Spotlight Alpine Property Market - 2014/15 Savills World Research International Residential

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Spotlight Alpine Property Market - 2014/15 Savills World Research International Residential
Savills World Research
                          International Residential

Spotlight
Alpine Property Market             2014/15

                               savills.co.uk/research
Spotlight Alpine Property Market - 2014/15 Savills World Research International Residential
2014/15

                                                                        Spotlight
                                                                        Alpine Property Market
                                                                        The world’s largest ski market, the Alps attract
                                                                        second home buyers from across the globe                                                       summary

                                                                        T
                                                                                     he Alps cover an area         In this edition of our Alpine Homes
                                                                                     of 191,000 square             report, we take a look at these ‘ultra
                                                                                     km, spanning seven            prime’ property markets as well as the
                                                                                     countries and attract up      resorts that are seeing an increased
                                                                                     to four million tourists      number of international buyers
                                                                                                                                                               Transaction volumes are recovering
                                                                        annually. With 36% of the world’s          returning to their property markets.      across the Alps, with more sales taking
                                                                        ski resorts, the Alps capture 45% of                                                       place at lower price points.
                                                                        all global skier visits (North America     We have taken a close look this year
                                                                        is second, with 21%).                      at the factors that determine resort
                                                                                                                   quality, and future potential, ranging
                                                                        A number of visitors decide to make        from length of snow season, snow
                                                                        a more permanent commitment and            depth, piste length and available
                                                                        purchase a property in the region.         bedspaces. Our quality measure
                                                                        Some of these will look for an income      culminates in comparing the price of
                                                                        return and let the property to visitors    a hot chocolate on the mountain in       Stability is returning to the French Alpine
                                                                        but most make a lifestyle and leisure      each of our 30 featured resorts; the        market. Buying opportunities exist
                                                                        choice to enjoy a holiday home in          all-important ‘Kakao Index’.
                                                                        this unique region. A top tier of Alpine                                                       given price discounts.
                                                                        resorts are frequented by, among           Finally, we look at the prospects
                                                                        others, celebrities and European           for resort expansion, development
                                                                        royalty, so have emerged as important      and price growth. We hope you
                                                                        destinations for the global super rich     enjoy this property market ride
                                                                        to buy property.                           through the Alps. n

                                                                                                                                                                Switzerland’s position outside the
                                                                                                                                                            EU cements its appeal as a safe haven for
                                                                                                                                                             wealth. Resorts carry a price premium.

                                                                                                                                                               Austria, appealing for its affordability,
                                                                                                                                                               dual seasonality and rental returns, is
                                                                                                                                                            drawing growing numbers of British buyers.

                                                                                                                                                              Ultra-prime Alpine ski resorts, led by
                                                                                                                                                              Courchevel, Gastaad and Val-d’Isère,
Notes about the publication
This document was published in October 2014. The data used in                                                                                                     attract the global super-rich.
the charts and tables is the latest available at the time of going to                                                                                              Values here have held firm.
press. Sources are included for all the charts.

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Spotlight Alpine Property Market - 2014/15 Savills World Research International Residential
Spotlight | Alpine Property Market                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2014/15

                            Ski market                                                Ski operators have invested heavily              Physical conditions                               Austrian resorts, meanwhile,                              Ski conditions and season                  FIGURE 3
                                                                                      here in infrastructure in recent years,          Understanding the physical                        have the shortest quoted seasons,                         lengths, perhaps surprisingly, do          Savills Kakao Index 2014-15: The price
                            conditions                                                a strategy that seems to be paying               conditions of a resort, the length                and relatively low levels of snowfall.                    not correlate closely to capital           of a hot chocolate on the mountain
                                                                                      off in maintaining a competitive edge.           of a season and the kind of people                Costs and property values are                             values. In the most exclusive
                                                                                                                                       it attracts is key to understanding               lowest here which can boost gross                         markets, such as Verbier and                                                               n Ultra prime resorts
                            Germany and the United Kingdom                            The French ski market is still the               underlying demand for the leisure                 rental yields. Indeed, Austria has the                    Courchevel (both mid-league for
                            are the two main ‘outbound’ skier                         world’s largest, supported by a large            property market.                                  highest gross rental returns, at an                       ski conditions), capital values are
                            markets in Europe, with 14.6 and 6.3                      and mature domestic ski market,                                                                    average of 5% to 7%.                                      among the highest in the Alps, while                 Gstaad
                            million skiers respectively. The bulk                     which accounts for 68% of visits.                Resorts with a range of beginner                                                                            demand for rental property is such
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Megève
                            of skiers from these nations head to                                                                       pistes, such as Zermatt (offering 85              This compares with gross yields in                        that renting out a chalet for just three
                            the major Alpine resorts in France,                       Switzerland, attracting 26.5 million             downhill routes across six mountains)             France and Switzerland that range                         weeks a year can often completely
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Courchevel
                            Austria, Switzerland, and to a lesser                     ski visitors, of which half are foreign,         and Klosters (with good beginners                 from 2.5% to 4.5% (circa 1.5% to                          cover the annual running costs of
                            extent, Italy, which attract more than                    enjoys a particularly broad demand               slopes) are popular with families. In             3.5% net).                                                the property. n                                    St Moritz
                            70 million foreign ski visitors between                   base. Switzerland has been an early              turn, the market for chalets or larger
                            them (Figure 2).                                          recipient of the small but fast growing          apartments is stronger.                           FIGURE 2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Zell am See
                                                                                      Asian ski market. With more prestigious                                                            Number of ski visits to major Alpine markets
                            Austria is Europe’s biggest                               resorts than any other country, it has           Kitzbühel, by contrast, with its fast                                                                                                                         Saalbach
                            international visitor recipient,                          a reputation for being expensive.                black runs and the Hahnenkamm                                                                                                   n Domestic n Foreign

