Irish Hotel Market Review
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Introduction The following report provides an overview and analysis of the performance of the Irish hotel market; specifically market changes since the onset of the recession and transaction activity in the first half of 2014. An overview of the general economic environment in Ireland is provided, with particular focus on the Irish tourism and hotel sectors. Following this, a detailed analysis of the Irish hotel market is presented in terms of its history and the size of the market at present by tourism border regions. In addition, the report provides a classification of hotels by star rating, together with a breakdown of tourism revenue and the volume of hotel rooms available in each region. Details on transaction activity are then provided together with investment conditions in the hotel sector; specifically purchaser type, transactions by location and the types of hotels transacted. Supply levels are discussed in terms of hotels on the market and hotel developments in the pipeline. A brief outlook is then provided on activity levels for the remainder of 2014. 2 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Economic Overview and Tourism Performance Ireland’s economic recovery is strongly underway; 2013 marked a year of significant progress and this strong momentum continued into 2014. GNP increased sharply on an annual basis by 3.4% in 2013, driven strongly by the 4.6% increase in the latter half of the year. This strong performance extended into 2014 with GNP growth of 0.5% in the first three months of the year, while GDP grew sharply by 2.7% in the period. With the world economy also experiencing a similar recovery, Tourism exports had a particularly strong year in 2013, particularly Ireland’s main trading partners, the US and the UK, influenced largely by the government supported tourism the domestic and foreign tourism markets are directly impacted. initiative “The Gathering”, recording the highest number of In 2013, tourism accounted for 4% of GNP. Furthermore, total foreign residents visiting Ireland in six years. According to the tourism revenue in 2013 stood at €5.7 billion, of which €4.2 latest CSO tourism statistics, the number of overseas residents billion was generated from overseas visitors, a sharp rise of 12% travelling to Ireland in 2013 reached approximately 7 million, from 2012. of which 1.16 million were from the US and Canada, the highest figure ever recorded for that region. Domestically, trips by Irish The most significant recovery indicator is the improvement in residents within the country also increased in 2013 for the first the labour market, notably the reduction in the unemployment time since 2008. This trend continued into the first quarter of level. The latest CSO Quarterly National Household Survey saw 2014 with an increase of 8.5% in domestic trips by Irish residents the unemployment rate in Ireland falling to 12% in quarter one in the three month period. 2014, from a peak of 15.1% in the first quarter of 2012. Moreover, the growth in total employment in the year to quarter one 2014 CSO figures reveal that overseas visitor numbers to Ireland for was 42,700, a rise of 3.3%. One of the most significant increases the period January to May 2014 rose by approximately 9.2%, in employment was in the Accommodation and Food Service an increase of 228,200 visitors when compared with the same Activities Sector, which rose by 13,500, or 11.2%, in the period, period in 2013. Trips by residents of the UK, Ireland’s largest while employment in tourism in Ireland has increased by 21% market, increased by 13.1% on an annual basis, while trips by since the quarter one 2011 low of approximately 114,400 jobs. residents of the USA and Canada increased by approximately Overall, the Irish Hotels Federation (IHF) estimates that the 8%. Strong performances in both the UK and US economies tourism sector in Ireland supports almost 200,000 jobs, of which are significantly contributing to this resurgence in the tourism approximately 54,000 are employed by the hotel sector. industry and is driving the demand for hotel services in Ireland. 3 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Economic Overview and Tourism Performance While recovery in tourism and in the hotels sector is evident, This compares with the total tourism revenue of €5.4 billion in domestic demand in the economy remains somewhat fragile. 