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                                                                    No. 2 | 2017

The Real Estate Magazine of Union Investment

Logistics properties
Investment opportunities
along the supply chain

Blockchain
Technologies with tremendous
potential for change

Micro Living
Temporary living is becoming
an asset class

  France's growing
                      real estate markets
         The economic figures make Paris and many regional cities
         appealing for international investors
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
places spaces
                                                                                                                                                                 The Real Estate Magazine of Union Investment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        No. 1 | 2017

                                                                                                                                                  No. 2 | 2016

                                                                           places spaces
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Secondary Cities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Where investors see
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     opportunities in the US

CONTENTS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     office market

                                                                                                         e of Union Investment                                                                                                      Digitalisation
                                                                           The Real Estate Magazin                                                                                                                                  How PropTechs and the real
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    estate industry are getting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    together

                                                                            Risk management
                                                                             Real estate funds
                                                                                                 respond to the glut                                                                                                                Portfolio strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    What property professionals
                                                                             of liquidity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    expect from the extended

     COVER STORY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    market cycle
                                                                             Office worlds              thinkers
                                                                             New spaces for creative

                                                                              Mexico
                                                                                                    for investors
                                                                              An attractive place

4		 Logistics The growing online retail sector poses new
    challenges for supply chains. Borders between retail and
    logistics are blurring                                                                                                                                                                Hotels –
                                                                                                                                                                                                        the new asset stars
11   Interview Alexander Nehm, Managing Director of Logivest                                                                                                                      They are popular all over the world
                                                                                                                                                                                  are booming. The hotel concepts that
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      since tourism and properties
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        hold the greatest promise

     Concept, on the future of logistics real estate
                                                                                     Dynamic Structures        g how spaces are
                                                                                                                                 used
                                                                                     Digitalisation is changin                    opportunity
                                                                                                            tive retail as a good
                                                                                     Investors view innova

		 PORTFOLIO
12   Indirect property investment International Common                Dear reaaders,
     real estate vehicles and their prevalence
                                                                      Welcome to places & spaces!
		 MARKETS
14   France New boom for Paris and some regional cities:              Our real estate magazine,                                                                                             places spaces                                                              No. 2 | 2017

     international property investors have rediscovered their         available in German and
                                                                                                                                                                                            The Real Estate Magazine of Union Investment

                                                                                                                                                                                            Logistics properties
                                                                                                                                                                                            Investment opportunities

     love for La Grande Nation                                                                                                                                                              along the supply chain

                                                                      English, offers high quality
                                                                                                                                                                                           Blockchain
                                                                                                                                                                                           Technologies with tremendous
                                                                                                                                                                                           potential for change

                                                                                                                                                                                           Micro Living

17   Column Myriam Chauvot, finance and economics journalist,                                                                                                                              Temporary living is becoming

                                                                      articles and information
                                                                                                                                                                                           an asset class

     on the "Macron Effect" on France's property market
26   Hotel property The German market volume for hotels that are      on the national and
     relevant for investment purposes tops the 50 billion mark        international investment
                                                                      and letting markets.                                                                                                France's growing
		 CONCEPTS                                                                                                                                                                                                   real estate markets
                                                                                                                                                                                                The economic figures make Paris and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      many regional cities
                                                                                                                                                                                                appealing for international investors

20   Infographic PropTech Innovation Award with nine finalists in
     the first international competition for real estate start-ups    The subjects covered by the digital
28   Blockchain Technology with great potential to change the         magazine are constantly being updated:
     international real estate market
                                                                      www.places-and-spaces.com
32   Micro Living Growing demand for temporary housing makes
     the market segment appealing to property investors
36   Car Parks Managing multi-storey car parks requires new
     concepts for greater efficiency and value retention              As usual, you will find ordering and download
                                                                      options for places & spaces as well as up-to-date
		 REAL PEOPLE                                                        information about Union Investment on our
22   Portrait Marc Lauterfeld is Union Investment's General           homepage:
     Counsel Real Estate
                                                                      www.union-investment.de/realestate
		 WIDE ANGLE
42   Room for manoeuvre The art of using even the tiniest spaces
                                                                      I hope you have fun with places & spaces and
 3   TO THE POINT                                                     look forward to hearing your views.
27   NEWS
43   PUBLISHING INFORMATION & CONTACT
43   NEW IN THE UNION INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO

Cover photo                                                                                                                                      Kind regards,
Paris, France: A view of Alexander Calder's sculpture, “Araignée                                                                                Fabian Hellbusch
Rouge,” from the Place de la Défense. The La Défense high-rise
                                                                                                                                                Head of Marketing and Communication
quarter is Europe's largest business district with 3.3 million
square metres of office space.                                                                                                              fabian.hellbusch@union-investment.de

places & spaces 2 | 2017                                             places    mehr 12 | 2017
                                                                       RAUM& &spaces
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
CONTENTS                                                                                                                                                                                      TO THE POINT

                                                                                                                                                                                              Pulling together
                                                                                                                                                                                              Jörn Stobbe on the digitisation mega-trend in the real estate industry

                                                                                                                                                              B                                           ig data fever even found its way into this year's Tour
                                                                                                                                                                                                          de France. Sensors on bicycles and riders delivered
                                                                                                                                                                                                          hundreds of millions of pieces of data – about the
                                                                                                                                                                                              athletes' physical condition, speed, road conditions and weath-
                                                                                                                                                                                              er. The message was clear: when it comes to digitisation the Tour
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     offers the opportunity to connect a building with its tenants and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     efficiently manage desk-sharing models or guide them to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     available parking spaces in real time. In short, in the not-too-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     distant future, there will be buildings and technologies that are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     aligned with their users' needs while at the same time helping
                                                                                                                                                                                              de France is keeping up with the peloton. And what is true for         them act sustainably.
                                                                                                                                                                                              the world's biggest sporting event is true for nearly every indus-         But there are still a few hurdles left to overcome before this
                                                                                                                                                                                              try and the vast majority of businesses. Wanting to actively           becomes reality. One major challenge lies in convincing users

Paris in focus                                    The last mile                                                                                                                               shape the digital future instead of being run over by it is a key
                                                                                                                                                                                              component of many companies' business strategies, at least
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     that capturing consumption data in our buildings serves the sole

France's property market is booming again         Retailers, cities and real estate professionals
and it’s not just limited to the capital.         are facing growing challenges due to e-com-                                                                                                 on paper.

                                                  merce – but there are opportunities too.                                                                                                        The property industry is no different. The digitisation me-
                               Page 14                                                                                                                                                        ga-trend reached real estate some time ago and there are now
                                                                                      Page 4                                                                                                  a great number of digital business ideas and smart tools for eval-
                                                                                                                                                                                              uating huge data volumes or accelerating time-consuming anal-
                                                                                                                                                                                              ysis and management tasks. One area in the property industry
                                                                                                                                                                                              in particular is benefiting from the possibilities of a world turned
                                                                                                                                                                                              digital: the implementation of sustainability goals. In this area,
                                                                                                                                                                                              the benefits of digital technology cannot be overestimated, as
                                                                                                                                                                                              our experience in recent years has shown. Union Investment has
                                                                                                                                                                                              been using an online tool to sustainably manage its property
                                                                                                                                                                                              portfolio since 2009. Not only does the system serve as the            Jörn Stobbe, Chief Operating Officer and Member of the

                                                                                                    Photos: imago/Westend61, Getty Images (2), Ulrike Leyens, Urban Zintel/Union Investment
                                                                                                                                                                                              basic tool for collecting and analysing all property data, it's        Management Board at Union Investment.

