ concrete floors with coated metal deck roofs. The current use within the park is restricted to bulky goods. P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
Tenancy Overview Top 3 tenants by income CityEast Retail Park is let to seven tenants including B&Q, Harvey Norman, Halfords, Home Store + More and EZ Living. Home OTHER Store + More Covenant Strength by Income TENANTS 21% €473,525 B&Q 26% Over 75% of the current income is secured against €590,000 multinational covenants. €2.3m 75% 25% Rent Harvey Receivable Norman 28% €638,520 Multinational National €1,727,964 €574,795 Income Profile to Expiry Income Profile to Break €1,600,000 €1,600,000 €1,399,669 €1,411,610 €1,400,000 €1,400,000 €1,200,000 €1,200,000 €1,000,000 €1,000,000 €773,090 €761,149 €800,000 €800,000 €600,000 €600,000 €400,000 €400,000 €130,000 €130,000 €200,000 €200,000 €0 €0 €0 €0 0 years - 2 years 2 years to 5 5 years to 10 10 years + 0 years - 2 years 2 years to 5 5 years to 10 10 years + years years years years Floor Area Floor Area Unit Trading As Demise Lease Term Start End Sq m Sq ft Ground 5,378.5 57,894 1 B&Q 20 yrs & 1 day 25/07/2005 25/07/2025 Mezzanine 167.7 1,805 Ground 833.0 8,966 2 EZ Living 10 yrs 17/06/2013 16/06/2023 Mezzanine 549.6 5,916 Ground 669.2 7,203 3 Halfords 20 yrs & 1 day 28/10/2005 28/10/2025 Mezzanine 438.4 4,719 Ground 680.1 7,321 4 Maxi Zoo 25 yrs & 1 day 24/03/2008 24/03/2033 Mezzanine 23.9 257 Ground 4,256.4 45,815 5,6,7 Harvey Norman 25 yrs & 1 day 09/01/2006 09/01/2031 Mezzanine 78.5 845 Ground 1,891.5 20,360 8,9 Home Store + More 25 yrs & 1 day 07/08/2007 07/07/2032 Mezzanine 694.3 7,473 10 Home Savers Ground 946.7 10,190 20 yrs 17/05/2018 16/05/2038 Total 16,607.8 178,764 The above areas which are calculated on a Gross Internal Area basis were provided by Murphy Surveys. An assignable measurement survey and detailed tenancy schedule is provided in the dataroom. C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
Site Plan BALLYSIMON RD SERVICE RD DEVELOPMENT LAND UNIT 1A GARDEN CENTRE NEW LINEAR PARK UNIT 10A PJ THWAITES FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES SERVICE RD For illustration purposes only OLD TIPPERARY RD (N24) Future Development Unit 1A- Planning granted under ref (13/631) for an additional unit extending to approximately 1,427 sq m (15,360 sq ft). Unit 10A- Planning granted under ref (17/733) for a coffee pod extending to approximately 244 sq m (2,626 sq ft). Rent Review Break Contracted Rent Rent Receivable Comment Abated rent from €1,208,592 per annum to minimum rent of €590,000 per annum plus 5% of Gross T/O in excess of annual Rental Threshold of €11.8m from 1st April 25/07/2020 €590,000 €590,000 2013 to 24th July 2020. The next rent review on 25th July 2020 will be the higher of €590,000 per annum or the open market yearly rent. 17/06/2018 16/06/2020 €130,000 €130,000 28/10/2020 €183,090 €183,090 24/03/2018 €186,354 €186,354 10/01/2021 09/01/2026 €638,520 €638,520 Break Option clause subject to 12 months notice and 12 months penalty. 07/08/2017 €473,525 €473,525 Rent Deposit Deed- €93,421.58 to act as security and for the future performance of the Tenant. 1/3 will be refunded to the Tenant 21 days after the last day of the second 17/05/2023 €101,270 €101,270 year of the term, 1/3 after the last day of the third year of the term and 1/3 after the last day of the fourth year of the term. €2,302,759 €2,302,759 P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