                            recording steady annual growth in                         An ageing domestic population has                tournament (most difficult piste in the                                             60                                                                        Saas-Fee
                            skier visits at a rate of 2.25% per                       contributed to a long-term decline in            alpine ski world cup), attracts high-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Méribel
                            annum since 2000. The number of                           the number of ski visits nationally but,         level skiers and snowboarders and,
                            visits is now approaching that of                         for many visitors to Switzerland’s top           in turn, properties suited to younger                                               50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Val-d’Isère

                                                                                                                                                                                 Number of ski visits 2012/13 (millions)
                            France, despite the fact that Austria                     resorts, the attraction is much more             buyers are favoured.
                            has almost a quarter fewer resorts.                       than just skiing.                                                                                                                                                                                        Lech / St Anton
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           40
                                                                                                                                       We have analysed the ski conditions
                                                                                                                                       of 30 major Alpine resorts, assessing                                                                                                                        Andermatt
FIGURE 1
                                                                                                                                       the published length of season,
Resort conditions barometer: Season length, average monthly                                                                            average monthly snowfall, and ski
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Flaine
snowfall for the last three years, six day ski pass cost                                                                               pass costs (Figure 1). These are all
                                                                                                                                       important in determining the breadth                                                20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Klosters
          average monthly snowfall (nov-apr): n 140cm+                     n 120 - 139cm   n 100 - 119cm   n 80 - 99cm   n 60 - 79cm   and depth of market and the length
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Davos
                                                                                                                                       of a ski season, all of which can have
                                                                SWITZERLAND                                                            a big impact on the rental income                                                   10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Chamonix
                                                                Saas-Fee €311                                                          achievable from a property.
                                                               Andermatt €220
                                                                St Moritz €302                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Zermatt
                                                                Klosters €275
                                                                                                                                       In general, Swiss resorts have the                                                   0
                                                                 Davos €275                                                            longest seasons (and deepest snow),                                                      France   Austria            Italy           Switzerland                  Villars
                                                             Crans-Montana €270                                                        with Saas-Fee enjoying 168 days
                                                                                                                                                                                         Source: Laurent Vanat
                                                                Verbier €294                                                           of quoted season, coupled with                                                                                                                          Crans-Montana
                                                                Zermatt €315
                                                                                                                                       average monthly snowfall of 165cm
                                                                Wengen €241
                                                                Nendaz €294
                                                                                                                                       between November and April. In                                                                                                                                  Wengen

                                                               Champéry €248                                                           general, Swiss resorts are at high
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Champéry
                                                                Gstaad €271                                                            altitude and therefore more snow-
                                                               Grimentz €232                                                           guaranteed. They also start the
                                                              Grindelwald €241                                                                                                                                                                                                                       La Plagne
                                                                                                                                       season earlier than those in France
                                                                 Villars €249
                                                                 Flims €345
                                                                                                                                       and Austria.                                                                                                                                                  Kitzbühel
                                                                   FRANCE
                                                               Val-d’Isère €260                                                        General ski costs, for lift passes,                                                                                                                        Grindelwald
                                                                 Flaine €231                                                           food and accommodation etc,
                                                                Megève €209                                                            in Switzerland are higher. This is                                                                                                                               Verbier
                                                                 Morzine €176
                                                                                                                                       demonstrated by our ‘Kakao Index’,
                                                                La Plagne €285
                                                                 Méribel €234
                                                                                                                                       which measures the price of a hot                                                                                                                               Nendaz

