Investor Presentation - May 2019 - Hilton - Investor Relations
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HLT VALUE PROPOSITION Hilton's scale, global presence and leading brands at multiple price points drive a network effect delivering industry-leading performance Leading Brands serving • Award-winning brands that serve guests for virtually any virtually any lodging need they have anywhere HLT Financial lodging need in the world Performance anywhere • Leads to satisfied customers, including approximately 90 million Hilton Honors loyalty members • Creates a network effect that drives a strong Satisfied, global RevPAR premium of 15%(a) Leading Loyal Hotel Customers • These premiums drive strong financial returns Supply & for the company and our hotel owners Pipeline • Satisfied owners continue to invest in growing Hilton’s brands, driving leading organic net unit growth with de minimis use of capital Premium, • We believe the reinforcing nature of these Growing Satisfied activities will allow Hilton to outperform the Owners Market Share competition (a) Source: STR (three months ended March 31, 2019). “RevPAR” or “Revenue per Available Room” represents hotel room revenue divided by room nights available to guests for a given period. 1 © 2019 Hilton Proprietary
Investment Thesis 1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS 2. A RESILIENT, FEE-BASED BUSINESS 3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT 4. SUPPORTED BY FAVORABLE FUNDAMENTALS AND A DISCIPLINED STRATEGY 5. GENERATING SIGNIFICANT FREE CASH FLOW FOR SHAREHOLDERS 2 © 2019 Hilton Proprietary
1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS Industry-leading, clearly defined, global brands that drive a 15% global RevPAR premium(a) Luxury & Lifestyle Full Service All Suites Focused Service Timeshare Strong commercial engines support $40 billion in annual system revenue(b) Loyalty Worldwide Online & Reservations & Revenue Information Supply Program Sales Mobile Customer Care Management Technology Management ~90M members, ~$13B in annual +45M ~250M unique Pricing and yield Proprietary ~$6B of annual ~60% system revenue interactions/year site visits/year systems platform spend influenced occupancy With ~5,700 properties & ~923,000 rooms in 113 countries and territories, Hilton is one of the world’s largest hotel companies (a) Source: STR (three months ended March 31, 2019). “RevPAR” or “Revenue per Available Room” represents hotel room revenue divided by room nights available to guests for a given period. (b) System revenue includes estimated revenues of franchised properties in addition to revenues from properties owned, leased or managed by Hilton. © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 3
1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS We are the most innovative hotel company, leading in delivering personalized experiences for guests in every interaction they have with Hilton Our Hilton Honors app is one example of how we offer end-to-end experiences for guests: • Our Digital Key and welcome experience empowers guests to pick their room before arrival and bypass the front desk • At nearly 1,400 of our hotels, Hilton Explore allows guests to explore neighborhoods surrounding their hotel like locals • Connected Room enables guests to control lighting, HVAC and entertainment options. Connected Room will begin to scale through the portfolio in 2019 • We partner with SHOWTIME and Netflix to allow guests to stream their favorite content • Digital Check-Out gives guests the convenience of checking out of their room in the app 3500+ Connected Rooms 4300+ 44 million ~90 million 90 percent Digital Key hotels Doors opened with Digital Key Hilton Honors Members Guests say Explore suggestions are useful © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 4
1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS Hilton Honors loyalty program enables a better, more personalized hotel stay, driving incremental value to the system HILTON HONORS IS OFFERING MORE VALUE TO MORE MEMBERS Members 90M Share of system 36M Occupancy(b) 2012 2019(a) ~60% +16% CAGR +170 BPS YOY INNOVATIVE NEW FEATURES & PARTNERSHIPS POINTS & MONEY 2.0 SHOP WITH POINTS POINTS POOLING Can choose any combination The first hotel loyalty Can pool Points into a single of Points and money to pay program to enable members account (for free), generating for a stay, using an interactive to use their Points on incremental reward stays and “Slider.” Amazon.com. increasing engagement. (a) As of March 31, 2019. (b) For the three months ended March 31, 2019. © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 5
2. A RESILIENT, FEE-BASED BUSINESS Top-Line Driven Majority Franchise Fees Capital Efficient Growth 90% 70% ~7% Adj. EBITDA of total fees from fees, 90% franchise NUG(b) revenue driven(a) driven(a) +/- 1% of RevPAR growth Increasing franchise fees as contracts roll over at higher published rates $200M Total HLT is roughly investment in pipeline, with over 4.9% in-place +/- 1% of Adjusted EBITDA rate vs. 5.6% ~$140M annual Adj. EBITDA 50% under construction and growth published rate(c) average contract term of 19 years Meaningful Fee Growth Diversified Across Geographies and Chain Scales MANAGEMENT & FRANCHISE FEES(d) ADJ. EBITDA BY GEOGRAPHY(a) ROOMS BY CHAIN SCALE(f) Americas Middle East $2,167M Non-U.S. & Africa 3% Luxury Other 3% 1% Asia 3% Pacific 10% $814M Upper Upper Upscale Europe Midscale 32% 11% 31% U.S. 73% 2009(e) 2019(a) +11% CAGR No single U.S. market Upscale accounts for more than 3% of 33% Adj. EBITDA (a) Based on last twelve months (“LTM”) 3/31/2019 calculated as the three months ended 3/31/2019 plus the year ended 12/31/2018 less the three months ended 3/31/2018. For Adjusted EBITDA, excludes corporate and other. (b) Net Unit Growth (“NUG”) based on LTM 3/31/2019. (c) As of or for the three months ended 3/31/2019. Effective franchise rate is up 89 bps since FY 2007 and is calculated as the total franchise fee revenue divided by total franchise room revenue. Published franchise rate is calculated as the weighted average of current published brand franchise fee rates. (d) Excludes amortization of contract acquisition costs recorded as contra-revenue. 6 (e) Does not include the effect of the revenue recognition standard adopted on January 1, 2018. © 2019 Hilton Proprietary (f) Room count as of 3/31/2019. Other includes HGV.
