OBSERVE - Social media in 2020: The Odgers Berndtson Global Magazine
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OBSERVE The Odgers Berndtson Global Magazine_ Issue 01 2015 Social media in 2020: the experts’ opinion
Contents Welcome 16 45 Observatory 6 News, information and ideas that affect global business today COVER: Social media 10 Where will social media be in the year 2020? Our expert panel provides some answers Vox I: All in the mind 15 What HR can learn from the science of neurobiology Delphi’s Rodney O’Neal 16 An exclusive interview with the outgoing President and CEO of It’s fair to say that over the past five years social Delphi Automotive media has dominated the business and consumer Passing the litmus test 20 landscape. Never before have there been so A detailed look at emerging many social media players offering such a wide markets’ approach to governance array of opportunities to engage with friends, The Medtech challenge 24 colleagues, customers and communities. What next for the fast-growing Our cover story for this issue of Observe tries medical technology industry? “If you are not to picture what the social media landscape will be like in the year 2020. We asked experts from Digital business transformation 29 The external digital techniques prepared you cannot a range of different disciplines to gaze into their being used to drive internal change seize opportunity and crystal balls. Turn to page 10 to read their intriguing findings. Arise Brazil! 32 you will squander it” As ever, we cover a wide range of topics The challenges that lie ahead for South America’s largest market RODNEY O’NEAL PAGE 16 in this issue of Observe. We have an exclusive interview with Rodney O’Neal of Delphi Culture clash? 37 Automotive, tackle the ever-changing world of We talk to Richard Lewis about 24 working with different cultures interim management and investigate corporate governance in emerging markets. There is also Vox II: Infographics 40 an in-depth study of the Brazilian market which, Why the picture can often be mightier than the word despite problems both social and economic, continues to offer enormous opportunities to The interim imperative 42 A look at the changing world multinationals looking to do business in of interim management South America’s largest market. Observe celebrates its first anniversary with this It’s lonely at the top 45 PHOTO: BLOOMBERG/GETTY IMAGES 20 New research from Odgers issue. It’s been a fascinating journey made all the Berndtson looks at the lonely more worthwhile by the incisive comments we world of the CEO receive from readers. Please keep them coming. Bookshelf 48 New books on the recession, Julie Steiner Coca-Cola, Melissa Meyer, Managing Director, strategy and much more Odgers Berndtson, Australia Vox III: Making connections 50 Julia Hobsbawm, the world’s first professor of networking, @odgersberndtson talks to Observe #obobserve 10 Observe at your Vox IV: India’s auto revolution 52 fingertips The opportunities for the Download the free emerging Indian automotive sector Observe app for your device from the Under observation 54 App Store or Google If you think of five things this Play by searching quarter... “Odgers Berndtson” 4 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 5
Observatory Observatory Observe ROBOTICS ECONOMY travels the RISE OF THE SUPER TEENY Microroboticist (yes, there really Bergbreiter and her team build A GREEK TRAGEDY? By the time you read this the full the bailout terms, raising globe in is such a title) Sarah Bergbreiter packs advanced technologies into incredibly robust, super teeny, mechanical versions of creepy impact of Syriza leader Alexis the prospect that Tsipras’ sweeping victory in the Greece could end up search of tiny robots that can overcome crawlies…and then they Greek elections will have been leaving the eurozone. obstacles 80 times their height. add rockets. eye-catching By studying the movement and Find out more including a jaw- fully felt. The immediate effect in late January was that the euro fell We shall see… business PHOTO: ©AJOTTE/ALAMY bodies of insects such as ants, dropping video at ted.com sharply against the dollar. Greece’s current bailout programme ends stories in February, and economists say a short-term deal will be negotiated, but difficult talks lie LANGUAGE ahead. Germany has indicated that it is not prepared to renegotiate GOOGLE TRANSLATE The Google Translate app, the MONEY much-used tool that has saved us from many a tricky linguistic WELCOME LITHUANIA moment, has been updated with While Greece’s problems unfold, a new version that includes January 1 2015 saw Lithuania automatic language detection in become the 19th member state PHOTO: TED.COM conversation mode. Apparently it to join the eurozone. Alongside means having a conversation its Baltic neighbours Estonia and between two people who don’t Latvia, who are already in the speak the same language is monetary union, Lithuania will PHOTO: ©GAVIN HELLIER/ALAMY actually possible. Once you have hope to continue its good selected the two languages being economic progress. Last year, BOARDROOM spoken Google Translate can according to the European Bank detect which is being spoken at for Reconstruction and CULTURALLY AWARE any moment. Hmmm. Observe is Development, Lithuania’s According to INSEAD, “without a corporate strategy without economy grew by around three not convinced… deep and accurate assessment of employees who believe in the per cent – one of the fastest their organisation’s culture, boards mission and understand how to rates within the EU driven largely and management teams will find it achieve it. As Louis V. Gerstner, by strong domestic demand. very challenging to initiate and former CEO of IBM once noted, implement strategic change. A ‘Culture isn’t just one aspect of the company however big or small game, it is the game’.” DATA cannot successfully implement knowledge.insead.edu DROWNING IN NUMBERS According to research from created, replicated or consumed in interaction with customers and Forbes the digital universe 2013. The report claimed that “the every act of regulatory compliance expanded to six trillion terabytes increased reliance on digital data has truly complicated the task of of data by the end of 2014. That’s to run nearly every system, every ensuring business continuity.” 50 per cent more data than was marketing initiative, every forbes.com/forbesinsights SMUGGLING PHOTO: ©BLEND IMAGES/ALAMY PHOTO: ©IKON IMAGES/ALAMY PHONE A FRIEND According to Time magazine, a man from Hong Kong had 94 iPhones strapped to his body as he attempted to smuggle them into mainland China. Aah! the lure of the mighty Apple. time.com ➝ 6 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 7