2012, of which €3.8 billion was received from overseas visitors. According to the IHF, tourism recovery in 2013 was not spread Dublin remains the region with the highest tourism revenue at evenly throughout the country, with Dublin and other tourism approximately 35% of the total figure. This is followed by the hotspots such as the West and South-West regions performing South West and West regions of approximately 19% and 13% strongly while other, more rural, locations continue to face the respectively. pressure of weak domestic demand. Furthermore, personal consumption fell by 0.1% in the first quarter of 2014 when compared with the previous three months; however, the rate of Figure 1 decline is significantly lower and has improved on its comparable periods the two previous years. Moreover, the Department of Tourism Revenue by Region, 2013 Finance projects that consumer spending will rise in 2014 and Tourism Revenue by Region, 2013 2015 by 0.4% and 0.8% respectively. According to the IHF, while indebtedness in Irish hotels is down from €6.7 billion at the end of 2011 to €5.3 billion, the significant overhanging debt problem still remains a 74% of tourism key issue and is supressing revenue in 2013 was recovery in the sector; a generated from further reduction of €1.4 overseas tourists billion is required if the EST sector is to remain a viable NORTHW area in which to invest. This is particularly the case for medium and smaller-sized hotels outside of Dublin that still WEST 20% + require investment and debt restructuring. EAST & DUBLIN S This said, investor and consumer sentiment is rising and MIDLAND 10% - 20% growth forecasts for Ireland have been upgraded. Having reached a 7 year high in April 2014, the trajectory in < 10% N sentiment is largely on the increase. Moreover, based on the SHANNO assumption of improvements in the balance of payments REGION and in employment, and increased investor activity, the AST Department of Finance forecasts GNP and GDP growth in SOUTH E 2014 of 2.7% and 2.1% respectively. EST According to the latest Failte Ireland data releases, SOUTH W provisional figures for 2013 tourism revenue in Ireland from both domestic and overseas tourists stood at approximately €5.7 billion. Of this, €4.2 billion was generated from overseas tourists, which accounts for approximately 74% of the total revenue. Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research / Failte Ireland, 2013 4 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Irish Hotel Market The roots of Irish tourism run deep; the Irish Tourism Association produced their first hotel brochure in 1925 promoting 400 hotels. Since then, the Irish hotel market has substantially evolved, with the number of hotels and room capacity growing significantly and doubling by the 2000s. This volume remained stable between 2000 and 2005. By 2007 there were 857 hotels registered in Ireland, with 51,300 Dublin rooms. This volume had increased markedly by 2009 to reach a The Dublin region currently has the largest proportion of hotel peak of 915 hotels, or 60,100 rooms, almost a one-third jump in rooms with 18,825 rooms, representing 33% of overall room the stock of rooms and bed capacity since 2005. capacity. This is almost double that of the next largest proportion Although capacity expanded rapidly during the 2000s, heavily of hotel rooms in the South West region. In total there are 153 influenced by tax based incentives, hotel profitability remained hotels in Dublin; of this, 11 hotels are 5 star, 45 hotels are 4 star steady as demand for overnight stays and other hotel services grew and 72 hotels are 3 star, with the remaining 25 hotels 2 and 1 at pace in tandem with rapidly rising disposable incomes at the time. star rated. In terms of hotel size as reflected by the number of rooms, Dublin holds the three largest hotels, namely the Double However, the property crash brought with it weakened domestic Tree by Hilton (formerly The Burlington Hotel), Citywest Hotel demand, which resulted in reduced hotel profitability and & Golf Resort and Bewleys Hotel Dublin Airport. The stock of massive hotelier debt burdens; thus, many small and large scale hotel rooms and bed capacity in Dublin strongly correlates with hotels became victim to the recession. This combined with a halt tourism revenue in Ireland in 2013, whereby approximately 35% in construction activity resulted in the number of hotels in Ireland of the overall tourism revenue for the year was generated in open for business falling significantly by 11.6% to stand at 820 in the Dublin region. Moreover, it is interesting to note that visitor 2014, with approximately 57,400 available rooms. numbers to Dublin in 2013, both domestic and overseas, were in the region of 5.8 million, which accounts for approximately Table 1 a third of all visitors to Ireland in the year. This suggests that Volume of Hotels and Hotel Rooms, 2014 Dublin is not just regarded as a prime hotel location for business trips but for recreational and leisure purposes also. % of Total No. of Volume of Tourism Border Region Hotel Room Hotels Hotel Rooms Capacity Dublin 153 18,825 32.8% South West 153 9,795 17.1% West 129 6,918 12.1% East & Midlands 108 6,297 11.0% Figure 2 Irish Hotel Distribution by Star Rating, 2014 North West 100 5,337 9.3% Star Ratings of Hotels by Tourism Border Region Shannon Region 81 5,138 9.0% South East 96 5,058 8.8% 1* 2* 3* 4* 5* State 820 57,368 100% Dublin 4 21 72 45 11 Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research 5 18 61 59 10 South West EST NORTHW West 6 22 54 44 3 WEST East & Midlands 2 17 46 38 5 EAST & DUBLIN S MIDLAND 33 1 4 19 43 Northwest N SHANNO 2 12 40 23 4 Shannon Region REGION AST 3 SOUTH E 5 13 38 37 South East EST SOUTH W Total No. of Hotels: 820 Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research / Failte Ireland 5 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
