Market trends For week ending May 13, 2022 - Performance Foodservice
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market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Produce MARKET OVERVIEW We are seeing more volume available on limes as well as some MARKET ALERT long-needed price relief on smaller sizes. Production seems • Avocados – ESCALATED to be slowly improving; however, the overall conditions of the • Asparagus - ESCALATED market will continue to be extreme through May on large-sized • Bell Pepper (Green) – ESCALATED • Cantaloupes –ESCALATED fruit, and we do not expect any significant volume on larger- • Carrots (Jumbo) – ESCALATED sized fruit until sometime in June. Tomato and squash markets • Celery - ESCALATED continue to be stable as we see strong production in the east • Garlic – EXTREME and a relatively smooth transition in Mexico. Good Volume on • Ginger – EXTREME cucumbers as local growers in South Georgia are breaking • Honeydews – ESCALATED fields. Pepper is easing back as Volume starts up in North • Hot Peppers - ESCALATED Florida and should continue to improve. Corn is hitting good • Limes – ESCALATED stride, and Volume is available out of Belle Glade, Florida, as • Mushrooms – ESCALATED well as the desert. Good Volume on cabbage and squash out • Oranges - ESCALATED of South Georgia, and we expect the first picks on peppers and cucumbers over the next two weeks. WATCH LIST • Green Beans • Snow Peas • Sugar Snap Peas TRANSPORTATION We experienced an exponential decline in average market rates across the board for refrigerated and dry freight during April and May. As we look to close out the first week of May, it appears the rate plunge, as well as the outbound tender rejection percentage, have reached somewhat of a plateau. Outbound Florida /Georgia saw some rate spikes this week but likely due to Mother’s Day related flower shipments flooding the market, which we do expect to return back to normal next week. While load/truck ratios remain about the same in favor of shippers in most regions, it’s less of a free for all where drivers/ carriers are taking loads for any rate or out of desperation to keep their equipment moving. This pushback from carriers may signal the beginning of the spring/summer push in the market for the produce season. While this year’s produce season is off to a historically slow start in regards to rates, we are seeing an increase in shipments out of South Florida, Texas, New Mexico, and Central/Southern California. Look for these markets to continue to tighten up over the next few weeks. 2
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Produce (continued) SALINAS, CA FORECAST FRUITS & VEGETABLES Pineapples Pineapple availability continues to be okay. The size profile is Apples & Pears trending to size 5 and 6cts and availability on 7cts remains Apples: West coast new crop apples are being packed; limited. however small sizes remain tight. East coast apples are available as well. Market price remains firm on small fruit as local schools take most of the volume. Pears: This year’s pear crop was down significantly, with mostly BERRIES larger fruit available. Growers are trying to drag out supply as Blackberries best as possible until new crop starts next August. Growers are in post-peak production from central Mexico. After the current week, they’ll begin descending from the Mexico Avocados regions. The California region has been experiencing a delay ESCALATED: Total volumes to the U.S. closed at from the cold weather and rain for the previous two weeks. 58.2-million-pounds for last week, and with two weeks of decent volumes, pricing is now on the other side of the peak. Blueberries The size curve is trending toward larger size fruit 48 counts Central Mexico volumes are decreasing, and Florida is on the and larger, and with this shift to larger sizes (something that back end of their season peak, where we will see Volume for 1 we haven’t seen in 6+ months), the pricing between sizes more week. Baja production is in their spring peak in the next will adjust the most. Larger sizes will continue to come down three weeks. Georgia is in their peak, and San Joaquin Valley in price while the 60s and smaller may see an increase. will have light Volume this week and is expected to ramp up Additionally, Peru’s sizing is trending towards larger-sized fruit quickly the following week. that will arrive from Peru in a few weeks. With these added volumes, we should see larger-sized fruit pricing decrease