Our experience during COVID-19 and what it means for the future of work - NSW Remote Working Insights - NSW Treasury
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NSW Remote Working Insights Our experience during COVID-19 and what it means for the future of work NSW Innovation and Productivity Council November 2020
About the NSW Innovation and Productivity Council The NSW Innovation and Productivity Acknowledgement Contact Council (IPC) was established by the Innovation and Productivity Council Act of Country The Council welcomes feedback 1996. It advises the NSW Government on NSW Treasury acknowledges that and inquiries regarding publications, priorities for innovation-led economic Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander website and media. To contact the development and productivity. peoples are the First Peoples and Council secretariat: Traditional Custodians of Australia, Phone: +61 2 9338 6600 Council members are leaders from and thank them for their custodianship Email: ipc.secretariat@treasury.nsw.gov.au industry, education and research of Country—land, seas and skies. sectors. Members are appointed for Physical mail: We acknowledge the diversity of three-year terms. The current Council NSW Innovation and Productivity First Nations cultures, histories and was appointed in 2020 and is chaired by Council Secretariat peoples, recognise their enduring Neville Stevens AO, a former Secretary GPO Box 5477 connection to our State, and we pay of the Australian Department of Sydney NSW 2001 our deepest respects to Elders past, Industry and the Australian Department Australia present and emerging. of Communications, Information Technology and the Arts. Copyright The NSW Chief Scientist & Engineer, Professor Hugh Durrant-Whyte, and the © Government of New South Wales 2020 NSW Chief Economist, Stephen Walters, are special advisors to the Council. Attributions NSW Innovation and Productivity This work should be attributed Council publications are independent as follows: reports and do not constitute NSW Government policy. This is consistent Source: NSW Innovation and Productivity with the role of the Council and its Council 2020, NSW Remote Working object under the Innovation and Insights: Our experience during COVID-19 Productivity Council Act 1996 (NSW). and what it means for the future of work, Council Research Paper, Sydney, 2020. NSW Remote Working Insights
Minister’s Message To combat the spread of COVID-19, The first NSW Innovation and Productivity The report brings together for the Council NSW Remote Working Insights first time: in March 2020 the NSW Government report comes at a pivotal time for the • a new artificial intelligence-driven directed non-essential workers to State. In the future, those looking back analysis of more than 20,000 different at 2020 may point out it was the year work from home. With so many everything changed, for better and for tasks in the economy to assess New South Wales’ potential for remote work, logging on from home for the first worse. Without the benefit of hindsight, and Governments need to grasp the changes time, the forced experiment in happening in real time. • results from a new NSW Innovation and Productivity Council survey of 1,500 remote work was always going to Many are asking if remote work is a new workers in August and September 2020. be a challenge. normal. This report provides timely data This paper provides a great basis for on NSW workers’ experience of and attitudes to remote work and assesses future discussions around remote work Yet NSW businesses adapted what the future holds. and I invite the NSW community to join remarkably well to this new way of In making us happier and more the ongoing conversation. working. Many organisations have productive, more flexibility to work remotely could be one of the positives to discovered that their employees stem from the COVID-19 crisis. But only were quick to embrace technology if we play our cards right. This report can be used as a foundation to aid the NSW to keep their businesses functioning. Government, businesses and residents in The Hon. Stuart Ayres MP tackling the challenges of remote work Minister for Jobs, Investment, Tourism to fully realise the benefits. and Western Sydney
NSW Innovation and Productivity Council Project Champion’s Foreword The world works in unusual ways. Seemingly unrelated phenomena can be linked. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a devastating impact on many, yet it may have catalysed a big change in the way (and the where) we work. The recent shift to remote working was not a question of technology. Many of us had the tech know-how to remote work, yet prior to 2020 few did. Cultural and social barriers stood in the way. It has taken a highly infectious virus to tear them down. COVID-19 pushed rates of remote spent with the kids or surfing. Also, This is the first report of the NSW working to never-before-seen levels. in the times that we have to focus to Innovation and Productivity Council's As the skyscrapers that dot Sydney’s complete an individual task colleagues NSW Remote Working Insights research iconic skyline stood empty, journalists can be a distraction. Firms also stand series, launched to unearth and unpack speculated that the temporary experiment to benefit in not having to fork out as the ongoing shift toward remote work. in remote work may transition into a much on office space and overheads. In this report we take a deep dive into permanent end to the cubicle farm. New South Wales’ workforce to assess Remote working shows promise in For many the lockdown experiment has who can remote work and to what making us happier and more productive, removed institutional barriers to remote extent. We also asked 1,500 remote but it doesn’t always go smoothly. It can work, and shown we can have productive workers about their experiences. be hard bouncing ideas off one another interactions with those on the other I hope you enjoy reading it. and collaborating. And spontaneous side of the city, country or even world. run-ins at work can lead to new ideas Many have continued to work remotely and partnerships which underpin our even after the lifting of restrictions. And innovation economy. And who doesn’t why wouldn’t they? Commuting can be a miss the office chats? And while many big a source of stress and can steal away of us can work remotely, not everyone Steve Sammartino our precious time. Time that could be is lucky enough to be able to do this. Project Champion
Contents 01. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 02. REMOTE WORKING POTENTIAL 4 Remote working: temporary experiment or permanent shift? 5 New South Wales has long had remote working potential 7 04. THE FUTURE OF WORK 28 A hybrid model could overcome the greatest 03. THE LOCKDOWN EXPERIENCE 11 barriers to remote work A more flexible future could let workers find 29 their right remote work mix 32 COVID-19 has transformed the remote work norm 12 APPENDICES 33 10 ways remote work could change New South Wales 14 A The NSW Innovation and Productivity Council’s Remote Working Survey 34 NSW workers save more than an hour a day working remotely 16 B How we estimate changes across the NSW workforce 38 NSW workers find remote working more productive 20 C How we estimate New South Wales’ remote work potential 39 Much work must still be done on-site 23 D How we estimate changes in labour Collaboration and knowledge-sharing productivity due to remote working 40 create challenges 24 Social connection is a key challenge 26 REFERENCES AND CITATIONS 41