South West North West Traditionally a region that attracts plentiful tourists, it is not The North West region recorded 5,337 hotel rooms in 2014 surprising that the South West, consisting of Cork and Kerry, has spanning across 100 hotels. There is only 1 hotel in the North the second highest proportion of hotel rooms in 2014, recording West that is 5 star, while there are 33 and 43 hotels that are 9,795 rooms. Albeit interestingly, there are the same number 4 star and 3 star hotels respectively. Similar to the East and of hotels in the South West as there are in Dublin, reflecting a Midlands, the proportion of total tourism revenue in 2013 largely popular tourist location generated in the North West region fell to single digit figures, Largest number of but for smaller scale hotels. indicating that these regions were performing at a slower pace 4 star hotels located in After Dublin, the South West than the prime tourist locations of the country. has the largest number of 5 the South West Shannon Region star hotels, 10, while it has the largest number of 4 star The Shannon Region has the second lowest proportion of hotel hotels in the country, 59. Again the stock of available rooms in rooms in 2014, recording 5,138 rooms in 81 hotels. Furthermore, the South West region, representing 17.1% of the total number of this region has the lowest number of hotels located in any region. rooms, strongly correlates with both the proportion of tourism Interestingly, over 90% of the rooms in the Shannon region are revenue in the South West in 2013, approximately 19%, and the spread across Clare and Limerick, with the remaining located in proportion of total visitor numbers, 18%. North Tipperary and West Offaly. It is also noteworthy that 11% of the 5 star hotels in the country are located in the Shannon West region, while 23 hotels are 4 star and 40 hotels are 3 star. In a similar performance bracket to the South West, the West South East region holds the third spot of the top three performing regions in 2014; tourism revenue and visitor numbers for the West both The lowest proportion of hotel rooms was recorded in the South recorded approximately 13% of overall tourism revenue and East region, with only 5,058 rooms in 96 hotels, of which three visitor numbers. In terms of room capacity, there are 6,918 are 5 star hotels, 37 are 4 star hotels and 38 are 3 star hotels. rooms, which represents 12% of the hotel room capacity in Furthermore, approximately 60% of the hotel rooms available in Ireland. This is driven strongly by the stock of hotel rooms in the South East region are located in Waterford and Wexford, with Galway and Galway city, 7.9%. Overall there are 129 hotels in the the remaining located in Kilkenny, Carlow and South Tipperary. West, of which three hotels are 5 star, 44 hotels are 4 star and Similar to the East and Midlands, the North West and the Shannon 54 hotels are 3 star, while Galway city also hosts the 5th largest region, the proportion of tourism revenue in Ireland generated in hotel in Ireland in terms of the number of rooms; the Connacht the South East was in single digit figures in the year 2013. Hotel Galway. East & Midlands The East and Midlands accounted for 6,297 rooms in 2014 which represents 11% of the hotel room capacity. In total, there are 108 Figure 3 hotels in the East and Midlands region, comprising 14% of all Volume of Hotel Rooms per County, 2014 the 5 star hotels in the country, while 38 hotels are 4 star and 46 hotels are 3 star. It is interesting to note that the East and Midlands also hosts the county with the lowest number of hotels and room capacity, Longford, with 23 rooms in just two hotels. Furthermore, in terms of tourism revenue for 2013, the East and Midlands region falls under the lower bracket of sub 10% of Donegal 5.0% overall revenue by tourism in Ireland in the year. County Dublin Kerry Monaghan Cork Sligo 1.8% 0.6% Galway Leitrim Cavan Donega Mayo 0.5% Louth 1.2% 4.0% 1.4% Clare Roscommon 0.3% Longford Mayo 0% Meath Limerick 2.1% Waterfo Westmeath Galway 2.0% Dublin Wexford 32.8% 7.8% Offaly Wicklow Kildare 0.6% 2.0% Meath Laois Kildare Wicklow Clare 0.9% 2.4% Westme 4.4% Kilkenny Carlow Sligo 0.9% Limerick Kilkenny Cavan Tipperary 3.7% 1.4% 1.9% Wexford Tippera 2.5% Louth Carlow Waterford Kerry 2.7% Laois 9.2% Cork Offaly 7.9% Monagh Leitrim Roscom Longfor Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research 6 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Performance of the Irish Hotel Market Following a number of challenging years for the Irish hotel sector, 2012 saw the re-emergence of investors to the Irish hotel market, both domestic and international. 