Mountain trails - Narrative mapping during the four weeks leading up to election day - US 2020 elections
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Mountain trails - Narrative mapping during the four weeks leading up to election day US 2020 elections botswatch Technologies
"Mountain trails - Narrative mapping during the four weeks leading up to election day" is licensed under Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International botswatch Technologies Albrechtstrasse 16 | 10117 Berlin | Germany 350 Townsend Street 710 | San Francisco | CA 94107 | United States www.botswatch.io Berlin, March 2021 ©Copyright 2021, botswatch Technologies
Contents 1 Context 2 2 Executive summary 3 3 Narrative landscape 4 4 Narratives 7 4.1 Toxic Narratives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 4.2 Leaks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 4.3 Sensitive Content . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 4.4 Conspiracy Theories and QAnon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 4.5 Voter Suppression and Fraudulent Electoral Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 4.6 Narratives of 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 4.7 Narratives used by the IRA in 2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 5 Facebook 15 5.1 Top narratives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 5.2 Most promoted Facebook Pages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 5.3 Most promoted Facebook content . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 5.4 Selected narratives over time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 6 YouTube 19 6.1 Top narratives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 6.2 Most promoted YouTube channels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 6.3 Most promoted YouTube videos . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 6.4 Fraudulent electoral process and related YouTube channels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 6.5 Narrative network mapping . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 6.6 Selected narratives over time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 7 Instagram 27 7.1 Top narratives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 7.2 Most promoted Instagram accounts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 7.3 Most promoted Instagram posts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 7.4 Selected narratives over time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 A Appendix 32 A.1 Scope . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 A.2 Labeling and visualization methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 A.3 Details on narratives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
1 Context On September 10, 2020, Twitter announced to expand their Civic Integrity Policy to protect their platform from content that suppresses the vote or spreads misinformation related to the election. The new enforcement of labeling or removal of content applied for “information or false claims on how to participate in civic processes”, “content that could intimidate or suppress participation” and “false affiliation”. On August 19, 2020 Facebook announced taking action against Facebook Pages, Groups and Instagram accounts “tied to offline anarchist groups that support violent acts”. This action corresponds to their policy of “dangerous individuals and organizations to address organizations and movements that have demonstrated significant risks to public safety”. On that day, Facebook removed over 790 groups, 100 Pages and 1,500 ads tied to QAnon from Facebook and blocked over 300 hashtags across Facebook and Instagram.In January 2019, YouTube began rolling out a new AI system to better identify borderline content and conspiracy theories. However, during the four weeks prior to election day 2020, narratives related to QAnon, conspiracy theories, Toxic narratives and Leaks significantly spread on Twitter related to Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content. On some platforms, certain narratives stood out more than on other platforms. This raises the question of a general platform specific signature and whether some narratives feel more home on certain platforms than on other platforms. Figure 1: Percentage of referrals to Conspiracy theories, Leaks, QAnon and Toxic narratives while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Twitter is one of the major hubs for a number of social media networks. What people see on Twitter is also being shaped by the content of other platforms. But not only the content matters people see on Twitter. It also matters how the content is framed. Narrative mapping provides a bird perspective on the general state of a platform - what kind of content do people see, which platform has the biggest traffic volume on Twitter, what are the prevailing narratives and how prevailing are they? This report introduces our automated narrative detection in a cross-platform setting as one feature of our technology. It maps selected narratives related to Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter during the four weeks leading up to election day. Although tweets do not necessarily reflect the narratives of off-platform content one hundred percent, they do reflect how the content US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 2
is framed. Furthermore, automated sharing features provide useful additional information about titles and key phrases. Looking at cross-platform traffic on Twitter does not only help to better understand (1) the accessibility of certain narratives during the weeks leading up to election day on Twitter and (2) the cross-platform promotion of Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content. It also provides insights into (3) the narratives people on Twitter referred to when they shared content related to Facebook, Instagram and YouTube. The following sections focus on the last four weeks leading up to election day 2020. Across the country, tens of millions of people voted early and tens of millions of people who planned to vote on election day, thought about who to vote for. This time was shaped by a number of events: The president leaving the hospital after a COVID treatment on October 5, the vice presidential debate on October 7, the New York Post reporting on October 14 about emails from Joe Biden’s son Hunter Biden alleging Joe Biden shaped American foreign policy in the Ukraine as Vice President to benefit his son, the cancelled second debate and two separated presidential town halls on October 15 instead and the final second presidential debate on October 22. In this political roller coaster, platforms played an important role in providing information to voters, journalists, campaigners, political commentators, and people watching from around the world. 