MODEL RESPONSE - INDUSTRIAL AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING - Computational work informs public health policies - UW-Madison Engineering
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UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN–MADISON COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING SPRING 2021 NEWSLETTER INDUSTRIAL AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING MODEL RESPONSE Computational work informs public health policies 1
CHAIR’S MESSAGE FINE Greetings! It’s hard to believe that we have been adapting FELLOWSHIP ALBERT EARNS AAAS HONOR to the challenges presented by the COVID-19 pandemic for a full year now. We’ve gone to great Professor Laura lengths to serve our students from all over the Albert jumps at world during this trying time, while continuing opportunities to to pursue our research that creates and applies use her research industrial engineering knowledge for the public to inform public good. Our work has kept us busy, and we’re proud of what we’ve achieved, policy and to share some of which is highlighted for you in this newsletter. her work beyond Our students never cease to amaze and impress us. ISyE student groups have academic circles. remained active throughout the pandemic, as evidenced by the numerous Her efforts earned her top recognition awards various chapters received at their fall conferences. Additionally, from the American Association for the individuals have been recognized at the very highest levels for their work, Advancement of Science (AAAS), which like PhD student Renee Greene, who has received the 2021 International elected her a fellow as part of its 2020 class. Ergonomics Association’s K.U. Smith Student Award. Albert, who is also a Harvey D. Spangler Our students aren’t the only ones receiving recognition. Professor Laura Faculty Scholar, received the honor Albert has been named a fellow of the American Association for the for her distinguished contributions to Advancement of Science, and Assistant Professor Gabriel Zayas-Caban the application of operations research received the early career award from the Minority Issues Forum of the methodologies to public policy, and for Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). communicating her research to the public. The pandemic hasn’t slowed down our world-class faculty in their research, Through her operations research, either. With active grants across a wide range of research interest areas, she applies optimization approaches our faculty members are busier than ever. In fact, our department’s faculty to challenges in critical public sector are currently ranked first in the nation in the Faculty Scholarly Productivity infrastructure, such as homeland security, Index (FSPI) produced by Academic Analytics. Our operations research and emergency response and cybersecurity. health systems engineering experts have been called on frequently over the Albert uses Twitter and her blog, Punk past year to apply their research to pandemic-related challenges, and they Rock Operations Research, to explain her have contributed significantly to identifying ways to battle the spread and work. She’s also written op-ed pieces in collateral effects of COVID-19. publications such as The Hill and Fox News This spring also brings significant changes to the faces in our department. and shared her expertise in numerous Longtime professor and former department chair Vicki Bier recently retired, media interviews. and I will be stepping down as chair in a few short months. Professor Laura “It’s important that we look beyond our Albert will be taking the reins, and I assure you, the department will be in discipline and make a difference in the extremely good hands under her leadership. world and think about what impact our We are grateful for your continued interest in, and support of, our research has,” she said in an AAAS department. I hope that, in the near future, we can be together on campus. member spotlight. Until then, please feel free to reach out to me by phone or email. I would love The fellowship honor, dating back to 1874, to connect with you personally. is bestowed annually on members of AAAS who are nominated by their peers and On, Wisconsin! recognized for their efforts to advance science and society. Jeffrey Linderoth Harvey D. Spangler Professor and David H. Gustafson Department Chair linderoth@wisc.edu • 608.890.1931 ENGINEERING engr.wisc.edu/isye facebook.com/uwisye @uwisye linkedin.com/groups/138818 2