                                                                                                                                                                                              also used to generate reports, studies and ratings. Furthermore,
                                                                                                                                                                                              it provides the basis for the sustainable development of individ-      purpose of managing them more sustainably – not only to the
                                                                                                                                                                                              ual properties.                                                        benefit of the environment and society, but also to the users
                                                                                                                                                                                                  That's how we know: a tool is only as good as the data you         themselves. Unfortunately, there are still vast gaps in consump-
                                                                                                                                                                                              feed into it. And there are still large gaps when it comes to          tion data for electricity, heat and water as well as the amounts

Verging on a breakthrough                                                                           Cover photo: Lionel Montico/Hemis/laif
                                                                                                                                                                                              sustainability. But we have high hopes for smart buildings and         of waste generated.

Blockchain has arrived in the real estate world                                                                                                                                               the Building Information Modelling (BIM) trend, which we be-               If the real estate industry and users pull together, digitisation

and it’s already being used.                                                                                                                                                                  lieve will provide the greatest momentum for achieving sustain-        can offer us excellent tools for achieving climate change goals.
                                                                                                                                                                                              ability goals. With their help, capturing consumption data             Let's build smart buildings and districts and work together with
                                  Page 28
                                                  Globale expertise                                                                                                                           automatically as well as measuring and improving indoor air            our technology partners to digitise real estate! Dumb buildings

                                                  Marc Lauterfeld is Union Investment's                                                                                                       quality can become a reality. Using specialised sensors also           are a thing of the past.                                           •
                                                  General Counsel Real Estate.
                                                                                Page 22
2   places & spaces 2 | 2017                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               places & spaces 2 | 2017     3
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
Urban
COVER STORY

                                                        Logistics facilities are on the verge of a new boom. E-commerce is growing,
                                                        bringing more package deliveries and traffic jams with it. Whether it's retailers,

                                              Storage
                                                        city officials or real estate professionals, everyone is looking for solutions to
                                                        ensure that our cities are well supplied. By Rahel Wilhardt

                                                                            In the past, the customer came to the goods. These days,
                                                                            the goods come to the customer. Distribution centres are
                                                                            needed close to cities to ensure timely delivery. Chapelle
Photo: Sogaris

                                                                            International in the north of Paris is one such logistics
                                                                            hub. The project by logistics provider Sogaris offers excel-
                                                                            lent efficiency and sophisticated design coupled with en-
4                places & spaces 2 | 2017                                   vironmental and urban sustainability.                            places & spaces 2 | 2017   5 ▶
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
COVER STORY

A               lfons Nißl runs a shoe store near Munich. However,
                he now sells more on Amazon and eBay than in his
                physical shop. In just two years, his online sales
have risen from 5 to almost 60 percent. The retailer spends an
equivalent amount of his time preparing and sending packages.
Does Alfons Nißl still have a shop, or is it now a warehouse with
sales outlet?
     Nißl's case is not isolated. Processing online purchases is taking
up more and more space. “Retailers are developing a new sense
of identity through their multichannel strategies. They understand

                                                                                                                                                                       Photos: Imago, Media Markt, Claudius Pflug/Zalando
that they are closer to the customer – and take advantage of their
brick-and-mortar locations,” says Alexander Nehm, the Managing
Director of Logivest Concept (see interview on page 11). There
are a growing number of pickup and delivery services like Click & Coll-
ect or Ship from Store. At John Lewis, the UK-based retail chain, half
of all online purchases are collected in-store; Decathlon and IKEA have
developed Click & Collect-compatible store formats. More and more
brick-and-mortar retailers – including German retailers MediaMarkt-
Saturn and Galeria Kaufhof and British supermarkets Sainsbury’s and
Tesco – now deliver purchases to the customer's doorstep.                                   Integrated commerce: Online retailer Zalando is cooperating                                                                     Retail chain MediaMarkt is already testing mobile robots that deliver products to the customer's doorstep (left); UK retailer
                                                                                            with brick-and-mortar shops, for example Adidas in Berlin.                                                                      Sainsbury’s offers the same service – although it currently still uses vans (right).
Amorphous shop floors
The white paper from the EHI Retail Institute “Expansion Trends –
Spring 2017” confirms that warehouse and pick-up logistics are                              like Lago and Alexa, for example, we created additional warehouse                                                               Operations - Property Services at Goodman. London is leading the way,         “Supermarkets, specialist shops, department stores and malls want to
trending upwards for retailers. Among the 250 major chains surveyed,                        space by converting leisure or office space. That also worked well eco-                                                         having lost 25 percent of its commercial space to housing – although          be supplied with huge quantities of goods. Their delivery experience
such as German retailers Rewe and Deichmann, a growing number                               nomically because the rent for desirable warehouse space is signifi-                                                            the UK has the highest online sales in all of Europe at $174 billion.         depends on their readiness to convert their space's use. Even dark of-
are seeking easy-to-reconfigure spaces, preferably with an expandab-                        cantly higher than for office space,” says Ralf Schaffuss, an asset                                                             According to a 2015 report from the Ecommerce Foundation, France              fices work if they have adequate accessibility and a loading ramp.”
le warehouse, convenient entrance and exit and drive-thru. However,                         manager at Union Investment Real Estate GmbH.                                                                                   was second with $72 billion and Germany third with $66 billion. With          Consequently, the logistics industry could become an alternative tenant
that's not yet the case everywhere. In asset management at Union In-                                                                                                                                                        annual growth rates between 11 and 14 percent, there are no signs             for vacant retail properties in B and C locations. Because the last mile
vestment Real Estate GmbH, these kinds of requests are the exception                        Space hogs with not enough space                                                                                                of slowing.                                                                   – transportation to the customer's doorstep – consumes 30 percent
among tenants of the core shopping centres. “In the successful centres                      Generally speaking, logistics wants to move into urban centres.                                                                                                                                               of logistics costs according to Paetzmann, rents of between €10 and
                                                                                            Why? Because in the past, the customer came to the goods. These                                                                 Cooperation is needed                                                         €15 per square metre per month are conceivable for cost-saving loca-
                                                                                            days, the goods come to the customer. With the supply chain shifting                                                            Zalando has a vision for alleviating the shortage. The online fashion         tions, even more in London and Paris. And because a lack of space
The need for new build logistics space in three scenarios
                                                                                            away from goods to the consumer, from push to pull, demand for well-                                                            czar wants to network Europe's infrastructure of stores one by one            makes people creative, ideas for using car parks, offices or malls at
Growth of e-commerce revenues in billions of euros and in the need
for new build logistics space in millions of square metres in Germany                       networked depots is rising. In the push system, there were three                                                                with large warehouses. Since it doesn't have its own stores, it's testing     night for distribution centres have emerged. If this approach catches
                                                                                            nodes: producer, distributor and retailer. In the pull system, the                                                              different ways of cooperating with local shops under the banner of            on, new opportunities for cash flow optimisation will open up in asset
                                    E-commerce revenues       Space needed “Likely case“
                              Space needed “Best case”        Space needed “Worst case”
                                                                                            supply chain is more granular because direct delivery to millions of in-                                                        integrated commerce. The goal is short supply routes and no product           management.
€80 billion                                                               1.6 million m2    dividual customers is more laborious. At the same time, the pull per-                                                           shortages. Local boutiques pack and send Zalando packages across
                                                                                            spective makes the flow of goods more efficient because targeted de-                                                            Germany, or Adidas's Berlin warehouse and flag-                                                   Delivery lorry shuffle
                                                                                            mand triggers shipping instead of estimated forecasts. In addition to                                                           ship store helps the online retailer with sold-out                                                As creative as retailer strategies for optimising the