2013 witnessed a stabilisation in asset values with increased optimism among hoteliers with regard to trading conditions and willingness to invest in upgrading and refurbishment. During the year 2013, demand for hotel properties grew at This brought the volume of hotel sales in the first six months speed, with approximately 40 hotel sales throughout the of the year to approximately €187 million, with a further €31 country over the year, the most active year by volume for hotel million of hotels sale agreed. sales since 2006. The total value of hotel acquisitions in 2013 Notable deals in the first half of 2014 include the sale of the 4 was estimated to be in the region of €250 million. star Hilton Hotel Charlemont Place, Dublin 2 for approximately The increase in hotel transactions that became very apparent €30 million to US businessman John Malone. Other notable in 2013 has accelerated into 2014 as banks and NAMA continue sales include that of the 4 star Portmarnock Hotel & Golf Links to deleverage. Liquidity has for €29.8 million to Kennedy Wilson and the Clarion Hotel Dublin Airport which was purchased by the Dublin Airport Hotel sales saw also risen in Ireland and is Authority for approximately €10 million. It is being leased to a 25% increase in becoming less of an issue for investors entering the market. Dalata Hotel Group who have recently rebranded it as the quarter two 2014 Maldron Hotel Dublin Airport. The past twelve months has when compared seen bond yields falling and In Cork, the Radisson Blu Hotel, Little Island was acquired by with quarter one expected returns rising, making iNua Hospitality for €9 million; the well-known 4 star Oriel properties more attractive in House Hotel, Ballincollig, was bought up by the Talbot Group terms of pricing. This all leads to renewed investor confidence for €8 million, shortly following its purchase of the Midleton in the economy. Park Hotel for €3.5 million; while the 4 star Kingsley Hotel was Transaction activity in 2014 commenced on an extremely purchased for €7 million by the Beijing based Kang family and is high note, with buyer appetite showing no signs of easing. currently mid-development and refurbishment. The opening quarter of 2014 saw the volume of hotel sales, Elsewhere, the Rivercourt Hotel in Kilkenny was sold for €9 excluding loan sales, reach €83 million, while a stellar second million to the Neville Group, while the 4 star Moyvalley Hotel & quarter of the year saw a 25% increase on quarter one, Golf Resort in Co. Kildare was sold for approximately €3 million recording sales in the region of €104 million. to a consortium led by Oliver Brady. 7 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Significant off-market transactions during the six month period include the sale of the 5 star Doonbeg Lodge & Golf Club in Co. Clare for a sum in the region of €15 million to US billionaire Donald Trump, while the world renowned Mount Juliet Resort in Kilkenny was sold to Brehon Capital Partners and Emmett O’Neill for a reported €15 million. A feature of the market that has become more prominent in the past year is the restructuring or sale of Irish hotel debt; loans tied to The Shelbourne Hotel in Dublin were acquired by US investment group Kennedy Wilson for €111 million in the first quarter of 2014, while the Ritz Carlton Powerscourt loans were sold to Brehon Capital in the latter part of 2013. Demand for hotel properties has been underpinned by Dalata Hotel Group’s recent IPO raising approximately €265 million, showing a clear sign of investor confidence in the market. Dalata is currently Ireland’s largest hotel operator and has a clear strategy to acquire a portfolio of well-located 3 and 4 star hotels. They have not lost any time in implementing this strategy and have recently acquired two hotels; the Pearse Hotel on Pearse Street for €14.4 million and the Maldron Hotel on Parnell Square for €15.3 million. Overall, Dalata plans to use its capital to purchase 16-25 hotels throughout Ireland. iNua Hospitality, one of Ireland’s newest hotel investment funds, has also demonstrated confidence in the Irish hotel market by purchasing two well-located Radisson Blu Hotels in Limerick city and Little Island, Cork in the first half of 2014, for €3.5 million and €9 million respectively. Table 2 Top 10 Hotel Transactions (Sold), 2014 Price per Purchaser Hotel County Star Rating Price Quarter Status Room Origin Sold The Shelbourne Hotel Dublin 5 Star €111m Q1 2014 US (loans) Hilton Hotel Dublin 4 Star €30m Q1 2014 €155,440 Sold US Portmarnock Hotel & Golf Links Dublin 4 Star €29.8m Q2 2014 €217,391 Sold US Maldron Hotel Parnell Square Dublin 3 Star €15.3m Q2 2014 €121,429 Sold Irish Sold (off The Lodge at Doonbeg & Golf Resort Clare 5 Star €15m Q1 2014 €73,530 US market) Sold (off Mount Juliet Kilkenny 4 Star €15m Q2 2014 €17,442 Irish market) Pearse Hotel Dublin 3 Star €14.4m Q2 2014 €142,574 Sold Irish Clarion