IR PRESENTATION FS Q1 2021 - CREATING INNOVATION AND SUSTAINABILITY FROM FARM TO SHELF - SET
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DISCLAIMERS “ DISCLAIMERS : THIS REPORT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY THAI WAH PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (TWPC) PRELIMINARILY AS A PROPOSAL FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY ” This information is given in a summary form and does not purport to be complete. Information in this presentation, including forecast financial information, should not be considered advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors about holding, purchasing, or selling securities or other financial products or instruments. It does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information regarding these matters, any relevant offer document, and in particular, you should seek independent financial advice. All securities and financial product or instrument transactions involve risks, which include (among others) the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments, and, in international transactions, currency risk. This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including statements regarding our intent, belief, or current expectations concerning TWPC's businesses and operations, market conditions, operation, financial condition results, capital adequacy, specific provisions, and risk management practices. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. TWPC does not undertake any obligation to publicly release the result of any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. While due care has been used to prepare forecast information, actual results may vary in a materially positive or negative manner. Forecasts and hypothetical examples are subject to uncertainty and contingencies outside TWPC's control. Past performance is not reliable for future performance. This presentation is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed, passed on, directly or indirectly to any other person, or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. No part of this presentation may be reproduced or taken, or transmitted. This presentation's distribution in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about and such restrictions. By accepting this presentation, you agree to be bound by the preceding restrictions. Private for Investor Forum 1
01 BUSINESS HIGHLIGHT STARCH & FOOD BUSINESS 02 Agenda 03 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 04 GOING FORWARD & OPPORTUNITIES 05 APPENDIX 2
STRONG MOMENTUM IN 2021 “Strong Momentum in early 2021” Since COVID-19 in April 2020, TWPC share price has appreciated 90% over the last 12 months period and one of the best performing stocks in the SET In 2020 and early 2021 we continue to drive strong sales and control admin expenses, even as COVID-19 continues in 2021, the Company’s cash flow and operations remain healthy 2021 will be a strong year of profitability and expansion, with significant growth in China, Vietnam, Indonesia and new Bioplastics Business in Q4 Leading all-plant-based Company with 15 operation bases in Asia Pacific Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum 5
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS IN 1Q21 Gross Profit Native Strong Volume Food Business Thai Wah Margin Sale Growth growth +109% Sale Growth Vietnam increased to +46% YoY and in China +15% YoY, Delivered Sale 23%, with HVA Sale business mainly from Growth +66% continued cost Growth +45%, reflected Wholesale YoY, coverage containment mainly from higher demand channel and over 5,000 measure strong demand accumulated Export Growth outlets and ASP +5% from Q4’20 +62% YoY Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum 6
THAI WAH BUSINESS OVERVIEW STARCH & FOOD SPECIALTY STARCH RELATED Bio-based & Bio-degradable Solutions Production Base : 6 factories in TH, 2 factories Production Base : 1 factory in TH and 1 factory in VN and 1 factory in CBD in VN Capacity : 510K tons, Native 60K tons MDF and Capacity : 23K tons Vermicelli and 4K tons Rice 50K tons Glucose Noodles Customer Base* : ~81% Export and ~19% Customer Base : ~81% Domestic and ~19% Domestic (TH only) Export Private for Investor Forum 7