3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT BEST PERFORMING BRANDS Existing brands in current markets Existing brands in new markets Organically developed new brands ~55% of pipeline ~20% of pipeline ~30% of pipeline Resulting in: Record pipelines across all brand segments with minimal HLT capital investment Pipeline rooms Under Construction % Pipeline Outside U.S. 3rd Party Investment HLT Investment(b) 371K 193K 54% $50B $200M Stabilized Adj. EBITDA Illustrative Value Creation(a) $740M $10,000M (a) Based on 13.5x Illustrative Adjusted EBITDA. Figure is illustrative only and does not reflect the actual valuation or the view of Hilton with respect to proper valuation. The market may attribute a different valuation. (b) Reflects committed investment. 7 © 2019 Hilton Proprietary
3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT Development focused on balanced global growth - brand portfolio drives high quality, high return, industry-leading organic growth enabled by demand patterns around the world LEADING SHARE OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENT MARKET SHARE IS DEVELOPMENT IN EVERY REGION(a) ~4X LARGER THAN CURRENT SHARE GLOBAL SHARE OF ROOMS UNDER CONSTRUCTION/EXISTING SHARE(a) Existing Room Rooms Under 3.6x Supply Construction % of Total % of Total 2.8x United States 13% 23% 1.7x Americas ex. U.S. 3% 16% Europe 2% 9% Middle East, Africa 3% 14% Asia Pacific 2% 22% Global System 5% 18% (a) Source: STR Global Census, April 2019 (adjusted to March 2019) and STR Global New Development Pipeline, April 2019. © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 8
3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT Industry-leading growth with great sight lines into future development GLOBAL SYSTEM ROOM GROWTH HLT NET UNIT GROWTH (000s of rooms) 2007-TODAY(a) International U.S. 57 57 86% 52 45 43 90% (b) 56% 54% 36 (c) 66% 66% 57% 69% 25 24 53% 50% (d) 19 18 43% 57% 49% 60% 51% 44% 46% 47% 43% 34% 46% (e) 57% 31% 40% 49% 43% (f) 28% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 23% 46% 38% 35% 26% 29% 22% 20% 25% 20% % Conversions(g) (a) Note: “2007” metrics are as of 6/30/07, except for H which is as of 12/31/07; “Today” metrics are as of most recent reporting: 3/31/2019 for HLT and peers. This page contains additional trademarks, service marks and trade (b) Room count includes Q4 acquisition of Two Roads Hospitality, adding approximately 12,000 rooms. Excluding acquisition growth would be 81%. names of others, which are the property of their respective (c) Reflects MAR acquisition of HOT in both periods.. Data as of 12/31/2018. owners. (d) Excl. timeshare properties due to lack of 2007 data availability for WYN. All trademarks, service marks and trade names appearing in this (e) Accor data reflects sale of Motel 6 and Studio 6 brands and the acquisition of Fairmont Raffles Hotels International Group. presentation are, to our knowledge, the property of their (f) Data as of 12/31/2018. respective owners. 9 (g) As a % of gross room openings. © 2019 Hilton Proprietary Source: Company filings.
