Market trends For week ending December 31, 2021 - Performance ...
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market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Produce Market Overview The avocado market has been more active this week despite MARKET ALERT steady volume crossing the border. We still see a strong size • Avocados (48’s and Larger) – ESCALATED curve leaning to mid and smaller sizes while we continue to see • Bananas – ESCALATED firmer availability of larger-sized fruit. We continue to see stable weather and favorable growing conditions that have helped the • Brussel Sprouts – ESCALATED entire veg category along. Tomato markets are in great shape • Carrots (Jumbo) – ESCALATED with promotable volume available. Eggplant, soft squash and • Chili Peppers (Poblanos) – ESCALATED cucumbers are also in great supply with promotable volume available out of South Florida and Mexico. • Corn - ESCALATED Poblano peppers are escalated while other chili varieties are • Garlic – EXTREME improving. The lime market is tight and expected to remain firm • Ginger – EXTREME through the first of the year. The weather in Yuma has been ideal • Grapes - ESCALATED for growing so quality is strong. There have been a few mornings • Lettuce (Romaine Hearts) – ESCALATED in some fields with lettuce ice and although this has not been a hard freeze, we could still see light peel in many items. • Limes - ESCALATED The desert had a very heavy freeze today. Crews were unable • Melon (Cantaloupe & Honeydew) – ESCALATED to start harvesting in many fields until 10 AM Pacific time. This • Mushrooms - EXTREME freeze will have an effect on all leafy greens going forward. We are • Pineapples – ESCALATED expecting another heavy freeze tomorrow as well. Iceberg was hit hard by the freeze. We will have blister and discolored blister very soon. Expect mainly packer brand for the WATCH LIST next few weeks at the least. • Green Onions Romaine is up and down dealing with sizing and mildew. The • Romaine 24ct blister from the freeze will become an issue soon keeping us out • Sugar Snap and Snow Peas of brand. Green Leaf is looking good in most lots. Some lots are ribby to the point of heavy mechanical damage. Again, mildew is a Chopped romaine is really challenging, especially from concern going forward as well as blister. Taylor Farms due to mildew. We are also dealing with Processed items are a bit up and down with quality. The mildew some heavy bruising due to dark green color and lack of is really having an effect on some leafy items. Keep a close eye heart material. on inbound processed items. Blister can become an issue, but Iceberg blends are looking okay with some lots dealing most should be trimmed away. with tip burn Broccoli florets are looking good with minimal defects Arcadian/Tuscan is looking very nice with very little damage. Spinach is lot to lot with some mechanical damage I am adding pictures of ice damage on iceberg from this morning as well as processed items and broccoli crowns. Apples & Pears West coast new crop apples are being packed; however small sizes remain tight. Washington exports a substantial amount to Mexico which has driven the price up over the last few weeks on many varieties. East coast apples are available as well. Market price remains firm on small fruit as local schools take most of the volume. 2
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Produce (continued) Yuma, AZ Forecast Pears Blueberries This year’s pear crop was down significantly, with mostly larger Central Mexico production is expected to continue to increase fruit available. Growers are trying to drag out supply as best as moving forward. Baja production will continue with a low possible until the new crop starts next August. steady volume for the rest of the year. Peru production will continue to be steady for the next few weeks. Quality is good. Artichokes Good supply available although 30’s is light. Quality is excellent Raspberries and prices are steady on all sizes. Volume will remain low as we approach the end of the year. Thereafter volume is expected to increase each week as new Arugula plantings approach their peak at the beginning of the year. Supplies and quality are good this week. Production volume will be primarily out of Mexico. Strawberries Asparagus We expect overall volume to decrease next week due to Marginal quality from Peru, rain in Mexico and increased forecasted rain. The weather forecast calls for upwards of demand for the holidays has the market on the upswing. 