Why Invest in Irish Retail Economy going from Strength to Strength Ireland was the EU’s fastest growing economy in 2018, with output rising by 8.2%. Total employment rose by 2.3% in 2018 and a further 3.7% year-on-year in Q1 2019, with an increase of over 80,000 people at work. Unemployment is currently at 4.6%, close to what is believed to be full employment. Greater numbers at work, coupled with increased earnings and consecutive tax cuts, have led to strong growth of over 5% in real aggregate household disposable incomes in the last twelve months and continued deleveraging which has contributed to a 4.6% rise in households’ net worth. Figure 1: Household Net Worth By Component Figure 2: A nnual Retail Sales & Price Growth by Sector (3-mth Mov. Avg. June 2019) 1,000 24 Electrical 20 750 16 500 € bn 12 250 Furniture Pharmacy 8 0 Price Hardware Growth, % Newsagents Specialist Foods 4 -250 Grocery Clothing 2003 Q2 2003 Q4 2004 Q2 2004 Q4 2005 Q2 2005 Q4 2006 Q2 2006 Q4 2007 Q2 2007 Q4 2008 Q2 2008 Q4 2009 Q2 2009 Q4 2010 Q2 2010 Q4 2011 Q2 2011 Q4 2012 Q4 2012 Q4 2013 Q2 2013 Q4 2014 Q2 2014 Q4 2015 Q2 2015 Q4 2016 Q2 2016 Q4 2017 Q2 2017 Q4 2018 Q2 2018 Q4 Dept. Stores 0 -12 -8 -4 0 4 8 12 Financial Assets Liabilities Housing Assets Net Worth -4 Motors Source: Central Bank of Ireland Bars -8 Source: CSO, Savills Research Sales Volume, % Retail Economy The Q1 national accounts show a 2.9% increase in personal 23.2% Y/Y in Q1 2019 – as well as improved disposable consumption expenditure – still positive but something of a incomes and rising house prices – the latter of which has slowdown compared with the growth rates seen in late 2017 likely encouraged people to invest more in their homes. and the first half of 2018. Only newsagents, bars and car dealerships sit to the right of The narrower monthly retail sales measure is also showing the vertical axis in Figure 2, indicating rising average prices. growth, but has slowed significantly in the last few months. In all other sectors prices are falling. Indeed, deflation has As of June the index was rising by just 0.1% Y/Y, compared been a consistent theme in Irish retail for a few years now. with 6.4% a year ago. One reason is an ongoing compositional shift in the Irish retail landscape towards mid-market and value brands. It also All but the bars and motors sectors captured in the monthly reflects lower input costs for retailers due to a weaker Pound data are enjoying annual sales growth in volume terms (dots since the Brexit referendum, with a share of these savings above the horizontal axis in Figure 2). Some of the strongest being passed on to consumers. However, the continuing growth is being recorded in electrical (+22.7% 3mma) and disparity between volume and value sales also suggests that furniture stores (+10.0% 3mma). These store types are e-commerce is improving price transparency, forcing face-to- commonly associated with housing and their performance face stores to be more competitive. would appear to reflect the ramping-up of new housing supply – new dwellings completions rose by 25.2% in 2018 by C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
Consumer Economy Dashboard Indicator Period % Change Y/Y Live Register July 2019 -12.0 Overseas Trips to Ireland Q1 2019 +5.5 Real VAT Receipts June 2019 +3.7 Real Household Disposable Income (4QMA) Q1 2019 +5.2 Household Net Worth Q4 2018 +4.6 Total Retail Sales May 2019 +1.0 Total Employment Q1 2019 +3.7 Real Personal Consumption Expenditure Q1 2019 +2.9 Real Average Gross Earnings Q1 2019 +2.3 Consumer Credit Outstanding Balances May 2019 +4.7 Consumer Sentiment (3mma) June 2019 -14.2 Sources: CSO, CBI, KBC Bank Ireland/ESRI, Dept. of Finance. Retail Property Over the 12m to end-June, retail rents rose by 1.5% across the basket of investment grade shops covered by MSCI. This reflects a slowdown compared with 3% Y/Y a 12m ago. As ever with retail there is