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        75 %
60                                                                                   1.2
                                                                                            massive fulfilment centres in the greenfield there is demand for pa-                                                            models. If brick-and-mortar retailers embrace the                                                 infrastructure may be, they do not alleviate the
                                                                                            ckage handling hubs near cities and many sorting and delivery centres                                                           cooperative logistics idea, customers will receive                                                pressing problem of excessive delivery traffic in
40                                                                                   0.8
                                                                                            in the city that deliver to residences, pick-up stations and package                                                            their ordered products very quickly because the                                                   metropolitan areas. This is growing continuously,
                                                                                            collection points.                                                                                                              closest store processes the order.                              of Europeans currently            bringing with it the risk of gridlock. The German
20                                                                                   0.4
                                                                                                 That would be fine – if existing cities weren't lacking the space                                                               Change of use is another way to integrate dis-                                               Package & Express Logistics Association estimates
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   live in cities;
                                                                                            to integrate these space hogs. “Where urban rent and land prices                                                                tribution centres into existing cities. As Raimund                                                that 3.1 billion (package) shipments were sent
  0                                                                                    0                                                                                                                                                                                                       in 30 years, that is
                                                                                            are almost unaffordable for the logistics sector, the question of how                                                           Paetzmann, Vice President Corporate Real Estate                                                   in 2016 in Germany alone, 150,000 more than
      ’08 ’09   ’10   ’11   ’12   ’13    ’14 ’15* ’16* ’17* ’18* ’19* ’20*                                                                                                                                                                                                                    expected to climb to
                                                                                            to integrate stores to optimise the supply chain is one of the hottest                                                          (including network planning) at Zalando, explains,                                                in 2015. This is expected to grow to 3.78 billion

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        82 %
* Estimate                                      Source: Fraunhofer Supply Chain Services:
                       “Logistics properties – market and locations 2015,” September 2015   topics in urban logistics,” says Marie Maggiordomo, Director of                                                                 the challenge of city logistics isn't really new.                                                 by 2020.                                            ▶

6     places spaces1 |22016
      RAUM & mehr       | 2017                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       places & spaces 2 | 2017    7
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
COVER STORY
                                                                                                         “For 30 years, cities focused on
                                                                                                       pushing logistics out of their centres.
                                                                                                           Now they're all considering
                                                                                                             ways to bring it back.”
                                                                                                 Walther Ploos Van Amstel, Professor of city logistics at
                                                                                                      Amsterdam University of Applied Sciences

                                          “For 30 years, cities focused on pushing logistics out of their cen-                  service providers have already responded: DHL is building up its own
                                     tres. Now city officials in European metropolitan areas are considering                    fleet of electric vehicles, Schenker is testing electric lorries for long
                                     ways to bring it back,” says Walther Ploos Van Amstel, professor of city                   distances and UPS is experimenting with e-bikes and micro-depots
                                     logistics in Amsterdam. For him, although delivery traffic sparked the                     in Hamburg.
                                     debate, the fundamental problem is urbanisation.
                                          Almost 75 percent of Europeans currently live in cities; in 30 years,                 A new asset class is born
                                     that's expected to climb to 82 percent. To supply thousands upon                           With traffic abatement in mind, the ideal property would be an inde-
                                     thousands living in a small area, urban logistics needs to improve its                     pendent service hub for handling packages, meaning a non-CEP-affi-
                                     overall efficiency. This applies equally to consumer goods, waste dis-                     liated centre that sorts the collected packages for the catchment area
                                     posal and B2B deliveries. In other words, metropolisation is redefining                    by postcode and consolidates them on neutral delivery vehicles every
                                     quality of life and the requirements for city and land-use planning.                       morning. However, the CEP providers protest because none of them
                                     Where once individual mobility and residential comfort dominated pl-                       wants to lose contact with the customer. The model could only be im-
                                     anning, smooth supply logistics is becoming increasingly important. It                     plemented with strict local government regulations and a business
                                     helps cities to secure their competitiveness.                                              model that finances operations.
                                          City logistics is already on the agenda at all policy levels – from                        “City logistics is the hot topic. Everyone is thinking about how to
                                     local government to the European Parliament. These efforts are                             sustainably integrate logistics in cities and reduce emissions, noise and
Photos: Mike Henning, Getty Images

