OIL AND GAS FOR THE 21ST CENTURY - OG21
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OG21 – Norway's oil and gas technology strategy for the 21st century Drammensveien 288, 1327 Lysaker, Norway E-mail: ghl@rcn.no www.og21.no Design: Fete typer + Savant Print: 07 Media AS
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 3 INTRODUCTION OG21’s vision is to have a competitive The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate Norwegian petroleum sector. To achieve estimates that more than 50 percent this we need to maximize resource of the resources on the Norwegian utilization, improve industry productiv- continental shelf are still to be pro- ity, reduce cost and reduce greenhouse duced, thus there is a considerable gas emissions. This is a challenging task, potential for further resource utilization where utilization of technology and and value creation from our industry. innovation will be key to success. The OG21 has carried out value estimates of new OG21 strategy sets the direction for developing and adopting the technolo- prioritization of technology develop- gies recommended in the strategy, and ment and gives recommendations for the estimates are impressive: It shows how to accelerate technology develop- that improved technology and exper- ment and use. tise can provide as much as 14 billion extra barrels of oil equivalents from the Scientists, engineers and technology Norwegian continental shelf over the leaders in oil companies, universities, next decades. Elisabeth B. Kvalheim research institutes, supplier companies and governmental bodies have over the Cooperation between all parties in the last 1.5 years worked on the new OG21 Norwegian petroleum industry is one strategy, and agreed to common chal- of our competitive advantages. My goal lenges and an aligned strategy on how is that this strategy will be useful for technology can lift our competitiveness. the entire industry, to inspire and help All OG21 stakeholders have been invited efficient development and implemen- to actively contribute and follow the tation of new promising technologies. revision process. I am glad to see that But remember, a strategy is only as the industry has taken ownership of the good as its execution and the reward strategy and contributed with valuable of technology is only harvested if it’s efforts. But this is only the first step. implemented! Now the strategy needs to be taken into our everyday work to realize the full potential bottom line effects. Public funded research programs need to be Many thanks for all efforts and good updated to reflect the recommenda- reading, tions in the new strategy, and industry enterprises should take guidance from the strategy in their technology programs. OG21 have identified ten technology Elisabeth B. Kvalheim needs: OG21 Board Chair ×× Three linked to the industry’s responsibility to reduce emissions. ×× Two related to improved recovery and subsurface understanding. ×× Three linked to improved efficiency and reduced costs. ×× And two cross disciplinary topics: digitalization and technologies for the High North.
4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7 2 PURPOSE AND SCOPE 15 2.1 About OG21 16 2.2 Purpose of this strategy revision 17 2.3 New elements in this strategy revision 18 2.4 Interfaces with other strategy documents 18 2.5 Abbreviations 19 3 OG21'S VISION AND STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES 21 4 PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS 25 4.1 TTA1 – prioritized technology needs 28 4.2 TTA2 – prioritized technology needs 29 4.3 TTA3 – prioritized technology needs 30 4.4 TTA4 – prioritized technology needs 31 4.5 Addressing technology needs 33 5 INCENTIVES AND BARRIERS TO TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION 35 5.1 Barriers to technology development and application 36 5.2 Strategies to reduce or remove barriers 36 5.3 The Norwegian innovation system and competence needs 38 5.4 Petroleum R&D funding and prioritizations 44 5.5 Private equity investments in technology development 46 5.6 Technology and competence transfer between industries 47 5.7 New business models 48 5.8 Social science and cross-disciplinary research 49 6 OG21 RECOMMENDATIONS 51 6.1 Recommendations on technology development 52 6.2 Recommendations on stimulation of technology application 54 6.3 Recommendations on competence 55 6.4 Summarized overview of the OG21 strategy 56 7 STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION 59
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 5 8 REFERENCES 63 APPENDICES 64 APPENDIX A.ABOUT OG21 A.1. Organization 65 A.2. Mandate (in Norwegian) 66 A.3. The OG21 strategy contributors 67 APPENDIX B – OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE NORWEGIAN PETROLEUM SECTOR B.1. Petroleum in the global energy mix 68 B.2. Maximize resource utilization on the NCS 69 B.3. Minimize environmental impact 70 B.4. Improve productivity and reduce costs 75 B.5. Develop innovative technologies 76 B.6. Attract, develop and retain the best talents 76 APPENDIX C – DETAILS ON PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS C.1. Prioritized technology needs for each TTA 79 C.2. Technology needs overview map 86 APPENDIX D – VALUE OF ADDRESSING TECHNOLOGY NEEDS D.1. Maximizing resource utilization 92 D.2. Minimizing environmental impact 93 D.3. Improve productivity and reduce costs 94 D.4. Develop innovative technologies 94 D.5. Attract, develop and retain the best talents 94 APPENDIX E – IMPLEMENTATION AND FOLLOW-UP E.1. Communication and stakeholder engagement 96 E.2. Implementation and follow-up 96