Observatory Observatory SOCIAL MEDIA AUSSIE RULES Tony Abbott, the Australian Prime Minister, has dismissed a medium that his own government and corporate Australia spend millions ILLUSTRATION: ©KATIE EDWARDS/IKON IMAGES of dollars a year monitoring and engaging in, as “electronic graffiti”. PHOTO: ©TORSTEN BLACKWOOD/GETTY IMAGES Responding to the negative comments on social media sites about his decision to award Prince Philip an Australian knighthood, Abbott said: “I’ll leave social media to its own devices. Social media is kind of like electronic graffiti and I think that in the media, you make a big mistake to pay too much attention to social media. You wouldn’t report what’s sprayed up on the walls of buildings.” theage.com.au INDIA THE DIGITAL BANK MANAGEMENT DIGITAL THE NUCLEAR OPTION BRANCHING OUT? THE GOVERNANCE AGENDA THE TRANSFORMERS President Obama’s recent trip the US concerns on both According to Simon London to India led to the two countries tracking and liability. “In our of McKinsey: “The [bank] branch The 75th Annual Meeting of Business leaders for 2015 are reaching “a breakthrough judgement, the Indians have of the future may be a very the Academy of Management focusing their transformation understanding” in freeing up moved sufficiently on these different model, where they have which will be held between projects on digital presence as well US investment in nuclear issues to give us assurances that six to 10 strategically located August 7 and 11, 2015 in as delivering a consistent customer energy development in India. the issues are resolved,” said branches in a city that supports a Vancouver, British Columbia, experience across all channels, The White House said the Ben Rhodes, Obama’s deputy very strong digital presence. I Canada has adopted Opening according to a Constellation ILLUSTRATION: ©GARY WATERS/IKON IMAGES understanding on India’s civil national security adviser. believe that many of these types Governance as its theme. Research survey of 200 CXOs. The nuclear programme resolves usatoday.com of models might end up being Delegates are invited to consider survey was designed to highlight successful. But over the next seven opportunities to improve the boardroom priorities and how they to 10 years, we’re going to find out effectiveness and creativity of affect technology investment and exactly which ones will be more organisations by restructuring leadership. Some of the takeaways successful than others. systems at the highest from the survey are already visible. mckinsey.com/insights organisational levels, and to For instance, several retailers have try to answer the many announced that they plan to close questions organisational stores. The savings will be invested PUBLISHING governance faces in today’s in omni-channel and digital digital and informational climate. strategies. FINALLY… Find out more at: aom.org ncc.co.uk British magazine The Economist has named Zanny Minton Beddoes as the role of editor, marking the INNOVATION first time in the publication’s WHAT LIES AHEAD 171-year history that it is led by a PHOTO: ©TRAPHAEL HUENERFAUTH/GETTY IMAGES woman. Beddoes has worked at In an extraordinary video to how we grow food and from the magazine since 1994, having produced by Bloomberg a “cell phone tower in the sky” to previously been an economist for BusinessWeek, Sam Grobart the new field of ‘soft’ robotics. the International Monetary Fund. takes a look at the top ten A must watch. technologies and innovations businessweek.com/videos that are set to shape PHOTO: ©TXINHUA/ALAMY and disrupt our lives in 2015. It covers areas as diverse as wearable technology 8 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 9
Cover story Cover story the next wave Observe asked five people inextricably bound up with the world of social media to tell us what they thought the industry might look like in the year 2020. Compiled by KILLIAN FOX So ia : c ia l m e d the green light to further erode TODD BERGER is co-founder our privacy. I don’t think people of Ello, a social media platform fully understand how this is That’s why we’re seeing that launched in March 2014 impacting our lives today and new communities arising on and, though still in beta phase, how it will in the future. This the internet with different has become a major talking degradation of rights could visions of privacy and different At Ello, we’re trying out a point in the conversation about lead to further separation of philosophies around user ‘freemium’-type model, akin to internet privacy. Its declared the haves and have-nots. content and data. These freer the App Store or a gaming fragmented with lots of point of difference is that it will Advertising on social media spaces are where you’ll see environment, where we’ll sell very niche players taking never carry paid-for ads or sell is just the tip of the iceberg. innovation happening, and I additional features so users can very specific viewpoints and user data to third-party Hidden behind advertising are believe a lot of thought customise and improve their approaches to communication organisations. data sales. We have been leadership is going to come experience. It’s a very successful and philosophy, and to entrusting private corporations from them rather than the model in other industries, so it’s community-building in general. Our privacy is being with our individual information traditional places such interesting that it hasn’t been I see a scary side to it and a degraded every day. and then letting them do what as Facebook. embraced in this one yet. bright side to it, but if we We’ve given a lot of they want with it. That’s From a business point of view, Over the next five years, don’t move the privacy our rights away to private scary to me, and I think people there are all sorts of sustainable I believe the social media conversation companies and in so doing in general are becoming fearful business models in which landscape, like television, is forward fast, it we’ve given the government and looking for alternatives. advertising plays no part. going to become exceptionally could be scary. 10 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 11
Cover story Cover story around games. I’m seeing a lot of evidence that games are becoming even more immersive and more social. They bring like-minded people together and create a sense of belonging GLEN GILMORE is an Instructor Internet of Things, meaning that stretches beyond the of Digital Marketing at Rutgers nearly every object we use in borders of the physical world. University School of Business, our home and office, and even This will continue to increase author of Social Media Law for our clothing, will be connected over the next five years. Business, social media to the internet and sharing data In general, we will see more strategist and attorney. about lifestyle preferences. This people getting into social abundance of information media, particularly as To contemplate the should ultimately allow us to smartphones penetrate future of social communicate to each other and emerging markets and reach media, we have to to our customers in far more lower price points. In addition contemplate the future of meaningful, personalised ways. to the big social media sites technology, since so much of Augmented reality such as Facebook and Twitter, social is technology-driven. technologies will allow us to there will be more long-tail The marriage of mobile and enter not only new BLANCA JUTI is CMO of Rovio communicating a lot through sites dedicated to specific social has catapulted our conversations but also new Entertainment, the Finnish pictures, but the possibilities usages. For example, privacy is conversations to spectacular worlds and experiences, in mobile games studio that will be even greater when we’re very important for many heights, where, literally, an ways we really can’t fathom scored a massive hit in 2009/10 all wearing glasses and smart people at the moment, so they astronaut in outer space has today. ‘Social’ will become far allow us to bridge language with Angry Birds. The watches. For example, we will will form new groups where tweeted to Twitter and posted more physical and immersive. barriers more easily, creating smartphone game has been be able to communicate privacy is a priority. I think to Instagram! Who could have ‘Wearables’ will become new collaborative downloaded more than 2.5 through our emotional states. If social media is already proving imagined, five years ago, that ‘invisibles’ that will tap into opportunities. billion times from the Apple I measure my heartbeat and to be a democratising force. instead of quotes such as “One biometrics and make our social Artificial intelligence will