Hotel Dublin Airport Dublin 5 Star €10m Q1 2014 €60,484 Sold Irish River Court Hotel Kilkenny 4 Star €9m Q2 2014 €100,000 Sold Irish Radisson Blu Hotel, Little Island Cork 4 Star €9m Q1 2014 €63,492 Sold Irish Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research 8 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Investment by Location Dublin’s hotel market, in particular, has experienced a significant recovery. With the number of overseas tourists visiting Ireland on the increase and consumer sentiment on the rise, many investors believe the worst is over and that there is now value for money to be found in hotels, particularly in Dublin. Despite the demand for hotels in regional locations lagging Figure 4 behind that of the Dublin market, interest has picked up in Hotel Sales Volume by Location, H1 2014 recent months and many investors are now concentrating on regional properties, where competition for stock is more manageable when compared to Dublin city centre. Investors also believe that there is still value to be achieved in acquiring regional properties where they still have the opportunity to buy into a recovery story and they see the return on such properties being much greater over the medium to long term, given that they are acquiring properties below replacement cost. The majority of sales in the first six months of the year were hotels located in the Dublin region, 72%, while 11% were in the South West and the remaining located in the South East, the Shannon region, the East and Midlands and the West. Furthermore, of the hotels transacted in the period, 46% were 5 star, 42% were 4 star and 12% were 3 star. This indicates that investor interest is mainly focussed on the larger, better quality 4 and 5 star hotels. Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research 9 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Investor Type Demand for hotel assets is strongest from foreign buyers, purchasing 68% of the market share in the first six months of 2014, while domestic buyers accounted for the remaining 32% of the total spend. Purchaser interest ranges between those already established in Dublin’s growing recognition as the “technology hub of Europe” the hotel industry and also outside buyers looking to gain entry as well as a leading location for internationally traded financial for the first time. Many buyers see the potential to capitalise on services means that there is significant international interest loss-making properties and are motivated by the opportunities in the opportunities in the economy and this is evident in the provided by the improved tourism sector in Ireland. increase in hotel transactions in the Dublin market in recent years. Figure 5 An analysis of the proportion of foreign buyers in the first half Domestic v International Buyers, H1 2014 of 2014 saw the US dominate with a 77% share of the total hotel sales market and almost €156 million worth of hotel assets purchased. This was followed by European buyers, accounting for approximately 15% of the total spend. The remaining hotels were purchased by investors from South Africa, Northern Ireland, China and the Middle East. Cross border investment activity is being led by leading international players such as John Malone, Donald Trump and Kennedy Wilson. The number of repeat buyers in 2013 and 2014, both internationally and within Ireland, is a positive sign and one which bodes well for future interest in the Irish hotel market. Figure 6 Origin of Buyers, H1 2014 Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research Occupancy levels and RevPARs (Revenue per available room) of well-located properties have risen each year since 2010, while ARRs (Average Room Rate) have increased successively since 2011. Key findings in Crowe Horwath’s 2013 Annual Irish Hotel Industry Survey show that Room Occupancy and ARR levels increased on an annual basis by 2.4% and €2.05 respectively, while RevPAR increased by €3.05 to stand at €47.67, driven mainly by increased occupancy and ARR levels. This said, ARR levels still remain low by historical comparisons – the average room rate at the peak in 2007 stood at €97.69. According to PwC’s European Cities Hotel Forecast 2014 and 2015, Occupancy levels in Dublin saw a surge in the past year Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research and surpassed pre-recession levels, rising from 67% in 2008 to 78.7% in 2013 and are forecast to increase to almost 80% this year Occupancy An analysis of the type of asset sales in the hotel market reveals and into 2015. ARR in Dublin is levels in Dublin have expected to increase from €89.30 that the majority of hotels sold in the year to date, as per the value of hotels sold, were Trading Asset Sales, 60%, while Loan surpassed pre- in 2013 to €93.60 and €96.50 Sales accounted for 37% and Asset Sales, 3%. That said, one recession levels in 2014 and 2015 respectively. large deal has the ability to skew transaction volumes, as €111 Furthermore, RevPAR in Dublin million worth of loans tied to only one hotel, The Shelbourne, saw the largest increase in Europe accounted for the total value of loan sales while trading asset in 2013 of 11%, to stand at €70.30, while Dublin has the strongest sales accounted for 19 hotel transactions in the six month period. growth forecast for 2014 of the European cities studied. A lack of new supply and strong demand is expected to drive RevPAR in 2014 and 2015 by 5.2% and 3.8% respectively. 