01. We’re measuring the results Executive Summary We have already saved time of a huge remote working and increased productivity experiment by working remotely Remote working is a rapidly emerging Amid the storm of COVID-19, the aspect of workforce adaptation and the Council’s work contains some good future of work. By May 2020, in response news. If done in a balanced way, remote to the COVID-19 pandemic, 46 per cent working can actually strengthen the of NSW workers were working from NSW economy and improve our lives. home. Among other things, this has Those of us who can work remotely been a huge experiment in our ability report being more productive when to work remotely. we do—by an average of 13 per cent. To evaluate that experiment, the NSW That is translating into gains for workers Innovation and Productivity Council is as well as for employers. Without the employing a unique combination of tools: need to prepare and commute, the data from artificial intelligence platform average NSW remote worker has an Faethm, and our own survey of 1,500 extra 1 hour and 17 minutes per day. NSW remote workers. We designed our The average worker puts a portion of survey with expert advice from the Data that time back into work. But we use and Statistical Analysis team in the NSW most of it as personal and family time. Department of Premier and Cabinet. Working remotely two days a week The Council’s report provides insights saves the average worker the equivalent into the current situation and is the of 3.3 weeks’ leave a year, and $860 a first in a series of publications that will year in travel costs. examine changes in working patterns and arrangements because of COVID-19. It will provide evidence and insights into longer-term implications to support NSW public policy development and workforce planning into the future. 1
Executive Summary FIGURE: MOST WORKERS REPORT HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY FIGURE: THE TIME AND MONEY REMOTE WORKERS SAVE WHEN WORKING REMOTELY Productivity reported when working remotely, compared to working at an employer’s workplace 60 50 53% 2 days of remote 123 extra hours 3.3 weeks of leave $ 860 savings in travel Per cent of NSW remote workers work per week per year per year costs per year 40 Note: Weeks of additional leave assumes a 37-hour work week. Travel costs savings are calculated using adult Opal 10–20 km 30 peak time train fare. Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020; Transport NSW; IPC calculations 29% 20 By reducing the traffic on our roads Our survey also confirms that remote 18% and public transport networks, remote working creates new challenges: 10 work can even benefit workers who do • Some tasks cannot be done remotely— not work remotely. for instance, most nurses’ and 0 builders’ tasks. The challenges and • Some of us find remote work socially opportunities ahead isolating—some find it lonely. Most of us are already adapting to more • Some of us have difficulties Less As More remote work, with many of us liking collaborating with other people online. productive productive productive it. The Council’s survey found we rank • On-the-job learning is more challenging. ‘better work-life balance’ as the single • Benefits from remote working may Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 best aspect of remote work. not be equally shared. Industries like bricks and mortar retail and hospitality require physical presence. Here, some service workers will be unable to benefit directly from remote working— although they will still benefit from a wider economic resurgence. NSW Remote Working Insights 2
Executive Summary The Council has identified four ways COVID-19 forced us to work remotely • The majority of us can work remotely in which remote working may change wherever possible. In the future, however, some of the time. New South Wales: NSW workers want more of a balance. • We can gather on-site for Most of those who can work remotely collaboration, team-building, and • Productivity could rise, strengthening want to do it for two to three days ‘non-remoteable’ tasks. economic growth, state finances, and per week. We like remote work, but we living standards. The challenge, once COVID-19 has also value working together in person. • Sydney’s central business district passed, is this: to find a flexible mix of (CBD) will remain the state’s This ‘hybrid model’ takes remote work’s workspaces, policies and practices that employment hub, but offices could best aspects, and combines them with caters to these preferences. This is a be reborn as spaces for collaboration the benefits of gathering together in solvable challenge for NSW employers, and innovation. one location. workers and policymakers. • Congestion may ease with less pressure on our roads and rail system and better CBD access. • There could be impacts on health and inequality, for better or, in some cases, worse. FIGURE: REMOTE WORK WILL DROP BUT IS LIKELY TO STAY ABOVE PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS 43% The best of both worlds: 40 a ‘hybrid model’ of remote work Per cent of total work done remtoely 30% While COVID-19 pushed remote working 30 to an extreme, working remotely is rarely an all-or-nothing choice. The Council’s work shows that most of us can work 20 some of the time from home and some 18% of the time on-site. Only 5 per cent of us can perform all our tasks remotely, Remote work but fully half of us can work remotely 10 could remain for at least two days a week. 69% above pre-pandemic levels 0 2019 During COVID-19 Preference (without COVID) Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020; IPC analysis NSW Remote Working Insights 3
Remote working: temporary experiment or permanent shift? Many workers and businesses have been forced to try remote work for the first time. They have encountered both benefits and challenges. 67% In March 2020, Australian governments Commentators have speculated that introduced emergency restrictions to what began as a temporary experiment slow the spread of COVID-19. The NSW might turn into a permanent revolution Government directed non-essential NSW (Boddy, 2020; Nixey, 2020; Thompson, workers to work from home. Almost 2020; World Economic Forum, 2020). overnight, the rate of remote work rose Early surveys support this speculation: to record highs—46 per cent or more • 67 per cent of Australians polled in Expect to work were working remotely in late April and early May. April expected to work from home from home more more after the crisis. after the crisis • So did 76 per cent of managers in another poll and 83 per cent of businesses in a City of Sydney survey (Committee for Sydney, 2020; NBN, 2020; Swinburne University, 2020). Other commentators have urged caution. They argue that old patterns will reassert themselves after the crisis, and that the ‘death of the office’ is much exaggerated (Cummins, 2020). NSW Remote Working Insights 5