2 Executive summary During the four weeks leading up to election day 2020, people on Twitter saw significant traffic coming from Facebook, Instagram and YouTube pertaining to the US 2020 elections. The most prevailing narrative related to Facebook, Instagram and YouTube related content was COVID-19. Besides COVID-19, content mostly referred to Leaks, driven by YouTube related content, Toxic narratives, driven by Facebook related content and Conspiracy theories, driven by YouTube related content. QAnon associated issues were on a low level at that time. However, on that low level, QAnon narratives were shared with YouTube content the most. Content related to Voter suppression or a Fraudulent electoral process were on a low level, too. On this low level, Instagram had the highest percentage of references to such issues. In total numbers, people saw a lot of YouTube content on Twitter in the weeks before election day. Overall, 68,540 YouTube referrals were shared in thirtyone days on Twitter pertaining to the US 2020 elections. This number is high compared to the total number of Facebook referrals (3,428) and Instagram referrals (1,324) in the same period of time. Almost half of the fifteen most promoted YouTube channels on Twitter are run by conservative or highly partisan news media such as Fox News, Right Side Broadcasting Network, One America News Network or The Next News Network. YouTube content was mostly shared with references to Leaks, Toxic narratives and Conspiracy theories which were the three most frequented narratives related to YouTube content on Twitter in that time. While Leaks was mainly boosted by certain campaigns such as the Hunter Biden allegations, Toxic narratives and Conspiracy theories were constant with YouTube content in that time. Facebook content was different. Unlike YouTube or Instagram content that mostly referred to COVID-19, more than half of all Facebook referrals (52.72%) were shared with Toxic narratives. This made Toxic narratives the number one narrative related to Facebook content and the US US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 3
2020 elections in that time. The most promoted Facebook Pages were conservative or highly partisan political commentators or news media such as Tomi Lahren, Tucker Carlson, Mark Levin, Huckabee or Newsmax. While the most promoted Facebook Page was Donald J Trump with 1,181 referrals in that time, Facebook Pages run by the Democratic candidate Joe Biden or supporting PACs were shared on a rather low level over time. Instagram had the highest percentage of referrals to the black community, but also pushed the narratives of Voter suppression and Fraudulent electoral process as well as Toxic narratives. One third of the fifteen most promoted Instagram posts shared on Twitter referred to the campaign trail of Donald Trump. The most visible account was the political advisor Richard Grenell whose account created a total Instagram traffic on Twitter of 1,623 referrals. Compared to other Instagram accounts in that time, this number is high. The most popular content type was video. Videos and live streaming that previously premiered on YouTube, Facebook or Instagram were key types of the total traffic coming from those platforms. We identified four major types of live streaming in that time: (1) Live streaming or commentating parades and flotillas (mostly coming from Facebook and Instagram), (2) live streaming of rallies, speeches and public service announcements (mostly coming from YouTube), (3) live streaming and commentating policy issues or breaking news situations (mostly coming from YouTube) and (4) live streaming and commentating news media or social media posts (mostly coming from YouTube). Comparing 2020 narratives with the narratives the IRA used back in 2016 to interfere in the US presidential elections, some narratives reappeared, some did not and some were altered. The two most prominent narratives that made their reappearance were Leaks, QAnon and Black Community. Overall, Democratic candidates being targeted with allegations referring to Leaks have become a constant theme in American presidential election cycles. The same applies to accusations of pedophilia and sexual scandals against both Democratic as well as Republican candidates. One of the most surprising findings is that Sensitive content was remarkably present related to traffic coming from Facebook, YouTube and Instagram, assuming that those platforms have systems in place to prevent such content from being amplified or promoted. Sensitive content includes references to sexual suggestive content, content that glorifies violence, issues related to child safety or references to genocide or massacres. The highest percentage of Sensitive content was related to YouTube content. They made 5.67% of all YouTube referrals in that time. 3 Narrative landscape We analyzed 73,292 tweets related to Facebook, Instagram and YouTube related to the US 2020 elections in the time between October 3 and October 2020. In that time, YouTube had the highest traffic volume on Twitter with 68,540 referrals. This number is high. YouTube was followed by Facebook with 3,428 referrals and Instagram with 1,324 referrals. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 4
Figure 2: Total traffic referring to narratives and the US 2020 elections while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. On a more granular level, most tweets related to YouTube content and to the US 2020 elections referred to Leaks with 14,534 referrals. Compared to Facebook with 193 referrals to Leaks and Instagram with 134 referrals to Leaks, this number is high. Leaks is followed by Toxic narratives with 7,131 referrals, Conspiracy theories with 4,640 referrals and QAnon with 3,113 referrals. Since the total numbers of referrals show such a significant span, the following sections mostly display the percentage of referrals to this platform rather than the total numbers. Figure 3: Total traffic referring to the US 2020 elections, Conspiracy theories, Leaks, QAnon and Toxic narratives while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. The most popular narrative people referred to on Twitter while they shared off-platform content related to the US 2020 elections in the four weeks prior to election day was COVID-19 by far. In US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 5
part, this traffic volume was related to the former president who tested positive for the coronavirus on October 2, 2020 and was released from hospital on October 5. With 29,145 referrals in total, the highest percentage of COVID-19 tweets pertaining to the US 2020 elections were Instagram related (48.11%), followed by YouTube (40.32%) and Facebook (25.5%). COVID-19 was the number one narrative of all off-platform traffic on Twitter at that time, except Facebook. Figure 4: Percentage of referrals to the US 2020 elections and COVID-19 while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Covid-19 (#1) was followed by Leaks (#2) with 14,861 total referrals to all of the three platforms. Most referrals were related to YouTube content (learn more about traffic related to Leaks). Leaks was followed by Toxic narratives (#3) with 9,010 referrals. This narrative was significantly boosted by Facebook traffic (learn more about traffic related to Toxic Narratives). Conspiracy theories (#4) with 4,769 referrals, Civil unrest 2020 (#5) with 4,649 referrals, Sensitive content (#6) with 4,030 referrals and QAnon (#7) with 3,215 referrals were on a medium level of traffic volume. Black community (#8) with 1,553 referrals, Fraudulent electoral process (#9) with 784 referrals and Climate change (#10) with 363 referrals were on a low level. Figure 5: Top 10 narratives related to Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content shared on Twitter between October 3 and Novemebr 3, 2020. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 6