2” of rain in Santa Maria and Oxnard next week. The rain will occur in two events, one at the start of the week, and one Avocados later next week. Florida and Mexico volume continues to ESCALATED (48’s and Larger) Market pricing remains mostly increase and is projected to continue to do so in the coming steady this week and crossings are expected to be the same weeks, however, their upticks will not be sufficient to offset the through the second week of the month. Larger-sized fruit decreases out of California next week. remains light on supply, but strong to 70s and smaller. The flavor profile and Oil content is normal for this time of year and Bok Choy will improve as the season progresses. We are beginning to Bok Choy volume is expected to be plentiful for the next two see a shift in the size curve to larger fruit, prices will firm up weeks. on smaller sized fruit as we approach the Christmas Holiday. Overall demand remains strong in food service while retail dips pre-Christmas and New Year’s pull. Bananas ESCALATED Banana quality and availability are good at this point, however, the cost to get bananas is up. Beans Good supply available this week out of South Florida as well as crossing through Nogales. Berries: Blackberries Lower volume than expected this week due to cool temperatures. We expect volume in the weeks ahead to remain stable. Mexico will be responsible for most of our supply. 3
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Produce (continued) Broccoli Eggplant Supplies are good this week. Excellent supply available out of South Florida as well as crossing through Nogales. Quality is very nice. Brussels Sprouts Total sprout volume remains below normal budget for the English Cucumbers coming week, but we should see relatively improved numbers Supply and quality are good. compared to recent weeks. Holiday demand is strong, and the market is advancing. The VA sprout category is still Fennel compromised for the near term but looks to improve as the Volume is lower this week. Expect the market to remain high. week progress. Quality and yields have improved. Sizing remains on the smaller side. Cantaloupe Garlic We have finished the Domestic fruit and have started to Garlic supply for domestic supply is also very tight. Shippers receive offshore fruit here on the west coast as well as the are holding to averages. The volatile market will continue east coast. The offshore looks strong and with a green to through next Summer. cream cast and descent internal color, sugars are good to fair. Market is strong with very good demand especially on Ginger the larger fruit as the first of the offshore is on the smaller EXTREME Ginger is very volatile due to very inconsistent side. There is some Mexico product also crossing which supply and market is higher. Supply remains tight for the quality does look really good at this point Volumes will start to foreseeable future. increase over the next 2-3 weeks and hopefully the ports will keep unloading them as volume increase and the market will ease a bit by the first of the year. Carrots ESCALATED Shippers are still struggling with jumbos due to labor (these are hand-pack items). Due to the unprecedented weekly volume needed for new snack pack options for school and community programs we continue to struggle with supply and demand. Pricing is increasing. Cauliflower Supplies are expected to be plentiful for the next two weeks. Celery Business is good as demand with sales for the Christmas holiday. Lighter supplies for us as there are still good supplies on the west coast. Quality is good and the market is better. Mexico and Oxnard have started. Cilantro Cilantro volume is expected to be plentiful for the next two weeks. Corn ESCALATED Corn will remain limited out of Florida, some light crossings through Nogales were available this week. Quality is mixed, and FOB prices remain high and do not expect to see any relief until Mid-January. Cucumbers Good supply available out of Florida, Nogales, and McAllen. 4