further. Harvest out of Mexico has been very light for a few days due to the push to get field pricing down in Mexico, and this week will come in under the 55.6-million-pound harvest projections. If there’s a decent pull for growers to reload after Cinco, we could see pricing strengthen as we move into next week – especially on small fruit 60 counts and smaller. Bananas Steady volume and good quality available. However, we are seeing firm pricing this quarter due to record high fuel prices. Grapes The weather in Chile is ideal for grapes and has been for a few weeks, increasing the supply imported into the U.S. Red Grape pricing continues to be fairly low with plenty of supply. Green grapes remain higher as fewer supplies have been shipped. 3
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Produce (continued) Raspberries WEST COAST LETTUCE Central Mexico will be entering its peak production starting Butter Lettuce next week and will descend rapidly, losing half of its volume Quality is very good, and the market is steady. by the beginning of June. Baja will continue to uptrend until the end of May and decline quickly after the peak. Oxnard and Green Leaf Watsonville will continue to uptrend and keep volume afloat Quality is very good with slightly lighter supplies; the market is as Mexico volume declines. Watsonville kicked off the season slightly stronger. with light numbers, and Santa Maria will start harvest in the second week of May. Oxnard will continue to uptrend and Iceberg harvest heavy volume at peak production in the second week We are also seeing lighter supplies on iceberg with of June. much-increased demand; the market is stronger. Look for the market to continue strong through next week. Strawberries Volumes continue to increase as the Northern District and Red Leaf Santa Maria increase in volume slightly. Although some Quality is very good with slightly lighter supplies; the market is damage was observed following the rain event, growers slightly stronger. have managed to clean up the fields and resume a regular harvest schedule. Watsonville, Salinas, and Santa Maria report Romaine and Romaine Hearts large-sized fruit with excellent quality. Oxnard continues to Quality is very good with slightly lighter supplies; the market is decrease due to the lingering damage from the previous rain slightly stronger. event. CALIFORNIA CITRUS Grapefruit Ruby grapefruit is now available. Size is peaking on 32s, and larger fancy and all small sizes 36s and smaller are tight. Texas is expected to start very late. Imports/Specialties Blood oranges are available in good supply. Imported clems will be available soon. Lemons Are in full swing, quality has been good. Limes ESCALATED: Volume seems to be improving on smaller sizes, and we are seeing downward pressure due to the increased volume. However, the new crop limes are not sizing up, and growers continue to cut ahead into the smaller fruit to keep the supply chain full. We hope to see this trend continue as newer groves are being harvested and the overall volume improves. Unfortunately, we are expecting larger sizes will continue to be short until Mid-June. Oranges ESCALATED Small oranges remain fairly tight, with market pricing in the low $20’s for choice grade. Few navels remain, but many growers are on to Valencias. Size structure peaking 56/72, with about 75% being fancy grade. 4
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Produce (continued) EASTERN & WESTERN VEGETABLES Zucchini/Yellow Squash Markets on zucchini and yellow squash are steady. Imports Bell Peppers out of Mexico are picking up. East coast shippers out of both ESCALATED Green bell pepper market has adjusted down Florida and Georgia are producing strong numbers. Demand primarily on off-grade product. Good quality #1 pepper is and quality remain strong. still demanding the premium price. The demand has been average. Georgia production is right around the corner, and Mexico is winding down with their volumes. HERBS Eggplant Good availability and consistent supply of all herbs, except dill, Good supply available out of Florida and Mexico. Georgia and which has been a challenge due to quality Coachella are about 3 weeks from starting. French Beans MELONS Excellent supply and quality out of Guatemala. Cantaloupe ESCALATED: Increased Mexican crossings combined with Green Beans higher freight rates, especially from Florida due to Mother’s Day WATCHLIST: Bean supply in the east is tight as the last of the flower pulls, have started