4 Narratives 4.1 Toxic Narratives The results of the US 2020 presidential election reflect a deeply divided country. A margin of less than 10 million votes decided the election (Joe Biden (D): 81,283,361 votes, Donald Trump (R): 74,222,960 votes). The division was not hard to spot on the platforms in the weeks leading up to election day. For some people, the atmosphere on the platforms may not have been helpful to support mutual understanding and for respecting other perspectives or different points of views. Figure 6: Percentage of referrals to the US 2020 elections and Toxic narratives while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. In the four weeks leading up to election day, Toxic narratives spread on the platforms accusing the other side of treason, bribery, political scandals being corrupt or to lie. Overall, more than half of all Facebook-related tweets referred to toxic narratives (52.72%), followed by YouTube (10.40%) and Instagram (8.01%). Toxic narratives were the most dominant narrative related to Facebook content during the four weeks before election day. (a) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Toxic (b) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Toxic narratives while sharing Facebook content (unavailable). narratives while sharing YouTube content (unavailable). US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 7
Figure 8: Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Toxic narratives while sharing Instagram content. 4.2 Leaks Leaks are a standard instrument in the playbook of political opponents as well as of foreign state-actors to shape public opinion about a candidate or a political party in the weeks before a general election.1 It was one of the major techniques the foreign state-actor used the foreign to interfere in the US 2016 elections. Figure 9: Percentage of referrals to the US 2020 elections and Leaks while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Overall, YouTube showed the highest percentage of referrals to Leaks with 21.21%, followed by Instagram with 10.12% and Facebook with 5.63%. Leaks mostly referred to two events between October 3 and November 3, 2020. One, the allegation against Joe and Hunter Biden that was reported by the New York Post on October 14. The New York Post referred to emails that have been recovered from a hard drive of Joe Biden’s son allegedly proving that Joe Biden shaped American foreign policy in the Ukraine as Vice President to benefit his son. The second major micro-narrative related to Leaks in this time was about Hillary Clinton’s emails that have been the major subject in 2016. This issue came up after former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo accounted to release her 2016 emails in mid-October 2020. 2 1 Learn more about Hack-and-Leaks tactics in our White Paper Information Threats. 2 Learn more about Leaks in 2020 and other narratives used by the IRA in 2016 in the section Narratives used by the IRA in 2016. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 8
(a) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Leaks while (b) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Leaks while sharing sharing Instagram content. Facebook content (unavailable). (c) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Leaks while sharing YouTube content. 4.3 Sensitive Content The highest percentage of Sensitive content was related to YouTube content with 5.67% of all YouTube referrals in that time, followed by Instagram with 4.83% and Facebook with 2.33%. Although those numbers are low compared to other narratives, those numbers are stark when taking into consideration that each platform has their detection systems in place for such issues. Figure 11: Percentage of referrals to the US 2020 elections and Sensitive content while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 9
Sensitive content includes sexual suggestive content, content that glorifies violence as well as references to genocide and massacres. Related to the US 2020 elections and Facebook, Twitter and YouTube in the weeks before election day, 4,030 tweets referred to this narrative in total. Other than Leaks, Sensitive content is mostly driven by unrelated micro-narratives spread over time that do not show significant coordinated behavior. (a) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Sensitive (b) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Sensitive content content while sharing Instagram content (unavailable). while sharing YouTube content (unavailable). 4.4 Conspiracy Theories and QAnon QAnon is a conspiracy theory about a global elite, the cabal or deep state, that infiltrates and controls governments and the financial industry all over the world and runs a pedophil network of child trafficking. This conspiracy theory took off in 2016 with leaked emails of Hillary Clinton (D) allegedly proving her connections to a child trafficking ring that operated in a Washington D.C. Pizzaria.3 Since QAnon supporters look at Donald Trump as the person who will lead the new civil war against the deep state with the help of the QArmy, QAnon evolved significantly and became popular to a border audience in the past four years. Figure 13: Percentage of referrals to the US 2020 elections, Conspiracy theories and QAnon while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. 3 Learn more about this narrative being used by foreign state actor in 2016 and the tactics of this influence operation on social media platforms. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 10
Connected to QAnon are claims such as “take back our country”, “save America”, “1776” and “save our children”. Some QAnon micro-narratives also overlap with narratives associated with White Supremacy, the Boogaloo movement and the Proud Boys. Many of those claims were seen on the “Save America March” and during the deadly storming of the Capitol on January 6, 2021. In the four weeks leading up to election day 2020, QAnon-associated content was on a relatively low level compared to other times in this election cycle. QAnon was mostly shared related to YouTube content with 4.54% and Instagram content with 2.79%. Other conspiracy theories related to Bill Gates, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Julian Assange, George Soros, the Illuminati, Nancy Pelosi, Satan, 5G and COVID19 and Antifa were mostly shared related to YouTube content with 6.77%, followed by Instagram content with 4.53% and Facebook content with 2.01%. (a) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Conspiracy theories while (b) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Conspiracy sharing Facebook content (unavailable). theories while sharing Facebook content (unavailable). (c) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Conspiracy theories while sharing YouTube content. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 11