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Produce (continued) Grapes Green Onions DEMAND FAR EXCEEDS SUPPLY – We are finished with Quality is good this week. Market is extremely active due our Domestic fruit and will eventually be receiving Imports. to supply shortage with many growers in northern Mexico There are some Peruvian arriving on the East Coast, but very because of the extremely hot weather and high humidity the minimal volumes, nothing arriving on the west coast at this past two months. time. There is plenty of fruit in Peru that growers are wanting to load, but they are waiting on Containers to make it back to Honeydew the ports in Peru, from the East Coast and as we all know the We are finished with domestic product and dependent on the ports are very slow to unload. The west coast first arrivals are Mexico fruit, some light offshore volumes arriving. The Mexico due 1/07/22—and then the next arrival to the west coast is for fruit is looking very good and all sizes available, nice clean 1/15/22—we are expecting market to keep very strong until cast and excellent internal color and sugars as we have had first of February, and these dates could get pushed back more warmer than normal temperatures out west which have helped depending if they get loaded in Chile on time and the Ship keep quality very nice. We expect the market to keep steady sails as scheduled. We are holding some fruit back to try and for another month or so and then possibly ease depending on cover your orders until we see the imports. the offshore volumes. Green Cabbage Jicama Supply is good. Quality remains consistent with sizing and Steady supply available crossing through McAllen. overall appearance. Kale (Green) Red Cabbage Bunched Kale supplies are expected to be plentiful for the next Supply is good. Quality remains consistent with sizing and few weeks. overall appearance. Lemons Market steady as we are packing fruit from Dist. 1 (central valley) and Dist. 3 (Desert) the colder temperatures that are forecasted will also help on quality and bring on color so we should be done gassing this week and packing al natural color. There are still Chilean lemons around and some are still coming in off the Vessels that have been stuck here at the port, which is causing a split market. Lettuce: Butter Overall volume and quality look good this week. Green Leaf Production in Holtville is good. Quality in the desert is also good with a good green color, good texture, but lower in weight. Demand is good, and pricing remains steady. Iceberg Supplies are right on budget for this week. Demand and quality have been very good. The market is still trying to find the right selling point. The forecasted market for this week is steady to slightly higher due to demand for the holiday and some cooler weather predicted. Red Leaf Good volume with good quality, the market is steady. 5
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Produce (continued) Romaine/Romaine Hearts Napa Romaine and Romaine Heart production supplies are Volume is expected to be plentiful for the next two weeks. beginning to trend below budget. We are experiencing some quality issues at the field level ultimately reducing yields. Onions Plants that are healthy are exhibiting good color, texture, and The Northwest continues to ship a smaller size profile, with quality overall. We will continue to be subject to occasional limited Colossal and Super Colossals. The market continues fringe burn and lighter weights. Overall demand is steady, with to stay strong on yellow jumbos and larger, and all sizes of slightly better movement on Romaine Hearts. We started to reds and whites. Generally speaking, we begin to see the harvest Romaine in Holtville for the winter. market take another increase this time of year and into the new year. All signs are pointing to that taking place again Limes as demand has picked up, and as growers get further into ESCALATED We will continue to see lighter crossings and fair their storages, they continue to realize just how short their quality through the holidays. supply situation is. Typically, Mexican onions begin crossing in January, and depending on what type of quality and Mushrooms volumes cross, can drastically change the supply situation, EXTREME Quality is good, although supply is extremely and pressure pricing down. Because of that, we do not short, and market is higher primarily due to a lack of labor and anticipate the Mexican product will provide much downward shortages in component of growing such as peat moss. We pressure this season on the domestic onion supply. In fact, do expect this trend to continue through the first of the year. we may see it further move upward because of this. Red Suppliers are pro-rating customer orders up to 50% just to onion supply is expected to be much shorter than yellows ensure even availability to their customer base. as we really will not see an influx