8 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Vega field Illustration: Statoil The petroleum industry is Norway’s most import- to address the challenges. OG21 was established ant industry in terms of income to the state, by the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy in 2001. employment, export of petroleum products and Since the first version of the strategy in 2001, the export of services and equipment to the global document has been revised every 5 years, and it petroleum industry. The successful development has been due for a new revision in 2016. of the Norwegian petroleum industry is founded on a skilled and competent workforce and the The OG21 strategy shall contribute to: implementation of advanced technologies. The ×× Efficient and environmentally friendly value Norwegian continental shelf is today one of the creation from the Norwegian continental shelf most technologically sophisticated petroleum for several generations. provinces in the world, and Norway based sup- ×× Development of world class petroleum expertise pliers have become global leaders within many and industry enterprises. offshore petroleum segments. It is likely that petroleum will continue to dominate OG21’S VISION IS: TECHNOLOGIES AND the global energy mix for decades to come. Less INNOVATION FOR A COMPETITIVE than 50 percent of petroleum resources on the NORWEGIAN PETROLEUM SECTOR. Norwegian continental shelf have been produced, and Norway is in a good position to supply petro- leum to the global market also in the future. The vision expresses a desire to secure the com- petitiveness of the Norwegian Continental Shelf New technologies and competencies to develop and of the Norway based petroleum supplier and adopt technologies will continue to be a key industry by developing, implementing and adopt- success factor in the further development of the ing technologies. The vision is supported by five Norwegian continental shelf and the Norway based strategic objectives: supplier industry. In response to this, OG21 (Oil and 1. Maximize resource utilization gas for the 21st century) has developed a national 2. Minimize environmental impact technology strategy for Norway that guides tech- 3. Improve productivity and reduce costs nology and research efforts of the authorities and 4. Develop innovative technologies the industry. OG21 brings government, business 5. Attract, develop and retain the best talents and research environments together to identify technology challenges and agree on strategies
10 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Subsurface map generated with advanced seismic data interpretation software. Illustration: Schlumberger The strategic objectives as well as related chal- ×× Improved subsea and unmanned systems: lenges and opportunities for the Norwegian Technologies that reduce development costs petroleum sector, are outlined in Section 3 of the and increase the capabilities of subsea and strategy document. unmanned production systems. ×× Enhanced oil recovery: Offshore technologies The main priorities of OG21 are reflected through that increase production of mobile oils and the choice of Technology Target Areas (TTAs): enable production of immobile oils. TTA1 Energy efficiency and environment ×× Digitalization: Enabling automation, autonomy TTA2 Exploration and increased recovery and ICT-technologies for all petroleum industry TTA3 Drilling, completions and intervention disciplines. The technology needs reach across TTA4 Production, processing and transport data acquisition, data management, data qual- ity, data integration, decision support and data Technology needs identified and prioritized security. through the TTAs are: ×× High North: Technologies that address particular ×× Improved energy efficiency: Technologies con- challenges of the currently opened areas in the tributing to more efficient energy production Norwegian parts of the Barents Sea, including and less energy consumption. shallow reservoirs, carbonates, long distances ×× Zero carbon emissions: Technologies enabling and logistics and protection of the environment. renewable power supply to offshore facilities, electricity from shore, CO₂ storage, CO₂ use for A further detailing and prioritization of technology enhanced recovery, and cost-efficient, needs is provided in the strategy document under de-carbonized hydrocarbon value chains. each Technology Target Area in Section 4. ×× Protection of the external environment: Systems and technologies that reduce oper- The value of technologies is realized when tech- ational discharges and emissions, improve nologies are applied or commercialized. Section management of safety barriers and minimize 5 of this strategy document therefore includes impacts of accidental spills. discussions of drivers and barriers to technology ×× Subsurface understanding: Technologies for development, adoption and implementation. better understanding of geology and reservoirs. ×× Drilling efficiency and P&A: Technologies that RECOMMENDATIONS ON ADDRESSING reduce the overall work effort for well construc- PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS: tion and well plugging, thereby lowering the OG21 is of the opinion that the current organiza- costs of exploration and production wells as well tion and structure of the public funded innovation as of plugging and abandonment (P&A). system works well for the petroleum industry, and ×× Production optimization: Processing, downhole should be continued. Public funded petroleum and intervention technologies that increase the research programs should now be updated to regularity, availability and productivity of wells reflect the prioritized technology needs and the and installations. recommendations of the revised OG21 strategy.
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 11 OG21 calls for a strengthening of public funding of petroleum research. Public funding of petroleum research offers high return to the society and is becoming increasingly more important as a result of more complex technology challenges on the Norwegian continental shelf. The Petromaks2 budget should be increased considerably over the 2017–2021 period, whereas the Demo2000 budget, which increased substantially from 2015 to 2016, should be maintained at the 2016 nominal level over the 2017–2021 period. Petro Centers address topics of high strategic importance, and a new center on low emission petroleum technologies should be considered. Petroleum industry enterprises, universities and research institutes should update their R&D and technology strategies to reflect the guidance in the revised OG21 strategy. RECOMMENDATIONS ON HOW THE APPLICATION OF VALUE-ADDING TECHNOLOGIES COULD BE STIMULATED: Barriers to technology adoption and implementa- tion should be reduced. Authorities should look at incentives mechanisms to encourage the implemen- tation of new technologies with high societal value. Cap X. Illustration: Statoil The industry should continue its efforts on stan- dardization to simplify implementation of new technologies and reduce unit costs. Cross-disciplinary research that includes social sciences could be important to further understand drivers and barriers to technology development, adoption and implementation, and should be inte- grated in public funded petroleum research programs.