to pressure the cantaloupe markets Florida crops finishes. We should see better volume once we from their highs. Sizing on cantaloupe is moving away from transition to South Georgia in 10-14 days. Mexico is about mainly jumbo fruit and providing a nice mix of 9, 12, and 15 done with the transition to Coachella in full swing, followed by counts. The current quality is the best growers have seen all Fresno. FOB prices are expected to remain elevated for the season, with excellent shell color and solid internal brix. next few weeks. Honeydew Jalapenos/Chili Peppers ESCALATED Increased Mexican crossings combined with ESCALATED: We will continue to see marginal quality and light higher freight rates, especially from Florida due to Mother’s Day supply out of Florida. In McAllen and Nogales, prices remain flower pulls, have started to pressure the honeydew markets firm this week due to the transition. We hope to see better from their highs. Honeydew sizing continues to run heavier to Volume over the next several weeks as newer regions ramp up the larger fruit 5 counts and larger leaving smaller sizes light production. supply. Mini Sweet Peppers Watermelon Good supply and quality available. Good Volume available out of Florida, and quality is very nice. Good Volume is also crossing through McAllen and Nogales Pickles on Minis and Seedless. Supply was lighter this week crossing through Nogales and quality is very nice. We are seeing better numbers out of South Florida this week as well. Cucumbers ESCALATED: Cucumber production is transitioning from Florida to Georgia this week, and there’s not a ton of fruit around. Quality is suspect on much of the remaining Florida product, as the wind and weather have caused excessive scarring, some sunken areas, etc. Fortunately, Georgia did start with a few cucumbers this week. With more growers and volume to come over the next 7-10 days, we should see better quality and availability soon. FOBs have dropped a few more dollars this week, primarily due to the Mexican markets. 5
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Produce (continued) MIXED VEGETABLES Carrots ESCALATED: Current demand exceeds predicted supply while Artichokes lower than average yields caused by cold, wet weather has Quality has improved significantly, with good supply. limited availability. Shippers continue to struggle with labor due to COVID and not having enough workers show up daily to Arugula pack carrots. Quality has improved with much better available supplies, market is steady Cauliflower Quality is very good but with increased demand, Cauliflower Asparagus Market is strengthening but will remain active through next ESCALATED: Oregon continues with slow production/heat in week. the fields, causing lower than normal yields due to seeding. Southern Baja has better production this week, and this should Celery continue for the next 2-3 weeks. Guanajuato is still scheduled ESCALATED Celery market is considerably stronger, but we to start the last week in May. Peruvian production continues to are starting to see quality issues in the fields in Oxnard. We are increase every week in the north, and the south is still seeing seeing seeders in all fields which is reducing available supply. cooler weather. The market continues to be very active with the Look for market to remain strong for approx. the next 2 to 3 transition and the Mother’s Day rush. Airspace is still very limited weeks while growers navigate through the quality problems. with the Mother’s Day flower rush continuing. Corn Broccoli/Broccoli Florets Good volume available out of Florida and California. South Quality is very good, with a good supply. We are anticipating Georgia will ramp up in approximately 3 weeks. Quality is a slight increase in the market next week, but currently the outstanding. market is steady going into this weekend. Fennel Brussels Sprouts Supplies are lighter, quality is very good. Market is steady. Sprout volume will remain below budget this week for the coming week. Expect reduced fill rates on both Virginia and Garlic bulk categories. Quality has improved, but some soft texture EXTREME: Domestic supply is very tight, and shippers are and lighter density are noted. Expect to see continued strong holding to averages, but we expect this volatile market to demand on tight supplies. continue through next summer. Ginger EXTREME: Ginger is very volatile due to very inconsistent supply, and the market is higher. Supply remains tight for the foreseeable future. Green Cabbage Steady availability continues out of Florida, South Georgia, and Texas. In the west, weights are improving because of crop movement, although we are seeing cone shape heads for this week.. Green Onions Supply is good with very good quality, Market is steady. Jicama Steady supply available crossing through McAllen. Kale (Green) Supply is steady, quality is very good. 6