10 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Hotel Supply Figure 7 Other hotels being offered for sale include the Maldron Hotel Hotel Sales Volume by Asset Type, H1 2014 City West, guiding €3.75 million; Dublin Citi Hotel, 46/59 Dame Street, guiding €3 million; the 3 star Central Hotel in Tralee, guiding €1 million; the Tallaght Cross Hotel; the Middleton Park House in Westmeath, guiding €1 million; the Letterkenny Court Hotel, guiding €900,000; the Glencarn Hotel in Castleblayney, guiding €750,000 and the Pontoon Bridge Hotel in Mayo, guiding €550,000. The 3 star George Boutique Hotel in Limerick city is currently under offer significantly above the guide price of €3 million. Furthermore, there have been market reports that the Premier Inn in Swords and Waterford Castle will be offered for sale shortly. Another portfolio – Project Nadal - consisting of approximately 10 hotels is due to be brought to the market by Ulster Bank in the coming weeks, a move which is part of a wider deleveraging program by Ulster Bank which should see the disposal of their entire portfolio of approximately 40 hotels. Project Nadal includes two hotels already being operated by Dalata Hotel Group; Whites of Wexford and the Clayton Hotel in Galway. Source: DTZ Sherry FitzGerald Research A number of hotels were sale agreed in recent months, including the 5 star Aghadoe Heights in Killarney for €6.5 million; 5 star Heritage Golf & Spa Resort in Killinard for €5.5 million; the Metro Hotel and Apartments Dublin Airport for €5.5 million; the 4 star Charleville Park Hotel in Cork for €4 million; the Fitzwilton Hotel in Waterford in excess of €3 million and the Cavan Crystal Hotel for €2.5 million. There is also a healthy supply of hotels in the pipeline as a result of NAMA and the banks’ ongoing deleveraging. NAMA are set to capitalise on the international interest by bringing several prime hotels to the market throughout 2014 and into 2015, particularly in Dublin. Of the 208 hotels worldwide that have been secured on NAMA loans, 136 of them are in Ireland. NAMA has sold 19 Irish hotels to date, recovering proceeds of €237 million; while 101 hotels have yet to be released, representing 12% of all Irish hotels. Of the 136 hotels secured by NAMA in Ireland, almost half are focussed in Dublin. Hotels that have come to the market recently include three hotels in NAMA’s first hotel portfolio - Project Venue – which consists of the Malton in Killarney, the Gresham Metropole in Cork and the Kilkenny Ormonde Hotel. These three premises are on offer as individual lots or as a collective portfolio. The Savoy Hotel in Limerick city, guiding €3.75 million, was also launched recently as part of the City Central portfolio which includes residential and commercial properties in Limerick city, and is being offered for sale as an individual lot or as part of the entire portfolio. 11 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
New Development Since the onset of the downturn, there has been very little hotel development with the exception of two Dublin city hotels, The Gibson Hotel in 2010 and The Marker Hotel in 2013. However, renewed investor confidence and improved trading conditions have revived interest and therefore activity in hotel development, particularly in Dublin. Planning permission is being sought for several more hotel Planning permission has been refused for 170 bedrooms in the extensions and redevelopments for 2014. Construction has former Ormonde Hotel on Dublin’s Quays; while similarly, initial commenced on the development of the Dean Hotel, Harcourt permission for a 130-bedroom hotel development in the former Street, Dublin 2, for an estimated €3 million. Irish Lights building on Pembroke Street was also refused by An Bord Pleanála. Planning permission has been granted for a 165-bedroom hotel development on Camden Street, Dublin 2 for an estimated €8.65 Development outside of Dublin includes the Kingsley Hotel, Cork, million. Planning has also been granted for the development of which is due to reopen as a 4 star hotel this summer. 20 suites at the Merrion Hotel, Renewed investor Dublin 2 for an estimated €9.5 confidence has revived million. Planning for a hotel interest and activity in extension, which will include 20 bedrooms, at the Russell Court hotel development Hotel, Harcourt Street, Dublin 2 for an estimated €9.2 million; and planning for the conversion of Findlater House, O’Connell Street, Dublin 1 to a 198-bedroom 3 star hotel costing an estimated €2.7 million were both given the green light. Moreover, Dalata Plc have announced that they intend to plan further hotel developments in Dublin. 