12 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Åsgard subsea gas compression. Photo: Aker Solutions RECOMMENDATIONS ON ADDRESSING OG21 strategy implementation: COMPETENCE NEEDS: Learning from other industries and adopting OG21 will communicate the strategy to its stake- solutions from other regions of the world would be holders through conferences, seminars and an efficient approach to address many of the prior- meetings. OG21 has well established connections itized technology needs, and should be reflected in with most stakeholder groups. These connections public and industry R&D and technology strategies will be maintained. OG21 needs to strengthen its and programs. engagement with the supplier industry, and will leverage established industry clusters’ networks to The petroleum industry has lost competence achieve this. during the activity downturn in 2014–2016. A com- petence and organizational capability shortage Implementation status is evaluated annually by could hit the petroleum industry when activities the OG21 board. Topics that need further follow-up rebound. The industry needs to maintain core through deep dive studies or stakeholder engage- competencies and capacity throughout activity ment are included in the annual OG21 activity cycles. plans. The activity downturn has also reduced the indus- OG21 strategic recommendations and results from try’s attractiveness to students and professionals. deep dive studies are presented and discussed OG21 and industry organizations need to put at the annual OG21-forum, open to all interested special efforts into increasing students’ interest for stakeholders. petroleum core subjects, and to attract profes- sionals with digitalization, automation and ICT competencies. Section 6 of the strategy document contains fur- ther details on the recommendations.
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 13 SUMMARIZED OVERVIEW OF THE OG21 STRATEGY: VISION: TECHNOLOGIES AND INNOVATION FOR A COMPETITIVE NORWEGIAN PETROLEUM SECTOR STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES: ×× Maximize resource utilization ×× Minimize environmental impact ×× Improve productivity and reduce costs ×× Develop innovative technologies ×× Attract, develop and retain the best talents TECHNOLOGY NEEDS (DETAILS IN SECTION 4) Improved energy Zero carbon Protection of Subsurface Drilling efficiency efficiency emissions the external understanding and P&A environment Production Improved subsea Enhanced oil Digitalization High North optimization and unmanned recovery technologies systems STRATEGIC RECOMMENDATIONS (DETAILS IN SECTION 6) Address prioritized Stimulate application of Address technology needs value-adding technologies competence needs
14 PURPOSE AND SCOPE
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 15 02 PURPOSE AND SCOPE 2.1 About OG21 16 2.2 Purpose of this strategy revision 17 2.3 New elements in this strategy revision 18 2.4 Interfaces with other strategy documents 18 2.5 Abbreviations 19 Subsea factory. Illustration: Aker Solutions
16 PURPOSE AND SCOPE PURPOSE AND SCOPE Åsgard subsea compression. Photo: Elin A. Isaksen / Statoil 2.1 About OG21 Technology opportunities and chal- lenges have been identified, described OG21 has its mandate from the and prioritized by Technology Target Norwegian Ministry of Petroleum and Area groups (TTAs): Energy (MPE). The purpose of OG21 is TTA1 Energy efficiency and to “contribute to efficient and environ- environment mentally friendly value creation from TTA2 Exploration and increased the Norwegian oil and gas resources recovery through a coordinated engagement of TTA3 Drilling, completions and the Norwegian petroleum cluster within intervention education, research, development, TTA4 Production, processing and demonstration and commercialization. transport OG21 will inspire the development and use of better skills and technology”. The TTAs have members from oil com- panies, universities, research institutes, OG21 brings together oil companies, suppliers, regulators and public bodies. universities, research institutes, sup- pliers, regulators and public bodies to Appendix A provides further details on develop a national petroleum technol- OG21 and its organization. ogy strategy for Norway.
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 17 Johan Sverdrup. Illustration: Statoil 2.2 Purpose of this tion, technologies will need to have a licensing round. potential application on the Norwegian ×× Increased international competition strategy revision continental shelf to become prioritized in the offshore petroleum service by OG21. markets. The first OG21 strategy document was ×× Reduced activities and uncertainties developed in 2001. The strategy docu- Since the OG21 strategy was last revised about the future activity level, result- ment has been revised every 5 years. It in 2011, several influencing factors have ing in restructuring of companies and was last revised in 2011 and it is due for emerged or changed, for example: redundancies. a new revision in 2016. ×× Cost inflation on equipment and ser- ×× An increasing pace of digitalization vices in the petroleum industry. and automation in all industries. The OG21 strategy provides recommen- ×× Oil price decline and uncertain future dations to the Norwegian petroleum price development. sector on research and development ×× An increased attention to green- (R&D) and technology prioritizations. It house gas (GHG) emissions and new addresses the full R&D value chain from pledges to reduce emissions through ideas to technology implementation. the COP21 agreement. ×× Delimitation agreement between Technology needs have been prioritized Russia and Norway in the Barents based on the degree of alignment with Sea, and acreage awards in the OG21’s strategic objectives. In addi- South-East Barents Sea in the 23rd
18 PURPOSE AND SCOPE 2.3 New elements in this 2.4 Interfaces with other strategy revision strategy documents New elements as compared to the pre- OG21 has important interfaces to other vious revision of the strategy document, strategy processes. See figure 1. are: ×× Energy efficiency and reduction of Energi21 is the national technology GHG emissions have been evaluated strategy for renewable energy. OG21 across all Technology Target Areas. has interfaces with Energi21 on Carbon ×× Digitalization and automation capture and storage (CCS), power discussed into detail across all transmission and use of renewables for Technology Target Areas. power supply. ×× Specific technology needs for High North (i.e. within currently opened Maritim21 is the national technology areas including South East Barents strategy for the maritime industry. Sea) identified across all Technology Interfaces with OG21 include: marine Target Areas. operations, mobile drilling units, gas ×× Barriers to technology implementa- transport, emergency preparedness tion and adoption, and measures to technologies and automation and reduce barriers, have been identified. autonomy. Maritim21 revises its strategy ×× A need for social science research in 2016. to further understand drivers and barriers for technology application, The Research Council of Norway has been identified. develops a new Petroleum health, safety and working environment (HSE) strategy (knowledge basis) document in 2016. It includes HSE elements such as working environment, occupational FIGURE 1 Interfaces between OG21 and other strategy processes safety and major accident risks. OG21 covers technical integrity, reliability and maintenance, environmental risks and environmental preparedness ENERGI21 technologies. MARITIM21 The Norwegian Oil and Gas Association and the Federation of Norwegian OG21 Industries has issued a technology road- RCN – PETROLEUM HSE map towards 2050 that describes at a generic level, the need for technologies NOROG AND NORSK INDUSTRI- within the petroleum sector to improve TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP 2050 energy efficiency and reduce climate gas emissions.
