New England, New Britain - "In England we've spent a bit of time being a bit lost as to what our modern identity is and hopefully people can ...
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New England, "In England we've spent a bit of time being a bit lost as to what
our modern identity is and hopefully people can connect with
us. We have the chance to affect something bigger than
New Britain ourselves."
Gareth Southgate
Executive Summary
Gareth Southgate’s vision of England and Englishness is overwhelmingly backed by the English people
– English people who overwhelmingly share the Southgate values of diversity, tolerance and equality, with 75%+ seeing those
values as critical components to their sense of national pride
– This sense of inclusivity has only grown over the last decade
– English people across political divides see uniting figures like public servants and Marcus Rashford as being more symbolic of
Englishness than politicians like Boris Johnson
This runs contrary to the Nationalist interpretation of Englishness as being fundamentally opposed to Scottishness or
Welshness
– Scottish and Welsh voters overwhelmingly share Southgate’s values as applied to Welshness and Scottishness
– When placed on a 10 point scale, the English, Welsh and Scottish electorates have remarkably similar values
Furthermore, each nation and region shares the same priorities in improving health and education, and managing the
climate emergency and an aging population
There is a New Britain waiting to be born with these shared values and priorities, but one that recognises and respects the
increasingly important regional and national identities that have arisen in addition to Britishness
– Economically Progressive: Most voters – across political and national divides – are against austerity and in favour of the wealthy
paying a fairer share towards a more equal economy
– Egalitarian on race, religion, sex & gender: The UK has the most tolerance for diversity across Western OECD nations
– Culturally centrist: on law & order, defence and our history and traditions
– Locally Manifested: insistent that local communities be empowered with the control and resources to make levelling up a reality
Co-operation – not muscular Unionism – must become the de-facto lever for Westminster to unlock this
2
Agenda
New England
New England and the Union
New Britain?
3
The ‘Southgate Values’ of diversity, tolerance and equality are
overwhelmingly shared by England…
The ‘Southgate Values’ of Englishness
Below are a number of statements. For each, please say how
important or unimportant those statements are to you feeling
proud to be English
2% 5%
We are a
44% 39%
Tolerant Country
10%
We are a 1% 5%
Country that Values 38% 49%
Freedom and Liberty 6%
“I understand that on this island, we have a desire to
protect our values and traditions — as we should — but We Value Diversity
4% 13% 6% 40% 36%
as a Country
that shouldn’t come at the expense of introspection and
progress.”
I have a responsibility to the wider community to use Every Citizen, 8%
my voice, and so do the players. Irrespective of Colour,
6% 35% 47%
Has Equal Rights
It’s their duty to continue to interact with the public on In Our Country 3%
matters such as equality, inclusivity and racial injustice,
while using the power of their voices to help put
debates on the table, raise awareness and educate.
4
And – according to Ipsos Mori - this sense of inclusivity has strengthened
over the last decade
A Wide Variety of Backgrounds and Cultures is Part of British Culture
A Wide Variety of Backgrounds and Cultures has Undermined British Culture
100 100
49
65
51
35
2011 2021
5
English people across political divides see uniting figures like public
servants and Marcus Rashford as being more symbolic of Englishness than
politicians like Boris Johnson
Below is a list of 24 individuals and groups. Please select the three who you think best represent England as it is today
Top 7 out of 24 options, All English Voters (n = 2,000)
#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7
All
Voters
Doctors & Nurses
in the NHS The Queen David Attenborough The armed forces Marcus Rashford Teachers Boris Johnson
Leave
Doctors & Nurses Diana, Princess of
in the NHS The Queen The armed forces David Attenborough Marcus Rashford Boris Johnson Wales
Remain
Doctors & Nurses
in the NHS The Queen David Attenborough Marcus Rashford The armed forces Teachers Gareth Southgate
6
Agenda
New England
New England and the Union
New Britain?