PREDICTIVE PREVENTION: Undergrad works to help diabetic patients in India For several thousand dollars, diabetic patients can purchase a mat capable of thermally imaging their feet to preemptively detect ulcers and transmit data for remote monitoring. The technology is impressive. But the cost means it’s also out of reach for most patients and clinics in low-resource settings across the globe, where diabetes is most prevalent. Jan Wodnicki “Those kinds of resources are just not available to many people in India,” says Thor Larson ISyE undergraduate student Jan Wodnicki, who’s working on a lower-cost, portable high prevalence of diabetes in India and ulcers before they break through the skin. alternative, with India as the focal point. overwhelming demand at hospitals.” The two took Boutilier’s Machine Learning in “They’re kind of left out of this ‘big medicine.’” Action course during the fall 2020 semester, The idea emerged from the Department of allowing them to tinker with different Biomedical Engineering’s undergraduate methods of data analysis. design curriculum via alumna Kayla Huemer (BSBME ’18), who worked on a They’re currently able to identify, with device prototype as a Fulbright Scholar in roughly 89% accuracy, whether a patient has India but wanted to incorporate machine developed an ulcer based on thermal imaging learning for data analysis. data—and hope to push that rate above 95%. To achieve that—and create Wodnicki and Larson focused an automated process to more on the mechanical design of quickly generate a risk score the device during their semester for each patient—they say together in the biomedical they simply need to collect Wodnicki, a junior from Brookfield, engineering design program. more data in the field, which Wisconsin, received a Wisconsin Idea Wodnicki subsequently switched would allow them to use Fellowship to support the project, his major, but the two have more advanced machine which is a collaboration with biomedical continued the effort and turned learning techniques broadly engineering student Thor Larson. It’s a their attention to the data science known as deep learning to blend of medical device prototyping and side of the project. refine their algorithms. advanced data analysis. They’ve created an app to The COVID-19 pandemic “We see it as kind of a rapid triage solution, streamline the data collection shelved their plans to travel where instead of having everyone assessed process when taking images, to India in summer 2020, by a physician, you would take a picture allowing users to quickly analyze but they’re hopeful they’ll be of their feet and they would get some the data. And, with guidance able to go once conditions kind of risk score. If they were deemed from ISyE Assistant Professor improve around the world low risk, they would be sent back home Justin Boutilier, Wodnicki and and travel is less restricted. and if not, they would proceed further Larson have used data from with clinical examination,” says Wodnicki. Huemer’s work in India to develop “I’ll be ready to when we’re “The motivation is that there is such a algorithms that can identify able to,” says Wodnicki. 3
RETIRING BIER LEAVES LEGACY OF RELEVANT RISK RESEARCH Midway through graduate school at Since arriving at UW-Madison in 1990 after the COVID-19 pandemic. Welburn started Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Vicki working as a risk analyst at a consulting firm working with Bier as an undergraduate Bier encountered a crisis of confidence. for clients in the nuclear power industry, student and says she was the reason he The aspiring risk analysis researcher found Bier has tackled current and relevant stayed at UW-Madison to pursue his herself lacking the inspiration to devour issues such as homeland security resource PhD, even though his focus on economics the latest journal articles on the inner allocation, the effects of deregulation problems was outside of Bier’s established workings of algorithms—and worried that on nuclear power safety, and pandemic lines of research. her disinterest was a warning sign, revealing preparedness. “She was quite supportive in pushing us to some personal shortcoming. “A lot of my interests have been drawn from do the work that we wanted to,” he says. She stepped away from school for a year, the news,” she says. “I have had an eye for Bier, who’s supervised 20 PhD students taking a job at the consulting firm Arthur problems where I thought progress could in total (plus one still in progress), points D. Little to work on risk analysis in the be made reasonably quickly, either because to watching her first PhD advisee, Naceur chemical and petrochemical industry. not enough people were thinking about Azaiez (PhD ‘93, now a professor at the Exploring tangible problems like the something or because I had a different angle University of Tunis in Tunisia), as one of her risk of failure at a chemical plant and on how to think about it.” enduring professional memories. following high-profile questions about Former PhD student Jun Zhuang (PhD nuclear power risk in the news awakened She remembers feeling a sense of ’08), now a professor at the University a realization in Bier. trepidation after turning down several at Buffalo, has modeled his own decision academic jobs while working in consulting. “I discovered that once I was working on analysis course after Bier’s. Zhuang, along She’s grateful UW-Madison has proven her something related