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 19 2.5 Abbreviations AICV Autonomous inflow control valve NCS Norwegian continental shelf bbl Barrels NIFU Nordisk institutt for studier av BCG Boston Consulting Group innovasjon, forskning og utdanning bcm Billion cubic meters NOU Norsk offentlig utredning boe Barrels oil equivalent nmVOC Non-methane volatile organic compound BOP Blowout preventer NPD The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate CCS Carbon capture and storage NVCA The Norwegian Venture Capital & Private COE Center of excellence Equity Association COP21 Conference of the parties (2015 United OG21 Oil and gas for the 21st century Nations Climate Change Conference) opex Operational expenditures CRI Center for research based innovation P&A Plugging and abandonment EU The European Union PDO Plan for development and operation EOR Enhanced oil recovery PSA The Petroleum Safety Authority IEA The International Energy Agency SIVA Selskaper for industrivekst GCE Global centre of excellence STEM Science, technology, engineering and GHG Greenhouse gases mathematics G&G Geology and geophysics R&D&I Research and development and ICT Information and communication innovation technology RCN The Research Council of Norway IN Innovation Norway RLWI Riserless light well intervention IOR Improved oil recovery SSB Statistisk Sentralbyrå IP Intellectual property TCM Technology Center Mongstad IPCC International panel on climate change TTA Technology Target Area LTP Langtidsplan for forskning og høyere UiS University of Stavanger utdanning UiT University of Tromsø MLT Multi-lateral technology 450S 450 parts CO₂ per million, scenario from MPE The Ministry of Petroleum and Energy IEA corresponding to IPCC’s 2 degrees NCE National centre of excellence scenario
20 OG21'S VISION AND STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 21 03 OG21'S VISION AND STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES Photo: Shutterstock
22 OG21'S VISION AND STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES OG21'S VISION AND STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES OG21’s vision and strategic objectives The vision is supported by five stra- are shown in Figure 2. tegic objectives. Table 1 shows the strategic objectives and a summary of OG21’s vision “Technologies and inno- opportunities and challenges related to vation for a competitive Norwegian each. Opportunities and challenges are petroleum sector”, expresses a desire to described in more detail in Appendix B. make the Norwegian continental shelf highly competitive with other petro- The strategic objectives have formed leum provinces in the world through the basis for the identification and prior- the application of safe, efficient, and itization of technology and competence productivity enhancing technologies. needs described in section 4. It includes an ambition of further strengthening Norwegian competence and technology providers to become successful in the international market for offshore petroleum equipment and services. FIGURE 2 OG21’s vision and strategic objectives VISION: TECHNOLOGIES AND INNOVATION FOR A COMPETITIVE NORWEGIAN PETROLEUM SECTOR Maximize Minimize Improve Develop resource environmental productivity and innovative utilization. impact. reduce costs. technologies Attract, develop and retain the best talents
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 23 TABLE 1 OG21 strategic objectives, and summary of opportunities and challenges related to each STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES Maximize resource ×× Optimize production from existing fields – About two thirds of the NCS production utilization in 2030 is expected to come from existing fields (i.e. with approved PDO), of which a large portion from legacy fields. Need to maintain mechanical integrity, keeping opex/bbl low and have cost-efficient wells. ×× Mature portfolio of discoveries to become sanctioned projects – approximately 68 out of 88 existing discoveries (in 2016) are likely to be subsea developments w/ tie-back to existing infrastructure. This calls for life extension of hubs, de-bottlenecking and cost-efficient subsea solutions. ×× Exploration efforts over the next years vital to replace production after 2030. ×× Production and reserves forecasts are dependent upon cost levels. Keeping costs down is essential. ×× Develop High North discoveries with low carbon footprint. Particular challenges include shallow reservoirs, karstified carbonates, long-distances, and concerns for potential environmental impact. Minimize environmental ×× Improve energy efficiency of existing infrastructure – The petroleum production impact represented 28% of Norway’s CO₂-emissions in 2015. ×× Develop low-carbon solutions for new fields – New large fields could produce for decades to come. ×× Reduce environmental risk from continuous discharges –Norway has a global leading position on low emissions and discharges, and the position should be maintained. ×× Reduce risk for accidental releases – Low risk acceptance, especially High North, calls for continued efforts to improve mechanical integrity, monitoring and oil spill preparedness. Improve productivity and ×× NCS needs to stay competitive compared to onshore and offshore petroleum reduce costs provinces elsewhere. ×× Develop and implement technologies that enable faster and higher production with less effort and with improved safety. Need for remote control, automation and autonomy. ×× Reduce opex for mature fields – Currently competitive opex/bbl on the NCS, but increase in opex/bbl expected unless productivity is improved. Develop innovative ×× Strengthen Norwegian technology and competence suppliers’ global competitive technologies position – Strong growth 2001–2014, drop in 2015–2016, a possible rebound within few years, if able to adapt products and services to new market realities. ×× Respond to growing international competition in important market segments – Market shares have dropped in subsea and drilling equipment segments. ×× Maintain the Norwegian Continental Shelf as a province for testing and early use of value-adding technologies. Attract, develop and retain ×× Turn young people’s perception of the petroleum industry – Norway’s petroleum the best talents industry delivers energy to the world’s growing population, and does so with the lowest carbon footprint of the global petroleum provinces. ×× The industry needs access to qualified people and sufficient capacity for the future activity level.