Remote working: temporary experiment or permanent shift? NSW policymakers need • It could substantially shift infrastructure This report explores the demand and population densities. quality data on the shift Permanent increases in remote working new landscape to remote working could reduce and reshape demand across Remote working is a hot topic. New surveys, transport networks, freeing up capacity modelling, and studies are released almost A permanent increase in remote work is and reducing congestion. daily. With this report, we take stock of the likely to change many aspects of social and economic life in New South Wales. • The social implications of remote working growing literature and provide a balanced need to be examined carefully. Remote analysis specific to the NSW economy. • Remote working could lift the state’s This is the Council’s first report in a series working can impact mental health and productivity. Not all NSW workers can that will examine longer-term changes in inequality. Workers who cannot work work remotely, but those who can report working patterns and arrangements in a remotely will not benefit as much as being 13 per cent more productive. with-COVID world, to support public policy those who can. • More remote working could change how development and workforce planning into If remote working is here to stay, the future. NSW businesses operate. For instance, policymakers can help NSW workers and it could soften demand for CBD office This report brings together three sources businesses grasp the opportunities and space, potentially opening central areas of insight: overcome the challenges. This could require for other uses. adjusting regulations, shifting services and 1. It harnesses Faethm’s Artificial • It could spur NSW workers to reconsider reprioritising infrastructure spending to Intelligence Predictive Analytics where they live, work and consume, meet new patterns of demand and ways Platform (www.faethm.ai) to assess reshaping our cities and regions. Some of doing business. the underlying potential for the NSW workers might relocate to the urban The changes caused by remote working workforce to work remotely. fringe and commute less frequently. could be both broad and deep. So 2. It presents new insights from the NSW If workers do relocate, spending on policymakers need high-quality data— Innovation and Productivity Council’s services around employment centres and they need it as soon as possible. Remote Working Survey of 1,500 could shift to new locations. NSW remote workers—including shifts in preferences, attitudes, time use, labour productivity, and industry- and occupation-specific impacts (see Appendix A). 3. It sets out the NSW Innovation and Productivity Council’s analysis of the literature, to provide a balanced view of what a shift towards remote working means for policymakers, businesses, and the public. NSW Remote Working Insights 6
New South Wales has long had remote working potential Technology and knowledge-intensive work have gradually made remote working more feasible. Remote working is an arrangement The potential for remote working where an employee works from has also grown with the rise of the somewhere other than their employer's knowledge-intensive worker. workplace. Remote working is often Knowledge-intensive work—such as called ‘telework’ or ‘telecommuting’. financial, professional, and technological Employees often work remotely from services—has long been growing as a their homes, but remote working can share of employment (Adeney, 2018). be done from almost anywhere—a café, Today, knowledge-intensive work a local work hub, even a train. accounts for around two-fifths of all employment in New South Wales. Futurists and academics have long Compared with service work and predicted that ‘distance-destroying’ physical production, knowledge work technologies like laptops and mobile is well suited to remote working. In phones would move many workers out New South Wales, Sydney has become of their central workplaces (Nilles et the national hub for knowledge al., 1976; Toffler, 1990; Drucker, 1993). industries. So Sydney has significant As communications technology has potential for remote working. become better, cheaper, and more widespread, more workers have gained the potential to work from anywhere with an internet connection. NSW Remote Working Insights 7
New South Wales has long had remote working potential FIGURE 1: BEFORE COVID-19, THE NSW WORKFORCE HAD A LARGE Most of the NSW workforce Most NSW workers can UNTAPPED POTENTIAL FOR REMOTE WORK can do at least some work remotely part-time work remotely But our analysis also highlights this fact: Rather than classifying jobs as being working remotely is rarely an all-or- Pre-pandemic, 63% suitable or unsuitable for remote work, nothing choice. of NSW workers had we have broken jobs into their individual Most workers can work remotely, but the potential to work tasks and assessed the remoteability only for part of their work time. While 24% 4+ days of each task (see Appendix C for our remotely one or more 24 per cent of NSW workers could approach). With that done, our analysis work four days a week remotely, only days a week, but only reveals who in New South Wales can a fraction of that group (5 per cent around 25% did. work remotely, and to what extent. of the workforce) could make the leap As the right side of Figure 1 shows, to five days a week and become fully 8% 3–4 days nearly a quarter of the workforce can remote workers. 56 per cent of the work perform more than 80 per cent of their done across the NSW economy is not tasks remotely—equivalent to working remoteable, and must be done on site. remotely four or five days a week. 5% 18% 2–3 days A further quarter of the workforce 3% can work between two and four days a week remotely. 8% The left side of Figure 1 shows how 13% 1–2 days much of our workforce actually worked 8% remotely before 2020. Comparing the right and left sides of Figure 1 reveals that before the COVID-19 pandemic, we How many of us How many of us were operating far below our potential worked remotely can potentially for remote work. before COVID-19? work remotely? Proportion of NSW workforce that Proportion of NSW workforce that worked at least a day per week could work at least a day per week remotely in 2019, by days per week remotely, by days per week Note: Data for less than one full day of remote work are not shown. Totals do not add up precisely due to rounding. Source: IPC calculations using data from Faethm and the IPC Remote Working Survey 2020. See Appendix C for more. NSW Remote Working Insights 8