4.5 Voter Suppression and Fraudulent Electoral Process Voter suppression and false claims of a fraudulent electoral process were two of the many scenarios, federal and state government officials were concerned about. Unlike in 2016, voter suppression and claims of a fraudulent electoral process was not significantly conducted by a foreign state actor in 2020, but by the US president himself. Figure 15: Percentage of referrals to the US 2020 elections, Voter suppression and Fraudulent electoral process while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Overall, in the past four weeks leading up to election day, claims of a fraudulent electoral process and voter suppression were generally very low compared to other times in this election cycle. However, the highest percentage of Fraudulent electoral process was related to Instagram content with 1.36%, followed by YouTube with 1.08% and Facebook with 0.82%. Voter suppression was mostly shared with Instagram content with 0.3%, followed by YouTube with 0.25% and Facebook with 0.12%. (a) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Fraudulent electoral (b) Tweet referring to the US 2020 elections and Fraudulent process while sharing Instagram content. electoral process while sharing YouTube content. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 12
4.6 Narratives of 2020 In 2020, the five major topics were the global pandemic caused by the coronavirus (1) COVID-19, (2) the death of the African-American George Floyd after being handcuffed and pinned to the ground by a police officer in Minneapolis on May 25, (3) the protests following the death of George Floyd, against police brutality and systemic racism in America, (4) the black lives matter movement and (5) the US Census 2020. Those narratives were also reflected on social media networks between October 3 and November 3, 2020. During the four weeks leading up to election day, COVID-19 was the most frequented narrative with 29,145 total referrals to Facebook, Instagram and YouTube. The highest percentage of COVID-19 tweets had Instagram. Overall, 48.11% Instagram related tweets referred to COVID-19. Instagram is followed by YouTube with 40.32% and Facebook with 25.5%. COVID-19 (#1) was followed by Civil unrest 2020 (#2) with 4,649 referrals in total and most shares related to Facebook content with 25.55 %, followed by Instagram with 8.91% and YouTube with 6.28%. Black community (#3) had 1,553 referrals in total and was mostly shared with Instagram content (8.38%), followed by Faacebook with 2.07% and YouTube with 2%. The narratives of George Floyd with 341 total referrals as well as Census 2020 with 18 total referrals made less than 1% of total referrals to the platforms. Figure 17: Percentage of referrals to the US 2020 elections and to major issues of 2020 while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. 4.7 Narratives used by the IRA in 2016 In 2016, the state-backed Internet Research Agency (IRA) used and amplified several narratives on social media platforms to target specific audiences and to influence the US 2016 presidential election.4 In 2020, some of those narratives debuted, some did not. However, sexual behavior towards minors and allegations of pedophelia was a common theme across narratives in 2016 as well as in 2020. The following stats show the 2020 amplification of selected narratives the IRA used back in 2016. 4 DiResta, R., Shaffer, K., Ruppel, B., Sullivan, D., Matney, R., Fox, R., Johnson, B. (2018): The Tactics & Tropes of the Internet Research Agency. URL: https://cdn2.hubspot.net/hubfs/4326998/ira-report-rebrand_FinalJ14.pdf (February 2021) US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 13
The most frequented narrative that reappeared in 2020 was Leaks. While in 2016, the IRA used documents retrieved from a hacking attack on the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and the servers of the Clinton campaign, 2020 Leaks mostly referred to alleged recovered emails from Hunter Biden, which allegedly proved that Vice President Joe Biden shaped American foreign policy in the Ukraine to benefit his son. But even Hillary Clinton’s emails reappeared in 2020. This micro-narrative came up when former Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, announced to release her emails in mid-October 2020. In both years, Leaks were used to target the Democratic candidate (Hillary Clinton in 2016, Joe Biden in 2020). In the four weeks leading up to election day 2020, Leaks was mostly shared related to YouTube content with 21.21%, followed by Instagram with 10.12% and Facebook with 5.63%. Figure 18: Percentage of referrals to the US 2020 elections and to narratives used by the IRA back in 2016 to interfere in the presidential election while sharing Facebook, Instagram and YouTube content on Twitter between October 3 and November 3, 2020. The second most frequented 2016 narrative that reappeared in 2020 was Black community. While the target audience looks similar, the micro-narratives were different in both years. In 2016, the IRA targeted mostly religious members and leaders of the black community. In 2020, the narrative was shaped by the black lives matter movement and issues about systemic racism in America and police brutality in the aftermath of George Floyd’s death. In the four weeks leading up to election day, Black Community was mostly shared related to Instagram content with 8.38%, followed by Facebook with 2.07% and YouTube with 2%. The third narrative the IRA used in 2016 and that reappeared in 2020 was QAnon. QAnon took off in 2016 with a conspiracy theory about Hillary Clinton who allegedly ran a child trafficking ring for the pedophile deep state (pizzagate). QAnon supporters look at Donald Trump as the person who “drain the swamp” of Washington D.C. and will lead “the war” against the cabal. With Donald Trump in office, the QAnon narrative evolved in the past years and became mainstream in America. The Boogaloo movement that started in late 2019 and the Proud Boys who are associated with the insurrection on January 6, 2021 share a significant number of the QAnon micro-narratives. In the four weeks leading up to election day 2020, QAnon was mostly shared related to YouTube content with 4.54%, followed by Instagram with 2.79% and Facebook with 1.90%. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 14
Although there have been new micro-narratives to certain 2016 narratives such as Secession, other narratives used by the IRA in 2016 created only a low traffic volume with under 0.1% in the four weeks leading up to election day 2020. This applies for example to Confederation/Southern culture, Secession, Islamization, Gun Rights, Voter suppression and Distrust in the media. 5 Facebook 5.1 Top narratives With 46%, Toxic Narratives was the most frequented narrative related to Facebook content of all tweets referring to narratives and the US 2020 elections during the four weeks leading up to election day. This number is high. Facebook is the only platform compared to Instagram and YouTube that received more traffic from Twitter related to a narrative other than COVID-19. Toxic Narratives is followed by COVID-19 with 22.7%, Leaks with 9.3%, Civil unrest 2020 with 6.7% and Sensitive content with 3.7%. Less than 3% were related to Conspiracy theories and QAnon. Figure 19: Top 10 narratives related to Facebook content on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Figure 20: Narratives related to Facebook content on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 15