24 PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 25 04 PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS 4.1 TTA1 – prioritized technology needs 28 4.2 TTA2 – prioritized technology needs 29 4.3 TTA3 – prioritized technology needs 30 4.4 TTA4 – prioritized technology needs 31 4.5 Addressing technology needs 33 Hugin. Photo: Kongsberg Maritime
26 PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS The Goliat field Photo: Eni Norge Åsgård subsea compression system. Illustration: Aker Solutions Technology needs have been priori- ×× P rotection of the external environ- development costs and increase the tized based on the degree of alignment ment: Systems and technologies that capabilities of subsea and unmanned with strategic objectives and the reduce operational discharges and production systems. potential business and societal values. emissions, improve management of ×× Enhanced oil recovery: Offshore Furthermore, technologies will need safety barriers and minimize impacts technologies that increase pro- to have a potential application on the of accidental spills. duction of mobile oils and enable Norwegian continental shelf to become ×× Subsurface understanding: production of immobile oils. prioritized. Technologies for better understand- ×× Digitalization: Enabling automation, ing of geology and reservoirs. autonomy and ICT-technologies for n a high level, the detailed technology O ×× Drilling efficiency and P&A: all petroleum industry disciplines. needs prioritized by the TTAs fall under Technologies that reduce the overall The technology needs reach across the categories: work effort for well construction and data acquisition, data management, ×× Improved energy efficiency: well plugging, thereby lowering the data quality, data integration, deci- Technologies contributing to more costs of exploration and production sion support and data security. efficient energy production and less wells as well as of plugging and ×× High North: Technologies that energy consumption. abandonment (P&A). address particular challenges of ×× Zero carbon emissions: Technologies ×× Production optimization: Processing, the currently opened areas in the enabling renewable power supply downhole and intervention technol- Norwegian parts of the Barents Sea, to offshore facilities, electricity from ogies that increase the regularity, including shallow reservoirs, carbon- shore, CO₂ storage, CO₂ use for availability and productivity of wells ates, long distances and logistics and enhanced recovery, and cost-efficient, and installations. protection of the environment. de-carbonized hydrocarbon value ×× Improved subsea and unmanned chains. systems: Technologies that reduce
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 27
28 PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS T TA1 – prioritized technology needs 4.1 The prioritized technology needs of TTA1 – Energy efficiency and environment are summarized in Figure 3. A detailed list of the TTA1 prioritized technology needs is provided in Appendix C FIGURE 3 Technology needs prioritized by TTA1 – Energy efficiency and environment OG21 VISION: TECHNOLOGIES AND INNOVATION FOR A COMPETITIVE NORWEGIAN PETROLEUM SECTOR STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES: ×× Maximize resource utilization ×× Minimize environmental impact ×× Improve productivity and reduce costs ×× Develop innovative technologies ×× Attract, develop and retain the best talents TTA1 – ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND ENVIRONMENT: PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS Integrated environmental Oil spill preparedness Produced water Cost effective subsea monitoring and modelling management for EOR safety barriers systems chemicals Improved efficiency Improved weather Improved Technical safety of power and heat forecasting High North communications High barriers High North production North
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 29 4.2 T TA2 – prioritized technology needs The prioritized technology needs by TTA2 – Exploration and increased recovery are summarized in Figure 4. A detailed list of the TTA2 prioritized technology needs is provided in Appendix C. FIGURE 4 Technology needs prioritized by TTA2 – Exploration and increased recovery OG21 VISION: TECHNOLOGIES AND INNOVATION FOR A COMPETITIVE NORWEGIAN PETROLEUM SECTOR STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES: ×× Maximize resource utilization ×× Minimize environmental impact ×× Improve productivity and reduce costs ×× Develop innovative technologies ×× Attract, develop and retain the best talents TTA2 – EXPLORATION AND INCREASED RECOVERY: PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS CO2 for EOR and storage Improved reservoir Understand and maintain well understanding and management productivity, and smart well solutions Improved HC-prospect Water diversion and radical new Improved exploration identification EOR methods technologies
30 PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS 4.3 T TA3 – prioritized technology needs The prioritized technology needs by TTA3 – Drilling, completions and intervention are summarized in Figure 5. A detailed list of the TTA3 prioritized technology needs is provided in Appendix C. FIGURE 5 Technology needs prioritized by TTA3 – Drilling, completions and intervention OG21 VISION: TECHNOLOGIES AND INNOVATION FOR A COMPETITIVE NORWEGIAN PETROLEUM SECTOR STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES: ×× Maximize resource utilization ×× Minimize environmental impact ×× Improve productivity and reduce costs ×× Develop innovative technologies ×× Attract, develop and retain the best talents TTA3 – DRILLING, COMPLETIONS AND INTERVENTION: PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS Smart well Drilling and Drilling automation All electric Reduce intervention solutions completion for and autonomy subsea wells cost and increase challenging reservoir exposure from reservoirs existing subsea wells. Energy efficient Plugging and High North wellbore High North shallow rig power abandonment positioning and reservoirs drilling generation of wells navigation systems solutions