New South Wales has long had remote working potential Knowledge-intensive FIGURE 2: MORE WORK CAN BE DONE REMOTELY workers have the greatest Proportion of tasks that can be performed remotely, Proportion of NSW workforce potential to work remotely by broad industry categories Knowledge-intensive work, typically 80 77% performed at a desk with a computer, is often highly remoteable. This means 17% 22% that the potential to work remotely is skewed towards industries like IT and finance. Population-serving occupations, Per cent of tasks that can be done remotley 60 like social work and teaching, have a Producing Knowledge lower but still sizeable potential for intensive remote work. Producing occupations, like tradespeople and mechanics, have the lowest potential to work remotely 40 (Figure 2). 33% 32% The potential for remote work differs not only across the broad industry Population groupings, but also within them. serving Waiters and doctors, for example, both 20 work in population-serving industries, but doctors have much more potential to work remotely than waiters. 8% 61% 4% 3% 0 Reality1 Potential2 Reality1 Potential2 Reality1 Potential2 1 eality: Worked from home (2016 Census) R 2 Potential: Proportion of Remoteable Tasks Knowledge Population Producing Note: This analysis is based on Faethm 'remoteability data'. intensive serving Producing excludes agricultural jobs: the census classifies many farmers as ‘working from home’, which does not Accountants, IT specialists, Doctors, Truck drivers, Farmers, Trades, represent remote working. Marketers, Consultants, Waiters, Nurses, Builders,Miners, Journalists, Researchers, Mechanics, Teachers, Manufacturers Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing 2016; IPC Architects, Scientists Social workers calculations using Faethm data. See Appendix C for more. NSW Remote Working Insights 9
New South Wales has long had remote working potential The rise of remoteable The remote working We have compared the total proportion of tasks in knowledge-intensive industries knowledge jobs has not revolution failed to that can be done remotely with the 2016 stopped economic activity materialise in Australia Census results. Doing so confirms the concentrating in cities before 2020 divide between the level of remote work before the pandemic and our underlying Despite the rapid adoption of the Australia has lagged behind other potential (Figure 2). In knowledge- technology that makes remote working advanced economies in adopting remote intensive industries, 77 per cent of all possible, and the rise of highly remoteable working (Fitzgerald & Malik, 2017). tasks could be done remotely on average, knowledge-intensive work, Australia’s Despite Australia’s rapid adoption of yet only 8 per cent of workers worked economic activity has become increasingly the smartphone and broadband, from home according to the 2016 Census. centralised in our central business a remote-work revolution failed to Population-serving and producing districts (CBDs). Many Australians use materialise here before the pandemic. occupations show a similar divide. telecommunications technology every Before 2020, New South Wales was Given Australia’s technological parity day at work. But until recently, most of using less than half of its potential with other advanced economies, our us have had to travel to our employer’s to work remotely. We estimate that uptake of remote work has probably workplace to use it. while 44% of all work tasks in the NSW been held back by institutional barriers. This paradox is not entirely surprising. economy can be done remotely, only CBDs and centralised workplaces are tried 18% were done remotely in 2019 (see and tested spaces for collaboration and Appendix B). innovation. As the Council’s research has shown, businesses and institutions that co-locate in clusters or innovation precincts can gain real economic opportunities from collaborating and sharing knowledge and resources in cost-effective ways (NSW Innovation and Productivity Council, 2018). Within New South Wales, Sydney exemplifies this. Sydney’s architecture has had to grow upward in recent decades to house a growing number of workers in knowledge-intensive occupations who want to live near, and work in, Greater Sydney. NSW Remote Working Insights 10
03. The Lockdown Experience
COVID-19 has transformed the remote work norm To better understand We estimate that in 2019, around FIGURE 3: 4 TO 5 DAYS BECAME THE NORM FOR THOSE WHO 60 per cent of all NSW workers did at CAN WORK REMOTELY how remote working least some remote working. Yet those has changed in New who did some remote work before Proportion of an average week worked remotely, by time period COVID-19 did not do it that often. The South Wales during majority did it for less than a day each the pandemic, the week (Figure 3). Tellingly, among those 2019 full year 2020 Covid-19 period who could work remotely in 2019, most NSW Innovation and would have liked to do it more. 50 Productivity Council COVID-19 pushed matters to the opposite surveyed 1,500 NSW extreme. During the pandemic, it was 40 Per cent of NSW remote workers common for those of us who could work workers during August remotely to do it four or five days a week and September 2020. (Figure 3). 30 Looking at all the work done across (See Appendix A for our approach.) the NSW economy, we estimate that 20 the proportion done remotely rose from 18 per cent in 2019, to 43 per cent during the COVID-19 pandemic (see Appendix B 10 for our approach). We estimate that a maximum of 44 per cent of all work in New South Wales can 0 be done remotely. The pandemic pushed Rarely/ Up to 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 remote working very close to this limit. never day days days days days Note: The ‘2020 COVID-19 period’ covers June to September 2020. Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 NSW Remote Working Insights 12
COVID-19 has transformed the remote work norm Employers embraced FIGURE 4: COVID-19 TRIGGERED A SHIFT IN ATTITUDES TO REMOTE WORK remote working during the pandemic My organisation encouraged people to work remotely In our 2020 Remote Working Survey, 2019 2020 NSW remote workers reported that Strongly Disagree Neither Agree Strongly their employers were more encouraging Disagree Agree of remote work compared with 2019. Similarly, NSW remote workers found it easier to get permission to work remotely in 2020, compared to 2019. The difference in attitudes between 2019 My organisation was well prepared for me to work remotely and 2020 are shown in Figure 4. Overall, 2019 2020 this indicates that employers responded to the threat of COVID-19 and the Strongly Disagree Neither Agree Strongly Disagree Agree associated health restrictions by allowing more remote work where possible. It was common for people in my organisation to work remotely 2019 2020 Strongly Disagree Neither Agree Strongly Disagree Agree It was easy to get permission to work remotely 2019 2020 Strongly Disagree Neither Agree Strongly Disagree Agree Note: The figure shows 2019 and 2020 mean data. Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 NSW Remote Working Insights 13