                                                               Courchevel €240                                                         chocolate on the mountain, (see
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Grimentz
                                                                Chamonix €241                                                          Figure 3). Ski passes average €272
                                                                   AUSTRIA                                                             for six days, compared to €234
                                                              Zell am See € 232                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Flims
                                                                                                                                       across the major Austrian and
                                                               Obertauern €211
                                                             Lech / St Anton €245
                                                                                                                                       French resorts. Passes exceed                                                                                                                               Obertauern
                                                               Kitzbühel €241                                                          €300 in premium resorts such as
                                                              Bad Gastein €234                                                         St Moritz, Verbier and Flims.                                                                                                                                   Morzine
                                                               Saalbach €233

                                                                                                                                       French resorts have average season                                                                                                                         Bad Gastein
    November            December              January              February           March            April             May           lengths, but good levels of snowfall.
                                                            Season start / end date                                                    High-snowfall resorts such as Val-                                                                                                                                          €0   €1     €2   €3   €4     €5      €6     €7

                                                                                                                                       d’Isère enjoy peak seasons that run
Source: Savills World Research, resort operators, Igluski                                                                              well into April.                                                                                                                                       Source: Savills World Research

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Spotlight | Alpine Property Market                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2014/15

                                    The Alpine                                GDP growth of 0.3%, against 0.4%          Vienna characterised by low levels           Switzerland experienced

                                    market in
                                                                              in France. Austria is set to see better
                                                                              economic growth, partly driven by
                                                                                                                        of supply and a very high proportion
                                                                                                                        of institutional investor ownership,
                                                                                                                                                                     sustained levels of residential price
                                                                                                                                                                     growth between 2008 and 2013 (the                      House price performance
                                    the European                              stronger demand from its largest
                                                                              trading partner, Germany. Switzerland’s
                                                                                                                        has led growth (prices up 76% since
                                                                                                                        2007). At the national level, prices
                                                                                                                                                                     price of houses grew by 28%), running
                                                                                                                                                                     counter to many other European                         National markets reveal significant price gap
                                    housing                                   position outside the EU cemented
                                                                              its appeal as a safe haven for wealth
                                                                                                                        stabilised in Q2 2014, recording
                                                                                                                        modest falls of -0.1%.
                                                                                                                                                                     markets. Economic expansion, low
                                                                                                                                                                     interest rates, growth in real wages and
                                    market                                    during recent European economic                                                        immigration of wealthy individuals all              Various European housing markets have                         a significant price gap has opened between
                                                                              turbulence. GDP growth of 2% was          France’s residential prices initially held   supported housing demand.                           behaved in very different ways since the                      these countries. While recent UK market
                                                                              recorded in 2013, and continued           up well during the global financial                                                              credit crunch and Euro-crisis. While British                  recovering is making French property look
                                    Second home purchasers are                strength is forecast (Figure 4).          crisis, prices fell by just 10% between      Switzerland has one of the world’s                  and French property owners saw significant                    cheaper to British buyers, Switzerland and
                                    integral to the core Alpine home                                                    2007 and 2009, rallying to a new             strictest citizenship systems, requiring            price falls in 2008, Austrian and Swiss house                 Austria continue to look over 25% more
                                    markets of France, Switzerland and        While Austria and France are both         high in the third quarter of 2011.           12 years of permanent, legal and                    prices just went on growing. This means that                  expensive than they did in 2007.
                                    Austria. To fully understand their        within the Eurozone area, their           Since then, confidence in the French         notated residency, fluency in one of
                                    drivers, it is necessary to examine       housing markets, with different           market has been weak, compounded             the official languages and integration         FIGURE 5
                                    the underlying markets in the country     national policy and governance, have      by a faltering domestic economy              into Swiss culture and community. As
                                    that shape them.                          performed very differently. Austria       and uncertainty around some of               such, most ‘foreign’ residents tend to         National house price performance in key Alpine countries vs UK
                                                                              enjoyed a period of buoyant house         Hollande’s wealth policies.                  remain so, and their numbers reached                                                                                n Austria   n Switzerland (Houses)   n France     UK
                                    First, background economies have          price growth in the last decade, at a                                                  a new high of 1.9 million in 2013.                               130
                                    an impact. Austria’s economic             time when other Eurozone housing          Stability is returning to the French
                                    performance, like France, was             markets were in decline.                  market, however, and prices grew by          In response, Switzerland introduced                              125
                                    tempered in 2013 by ongoing austerity                                               a modest 0.5% in the second quarter          new quotas for EU citizens in 2013.
                                    measures aimed at resolving the EU        Prices rose by 25% between Q1 2007        of 2014, the first quarterly growth          Foreign buyers are also heavily                                  120
                                    sovereign debt crisis. Austria recorded   and Q1 2014. A strong market in           recorded since 2012. A further sign          restricted on residential property
                                                                                                                        of improved confidence, the number           purchase – just 1,500 permits are                                115
                                                                                                                        of transactions grew 9.2% in the year        released a year – although the rules
                                    “Second home purchasers are integral                                                to June 2013. GDP growth forecasts           vary significantly by canton. Indeed,