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Produce (continued) Mushrooms Spinach (Bunched & Baby) ESCALATED: Quality is good, although supply is down and Supply and quality are good. markets are higher primarily due to a lack of labor, shortages in the growing components such as peat moss, and other Spring Mix inflationary pressure. We expect to see this continue to be Supply and quality are good. a challenge until some of the growing costs can get under control of this particularly labor intensive and cost sensitive Sweet Potatoes & Yams item. Demand continues to be stable across all sizes and varieties. There are deals to be had on both #1’s and Jumbos out of Napa Cabbage North Carolina. FOB’s out of Mississippi are a bit higher but We are seeing decreased availability until we see supply quality out of that region has been outstanding. We should see increase out of Salinas. prices gradually start to rise throughout the summer months and into the new crop. Parsely (Curly, Italian) Parsley supplies are expected to be steady this week. ONIONS Rapini Texas onions were slow to start this week with the recent Excellent supply this week and next. rainy weather down South. Most sheds were limited or sold out until later this week. Texas onions should finish up in the Red Cabbage next couple of weeks before we move to California and New Supply is good as quality remains consistent with sizing and Mexico. California began ramping up their production this overall appearance. week out of the Brawley. There is also a good amount of round onions shipping out of Vidalia, Georgia. This year, they Snow Peas & Sugar Snap Peas increased their acreage and have availability on all three colors, WATCHLIST: Guatemala production started to see some which makes sense for customers in the East. quality issues due to rain in the snow peas at the field level. The sugar snap supply has improved from last week. Mexico production is light with quality fair to good. U.S. product has POTATOES started with fair supply and good quality. This week, we saw FOBs rise out of Idaho on all carton sizes. As predicted, we are seeing limited availability on larger cartons, especially 40-80 counts. It is looking like it will be a very active potato market this summer as growers look to stretch their crops until the new crop begins. Colored, as well as fingerling potatoes, remain very tight. TOMATOES Roma tomato market out of Mexico is active. This should be short lived as we expect to see stronger crossings in the next couple of weeks. The round crossings have been heavier towards the 5x5s, 5x6s, or smaller spec size. Bigger rounds have been limited. Round tomato supplies continue to improve out of Florida. Availability has gotten better, and we are seeing flexibility in pricing. Florida Romas are lagging a bit, however, we should start seeing stronger volumes in the next couple of weeks. 7
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Beef, Veal & Lamb Beef production last week declined 1.4% (w/w) but was up 1.6% (y/y). Year-to-date beef output is running 0.8% bigger than a year ago which compares to the USDA’s H1 (’22) beef production (y/y) gain of 0.5%. The weekly average USDA Choice cutout was down 2.4% (w/w) and was 9.8% lower (y/y). Beef demand is showing signs of weakness which isn’t a surprise considering the USDA choice boxed beef cutout is the third most expensive for this time of year on record. The beef trim and ground beef markets are historically inflated, and beef trim import prices are elevated as well. Per the USDA, on March 3rd domestic cold storage boneless beef inventories were 8.1% larger (y/y) and grew by 0.6% during the month. It appears (at least so far) that this year’s springtime beef price increases are going to remain modest and the seasonal peak may have already occurred. In Q2 so far the USDA Choice boxed beef cutout is averaging 0.6% lower compared to Q1 which is counter-seasonal price action. Since 2011 the USDA Choice boxed-beef cutout averaged 10.8% higher in May compared to the prior April but this same USDA Choice boxed beef cutout averaged 6.0% lower in June versus the previous May. The Average, USDA, FOB per pound. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Live Cattle (Steer) Increasing Short Higher Feeder Cattle Index (CME) Increasing Steady Higher Ground Beef 81/19 Increasing Steady Higher Ground Chuck Decreasing Steady Higher 109 Export Rib (ch) Increasing Short Lower 109 Export Rib (pr) Increasing Steady-Available Lower 112a Ribeye (ch) Decreasing Short Lower 112a Ribeye (pr) Decreasing Steady-Available Higher 114a Chuck, Shlder Cld(ch) Increasing Steady Lower 116 Chuck (sel) Decreasing Available Lower 116 Chuck (ch) Decreasing Available Lower 116b Chuck Tender (ch) Decreasing Steady Higher 120 Brisket (ch) Decreasing Available Lower 120a Brisket (ch) Decreasing Steady-Available Lower 121c Outside Skirt (ch/sel) Increasing Short Lower 121d Inside Skirt (ch/sel) Decreasing Short Lower 121e Cap & Wedge Decreasing Steady Higher 167a Knckle, Trimmed (ch) Decreasing Steady Higher 168 Inside Round (ch) Decreasing Steady Higher 169 Top Round (ch) Decreasing Steady Higher 171b Outside Round (ch) Decreasing Steady-Available Higher 174 Short Loin (ch 0x1) Decreasing Short Lower 174 Short Loin (pr 2x3) Increasing Steady Higher 180 0x1 Strip (ch) Decreasing Short Lower 180 0x1 Strip (pr) Increasing Short Lower 184 Top Butt, boneless (ch) Increasing Steady Lower 184 Top Butt, boneless (pr) Increasing Steady Lower 184-3 Top Butt, bnls (ch) Increasing Steady-Short Lower 185a Sirloin Flap (ch) Decreasing Steady-Short Lower 185c Loin, Tri-Tip (ch) Increasing Steady Lower 189a Tender (sel, 5 lb & up) Increasing Steady-Short Lower 189a Tender (ch, 5 lb &up) Increasing Short Higher 189a Tender (pr, heavy) Increasing Available Higher 193 Flank Steak (ch) Increasing Short Higher 50% Trimmings Decreasing Steady-Short Higher 65% Trimmings Decreasing Steady Higher 75% Trimmings Decreasing Steady Higher 85% Trimmings Decreasing Steady Higher 90% Trimmings Decreasing Steady Higher 90% Imported Beef (frz) Decreasing Steady-Available Higher 95% Imported Beef (frz) Decreasing Available Higher Live Cattle (Steer) Increasing Short Higher Feeder Cattle Index (CME) Increasing Steady Higher 8
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Grains The grain markets were mixed last week with corn and soybean oil up big on the news covered in last Tuesday’s Commodi- tyOne Report (Indonesia banning all palm oil exports and Crop Progress Report showing no great strides made in plantings). A new Crop Progress Report will be released today at 4 PM EST and given much of the corn belt was still cold and wet last week, expect plantings to still lag behind the 39% five-year average in today’s report. The 8-14 day precipitation outlook from the NOAA puts rainfall at near-normal levels for most of the corn belt, so hopefully, next week will give farmers a chance to get their corn crops in the ground. Expect nearby corn futures to possibly breach price resistance at $8.375 (R1) in the quarterly pivot this week if the gap between the five-year average planting progress of 39% and the current progress widens. We might start to see some price reactions in the soybean markets too, with the five-year average soybean planting progress for today’s report at 14% and last week’s 2022 season progress at 3%. Prices USDA, FOB. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Soybeans, bushel Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Crude Soybean Oil, lb Increasing Short Higher Soybean Meal, ton Decreasing Steady Higher Corn, bushel Increasing Short Higher Crude Corn Oil, lb Increasing Short Higher High Fructose Corn Syrup Increasing Short Higher Distillers Grain, Dry Decreasing Short Higher Crude Palm Oil, lb BMD Increasing Steady-Short Higher HRW Wheat, bushel Decreasing Short Higher DNS Wheat 14%, bushel Increasing Steady-Short Higher Durum Wheat, bushel Decreasing Steady-Available Higher Pinto Beans, lb Decreasing Short Steady Black Beans, lb Increasing Short Higher Rice, Long Grain, lb Steady Short Higher Dairy Last week, the cheese block market finished unchanged but the cheese barrel market closed 1.0% lower (w/w) both markets are at levels not seen in 17 months. The good news within the dairy sector recently is finally seeing signs of weakening international dairy markets. Last Thursday’s USDA’s surveyed bi-weekly international dairy report showed the following dairy market prices (percentage difference from the previous report): cheese at $2.818 down 2.1%, butter at $3.289, down 1.6%, whey at $.743, down 4.4% and nonfat dry milk at $1.983, down 3.3%. The USDA in its April WASDE report raised its U.S. H2 2022 milk produc- tion forecast higher by 0.13% and is now projected to be 1.0% larger (y/y). Although the U.S. milk, cheese, and butter markets typically increase from now through the summer, this year’s seasonal price gains may be limited due to already expensive prices occurring. That said the future direction of the international dairy markets will either support or soften U.S. dairy export demand which will continue to influence the equivalent U.S. dairy markets. Class I Cream (hundredweight), from USDA. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Cheese Barrels (CME) Decreasing Short Higher Cheese Blocks (CME) Steady Short Higher American Cheese Decreasing Short Higher Cheddar Cheese (40 lb) Increasing Short Higher Mozzarella Cheese Increasing Short Higher Monterey Jack Cheese Increasing Short Higher Parmesan Cheese Increasing Short Higher Butter (CME) Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Nonfat Dry Milk Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Whey, Dry Decreasing Available Higher Class 1 Base Steady Short Higher Class II Cream, heavy Decreasing Short Higher Class III Milk (CME) Decreasing Short Higher Class IV Milk (CME) Decreasing Steady-Short Higher 9
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Pork Pork production last week was 1.2% larger (w/w) but was 0.2% smaller (y/y). Year-to-date pork output is running down 5.5% (y/y) which is less than the USDA’s H1 (’22) pork production forecast of down 3.9% (y/y). The weekly average USDA pork cutout last week lost 3.8% (w/w) and was 3.7% lower (y/y). Despite lagging (y/y) pork production and expected tightening hog supplies moving forward, the wholesale seasonal pork market gains have not been impressive at least so far this spring. U.S. pork export demand has fallen since last year, especially from China. Domestic pork production is expected to improve however in the second half of 2022 which may limit any notable price gains for pork like was experienced last summer when the USDA pork cutout established an all-time high. Since 2011, the average move for the USDA pork cutout during May compared to the prior April is up 8.5%. Prices USDA, FOB per pound. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Live Hogs Steady Steady Lower Sow Decreasing Short Higher Belly (bacon) Decreasing Steady Higher Sparerib(4.25 lb & down) Increasing Short Lower Ham (20-23 lb) Increasing Short Lower Ham (23-27 lb) Increasing Short Lower Loin (bone in) Decreasing Steady Higher Babyback Rib (1.75 lb & up) Decreasing Available Lower Tenderloin (1.25 lb) Increasing Available Lower Boston Butt, untrmd (4-8 lb) Decreasing Steady Higher Picnic, untrmd Increasing Short Lower SS Picnic, smoker trm box Increasing Steady-Short Lower 42% Trimmings Increasing Steady Lower 72% Trimmings Increasing Short Higher 10
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Poultry Chicken slaughter for the week ending April 23rd was 0.09% lower (w/w) and the average bird weight was lighter by 0.3% (y/y). Ready-to-cook chicken production increased 0.6% (w/w) but was 2.4% less than a year ago. Year-to-date ready-to-cook broiler production is running 1.1% larger (y/y) which is slightly more than the USDA’s H1 (’22) chicken output forecast gain by 1.0% (y/y). Last week the USDA national whole broiler/fryer index rose 1.1% (w/w) and was 61.1% higher than the same week last year. Well, boneless skinless chicken breast prices continued to make all-time highs last week and have not shown any signs of slowing down. The USDA reported that breast meat cuts are tight too short but they also described retail and foodservice chicken demand as mostly moderate which sure doesn’t represent the rapidly rising breast prices. Friday’s USDA average chicken breast price was a whopping $0.50 or 18.3% costlier than the 90% beef trim market which is rare, to “say the least”! History suggests that there may still be upside chicken breast market increases pending but prices usually peak for the year in May. Current USDA chicken wing prices are the lowest in 21 months so the downside risk for wings from current levels may be nominal. FOB per pound except when noted. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Whole Birds WOG-Nat Increasing Short Higher Wings (jumbo cut) Decreasing Available Lower Wing Index (ARA) Decreasing Available Lower Breast, Bnless Skinless NE Increasing Short Higher Breast, Bnless Skinless SE Increasing Short Higher Breast Boneless Index (ARA) Increasing Short Higher Tenderloin Index (ARA) Increasing Short Higher Legs (whole) Increasing Short Higher Leg Quarter Index (ARA) Increasing Short Higher Thighs, Bone In Increasing Short Higher Thighs, Boneless Increasing Short Higher Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Whole Turkey (8-16 lb) Decreasing Short Higher Turkey Breast, Bnls/Sknls Increasing Short Higher Eggs Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Large Eggs (dozen) Steady Short Higher Medium Eggs (dozen) Steady Short Higher Liquid Whole Eggs Steady Short Higher Liquid Egg Whites Steady Short Higher Liquid Egg Yolks Steady Steady-Available Higher Egg Breaker Stock Central Increasing Steady-Short Higher 11
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Seafood The various U.S. seafood markets have remained supported due partly to the solid overall protein demand. China, the world’s largest seafood processor, and re-shipper are experiencing big-time ocean freight tie-ups (due to Covid) as tight population lockdowns are occurring in Shanghai where the world’s largest shipping yard exists. The U.S. dollar has remained relatively firm against most foreign currencies including the Japanese yen which is encouraging more seafood imports to the U.S. ver- sus Japan which is a big seafood consumer. The aforementioned potential China-related seafood supply crunch could push back even further the U.S pending Russian import ban on their seafood supplies. So, anticipate the various seafood markets to remain supported and unfortunately have the risk of becoming more volatile and notably costly in the coming months un- less the China Shanghai shipping operations improve significantly. Prices FAS monthly imports. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Shrimp (16/20 frz) Steady Short Higher Shrimp (61/70 frz) Steady Steady Higher Shrimp Tiger (26/30 frz) Steady Short Higher Snow Crab, frz Steady Available Higher Tilapia Filet, frz Steady Short Higher Cod Filet, frz Steady Short Higher Tuna Yellowfin, frsh Steady Steady Higher Salmon Atlantic Filet, frsh Steady Short Higher Pollock Filet, Alaska, frz Steady Short Higher 12
market trends WEek ending May 13, 2022 Paper and Plastic Products Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year WOOD PULP (PAPER) NBSK- Paper napkin Steady Short Higher 42 lb. Linerboard-corrugated box Steady Short Higher PLASTIC RESINS (PLASTIC, FOAM) PS-CHH-utensils, cups, to-go cont. Increasing Short Higher PP-HIGP-heavy grade utensils Steady Short Higher PE-LLD-can liners, film, bags Steady Short Higher Retail Price Change from Prior Month Description Mar-22 Feb-22 Jan-21 Beef and Veal Increasing Increasing Decreasing Dairy Increasing Increasing Increasing Pork Increasing Increasing Increasing Chicken Increasing Increasing Decreasing Fresh Fish and Seafood Increasing Decreasing Increasing Fresh Fruits and Vegetables Increasing Increasing Increasing Various Markets The softs markets were steady to lower last week with coffee leading the losses as overall inflation is likely hindering consumer demand and causing downward price pressure. Orange juice prices experienced notable gains last week due mostly to citrus greening in Florida and a drought-stricken harvest in Brazil. Florida’s Department of Citrus puts the state’s orange juice stocks at 30% lower than last year and that comes after the USDA lowered its Florida orange production forecast by another 7.3% from March to April due to the recent cold snap. The May citrus forecast report is due on Thursday of next week. Cocoa prices remained steady to slightly up on the week as the market continues to grapple with concerns of drier weather for West Africa’s mid-crop harvest, but those forecasts have yet to materialize. The sugar markets continue to be plagued by ideas that Brazilian Real strength will keep Brazilian sugar out of the export market, despite improved crop forecasts in the country. The improved production forecasts elsewhere kept sugar prices down last week and may help push global sugar prices back to $18.10. Price bases noted below. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Whole Peeled, Stand (6/10) Steady Short Higher Tomato Paste-Industrial (lb) Steady Short Higher Coffee lb ICE Increasing Steady-Available Higher Sugar lb ICE Decreasing Steady Higher Cocoa mt ICE Decreasing Steady Higher Orange Juice lb ICE Decreasing Short Higher Honey (clover) lb Steady Short Higher 13
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