of new red supply until we get to California in May. Labor shortages are continuing to present production challenges in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington, particularly on heavy volumes of consumer packed onions. Freight continues to be challenging out of all onion growing regions. Oranges We are experiencing some good rain and the forecast is for more rain through next week, we welcome all we can get for sure. Market is keeping pretty steady, and we will see how these storms stack up, but we could see things get a little tight we will keep you posted. We are unable to pick fruit wet as it will break the rind cells and then you gas the fruit to bring on the color those rind cells that are damaged will start to break down 4-5 days later and you will see brown rot and clear rot start. We are also forecasted for colder temperatures which is also a blessing for fruit quality and bringing on the color. The fruit is eating good, testing about 11.00—12.00, which is very good for this time of year. We are about 15% lighter than last year but should have plenty of supplies through the year. Specialty Citrus We have the following varieties rolling now, please let us know if you have any interest in any of these. Pummelos, Meyer Lemons, Cara Caras, Oroblancos, Satsuma Mandarins, Clementine’s and we will start Blood Oranges next week. Parsley (Bunched) Parsley supplies are expected to be plentiful for the next two weeks. 6
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Produce (continued) Green Pepper Sugar Snap Peas Great supply out of Florida as well as Mexico on all sizes and WATCHLIST Steady/low volume, fair quality, and a steady packs. Quality is outstanding. increase in demand. Jalapeños (Chiles) Spinach (Bunched) ESCALATED Quality is outstanding as we ramp up production Supply and quality are fair this week. out of Florida. In McAllen, supply will remain tight on Poblanos while we are seeing a tremendous improvement on availability Spinach (Baby) on all other varieties. Good supply is also available crossing Supply and quality are fair this week. through Nogales. Spring Mix Red & Yellow Bell Peppers Supply and quality are fair this week. Canada is now done for the season, good supply crossing through Texas and should ramp up out of Nogales this week. Squash: Yellow and Zucchini We are seeing a good supply of reds and suntan’s out of Excellent supply available out of Florida as well as Nogales. South Florida. Quality remains good. Quality is outstanding. Pineapple Sweet Potatoes and Yams ESCALATED Pineapple volume will tighten through the month Sweet Potato harvest is pretty well done for all growers. There of December and most likely will not see any improvement are some growers shipping new crop potatoes and others until after the first of the year. We are already experiencing a will be a 3 to 4 weeks of cure time for the new crop and there higher cost to go to market. Quality and taste profile are great. seems to be enough old crop Sweets to gap until new crop finishes curing. Potatoes (Idaho) The potato market has stabilized on all sizes at the moment. It appears to be a bit of a mixed profile depending on the different growers around the state. Some are in a larger size profile, whereas some are heavier to smaller potatoes. Overall, the market has remained relatively ‘flat’ in terms of pricing this month. We anticipate that will remain the cast for the next two weeks over the holidays. Once we get into the new year and Norkotah supply begins to dwindle, we anticipate the market will take another increase. Heightened processor demand continues to put pressure on the fresh crop as they are offering record prices for bulk product. Growers are then faced with a difficult decision about whether to sell their crop to processors or support the fresh market. The only way the fresh market will keep up, is if returns back to the farms are comparable to what they are being offered. The heat this past summer is still believed to have affected the Burbanks more than the Norkotahs, so we are not very optimistic of relief until likely next year’s crop. Unfortunately, we are not in a situation where we can make up the Idaho shortfall with supply from other growing regions, as Washington experienced similar growing conditions, and they are up against the same challenges related to low yields. The concern surrounding trucks continues to be elevated as rates these past few weeks have continued to increase. Snow Peas WATCHLIST Steady/low volume, fair quality, and a steady increase in demand. 7
