OCBC TREASURY RESEARCH - Asian Credit Daily Monday, June 21, 2021

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OCBC TREASURY RESEARCH
      Asian Credit Daily
      Monday, June 21, 2021

      Market Commentary
      ▪ The SGD swap curve flattened last Friday, with shorter tenors
                                                                               Credit Research
        trading 1-3bps higher while belly tenors traded flattish to 1bps
        lower and longer tenors traded 3-4bps lower.                           Andrew Wong
                                                                               +65 6530 4736
      ▪ There were heavy flows in SGD corporates on Friday, including          WongVKAM@ocbc.com
        UOBSP 2.55%-PERPs, MAGIC 3.5%-PERPs, STSP 3.3%-PERPs,
        STANLN 5.375%-PERPs, MINTSP 3.15%-PERPs and CPIPGR                     Ezien Hoo, CFA
        5.8%-PERPs.                                                            +65 6722 2215
      ▪ UST 10Y Yields slipped 7bps to 1.44% while short-term yields           EzienHoo@ocbc.com
        gained after the Fed update, reflecting expectations for the Fed
        to gradually increase short-term rates with growth slowing over        Wong Hong Wei, CFA
        the long-term.                                                         +65 6722 2533
                                                                               WongHongWei@ocbc.com

                                                                               Seow Zhi Qi, CFA
                                                                               +65 6530 7348
                                                                               zhiqiseow@ocbc.com

      Credit Summary:
      ▪ CapitaLand Ltd (“CAPL”) | Issuer Profile: Neutral (3): Following the announcement last Wednesday that
        The Ascott Ltd (“Ascott”) and its hospitality trust Ascott Residence Trust will jointly invest and develop a
        freehold student accommodation in USA for USD109.9mn (SGD146.2mn), CAPL announced a separate
        move by Ascott to acquire two properties in France and Vietnam for SGD210mn through the Ascott Service
        Residence Global Fund (“ASRGF”).
      ▪ Commonwealth Bank of Australia (“CBA”) | Issuer Profile: Positive (2): CBA announced the sale of
        CommInsure General Insurance to Hollard Group. The total price is reportedly around AUD1bn, which
        includes an upfront AUD625mn payment and deferred payments on achieving certain milestones. The sale
        will increase CBA’s APRA compliant CET1 ratio by around AUD400mn or 9bps with a post-tax gain of around
        AUD90mn. CBA’s APRA compliant CET1 ratio remains solid at 12.7% as at 31 March 2021. This divestment is
        in line with CBA’s peers who have also divested their insurance businesses to focus on core banking
        businesses in Australia and New Zealand including Westpac Banking Corporation ((“Westpac”) | Issuer
        Profile: Positive (2)). We maintain the Positive (2) issuer profile.
      ▪ HSBC Holdings PLC (“HSBC”) | Issuer Profile: Neutral (3): Further to reports that HSBC has reportedly
        agreed to sell its French retail unit to private equity firm Cerberus, HSBC announced that the sale will cost
        around USD3bn. This is made up of a USD2.3bn pretax loss as well as a USD700mn goodwill impairment
        should the sale complete.

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OCBC TREASURY RESEARCH
Asian Credit Daily
Credit Headlines
CapitaLand Ltd (“CAPL”) | Issuer Profile: Neutral (3)
▪ Following the announcement last Wednesday that The Ascott Ltd (“Ascott”) and its hospitality trust
   Ascott Residence Trust will jointly invest and develop a freehold student accommodation in USA for
   USD109.9mn (SGD146.2mn), CAPL announced a separate move by Ascott to acquire two properties
   in France and Vietnam for SGD210mn through the Ascott Service Residence Global Fund (“ASRGF”).
▪ ASRGF is a 50-50 joint venture private equity fund with Qatar Investment Authority, which will boost
   Ascott’s total fund assets under management to about SGD8bn.
▪ The acquisition in France will be rebranded to a coliving property under the lyf brand. There are five
   more lyf properties in Singapore and China that will open in 2021, and will continue to look for
   opportunities to expand the lyf brand in gateway and tech cities in Asia Pacific and Europe. Ascott
   flagged that lyf Funan Singapore has an average occupancy rate of about 90%. (Company, OCBC)

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (“CBA”) | Issuer Profile: Positive (2)
▪ CBA announced the sale of CommInsure General Insurance to Hollard Group. The total price is
  reportedly around AUD1bn, which includes an upfront AUD625mn payment and deferred payments
  on achieving certain milestones.
▪ Other components of the sale include an exclusive 15 year strategic alliance for Hollard Group to
  distribute home and motor vehicle insurance to CBA customers and a pre-completion dividend. The
  transaction is expected to complete in mid-2022 and is subject to Australian Prudential Regulation
  Authority (“APRA”) approval.
▪ The sale will increase CBA’s APRA compliant CET1 ratio by around AUD400mn or 9bps with a post-tax
  gain of around AUD90mn. CBA’s APRA compliant CET1 ratio remains solid at 12.7% as at 31 March
  2021.
▪ This divestment is in line with CBA’s peers who have also divested their insurance businesses to focus
  on core banking businesses in Australia and New Zealand including Westpac Banking Corporation
  ((“Westpac”) | Issuer Profile: Positive (2)). We maintain the Positive (2) issuer profile. (Company,
  OCBC)