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Index Q1 2008 = 100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      110

                                    to the core Alpine home markets of                                                  point towards a tentative economic
                                                                                                                        recovery (Figure 4), which should
                                                                                                                                                                     the number of permits issued has
                                                                                                                                                                     been falling in recent years. 1,500 were                         105

                                    France, Switzerland and Austria”                                                    bolster residential market demand in
                                                                                                                        the near term.
                                                                                                                                                                     issued in 2009, in 2013 this had fallen
                                                                                                                                                                     to 1,020. n                                                      100

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       95
   FIGURE 4

                                                                                                                                                                               28%
   GDP Growth                                                                                                                                                                                                                          90

                                                                                                 n 2013 n 2014 n 2015
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       85
                    3.5%
                                                                                                                                                                      Switzerland experienced
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       80
                                                                                                                         A strong market in Vienna                    sustained levels of house                                             Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
                    3.0%
                                                                                                                          has led to price growth                      price growth between                                                     2007        2008        2009        2010        2011        2012        2013     2014

                                                                                                                               across Austria                              2008 and 2013                        Source: OeNB, SNB, FNAIM, Istat, BIS, Nationwide

                    2.5%

                    2.0%
Annual GDP growth

                    1.5%                                                                                                   Confidence is returning
                                                                                                                               to the French
                    1.0%
                                                                                                                              property market

                    0.5%

                    0.0%

                                                                                                                            Switzerland operates
                    -0.5%
                                                                                                                             a quota system for
                            Switzerland          Austria            France          Euro Area             UK                   foreign buyers
   Source: Focus Economics, IMF

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Spotlight | Alpine Property Market                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2014/15

