Marine/Offshore Industry Outlook Conference - Terry Bonno, SVP Industry and Community Relations March 22, 2018 - Marine Technology ...
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Marine/Offshore Industry Outlook Conference Terry Bonno, SVP Industry and Community Relations March 22, 2018
LEGAL DISCLAIMER The statements described in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements contain words such as "possible," "intend," "will," "if," "expect," or other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions, and are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. As a result, actual results could differ materially from those indicated in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to, estimated duration of customer contracts, contract dayrate amounts, future contract commencement dates and locations, planned shipyard projects and other out-of-service time, sales of drilling units, timing of the company’s newbuild deliveries, operating hazards and delays, risks associated with international operations, actions by customers and other third parties, the future prices of oil and gas, the intention to scrap certain drilling rigs, the expected timing of the completion of the acquisition of Songa Offshore SE (the “Transaction”); regulatory or other limitations imposed as a result of the Transaction; the success of the business following completion of the Transaction; the ability to successfully integrate the Transocean and Songa businesses; the risk that the completion of the Transaction could have adverse effects on the ability of Transocean or Songa to retain customers, retain or hire key personnel, maintain relationships with their respective suppliers and customers, and on their operating results and businesses generally; the risk that Transocean may be unable to achieve expected synergies from the Transaction or that it may take longer or be more costly than expected to achieve those synergies; and other factors, including those and other risks discussed in the company's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017, and in the company's other filings with the SEC, which are available free of charge on the SEC's website at: www.sec.gov, and in Songa’s annual and quarterly financial reports made publicly available. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those indicated. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the company or to persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these risks and uncertainties. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of the particular statement, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that occur, or which we become aware of, after the date hereof, except as otherwise may be required by law. All non-GAAP financial measure reconciliations to the most comparative GAAP measure are displayed in quantitative schedules on the company’s website at: www.deepwater.com. This presentation is being issued pursuant to and in accordance with Rule 135 under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities, and it does not constitute an offering prospectus within the meaning of article 652a or article 1156 of the Swiss Code of Obligations. Investors must rely on their own evaluation of Transocean Ltd. and its securities, including the merits and risks involved. Nothing contained herein is, or shall be relied on as, a promise or representation as to the future performance of Transocean Ltd. 2
OUR LEADERSHIP POSITION 49 Floaters – 84% UDW & HE $12.8 Billion in Backlog $5.8 Billion in Liquidity Unmatched UDW & HE Experience 3
COST EFFECTIVE STRATEGIC UPGRADE UDW Floater Ranking Pre-Upgrade Post Upgrade MPD-Ready 75 50 DP Class 3 ~$12M CapEx Dual Annular BOPs Acoustic Backup Controls DISCOVERER INDIA ENHANCED ENTERPRISE CLASS DRILL SHIP 5
ACQUISITION OF SONGA OFFSHORE $3.7B in Contract Backlog into 2024 Four New Contracted Fit-for-NCS Purpose At least $40M in Harsh Environment Annual Synergies; Semisubmersibles Designed by Improved Revenue Efficiency Statoil Opportunities Accretive on an EBITDA, Perfectly Aligned with Operating Cash Flow, and Asset Strategy Net Debt / EBITDA Basis 6
FLEET TRANSFORMATION TO UDW AND HE FLOATERS January 2014* Current Fleet* UDW & HE Floaters 16 8 DW & MW HS Jackups 34 45% 84% 41 UDW & HE UDW & HE 41 * Includes rigs under construction 7
MOST CAPABLE FLOATER FLEET 50 49 12 Harsh Environment Floaters 40 Ultra-Deepwater Floaters Ultra-Deepwater Under Construction 30 # of Floaters 27 26 Deepwater & Midwater Floaters 27 8 20 17 19 14 14 2 11 10 2 19 8 7 13 9 6 2 4 8 7 7 5 5 6 4 1 3 1 1 0 RIG SDRL* ESV DO NE ORIG Maersk PACDQ ODL RDC Source: Company filings * Seadrill Group 8