HSBC Holdings PLC (“HSBC”) | Issuer Profile: Neutral (3)
▪ Further to reports that HSBC has reportedly agreed to sell its French retail unit to private equity firm
  Cerberus, HSBC announced that the sale will cost around USD3bn. This is made up of a USD2.3bn
  pretax loss as well as a USD700mn goodwill impairment should the sale complete.
▪ The capital impact of 15bps will be mostly recorded in FY2022 with HSBC selling the loss making
  business for EUR1.
▪ Its CET1 ratio was 15.9% as at 31 March 2021, above its target range and also above its maximum
  distributable amount (“MDA”) requirement of 10.9%. The sale looks manageable at current
  fundamentals in our view. (Bloomberg, OCBC)

                                                                                                         Page 2
OCBC TREASURY RESEARCH
Asian Credit Daily
Key Market Movements

                                 1W chg   1M chg
                        21-Jun                                                21-Jun   1W chg    1M chg
                                  (bps)    (bps)

iTraxx Asiax IG           85       2        -4     Brent Crude Spot ($/bbl)    73.59    1.00%    10.76%

iTraxx SovX APAC          25       0        -2     Gold Spot ($/oz)           1,771.07 -5.10%    -5.86%

iTraxx Japan              45       0        -3     CRB                        205.86    -3.01%   2.48%

iTraxx Australia          58       1        -2     GSCI                       520.03    -2.25%   2.69%

CDX NA IG                 50       3        -1     VIX                         20.7     32.27%   2.73%

CDX NA HY                110       -1       0      CT10 (%)                   1.438%     -5.59   -18.35

iTraxx Eur Main           48       2        -4

iTraxx Eur XO            235       9       -19     AUD/USD                     0.751    -2.67%   -2.92%

iTraxx Eur Snr Fin        55       1        -4     EUR/USD                     1.187    -2.03%   -2.53%

iTraxx Eur Sub Fin       108       -9       -1     USD/SGD                     1.345    -1.36%   -0.94%

iTraxx Sovx WE            5        0        0      AUD/SGD                     1.009    1.35%    2.01%

USD Sw ap Spread 10Y      -4       -1       -1     ASX 200                     7,272    -0.55%   3.44%

USD Sw ap Spread 30Y     -31       0        -2     DJIA                       33,290    -3.45%   -2.68%

US Libor-OIS Spread       4        0        -4     SPX                         4,166    -1.91%   0.25%

Euro Libor-OIS Spread     -6       0        1      MSCI Asiax                   881     -1.17%   1.94%

                                                   HSI                        28,801    0.22%    1.20%

China 5Y CDS              37       2        -3     STI                         3,144    -0.44%   0.84%

Malaysia 5Y CDS           45       2        -2     KLCI                        1,589    0.88%    1.72%

Indonesia 5Y CDS          74       2        -4     JCI                         6,007    -1.45%   4.05%

Thailand 5Y CDS           38       1        -3     EU Stoxx 50                 4,083    -1.05%   1.43%

Australia 5Y CDS          15       0       -12                                         Source: Bloomberg

                                                                                                      Page 3
OCBC TREASURY RESEARCH
Asian Credit Daily
New Issues
▪ Jinan HI-Tech International Cayman Investment Development Co Ltd priced a USD170mn 3-year
  senior unsecured bond at 2.5%, tightening from IPT of 3% area.
  Date                                              Size      Tenor              Pricing

             Jinan HI-Tech International Cayman
18-June-21                                        USD170mn    3-year              2.5%
               Investment Development Co Ltd

                                                                       Source: OCBC, Bloomberg

                                                                                            Page 4
OCBC TREASURY RESEARCH
Asian Credit Daily
Treasury Research & Strategy
Macro Research
Selena Ling                             Tommy Xie Dongming                       Wellian Wiranto                          Howie Lee
Head of Research & Strategy             Head of Greater China                    Malaysia & Indonesia                     Thailand, Korea &
LingSSSelena@ocbc.com                   Research                                 WellianWiranto@ocbc.com                  Commodities
                                        XieD@ocbc.com                                                                     HowieLee@ocbc.com

Carie Li                                Herbert Wong
Hong Kong & Macau                       Hong Kong & Macau
carierli@ocbcwh.com                     herberthtwong@ocbcwh.com

FX/Rates Strategy
Frances Cheung                          Terence Wu
Rates Strategist                        FX Strategist
FrancesCheung@ocbc.com                  TerenceWu@ocbc.com

Credit Research
Andrew Wong                             Ezien Hoo                                Wong Hong Wei                            Seow Zhi Qi
Credit Research Analyst                 Credit Research Analyst                  Credit Research Analyst                  Credit Research Analyst
WongVKAM@ocbc.com                       EzienHoo@ocbc.com                        WongHongWei@ocbc.com                     ZhiQiSeow@ocbc.com

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