                                                                                     The resort                                                                                   the buyers had retreated to the very
                                                                                                                                                                                  best properties. By 2014, this had
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           but the potential could be significant.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Skiing is considered a prestigious
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Ultra-prime                                            is skiing. A dozen or more Alpine
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  resorts are well established on the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Others, such as Val d’Isère are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           long established resorts with a loyal
                                                                                     markets                                                                                      fallen to just under €1m, with British                                                                   sport. Chinese skiers numbered just                                                             Alpine ski                                             UNWHI circuit, and attract wealthy       following, attracting plenty of ‘old
                                                                                                                                                                                  buyers, in particular, purchasing at
                                                                                                                                                                                  levels lower than this.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           10,000 in 1996, and now exceed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           five million. Most of these remain                                                              resorts                                                buyers from around the world.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  We have listed the top ten, ranked
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           world’ money. Verbier is a resort for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           cool, with bars and clubs comparable
                                                                                     The Alpine ski resort market is                                                                                                                                                                       in China to pursue their sport, but                                                                                                                    by ultra-prime residential prices per    to those in cities like London.
                                                                                     highly diverse, with prices, supply                                                          The markets are also seeing an                                                                           Switzerland is second only to Japan                                                             There are a significant number of hot                  square metre in Table 1.
                                                                                     and market conditions varying                                                                expansion in the breadth of buyers                                                                       as a recipient of these high-spending                                                           spots around the world where Ultra                                                              These ultra-prime resorts proved
                                                                                     significantly across the countries and                                                       they attract. Prior to the global                                                                        Chinese ski tourists.                                                                           High Net Worth Individuals (UHNWIs)                    These include the ultra exclusive,       relatively resilient during the global
                                                                                     regions in which they are located.                                                           recession, British buyers dominated                                                                                                                                                                      will invest. Their residential properties              such as Courchevel, Megève and           economic crisis. Transaction levels
                                                                                     Broadly, the Swiss resorts are the                                                           the market, accounting for the vast                                                                      Switzerland Tourism has recently                                                                in world cities go hand in hand with                   St Moritz, and offer much more           slowed somewhat as finance-reliant
                                                                                     most expensive (and difficult to buy                                                         majority of foreign buyers in many                                                                       deployed eight Chinese ski                                                                      one or more leisure properties.                        than just skiing. Shopping, nightlife    purchases fled, but prices held firm.
                                                                                     into – see page 12). Prices in Verbier                                                       resorts. Today, a much wider variety                                                                     instructors at their top resorts in a                                                                                                                  and restaurants are well catered         Values were supported by restricted
                                                                                     and Andermatt are 80% higher than                                                            of buyers are present. These include                                                                     bid to cater to this growing market.                                                            Leisure destinations have evolved to                   for. Courchevel boasts six Michelin      supply and the absence of forced
                                                                                     average for prime property in the                                                            a wide range of European buyers,                                                                         Cultural sensitivities do need to                                                               reflect pursuits that the wealthy enjoy.               starred restaurants – four for every     sales. n
                                                                                     Alps (Figure 6). French resorts are                                                          particularly those from northern Europe                                                                  be considered, however. A plan to                                                               Among the most important of these                      100km of piste (Table 1).
                                                                                     among the largest and cover a wide                                                           and the Nordics, as well as those from                                                                   differentiate the Chinese instructors
                                                                                     range of price points, while Austrian                                                        further afield. In Austria, for example                                                                  by green helmets was dropped after
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           TABLE 1
                                                                                     resorts tend to be more affordable for                                                       where price points are lower, the                                                                        it became apparent that wearing
                                                                                     property purchase – but renting can                                                          market was traditionally dominated by                                                                    a green hat in China signifies                                                                  Top 10 Alpine ultra-prime ski resorts (ultra-prime only)                                                  n France n Switzerland n Austria
                                                                                     be expensive.                                                                                German buyers, but British buyers are                                                                    unfaithfulness in a relationship.
                                                                                                                                                                                  of increasing importance.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 No of Michelin           Michelin starred
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Typical ultra
                                                                                     Holiday home buying in the region                                                                                                                                                                     Swiss resorts remain at the forefront of                                                                   Resort                         Piste km                  starred                restaurant per
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           prime price psm
                                                                                     peaked in the 2007-08 season, and                                                            Asian buyers, notably those from                                                                         new technology in a bid to continue to                                                                                                                            restaurants               100 km piste
                                                                                     fell away significantly during the                                                           Malaysia, Singapore and Hong Kong,                                                                       attract skiers from around the world. In
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Zermatt, for example, ski passes trigger
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Courchevel 1850                                 150                      6                     4.0                   € 34,200
                                                                                     recessionary years. Discretionary                                                            are small in number but a major
                                                                                     second home buyers, reliant on                                                               potential growth market. These are                                                                       HD cameras which record a skier’s                                                                Gstaad                                          220                      3                     1.4                   € 31,900
                                                                                     mortgage finance, withdrew from                                                              globally mobile individuals, who                                                                         progress down the slopes, providing
                                                                                     the market after the credit crunch.                                                          generally already have homes in                                                                          a take-home movie. Switzerland also                                                              Val-d'Isère                                     300                      2                     0.7                   € 28,800
                                                                                     After a period of stabilisation, prices                                                      one of the major European cities.                                                                        plans to establish a national centre for
                                                                                     are on the rise once again, although                                                         Top Swiss resorts are favoured.                                                                          snow sports, with purpose built snow                                                             St Moritz                                       350                      5                     1.4                   € 28,600
                                                                                     buyers continue to expect a discount,                                                        The growth in the numbers of Asian                                                                       camps for training purposes. n
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Zermatt                                         360                      3                     0.8                   € 25,700
                                                                                     particularly for second hand properties.                                                     buyers has gone hand in hand with
                                                                                                                                                                                  a lowering of the average age of                                                                                                                                                                          Megève                                          325                      4                     1.2                   € 25,700
                                                                                     Analysis of sales data suggests                                                              Alpine property buyers. Buyers aged
                                                                                     more sales are taking place at lower                                                         between 40 and 49 were the largest                                                                                                                                                                        Verbier                                         202                      1                     0.5                   € 22,400
                                                                                     price points as the resilience of the                                                        purchasing group in 2014, according
                                                                                     ultra prime markets starts to ripple                                                         to data from Savills Alpine Homes.                                                                                                                                                                        Méribel                                         150                      1                     0.7                   € 19,000
                                                                                     down the market ladder. The average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Chinese skiers numbered
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Crans Montana                                   308                      1                     0.3                   € 18,300
                                                                                     purchase price of prime property                                                             The Chinese, a fast growing ski                                                                           just 10,000 in 1996, and
                                                                                     transacted across core Alpine resorts                                                        market, have yet to make Alpine                                                                             now exceed 5 million                                                                          Kitzbühel                                       170                      0                     0.0                   € 15,900
                                                                                     was €1.5m in 2011, at a time when                                                            home purchases in any volume,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Source: Savills World Research, Michelin Guide

FIGURE 6
Prime property price premiums and discounts by country (prime only)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             n Switzerland                  n France n Austria
                                                   100%
Price premium / discount over all resort average

                                                   80%

                                                   60%

                                                   40%

                                                   20%

                                                    0%

                                                   -20%

                                                   -40%

                                                   -60%
                                                          Verbier

                                                                    Andermatt

                                                                                Zermatt

                                                                                          St Moritz

                                                                                                      Grindelwald

                                                                                                                    Gstaad

                                                                                                                             Champéry

                                                                                                                                        Klosters

                                                                                                                                                   Davos

                                                                                                                                                           Flims

                                                                                                                                                                   Nendaz

                                                                                                                                                                            Villars

                                                                                                                                                                                      Grimentz

                                                                                                                                                                                                 Wengen

                                                                                                                                                                                                            Crans
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Montana

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Saas-Fee

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Courchevel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1850