10 ways remote work could change New South Wales 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Productivity and Lower congestion More collaborative CBDs could Benefits would not be living standards could benefit offices be transformed shared equally could rise commuters Not all NSW workers can Traffic congestion has long Many people are now asking: The shift to remote working Workers in knowledge- work remotely, but those who challenged New South Wales, what is an office for? If workers during COVID-19 radically intensive industries benefit can report being 13 per cent and especially Sydney. Slower meet in person less often, decreased foot traffic in the most from remote working more productive on average. speeds, queuing, and longer collaboration and social Sydney's CBD, contributing to because their work is often If remote working becomes more trip times cost the average interaction may become more an estimated $7 billion in lost highly remoteable. By contrast, common, and the challenges Sydneysider an estimated central to the office. If offices revenues (Wade, 2020). While workers in industries like retail, are managed well, the benefits $1,350 annually (Cosgrove, 2015). become places for workers to many workers will return to hospitality, and health benefit for New South Wales could Congestion is a major focus meet and bounce ideas off one the CBD, more remote working less because they have many be substantial. As the NSW for economic reform in New another, businesses will need to could permanently dampen tasks that must be done on Productivity Commission (2020) South Wales (NSW Productivity rethink the kinds of offices they demand for CBD office space. on-site. These workers could has highlighted, improved Commission, 2020). provide. The office may have to Other uses may expand to fill the still benefit indirectly, however, productivity can drive stronger adapt to remain relevant. The gap—for instance, entertainment, through less traffic congestion More remote work could economic growth, stronger layout and design of existing culture, and the arts. and stronger economic activity relieve this congestion, with state finances and higher office space could change, with in local centres. More research large benefits to the remaining living standards. an emphasis on collaboration is needed to understand commuters. Reducing traffic spaces, virtual meeting rooms how remote working affects by as little as 5 per cent could and 'meeting booths'. different groups. increase traffic speeds by up to 50 per cent (Martin & Thornton, 2017). NSW Remote Working Insights 14
10 ways remote work could change New South Wales 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. We may need Health impacts Local economies Economic opportunity Many might relocate– to rethink our would be complex could be revitalised may be less tied but not far infrastructure to place Much of our transport For many, the family and Remote working changes where There are more jobs in Sydney Commuting less makes it easier infrastructure was designed to personal time gained by people spend their money. that can be done remotely than to live further from city centres, serve pre-pandemic levels of working remotely would mean While COVID-19 restrictions in New South Wales' regions in housing that is cheaper or transport demand and projected better mental health. But for have lowered overall spending, (Duke, 2020). In this sense, closer to amenities like beaches increases in demand. Permanent others, remote work could the rise in remote working has the benefits of remote working and parks. Recent modelling increases in remote working be isolating, or even mean also spread out spending that are more accessible to city suggests that remote working could create excess capacity greater exposure to domestic was previously concentrated in workers. However, if city firms could lead more workers to live on some existing services, abuse. The physical health CBDs. Workers who previously are willing to hire full-time on the urban fringe. But it also and change the economics of impacts might also be complex. bought lunch in the city remote workers, new remote suggests that most workers proposed transport projects. Remote working can free up have been buying it locally, job opportunities may open will continue to live fairly close Where projects are shown to no time for exercise, but it can supporting local businesses for regional workers. Businesses to their employer’s workplace, longer stack up, funding can be reduce incidental exercise, like and jobs. would also benefit, using remote and cities will keep growing redeployed to other priorities. walking or cycling to work. work to access a bigger pool (Lennox, 2020). During COVID-19, many remote of potential employees. workers also set up makeshift home offices without proper ergonomic equipment, risking preventable workplace injuries. NSW Remote Working Insights 15
NSW workers save more than an hour a day working remotely NSW Innovation and FIGURE 5: REMOTE WORKING ALLOWS FOR MORE PERSONAL AND FAMILY TIME Productivity Council analysis Hours spent on activities when attending an employer’s workplace versus working remotely suggests that by removing the need to prepare for work Attending a workplace and commute, NSW remote Commuting Remote working & preparing workers and their employers -77 minutes gain an average of 1 hour and 17 minutes per day. Working (See Figure 5.) +13 minutes This is perhaps the single greatest benefit of remote work. Personal time On days when they work remotely, NSW +49 minutes workers spend 49 minutes more on personal and family needs, and 19 minutes more on caring and domestic tasks. They spend only 13 minutes more time working.1 Caring +19 minutes 1 ote that these tasks do not account for all the time N workers have during a day. As such, the sum does not necessarily equal time savings from preparing for and 0 2 4 6 8 commuting to work. Hours spent on task Note: Differences in time spent on tasks may not sum due to rounding. Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 NSW Remote Working Insights 16
NSW workers save more than an hour a day working remotely These time savings add up FIGURE 6: THE TIME AND MONEY REMOTE WORKERS SAVE Figure 6 shows how an extra two days of remote work a week translates into additional time savings per year, and the equivalent time in annual leave. This additional time cannot be used in the same way as annual leave—to take a holiday, for instance. Yet it may in fact 2 123 3.3 860 have more value per hour than annual leave time, because people are often more time-poor during the working $ week. Avoiding a commute also saves days of remote extra hours weeks of leave savings in travel money that would normally be spent work per week per year per year costs per year on travel, paying for expenses such as vehicle fuel, insurance, or bus fares. People in Greater Sydney save the most from avoiding commuting and work “ preparation—on average, 1 hour and 20 minutes. But the time savings for Not having to commute to or prepare regional remote workers are still large for work allows workers to fit in more —around an hour on average. ‘life’. Not surprisingly, remote workers point to better work-life balance as I don't have to commute 3 hours ” one of the best aspects of remote work. They also feel this helps them a day. It is amazing for me. to better manage personal and family commitments (see Figure 8). Female, 31, Wollongong, administration services Note: Weeks of additional leave assumes a 37-hour work week. Travel costs savings are calculated using adult Opal 10-20 km peak time train fare. Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020; Transport NSW; IPC calculations NSW Remote Working Insights 17