7The story of Scottish nationalism is that Scotland and the British state are
fundamentally opposed to each other - and that we therefore have to choose
one or the other
The Scottish people have ensured that different values are at the heart
of governments in Scotland
"Our domestic debate isn’t about whether we should live in an
independent country, or organise the world on some other basis. It’s the
rather more prosaic, though still important, issue of which nation state we
wish to have: Scottish or British. When it comes to nationalism, you pays
your money and you takes your choice."
8However, the Southgate Values of Englishness are equally applicable to
Welsh- and Scottish-ness
Below are a number of statements. For each, please say how important or unimportant those statements are to you feeling proud
to be [English/Scottish/Welsh]
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
%
39% 39% 36%
45% 43%
46% 49% 48% 47%
50%
54% 55%
40%
44% 43% 33% 35%
37% 35% 35% 30%
38% 32% 27%
6% 7% 6%
6% 6% 7% 6%
5% 6%
8%
5% 7% 13% 12% 13%
10% 9% 8% 8% 9% 7%
7% 6% 6%
2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4%
England Scotland Wales England Scotland Wales England Scotland Wales England Scotland Wales
We are a Tolerant Country We are a Country that Values We Value Diversity as a Every Citizen, Irrespective of Colour
Freedom & Liberty Country has Equal Rights in our Country
Blank
9
A4When placed on a 10 point scale, the English, Welsh and Scottish electorates have
remarkably similar values
The UK’s ‘Ethos’ (0=Left; 10 = Right)
Equality vs Meritocracy Pluralism
40 40
England
35 35
Wales
30 30
Scotland
25 25
20 20
15 15
0 = Even if most people think something is right, that
10 0 = I want Britain to be a society where inequality is reduced, 10 doesn’t always mean we should do it
and everybody has a similar quality of life and wealth 10 = We should do what most people think is best,
5 10 = I want Britain to be a society where the best people who 5 even if it means some people are worse off
work the hardest can take a high share of our wealth
0 0
0-1 2-4 5 6-8 9-10 0-1 2-4 5 6-8 9-10
Borders Race
40
40
35
35
30 30
25 25
20 20
15 15
10 0 = I want to live in a country with open borders that 10 0 = Britain is a structurally racist society where ethnic minorities always get
welcomes in the rest of the world
5 much worse treatment as the white British population
10 = I want to live in a country with closed borders, that 5 10 = There are no barriers at all to ethnic minorities succeeding in Britain
looks after those who were born here first
0 0
0-1 2-4 5 6-8 9-10 0-1 2-4 5 6-8 9-10
10An Englishness manifested with ‘Southgate’s Values’ is far more likely to be
positively received by ‘Nationalists’ and ‘Middle Scotland’
Below are a number of scenarios about England. For each, could you say whether, if that Much more positive Don’t know A little less positive
scenario happened, you would feel more or less warm towards England? A little more positive No change Much less positive
% By ‘Scotland’
13% 10%
16% 16% 18% 18% 19% 19%
22% 23%
29% 27%
15%
23% 21%
27% 19% 19%
29% 27%
5% 5% 36% 30%
26% 29% 6% 35%
13%
13% 32%
14%
5%
7% 6%
52% 50% 14% 28%
48%
35% 32% 9%
31% 30% 27%
30%
4%
19% 4%
7%
3% 7% 6% 17%
5% 5% 5% 3% 5%
5% 5% 8% 7%
4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4%
Unionist Middle Nationalist Unionist Middle Nationalist Unionist Middle Nationalist Unionist Middle Nationalist
England was represented
England was perceived as doing by people like Gareth
England was perceived as England was perceived as being
more to offer equal rights to all Southgate and Marcus
being more tolerant more respectful of diversity
citizens irrespective of their race Rashford, instead of the
current U.K Government
11Each of the regions and nations share common priorities of supporting the
NHS, managing an aging population, educating the next generation, and
fighting climate change…
Which of the following things do you think are the most important for Britain to focus on over the next decade?