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 31 4.4 T TA4 – prioritized technology needs The prioritized technology needs by TTA4 – Production, processing and transport are summarized in Figure 6. A detailed list of the TTA4 prioritized technology needs is provided in Appendix C. FIGURE 6 Technology needs prioritized by TTA4 – Production, processing and transport OG21 VISION: TECHNOLOGIES AND INNOVATION FOR A COMPETITIVE NORWEGIAN PETROLEUM SECTOR STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES: ×× Maximize resource utilization ×× Minimize environmental impact ×× Improve productivity and reduce costs ×× Develop innovative technologies ×× Attract, develop and retain the best talents TTA4 – PRODUCTION, PROCESSING AND TRANSPORT: PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS Life extension Produced Unmanned operations Efficient marine Integrated of fields water handling operations monitoring Lean stand-alone Flexible field Cost-efficient utilization Autonomous Energy field development development of host platform by subsea components, systems generation and concepts concepts developments and decision support management Process simulation High North High North shallow and optimization flow assurance reservoirs, subsea facilities incl. subsea compression
32 PRIORITIZED TECHNOLOGY NEEDS
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 33 Continuous Motion Rig. Photo: West Group RDS drill floor robot. Photo: Robotic Drilling System. 4.5 Addressing It is the industry's responsibility and also in their own best interest, to technology needs develop, implement and adopt technol- ogies. However, as described in Section According to a study conducted by 5.1, many barriers exist for efficient Rystad Energy (2016), development and development and application of new application of technologies addressing technologies. A typical example is that the OG21 priorities offer huge rewards new technologies and competencies to businesses and society. The main often become available in the market findings of the study are presented in within short time after development. Appendix D. Combined with the deployment risks and potential costs associated with OG21's ambition is that the high new technologies, the incentives for estimated value of new technology conducting R&D and testing out new will encourage industry enterprises to technologies may be too weak. develop and implement technologies addressing the prioritized technology Public support of petroleum research needs. OG21 recommends that stake- therefore continues to be important holders such as industry enterprises, to stimulate technology development, universities and research institutes, and public funded petroleum R&D consider the OG21 priorities when programs should now be updated to updating their R&D / technology reflect the OG21 priorities. strategies.
34 INCENTIVES AND BARRIERS TO TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 35 05 INCENTIVES AND BARRIERS TO TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION 5.1 Barriers to technology development and application 36 5.2 Strategies to reduce or remove barriers 36 5.3 The Norwegian innovation system and competence needs 38 5.4 Petroleum R&D funding and prioritizations 44 5.5 Private equity investments in technology development 46 5.6 Technology and competence transfer between industries 47 5.7 New business models 48 5.8 Social science and cross-disciplinary research 49 Installation of Nini East. Photo: DEA Deutsche Erdoel AG
36 INCENTIVES AND BARRIERS TO TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION INCENTIVES AND BARRIERS TO TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION High societal Barriers to 5.1 value, but lower Piloting business value challenges technology development and application NCS Contractual structural barriers OG21 have identified barriers to technol- challenges ogy development and implementation. LEADERSHIP AND An overview is shown in Figure 7, and COMMITMENT High Lack of more details are given in Table 2. perceived standardization/ risks standards FIGURE 7 Types of barriers to technology development Lack of and implementation Technology full potential competence not harvested and organizational capability 5.2 Strategies to reduce or But the responsibility and opportunity standard technical specifications, to reduce or remove most barriers lay as well as standard interfaces and remove barriers with OG21's stakeholders. OG21 there- communication protocols to enable fore needs to engage its stakeholders to component interchangeability. OG21 works to reduce barriers for tech- take ownership of actions: nology development and application in ×× The industry should work to enhance urthermore, the authorities could con- F three ways: the use of novel, value-adding tech- tribute to reducing barriers by: 1. Address what OG21 can directly nologies through measures such as: ×× The authorities should evaluate influence. – Contract strategies in projects whether sufficient incentives are in 2. Recommend R&D to reduce barriers. that encourage the use of new place to encourage the application 3. Engage stakeholders that can reduce value-adding technology. of new technologies with high soci- barriers. – Commercialization strategies with etal value. robust partnerships and convinc- ×× Authorities should actively Elements that OG21 can directly influ- ing business cases. use established instruments to ence are mainly related to public R&D ×× The industry should continue its encourage implementation of val- priorities, covered in section 5.4 in this standardization efforts to simplify ue-improving technologies. report. Further R&D to reduce barriers is deployment of new technology and ×× The effects of the voting rules in discussed in Section 5.8. reduce unit costs. Examples include NCS licenses on technology uptake standard material specifications, should be further investigated.