                                     primarily aimed at stemming traffic, noise and air pollution. Low                          pollution. Up to now no one has systematically thought about how                       Deutsche Post has had a van with an electric motor developed for inner-city package delivery (left). Package delivery via drones is still
                                     emission zones are the most common countermeasures. They ban                               the properties themselves should be set up.” Goodman's Strategy Ma-                    a thing of the future. The photo on the right shows a DHL parcel copter in test flight.
                                     heavy-polluting diesel vehicles from city centres in favour of more                        nager Marie Maggiordomo has made this point at countless European
                                     environmentally friendly alternatives. London, Amsterdam and                               logistics conferences. The global warehouse specialist has therefore
                                     Brussels are pioneers, with Athens, Madrid, Paris, Berlin and Munich                       taken the initiative and announced a series of future labs with selec-                 stakeholders. We are bringing all the representatives together at one        property is a product warehouse, handling hub and collection point,
                                     announcing measures as well. Courier, express and parcel (CEP)                             ted companies along the value chain. “City logistics involves a lot of                 table in order to foster acceptance and develop convincing solutions         while the other is occupied by offices, a restaurant, gym and vocatio-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       – from government agencies and chambers of commerce to shipping              nal school. However, this can be problematic at times. “Who would
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       companies, logistics providers, property investors and managers,” says       want to live next to a warehouse among endless lines of diesel lorries?
                                     The setup and location of e-commerce spaces vary widely
                                     Classification of logistics property types in Europe by building and location characteristics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Maggiordomo.                                                                 On the other hand, who is willing to do without the convenience of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            “These days urban logistics properties are sought more often than       online shopping?” asks Sogaris CEO Jonathan Sebbane, describing the
                                         E-commerce space                     Important building characteristics                                                   Important location characteristics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       they are found because there are scarcely any suitable properties in         tension surrounding city logistics.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       inner cities. What we do have are hubs and micro-depots for handling              His building type offers suitable solutions: the design is
                                         E-fulfilment mega-centre             · Very large (50,000 square metres to over 100,000 square metres)                    · Close to parcel centres                           the last mile. These spaces are too small for freestanding facilities,”      appropriate and at the same time multimodal, so there are at least
                                                                              · High ceiling (15 metres) to allow for intermediate storeys                         · Close to large labour pool
                                                                              · Often in cross-dock configuration                                                  · Traditional “centre of gravity” is not            explains Alexandra Tornow, EMEA Industrial & Logistics market                two transportation alternatives. Furthermore, it prevents air and
                                                                              · Large number of parking spaces for full-time and seasonal employees                  necessary                                         researcher at JLL. “Assets will also be built in cities in the foreseeable   noise pollution.
                                         Parcel centre/sorting centre         · High length-to-width ratio                                                         · Focal point for supplying local parcel service    future,” she predicts. This includes handling hubs called loading ter-            For example, deliveries in the massive catchment area in the north
                                                                              · Low building density (intensity of land development)                                 centres in hub-and-spoke networks
                                                                              · Cross-dock configuration with generous dimensions for lorry loading zones                                                              minals that are located at the city limits to transfer freight to environ-   of Paris are handled with e-bikes, biogas lorries and a shuttle transport
                                                                              · 360° traffic around the building                                                                                                       mentally friendly vehicles in order to comply with diesel bans. It also      train for which a noise-dampening 400-metre terminal was built. Thanks
                                                                              · Highly automated internal operations including sorting system
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       includes multi-storey warehouses due to small plots of land and high         to the system developed in-house, costs per kilometre for train freight
                                         Parcel service centre and            · High length-to-width ratio                                                         · Outskirts of major cities and metropolitan
                                         urban logistics depot                · Low building density (intensity of land development)                                 areas for home delivery or delivery to pick-up    prices. For instance, Segro is building a two-storey warehouse in Mu-        are competitive with those for lorries. If a diesel ban is introduced in
                                                                              · Cross-dock configuration with generous dimensions for delivery van loading           points                                            nich, Vailog has 64,000 square metres over three storeys in Gennevil-        2020, the location is prepared. The decision on an additional hybrid
                                                                                zones
                                                                              · 360° traffic around the building                                                                                                       liers, France, and Sogaris has combined the warehouse portion with           property in Bercy Charenton will be taken in 2017 – a comparable
                                         Returns centre                       · Normally customised to type of operation                                           · Close to e-fulfilment centres to                  other uses in its three-storey Chapelle International property in the        project in the south of the city which Sogaris bid for with an even more
                                                                                                                                                                     accelerate the reintegration of returned          north of Paris.                                                              integrative solution.
                                                                                                                                                                     products
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         The project in Beaugrenelle in central Paris is also forward-looking.
                                         Dot.com warehouse for e-fulfilment   · Specifications depend on type of operation, e.g. level of automation               · Outskirts of major cities and metropolitan
                                         of food products                     · Custom loading equipment for delivery vans                                           areas where online food product order
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Clever solutions with mixed-use                                              Here the urban logistics pioneer integrated 3,000 square metres of
                                                                              · Large yard area for parking trailers and delivery vans as well as parking spaces     volumes are highest                               Even if the French logistics provider wants to keep its Chapelle Inter-      warehouse space in the underground car park of a residential building.
                                                                                for large number of employees
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       national property in its own portfolio, it shows what investor-worthy        A practical combination that is not feasible in every country. German
                                                                                                                                                                                  Source: JLL Research Germany, 2017   projects could look like: half of the 45,000-square-metre mixed-use          zoning laws do not allow that currently, but may in the future. ▶

                                     8       places & spaces 2 | 2017                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           places & spaces 2 | 2017    9
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
COVER STORY                                                   “In ten years logistics will be a
                                                            normal part of mixed-use projects
                                                             like stores, housing and offices
                                                                        are today.”
                                                      Raimund Paetzmann, Vice President Corporate Real

                                                                                                                                                                                           New image for an entire industry
                                                        Estate (including network planning) at Zalando

                                                                                                                                                                                                              The future of logistics property is enveloped in myths, fashions and trends. A conversation with
There is discussion of an amendment to the law that will designate            offerings, investing in urban area logistics is certainly possible. “Urban                                                      Alexander Nehm, Managing Director of Logivest Concept.
urban areas as a zone with a permissible noise level similar to               centres have the greatest demand for logistics. The trend is attracting
commercial areas. For Vice President Corporate Real Estate Paetzmann,         a growing number of investors who were previously interested in retail                                                          Mr. Nehm, what does the future of logistics     with them. Neither 3D printers nor            standards from an overall logistics
it's a step in the right direction. “The goal needs to be integrating mo-     properties.                                                                                                                     property look like?                             Industry 4.0 will fundamentally change        perspective. Network service providers
dern logistics through clever mixed-use solutions. In ten years it will be         A retailer used to need 200 stores to cover the UK market, but now                                                         Surprisingly similar to today. The bulk         buildings and locations in the near future.   all follow their own idea of efficiency.
a normal part of mixed-use projects like stores, housing and offices are      70 locations, a website and warehouse capacity is enough,” notes Jack                                                           business will stay the same. Only the           By contrast, e-commerce, e-mobility,          What will change logistics locations is
today,” he predicts.                                                          Cox, Head of EMEA Industrial and Logistics Capital Markets at CBRE,                                                             urban centres are highly dynamic, but           the Uberisation of logistics resources        automation: logistics is emancipating
                                                                              looking at logistics investment volumes that have been growing stea-                                                            city logistics is a relatively small industry   and smart properties are all here to          itself from personnel. In the future firms
Investing along the supply chain                                              dily since 2009.                                                                                                                segment. That's why we advise people in         stay. The latter will reduce additional       will be able to settle in easily accessible
It remains to be seen whether amending zoning laws will make it ea-                “Investors in urban logistics have now understood that hubs in the                                                         charge of logistics and real estate not to      costs and increase willingness for            locations with a small catchment area.
sier for logistics firms to secure locations in Germany. “In order to crea-   greenfield and last-mile depots in the city and periphery belong in the                                                         panic. No one should expect revolutionary       long-term leases.                             In addition, technology is enabling
te space in crowded cities, the most price-conscious of all asset classes     same value chain,” continues Cox, encouraging investors to take ad-                                                             upheaval from digitisation and globalisati-                                                   logistics facilities to be built upwards
will need to correct its willingness to pay upwards. Competition with         vantage of opportunities along the supply chain. “The returns were                                                              on over the next ten years – at least that's    To what extent is city logistics changing     instead of outwards – we will see
social housing construction will heat up in the periphery, and with           comparable ten years ago. These days the capital value of urban logi-                                                           what we found in our study “The future of       logistics locations?                          more of this over the next five to
B and C commercial locations in the city centre,” says Catella resear-        stics property is significantly higher per square metre. Despite this, the                                                      logistics property.” Instead of speculating,    Once again, logistics users who consider      ten years.
cher Thomas Beyerle, describing the challenge. Although there are few         returns are appealing because their prospects for rental growth are                                                             we looked carefully at what strategies          city warehouses relevant are in the
investment opportunities in city logistics due to a lack of suitable          greater,” he argues.                                                     •                                                      are on managers’ minds and what plans           minority. Online giants, package delivery     Looking back at 25 years of city logistics
                                                                                                                                                                                                              are solid and specific. That ultimately         providers, urban retailers and grocery        experiments, you’ve said, “The largest
                                                                                                                                                                                                              decides what will happen in the next five       stores need these facilities. They place      common denominator is failure.” So how
                                                                                                                                                                                                              to ten years.                                   consolidation warehouses in the suburbs       can logistics work in cities?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              or the city. But urban land is scarce,        The reasons for failure are economic.
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Won't e-commerce stir up the logistics          expensive and regulated.                      Building extra handling hubs to bundle
                                                                                                                                                                                                              scene?                                          This forces alternatives such as changing     products for distribution to the end user is
                                                                                                                                                                                                              That’s a misconception because we tend          the use of existing buildings or mixed-use    costly. People used to invest grant money
                                                                                                                                                                                                              to equate e-commerce with Amazon.               options such as drive-thrus and pick-up       – when it ran out, the projects vanished.
                                                                                                                                                                                                              They forge ahead with services like             stations. There are no universal location     These days bulk shipping ensures a solid
                                                                                                                                                                                                              same-hour delivery and use it to define                                                       financial base.
                                                                                                                                                                                                              benchmarks that are unachievable for                                                          The second reason is that cooperation is
                                                                                                                                                                                                              most companies.                                                                               essential. The pressure was lacking in
                                                                                                                                                                                                              The majority of retailers have one                                                            the past, now regulations require it – the
                                                                                                                                                                                                              centralised warehouse per country or                                                          diesel ban in urban centres hangs like
                                                                                                                                                                                                              region for e-commerce and do not                                                              the sword of Damocles over the industry.
                                                                                                                                                                                                              establish their own granular logistics                                                        Perhaps we will still see a time where
                                                                                                                                                                                                              networks. They rely on CEP (courier,                                                          CEP service providers share distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                                              express and parcel) service providers to                                                      to end users in unaffiliated white
                                                                                                                                                                                                              keep their next-day delivery promise. It                                                      electric vehicles.
                                                                                                                                                           Phots: Decathlon/JMA, Getty Images, Klaus Gruber
                                                                                                                                                                                                              remains to be seen whether and where                                                          Third, logistics underwent an image
                                                                                                                                                                                                              the mainstream needs to learn to                                                              change thanks to e-commerce, from
                                                                                                                                                                                                              compete with Amazon.                                                                          urchin to facilitator. That's why residents
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            as well as local government officials
                                                                                                                                                                                                              What myths and fashions exist in logistics,                                                   are more open to tolerating them
                                                                                                                                                                                                              and what trends are here to stay?                                                             in cities.
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Drones and delivery robots will remain          Alexander Nehm, Managing Director of
Warehouses of the French sports equipment manufacturer Decathlon (left) and UK department store John Lewis (right):                                                                                           spectacular exceptions. There are too           Logivest Concept and advises both             The interview was conducted by Rahel
Both companies use Click & Collect, a combination of online and brick-and-mortar retail at their own locations.                                                                                               many unclarified legal and insurance issues     companies and local governments.              Wilhardt.