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Val-d’Isère

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Méribel

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Courchevel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        (other)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Megève

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Morzine

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Flaine

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  La Plagne

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Chamonix

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Kitzbühel

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Saalbach

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Zell am See

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Obertauern

Source: Savills World Research

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Spotlight | Alpine Property Market                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2014/15

        the alps: resort market snapshops                                                                    Average asking price per square                  On the up Flims
                                                                                                             metre, resale apartments
                                                                                                               €12,000 +                                      Prime price range: €8,000 to
                                                                                                               €8,000 to €12,000                              €12,000psm
                                                                                                               €4,000 to €8,000                               Pistes: 235km
                                                                                                                                                              6 day lift pass: €345
                                                                                                               Less than €4,000
                                                                                                                                                              Popular with: Freestylers

                                                                                                                                                              The three villages Flims, Laax                                                            Kitzbühel
                                                                                                                                                              and Falera together constitute the
                                                                                                                                                              largest ski area in Graubünden.                                                           Prime price range: €8,000 to
                                                                                                                                                              Attracting young freestylers with                                                         €12,000psm
         Courchevel                                          On the up St Gervais                                                                             its four funparks, Europe’s biggest                                                       Typical ultra-prime price:
                                                                                                                                      GERMANY                                                                                                           €15,900psm
                                                                                                                                                              halfpipe and the first freestyle
         Prime price range: €12,000psm+                      Prime price range: < €4,000psm                                                                   indoor hall, the resort was until                                                         Pistes: 170km
         Typical ultra-prime price:                          Pistes: 445km                                                                                    recently only known to the Swiss. In                                                      6 day lift pass: €241
         €34,200psm                                          6 day lift pass: €209                                                                            summer, the area boasts 330km of                                                          Popular with: Prince of Monaco
         Pistes: 150km                                       Popular with: Those seeking                                                                      mountain biking routes.
         6 day lift pass: €240                               privacy                                                                                                                                   Kitzbühel                                        Difficult pistes, but low altitude and
         Popular with: Russian oligarchs                                                                                                                                                                                         Saalbach               a sunny aspect mean snow can
                                                             With access to Evasion Mont Blanc,                                                                                                                                                         be unreliable – although increased
         Courchevel offers access to                         St Gervais offers quality powder
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Zell am See                                 snowmaking has offset this in
                                                                                                                                                                 Lech / St Anton           Austria
         Les Trois Vallées, one of the                       snow across 445km of slopes. Also                                                                                                                                                          recent years. Kitzbühel is the most
         largest ski areas in the world,                     enjoying a strong summer season,            SWITZERLAND                               Davos /                                                                                 Obertauern   ‘affordable’ of the Alpine ultra-prime
                                                                                                                                                                  Ischgl                                           Bad Gastein
         in addition to its own 150km of                     it attracts visitors to its thermal                                                                                                                                                        resorts for property. Attracting
                                                                                                                                                   Klosters
         pistes. It is one of the world’s                    spa, along with mountain biking,                                                                                                                                                           advanced skiers, demand for
         most exclusive resorts, host to                     climbing and hiking activities. An                                                                                                                                                         property is of the type that appeals
         six Michelin starred restaurants.                   affordable alternative to better                            Flims                                                                                                                          to couples or groups.
         Ultra-prime property here is the                    known Megève.                                   Grindelwald
         highest-priced in the Alps, and
         popular with UHNWI from around                                                                 Wengen       Andermatt
         the globe.                                                   Gstaad                                                 St Moritz
                                                                      Villars
                                                             Champéry             Nendaz           Crans-Montana
                                                      Morzine                                      Grimentz
                                                                                                         Saas-Fee
                                                    Flaine                    Verbier                                                        ITALY
                                                                                                   Zermatt
                                                    St Gervais             Chamonix
                                                   Megève                                                    Verbier                                          St MorItz
         Méribel
         Prime price range: €8,000 to            La Plagne                                                   Prime price range: €12,000psm+                   Prime price range: €12,000psm+
         €12,000psm                                                             Val d’Isère                  Typical ultra-prime price:                       Typical ultra-prime price:                    Saas-Fee
         Typical ultra-prime price:               Courchevel                                                 €22,400psm                                       €28,600psm                                                                                On the up Ischgl
         €19,000psm                                                                                          Pistes: 202km                                    Pistes: 350km                                 Prime price range: €4,000 to
         Pistes: 150km                             Méribel                                                   6 day lift pass: €294                            6 day lift pass: €302                         €8,000psm                                   Prime price range:
Spotlight | Alpine Property Market                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2014/15