to policy, I no longer with fellow PhD graduate Chen Wang (PhD instincts correct. felt uninterested,” she recalls. “A lot ‘13, now an associate professor at Tsinghua of operations research really is about University in China), organized a 2017 “The thing I’ve appreciated most about efficiency, and that was just never as conference in China to honor Bier’s legacy being here at Wisconsin is the level of interesting to me. It’s important; it’s good and work in risk and decision analysis. freedom that faculty have to choose that there are plenty of people doing what they want to work on,” she says. “I “She’s a lifelong mentor for me,” says it, but it was not as interesting to me as never felt constrained. There were a lot Zhuang. something where I could see a broader of people doing very interesting, eclectic, societal relevance.” Likewise, alumnus Jon Welburn (BS ’10, interdisciplinary work, and that was really PhD ’16), now an operations researcher at important to me.” Bier has carried that fervor for investigating the policy think tank RAND Corporation, timely topics with her ever since, including remains in frequent contact with Bier; in during her 30-year career as an ISyE fact, the two are collaborating on a paper professor at UW-Madison. She retired in examining systemic risks in the wake of January 2021. 4
LOCAL LOOK Alagoz’s region-specific COVID modeling shows effect of social distancing measures As the COVID-19 pandemic first took hold in regions across the “Everybody knows, qualitatively, social distancing measures have United States in spring 2020, governors, mayors and local leaders made a difference, but I think this is one of the most accurate hoping to quell the spread of the virus turned to the only actionable estimates of how much of a change they really led to,” says Alagoz, defenses available at the time: They closed schools and businesses, an expert in infectious disease modeling. “In places where you banned mass gatherings, issued stay-at-home orders and enforced have high population density and a lot of movement in and out of other social distancing measures. the area, the impact of social distancing is significantly greater, compared to other places. Wisconsin, for example, implemented A study led by Proctor and Gamble-Bascom Professor the same social distancing measures Oguzhan Alagoz and published in the Annals of Internal statewide, but the impact was different Medicine quantified the region-specific impact of social in Dane County, Milwaukee and other distancing measures on the COVID-19 caseload in three areas. Our model actually is able to tell distinct areas: New York City, the Milwaukee metropolitan us this quantitative estimate of how area and Dane County in Wisconsin. much of a difference we are going to Using aggregated cell phone mobility data as a way to track see from one region to another.” how people complied with social distancing policies, Alagoz The group’s model took into account and collaborators from the UW-Madison School of Medicine each region’s demographics, infections and Public Health created a computational model to simulate imported from outside the area, COVID-19 cases based on when social distancing directives asymptomatic transmission, age- were implemented and eased, as well as how diligently people specific adherence to social distancing adhered to those orders. rules, and limited availability of testing The simulation showed social distancing measures wielded Oguzhan Alagoz in the early months of the pandemic. major influence on case numbers, though the impact varied Alagoz notes that a confluence of those markedly in different areas, even within the same state. factors drives infection rates in different areas, which demonstrates According to the researchers’ model, the timing of implementing the need for region-specific modeling and policies. social distancing measures was particularly crucial in New York, Throughout the pandemic, Alagoz has worked closely with where the state restricted mass gatherings March 12, 2020, and colleagues in the School of Medicine and Public Health and at introduced increasingly stringent measures over the following UW Health to develop and refine models to aid health officials in 10 days. Dane County and south-central Wisconsin. He has also shared However, according to the model, had the state acted one week his efforts with the Wisconsin Department of Health Services. earlier, the number of cases in New York City would have been 80% He says the work has been among the most challenging less (41,366 instead of 203,261) by the end of May; conversely, a experiences of his career. week’s delay would have increased the caseload nearly seven times, “We spent five years building a model for hospital-acquired to more than 1.4 million. The impact of the timing wasn’t as dramatic infections, two years building a model for tuberculosis in Dane County, where a one-week delay would have increased its transmission, and only two weeks to model COVID-19,” he says. number of cases 36% by the end of July. 5