10   places & spaces 2 | 2017                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                places & spaces 2 | 2017     11
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
PORTFOLIO                                                                    A look at the most common investment vehicles
                                                                                                            worldwide for indirect property investments shows how
                                                                                                            varied preferences in different countries and among

                               Different countries,                                                         different types of investors are. By Anne Wiktorin                                                                  invest in real estate and real estate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                companies among other things. For

                                                                         different packages
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                example, US investment giant Blackstone
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                used the money from one of its real estate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                private equity (REPE) funds in early 2017 to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                acquire German property group Officefirst

                               T
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                from IVG for an estimated €3.3 billion.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                REPE funds have a longer history in the        listed in Germany – ten years after their
                                         he number is gigantic:                 Real estate funds                               particular, non-listed real estate funds are     investments, insurance companies, pension      US and UK; they took hold in continental       introduction. One reason is that German
                                         217,000,000,000,000 US dollars is      This is the classic option for indirect         the instrument of choice. INREV, the             funds and provident funds prefer institutio-   Europe in the early 2000s. In 2016,            residential property companies are not
                                         the value of real estate world-wide.   property investments. The first products        European Association for Investors in            nal funds set up according to German law       290 REPE funds with total equity capital       allowed to use the REIT as a legal structure.
                               To break it down, according to 2016 calcu-       that transferred the equity investment          Non-Listed Real Estate Vehicles, counted         as a form of asset management for legal        of $145 billion were issued – 15 percent
                               lations by real estate adviser Savills, the      fund model to real estate were created          424 funds in Europe and North America at         entities. The advantage is that the funds      more than in the previous year according
                               value of housing, office buildings, stores,      around 80 years ago. Real estate                the end of 2016 with €276 billion in real        are geared towards their specific require-     to data from the Swiss investment
                               hotels, warehouses and agricultural land to-     professionals purchase all types of             estate assets. Funds based in Germany            ments and investors have a significant say     consultant Swisslake Capital. This vehicle
                               tals $217 trillion, or approximately             buildings with capital collected from           take the top spot: they alone hold real          in investment decisions. At the same time,     is particularly popular in North America:
                               €193 trillion. Less than half of that is         investors and earn profits for their            estate assets of nearly €75 billion, which       the funds bring cost and tax benefits          158 funds totalling $63 billion in equity
                               purchasable and therefore of interest to         customers from rental revenues, sales and       corresponds to almost 27 percent. By             compared to direct real estate investments.    capital were issued there in 2016. Europe
                               investors: Savills analysts value this portion   value appreciation of the property portfolio.   contrast, US-based non-listed funds don't        The numbers speak for themselves.              had 71 funds with volumes coming to
                               at around $81 trillion. Two thirds of that       They hold fund units that gain or lose value    even reach the €5 billion mark – a clear         According to the German Investment Funds       $37 billion, and in Asia, 43 funds totalling
                               is residential real estate, while the other      depending on successful management and          sign of the preferences of national              Association, BVI, €64.4 billion was invested   almost $20 billion.
                               third is divided between commercial proper-      the market situation. The unit price is         investors.                                       in German open-ended retail funds for
                               ties ($19 trillion) and agricultural land        calculated by the investment management                                                          institutional investors in 2016. Open-ended
                               ($8 trillion). A glance at the global stock      company. The funds are not traded on the                                                         fund assets came to €87.6 billion.
                               market shows just how massive the                stock market with just a few exceptions,                                                                                                        REIT
                               investable real estate universe still is.        for example in Switzerland. In Europe in        Fund types: open- and                                                                           In countries with a long tradition of stock
                               At around $55 trillion, the stock market                                                                                                                                                         trading, the stock market is also one of
                               reaches around two thirds of the volume                                                          closed-ended, and                                                                               the top places for indirect real estate
                               of its real estate competitor. Clearly an                                                        institutional                                                                                   investments. One special corporate form
                               enormous investment amount – especially                                                          Open-ended real estate funds dominate                                                           has caught on for listed real estate
                               for investors who do not wish to become                                                          the European investor map. Two thirds of                                                        companies: they operate as real estate         AG and SE
                               direct owners of buildings, but instead                                                          all non-listed funds in the industry                                                            investment trusts (REITs). The first REIT      The reason real estate companies don't
                               prefer an indirect holding. A variety of                                                         association INREV's investment universe                                                         was introduced in the US in 1960, with         always choose the legal structure of an
                               investment vehicles have been created over                                                       fall within this investment category. What                                                      global success coming four decades later.      REIT is primarily strategic. As a traditional
                               the past few decades for them. They enable                                                       makes them distinctive is that the number                                                       The most important REIT features are that      AG (a public limited company in German-
                               small investors to participate in the capital-                                                   of fund units to be distributed is unlimited,                                                   the real estate company must distribute the    speaking countries), they do not have to
Illustration: Karsten Petrat