4. SUPPORTED BY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS… GROWING CUSTOMER BASE THAT HOTEL UNDER-PENETRATION IN CAN & WANT TO TRAVEL HIGH GROWTH MARKETS 16.0 2x (hotel rooms per 1,000 people) GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS Last 20 years, double again next 20 years UNITED STATES 1.3 1.8 0.2 GLOBAL TOURIST +1BN ARRIVALS Incremental CHINA BRAZIL annual trips INDIA expected over next 20 years Source: STR, UNWTO, World Bank, OECD © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 10
… AND A DISCIPLINED STRATEGY ALIGN CULTURE & • Performance-driven, purpose-led culture based on common vision, ORGANIZATION mission, values and key strategic priorities • Maximize relevance of existing brands, strategically add new brands • Build on leading commercial capabilities to maximize revenues WIN ON CUSTOMER • Lead in digital and personalization capabilities EXPERIENCE • Drive deeper loyalty and more direct relationships with guests through Hilton Honors • Deliver industry-leading, high-quality organic net unit growth EXPAND GLOBAL • Fill gaps with the right brand in the right location at the right time FOOTPRINT • Expand luxury portfolio; execute international growth strategy • Grow market share MAXIMIZE • Grow free cash flow per share, preserve strong balance sheet and PERFORMANCE accelerate return of capital © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 11
5. GENERATING SIGNIFICANT FREE CASH FLOW AND CAPITAL RETURN POTENTIAL 2019 OUTLOOK(a) SAME STORE NET UNIT FEE RATE GROWTH Effective Franchise +1% and +3% + 6.5% (Y/Y % chg.) Rate = 4.9% Annual Adj. EBITDA 1 Pt. = ~$25M 10K rooms = ~$20M 10 bps = ~$20M steady-state Sensitivity(b) General and $430M and $450M Administrative Expense $2,265M to $2,305M Adj. EBITDA +9% Y/Y at midpoint Available for $1.3B and $1.8B shareholder returns $1.1B to $1.6B Share repurchases (a) Outlook as of 5/1/2019. (b) Sensitivity within the ranges given. 12 © 2019 Hilton Proprietary
Appendix Hilton Haikou
FLEXIBLE CAPITAL STRUCTURE WITH SIGNIFICANT LIQUIDITY CAPITAL STRUCTURE DEBT BREAKDOWN / SCHEDULED AMORTIZATION OVERVIEW AND MATURITIES(a) Net debt % fixed ($ in millions) Weighted average term: 5.7 years $7.0B 78% $4,000 $3,119 $3,000 Net leverage(b) % unsecured 3.2x 56% $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 % freely $1,000 $900 WACD prepayable $600 4.5% 44% $0 $0 $0 $50 2019 2020 2021 $0 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 (a) Excludes finance lease liabilities and other debt of our consolidated variable interest entities. (b) Ratio of net debt as of 3/31/2019 to LTM ended 3/31/2019 Adjusted EBITDA. © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 14
RECONCILIATIONS ($ in millions) Q1 2019 LTM FY 2018 Net income $ 765 $ 769 Interest expense 386 371 Income tax expense 310 309 Depreciation and amortization 327 325 EBITDA 1,788 1,774 Loss on foreign currency transactions 22 11 FF&E replacement reserves (a) 52 50 Share-based compensation expense 133 127 Amortization of contract acquisition costs 27 27 Net other expenses from managed and franchised properties 98 85 Other adjustment items (b) 35 27 Adjusted EBITDA $ 2,155 $ 2,101 As of As of December March 31, 2019 31, 2018 Long-term debt, including current maturities $ 7,365 $ 7,282 Add: unamortized deferred financing costs and discount 76 79 Long-term debt, including current maturities and excluding unamortized deferred financing costs and discount 7,441 7,361 Add: Hilton's share of unconsolidated affiliate debt, excluding unamortized deferred financing costs 13 15 Less: cash and cash equivalents (382) (403) Less: restricted cash and cash equivalents (79) (81) Net debt $ 6,993 $ 6,892 Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA ratio 3.2 3.3 (a) Represents furniture, fixture & equipment (“FF&E”) replacement reserves established for the benefit of lessors for requisition of capital assets under certain lease agreements. (b) Includes adjustments for severance and other items. © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 15
DISCLAIMER This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to our expectations regarding the performance of our business, our financial results, our liquidity and capital resources and other non-historical statements. You can identify these forward- looking statements by the use of words such as “outlook,” “believes,” “expects,” “potential,” “continues,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “seeks,” “projects,” “predicts,” “intends,” “plans,” “estimates,” “anticipates” or the negative version of these words or other comparable words. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including, among others, risks inherent to the hospitality industry, macroeconomic factors beyond our control, competition for hotel guests and management and franchise contracts, risks related to doing business with third-party hotel owners, performance of our information technology systems, growth of reservation channels outside of our system, risks of doing business outside of the United States and our indebtedness, as well as those described under the section entitled “Risk Factors” in Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018, as such factors may be updated from time to time in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), which are accessible on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are included in this presentation and in our filings with the SEC. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law. This presentation includes certain financial measures, including adjusted earnings before interest expense, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“Adj. EBITDA”), Net Debt, and Net Debt to Adj. EBITDA ratio, that are not calculated in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). These non-GAAP financial measures should be considered only as supplemental to, and not as a substitute for or superior to, financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Please refer to the Appendix and footnotes of this presentation for a reconciliation of the historical non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation to the most directly comparable financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Slides in this presentation include certain Adj. EBITDA amounts that are used only for illustrative purposes to present illustrative Adj. EBITDA amounts by applying assumptions to existing rooms pipeline, increases of in-place rates and increases in RevPAR, as applicable, in each case based on information for the LTM ended March 31, 2019. These amounts do not represent projections of future results and may not be realized. Value information on such slides that is derived from such illustrative Adj. EBITDA amounts is indicative only, based upon a number of assumptions, and does not reflect actual valuation. Please review carefully the detailed footnotes in this presentation. © 2019 Hilton Proprietary 16
© 2019 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
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