also App Store and has spawned a feed it into a social network, As the traditional media loses small step for man”, we’d be conversations even more make a social conversation that franchise that includes toys, then you could say “let’s not more of its power and new getting an astronaut’s selfie? seamless, rich and personal weaves in our ‘things’ as well as theme parks and a forthcoming call Blanca now, she must be types of media arise, Within five years, we will all than they are today. The communities. The challenge in Hollywood movie. busy or angry because her we will see more be fully immersed in the ‘superpowers’ we’ll have from the future, as it is today, heart is racing”. That will bring opportunities newer technologies should will be to keep the First of all, I think a whole new dimension to the arising as well. social conversation wearables will way we interact. ‘human’. become very We will also see the growth important and people will move of communities in and Secondly, we will see it further away from using often been said that the power develop as a communications interconnectivity with the keyboards. We’re already of social media is its one-to- platform rather than a mobile consumer. In the millions communications marketing one. Social media fast-paced mobile world we media platforms change and capability; however, we are really is about people. The want to have more options to ANNA MARSDEN is a co- adapt to their mobile, always- seeing a rise in the desire for successful social media weave social into our constantly director of Social-i-Media, a connected and niche one-to-one or ‘one-to-a- networks will provide their connected lives. If a social boutique media communications customers’ needs. If social chosen-few’ communications community with a place to media network can successfully agency based in Cambridge and media networks fail to evolve (ie. WhatsApp and iMessage). communicate with others add other related services to London that helps brands they will die. And some will die! We no longer want to share our rather than a place for their existing range of apps communicate effectively across While it is impossible to say content with the world; we commercial endorsements. We then their profits could go traditional and digital channels what the social media want to have choice. Google+ have already seen this start to through the roof. We have seen in addition to producing landscape will actually look like has the right idea with Circles happen with the clampdown on WeChat (China’s version of journalistic content. in five years, we can take some and Instagram have kept pace vloggers (video bloggers) WhatsApp) doing this with hints from existing customer with the introduction of publishing videos without any mobile micro payments and Social media is trends in behaviour. Instagram Direct. Successful kind of disclaimer. The enjoying relative success maturing, and over My predictions about the social media sites will allow platforms that limit marketing by aligning itself the next five years future of social media focus on more consumer control messages will thrive. with other services we will see the existing social function over form. Firstly, it’s over audience segmentation. Thirdly, we will see more such as TenPay. 12 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 13
Profile Profile The art of being prepared As Rodney O’Neal, President and CEO of Delphi Automotive, prepares for retirement he talks to NICK KOCHAN about his illustrious career heading up one of the world’s largest automotive supplier companies W hen Rodney O’Neal was a young African- American growing up in Ohio in the 1960s, his father would absolute focus and commitment informs his view of executive development and recruitment. “Professional executives should do what they love to do. If you fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh order of consequences. The good managers – that I value and want to recruit – are the ones that keep reality in front of him/ stress the importance of are in a high-tech company, her. They must be dealing with education and of opportunity. you should love technology; reality and not what they would A career and lifetime later, this otherwise you won’t be very like reality to be. I value American executive has proven good at delivering on it. The managers who care about ideas the value of both. As he very best executives and the that work. You have got to be prepares to retire at age 61 ones I have hired over the years able to execute your plans as from the helm of one of the have a real love and fascination well as create them. Anybody world’s largest high-tech for their work.” can write down a bunch of automotive companies, Delphi The other qualities he values things on a PowerPoint Automotive plc, he reiterates in colleagues are sheer presentation that we ought the power of opportunity. intellectual rigour and down-to- to do, or make things better. “I was taught that earth realism. He has no time But making that happen is a opportunity will come along for over-hasty conclusions completely different game.” but the only way to seize it is based on ill-prepared data. “All His remarkable career reads by being prepared. Preparation decisions have consequences. like the true American tale, is key no matter what you are You must think through the an object lesson in seizing ➝ going to do. You need to find what it is that you love, and then work hard at being good ALL PHOTOS: BLOOMBERG/GETTY IMAGES at it. Being prepared is important, because if you are not prepared you cannot seize opportunity and you will I was taught that opportunity squander it. You pick a path in terms of what you are going to will come along but the only way do in life. The best managers in the world, no matter what they to seize it is by being prepared do, they work hard at it.” The same emphasis on 16 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 17
Profile Profile opportunities. Born in 1953, his environment and they would today’s landscape, he says. into corporate strategy. as the primary travel mode by If what lies ahead is as family comes from the south in care about being connected.” “They are going to become Technology presents the its capacity to “reinvent itself, remarkable and as the United States and moved to O’Neal became CEO in 2007. more relevant and hotter automotive industry with its to become modern and safer. unpredictable as his past, Ohio in search of work. He The company restructured tomorrow. That doesn’t greatest challenge, says O’Neal. Today’s cars recognise that O’Neal has indeed nothing to received his degree from a with a more globally diversified guarantee victory, but it means He witnessed with awe an people want connectivity. It fear. Indeed his charisma, highly-regarded technical and footprint, focused its product you have a chance, you have on-the-road drive in Las Vegas is absolutely incredible what energy and vision will be business college, General offering (from 119 products to an opportunity. The challenge of a driver-less car made by is happening in the industry sought by many in the Motors Institute. It was a 33), and significantly reduced is to seize that opportunity and Delphi, but believes there technically.” Managers have to automotive industry, if not co-operative programme and its operations and employment. make something of it. The will be challenges on whether be equally flexible if they are much wider afield. What’s next paid his fees. He then joined “Through the Chapter 11 world has changed radically it can be made to pay its way. to triumph. “Companies have is something he is not saying. the company on the shop floor. process we were trying to in 20 years.” “Technically it is not an