                               intensive real estate market and make it                                                         and the funds are regulated – quite strictly                                                    vast majority of its profits – in Germany      completely distribute their profits in
                               easier for major professional investors to                                                       when it is a retail fund for small investors.                                                   90 percent – as dividends to investors,        contrast to an REIT. Instead, they can
                               spread their investment risks and lower the                                                      Closed-ended real estate funds are also                                                         who pay taxes on them. In return, no           plough them back in. This enables them to
                               purchase and management costs.                                                                   issued for private investors, but function                                                      business taxes are levied. As of the end       set aside funds for future acquisitions or
                                                                                                                                differently from open-ended real estate                                                         of May 2017, 335 companies with market         expansions, an important advantage in a
                                                                                                                                funds, as both the amount of fund capital                                                       capitalisation of €1.3 trillion are included   capital-intensive industry like real estate.
                                                                                                                                and the investment period are limited.                                                          in the leading REIT index, the FTSE EPRA/      Since the end of 2004, many European
                                                                                                                                Additionally, the investment is considered                                                      NAREIT. North America is the heavyweight.      companies have operated as a Societas
                                                                                                                                an entrepreneurial stake with a higher                                                          The 151 REITs traded there weigh in with       Europaea (SE). This standardises the legal
                                                                                                                                minimum investment sum compared to an            REPE funds                                     a market capitalisation of €690 billion,       basis for listed companies within the EU
                                                                                                                                open-ended fund, with a significantly            Private equity (PE) means capital invest-      followed by 80 Asian companies with            and offers flexibility in the design of
                                                                                                                                higher risk of loss – as well as opportuni-      ment in non-listed companies. PE funds         €342 billion and 103 European companies        corporate governance and employee
                                                                                                                                ties to profit. For their indirect real estate   collect capital from major investors and       with €210 billion. Only three REITs are        participation. •

                               12   places & spaces 2 | 2017                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    places & spaces 2 | 2017   13
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
MARKETS                   France has turbulent economic and political times behind it.
                                          But for real estate experts, the country remains firmly established on the
                                          investment map. There are opportunities not only in the Parisian metropolis,
                                          but in regional cities as well. By Christian Hunziker and Birgitt Wüst

                      Weathering
                                                                 the storm
        S               ince the 14th century, the coat of arms for the city of Paris
                        has borne the motto: “Fluctuat nec mergitur”. Loosely translated
                        from Latin, it means “She is tossed by the waves but has not gone
                under.” In a sense, this motto also applies to the French real estate
                industry, as Schroders Real Estate investment firm reveals in a recent mar-
                                                                                                         Global Head of Research at BNP Paribas Real Estate (BNPPRE). “The deal
                                                                                                         flow is currently very huge,” he explains. That’s why Malle expects invest-
                                                                                                         ment volumes of around €30 billion for the current year as well (see page
                                                                                                         27, Investment climate study).

                ket report. Even though the conditions in France and specifically in Paris               Paris in focus
                can sometimes be challenging, the French capital and the country as a                    For many years, approximately three quarters of investments in com-
                whole are firmly established as a very desirable market for investors,                   mercial properties in France were made in the Paris metropolitan area
                project developers and other real estate professionals. Figures from Real                – no wonder, since France is such a centralised country where the
                Capital Analytics (RCA), a research institute based in New York, under-                  capital city is the measure of all things in every respect. “Paris will
                score its vital importance. They show that real estate investment                        remain the number one market for foreign investors given its size, li-
                volumes in France totalled €29.6 billion last year, putting La Grande                    quidity, and product diversity,” insists Thomas Guyot, Head of Proper-
                Nation in third place in Europe behind Germany and the UK. The fact                      ty Investment, France at Schroders.
Photo: iStock

                that transactions fell by 22 percent in the first quarter of 2017 changes                     To prove his point, he indicates the size, liquidity and product di-
                nothing about the positive growth effect, comments Richard Malle,                        versity of the Parisian market. Furthermore, the office space market in
                                                                                                         the capital benefits from several special effects – for example, the boom
                                                                                                         in the technology and digitisation sectors, notes Cécile Blanchard, Di-       Office space in the Paris CBD
                Peak yields declining nationwide                                                         rector of Real Estate Market Research with La Française Real Estate           is running low with a vacancy
                Growth of peak yields for top office properties in the most important                    Asset Management. “With (...) the gradual change of working space             rate of only 3.2 percent.
                locations in the Paris metropolitan area and key regional cities, in                     occupancy formats, central and well-connected locations are very much         Project developers have
                percent                                                                                  in demand.” Add to that the hope that Paris will benefit greatly from         responded: according to JLL,
                Paris metropolitan area                                                                  the Brexit and the resulting weakening of London. The company in              around 1.7 million square
                8                                                                                        charge of marketing the La Défense office quarter responded to the            metres of new office space
                                                                                                         Brexit vote with a creative and amusing advertising campaign featuring        will come on the market
                6                                                                                        a frog with a tricolour tie and a slogan that clearly has London in its       by 2019.
                                                                                    2ème Couronne
                                                                                    La Défense           sights: “Tired of the Fog? Try the Frogs! Choose Paris La Défense.”
                4                                                                   1ère Couronne             But the Grand Paris Express infrastructure project will certainly
                                                                                    Croissant Ouest
                                                                                    Paris hors QCA
                                                                                                         have the greatest impact on the real estate market there. It will build
                2                                                                   Paris QCA            an additional 205 kilometres of railway lines and 68 new train stations
                                                                                                         in and around the Paris metropolitan area. “It should help to improve
                Regional cities
                                                                                                         the economic and property growth of the Île-de-France region, hence
                8
                                                                                    Nantes               generating many investment opportunities,” believes BNPPRE resear-
                                                                                    Toulouse             cher Richard Malle. Union Investment Real Estate GmbH recognised
                6                                                                   Strasbourg
                                                                                                         this potential early on and at the beginning of this year acquired from
                                                                                    Bordeaux
                                                                                    Aix/Marseille        The Carlyle Group the Grand Central development project at the Saint-
                4
                                                                                    Lille                Lazare train station in Paris.                                          ▶
                                                                                    Lyon
                2
                    Q1/2015               Q1/2016                      Q1/2017
                                                 Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate, Research, April 2017

                14
                 14   places & spaces 2 | 2017                                                                                                                                                                         places & spaces 2 | 2017   15
Places spaces - Union Investment Real Estate
MARKETS                                                         “The Grand Central will be one of the most
                                                                 modern and symbolic office buildings in
                                                                 Paris after completion, and with the best
                                                                           possible accessibility.”
                                                                            Tania Bontemps, President of Union
                                                                             Investment Real Estate France SAS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         The Macron Effect
                                                                                          gently necessary because office vacancy in the Paris CBD recently fell
                                                                                          down to 3.3 percent. Spectacular major projects are also taking shape
                                                                                          around the rest of the country (see pages 18 and 19). The most im-
                                                                                          portant of these include Quartier Euroméditerranée in Marseille,                                                                                               The victory of political newcomer Emmanuel Macron, bolstered by stable economic growth, is having an
                                                                                          where the La Marseillaise office tower designed by star architect Jean
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         impact on France’s real estate market. By Myriam Chauvot
                                                                                          Nouvel is shooting skywards. Measuring 135 metres high, the
                                                                                          €200 million building will offer around 35,000 square metres of mo-