TRANSOCEAN’S INDUSTRY-LEADING BACKLOG $12.8 Billion Contract Backlog* Over 90% with Investment Grade Companies 2.5 $2.3 $2.3 $2.1 Harsh Environment 2.0 0.8 $1.8 Ultra-deepwater** $1.7 0.8 $1.5 1.5 USD billions 0.8 0.8 $1.1 0.7 2.3 1.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.0 Remaining 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024-28 2018 * Contracted operating dayrate multiplied by the contract duration for future periods as of 2/19/18 Fleet Status Report ** Ultra-deepwater includes
BACKLOG >3x NEAREST COMPETITOR RIG SDRL* NE ESV DO ODL ORIG RDC PACDQ $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 USD billions Sources: Company filings * Seadrill Group, estimated 10
BACKLOG CONVERTED TO CASH REVENUE EFFICIENCY REVENUE & EBITDA Three-year Average - 97% Adjusted Normalized 100% 7,200 50% 6,600 98% 6,000 96% 5,400 40% 94% 4,800 USD millions 92% 4,200 90% 3,600 30% 88% 3,000 2,400 86% 1,800 20% 84% 1,200 82% 600 80% 0 10% 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 Total Fleet Ultra-Deepwater Adj Normalized Revenue Adj Normalized EBITDA Adj Normalized EBITDA Margin 11
PROGRESS IN DE-LEVERING – NET DEBT 7.5 7.1 7.0 6.5 5.9 USD billions 6.0 5.5 5.2 5.0 4.3 4.5 4.0 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12
STRONG LIQUIDITY Major Accomplishments 6.0 Potential Future Revolving Credit • Acquired Facility and 5.0 Secured Financing Capacity • Songa Offshore • Transocean Partners 4.0 ~$0.7B-$0.9B • Sold jackup fleet ~$0.4B USD Billions ~$0.9B ~$2.8B* • Added ~$320M in cash 3.0 • Removed ~$1B in shipyard obligations 2.0 ~$2.2B - $2.4B • Raised ~$3.6B through five separate debt transactions since July 2016 1.0 • Opportunistically repurchased • ~$2.6B in debt via tender offers 0.0 and early redemptions since July 2016 Cash at Operations CapEx through Debt Due Projected Pro • ~$1.0B open market repurchases 12/31/2017, Cash Flow 2019 through 2019 Forma Pro Forma* through 2019 Liquidity @ since July 2015 12/31/19 • Deferred ~$1B in shipyard obligations into 2020 * Pro forma post-Songa closing 13
UNMATCHED EXPERIENCE – SUPERIOR PERFORMANCE Rig Years Ultra-deepwater Rig Years Harsh Environment 350 700 300 600 250 500 200 400 150 300 100 200 50 100 0 0 Source data © 2018 IHS. All rights reserved. No IHS data/deliverables may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without IHS’ prior written consent. 14
PREDICTABLE & RELIABLE DRILLING 98% Improvements in Uptime 97% 96% 95% 94% 93% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 15
PERFORMANCE THROUGH DATA 16
REDUCED UDW TRIPPING TIME Ave Rate Benchmark Rate Trendline ~47% Improvement in UDW Performance Dashboard Phase I Launched Tripping Out Rate Ft/Hr Tableau Reports Time Dedicated Ops Efficiency Calls Q1 ‘16 Q2 ‘16 Q3 ‘16 Q4 ‘16 Q1 ‘17 Q2 ‘17 Q3 ‘17 Q4 ‘17 17
OFFSHORE EXPLORATION MUST INCREASE *Liquids only. Replacement ratio calculated as trailing 3yr average offshore barrels sanctioned divided by annual offshore production Source: Rystad Energy, Clarksons Platou Securities, January 2018 18
IMPACT OF REDUCED BREAKEVEN LEVELS New offshore project commitments rose 65% in 2017 and are forecasted to rise ~140% in 2018, and 95% of discovered but undeveloped offshore resources breakeven below $70/bbl. Source: Rystad Energy, Clarksons Platou Securities, January 2018 19
INCREASED FLOATER CONTRACTING Historical Offshore Rig Contracts Awarded 35 IOCs Nationals Independents 30 25 20 15 10 5 200 0 0 Q… Q… Q… Super Major National Independent Source data © 2018 IHS. All rights reserved. No IHS data/deliverables may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without IHS’ prior written consent. January 2018 20
FLOATER OPPORTUNITIES – NEXT 18 MONTHS U.K. / Norwegian North Sea – Two Most Active Markets Today 6 17 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 3 years 1 31 rig years to be awarded 2 # Number of programs Source data © 2018 IHS. All rights reserved. No IHS data/deliverables may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without IHS’ prior written consent. January 2018; and Transocean 21
HARSH ENVIRONMENT ACTIVITY ACCELERATING 60 90 Hi-Spec HE Pricing Trajectory (incl. bonus) HE New Fixtures 2010-2017 80 50 Fixtures 70 40 Rig Years Awarded 60 # of Floater Fixtures Rig Years Fixed 50 30 40 20 30 20 10 10 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source data © 2018 IHS. All rights reserved. No IHS data/deliverables may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without IHS’ prior written consent. 22
OUR LEADERSHIP POSITION 49 Floaters – 84% UDW & HE $12.8 Billion in Backlog $5.8 Billion in Liquidity Unmatched UDW & HE Experience 23
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