47%
Making the NHS the best healthcare system in the world 42%
41%
32%
26%
26%
Ensuring that old people can retire and live with dignity 27%
23%
28%
Making sure every child has the best education possible 22% 26%
18%
24% Common Telos across the UK
Reducing the UK’s carbon emissions to zero 23%
23%
21%
23% There are strong ‘lowest common
Reducing the inequalities between different parts of the UK 21%
19% denominators’ across all the regions
22% and groups of the UK
24%
Improving pay and conditions in all jobs 19%
20% – Investment in the NHS
21%
16%
18% – Dignified Retirement for Old People
Reducing the national debt 20%
20%
14% – Fighting Climate Change
Making every neighbourhood safe 13% 21%
22%
12% – Reducing inequality of opportunity
14%
Signing trade deals with the rest of the world 15% and improving pay
15%
14%
Fighting racism 12%
13% Whilst this could be true for all
12% countries, the UK has several
10%
12% institutions that it can use to achieve
Increasing our national prosperity 12%
14%
10% 15% these together – eg the NHS, the
Forming a closer relationship with the European Union 11% Pound, the Law Courts
12%
9%
Giving Scotland and Wales the choice to become independent countries 6% 20%
Wales
7%
9% 12% Scotland
Reducing the impact of drug and alcohol addiction 10%
8% England
7%
8%
Fighting homophobia and transphobia 6% London
11%
12Each of the regions and nations share common priorities of supporting the
NHS, managing an aging population, educating the next generation, and
fighting climate change…
Which of the following things do you think are the most important for Britain to focus on over the next decade? (% in Top 3) 1
East of Yorkshire and
East Midlands London North East North West South East South West West Midlands
Wales Scotland England England the Humber
Making the Making the Making the Making the Making the Making the Making the Making the Making the Making the Making the Making the
NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best NHS the best
1 healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare healthcare
system in the system in the system in the system in the system in the system in the system in the system in the system in the system in the system in the system in the
world world world world world world world world world world world world
Making sure Making sure
Ensuring that Reducing the Ensuring that Ensuring that Ensuring that Ensuring that Ensuring that Ensuring that Reducing the Ensuring that
every child has every child has
old people can UK's carbon old people can old people can old people can old people can old people can old people can UK's carbon old people can
2 the best the best
retire and live emissions to retire and live retire and live retire and live retire and live retire and live retire and live emissions to retire and live
education education
with dignity zero with dignity with dignity with dignity with dignity with dignity with dignity zero with dignity
possible possible
Reducing the Making sure Making sure
Ensuring that Ensuring that Reducing the Ensuring that Reducing the Reducing the Reducing the
inequalities Improving pay Making every every child has every child has
old people can old people can UK's carbon old people can UK's carbon UK's carbon UK's carbon
3 retire and live retire and live emissions to retire and live emissions to
between and conditions neighbourhood
emissions to emissions to
the best the best
different parts in all jobs safe education education
with dignity with dignity zero with dignity zero zero zero
of the UK possible possible
Making sure Making sure Making sure Making sure Reducing the
Reducing the Reducing the Ensuring that
every child has Making every Improving pay Making every every child has every child has every child has inequalities
UK's carbon UK's carbon Reducing the old people can
4 emissions to emissions to
the best neighbourhood and conditions neighbourhood
national debt
the best the best the best
retire and live
between
education safe in all jobs safe education education education different parts
zero zero with dignity
possible possible possible possible of the UK
Reducing the Making sure Making sure Reducing the
Reducing the
Improving pay inequalities Making every every child has Improving pay every child has Making every inequalities Making every
Reducing the UK's carbon Reducing the
5 and conditions between neighbourhood
national debt
the best and conditions the best
emissions to
neighbourhood
national debt
between neighbourhood
in all jobs different parts safe education in all jobs education safe different parts safe
zero
of the UK possible possible of the UK
Issues not in Top 5 anywhere include: Forming a closer relationship with the EU, signing trade deals, Fighting racism, fighting homophobia and
transphobia, Increasing national prosperity, Reducing the impact of drug and alcohol addition, Giving Scotland and Wales the choice to become
independent
13Agenda
New England
New England and the Union
New Britain?