                 Transaction                              which is characterised by low
                                                          transfer taxes and notaires fees (just
                                                                                                    stimulate the development market.
                                                                                                    When selling a property in France,
                                                                                                                                             FIGURE 8
                                                                                                                                             Cost of buying, occupying and selling property in the Alps: €2.5m property, individual,
                 and holding                              1.5% and 1.2% of property value           every non-resident has to pay            EU purchaser for second home, 5 year hold
                 costs                                    respectively in our scenario in Figure
                                                          8). Occupation costs stand at 1%
                                                                                                    ‘social charges’ of 15.5% on top
                                                                                                    of the capital gain tax which differ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           n Cost of buying    n Cost of occupying n Cost of selling

                                                                                                                                                                            25%
                                                          of the rateable value, while some         depending on the seller’s nationality.
                 It is difficult to compare the true      capital gains taxes are payable on
                 value or costs of the purchase           sales profit. Costs may be low in         In Austria, purchase costs are high
                 internationally because local taxes,     Switzerland, but entry to the market      (totalling 13% of property value,
                 agents fees and other charges can        is restrictive. Switzerland issues just   including notaires fees), but offset                                    20%
                 alter holding costs dramatically. We     1,500 permits per year for foreign        by lower agency fees (around 3%).
                 have therefore compared the three        buyers to buy property, of which 330      Capital gains taxes of 25% on sales
                 major Alpine markets on a like-for-      are allocated to Valais, and 290 in       profit apply. n

                                                                                                                                             % of property purchase price
                 like basis in order to illustrate what   Graubünden, two cantons hosting
                                                                                                                                                                            15%
                 the total costs of ownership and         the bulk of Alpine resorts.
                 disposal might be over a period of
                 five years.                              In France, there is a big difference in
                                                          acquisition costs of a new and old
                 In all these markets, agency             property. Transfer taxes, coupled with         Capital gains taxes                                                10%
                 fees are paid by the vendor; these       notaires fees (totalling 7% of property
                 range from around 3% in Austria,         value) add significantly to purchase
                                                                                                       are payable in all three
                 to 6% in France. The buyer may also      costs for second hand homes. New                    markets
                 make a contribution in Austria.          properties in France attract far lower
                                                                                                                                                                            5%
                                                          associated purchase costs (notaires
                 Total costs are lowest in Switzerland,   fees of around 3%), in a bid to

                 “In Austria, purchase costs are high,                                                New properties in France                                              0%
                                                                                                                                                                                  Switzerland   Austria   France (new property)                    France (resale property)

                 but are offset by lower agency fees”                                               attract lower purchase costs
                                                                                                                                             Source: Savills World Research

12                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            savills.co.uk/research           13
Spotlight | Alpine Property Market                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Date

Outlook                                     property. The large, family friendly                         At a national level, we anticipate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                About Alpine Homes
                                            resort stands out as an area that
                                            may offer price growth potential.
                                                                                                         further outperformance of Austrian
                                                                                                         resorts, as a growing number of EU
                                                                                                                                                                                          International Residential
Fashion is of overriding importance         Andermatt stands out as another                              and international buyers seek value                                              Based in Margaret Street in London’s West End, the International Residential                                          Alpine Homes International is a leading Ski Property
when it comes to the success of             resort offering high quality ski                             property with fewer buying restrictions                                          Department provides an extensive range of property services for international                                         Agency, based in Switzerland. Founded in 2005, Alpine
European ski resorts. We have               conditions, albeit at a higher price                         and associated costs.                                                            property owners and developers:                                                                                       Homes specialises in the sale of off plan and resale
already identified the ‘up and              point. This comparatively small resort                                                                                                                                                                                                                              property in Switzerland, France, Austria and Italy. We
coming’ rising stars of the Alps            may offer expansion opportunities.                           The ultra prime Swiss and French                                                 Consultancy: Market research, concept development, urban and resort master                                            offer a broad range of property services to developers
(Flims, Ischgl and St Gervais) in the                                                                    resorts, defined as much by their non                                            planning, financial investment and structuring, programme management                                                  and property owners alike, including development
previous section. Rising popularity in      The ‘super prime’ resorts, clustered                         ski offer as the quality of their pistes,                                        coordination, branding, sales and marketing services.                                                                 consultancy, valuation, brokerage and rental introductions.
‘freestyle’ skiing and growing appeal       together offering above average                              will continue to appeal to the global                                                                                                                                                                  Our qualified, multilingual staff are passionate about ski
to an international market is driving       conditions, offer fully-priced real                          elite, but remain sensitive to national                                          Agency: Development sales and market services for international developments                                          property and The Alps and we strive to offer the highest
the success of resorts.                     estate. The opportunity here is in                           policy conditions. Swiss resorts, with                                           and resorts. This includes both on-site and off-site sales operations and global                                      standards of client care.
                                            new product offering something over                          long seasons and reliable snowfall,                                              sales road-shows. Our Alpine Homes Division is a leading specialist in the sale of
An analysis of prices against quality       and above the rest of the market,                            coupled with growing numbers of                                                  ski property in the Alps.                                                                                             Alpine Homes is proud to be an International associate of
of conditions provides another clue         particularly in smaller, low supply                          purchasers from outside of Europe,                                                                                                                                                                     Savills plc.
to future outperformers in the Alpine       resorts such as Gstaad.                                      may have the edge. In the near term,                                             Network: Individual and multi-unit property sales services through an
property market. Figure 9 below looks                                                                    French Alpine property offers a buying                                           international network of Savills and associate offices around the world. We also
at the development and price uplift         Ski conditions are only part of the                          opportunity given price discounts                                                offer a bespoke off-market property sales service.
potential of our thirty resorts based       story. Some resorts support strong                           relative to other Alpine markets. n
on their capacity to attract a bigger       summer seasons so may not be                                                                                                                  Research: Knowledge of both local and international market dynamics, through
market. Each is measured by quality         entirely reliant on skiers to occupy                                                                                                          Savills’ global presence and research capabilities. Includes regular reporting                                      www.alpinehomesintl.com
of season (length and snowfall),
property prices and resort size.
                                            accommodation. The number of
                                            summer climbers, Mont Blanc                                  “Rising popularity in ‘freestyle’                                                on local market conditions and research reports tailored to clients’ specific
                                                                                                                                                                                          requirements.                                                                                                       Espace des Remparts 10                Rue de la Poste 20