issue. to work and stay relevant and “My life is a bucket list. You His energy and commitment fix certain problems in the O’Neal’s professional The question is, does it create contemporary. You have to make a list of things that you impressed his managers and he company. We didn’t have any origins lie in the world of value for investors, does the always make sure you are want to go do in your life and climbed the corporate ladder problems with unions, or with manufacturing operations. world really want it, is it relevant reinventing yourself from your you check them off, one at a quickly, first at General Motors our customers. It was just that “I fell in love with operations. and can you pay for it? It is not business model from your time, as you get one done.” and then at Delphi. the rules of engagement didn’t Working in operations, every a technical question any longer. operational perspective and One task for his retirement at work, so they had to be day is a different day; every It has become a social question, your products and services.” the end of February is to tend Life after Chapter 11 altered.” The company came hour is a different hour. It is a legal question, and that his hybrid tea roses, a long-time Another opportunity came in out of bankruptcy in 2009 as action. I just love the pulse, the becomes a financial question.” What lies ahead passion. “You have to bury 2005, when he took Delphi into a leaner, high tech business. intensity of it, and the direct The need for connecting A keen observer of how them in the winter because Chapter 11 (the American form The company made its initial feedback: either you made infrastructure between driver- companies use their people, they don’t like the cold. I told of bankruptcy) with a trio of public offering in November your numbers or you didn’t less cars to ensure safety adds he sees a lack of diversity in you they are a lot of work,” ‘megatrends’ which Delphi 2011, when O’Neal rang the bell make your numbers. Whether costs and technical challenges. many of the companies he visits he says with a loud laugh. continues to operate under to open that day’s trading of you had a good day or a bad He also believes electric cars round the world. “I have lived The future holds only today. As the company was DLPH at the New York Stock day – depending on your face the same financial and worked around the globe. opportunity for O’Neal. struggling, O’Neal, who by Exchange. “That was an feedback, you got it back viability challenge. All industries in all regions need “Opportunity will be there then was president and chief incredible moment of almost instantaneously!” The Developments in automotive to be more diverse. It is not just for me should I choose to do operating officer, asked himself, excitement and satisfaction, latest just-in-time approach to manufacturing continue to minorities, it is also females and something. I haven’t made “what did the world care about, of a journey worth taking to operations was being adopted inspire him. “The car is now it is different nationalities. my mind up what I am going what were we good at, what make this company into what it and O’Neal was on the front so sophisticated. It used to be Companies are too monolithic. to do. I can’t be spending time was relevant. Three megatrends is today. That was confirmation line, first turning around a plant viewed just as a transportation There needs to be more worrying about something caught my attention: safety, that we had done a great job in Portugal where he was a vehicle, a mode. Now it is an diversity everywhere. The else when I still have this very green and connectivity. We and got it right.” The company’s production manager and then integral part of the global corporate global landscape important job to do at Delphi.” ■ thought they were relevant stock performance in the one in Canada where he was society. It is so sophisticated. needs to be more inclusive. The anywhere you went in the subsequent three years has a general superintendent of There is not a piece of world has become a lot smaller, Nick Kochan is a financial world. Governments and validated that claim. manufacturing. He went on to technology anywhere that is the borders are almost journalist based in London. He writes regularly for the Banker, consumers cared about The megatrends he espoused acquire an MBA at Stanford. more sophisticated than a car.” seamless and you need the Economist and the Financial safety, they cared about the back in 2005 remain part of This paved his way to a move The car has retained its role perspective from everywhere.” Times 18 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 19
Strap Governance GARY MEAD looks at the differences between corporate governance codes in the East and West W hen Alibaba, the giant Chinese e-commerce company, decided in 2013 to float on the New York Stock Exchange rather than in Hong Kong, it was widely trumpeted as a victory for American savvy banking. Wow! New York steals the biggest-ever IPO from under the noses of the leading Asian stock market! Hong Kong’s bankers wept into their Tsingtaos as they counted the losses in advisory fees – around $300 million. The total cost to Hong Kong was incalculable: unquantifiable losses in trading volumes and embarrassing humiliation for the trading community. But for those interested in long-term corporate stability and transparency, this was actually a clear victory for Hong Kong’s market regulators. Far from loss of face, it could be argued that they deserved a massive pat on the back. According to Philip Armstrong, Senior Advisor on Corporate Governance at the International Finance Corporation, in Washington D.C.: “Hong Kong remains highly regarded for good corporate governance because it ILLUSTRATIONS: ANDREW BAKER declined to list Alibaba.” The Asian regulators took a long hard look at Alibaba’s pre-IPO structure and decided they didn’t much like what they saw. Hong Kong was desperate to host Alibaba – but the local regulators nobly refused to bend their rules. For the structure proposed by Alibaba’s founders, Jack Ma and Joseph Tsai, ensured that they would retain control of ACROSS THE BOARD the company, despite holding a relatively insignificant percentage of shares. Big shareholders of the floated Alibaba will find themselves unable to influence the company’s direction. They may be happy about that – for now. ➝ 20 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 21
Governance Governance This kind of corporate control – a cosy choice of markets in almost 30 years “There’s no clear definition of what an look to grow – and the benefit of that is arrangement that suits a company’s – the leading emerging markets’ index, emerging market is. Is Italy an emerging the development of the economy overall, founders rather than necessarily MSCI, today identifies 23 emerging market, for instance?” There is also a and, at a corporate level, private benefitting the shareholders – is not markets, against just 10 countries almost certain fluidity about the relevant list of enterprise often needs external financing permitted in Hong Kong. More cautious three decades ago – the trading volumes indicators concerning good or bad – is that inevitably you can only rely on finance minds might consider that the on those markets have exploded. Back in corporate governance. As Dallas puts it: reports received and the integrity of looser rules in New York are indicative of 1988, those original 10 countries “You really are trying to quantitatively disclosure and transparency, furnishing greed getting the better of corporate represented just one per cent of the total capture issues that are essentially or providing additional information. If probity. The Alibaba event