14Economically Progressive: With its shared values and priorities, the New
Britain waiting to be born is economically progressive...
Evidence for Economic Progressivity – UK (IPPR 2019 Evidence)
Universal Belief Economic Inequality That the Rich should Pay their Fair And that the State Should Lead a Just
Needs to Be Addressed Share Transition
Thinking about recent years, and To what extent do you support or To what extent do you support or
the gap between wealthy people oppose the increase of tax for oppose a significant increase in
and the rest of the population, those earning more than £100,000 public spending to invest in
which of the following comes a year? solutions to climate change
closest to your view? including renewable energy,
100 100 100 100
3% insulating
3% homes and transport?
5% 2% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6%
12% 17% 11% 7% 4% 2%
18% 14% 5% 14% 9% 10% 9%
10% 12%
16% 7% 8% 11% 6% 8% 8% 9%
18% 13% 16%
21% 16%
20% 23%
29%
34% 37%
29% 38%
31% 36%
31%
70% 36%
63%
56%
47%
39% 38% 40% 36%
30% 25% 28%
16%
UK Remain Leave Scotland UK Remain Leave Scotland UK Remain Leave Scotland
It Hasn’t Widened At All Strongly Oppose Neither Strongly Oppose Neither
DK Tend to Oppose Tend to Support Tend to Oppose Tend to Support
It Has Not Widened Very Much DK Strong Support DK Strong Support
It Has Widened Too Much
15…Egalitarian on race, religion, sex & gender: The UK has the most tolerance
for diversity across European OECD nations according to Pew
16…Culturally centrist: in addition to centrist views on immigration, borders, and
opportunity, British people across the regions and nations remain proud of their
history
Where would you place yourself on the following scale?
0 = Britain has a dark history due to things like colonialism and the slave trade – the country needs to atone for these.
10 = Britain’s past is something we should be entirely proud of – to attack our past is to attack Britain as a country
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15% England – Mean = 6.16
Wales – Mean = 5.85
10% Scotland – Mean = 6.03
England Leave - Mean = 6.85
England Remain - Mean = 5.96
5%
0%
0-1 2-4 5 6-8 9-10
17Locally Manifested: We are seeing a far more plural sense of geographic
identity right across the UK
Below is a list of different ways that someone might identify themselves. For British
each, could you give a score from 0 to 10 based on how you personally National (English/Scottish/Welsh)
identify, where 0 = ‘I do not identify with this at all’, and 10 = ‘This is an Regional (Northern/Southern/LondonerHome Town or City)
important part of my identity’ World Citizen’ (Control)
9.0
8.1
7.7 7.7 7.6 7.8 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.6
7.3 7.4 7.2 7.3
7.5
7.3
7.1 6.7 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.1 7.2
6.9 7.0 6.9
6.7 6.7
5.9 6.0 6.1 5.9
5.9 ‘Meaningful
5.6 5.5 5.4
5.2
5.0 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.9 5.1 4.8
4.7
4.4 4.4
4.1
Unionists Middle Nationalists Wales London Yorkshire North North South South West East of East
Scotland and the East West East West Midlands England Midlands
Humber
Middle Scotland has meaningful British, In the North of England and London Regions with less clear historical identity still
Scottish and Local Identity ‘Tridentity’ of ‘Northern/Londoner + see themselves as equally English and
English + British’ is common British (common across Brexit divide)
18Locally Manifested: In the context of plural identities it is clear that
‘muscular unionism’ will not work
Internal market bill rides roughshod over local decision-making
Shared prosperity fund ignores partnership between Scotland and UK
Calling devolution a disaster alienates Scottish opinion that supports Scottish parliament
Putting up more union jacks and labelling bridges British by Bypassing Scottish government backfires
Failure to recognise that unity does not require uniformity or the elimination of regional and national sentiment
Failure to recognise that People do not have to choose between being Scottish and British : they can be both
19Locally Manifested: There is strong agreement – from all voters – that
devolved Leaders understand and can represent them better than
Westminster
And would you say that your elected mayor understands you better or worse than national Members of Parliament in
Westminster?