KNOWLEDGE RETENTION Undergraduates sharpen skills while helping rural school district When recent graduate Bailey Benck worked To identify underlying causes, the students But the students say tackling such a at a manufacturer in Waukesha, Wisconsin, gathered input from district administration challenging assignment in the course, as part of a cooperative education and surveyed the full teaching staff. Then, taught by senior lecturer Terry Mann, program, he found himself applying process using industrial engineering methodologies, has given them enduring lessons to carry improvement techniques to problems they distilled those responses into unifying forward into their careers. straight from his industrial engineering themes and set about generating ideas “If you can get your hands dirty in a courses. for tactics to address those real system, especially a nontraditional issues, balancing what could But when Benck and three engineering environment, it really puts be done in a semester with classmates from ISyE 515: your skills to the test,” says Parks, who also the potential impact. Engineering Management of graduated in December 2020. “This is going Continuous Process Improvement In the end, their to help me in the real world—I won’t say took on a project during recommendations more than any of my other experiences at the fall 2020 semester to included new leadership UW, because they’ll all contribute—but this improve teacher retention and training, school and one’s going to be a key to me succeeding in recruitment in a rural school district value-defining private or public industry.” district in central Wisconsin, workshops, goal-setting Wermuth says the district is already they discovered a very different activities and streamlined Bailey Benck implementing some of the students’ way to apply those concepts. internal communications. suggestions. Empowering teacher voices to enhance “In class, we don’t talk about how these their sense of investment in the district was “The students went above and beyond in tools can be applied to a school district,” a common thread. The qualitative nature of providing us information and just a really says Benck, who graduated in December the project and the complexities of working different way to look at the problem that’s 2020. “Our project really forced us to on, as Benck puts it, “one big people- occurring in our district and occurring in a establish that deep understanding of the oriented system” necessitated multifaceted lot of other rural districts across the state of tools we learned and developed, and how strategies to encourage long-term change. Wisconsin,” says Wermuth. “We’re going to to use and apply them to a little bit less change some processes and practices that traditional situation.” “Culture change work is hard,” adds we have in the district to allow teachers Maderal. Benck and groupmates Joshua Fernandez, more voice in the decision-making.” Dom Maderal and Reid Parks sharpened their command of industrial engineering tools while delivering actionable recommendations for the Adams- Friendship School District, which serves roughly 1,500 students and sits an hour- and-a-half drive north of the UW-Madison campus. The project was part of UniverCity Alliance, a UW-Madison research and outreach effort that connects faculty, staff and students to tangible issues facing local communities. Teacher retention was a particular issue for Adams-Friendship in 2018 and 2019, when the district lost roughly 20% of its teaching staff each summer. That made it the top priority for Adams-Friendship District Administrator Tom Wermuth when he took over in 2019. A student works during in-person learning at Adams-Friendship Elementary School. Photo courtesy Adams-Friendship School District. 6
DEPARTMENT NEWS Faculty News Student News Proctor and Gamble Duane H. and Dorothy Bascom Professor M. Bluemke Professor Oguzhan Alagoz Robert Radwin is received a $2.4 million leading a project to grant from the National bolster human and robot Cancer Institute to apply collaborations in the mathematical modeling manufacturing sector to the overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer. He through a $1.5 million grant from the NSF. is also part of a $9.1 million collaborative grant from the National Institutes of Recently retired Professor Health to use simulation modeling Vicki Bier received to examine precision breast cancer an NSF grant to test treatments and inform clinical policies. different strategies for incentivizing preemptive relocation in areas at risk PhD student Renee Greene was the for coastal flooding. Bier 2021 recipient of the International is also serving on a National Academies of Ergonomics Association’s K.U. Smith Science, Engineering, and Medicine ad hoc Student Award. committee applying risk analysis to the threats of nuclear war and terrorism. Our INFORMS student chapter was selected as a winner of the INFORMS