was a triumph value of shares available to private qualitative in nature. But we have to be you have a board that is behaving badly, of power without responsibility, a investors; today, the 23 represent 11 per aspirational as well as pragmatic, and then no amount of rules can alter that.” watershed moment for those who want cent. Since 2003 emerging markets have endeavour to systematically factor Dallas says: “Good corporate to see improved standards of corporate moved from 24 per cent to 43 per cent governance into investment analytics. governance at a systemic level can make governance. It demonstrated that, when of global GDP. It’s also two-way traffic. The World Bank has developed a toolkit all boats float higher. But, if you don’t it comes to finger-wagging, the Just as investors can make a mint from that lets you juxtapose different have good governance standards, then ‘developed’ West cannot necessarily feel emerging markets, those markets also markets, but drilling down into specific even the good boats are in danger of superior to the supposedly undeveloped benefit from being classified as such. In companies and being confident about sinking. The whole point about East. Hong Kong was right to say no to 2013, HSBC estimated that the inclusion their disclosures is even more improving corporate governance in Alibaba, even though it paid dearly for it. in MSCI’s Emerging Market Index of challenging.” The danger of cronyism emerging markets is that it should creeping in is ever-present, even in hopefully result in a virtuous circle. If you markets and companies that are have good standards – strong regulatory supposedly well-developed. quality ensuring equal shareholder Are there specific emerging markets rights, the rule of law holding sway, that are doing better than others when it corruption being controlled and dealt There’s no clear definition of what an emerging comes to good corporate governance? Both Armstrong and Dallas point to with, vested interests not allowed to determine company policy – then this market is. Is Italy an emerging market, for instance? South Africa as a good reference point, as well as Brazil’s Novo Mercado (New can be tremendously beneficial to the overall economy, even if is very difficult Market), a listing segment of BM&F to achieve. It can lower the cost of Bovespa. If a company wants to be capital and help to attract capital.” listed on Novo Mercado, it must comply It was always likely that Alibaba would with a tough set of regulations that far end up with a New York listing. The US Why should we worry about the Qatar and the UAE – nudging up from exceed those required by law – for permits multiple-tier stock structures standards of corporate life? Armstrong, the higher-risk category ‘frontier market’ example that the capital of the company that allow a small number of people to who was closely involved with status – could attract $800 million of is composed only of common shares. All control a company’s fate. In Hong Kong, developing the King Reports on new inflows into the two countries. shareholders are to be treated equally, it’s ‘one share, one vote’ and the Hong Corporate Governance in South Africa, George Dallas, now Policy Director at and a company’s Board of Directors is to Kong Securities and Futures held to be some of the most advanced the International Corporate Governance have a minimum of five members with Commission stuck strictly by the rules. principles on corporate governance in Network and former Director of the requirement that they Who’s to say which is right? Which emerging markets, is clear: “Because Corporate Governance at F&C stand for re-election after system will bring the greater benefit to poor management leads to corruption Investments, points out that there is a two years. At least 20 per shareholders? New York believes that and the inappropriate use of assets. You definitional problem about what cent of board members the combined forces of public disclosure need to have governments to ensure constitutes an emerging market: should be independent and tendency towards fierce litigation that boards fulfil their duties, that they directors. Strict will keep its listed companies honest. It’s are good stewards of the company on quarterly reporting just rather odd that, when it comes to behalf of investors and shareholders. So standards of financial corporate governance, Hong Kong the government needs to create information are needed. insists on a much more democratic style credibility for company reports, and to For Armstrong, a concern is than the US. As the world shrinks, recognise good practice to encourage that a jurisdiction might develop corporate governance issues are going boards behave responsibly.” good corporate governance to become increasingly topical. ■ As is so often the case, globalisation codes in theory – such as India’s highly has heightened awareness of and the ambitious new company law – but may Gary Mead is a business journalist and need for corporate standards. Just as fail to implement them in practice. He former commodities editor of the Financial Times investors have seen a doubling in their says: “The issue, as emerging markets 22 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com OBSERVE 1/15 23
Medtech Medtech WHAT NEXT FOR MEDTECH? As the healthcare sector shifts in response to new economic and social trends, recruitment needs are shifting with it. The result is that the medtech industry needs to adapt its business model and its human capital requirements in order to survive and thrive within a radically reshaped market. sven maenhout investigates C hange is inevitable in any organisation whether you will it or don’t. The question is whether the change can be harnessed quickly enough to help strengthen and people born deaf hear their own voice for the first time, or allowing a 29-year- old paraplegic man make the opening kick to the 2014 World Cup in Brazil! But the main driver in the sector in recent build. The medical technology sector, years has been the public cost or medtech – broadly defined as any containment enforced by the financial technology used in treating medical crisis. With an ageing general population conditions which ranges from latex causing healthcare expenditures to gloves and syringes to total body continue to rise, the pressure to limit scanners and implantable pacemakers – costs and thereby new technologies will is facing huge challenges from shrinking only increase over time. budgets and ageing populations to new As cost containment of healthcare technologies and demands from rises, the pressure on gross margins will customers. As medtech companies move only increase, making it harder for to address these factors, different medtech companies to continue to responses are emerging. finance their existing business models. Medtech is certainly affected by the “Bringing new products to market in the transformations in the global healthcare European Union is becoming landscape, with new approaches for increasingly difficult,” says Omer Saka, a managing, financing and competing. Director at Deloitte Consulting. “There This is pushing all stakeholders in the are many companies that are sector to question their models, and one questioning the large investments effect has been to pile pressure on needed for increasingly smaller returns. ALL PHOTOS: ©ALAMY suppliers of healthcare products. This carries a very real risk that patients Medtech innovation today is fast and in the future will no longer have access brilliant, with new products and to these new life-saving technologies.” treatments emerging better than ever. The shift in overall healthcare aims is New technology is being used to help having a deep effect on medtech. ➝ 24 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 25