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Produce (continued) TOMATOES - EAST TOMATOES - WEST/MEXICO Rounds Rounds In Florida, we are seeing optimal growing conditions and Good supply and quality available crossing through all borders. volume continues to improve. Overall quality is very nice on rounds. Romas Good supply and quality available crossing through all borders. Romas In Florida we are seeing optimal growing conditions and Grape & Cherry Tomatoes volume continues to improve. Overall quality is very nice on Good volume and quality available crossing through Nogales romas. and McAllen. Grape & Cherry Tomatoes Watermelons Good supply and excellent quality are available. Lighter supply available this week crossing through Nogales. Demand is flat and quality is marginal. 8
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Beef, Veal & Lamb Last week, domestic beef production was 1.4% smaller (w/w) but was a modest 0.1% larger (y/y). Year-to-date beef output is 2.4% better than 2020. However, 2022 beef production (per the USDA) is forecasted to be down 3.2% (y/y). This winter and next year, the restaurant industry will surely be monitoring the costs of the lean and fattier beef trim markets, which are currently the costliest for this time of year since 2014. In 12 of the last 13 years, 90% beef trim prices averaged 9.5% higher in Q1 vs. the prior Q4. In nine of the last 13 years, 50% beef trim prices averaged 28.8 % higher in Q1 vs. the prior Q4. But, in three of the four years when 50% beef trim averaged lower in Q1 compared to the prior Q4, prices averaged above $1.00/lb. in Q4, which they will do this year. So, this hints that seasonal price gains for 50 % beef trim this winter could be tempered. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Live Cattle (Steer) Decreasing Short Higher Feeder Cattle Index (CME) Decreasing Steady Higher Ground Beef 81/19 Increasing Steady-Available Higher Ground Chuck Decreasing Steady-Available Higher 109 Export Rib (ch) Decreasing Available Lower 109 Export Rib (pr) Decreasing Steady Higher 112a Ribeye (ch) Decreasing Available Higher 112a Ribeye (pr) Increasing Steady Higher 114a Chuck, Shlder Cld(ch) Decreasing Available Higher 116 Chuck (sel) Decreasing Available Higher 116 Chuck (ch) Decreasing Available Higher 116b Chuck Tender (ch) Decreasing Steady Higher 120 Brisket (ch) Decreasing Steady-Short Higher 120a Brisket (ch) Decreasing Steady Higher 121c Outside Skirt (ch/sel) Increasing Available Higher 121d Inside Skirt (ch/sel) Decreasing Available Higher 121e Cap & Wedge Decreasing Steady Higher 167a Knckle, Trimmed (ch) Decreasing Available Higher 168 Inside Round (ch) Increasing Available Higher 169 Top Round (ch) Decreasing Available Higher 171b Outside Round (ch) Decreasing Available Higher 174 Short Loin (ch 0x1) Decreasing Available Higher 174 Short Loin (pr 2x3) Decreasing Available Higher 180 0x1 Strip (ch) Increasing Steady Higher 180 0x1 Strip (pr) Decreasing Available Higher 184 Top Butt, boneless (ch) Decreasing Available Higher 184 Top Butt, boneless (pr) Increasing Available Higher 184-3 Top Butt, bnls (ch) Increasing Available Higher 185a Sirloin Flap (ch) Increasing Steady Higher 185c Loin, Tri-Tip (ch) Decreasing Steady Higher 189a Tender (sel, 5 lb & up) Decreasing Steady-Available Higher 189a Tender (ch, 5 lb &up) Decreasing Available Higher 189a Tender (pr, heavy) Increasing Steady Higher 193 Flank Steak (ch) Increasing Steady-Available Higher 50% Trimmings Increasing Steady Higher 65% Trimmings Decreasing Available Higher 75% Trimmings Decreasing Available Higher 85% Trimmings Decreasing Available Higher 90% Trimmings Decreasing Available Higher 90% Imported Beef (frz) Decreasing Short Higher 95% Imported Beef (frz) Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Veal Rack (Hotel 7 rib) Steady Short Higher Veal Top Round (cap off) Steady Short Higher 9