Professors and Harvey D. Spangler Jane R. and Jack G. 2020 Student Chapter Annual Award Faculty Scholars Laura Albert and Jim Mandula Assistant at the cum laude level, while our Luedtke are using a $1.2 million grant Professor Gabriel Zayas- student chapter of the Human Factors from the National Science Foundation Caban earned an early and Ergonomics Society received the (NSF) to develop an optimization career award from the organization’s gold status. framework that can help organizations Minority Issues Forum effectively and efficiently protect their of the Institute for information technology systems. Operations Research and the Management Sciences for his research and service. Alumni News Associate Professor Kaibo We honored two outstanding alumni Liu is using grants from the Harvey D. Spangler as part of the college’s annual awards. U.S. Department of Energy Assistant Professor and 3M to apply a machine Nicole Werner landed a Jeffrey J. Rotsch learning technique called grant from the National (BS ’72), retired transfer learning to Institute on Aging president of nuclear reactor safety and to further develop worldwide maintenance and industrial manufacturing CareVirtue, a web and sales at General production systems, respectively. He mobile app, to support family caregivers Mills, received also received a grant from the U.S. Army of individuals with Alzheimer’s disease. a Distinguished Engineering Research and Development Achievement Center to develop new artificial Award for his Professor Raj Veeramani intelligence methods and tools to improve work driving received the E-Business predictive maintenance of smart and global business success in the Chair Professorship. connected systems. Liu won the Institute consumer foods industry. Veeramani is executive of Industrial and Systems Engineers’ director of the UW Innovations in Education Award. James Tamplin E-Business Institute and (BS ’06, MS ’07), UW E-Business Consortium, David H. Gustafson founder partner connecting the university with industry. Department Chair and at Founder Harvey D. Spangler Collective Assistant Professor and executive Professor Jeff Linderoth Justin Boutilier was board member earned a grant through named the Charles at Covid Act the American Family Ringrose Assistant Now, received Funding Initiative to Professor, supporting an Early Career apply integer programming methods to his work applying Award for his efforts transforming create algorithms that could be used optimization and mobile app development as cofounder to solve mixture matrix completion machine learning techniques to global of the startup Firebase. problems. Professor Jim Luedtke is a health challenges. co-principal investigator. 7
engr.wisc.edu/isye Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering 1513 University Avenue Madison, WI 53706 Mintz makes machine learning work for personalized healthcare Leave it to an optimization researcher who technology, to refine drug dosing plans in “The thing that I find interesting is how do specializes in healthcare to use county-level intensive care units, and to better model the machine learning and optimization impact COVID-19 data to meticulously plot out a different variations of Parkinson’s disease. people? How can we use them to impact move from Atlanta to Madison, Wisconsin. people for good? How do we understand the As a PhD student at the University of That’s precisely what Yonatan Mintz did negative effects they have?” he says. “I feel California, Berkeley, he developed the ahead of his drive north in late summer 2020. like this is where I can make the most impact: algorithm behind a fitness app that learned these problems of human-sensitive machine Mintz, who joined ISyE as an assistant users’ exercise and food preferences and then learning and optimization and making sure professor after two years as a created goals suited to them. In that these algorithms work for us instead of postdoctoral fellow at Georgia a randomized controlled trial, the other way around.” Tech, applies optimization and the app outperformed Fitbit in machine learning methods to spurring users to exercise more. tailor healthcare interventions Mintz plans to continue creating to individuals. He says ISyE’s models to promote health and strengths in optimization and wellness via mobile apps and health systems engineering, wearable technology. He’s also paired with its long track developing an algorithm to record of collaboration with inform individualized dosing medical researchers across the Yonatan Mintz strategies for the blood thinner UW-Madison campus, makes it heparin. His work on Parkinson’s an ideal home for his work. disease involves both a model to predict Mintz’s research portfolio includes leveraging different manifestations of the disease and patient data to hone personalized health methods to more clearly explain the factors and wellness solutions through wearable behind a diagnosis. 8
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