Medtech Medtech broader supply of products and services President Communications for Europe, across different domains. But in both Middle East and Africa. “We have readily instances, the industry has been moving available in-house knowledge and talent from a co-operative business model to a which hospitals can benefit from.” true collaboration with all stakeholders, Of course, as companies adapt their working closer with hospitals and business models to start providing healthcare authorities to anticipate value-added collaboration and not just needs and build relationships. “Hospitals products, it means adapting skill sets look for long-term partnerships which and structures in medtech firms. Renaat offer win-win solutions for both parties. Vermeulen says that is already This demand will increase over time,” happening, with more segmentation and says Paul Timmermans, the COO of specialisation of sales representatives to University Hospital Leuven, in Belgium. deal with a broader group of highly Renaat Vermeulen, who runs the differentiated stakeholders. “The times European operations of orthopaedic of a generalist sales rep doing device firm Biomet with global everything within a hospital is fading. headquarters in Warsaw, Indiana, says Through having a more specialised specialisation will drive efficiency. people we are better able to get the key “Specialisation of hospitals is a clear messages across to the different trend throughout Europe, something groups,” he says. Specialist hospitals have which we definitely support,” Vermeulen says. “The literature has Frédéric Hoffmann, Business Unit Director at Baxter, a US healthcare higher quality results clearly demonstrated that specialist hospitals have higher quality results for leader with headquarters in Deerfield, Illinois, adds, “We are definitely driving for patient outcomes patient outcomes.” The logic is that performing higher our sales organisation to develop consultative sales skills with hospitals volumes of specific procedures gives – through this we add value to our teams more experience with treatments customers and strengthen our long- and possible complications ensuring a term business relationships.” Indeed, deeper understanding of specific one consequence now is that medtech ailments. Having more specific sales reps now have second highest Product innovation and quality was new customer relationships with a experience allows for better patient industry average salary level within the once the key to growth, but this is being dramatic increase in the number of treatments. “The future for companies is life science industry – higher than replaced by a goal of balancing costs stakeholders playing a role in decisions. where they offer integrated solutions to pharmaceutical and biotech reps. and bringing value-add services to Until recently, physicians were the sole hospitals along the entire disease The risk of this specialisation, though, hospitals. As hospitals strive to become decision-makers for the products they management chain from diagnosis, is that the focus on individual sales could more efficient, improve patient used to treat patients. But with pressure treatment, manage the symptoms mean losing sight of the broader outcomes, and be more cost-conscious, to improve patient outcomes while post-treatment, and providing feedback relationship. “Sales reps are driven medtech needs to adapt too. Indeed, simultaneously controlling costs, an to hospitals and government.” says through their bonus: they fight for each there is now an increasing willingness to increased number of stakeholders – Deloitte’s Omer Saka. and every device, and hence are not pay premiums on products that are purchasing committees, hospital One example of this is Minneapolis- willing to give up accounts, no matter labour-saving or save larger, administrators, etc. – are now involved in based Medtronic, a world leader in how small. But does this really make the downstream costs. “Price pressure the purchasing decisions. And with medical devices, which created the most sense from an organisational within the health system is incredibly buying decisions being increasingly Hospital Solutions group helping perspective?” asks Zimmer’s Heidi high. At the same time demand for driven by tender processes, the hospitals outsource their catheterisation Jauch. To take an example from Pharma value-add services from hospitals to purchasing process has become much laboratory or cath lab. Maastricht industry – which is struggling with some suppliers continues to increase,” says more complex, raising the administrative University Medical Center in the of the same issues – GlaxoSmithKline Heidi Jauch, Vice President and burden on both companies as well Netherlands estimated that they had (GSK) is addressing this issue by Compliance Officer at Zimmer, a as hospitals. saved €4.5 million in one year working remodelling its sales teams, no longer specialised joint replacement So how are medtech companies with Medtronic. “A hospital clearly incentivising them for individual sales technology manufacturer based in responding to the challenge? Two broad benefits through bringing in our targets but focusing on building the Warsaw, Indiana. approaches have emerged: expertise in change management,” says relationship with the prescribing Medtech companies are also facing specialisation in particular areas, and Yvan Deurbroeck, Medtronic’s Vice physician and adding clinical value. ➝ 26 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 27
Business Business D espite possessing slick websites, obtuse social media accounts and black turtle neck wearing digital advisers, many large companies have only so far tinkered customer. However, a similar focus should be aimed at staff to support digital transformation. Angela Ahrendts, credited with turning Burberry into the first high end, online fashion retailer and Agile delivery should be at the heart of digital transformation around the fringes of digital. The current now Apple’s VP Retail and Online Stores trend by many of running digital says, “Everyone talks about building a transformation programmes relationship with your customer. I think demonstrates that it has finally clicked in you build one with your employees first.” the boardroom that the impact and The digitisation of organisations has to you making significant investment in new opportunities presented by digital date typically been about task systems or processes. touches all parts of the enterprise. automation and overhead reduction. However, effective digital However, if back office processes and Be agile – if successful digital As well transformation differs markedly from supporting systems aren’t created with businesses have recognised that digital as giving other large scale business change internal users in mind, staff won’t use is far too important to leave solely to businesses and projects, with which most senior them to full effect, resulting in lower ‘techies’ then the mechanism for doing staff a lot more executives will be familiar. Digital productivity. By using internally, some of this is using agile delivery methods. control and ownership, transformation is about taking the key the digital methods that have evolved to Whilst it may seem quite far from the this ‘configuration’ digital drivers that have changed radically better understand and support boardroom, agile delivery should be approach also reduces supplier how companies acquire, engage and customers externally, digital at the heart of digital transformation. lock in, making it easier and more support customers externally and deploy transformation will not only drive the It focuses on