NSW workers save more than an hour a day working remotely Some occupations work FIGURE 7: PROFESSIONALS WORK LONGER HOURS THAN OTHERS WHEN WORKING REMOTELY longer hours than others when working remotely Time spent working when at employer’s workplace and working remotely, by occupation Professionals saw the biggest increase in their working hours while working remotely. Meanwhile, those who worked 25 14 in administrative and sales roles had the smallest increases. additional minutes additional minutes While these results shed some light spent when working remotely spent when working remotely on how remote working affects working hours, they also reflect the unique circumstances of the COVID-19 Professionals Hours spent working Managers Hours spent working pandemic. During the pandemic, many At employer’s workplace 7hr 30mins At employer’s workplace 7hr 47mins workers were forced to work shorter When working remotely 7hr 55mins When working remotely 8hr 1mins hours because of poor economic conditions. Others were forced to work shorter hours because they could not do work tasks that still needed to be done on-site. 1 additional minute spent when working remotely 1 additional minute spent when working remotely Administrative Hours spent working Sales Workers Hours spent working At employer’s workplace 7hr 24mins At employer’s workplace 7hr 30mins When working remotely 7hr 25mins When working remotely 7hr 31mins Note: Only occupations with 70 or more responses are shown. Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 NSW Remote Working Insights 18
NSW workers save more than an hour a day working remotely Extra costs are not a big issue FIGURE 8: REMOTE WORK IMPROVES WORK-LIFE BALANCE for NSW remote workers Best aspects of remote working, in rank order Many have argued that the costs taken on by remote workers—such as provision of equipment, internet connectivity, and My work-life balance electricity supply—will outweigh remote working’s benefits. These costs were previously borne by employers. Preparing for work and commuting But our results show that cost-shifting is not a major issue for NSW workers. They rank extra costs as one of the least significant barriers to working remotely Managing my personal commitments (see Figure 10). Extra time and a better My daily expenses work-life balance are the best parts of remote work NSW remote workers on average list Managing my family responsibilities improved work-life balance as the best aspect of remote working. Time saved on preparing for and commuting to work ranks next. The aspects of remote work My job satisfaction that workers themselves most enjoy are all those that give them more time 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 for themselves and their families, as Average score of positive aspect Figure 8 shows. Remote work appears to have little impact on job satisfaction. Note: A higher score indicates a relatively better aspect of remote work. Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 NSW Remote Working Insights 19
NSW workers find remote working more productive “ Productivity is excellent without these interruptions. Female, 62, Sydney, administration services ” Consistent with international findings, NSW workers FIGURE 9: MOST WORKERS REPORT HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY WHEN WORKING REMOTELY report being more productive for each hour that they work remotely. (See Appendix A.) Productivity reported when working remotely, compared to working at an employer’s workplace Not everyone can work remotely, but Other sources of evidence confirm what 60 those who can report that on average workers around the world are reporting they produce 13 per cent more each (see Box 1). hour compared to working on-site. It is important to put these findings in 50 53% Our survey results were consistent context. The experience of COVID-19 Per cent of NSW remote workers with many others. For example, in shows how remote working could 40 a poll of more than 10,000 workers improve labour productivity—the across six developed nations, including amount a worker produces each hour Australia, around 70 per cent said they work. If NSW remote workers 30 their productivity was the same or worked remotely as much as they higher when working remotely prefer after the pandemic, we estimate 29% (Citrix Australia, 2020). In another that overall labour productivity in New 20 survey of 12,000 employees, South Wales would rise by 1.6 per cent 75 per cent stated that they had (see Appendix D for more). This is a 18% been able to maintain or improve promising sign for the future. But the 10 productivity while working remotely pandemic has harmed productivity in during the COVID-19 crisis (BCG other ways. Many workers have tasks Consulting, 2020). Another Australia- that cannot be done remotely and have 0 specific survey found 44 per cent of been unable to attend their workplaces. workers rated themselves as more COVID-19 also caused a significant drop productive after COVID-19 restrictions in the demand for many goods and were implemented (Building 20, services, creating unemployment and 2020). Other surveys had similar reducing economic output. Productivity results (Indeed, 2019; McCrindle will fall as firms will be reluctant to let Less As More Research, 2013). go of skilled labour. productive productive productive Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 NSW Remote Working Insights 20
NSW workers find remote working more productive Box 1 How reliable are workers’ self-reported improvements in productivity? In surveys across the world, workers Empirical studies on remote working consistently report they are more confirm the findings of surveys. One of productive when they work remotely. the most notable studies involved an Evidence suggests their perceptions are analysis of the output of employees at one broadly correct. of China’s largest online travel agencies (Bloom et al., 2015). The employees We can check what workers report against were randomly allocated into ‘working their managers’ views. Manager surveys from home’ and ‘working from the office’ on remote work productivity produce more groups, and their output was tracked. tempered results but still suggest remote After nine months those who worked at working improves productivity overall. home were found to be 13 per cent more In an American survey of 1,500 hiring productive than the office workers. They managers, 32 per cent saw an increase also showed a substantial increase in in productivity among their employees employee retention. during COVID-19 shutdowns, compared with about 23 per cent who saw a decline In another study, the productivity of US (Ozimek, 2020). Patent and Trademark Office employees that could work from anywhere was 4.4 per cent higher than for those that could not (Choudhury et al., 2018). While these empirical studies add weight to our findings, it is important to note that each focuses on a single occupation. The productivity of remote work is highly dependent on each specific occupation and is likely to vary significantly across workplaces and industries. NSW Remote Working Insights 21