significant variation by location and store type. Given buoyant consumer demand for electrical goods and homewares, arising from increased household wealth and housing output, the retail warehousing sector has been the best performer. Here rents are rising by 6.5% per annum and capital values have edged up by 1.8%. Figure 3: Overall Rents Forecast Q2 2018 - Q1 2021 300 250 Index: Q1 1996 = 100 200 150 100 50 1996 Q1 1996 Q3 1997 Q1 1997 Q3 1998 Q1 1998 Q3 1999 Q1 1999 Q3 2000 Q1 2000 Q3 2001 Q1 2001 Q3 2002 Q1 2002 Q3 2003 Q1 2003 Q3 2004 Q1 2004 Q3 2005 Q1 2005 Q3 2006 Q1 2006 Q3 2007 Q1 2007 Q3 2008 Q1 2008 Q3 2009 Q1 2009 Q3 2010 Q1 2010 Q3 2011 Q1 2011 Q3 2012 Q1 2012 Q3 2013 Q1 2013 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Q3 2015 Q1 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2016 Q3 2017 Q1 2017 Q3 2018 Q1 2018 Q3(f) 2019 Q1(f) 2019 Q3(f) 2020 Q1(f) 2020 Q3(f) 2021 Q1(f) Outlook Central Forecast 95% Lower 95% Higher The economic backdrop remains favourable for retail property. Ireland’s benign cycle of jobs creation, which has been in place for more than five years now, is expected to continue with consensus forecasts pointing to robust growth of 2.2% and 1.9% in 2019 and 2020 respectively. Additionally, as the labour market approaches full-employment, wage inflation is likely to strengthen, which should provide consumers with additional firing power at the tills. In conjunction with the ESRI Savills Research has developed an econometric model of retail rents in Ireland. In summary, with limited additional rental property being constructed rents are now rising with 1.51% Y/Y rental growth Q2 2019. The model forecasts further rental growth of 3.44% between Q3 2019 to Q1 2021. P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
Viewings VAT All viewings are strictly by appointment We understand transfer of business relief through the sole selling agent. should apply to the sale. Pricing Title Guide Price excess €24,250,000 We understand that the property (subject to contract), which represents a is held Freehold. net income yield of 8.75% after standard purchaser’s costs of 8.46%. Data Site BER Rating www.cityeastretailpark.com Contact Selling Agents Solicitor Savills Beauchmaps 33 Molesworth St Riverside Two Dublin 2 Sir John Rogerson’s Quay PSRA 002233 Dublin 2 Brendan Delaney Maitiú Ó Dónaill +353 (0) 1 618 1715 +353 (0) 1 418 0657 brendan.delaney@savills.ie m.o’donaill@beauchamps.ie John Earley +353 (0) 1 618 1766 john.earley@savills.ie Peter O’Meara +353 (0) 21 490 6114 peter.omeara@savills.ie DISCLAIMER: These particulars are issued by Savills Ireland on the understanding that any negotiations relating to the property are conducted through them. While every care has been taken in preparing them, by Savills Ireland for themselves and for the vendor/lessor whose agents they are, give notice that: - (i) The particulars are set out as a general outline for guiding potential purchasers/tenants and do not constitute any part of an offer or contract. (ii) Any representation including descriptions, dimensions, references to condition, permissions or licenses for uses or occupation, access and any other details are given in good faith and are believed to be correct, but any intending purchaser or tenant should not rely on them as statements or representations of fact but must satisfy themselves (at their own expense) as to their correctness. (iii) Neither by Savills Ireland, nor any of their employees have any authority to make any or give any representation or warranty in relation to the property. August 2019. Designed and produced by Creativeworld. 01282 858200
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