end user needs and cost effective to switch suppliers. them internally, across the organisation. system and organisational change business outcomes, rather than very Of course as successfully as you Digital drivers comprise: required but will also create a more detailed technical requirements. may utilise some of these methods • having a relentless focus on the satisfied and engaged workforce. This is Testing starts on day one, with iterative honed on the external digital customer good for staff and good for the development reducing risk and coalface, you need to recognise that • a business vision that embraces digital company’s bottom line. improving quality because feedback adapting to digital isn’t a one-off activity. • and a flexible mindset, approach and The now established digital techniques, from business owners is received early, Embracing digital transformation marks a organisational structure to execute it. matured in delivering external facing making it easier, quicker and cheaper to new maturity in many organisations’ Underpinning these drivers are a number services, but to be used internally as part adapt to new or changing requirements. understanding of the fundamental, of methods that have evolved out of the of digital transformation, are: Agile is gaining increasing traction far-reaching and continually evolving sharp, experimental end of rapid digital across company culture, with Forbes impacts and opportunities presented evolution in the last two decades. The Focus on analytics – make user recently quoting a survey of chief by digital. good news for companies is behaviour of internal systems and marketing officers titled ‘The Agile “Today, companies have to radically that these methods are now processes, part of your management Advantage’ that found 87 per cent of revolutionise themselves every few years mature and ready to information and use this to improve staff respondents said that ‘Adopting agile just to stay relevant. That’s because deploy internally. experience and performance. We now made their teams more productive.’ technology and the internet have The driving mantra know more about user behaviour online, transformed the business landscape of digitally led but also have the capability to Configuration versus customisation in forever. The fast-paced digital age has business change understand more about how staff supporting systems – this might sound accelerated the need for companies to is the need to operate internally. Many business systems very technical; it isn’t. Many services are become agile,” says Nolan Bushnell, serial focus ever vendors have learned from digital about now built on a core platform so that entrepreneur and founder of Atari Inc. more on the the importance of collecting data on user business users, rather than technical staff, Oh and as for your digital advisers... behaviour, making this available and easy can configure their system to work in a black turtle necks are out, beards (now ILLUSTRATIONS: BEN CHALLENOR/HEART to digest. way that best suits the business. The that digital gurus are old enough to grow growth of highly configurable systems is them) are in, but only use them if they User testing – upgrading or changing derived directly from the success of web can tell you how to harness what digital internal systems is often far more content management systems that techniques have been used to drive expensive than building even the most support web sites, but give the business success externally – to transform your transactional website. Deploying some of owner/user the ability to easily change, organisation internally. ■ the techniques that optimise user add and update new features without experience with customers online with relying on costly technical development. Henry Cook is a Digital Strategist with your staff internally enables you to focus High profile users of such services include 20 years’ experience in leading the transformation of large, complex on what works and what doesn’t prior to The White House and the Bauer Group. organisations 30 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 31
Brazil Brazil Despite its economic and social problems, Brazil is a vast market with much to offer multinational corporations looking to do business there. Observe spoke to a number rising to the challenge of leading Brazilian industrialists about the prospects for the largest nation in South America T São Paulo skyline hese are difficult times for Brazil. For years it has been the ‘almost’ country, never quite living up to expectations. There always seem to be stumbling blocks that arrest Brazil’s development, preventing it from becoming one of the economic success stories in an otherwise lacklustre global economy. The question is: why? In a recent report in The Economist headlined ‘After the election, the reckoning’, Brazil was cited as one of a number of so-called emerging markets “facing headwinds”. Last October the country’s President, Dilma Rousseff, outpacing other, more mature of Odgers Berndtson’s Brazil brazilbubble.com, a business be fatal to its ability to service the industrial sector. It failed to whose Workers Party (or PT) markets still stuck in the office in São Paulo: “Brazil and financial website its debt in 2015.” To make deal with important matters, had won a second term in office, doldrums. But the predicted suffers from poor infrastructure, specialising in Latin America: matters worse, a huge like the complexity of the had her victory celebrations good times haven’t yet arrived… corruption at several levels and “Petrobrás holds the title of corruption scandal was Brazilian tax regime. There are quickly tempered by troubling Instead growth has remained a lack of long-term planning.” one of the most indebted uncovered in December 2014, also snags in the labour area, news on a number of fronts. stubbornly low. What’s more, He adds: “It also lacks talented companies in the world, it involving Petrobrás and the where direct charges are more Yet following the financial some of these chilly economic manpower. Regrettably, the also faces the issue of a largest Brazilian contractors, than 100 per cent over the crisis of 2008, Brazil appeared conditions were entirely of the country has one of the worst depreciating currency (the putting the company in an even payroll, versus 30 per cent on at first to be coping well, in country’s own making. As part productivity rates in the world, Brazilian Real). 80 per cent of more negative spotlight. average in other countries, like contrast to many developed of a pre-election giveaway, further aggravated by this rate Petrobrás’ debt of BR$240 So why Mexico for instance. All these nations. At the time the front spending grew twice as fast as having deteriorated even more billion [US$90 billion, €73 does Brazil factors created the so-called cover of The Economist took a revenues in 2014 leading to a during the past decades. This billion] is denominated in US have such ‘Custo Brasil’ [a combination of rather more optimistic stance, budgetary hole equal to 4.9 per fact, combined with the low dollars or Euros. In 2014 the problems? factors that make Brazil a showing ‘Christ the Redeemer’ cent of GDP in the 12 months to quality of education and the company spent over BR$35 Jaime Szulc relatively expensive place to do taking off like a rocket from September 2014, a 12-year high. high cost of labour derived from billion [US$11 billion, €13 billion] (left), President business], which prevents us the hills above Rio de Janeiro – Ms Rousseff’s government an ancient and protectionist just to service its debt. With the of Goodyear Latin America, is from growing and from graphically has missed its self-imposed legislation is making companies depreciating currency, this bill unequivocal: “Brazil did not achieving better indicating that target of 1.9 per cent primary less competitive as each year will go up.” make good use of the competitiveness.” Brazil would surplus goes by.” Adriano Pires, an energy economic strength that was Marcelo ALL PHOTOS: ©ALAMY soon be for 2014. The crash in oil prices consultant, added: “The evident over the past 10 years. Barboza (left), demonstrating According to (hovering around just $55 at company is so leveraged and It did not capitalise on the President of a coherent, André Freire the time of writing) hasn’t with such a high need for resources available – and there the Brazilian structured (left), partner helped one of Brazil’s largest investment, that an abrupt were many – in infrastructure, wing of the growth plan and president companies, either. According to change in exchange rates can technologic innovation, or in giant US ➝ 32 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 33