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Grains The grain markets ended last week mostly firm (w/w), excluding soybean oil. Last week, nearby CME corn futures hit the highest level since June but are still down 19.3% from the eight-year high ($7.352) set this past May. At one-point last week, nearby CME soybean oil futures traded to the lowest level ($.511) since April but ended the week modestly higher (w/w). And from price chart perspective, it’s possible that the $.511 low from last week for soybean oil market could be a bottom. In the most recent WASDE report, rather tight corn, soybeans, and especially global wheat supplies are still the fundamental scenario. Regarding wheat, the higher the protein content the bigger the (y/y) price increases. Current MN hard red spring wheat prices are 92.2% higher than the combined 2019 and 2020 average. So unfortunately, expect flour costs to remain inflated during the winter. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Soybeans, bushel Increasing Steady-Short Higher Crude Soybean Oil, lb Decreasing Available Higher Soybean Meal, ton Increasing Short Lower Corn, bushel Increasing Steady-Short Higher Crude Corn Oil, lb Decreasing Steady-Available Higher High Fructose Corn Syrup Increasing Short Higher Distillers Grain, Dry Increasing Steady Lower Crude Palm Oil, lb BMD Decreasing Available Higher HRW Wheat, bushel Increasing Steady Higher DNS Wheat 14%, bushel Increasing Steady-Short Higher Durum Wheat, bushel Increasing Steady Higher Pinto Beans, lb Steady Steady Higher Black Beans, lb Increasing Short Higher Rice, Long Grain, lb Decreasing Steady Lower Dairy Last week, the cheese markets were mixed (w/w), but cheese blocks achieved the highest weekly close since November 2020. CME spot butter prices were higher (w/w) and established the highest weekly settlement since October 2019. On Friday, the cheese block price premium over barrels was $0.2575. Strong holiday seasonal demand for cheese along with active exports have supported prices lately. The quarterly pivot model suggests that by the end of the month, the cheese block market could target $1.985. Butter demand is also seasonally strong, and U.S. prices are cheap globally, which is encouraging exports. The CME spot butter market looks poised to remain counter-seasonally strong and may possibly hit $2.175 by the end of December. Per the USDA, milk production gains for H2 2022 are expected to be a modest 0.08% over 2021. The nonfat-dry-milk market will likely remain supported as well this winter. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Cheese Barrels (CME) Decreasing Steady Higher Cheese Blocks (CME) Increasing Short Higher American Cheese Increasing Steady-Short Higher Cheddar Cheese (40 lb) Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Mozzarella Cheese Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Monterey Jack Cheese Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Parmesan Cheese Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Butter (CME) Increasing Short Higher Nonfat Dry Milk Increasing Short Higher Whey, Dry Increasing Short Higher Class 1 Base Steady Short Lower Class II Cream, heavy Increasing Short Higher Class III Milk (CME) Decreasing Steady-Short Higher Class IV Milk (CME) Increasing Short Higher 10
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Pork Last week, U.S. pork production was 3.2% bigger (w/w) but was 3.2% smaller (y/y). Year-to-date pork output (as of last week) was running 2.3% less than a year ago. Pork production estimates (per the USDA) for 2022 are a decrease of 0.5% (y/y). The USDA pork cutout has declined notably since June (39.7%) and is currently priced 13.1% above the combined 2020 and 2019 price average. The pork trim markets, especially the 72% trim market, are pricing 14.4% cheaper than the 2020 average. Because 2022 pork production is expected to be down (y/y), it’s possible the current price environment for pork is presenting some contracting opportunities. Since 2016, the 72% averaged 8.4% higher in Q1 compared to the previous Q4. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Live Hogs Decreasing Steady Higher Sow Decreasing Available Higher Belly (bacon) Decreasing Steady-Available Higher Sparerib(4.25 lb & down) Increasing Short Higher Ham (20-23 lb) Decreasing Steady-Available Lower Ham (23-27 lb) Increasing Steady Lower Loin (bone in) Increasing Available Higher Babyback Rib (1.75 lb & up) Increasing Steady-Available Higher Tenderloin (1.25 lb) Increasing Available Higher Boston Butt, untrmd (4-8 lb) Increasing Steady Higher Picnic, untrmd Increasing Steady Higher SS Picnic, smoker trm box Increasing Short Higher 42% Trimmings Decreasing Available Higher 72% Trimmings Decreasing Available Lower 11