Know Accou NSW workers find remote working more productive Financ Resea Knowledge intensive Popul The productivity of remote TABLE 1: KNOWLEDGE-INTENSIVE INDUSTRIES Accountants, IT specialist Docto STAND TO MAKE THE BIGGEST PRODUCTIVITY GAINS Finance, Consultants, Jou working varies across different Nurse Researchers, Architects, SocialS jobs and industries Potential productivity gains of remote work, by broad industry categories Table 1 shows that the productivity boost from remote working varies across different types of work. People who work in producing and population- Population servingProdu Knowledge intensive serving industries report the biggest productivity increases when working remotely. However, most Doctors, Marketers, Accountants, IT specialists, Truck drivers, FarmeW work in these industries is not remoteable, which Nurses, Finance, Consultants, Mechanics, Miners Journalists, Teach tempers their potential productivity gains. By SocialScientists Researchers, Architects, workers contrast, knowledge-intensive work is the most Knowledge Population Producing remoteable work, so knowledge-intensive industries intensive serving stand to make the biggest productivity gains overall. Population servingProducing Remote worker Propo 11% 13% 17% Remote working can cut productivity improvement Farmers, Doctors, Truck drivers, Trades, Builders Waiters, business costs Miners, Manufacturers Nurses, Mechanics, Teachers, Remote working offers employers the important Social workers benefits of lower office costs and other overhead ‘Remoteable’ proportion 77% 33% 32% costs. For example, Building 20 estimated that moving to a full remote workforce could save Sydney-based businesses around $13,680 per Potential industry-wide Producing Proportion of NSW work1 employee on rent annually (Building 20, 2020). productivity increase 9% 4% 5% Farmers, Trades, Builders, Previous research has also highlighted remote Miners, Manufacturers working’s contributions to better recruitment, Note: Weighted average estimates based on NSW Innovation and Productivity Council survey data. Only industries with 50 or more higher retention (McCrindle Research, 2013) survey responses are shown. Estimates exclude industry workers who cannot work remotely. Potential productivity increases are and reduced absenteeism (Indeed, 2019). calculated by comparison to a scenario of no remote working. 17% Proportion of NSW workforce 2 NSW Remote Working Insights 22
Much work must still be done on-site Not surprisingly, tasks that must be done on-site reduce the possibilities of remote working. We estimate that 56 per cent of FIGURE 10: SOME BARRIERS ARE BIGGER THAN OTHERS work in the NSW economy cannot be done remotely. Barriers to remote work, ranked from biggest to smallest If a task involves working with specialised equipment, or providing personal services, remote work can I have tasks that can't be done remotely be less productive or impossible. Difficulty collaborating remotely Car mechanics usually need access to the machinery and vehicles at Feeling left out and/or isolated their employers’ workplace. Medical IT equipment (computer, printer, etc.) technicians need access to very Lack of motivation expensive and often immobile equipment in labs and hospitals. Connectivity (internet connection) Medical professionals usually need My organisation's software and systems to be with their patients. Cyber security Management discourages remote working My workspace (e.g. suitable chair, lighting, noise levels, facilities) Poor management My living situation (e.g. location, home size, who I live with) Lack of remote working skills Extra costs Caring responsibilities -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 Average score Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 NSW Remote Working Insights 23
Collaboration and knowledge-sharing create challenges Many NSW remote workers reported that their individual productivity is higher when working remotely. But we also know that teams and businesses are more than the sum of their parts. The second-biggest barrier for While communications technology has These concerns are reinforced by NSW remote workers was difficulty come a long way, there is no perfect research on ‘agglomeration effects’. collaborating. Many remote workers also substitute for face-to-face interaction Agglomeration effects can happen stated that their working relationships (Cytowic, 2020). Online, people interact when many workers come together and on-the-job learning were negatively less naturally and spontaneously. in one physical location and are more impacted. Many other surveys confirm By reducing the quality and quantity productive; the most famous example that collaboration and communication of collaborative exchanges, remote occurs in California’s Silicon Valley. If are key challenges when working working could hinder an important many workers become remote, these remotely (Buffer, 2020; Indeed, 2019; aspect of overall productivity. agglomeration effects may not be Smartsheet, 2020). experienced. While agglomeration's More than half a decade ago, Yahoo was effects are uncertain, if many workers Research has shown that physical an early adopter of remote working, become remote they may not be proximity and face-to-face interaction but it reverted to on-site work due to experienced. One estimate suggests improve the development and diffusion difficulties collaborating (Goudreau, that less interaction between Sydney of ideas in knowledge-intensive 2013). Some analysts caution that remote CBD workers during the COVID-19 businesses (Cunningham & Werker, working during the COVID-19 pandemic pandemic might cause a $3 billion hit to 2012). Physical proximity allows workers could be stunting new ideas and lowering New South Wales’ productivity in 2020 to communicate and solve complex, long-run growth (Gorlick, 2020). (Wade, 2020). More research is needed ambiguous problems, and share to see what happened in practice. knowledge with those around them, “ raising productivity. I would like opportunities to connect in person even if most work is undertaken remotely. Male, 51, Sydney, health care ” NSW Remote Working Insights 24