TO BE A REGIONAL LEADER ACROSS ASEAN AND ASIA Average Selling Price Our Leading Position in the Global Market USD/Ton Anticipated price upward 473 475 473 China and Taiwan 480 trend in 2021 468468 460 463463 458 Leading Supplier of Native Tapioca Starch & Pearl 460 453453 448448 453453453453453 450 443443445 437 Vietnam 440 429 431 433 425 423 Leading Supplier of Glucose Syrup 420 Indonesia 400 Feb/19 Sep/19 Feb/20 Sep/20 Feb/21 Jul/19 Dec/19 Jul/20 Dec/20 Apr/19 Aug/19 Oct/19 Nov/19 Apr/20 Oct/20 Nov/20 Jan/19 Jun/20 Aug/20 Apr/21 Mar/19 Jun/19 May/19 Jan/20 Mar/20 May/20 Jan/21 Mar/21 Leading Supplier of Modified Starch Current Root and Starch Market Situation • Current root price is in range of 2.25-2.55 Baht.kg, root price trend to lower toward the end of this period in line with the lower root starch content. • Export price is in range of 470-485 USD/ton, opportunities from higher demand from China to produce alcohol and corn starch price in China have continued rising since last year. • Supply of tapioca root has reduced during this period because close to low season and there is heavy rain throughout some plantation area. • CMV situation decreased to ~200K rai Source : MOC, TTTA, TTSA, The Company Private for Investor Forum 9
GROWTH IN EXPORT OF THAI TAPIOCA INDUSTRY Native Starch* Modified Starch Unit : M. Tons Unit : M. Tons 2 3.28 3.13 2 4 3.01 2.92 2.94 2.84 2.78 2 2.45 3 1 2.24 1.01 1.03 1.04 1.03 0.95 0.95 3 1 +56% 1 0.85 0.90 0.91 +25% 2 1 2 1.07 1 0.69 1 0.27 0.34 0 1 0 0 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Q21 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Q21 *Including HS Code 11081400000 and 11062010000 (CF) Pearl Chip Unit : ‘000 Tons Unit : M. Tons 100 9 90 8 6.78 7.26 6.41 6.45 80 7 5.76 4.61 70 6 60 45.6 5 3.99 50 35.4 36.3 40.8 3.16 +95% 31.8 2.48 4 40 27 28.1 29.7 -8% 30 23.5 3 1.73 20 11.9 11.0 2 0.89 1 10 0 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Q21 1Q21 Source : Thai Tapioca Starch Association, Thai Customs Private for Investor Forum 10
TAPIOCA MARKET OUTLOOK - THAILAND Total Native Starch Export by Country Total Native Starch Export by Country – Year Q1’21 30.23 30.02 32.36 30.56 30.94 28.32 16 26.60 27.88 35. 00 25.30 22.01 21.91 30. 00 14 12 25. 00 Philippines 8.66 8.70 8.92 8.91 8.70 9.00 , 3% 8.14 20. 00 10 7.91 8.03 Malaysia 7.30 7.10 15. 00 China, 8 10. 00 , 3% 76% 6 5.0 0 Other, 4 0.0 0 8% 2 -5.00 Taiwan, 7% 0 Japan, 2% -10.00 USA, 1% Plant Area (M. Rai) Total Native Starch Export from Thailand to China Total Native Starch Export from Thailand to Taiwan Unit : ‘000 Tons Unit : ‘000 Tons 1,759 1,611 2000 1800 1,560 1,539 1,523 600 1600 1,322 500 1400 400 270 286 308 813 1200 1000 300 252 258 232 800 600 370 200 400 60 71 100 200 0 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Q21 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Q21 Source : The Company, The Thai Tapioca Trade Association, and DITP Note : Data was by Volume , HS Code of Native is 11081400000 and 11062010000 (CF) Private for Investor Forum 11
Food Business
OFFERING A BROADER RANGE OF CHOICE AND CONVENIENCE Revenue from Sales Non - Unit : MB High Chemical Product & 1,453 1,565 Product Preservativ Food Safety 1,600 1,379 1,430 1,400 Quality es & Certificate 1,200 Gluten-Free 1,000 800 437 600 400 380 200 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Q21 Sales Breakdown by Channel – Thailand Other 8% Export 19% 1Q21 Wholesale Van Sale 50% 12% Modern Trade 12% Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum 13
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OUR NATIONAL COVERAGE Phitsanulok Chiang Mai Udon Thani 26% Roi Et growth YoY for 1Q21 Korat ✓ 12% Contribution Bangla n ✓ Nationwide Distribution Chonb uri covering 74 provinces, over Bangk ok 4,000 outlets ✓ Strong growth in main cities. Surat Thani ✓ Key channel to distribute a full range of products, including new products Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum launched to the market. 14
WE HAVE SHIFTED OUR STRATEGIES TO BE MORE DIRECT - TO CONSUMER Modern Trade and Online Channels Find us at leading stores ▪ Gain more share of shelf and increase number of outlets ▪ Cover products range from mass to premium tiers ▪ Coverage ~18,000 MT outlets nationwide Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum 15
EW ✓ Consumers are turning to take care of the issue of health more. ✓ Choose ingredients that are beneficial for Healthy rather than just looking at the price ORMAL ✓ Purchase of ingredients to cook for yourself Instead of eating out