English Voters with an elected mayor, %
18% 17% 20%
26%
27% 27%
34%
30%
34% 32%
33% 29%
9%
12%
5% 8%
4% 9%
9% 3% 4%
5% 2% 3%
Total Conservative Labour Lib Dem
A lot better About the same A little worse
A little better Don’t know A lot worse
20Co-Operation between UK and Devolved Institutions on shared priorities is
what can save the Union – not confrontation…
Strongly Unionist
To what extent do you agree with the following statement on cooperation? Middle Scotland
Net score (agree / disagree) with option, All Scots, %1,2 Strongly Nationalist
1
86%
I want the UK and Scottish governments to
54%
All Scots want to see cooperate better in areas that affect my life
62%
greater cooperation
across major policy A more productive and collaborative 88%
areas and messaging relationship between the Scottish
53%
to build a productive and UK governments would be good
for Scotland 38%
relationship for
Scotland… 83%
There needs to be greater alignment of policy
and messaging on key issues such as COVID 47%
between the two governments
37%
2
…and all feel this is The best way for the UK government to
71%
make a case for the Union would be to
the best case for the encourage better cooperation with Scottish 46%
Union; articulating institutions and be more inclusive of
43%
superiority by the UK Scottish views
is unlikely to convince 53%
The best way for the UK government to make a
the Nationalists, or case for the Union would be to demonstrate 19%
much of ‘Middle how it is better than the Scottish government
-10%
Scotland’
1. 1,000 Scots were polled between the 7th and 8th of May 2021. Responses were weighted to census figures on age, gender, education level, and recorded 2021 vote in the Scottish Parliamentary elections’
2. Polling Question: To what extent do you agree with the following statement on cooperation; cross cut by Polling Question: ‘On a scale of 0-10 where 0 is 'strongly against' and 10 is 'strongly in favour' what is your view on whether Scotland should be an independent
country?’, Unionists = responses 0-1, Middle Scotland = responses 2-8, Nationalists = 9-10, excludes non respondents,
Source: OSF Exit Poll May 2021, OSF Analysis
21…Across all major policy areas
I want more cooperation to/for…
Net score (agree / disagree) with option, All Scots,1,2
Economic Recovery & Job Creation 66%
Reduce poverty 65%
NHS and Social Care Improvement 65%
Crime and Terrorism 65%
Better Education Opportunities 62%
Climate Crisis and Green Transition 61%
Transport Links Across UK 59%
Solve the drugs crisis 59%
1. 1,000 Scots were polled between the 7th and 8th of May 2021. Responses were weighted to census figures on age, gender, education level, and recorded 2021 vote in the Scottish Parliamentary elections’
2. Polling Question: To what extent do you agree with the following statement that ‘I want more cooperation for’; net score calculated as difference between % that agree and % that disagree
Source: OSF Exit Poll May 2021, OSF Analysis
22As an Institution, the NHS is a symbol of what co-operation and solidarity can
achieve
Sources of Pride vs Association with Britain vs Scotland (Middle Scotland Only)
% Proud
65
Unique ‘Scottish’ culture and
60 NHS institutions
55
History
50
Sense of Humour
45
Outward-looking national
Increasing Pride
40 Universities & Education Food & Drink
story
35 ‘Traditional Bastions of Culture, Film & Music
Expanded Welfare State
30
the Union’
Multi-Culturalism & Diversity Open Society
25
Potential in the World
20
Armed Forces
15 Monarchy Standing on World Stage Renewables sector
Business Sports Teams
10
5 Political System
0
-75 -70 -65 -60 -55 -50 -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
More British More Scottish
Increasing Scottish Association
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