Saas-Fee stands out as offering a
                                            tourists, hikers and glacier skiers
                                            explain the year-long appeal of
                                                                                                         skiing and growing appeal                                                                                                                                                                            1950 Sion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Switzerland
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1936 Verbier
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Switzerland
quality season (long in length, with        Chamonix, with a high number of                              to an international market is                                                                                                                                                                        +41 (0)27 323 7777                    enquiries@alpinehomesintl.com
good snowfall) but at comparatively
low prices for prime residential
                                            bedspaces per kilometre of piste,
                                            for example.
                                                                                                         driving the success of resorts”
                                              FIGURE 9
                                              Ski resort potential matrix

                                                               Fully priced,                                                                                              Fully priced,
                                            Higher

                                                                                                                            Verbier
                                                               average conditions                                                                        high quality conditions resort
                                                                                                                                                  Gstaad
                                                                                                                                                                Expansion potential

                                                                                                         St Moritz                        Zermatt
                                                                                                    Courchevel
                                                                                                                                                                                          Savills team
                                                                                                                                                                   Andermatt
                                                                                                                                                                                          World Research						                                                                                                      Savills Alpine Homes
                                         Average prime price

                                                                                                        Champéry              Klosters

                                                                                                                       Meribel                     Crans Montana
                                                                            Kitzbhühel        Villars                Lech
                                                                                                                             Nendaz
                                                                                                          Megève                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Charlotte Heath
                                                                                                                                                                                          Yolande Barnes                        Paul Tostevin                          Cynthia Pierre                              Jeremy Rollason
                                                                                                        Wengen
                                                                                                                                                                          Saas-Fee        World Research                        World Research                         World Research                              Savills Alpine Homes                    Residential International
                                                                                                                                      Flaine
                                                                                          Zell am See
                                                                                                                                                                                          +44 (0) 20 7409 8899                  +44 (0) 20 7016 3883                   +44 (0) 20 7299 3043                        +44 (0) 20 7016 3753                    +44 (0) 207 016 3744
                                                                                                                                                                                          ybarnes@savills.com                   ptostevin@savills.com                  cpierre@savills.com                         jrollason@savills.com                   cheath@savills.com
                                                                                          Bad Gastein      Morzine
                                                                                                                                      La Plagne

                                                                                                                                                                       Lower priced,
                                         Lower

                                                               Lower priced,                                                                            high quality conditions resort    Savills plc
                                                               average conditions                                                                            Price growth potential       Savills is a leading global real estate service provider listed on the London Stock Exchange. The company established in 1855, has a rich heritage with unrivalled growth.
                                                                                                                                                                                          It is a company that leads rather than follows, and now has over 600 offices and associates throughout the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East.

                                                               Lower                           Season quality (length of season, snowfall)                                       Higher   This report is for general informative purposes only. It may not be published, reproduced or quoted in part or in whole, nor may it be used as a basis for any contract, prospectus, agreement or
                                                                                                                                                                                          other document without prior consent. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, Savills accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from its use.
                                                                                                                                                                                          The content is strictly copyright and reproduction of the whole or part of it in any form is prohibited without written permission from Savills Research.

                                            Source: Savills World Research, resort operators, Igluski

14                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              savills.co.uk/research                 015
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