12 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Outlook for the Future The first six months of 2014 witnessed strong performance in the Irish hotel market. The total value of hotel acquisitions for the year 2014 is estimated at present to be in the region of €350 million, however, this could potentially be closer to €400 million with a large number of high value properties due to come to the market in the autumn. Strong performance is expected to continue into the latter half of 2014 with a number of hotel sales agreed in recent weeks. Despite the uplift in the hotel industry, there exists some In addition, “the Wild Atlantic Way” was officially launched potential challenges for hoteliers and investors. Debt remains the in February; Failte Ireland plans to invest €10 million in 2014 key issue which must be addressed in order for hotels to be at a promoting the 2,500km coastal driving route which stretches level that is sustainable. A potentially high VAT level could be a from Cork to Donegal. This is viewed as a long-term investment fundamental threat to smaller hotels, eroding their profitability strategy to sustain tourism levels. and thereby challenging the continued improvement of the hotel The recent announcement by the government that the current sector. Furthermore, the IHF has called for a 30% reduction Capital Gains Tax (CGT) exemption will not be extended after on local authority rates; these rates are the biggest single December 31st 2014 should influence hotel sales activity for the cost that hoteliers have no control over and is a threat to the remainder of the year as vendors will push to ensure hotel sales Irish tourism sector’s ability to compete effectively in both the are completed by year end. domestic and overseas markets. The lack of capital expenditure is also a challenging feature, as hoteliers may be allocating their profits for debt repayments rather than for investment and refurbishment purposes, which overtime would diminish the quality of hotels in Ireland. Moreover, while the Irish economy The strong momentum witnessed in the opening is on the path to recovery, any downturn or upheaval in the half of 2014 is expected to gather pace during the Eurozone economy can be a potential threat to Ireland’s recovery latter six months given the high level of demand and in turn, this would negatively impact the Irish tourism sector. from both domestic and international investors This said, the significant growth and recovery that is evident in Kirsty Rothwell, Head of Hotel Solutions both the hotel industry and the tourism sector bodes well for the DTZ Sherry FitzGerald overall wider economic recovery, in particular for employment levels in the industry given the labour-intensive nature of the business. 13 Summer 2014 | Irish Hotel Market Review
Authors Marian Finnegan Chief Economist, Director Research +353 (0) 1 237 6341 marian.finnegan@dtz.ie Deirdre O’Reilly Research Graduate +353 (0) 1 237 6365 deirdre.oreilly@sherryfitz.ie Kirsty Rothwell Head of Hotel Solutions +353 (0) 1 639 9386 kirsty.rothwell@dtz.ie About DTZ Sherry FitzGerald DTZ Sherry FitzGerald is the sole Irish affiliate of DTZ, a global leader in property services. With Irish offices in Dublin, Cork, Galway, Limerick and an associated office in Belfast, we are the largest commercial property advisory network in Ireland and are part of Sherry FitzGerald Group, Ireland’s largest real estate adviser. We provide occupiers and investors around the world with best-in-class, end-to-end property solutions comprised of leasing agency and brokerage, integrated property management, capital markets, investment, asset management and valuation. www.dtz.ie © 2014 This report should not be relied upon as a basis for entering transactions without seeking specific, qualified, professional advice. It is intended as a general guide only. This report has been prepared on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources believed to be reliable. While reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of the report, neither Sherry FitzGerald nor any of directors, employees or affiliates guarantees the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the report. Any opinion expressed (including estimates and forecasts) may be subject to change without notice. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is or will be provided by Sherry FitzGerald, its directors, employees or affiliates, all of whom expressly disclaim any and all liability for the contents of, or omissions from, this document, the information or opinions on which it is based. Information contained in this report should not, in whole or part, be published, reproduced or referred to without prior approval. Any such reproduction should be credited to DTZ Sherry FitzGerald.
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