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    T
                                                                                          dern office space.                                                                                                                                                    he French market began the year in         traditional political parties....including the          All the stars are aligned for the youn-
                                                                                               In Nice, Compagnie de Phalsbourg is developing the urban area                                                                                                    a state of disarray. The fear that the     populist Front national.                           gest president France has ever had. He has
                                                                                          around Thiers-Est train station. In other major cities, train stations are                                                                                            populist politician Marine Le Pen,              Emmanuel Macron now has free rein.            a parliamentary majority and the rapidly im-
                                                                                          also becoming focal points of crucial urban development. For examp-                                                                                            fiercely opposed to immigration, European         The business community is looking forward          proving economy should support his reforms.
                                                                                          le, the Quai Ilot 8.2 office, retail and hotel complex is currently under                                                                                      free trade, and the euro currency, might win      to the liberal reforms he promised, such as        GDP growth is accelerating. According to
                                                                                          construction in Bordeaux – right near the new train station that ope-                                                                                          the presidential election led to unusual sit-     a roll-back of regulations, a cut in social con-   the IHS Markit PMI Index, in both April and
                                                                                          ned its doors in July and offers a convenient connection to Paris in just                                                                                      uations. “Between the two rounds of the           tributions, and a lower corporate tax rate.        May, the rate of increase in economic acti-
                                                                                          two hours. A new district is also taking shape in Lyon near Part-Dieu                                                                                          presidential election (April and May), sever-     Macron had also pledged during the presi-          vity hit a six-year high. The National Insti-
                                                                                          train station, where the project developer Foncière des Régions recently                                                                                       al foreign investors acquiring big assets on      dential campaign to reform the labour law          tute of Statistics (Insee) states that more
                                                                                          completed its Silex1 office building – which already has reached around                                                                                        the office market inserted a clause in the        at once, in order to bring the unemployment        jobs were created in the first quarter than
In Marseilles’ Quartier Euroméditerranée, the La Marseillaise                             90 percent occupancy. Lyon, a city with close to half a million residents,                                                                                     contract making the completion of the trans-      rate (9.3 percent as of this April) down to 7      at any time since 2010. In May, in the Eu-
office tower is shooting skywards.                                                        is already France’s second-most important real estate investment                                                                                               action dependent upon the outcome of the          percent in 2022. This August, the National         rozone “only France saw its pace of job crea-
                                                                                          location. According to the study recently published by the Urban Land                                                                                          election,” recalls Magali Marton, head of Re-     Assembly voted on an enabling statute that         tion accelerate,” writes IHS Markit. These
                                                                                          Institute and PwC “Emerging Trends in Real Estate Europe 2017,”                                                                                                search at Cushman & Wakefield in France.          allows the government to skip the lengthy          positive signals explain why the French real
     The project offers 23,600 square metres of rentable space and the                    it is even more appealing than Paris from the perspective of inter-                                                                                                 Investors breathed a sigh of relief at the   legislative process and to reform the labour       estate market remained dynamic in the first
station plays an important role in the Grand Paris infrastructure project.                national investors. In a ranking of European cities, Lyon came in tenth,                                                                                       landslide victory of the staunchly pro-Euro-      law by decree. “There are 3.5 million unem-        quarter and will likely exceed expectations
“The Grand Central,” says Tania Bontemps, President of Union Invest-                      while the capital had to be satisfied with 17th place (out of 30 cities                                                                                        pean and liberal Emmanuel Macron, alt-            ployed people and passing a law requires           this year. “We are now anticipating invest-
ment Real Estate France SAS, “will be one of the most modern and                          in the study).                                                                                                                                                 hough the 39 year-old ex-Rothschild banker        two years, it’s too long!”, explained Gérard       ments of around 30 billion euros in 2017,
symbolic office buildings in all of Paris after completion, and with the                                                                                                                                                                                 (and François Hollande's former minister of       Collomb, minister of Home Affairs, on TV,          rather than the 27 billion we had initially
best possible accessibility.” Once it is finished in mid-2019, the proper-                A question of returns                                                                                                                                          economy) had never held an elected post           two hours after LREM’s landslide victory.          forecast”, says Magali Marton of Cushman
ty will be placed in the UniImmo: Germany portfolio.                                      Nevertheless, many other locations also have their appeal, notes                                                                                               before. On the bond market, the spread bet-                                                          & Wakefield, France.
     This is not the only project currently increasing the volume of office               Stephan von Barczy, Capital Markets Director at JLL in France. “In a                                                                                           ween the French treasury bond (the OAT)                                                                   Emmanuel Macron can enhance France's
space under construction in the greater Paris metropolitan area.                          context of strong demand and a lack of opportunities in most market                                                                                            and the German Bund, which had reached                                                               appeal. But the Macron effect is fragile. Re-
According to JLL, around 1.7 million square metres will come on                           segments in the Greater Paris Region and in Lyon, the main regional                                                                                            75 basis points in April, quickly went back                                                          presentatives of the LREM do control the
the market by 2019. Expanding the inventory of rentable space is ur-                      markets are real alternatives and allow investors to diversify and ▶                                                                                           to its normal level of around 35 basis points.                                                       National Assembly, but the majority of them
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         No one knew where “La République en Mar-                                                             are newcomers in politics and furthermore,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         che” (LREM or “The Republic On The                                                                   40 percent do not belong to any political
Paris metropolitan area dominates investment                                              Good prognosis for transaction volumes                                                                                                                         Move”), the party Macron founded in 2016,                                                            side. They might not stick to the presidenti-
Property investment market in France from 2015 to 2017, revenue by                        Revenue growth in the property investment market in France from                                                                                                would find candidates for the parliamenta-                                                           al agenda. Furthermore, only 43 percent of

                                                                                                                                                                                          Photos: Christine Ledroit-Perrin/Union Investment, Les Echos
region, in percent                                                                        2005 to 2017, in billions of euros
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ry elections, but it did not matter: The “Ma-                                                        the French voted in this parliamentary elec-
                                             Paris metro area     Regions outside Paris                                                                    Q1     Q2      Q3         Q4
                           75                                                                                                                                                                                                                            cron effect” was born. LREM endorsed most-                                                           tion, which is the lowest voter turnout ever
            25                                                                            35
                                                                                                             30.9                                                 31.8 31.8                                                                              ly candidates who had never run for                                                                  for a national election. Hollande's minister
                                                                                          30                                                               28.1                                                                                          political office before (entrepreneurs, nurses,                                                      Myriam El Khomri, who tackled the labour
2015                                                                                                  25.8
                                                                                          25                                                                                                                                                             etc.). Delighted voters gleefully seized this                                                        law reform in 2016, was not re-elected to
            26             74
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         opportunity to solve a political conundrum:                                                          the National Assembly while Marine Le Pen
                                                                                          20                                            17.9 17.9
                                                                                                                                                    18.9
                                                                                               17.2
                                                                                                                    15.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         how to get rid of the old political order wi-                                                        made her entrance in the hemicycle for the
                                                                                          15                                     13.7
2016                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     thout putting populism in power? On June          Myriam Chauvot, a well-known French                first time after decades of futile efforts.
            21             79                                                             10                               8.5                                                                                                                           18th, LREM secured the absolute majority          journalist specializing in finance and             Should Macron displease, she stands in the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         •
                                                                                                                                                                               7.3
                                                                                           5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         in the National Assembly, wiping out all the      economics, lives and works in Paris.               wings, willing to wait five years.
2017*
                                                                                           0
                                                                                               2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*
* Q1/2017                         Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate, Research, April 2017
                                                                                          * Q2/2017                              Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate, Research, July 2017