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 37 TABLE 2 Barriers to technology development and implementation BARRIERS DESCRIPTION Technologies full potential ×× Component potential not utilized due to inferior system compatibility, lack of not harvested integration or system bottlenecks. ×× Effects dependent upon other new or legacy systems/technologies (brownfield). ×× Insufficient access to input resources, e.g. power, CO₂, data and information. ×× Operational envelope not fully utilized due to lack of trust in new technology. ×× Lack of a functioning CCS value chain. High perceived risks ×× Some technologies are intrusive - affect cash flow if problems. ×× Risk perception, aversion and conservatism. ×× Perceived or real HSE risks. Contractual barriers ×× Lack of contract incentives that encourage the use of new, value-adding technologies. ×× Unclear IP-rights. High societal value, but ×× Required rate of return higher in oil companies than for the state. lower business value ×× Capital constraints - capital intensive technologies are not favored. ×× Market too small for technologies addressing too specific needs. Piloting and first use ×× Lack of access to real conditions for some types of technologies, e.g. oil spill challenges technologies, intrusive technologies. ×× Logistical challenges - Lack of field infrastructure, remoteness, environmental concerns, quantities of equipment or chemicals. ×× High costs. ×× Uncertainty of effects, e.g. for EOR -long time until effects materialize. ×× Reliability/integrity of new technologies improve over time – first mover disadvantage. ×× Weaknesses in partnership. ×× Lack of long-term commitment from oil companies. NCS structural challenges ×× Smaller fields/licenses have lower capacity to carry technology development. ×× NCS portfolio effects not considered – optimization on project level. ×× Wide spread in focus among operators from integrated oil&gas companies with technology focus to financial entities with little intention of technology development and implementation. ×× License voting rules blocking technology implementation. ×× Lack of competition among suppliers. ×× Lack of infrastructure in frontier areas. Competence and ×× Lack of organizational capability to understand and address technology needs. organizational capability ×× Lack of competence to develop and implement technologies. Lack of standardization/ ×× Lack of standard interfaces and communication protocols that enable component standards interchangeability. ×× Lack of standard technical specifications and materials specifications Leadership and ×× Strategic decisions of being “fast followers” or “market proven”-procurement only. commitment ×× Lack of steering signals or ambiguous steering signals on importance of innovation, risk acceptance and need for change.
38 INCENTIVES AND BARRIERS TO TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION FIGURE 8 Illustration of the Norwegian innovation system, based on collaboration and interaction Supplier Research Operators Spin-offs Authorities Industry Institutes Innovation Universities SIVA COE/CRI/FME Enova Norway Investors International Petro Centers OG21 RCN – seed money research 5.3 The Norwegian SIVA has an important role for the com- strategic challenge for the industry, mercialization of technologies at higher and it covers a phase when access to innovation system and education institutions as it provides capital is scarce. In addition to support competence needs infrastructure for industry, startups and of demonstration and first use of new research environments. SIVA's incubator technologies, ENOVA also provides The Norwegian innovation system is program is of particular importance financial support for implementation characterized by collaboration and (NIFU, 2015). of proven technologies resulting in close connections between industry improved energy efficiency and reduced enterprises, research institutes and OG21 is of the opinion that the public CO₂-emissions. universities, public bodies and financial R&D&I financing instruments serve the investors and funds, as illustrated in petroleum industry well, and that it has Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is Figure 8. contributed to creating world leading an important strategic element for EU petroleum clusters. The instruments in its plans for reductions of greenhouse OG21, with its 100+ people network, include: gas emissions, and for Norway both in contributes with a focused technology ×× Sector specific R&D programs such terms of being an integral part of the strategy aligning stakeholders around as Petromaks2 and Demo2000. EU greenhouse gas emission system common goals and technology needs. ×× Petro Centers (IOR-senter at UiS and and for strengthening the future market The OG21 strategy is operationalized ARCEx at UiTromsø) position for natural gas. Climit is an R&D through public R&D programmes and ×× Open R&D arenas where petro- program managed by Gassnova and support instruments and engagement leum sector enterprises compete the Research Council of Norway, which of industry enterprises. OG21 is one with other industries, e.g. Centers supports technology development important cog in an efficient innovation of Excellence, Centers for research within CO₂ capture, transport, injection system that has resulted in global lead- based innovations, and Infrastructure. and storage. Gassnova manages the ing petroleum clusters. ×× SkatteFUNN. CO₂ capture demonstration project at ×× Industry Innovation Norway sup- Technology Center Mongstad (TCM), Public support of R&D&I is channelled ported cluster programs such as and is also responsible for the planning through the institutions: the Research GCE Node, GCE Subsea, GCE Blue of full scale projects with the aim of Council of Norway, Innovation Norway Maritime and Subsea Valley. demonstrating the full CCS chain from (IN), ENOVA, Gassnova and SIVA. The capture to storage. main support mechanisms and pro- ENOVA funding of energy efficiency grammes offered by RCN, IN, ENOVA and and climate technology projects is a Gassnova, relevant for petroleum related new and important opportunity for enterprises, are shown in Figure 9. the petroleum sector. It addresses a
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 39 FIGURE 9 R&D&I financing instruments managed by the RCN, Innovation Norway and ENOVA RESEARCH COUNCIL OF Petromaks2 Demo2000 NORWAY Petro Centers COE CRI SkatteFUNN INFRASTRUCTURE Forny2020 Centres for env.friendly energy research Climit R&D GASSNOVA Climit Demo TCM Full scale INNOVATION GCEs / NCEs/ Arena NORWAY Pre-seed funds Seed funds (e.g. ProVenture Seed II) Start-up grants Innovation / risk loans IFU / OFU Env. techn. arrangement ENOVA Grants Energy and Climate Technology Phases of Pre-seed Seed Venture industrialization Technology 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 maturity (API 17N) Unproven Study or Experimental Prototype Pre- Production Production Production concept experiment proof of tested production system system system field Basic R&D to prove concept system interface installed and proven concept environment tested tested tested