5.2 Most promoted Facebook Pages Donald J Trump was the most promoted Facebook Page during the four weeks prior to election day with 1,504 referrals. The former president was followed by Mark Levin, the host of the conservative radio talk show “The Mark Levin Show” on Westwood One with 1,414 referrals and Tomi Lahren, a political commentator and host on Fox Nation with 490 referrals. Of all promoted Facebook Pages in that time, three Fox News-related Facebook Pages are in the #15: Tomi Lahren (#3), Fox News (#7), Tucker Carlson Tonight (#9). The Facebook Page Huckabee, formerly on Fox News, is #15 of all off-platform promoted Facebook Pages. Facebook Pages of the Democratic candidate Joe Biden, Biden-supporting super PACs or other than conservative news networks have less than 100 referrals in that time. More than 550 highly promoted Facebook referrals were unavailable as of February 2021. No. Page Referrals 1 Donald J Trump 1,504 2 Mark Levin 1,414 3 Tomi Lahren 490 4 Bedros Keuilian 339 5 Marian Kamensky 243 6 Michael Moore 168 7 Fox News 154 8 Todd Coconato 153 9 Tucker Carlson Tonight 133 10 Guy Verhofstadt 132 11 Anna Terez Weinbaum Parrish 126 12 LEXIT 124 13 Oscar El Blue 112 14 Newsmax 105 15 Huckabee 100 Table 1: Most promoted Facebook Pages on Twitter pertaining to the US 2020 elections and the number of referrals between October 3 and November 3, 2020. 5.3 Most promoted Facebook content The three most promoted Facebook posts on Twitter were claims by Donald Trump about media bias "Look at the bias, hatred and rudeness on behalf of 60 Minutes and CBS. Tonight’s anchor, Kristen Welker, is far worse!" with 1,181 referrals between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Second and third most promoted posts were by Mark Levin about an alleged sex scandal of President Joe Biden ("THE BIDEN SEX SCANDAL NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT. JOIN US FOR A BRAND NEW LEVIN TV TONIGHT") with 807 referrals and a post questioning Russia’s involvement in the alleged Hunter Biden leaks "There is ZERO evidence of Russia’s involvement in the Biden lab top [!sic] scandal..." with 578 referrals. Twelve of the fifteen posts were in favor to the former president, while three Posts were against him or in favor to President Joe Biden such as the post by the documentary filmmaker Michael Moore (#5), the former Prime Minister of Belgium, Guy Verhofstadt (#10) or by MeidasTouch US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 16
(#14), a PAC that was founded to stop the reelection of Donald Trump. Overall, most of the promoted Facebook posts were about rallies, alleged scandals related to Joe Biden, the Mexican border and claims about biased news media reporting about Donald Trump. Other issues mentioned in promoted Facebook posts were fracking, social security and child trafficking. Many promoted posts were videos or live streams. No. Page Post Referrals 1 Donald J Trump Look at the bias, hatred and rudeness on behalf of 60 1,181 Minutes and CBS. Tonight’s anchor, Kristen Welker, is far worse! 2 Mark Levin THE BIDEN SEX SCANDAL NOBODY IS TALKING 807 ABOUT. JOIN US FOR A BRAND NEW LEVIN TV TONIGHT. 3 Mark Levin There is ZERO evidence of Russia’s involvement in the 578 Biden lab top scandal.... 4 Tomi Lahren Rapper and mogul 50 Cent tells his 26.2 MILLION 303 instagram followers, Vote Trump! 5 Michael Moore So Now Trump Has Earned Your Trust? A Note of 161 Covid Caution from Michael Moore 6 Todd Coconato Live from Trump Tower in New York City! 153 7 Anna Terez Weinbaum Downtown Vacaville right now! Soooo many Patriots 126 Parrish are here!! #Trump2020 8 Tomi Lahren California unveils a new set of bogus rules for holiday 124 gatherings. 9 Fox News Former Hunter Biden associate Tony Bobulinski 122 makes a statement ahead of the final presidential debate. President Trump is expected to bring Bobulinski as his guest to the debate. 10 Guy Verhofstadt Why for the EU too, it has to be Biden ! 112 11 LEXIT Massive Trump rally at Nigeria, Africa 84 12 Huckabee Joe Biden FINALLY gets fact checked, even NPR called 74 him out. 13 Wysiwyg Tv LIVE in Beverly Hills Sat. Oct. 10th 2020 Trump Rally 65 and counter 14 MeidasTouch It’s time to vote out the #TrumpCrimeFamily 56 15 Oscar El Blue Don’t lie Joe Biden, this is the truth about child 51 trafficking in the Mexican borders Table 2: Most promoted Facebook Posts on Twitter pertaining to the US 2020 elections and the number of referrals between October 3 and November 3, 2020. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 17
5.4 Selected narratives over time Figure 21: Narratives related to Facebook content on Twitter over time while referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Looking at the amplification of narratives related to Facebook content over time, some narratives showed a constant amplitude of amplification while other narratives had peaks. One of those narratives was Toxic narratives (color: flamingo) that were boosted on three different days during the four weeks leading up to election day: October 7, October 19 and October 20. On October 7, the day of the Vice Presidential Debate with Kamala Harris (D) and Mike Pence (R), Mark Levin posted about an alleged sex scandal of Joe Biden (#2 Facebook Post). The peaks on October 19 and October 20 were also related to Mark Levin. In his Facebook Post, he questioned Russia’s involvement in the Hunter Biden allegations (#3 Facebook Post). Overall, tweets referring to Toxic narratives related to Facebook content increased until October 19 and slowly decreased until election day. Most tweets referring to COVID-19, the US 2020 elections and Facebook content (color: green) were posted on October 3. On this day, Michael Moore (#5 Facebook Post) shared his thoughts about Donald Trump and his COVID-19 response. Referrals to the narrative QAnon (color: rose) increased on a lower level after the Second Presidential Debate as well as the narrative Climate change (color: purple) after President Biden announced a transition away from the oil industry to renewable sources of energy. Facebook content related to Black community (color: light green), Civil unrest 2020 (color: yellow) and Leaks (color. gray) had a one-day peak. While the peaks related to Black community and Civil unrest 2020 on October 6 mostly referred to a Facebook video by The Daily Caller, the peak related to Leaks on October 30 is mostly caused by traffic of the account @stilbow3 which was suspended as of February 2021: “https://t.co/YinseKg1gi Tell the world, the truth about the Biden’s. It’s horrific and all true! #WalkAway #NeverBiden https://facebook.com/100000357800526 /posts/3669879933033897/?d=n”. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 18
6 YouTube 6.1 Top narratives COVID-19 was the most frequented narrative related to YouTube content with 40.3% of all YouTube referrals in that time, followed by Leaks with 21.2%. This number is high. YouTube has the highest percentage of referrals related to Leaks compared to Facebook with 5.63% and Instagram with 10.12%. Leaks is followed by Toxic narratives with 10.4%, Conspiracy theories with 6.8%, Civil unrest with 6.3% and Sensitive content with 5.7%. Of all YouTube referrals, 4.5% were related to QAnon. Figure 22: Top 10 narratives related to YouTube content on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Figure 23: Narratives related to YouTube content on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. 6.2 Most promoted YouTube channels The conservative news network Fox News was the most promoted YouTube channel during the four weeks four weeks prior to election day with 34,552 referrals. Fox News is followed by Right Side Broadcasting Network with 32,218 referrals and Donald J Trump with 28,235 referrals. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 19