16     places & spaces 2 | 2017                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               places & spaces 2 | 2017   17
MARKETS

                                                     find higher yields. However, investors remain selective and favor the
                                                     most mature markets, which boast levels of take-up above 100,000
                                                     square metres and low vacancy rates.” According to BNP Paribas Real
                                                                                                                                   Highly prominent projects                                        impress in Paris and the regions
                                                     Estate, peak returns for core office buildings in the Paris CBD fell to
                                                     3.15 percent in the first quarter of this year, while returns of 4.00
                                                     percent are quite realistic in Lyon. In other regional cities like Lille or                                    From industrial zone to urban
                                                                                                                                                                                                    A skyscraper cuts a fine                                                                               The Grand Central project
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           – 20,000 square metres of
                                                     Toulouse, even 5.10 and 6.10 percent respectively are not uncommon.
                                                     The JLL expert believes Lille, Bordeaux and Aix/Marseille all belong in
                                                                                                                                                                    quarter: the large-scale
                                                                                                                                                                    Tribequa project will take
                                                                                                                                                                                                    figure in Toulouse                                                                                     office and retail space at
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Gare Saint-Lazare.
                                                     this category. Toulouse, Nantes and Rennes are other cities that many
                                                     experts think are worth taking a closer look at for investment purpo-
                                                     ses.
                                                                                                                                                                    shape in Bordeaux in 2018.
                                                                                                                                                                                                    A    spectacular skyscraper
                                                                                                                                                                                                         will climb towards the
                                                                                                                                                                                                    clouds in the southern French
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     “I believe that this project,”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     says Mayor Jean-Luc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Moudenc, “will give
                                                          Investment management companies are playing an increasingly                                                                               metropolis of Toulouse over      Toulouse a signature building
                                                     important role in the French investment market. Union Investment aims                                                                          the next five years – the        in keeping with its role
                                                     to grow with a portfolio of office, retail and hotel investment proper-                                                                        Occitanie Tower, designed        as a regional
                                                     ties in Paris and the rest of the country, but focusing primarily on the                                                                       by American architect            European capital.”
                                                     office market in the capital city. Asian investors – especially from Sou-                                                                      Daniel Libeskind.
                                                     th Korea – are also very active in this area. Larry Young, Director of                                                                                                          The unique feature on the
Photos: vrginlemon-presse, LUXIGON, L’AUTRE IMAGES

                                                     International Investment at BNPPRE, explains: “South Koreans inves-                                                                            The client is the project        building is a recessed spiral
                                                     ted almost €1 billion in the Île-de-France in 2016, and there are many                                                                         developer Compagnie de           on the façade running from
                                                     other deals looming with them and other Asian investors.” Experts vary                                                                         Phalsbourg. Plans envisage a     bottom to top. A lush
                                                     widely in their opinions on how returns will develop. Magali Marton,                                                                           40-storey, 150-metre-high        hanging garden will be
                                                     Head of Research at Cushman & Wakefield in France, expects returns                                                                             tower that will contain          planted here.
                                                     to grow by 25 basis points by the end of this year, while Stephan von                                                                          11,000 square metres of office   Studio Libeskind is working
                                                     Barczy at JLL believes a further decrease on exceptional assets with a                                                                         space, 100 to 120 apartments,    on realising the new garden
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      New business centre in the
                                                     strong Parisian character is possible. But one thing is absolutely cer-
                                                     tain: the French metropolis will never go under.                         •    A new urban quarter for                                          a Hilton hotel, retail space
                                                                                                                                                                                                    and a panorama restaurant.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     tower with Toulouse-based
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     architecture firm
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      heart of Paris
                                                                                                                                   Bordeaux                                                         The massive project, estimated   Kardham Cardete Huet.

                                                                                                                                   O    ver the coming years,
                                                                                                                                        the massive Tribequa
                                                                                                                                                                    a small area. According to
                                                                                                                                                                    the design by Emmanuel
                                                                                                                                                                                                    at €130 million, is part of
                                                                                                                                                                                                    the city’s extensive urban
                                                                                                                                                                                                    development plan around
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Construction is slated to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     begin in 2018 and the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     tower is expected to be
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      T   he Grand Central Saint-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lazare project is currently
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      taking shape close to Gare Saint-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Rue d’Amsterdam in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          January 2017.

                                                                                                                                   construction project will        Combarel from ECDM              Matabiau train station.          completed in 2022. •             Lazare, Paris’ second-busiest       The seller is The Carlyle Group,
                                                                                                                                   create a new quarter in          Architects, a three- or                                                                           train station with around           which has been developing
                                                                                                                                   the city of Bordeaux in          four-star hotel with                                                                              100 million travellers per year.    the business centre since 2013.
                                                                                                                                   southwestern France,             120 rooms and total area                                                                          The new business centre with        To prove its sustainability,
                                                                                                                                   home to around                   of 4,200 square metres,                                                                           around 23,600 square metres         the project has earned an
                                                                                                                                   250,000 people.                  465 residential units,          The Occitanie                                                     of rentable space will contain      HQE (Haute Qualité
                                                                                                                                                                    10,800 square metres of         Tower in                                                          approximately 20,100 square         Environnementale) “Excellent”
                                                                                                                                   The project, which BNP Paribas   office space and                Toulouse                                                          metres of office and retail         certificate as well as a
                                                                                                                                   Real Estate (BNPPRE) and         1,650 square metres of retail   includes office,                                                  space with three lobbies, two       BREEAM “Very Good”
                                                                                                                                   Bordeaux-Euratlantique Land      space will line the Place       hotel and                                                         restaurants, a bar and a            certification.
                                                                                                                                   Use Planning Institute           d’Armagnac. The former          retail space.                                                     public auditorium. Its special
                                                                                                                                   presented at MIPIM 2017,         Tri Postal building will also                                                                     features include a public           The project is slated for
                                                                                                                                   encompasses more than            be converted into a                                                                               promenade, several terraces         completion in mid-2019.
                                                                                                                                   55,000 square metres in the      5,000-square metre conference                                                                     stretching over 2,000 square        The acquisition was made
                                                                                                                                   Saint-Jean Belcier industrial    and exhibition centre.                                                                            metres as well as a living roof     for the UniImmo: Germany
                                                                                                                                   area. The new quarter is         Marketing began in June 2017;                                                                     that can be used for agriculture.   open-ended real estate
                                                                                                                                   following the trend seen         BNPPRE plans to break                                                                             Union Investment acquired           retail fund.
                                                     An urban diamond for Nice: the new Thiers-Est train station                   throughout Europe of             ground in the second                                                                              the project located on the          www.union-investment.de/
                                                     was designed by Daniel Libeskind.                                             combining different uses in      quarter of 2018. •                                                                                Rue de Londres and                  realestate •

                                                     18   places & spaces 2 | 2017                                                                                                                                                                                                                             places & spaces 2 | 2017   19
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