40 INCENTIVES AND BARRIERS TO TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 41 Technology Center Mongstad. Photo: TCM A major obstacle to CCS within EU is OG21’s technology priorities are oper- in Figure 11: OG21 reviews the program access to suitable storage locations. ationalized, among others, through plans, and RCN monitors that the proj- NPD has developed CO₂ storage atlases research programs administered by ect portfolios reflect the program plans demonstrating that the NCS, and the RCN, see Figure 10. OG21 believes through portfolio evaluations. especially the North Sea, is well suited that the established R&D programs’ for storage of large quantities of CO₂. structure and organization support the The challenge of harvesting the full CO₂ is in many cases also efficient as an close collaboration philosophy. The potential of new technologies was injection fluid for enhanced oil recovery, petroleum programs' boards have a identified as a barrier in Section 5.1. but access to sufficient quantities of broad industry representation, and their OG21 therefore recommends: To better CO₂ has historically been a limitation on project evaluation processes and criteria understand the value of new technolo- the NCS. reflect industry needs. The competition gies and how technologies depend on for funding and the project selection system integration, petroleum research To make CCS attractive, costs need to process results in high quality R&D programs should encourage holistic be reduced and a well-functioning value projects. R&D approaches, including system chain needs to be established. The public perspectives. funded Climit, TCM and full-scale demon- A successful implementation of the stration programs organized through OG21 strategy in public funded R&D RCN and Gassnova and co-funded by projects is reflected in the RCN project industry partners, are important stepping portfolio. The implementation is being stones to achieve this. monitored through two steps as shown FIGURE 11 FIGURE 10 Implementation of the OG21 strategy through OG21 influences public petroleum R&D funding and priorities RCN petroleum R&D programs NORWEGIAN MINISTRY OF PETROLEUM AND ENERGY OG21 STRATEGY Vetting OG21 PROGRAM PLANS THE RESEARCH COUNCIL OF NORWAY ×× Demo2000 Portfolio evaluations ×× Petromaks2 PETROMAKS 2 DEMO 2000 PETRO CENTER R&D PROJECTS
42 INCENTIVES AND BARRIERS TO TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION Sand screen test lab. Photo: Hung Ngo / Iris OG21 advocates close collaboration Governmental white paper on research relevant. The petroleum industry is between industry and universities/ and higher education (Langtidsplan for complex and technologically chal- research institutes. Within technology forskning og høyere utdanning – LTP) lenging. It needs professionals from disciplines, close industry involvement on the need for such collaboration (St. many disciplines such as economics, is associated with high quality research meld. nr. 7, 2014–2015). law, mathematics, natural science and (Perkmann et al, 2011). Collaboration engineering and technology. A general results in high industry relevance of LTP describes a need for more Ph.D’s high educational level is important for R&D, and it provides the industry access within technology, mathematics and developing and maintaining world lead- to new ideas and solutions. A NIFU natural science. The public petroleum ing industry clusters. report suggests that Norwegian uni- research funding through the Research versities are industry oriented and that Council of Norway is an important For addressing the OG21's scope, the they conduct more applied technology contributor to Ph.D.-education in natural science, technology, engineer- research than the average of universities Norway with 122-136 Ph.D. positions ing and mathematics (STEM) subjects in 13 other countries (2011). The report during the years 2013–2015 (RCN, are considered the most important. refers to other studies that suggest that 2016). Petromaks2 is the dominant According to a NIFU study, STEM a Norwegian engineering and technol- source of petroleum Ph.D. funding, subjects increased significantly in pop- ogy research culture has evolved over but with important contributions also ularity among students at Norwegian time that prioritizes industry relevance through other programs such as the institutions for higher education during over academic publishing. Petro Centers, the Industry Ph.D.- the period 2003–2013 (NIFU, 2014). arrangement, and various COEs/CRIs. The same study did however not find Likewise, close connections between a corresponding increase neither in industry and academia in the design Collaboration across disciplines such direct research funding nor academic of study programs is important for as engineering, physics and social personnel for the STEM subjects. The the continual development of industry science spur innovation (St.meld. nr. 7, modest increase in research funding is relevant competencies. OG21 therefore 2014–2015). OG21 encourages cross- entirely linked to external sources, such supports the recommendation in the discipline R&D collaboration when as through the RCN.
OG21 - Oil and gas for the 21st century 43 A GENERAL HIGH EDUCATIONAL LEVEL IS IMPORTANT FOR DEVELOPING AND MAINTAINING WORLD LEADING INDUSTRY CLUSTERS. Despite the increase in STEM students, International collaboration is important, oritized in the EU research programs, a study carried out for OG21 reveals that and especially for smaller countries like national petroleum research as well as the petroleum industry could experi- Norway. Much of the competence and bilateral research collaboration become ence challenges in attracting highly technology development take place particularly important for the petroleum qualified candidates within petroleum internationally, and improvements industry (St.meld. nr. 7, 2014–2015). core disciplines such as geology, to productivity is dependent upon geophysics, and reservoir engineering the competence to apply and adopt Norway currently has bilateral (Rystad Energy, 2016). This is a concern technologies developed internationally agreements on petroleum research, to OG21, and OG21 needs to work with (NOU 2015:1). A study comparing uni- technology development and higher the petroleum industry to improve versities in 14 countries, concludes that education with among others the USA the attractiveness of the industry to Norwegian universities are significantly and Brazil, and further collaboration students. more internationally oriented than the agreements should be evaluated based average among the countries examined on strategic needs for the Norwegian The LTP describes a need for more (NIFU, 2011). petroleum industry, e.g. for the High people with advanced ICT-education. North. Professionals with advanced ICT Petroleum research is not priori- degrees are becoming increasingly tized within EU's research program more important to a petroleum industry Horizon2020. However, technologies going through a digitalization transi- with their origin in the petroleum indus- tion to become more automated. OG21 try could be developed and adopted supports the view of the LTP that R&D for use in other industries, and such on «enabling technologies» such as ICT, technologies are within the scope of the bio-technology, nano-technology and EU program (RCN, 2015). advanced production systems, should be strengthened. Since research on technologies for use in the petroleum industry is not pri-
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