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH AND GLOBAL MOMENTUM TWPC has expanded its businesses beyond Thailand and now our products are available over 30 countries around the world. 62% growth in 1Q21 Targeting double-digit growth, with contributions > 20% Expand more “Volume” especially in EU, and North Asia / Grow Brand penetration in CLMV Private for Investor Forum 17
DEVELOPING STRONG MARKET LEADERSHIP IN VIETNAM Son La 66% growth YoY Nghe An for 1Q21 Ha Tinh Hue Quang Nam Gia Lai Phu Yen Khanh Binh Lam Hoa Phuoc Binh Dong Dong Duong Long An Thap Dong Nai Binh Thuan An Giang Tien Giang Can Tho Ba Ria – Ben Vung Tau Kien Tre Giang Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum 18
Financial Performance
PERFORMANCE IN Q1’21 VS Q1’20 Consolidated Sales • Native Sales increased 46% YoY mainly from strong demand from Unit : MB a shortage which is main market, aligned with the industry, while 2,200 57 2,138 2,100 227 ASP increased 5% YoY. 2,000 1,900 304 • HVA Sales increased 45% from a recovery sign in key countries. 1,800 1,700 • Food delivered 15% growth mainly from strong momentum of 1,600 1,550 1,500 export and wholesale channel, driven from the government’s 1,400 1,300 financial support scheme of “Kon-la-Krung”, “Thai-chana”, and 1,200 Sale Q1'20 Native HVA Food Sale Q1'21 “Rao-Rak-Kan” . Sales Breakdown Q1’20 Q1’21 Change by Business MB % MB % MB % Native 665 43% 969 45% 304 46% HVA 505 33% 732 34% 227 45% Food 380 24% 437 21% 57 15% Total Sales 1,550 100% 2,138 100% 588 38% Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum 20
EBITDA FOR Q1’21 HAS GROWN 35% Revenue from Sales EBITDA 7,248 7,323 7,090 557 571 8,000 600 526 500 6,000 400 317 4,000 300 234 2,138 1,550 200 2,000 100 0 0 2018 2019 2020 1Q20 1Q21 2018 2019 2020 1Q20 1Q21 Gross Profit Net Profit (After MI) 18.9% 21.6% 22.7% 5.3% 6.0% 16.4% 15.7% 30. 0% 800 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 10.0% 2,0 00 20. 0% 700 10. 0% 0.0% 600 1,5 00 1,185 1,190 1,114 0.0 % 500 One-time -10.0% 1,0 00 -10.0% 400 profit 43 MB -20.0% 484 -20.0% 300 197 335 82 128 -30.0% 68 -30.0% 200 500 -40.0% 100 38 -40.0% 0 -50.0% 0 -50.0% 2018 2019 2020 1Q20 1Q21 2018 2019 2020 1Q20 1Q21 GP Margin NP Margin Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum 21
SALES BREAKDOWN 1Q21 Sales Breakdown by Business Food, • Native sale volume increased 41% YoY, mainly from China 21% market, while ASP increase 5%. Native, 2,138 MB • HVA sale volume increased 32% majorly from CF, MS and 45% Glucose, while ASP increase 7%. HVA*, • Convert to sell more in CNY currency (21% in Q4’20 to 23% in 34% Q1’21) to mitigate USD Foreign exchange rate fluctuation. *HVA products – Glucose, Coarse flour, Pearl, Alpha starch and NPD products Sales Breakdown by Country (Operation base) Sales Breakdown by Currency China CNY 23% 23% THB 31% 2,138 MB Vietnam Thailand 2,138 MB 17% 60% VND 17% USD Note Trading office in China started operation in Q3’16 & Indo started operation in Q1’20 Source : The Company 29% Private for Investor Forum 22
STRONG FINANCIAL AND WORKING CAPITAL 1Q21 Strong Cash with Low D/E Ratio Balance Sheet Composition Unit : MB Unit : MB Financial Debt, 1,816 100% CL 1,298 2,500 Cash & Financial 80% CA, Non-CL, investment, 1,352 2,000 3,969 1,903 60% 1,500 40% Non-CA Equity, 1,000 20% 4,626 5,394 500 0% - - Interest bearing ) = 0.34 D/E (Debt BV = 6.13 BAHT/share Operating Cash flow Dividend Payout Unit : MB Unit : MB 311% 143% 174% 300% 500 57% 800 655 671 39% 571 400 100% 466 High Inventory 264 282 282 due to high 300 -100% 400 season of roots 200 118 118 -300% 100 -500% 0 1Q21 0 -700% 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Q21 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 -400 -317 Dividend payout ratio Source : The Company 2017 / 2018 – 0.32 BAHT/share, Private for Investor Forum 2019 – 0.134 BAHT/share, 2020 – 0.134 BAHT/share, XD on 11 May and pay on 21 May 21 23
Going Forward ROSECOTM Series
CAPEX 2021E CAPEX 2021E PIPELINE PROJECT IN 3-YEARS ▪ HVA Products (Pearl / Coarse Flour / CAPACITY 20 % EXPANSION High-Grade Starch) 15% ▪ Food Expansion in Thailand and Vietnam 20 % 300-350 MB 15% ▪ Thai Wah Starch in Cambodia (Phase II) GREENFIELD 60 % ▪ Energy Saving Projects PROJECT ▪ New Business Line - Bioplastic ▪ Starch & Starch-Related Food Products M&A Annual Maintainance focus on Thailand & CLMV Efficiency Improvement / Energy Saving Project Capacity Expansion Capital Expenditures are flexible to phase and adjust as appropriated Source : The Company Private for Investor Forum 25