Of all fifteen most promoted YouTube channels in that time, almost half of them (46.6%) are run by conservative or highly partisan news media or news networks such as Fox News (#1), Right Side Broadcasting Network (#2), One America News Network (#5), The Next News Network (#6), Sky News Australia (#7), Fox Business (#8) and BlazeTV (#14). Two of the #15 most promoted YouTube channels are center or left leaning news media such as MSNBC (#9) or CNN (#10). Overall, the channel of the Republican candidate Donald Trump had 19,085 more referrals on Twitter than the Democratic candidate Joe Biden in the same period of time. No. Channel Referrals 1 Fox News 34,552 2 Right Side Broadcasting Network 32,218 3 Donald J Trump 28,235 4 Rudy W. Giuliani 23,360 5 One America News Network 18,438 6 The Next News Network 16,124 7 Sky News Australia 14,593 8 Fox Business 14,149 9 MSNBC 11,401 10 CNN 11,116 11 GOP War Room 10,435 12 Bedros Keuilian 10,118 13 Joe Biden 9,150 14 BlazeTV 8,730 15 Timcast 8,104 Table 3: Most promoted YouTube channels and the number of referrals on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. 6.3 Most promoted YouTube videos The most promoted YouTube video in the four weeks leading up to election day premiered on the channel Rudy W. Giuliani (more than 570,000 subscribers) about alleged federal crimes and the Hunter Biden allegations with 11,772 referrals. This video is followed by a video premiered on the channel Bedros Keuilian (more than 170,000 subscribers) why he decided to vote for Donald Trump with 10,118 referrals and a video by The Next News Network (more than 2 million subscribers) about the Hunter Biden allegations with 9,224 referrals. This video has become unavailable. Eleven of the fifteen most promoted YouTube videos were either reporting or fueling alleged scandals and conspiracy theories about Joe Biden or his family, claiming crimes, bribery and ties to a foreign government. This is more than 73% of the #15 most promoted YouTube videos. Five of those videos particularly referred to the Hunter Biden allegations (#1, #7-#10) creating total traffic of more than 26,000 YouTube referrals in that time. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 20
No. Video name Channel Referrals 1 Federal Crimes Uncovered In Biden Hard Drive | Rudy Rudy W. Giuliani 11,772 Giuliani | Ep. 78 2 I was voting for Biden but this changed my mind to Trump Bedros Keuilian 10,118 3 BREAKING: Whistleblower Drops HARD Evidence, Biden, The Next News Network 9,224 Obama, Hillary EXECUTED Seal Team 6, Audio Proof 4 Trump calls for Biden, Obama to be indicted in ’greatest Fox Business 4,945 political crime in history’ 5 Joe Biden Partnered With Chinese COMMUNISTS For Rudy W. Giuliani 4,824 $30M | Rudy Giuliani | Ep. 81 6 Report From The Field: Michigan Swing Districts Still Love The Federalist 3,965 Trump 7 EXCLUSIVE: Joe Biden’s son emailed shop owner about Sky News Australia 3,687 hard drive to "get it back": Former Trump chief 8 Tony Bobulinski held presser claiming Joe Biden knew Fox News 3,640 about Hunter’s business deals 9 Tucker exclusive: Tony Bobulinski, ex-Hunter Biden Fox News 3,594 associate, speaks out on Joe Biden 10 Hunter Biden associate reveals dealings with Russian One America News 3,325 oligarch Network 11 The BIDEN CRIME FAMILY’S Payoff Scheme | Rudy Rudy W. Giuliani 2,917 Giuliani’s EXCLUSIVE Reaction 12 BRUTAL: Resurfaced Video of Joe Biden Should Destroy His Dinesh D’Souza 2,764 Campaign 13 Trump 2020 A Man vs. A Movement American Greatness 2,345 14 RIDING THE DRAGON: The Bidens’ Chinese Secrets (Full BlazeTV 2,319 Documentary) 15 UNCOVERED: How Joe Biden Got Millions In Foreign Rudy W. Giuliani 2,304 Bribes | Rudy Giuliani | Ep. 80 Table 4: Most promoted YouTube videos and the number of referrals on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. 6.4 Fraudulent electoral process and related YouTube channels The number of referrals to the narrative Fraudulent electoral process related to YouTube videos during the four weeks prior to election day was mostly driven by one channel with 4,230 video shares. This channel is run by the conservative activist organization Project Veritas. This number is high. The most promoted YouTube video by Project Veritas in that time was “RIGGED ELECTION: TX ’Ballot Chaser’ Illegally Pressures Voters To Change Votes; ‘I could go to jail’" with 2,153 referrals, followed by “Ballot Chaser Reveals MASSIVE Vote Fraud Effort To Elect Joe Biden; ‘$55,000 for 5,000 votes’" with 1,608 referrals and “Project Veritas #RiggedElection Investigation Takes Over Texas News Cycle” with 361 referrals. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 21
No. Channel Referrals 1 Project Veritas 4,230 2 Tim Pool 470 3 Donald J Trump 230 4 Timcast 162 5 Spitting Image 101 6 Lucas Warren 77 7 GOP War Room 75 8 John Talks 58 9 BlazeTV 56 10 Jimmy Kimmel Live 44 11 MR. OBVIOUS 44 12 Trump War Room 35 13 The Next News Network 34 14 NowThis News 28 15 TYT Investigates 24 Table 5: Most promoted YouTube channels related to the narrative Fraudulent electoral process and the number of referrals on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. 6.5 Narrative network mapping Figure 24: Network graph of the 300 most active Twitter accounts and the YouTube videos they have shared while referring to the US 2020 elections in the time between October 3 and November 3, 2020.Nodes represent Twitter accounts and YouTube videos. They are colored according to the hashtags they referred to when they shared the YouTube video. The sizes of the nodes reflect the number of referrals to YouTube videos. Visualizing the relationship between Twitter accounts and YouTube videos, measured by retweets, favs, quotes and replies and the content they have shared, shows a deeply polarized network. This network is divided into two clusters: One cluster is formed by accounts mostly referring to Joe Biden’s campaign (color: blue), policy issues (color: yellow), democratic processes (color: purple) on the left side. The other cluster is formed by accounts mostly referring to Donald Trump’s campaign (color: red), battleground states (color: green) and Conspiracy theories (color: orange) on the right side (Learn more about this network graph in our report “US 2020 elections - Mapping a divided country”). US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 22