Collaboration and knowledge-sharing create challenges But technologies and work practices are adapting Some organisations—especially in the IT sector— have begun adopting ‘all remote’ business models, and promoting practices to encourage collaboration, communication, and team-building in remote work environments (see for example GitLab, 2020). One study suggests that short, concentrated ‘bursty’ communication can be highly effective for remote collaboration (Riedl & Woolley, 2016). It also seems that as remote working reaches a ‘critical mass’, collaboration and knowledge-sharing become easier within organisations. In 2019, 69 per cent of NSW workers found it easy to collaborate remotely. Information from our Remote Working Survey suggests this improved to 78 per cent in 2020, when the pandemic forced many more people to embrace remote working. It is also important to put collaboration in context. Even knowledge-intensive workers do not need to collaborate and communicate all the time. Many spend a large part of their time working independently. And while working next to colleagues can have benefits, it can also create distractions that lower productivity (Sander, 2016). A ‘hybrid’ model may offer the best of both worlds for collaboration and productivity, allowing workers to work remotely on independent tasks, while coming on-site for collaboration. The challenge for workers, people-managers, businesses, and policymakers is coordination—ensuring the right people are working on-site at the right times. NSW Remote Working Insights 25
Social connection is a key challenge ‘Opportunities to socialise’ ranked as the worst aspect of remote work in the NSW Innovation and Productivity Council’s Remote Working Survey. (See Figure 11.) Psychologists emphasise that a lack FIGURE 11: WORK RELATIONSHIPS AND A LACK OF SOCIAL INTERACTIONS ARE of face-to-face interaction can lead to THE WORST PARTS OF REMOTE WORK feelings of loneliness, which can damage Worst aspects of remote work, in descending order our health, happiness and productivity (Evans, 2014; Robson, 2020). Other surveys confirm this: employees often report feeling less connected to their My opportunities to socialise co-workers (Buffer, 2020; Building 20, 2020) or simply left out (Grenny & Maxfield, 2017). My working relationships My on-the-job learning opportunities “ The number of hours I work Remote working My mental wellbeing works but I miss the My personal relationships incidental interactions ” -1.0 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 Female, 52, Sydney, Average score of negative aspect electricity services Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 NSW Remote Working Insights 26
Social connection is a key challenge Remote working can blur the lines NSW workers want a mix between work and leisure of remote and on-site work Working from home can leave workers feeling as if Due to the challenges outlined above, many employees they are ‘always on’, increasing stress and negatively will return to their employer’s workplace when they impacting work-life balance (Buffer, 2020). A 2017 can. Many of those may return to their pre-pandemic United Nations report found that 41 per cent of remote patterns of remote work, particularly those who work workers reported high stress levels, compared with just in industries where remote work is not ideal, such 25 per cent of office workers (Messenger et al., 2017). as education. But our results show many workers have found that remote working works, and they are enjoying the benefits. With cultural and institutional barriers overcome, it is unlikely that these workers and their employers will reduce their remote work back to pre-pandemic levels. “ Remote work has increased the hours “A mix of remote and in the office time would let me enjoy the physical social interaction I work and the ‘out of hours’ demands. ” alongside the work benefits of being remote. ” Male, 57, Sydney, professional services Female, 64, Sydney, professional services NSW Remote Working Insights 27
04. The Future of Work
A hybrid model could overcome the greatest barriers to remote work Our survey highlights three substantial barriers to remote working: • having tasks that can’t be done remotely • difficulties collaborating and sharing on-the-job knowledge • social isolation. All three of these barriers could possibly FIGURE 12: BEYOND COVID-19, THOSE WHO CAN WORK REMOTELY WANT A BALANCE be addressed by a hybrid model of OF REMOTE AND ON-SITE WORK remote work—a way of working that combines remote and on-site work. Preferred proportion remote work, days per week If employees work remotely some of the On-site benefits 30 Remote benefits time, but come on-site for collaboration, 27% team-building, and non-remoteable tasks, they could find remote working much easier. A hybrid approach has the Easier to Increased Per cent of NSW remote workers potential to combine the best aspects collaborate productivity of remote work with the benefits of 20 working together in person. More time More on-the-job 16% 16% for personal Around 66 per cent of NSW remote learning 15% commitments workers want to keep something similar 13% 14% to the remote working pattern they Opportunities Saving on experienced during COVID-19, while to socialise 10 transport costs 29 per cent would prefer to do less remote working than during COVID-19. Feeling more Better work-life Our next NSW employee survey and included balance report will assess this further. 0 Rarely/ Up to 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 never 1 day days days days days Source: NSW Innovation and Productivity Council 2020 Remote Working Survey NSW Remote Working Insights 29
A hybrid model could overcome the greatest barriers to remote work After COVID-19, most want two- to FIGURE 13: NSW WORKERS EXPECT TO HAVE MORE CHOICE ABOUT REMOTE WORK AFTER THE PANDEMIC three- days of remote work per week After the threat of COVID-19 subsides, NSW workers who can do their work remotely would prefer a balance My employer would encourage more remote working of remote and face-to-face work. The most popular preference is two to three days per week. Strongly Disagree Neither Agree Strongly On average, those who worked remotely to some Disagree Agree degree prior to COVID-19 said they would do more remote work than before the pandemic. And many of those who are new to remote work said they would continue to do work remotely to some degree. My employer would make changes to support remote working Into the future, NSW workers expect Strongly Disagree Neither Agree Strongly more remote work choice Disagree Agree NSW remote workers think they will have more choice about working remotely in the future, and will be more supported if they chose to do so (see Figure 13). I would have more choice about whether I work remotely These results suggest that employers and workers may agree to greater levels of remote work going forward. Based on NSW workers' current preferences, Strongly Disagree Neither Agree Strongly we estimate that 30 per cent of all work in New South Disagree Agree Wales would be done remotely beyond the COVID-19 pandemic. This would be 69 per cent higher than pre-pandemic levels. Our NSW Remote Working Note: The figure shows 2020 mean data. Source: IPC Remote Working Survey 2020 Insights research series will continue to measure these changes over time. NSW Remote Working Insights 30
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