Brazil Brazil pharmaceutical group well developed, which is an Osmar Says Freire: “The market CEO of Coca-Cola Andina knows that Coca-Cola is a Valeant, agrees: “Dealing analytic capability. Therefore, Stefanini (left), needs to visualise the horizon. [which includes Brazil, product that needs to reach out with commodity prices and everything has to be worked Vice-President For some time, the corporate Argentina, Chile and Paraguay], to all consumers at a price that instigating essential fiscal on from scratch. The country for Human world has been looking for is clear: “The government will is compatible with their current and tax reforms have not needs to improve its Resources at efficiencies at all levels of an have to adopt strict measures purchasing power. This happened. It’s a complex performance on the Laureate enterprise. Brazilian companies to make the country grow presents a clear challenge to a scenario that has weighed educational side.” University in Brazil, gives an have already shown greater again. Many measures that company that has to carefully heavily and caused the Valeant’s Barboza is more educationalist’s perspective on concern towards corporate could have been made monitor its costs and yet be country’s growth to slow explicit: “I believe that local the country’s plight: “Brazil is at governance, particularly if they gradually were not highly productive. In addition, down.” companies will now have to put a defining moment. The are going to succeed in accomplished and now they Coca-Cola, like other big Marcelo multinationals operating in Bertini (left), Brazil, must obey the country’s President of Computer science-lesson for young tax and labour rules, keep people, social project in a favela, Cinemark, Poxoréo, Mato Grosso margins aligned and somehow which owns provide the consumer with a the largest quality product at a fair price. chain of movie theatres in With all of this uncertainty Brazil, lays a great deal of the surrounding Brazil’s longer blame for the country’s term economic prospects, the economic woes at the upcoming 2016 Olympic Games government’s door: “Political might be seen as a potential management and other things Holy Grail. were lacking, like no planning Coca-Cola is the first global for boosting economic sponsor of the Rio 2016 development. We have had 12 Olympics and will deploy a large years of a government that contingent of personnel at the centralised decisions with a event, involving professionals high degree of interference in from the entire Coca-Cola Itaipu hydroelectric dam the day-to-day running of Andina system in South business. This government has America. “In this regard,” says not been capable of adequately their efforts into leadership government needs to create a attracting investments from must put them into place all at Barbosa, “many things are using the resources that the development tools like favourable environment for outside Private Equity Funds or once. In this new mandate, the already being activated. Special country accrued over the past coaching and mentoring and investment. An investor does Venture Capital. This has made government faces an adverse packaging, the deployment few years. For example, there develop a strong feedback not require the country to be them look to diverse talent and scenario, with a monetary and of a team of professionals were several factors that process: in effect, do what the ‘totally ready’ in order to invest, human capital management financial model that has been experienced in large events, hampered the necessary multinationals have been but it is very important that tools such as coaching or weakened by the fiscal deficit. plus an operation formed evolution of infrastructure; doing and doing well. Local they can visualise a scenario assessments, among others. There are several difficulties to by great talents.” With the Brazil attracted many companies will just have to with clear rules and no “In addition there has been a be overcome, such as the assistance of Odgers Berndtson, investments, but they were adopt this route.” concerns about abrupt or clear trend for setting up increase in public tariffs, the the company has been busy badly redistributed.” For Cinemark’s Bertini, radical change. The last thing Advisory Boards with the risk of shortages in water and setting up a robust Coupled with these there is no point discussing investors want is a series of intention of professionalising energy resources impacting the management ‘corps’ over regulatory, infrastructure and leadership when the problems disruptions and instability that Brazilian companies, thereby country’s productivity, as well the past few months, with tax problems Brazil also suffers are much more serious. “It is might bring the market to a achieving better access to the as the productivity of competencies well aligned to from a severe lack of talented right down at the basis of frenzy.” capital markets and to less organisations themselves.” the project and to the goals the human capital. Says education. The country needs Nevertheless, there is a expensive financing. I see this Barbosa is clearly concerned company has established for the Goodyear’s Szulc: “Education to evolve with regard to public consensus between economists trend accelerating over the about the effect high inflation years leading up to the Games. is the point. As a rule, education; in other words, and business people that Brazil next few years.” has on the life of the population But what will the Brazil Brazilians are highly creative review the learning system that simply has to shape up. It has to Meanwhile all the indications and to their capacity for Olympics really contribute to individuals and good problem is poor. Investments in declare clearly what the routes are that 2015 consuming. “With a tighter the nation? solvers, mainly as a result of education are meagre. The to growth are for its economy will not be an budget,” he says, “people need Opinions vary wildly. navigating through years of people are not to blame; it’s the and for the country’s society as easy year for to cut expenses and establish Cinemark’s Bertini has high inflation rates and other system that doesn’t work. It just a whole, or it will continue to anybody in priorities at the time they are positively vitriolic views: “I’m adversities. But there has been doesn’t perform its role of promise great things but Brazil. Renato actually in front of the sorry, but something that costs one point that has not been actually educating.” never quite deliver them. Barbosa (left), supermarket shelves.” He BR$37 billion [US$14 billion, ➝ 34 OBSERVE 1/15 odgersberndtson.com @odgersberndtson OBSERVE 1/15 35
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