The polarization is also reflected in the narratives the accounts referred to when they shared a YouTube video. The left cluster mostly shared YouTube videos related to the narrative COVID-19 (color: pink). The right cluster also shared YouTube videos related Toxic narratives (color: cyan), Leaks (color: neon green), QAnon (color: blue), Fraudulent electoral process (color: violet) or Conspiracy theories (color: orange). Figure 25: Network graph of the 300 most active Twitter accounts and the YouTube videos they have shared while referring to the US 2020 elections in the time between October 3 and November 3, 2020.Nodes represent Twitter accounts and YouTube videos. They are colored according to the narratives they referred to when they shared the YouTube video. The sizes of the nodes reflect the number of referrals to YouTube videos. COVID-19 Toxic narratives Leaks Civil unrest 2020 Black community Conspiracy theories QAnon Sensitive content Fraudulent Voter suppression Distrust in the Gun rights electoral process media Table 6: Narratives and their colors. Furthermore, the network graph shows how many YouTube videos the accounts shared. For example, one of the most active accounts during the four weeks leading up to election day was @DACisneros1. The account shared 2,421 YouTube referrals and 775 unique YouTube videos related to Toxic narratives in that time. This account has been suspended. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 23
Figure 26: Right side of the network graph of the 300 most active Twitter accounts and the YouTube videos they have shared while referring to the US 2020 elections in the time between October 3 and November 3, 2020.Nodes represent Twitter accounts and YouTube videos. They are colored according to the narratives they referred to when they shared the YouTube video. The sizes of the nodes reflect the number of referrals to YouTube videos. Visualizing the relationship between Twitter accounts and YouTube channels, the network shows a similar polarized structure. The YouTube channels on the left side are mostly connected to the narrative COVID-19 (color: pink). The channels on the right side are also connected to other narratives such as Toxic narratives (color: cyan), Leaks (color: neon green), QAnon (color: blue), Fraudulent electoral process (color: violet) or Conspiracy theories (color: orange). Figure 27: Network graph of the 300 most active Twitter accounts and the YouTube channels they have shared videos of while referring to the US 2020 elections in the time between October 3 and November 3, 2020.Nodes represent Twitter accounts and YouTube channels. They are colored according to the narratives they referred to when they shared a YouTube video. The sizes of the nodes reflect the number of referrals to YouTube channels. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 24
Figure 28: Left side of the network graph of the 300 most active Twitter accounts and the YouTube channels they have shared videos of while referring to the US 2020 elections in the time between October 3 and November 3, 2020.Nodes represent Twitter accounts and YouTube channels. They are colored according to the narratives they referred to when they shared a YouTube video. The sizes of the nodes reflect the number of referrals to YouTube channels. Figure 29: Right side of the network graph of the 300 most active Twitter accounts and the YouTube channels they have shared videos of while referring to the US 2020 elections in the time between October 3 and November 3, 2020.Nodes represent Twitter accounts and YouTube channels. They are colored according to the narratives they referred to when they shared a YouTube video. The sizes of the nodes reflect the number of referrals to YouTube channels. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 25
6.6 Selected narratives over time Figure 30: Narratives related to YouTube content on Twitter over time while referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Looking at the amplification of narratives related to YouTube content over time, Toxic narratives (color: flamingo) were constantly shared with YouTube content about 20% each day between October 19 and October 26. The narrative peaked on the day after the second presidential debate, October 23. When people shared YouTube content on Twitter, most of them referred to issues associated with COVID-19 (color: green). The major peak during the four weeks prior to election day was on October 3 and decreased until October 14. Two narratives had a one-day peak: Leaks (color: gray) and Fraudulent electoral process (color: purple). The peak of Leaks on October 13 was mostly caused by a conspiracy theory about President Barack Obama. The peak of Fraudulent electoral process on October 27 (46%) was driven by the conservative activist organization Project Veritas reporting about alleged voter fraud in Texas. JamesOKeefeIII: Full 18 minute YouTube release Share it far and wide! #RiggedElection https://t.co/Z4aDmyXh56 Sensitive content related to YouTube resources had a minor peak on October 12. This was mostly caused by several unrelated stories, such as the death of a Trump supporter. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 26
7 Instagram 7.1 Top narratives COVID-19 was the most frequented narrative related to Instagram content with 37.7% of all tweets referring to narratives and the US 2020 elections during the four weeks leading up to election day. This narrative is followed by Black community with 11.9%. Instagram has the highest percentage of referrals to Black community compared to Facebook (2.07%) and YouTube (2%). Black Community is followed by Toxic narratives with 10.5%, Leaks with 10.5%, Civil unrest 2020 with 9.7% and Sensitive content with 5.6%. Conspiracy theories related to Instagram content was 3.6% and QAnon-related content was 3.5%. On a low level, Instagram had the highest percentage of referrals to Fraudulent electoral process with 1.36% in that time compared to YouTube (1.08%) and Facebook (0.82%). Figure 31: Top 10 narratives related to Instagram content on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Figure 32: Narratives related to Instagram content on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 27
7.2 Most promoted Instagram accounts The “Miami Official Page on Instagram” was the most promoted Instagram account during the four weeks leading up to election day with 2,537 referrals overall. The account has become unavailable as of February 2021. The Miami account on Instagram is followed by the account of the political advisor and former US Ambassador to Germany, Richard Grenell with 1,623 referrals. In the 15 most promoted Instagram accounts, Joyann Reid, host of MSNBC’s “The ReidOut” is #3 with 324 referrals, the account @realdonaldtrump is #6 with 177 referrals and the rapper Kanye West who also ran for president in 2020 is #9 with 132 referrals. He is followed by the account @teamtrump which is an account of the Save America leadership PAC, affiliated with Senator James E. Risch. No. Account Referrals 1 Miami Official Page 2,537 2 richardgrenell 1,623 3 sokrates_17 1,308 4 joyannreid 324 5 hydeparkwire 288 6 realdonaldtrump 177 7 juancarlossosaazpurua 146 8 showpiecent 132 9 kanyewest 132 10 teamtrump 104 11 titoortiz1999 95 12 blbuckley 85 13 White House 77 14 davidjharrisjr 48 15 sneakertigger 47 Table 7: Most promoted Instagram accounts and the number of referrals on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections and narratives between October 3 and November 2, 2020. 7.3 Most promoted Instagram posts One third of the 15 most promoted Instagram posts were about Donald Trump’s campaign trail (#2, #5, #8, #11, #14). Most of the content was posted by richardgrenell who created a total Instagram traffic of 1,623 referrals. The posts of sokrates_17 were constantly promoted between October 3 and November 3, 2020, almost on every day. The posts suggest analogies between Donald Trump and the Chinese philosopher Sun Tzsu: The Art of Trump with 669 referrals or The real reason they want you to hate Donald Trump. The post of the Miami account with 2,526 referrals has become unavailable as of February 2021 as well as the post by Kanye West with 101 referrals. More than 308 highly promoted Instagram posts have become unavailable as of February 2021. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 28