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Poultry Last week, the USDA wholesale boneless skinless chicken breast markets were higher (w/w) and are the highest since October. Wholesale chicken wing prices remained steady (w/w) and are priced just under $2.700/lb., the lowest since February but still the most expensive for December since at least 2009. For the week ending Dec. 11, ready-to-cook chicken production was up 0.3 % (w/w) and was 1.2% more than a year ago. Year-to-date broiler output (through 12/11) was running roughly 1.4% behind 2020. Next year’s (’22) domestic chicken production is projected to be 1.7% more than 2021. Typically, boneless skinless chicken breast prices appreciate during January (m/m). Wholesale chicken wing prices usually rise as well in January (m/m). Large shell egg prices are increasing and are now the highest since April 2020. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Whole Birds WOG-Nat Increasing Short Higher Wings (jumbo cut) Decreasing Available Higher Wing Index (ARA) Decreasing Available Higher Breast, Bnless Skinless NE Increasing Short Higher Breast, Bnless Skinless SE Increasing Short Higher Breast Boneless Index (ARA) Increasing Short Higher Tenderloin Index (ARA) Steady Steady-Available Higher Legs (whole) Decreasing Steady-Available Lower Leg Quarter Index (ARA) Increasing Steady Higher Thighs, Bone In Increasing Steady Higher Thighs, Boneless Increasing Available Higher Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Whole Turkey (8-16 lb) Decreasing Steady-Available Higher Turkey Breast, Bnls/Sknls Increasing Short Higher Eggs Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Large Eggs (dozen) Increasing Short Higher Medium Eggs (dozen) Steady Short Higher Liquid Whole Eggs Increasing Short Higher Liquid Egg Whites Steady Steady-Short Lower Liquid Egg Yolks Increasing Short Higher Egg Breaker Stock Central Increasing Short Higher 12
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Seafood The seafood markets were steady last week, but current shrimp, snow crab, and salmon prices are running roughly 22% higher than a year ago. Yet, cod fillet and pollock fillet prices are down 4.3% from last year. Total U.S. imports of seafood products during October were up 7.8% (m/m) and were 8.6% larger than a year ago and the most for October on record. Seafood demand, like the other meat proteins, remains strong. Since the U.S. imports roughly 90% of its seafood needs, the pending value of the U.S. dollar will play a big role for prices in 2022. Expect the seafood markets to remain firm at least in the near term, if not longer. Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year Shrimp (16/20 frz) Steady Short Higher Shrimp (61/70 frz) Steady Available Higher Shrimp Tiger (26/30 frz) Steady Short Higher Snow Crab, frz Steady Available Higher Tilapia Filet, frz Steady Steady Higher Cod Filet, frz Steady Available Lower Tuna Yellowfin, frsh Steady Steady Higher Salmon Atlantic Filet, frsh Steady Steady-Short Higher Pollock Filet, Alaska, frz Steady Short Lower 13
market trends WEek ending December 31, 2021 Paper and Plastic Products Description Market Trend Supplies Price vs. Last Year WOOD PULP (PAPER) NBSK- Paper napkin Increasing Short Higher 42 lb. Linerboard-corrugated box Decreasing Steady-Available Higher PLASTIC RESINS (PLASTIC, FOAM) PS-CHH-utensils, cups, to-go cont. Steady Steady-Short Higher PP-HIGP-heavy grade utensils Steady Available Higher PE-LLD-can liners, film, bags Steady Available Higher Retail Price Change from Prior Month Description Oct-21 Sep-21 Aug-21 Beef and Veal Increasing Increasing Increasing Dairy Decreasing Increasing Increasing Pork Increasing Increasing Increasing Chicken Increasing Increasing Increasing Fresh Fish and Seafood Decreasing Increasing Increasing Fresh Fruits and Vegetables Increasing Increasing Increasing Various Markets The softs markets were mixed last week (w/w) with Arabica coffee, orange juice, and cocoa futures finishing higher. The biggest softs mover this past year (and currently) is by far Arabica coffee with nearby futures still within striking distance of the 10-year high ($2.503) set earlier this month. Challenging weather conditions have hampered both coffee and sugar production in Brazil, which is still supporting those respective markets. Description Increasing Supplies Price vs. Last Year Whole Peeled, Stand (6/10) Increasing Short Higher Tomato Paste-Industrial (lb) Increasing Short Higher Coffee lb ICE Decreasing Short Higher Sugar lb ICE Increasing Steady-Available Higher Cocoa mt ICE Increasing Steady Lower Orange Juice lb ICE Steady Short Higher Honey (clover) lb Steady Steady-Short Higher 14
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