Y2021 OUTLOOK Growth Target • Sustainable high-single-digit Growth • Consistently improve operating margins through operational excellence and improving our portfolio • Keep a strong Balance sheet and positive cash flow. Selectively invest in key ROI projects and M&A opportunities Starch BU Food BU Specialties BU • Market expansion to key countries. • Grow Export market and increase • Commence Bioplastic Line and • HVA capacity expansion to shift coverage expansion for the domestic develop Plant-based resources. portfolio toward premium products. market. • Reduce environmental impact along • Delivered Operational excellence • Grow market share in Vietnam with creating value to argi-food • Green factory through leading products across all sectors through Bioplastics solution. key channels. • Deliver innovation towards health, • Focus on launching new products to nutrition, and sustainability. capture healthy & convenience trends Key Challenges • FX volatility • Global economic uncertainty • High Vessel freight and container shortage • CMV and Drought • Covid impact resulted in global economics recession Private for Investor Forum 26
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Appendix
HISTORY OF THAI WAH GROUP ▪ Acquisition of assets from Maesot Starch & ▪ Leader in Thailand in Tungsten and Tin Ore Maesot Biogas Mining Move to Banglane ▪ 100% TDC Owned ▪ 1952, started to produce and export Expansion of starch District and create ▪ Issued 1 B Bond tapioca starch in Chonburi Province mill business in Thailand’s single ▪ 1953, started to produce mung bean Thailand largest vermicelli vermicelli in Bangkok factory TWS resumed Operate trading on the SET in TWBP, TWVN 2013 and TVCBD TWS to go under rehabilitation process 1947 1950s – 1960s 1963 1970s – 1980s 1985 1990s – 2000s 2001 – 2007 2015 – 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1985 1989 The founding TWS listed TWFP listed of Thai Wah in on the SET on the SET Rangoon “Thai Wah No.1” first tapioca ▪ Shareholders’ meeting of the two subsequently ▪ Expansion of the starch business company approved the business moved to business to drive export ▪ Operate and export out, combination between TWS and Bangkok volume and enter into Vietnam TWIN leader and pioneer in TWFP, by amalgamation process in market ▪ 100% Thailand Oct’15 ▪ Market leadership of vermicelli VTC in Double Dragon, Double Kilin ▪ Operate Thai Wah International Owned brands Trade (Shanghai) in Q3’16 ▪ Automated vermicelli ▪ Successfully increased 33.33% production line shares of TDC in Oct 2017, currently hold 66.67% shares Private for Investor Forum 29
ROOT PRICE AND STARCH EXPORT PRICE The ‘Mealy bug’ disease Move in the same trend Corn starch price in China spread out in Thailand significant increased from & neighborhood CNY 2,500-2,700 to CNY Baht/Kg. USD/Ton Corn starch price also 3,400-3,700 (more than increase 50%) and shortage cassava 5.00 600 China stops subsidy Corn roots situation in Vietnam that drags tapioca price 4.50 drop. 4.00 500 3.50 3.00 400 2.50 300 Government 2.00 intervenes root 1.50 price 2.5 Baht/Kg The ‘Srilanka Mosaic for this crop. virus’ disease spread 200 1.00 out in VN & Cambodia & low productivity of 0.50 cassava root. 100 0.00 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Sep-13 Sep-10 Sep-11 Sep-12 Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 Sep-20 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Starch Export Price Root Price Source : The Thai Tapioca Trade Association Private for Investor Forum 30
TAPIOCA PRODUCTION OUTLOOK Raw material recovery from the bottom in 2019 More lands planting tapioca while lands infected by Cassava Mosaic Virus increase Unit : Million Tons Country 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21* Thai 22.01 21.91 26.60 30.23 30.02 32.36 30.56 30.94 27.88 25.30 28.32 Vietnam 8.60 9.90 9.74 9.76 10.21 10.74 10.91 10.27 9.85 10.11 10.60 Cambodia 4.25 8.21 7.61 7.54 7.93 11.94 13.22 12.46 13.75 14.59 15.84 Laos 0.50 0.36 1.06 1.25 1.63 2.38 2.41 1.56 3.32 3.91 4.48 Total 35.36 40.38 45.01 48.78 49.79 57.42 57.10 55.23 54.80 53.91 59.24 Source : ASEAN Food Security Information System (AFSIS) / Agromonitor / https://www.gso.gov.vn / https://gda.maff.gov.kh/documentcategory/tcJh0D0H4r Note : *forecast data from TTSA, Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives, The Company Private for Investor Forum 31
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