No. Account Post Referrals 1 Miami Official Page A the weekend 2,526 2 richardgrenell Pittsburgh Pride with tiffanytrump. #maga #4moreyears 876 3 sokrates_17 The Art of Trump 669 4 sokrates_17 The real reason they want you to hate Donald Trump 552 5 richardgrenell Minneapolis, see you Saturday! Come out and join us for 420 realdonaldtrump Pride. 6 joyannreid Searching for the Black Trump voter 324 7 hydeparkwire Sign of the march... 288 8 richardgrenell Final event - Philadelphia Pride. 231 9 showpiecent Chumoney : America 132 10 kanyewest Unavailable 101 11 richardgrenell Latrobe, Pennsylvania - getting ready to welcome VP Mike 96 Pence. 12 juancarlossosaazpurua Por que si me gusta donald trump (URL) 80 13 White House A message from President realdonaldtrump 77 14 realdonaldtrump I LOVE TEXAS! 69 15 blbuckley An open letter from me to realdonaldtrump & vp. Please 68 share if you’re with me. #voteblue2020 Table 8: Most promoted Instagram content and the number of referrals on Twitter referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 2, 2020. 7.4 Selected narratives over time Figure 33: Narratives related to Instagram content on Twitter over time while referring to the US 2020 elections between October 3 and November 3, 2020. Looking at the amplification of narratives related to Instagram content over time, Instagram content was constantly related to COVID-19 (color: green). The most significant traffic related to COVID-19 related to Instagram content was on October 6. On this day, Donald Trump left Walter Reed Medical Center after a COVID-19 treatment. Until October 16, the traffic related to COVID-19 decreased. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 29
The peak of the narrative Leaks (color: gray) on October 8 was mostly related to one post: conserv34732269: @staymad____ This is Joe Biden calling black people the N word https://t.co/4IznDA6NoL please share this and thank you A significant number of Instagram referrals were related to Toxic narratives (color: flamingo) on October 23, the day after the second Presidential Debate. This peak was caused by various unrelated posts such as: bat211: Lyin @JoeBiden https://t.co/KgkUyjxKim ZEBASOLAR: @DonaldJTrumpJr Emerging Biden Scandal Pakistan https://t.co/uZUugdADl9 While Instagram content related to Black community (color: light green) and Civil unrest 2020 (color: yellow) were constantly shared over this period of time, both narratives had a peak. The peak of Black community on election day, November 3, 2020 was caused by various accounts referring to different Instagram posts: CurvyEST:“Wake up folks! Today is important! #vote #vote2020 #biden2020 #blacklivesmatter #cnn #news #getwoke #election https://t.co/Ev1QB73tZC” DJDavidSerrano:“Not voting is not a protest. It is a surrender! #VOTE #democracy #BLM #BlueWave #DumpTrump @ Washington D.C. https://t.co/ZJ0xn3UgMD” The peak of Civil unrest 2020 on October 13 was mostly related to one tweet and Instagram post by TalbertSwan: "NEWSFLASH: The exorcism didn’t work #RacistTrump #SonOfAKlansman via. . . https://t.co/WgUvxserm5" Figure 34: Instagram post by TalbertSwan. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 30
Two narratives had a minor one-day peak each: Sensitive content (color: brown) and Fraudulent electoral process (color: purple). On October 14, most of the Instagram content referring to Sensitive content was caused by a tweet of @CarlBotha2 which was significantly quoted by other accounts: CarlBotha2 : "Pedophile exposed! @JoeBiden @realDonaldTrump https://t.co/wkUPwNFiOP" (The Instagram post has become unavailable as of February 2021) The peak of Fraudulent electoral process on October 27 was caused by various different accounts sharing one video by the conservative activist group Project Veritas claiming voter fraud, such as ChicagoResell: "More Proof Democrats are committing voter Fraud. https://t.co/5llwAuyIq3". Figure 35: Instagram post by jamesokeefeiii shared by ChicagoResell. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 31
A Appendix A.1 Scope This report presents and compares the traffic volume related to social media platforms measured by the number of tweets or referrals. This report shows the activity. This report does not include an assessment of the impact narratives may have had on the outcome of the US 2020 elections, on the voting process or on public opinion. A.2 Labeling and visualization methodology Narrative labels are determined by natural language processing analyzing hashtags, words, syntax and the hierarchy thereof. For example, if a tweet includes "mail-in", "ballot" and "fraud", the user is narrative labeled as "fraudulent electoral process". Network graph visualizations reflect the relationship between Twitter accounts determined by the engagement with one another, measured by retweets, favs, quotes and replies and the content they have shared. The more the accounts interact with each other and the more they have in common regarding their operational behaviors, the closer they are located to one another on the map. The sizes of the nodes reflect the number of referrals to YouTube videos or YouTube channels. A big node represents a Twitter account or a YouTube channel that had many referrals in that time, a small node represents a Twitter account or a YouTube channel that had a smaller number of referrals. The coloring convention of nodes is displayed under each and every graph visualization. Edges are colored according to the source node. Tweets, posts and videos that are displayed in this report, were available in February 2021. Content may become unavailable or re-available after the report is published. A.3 Details on narratives Black Community: This narrative includes but is not limited to the black lives matter movement including black pride and black excellence. Boogaloo: This narrative refers to the militia ideology that advocates violence against law enforcement and government officials and promotes a civil war on race. This narrative includes but is not limited to boogaloo boys, boojihadeen, a patriot wave and the violent collapse of modern society. Census 2020: This narrative refers to the US census 2020. Civil unrest 2020: This narrative refers to the protests, outrages and policy issues in the aftermath of George Floyds death on May 25, 2020. This narrative includes but is not limited to police brutality, defunding the police, antifascist movements and the government response to the protests. Climate change: This narrative refers to issues related to climate change. This narrative includes but is not limited to renewable energy, environmental issues and green tech. US 2020 ELECTIONS - NARRATIVE MAPPING 32
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