MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector

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MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference
Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector

October 2022
                                              Confidential             1
MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
About Plante Moran
                                                                                                   Comprehensive Services
                                                                                 •   Strategic Planning, Market/Product Analysis & Planning
                                                                                 •   Product Costing, Quoting, and Pricing Consulting
                                                                                 •   Supplier – Customer Relationship Analytics
                   98                       2,500+                               •   Supply Chain and Operations Consulting
             Years serving             Manufacturing &
                clients               distribution clients                       •   Audit and Accounting
                                                                  Mobility
           (founded in 1924)                                                     •   Tax Compliance and Consulting (Credits and Structuring
                                                                Intelligence
                                                                                 •   ERP Selection, Implementation, and ‘Rescue’
                                                                   Center
                                                                Research on      •   Business Analytics
                                                                   Critical      •   Cyber Security
                                                                 Automotive
                   23                      39,000              Technologies to
                                                                                 •   Due Diligence Services
              Years on             Professionals worldwide        Suppliers      •   Investment Banking (PM Corporate Finance)
           FORTUNE’s Best                   3,500+                               •   Real Estate – site selection, leases, credits
            Workplace list                  In U.S.
Deep Plastics Industry Expertise                                                      Plastics Benchmarking Studies
• Manufacturing professionals averaging 20+ years experience                                    • Plante Moran’s annual benchmarking study -
• Thought leaders in the plastics industry                                                        since 1995
• Deep industry involvement with plastics processors                                            • Survey collects ~150 data points per
    • Manufacturers Association for Plastics Processors                                           participant – Financial, Operational, Strategic,
    • Plastic Industry Association
                                                                                                  HR, Sales
    • National Tooling and Machining Association
                                                                                                • Participants receive 70+ pg customized report

                                                                  Confidential                                                                2
MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
2022 Automotive Transition to Electric
What Are Plastic Processors Asking?

1) Electric Vehicle Growth in North America                3) Developing business with Start-ups
                                                               • How to select the right targets?
   • How much will OEMs invest in internal
     combustion engines (ICE) programs going                   • Strategies to manage risk?
     forward?
   • Where is the true inflection point in EV
     growth in North America

2) What plastic applications for future vehicles           4) How to improve your quoting process
   • Which components are staying?                             • Keys to understanding where you make
   • Which components are going away?                            money and where you don’t
   • Which components will change?                             • Strategies to assure quotes are developed to
                                                                 win profitable business
   • What new component applications are
     created by electric vehicles?                             • How to streamline the process to ensure
                                                                 responsiveness “without dropping everything”

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MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
Mobility Intelligence Center overview
Plante Moran and AFS

                                              Plante Moran’s Mobility
                                              Intelligence Center™
                                              incorporates our
                                              proprietary data analytics
                                              research, including our
                                              supplier research
                                              databases, industry
                                              benchmarking, and our
                                              network of external
                                              industry relationships.

                                                   Visit the Mobility
                                                 Intelligence Center

                               Confidential                                4
MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
Vehicle Projections from 2021-2035
Market Transition from ICE to EV
Global EV volumes projected to grow at 22% CAGR through 2035, led by rapid growth of EVs in China and Europe.
North America lags China and Europe for EV adoption. North American EV production is projected to be 90% of
vehicles in 2050
                                                                             Global                                                                                                                                        North America
                                                                                                                                                                             25.0
                                  120.0

                                  100.0                                                                                                                                      20.0
                                                 6.4    8.3 10.8 14.0 18.0 22.6 27.9                                                                                                             1.2    1.5
              Millions of Units

                                                 3.6                                 33.7 40.3 46.2 52.6                                                                                         0.3    0.5    2.0   2.6    3.2
                                   80.0    4.8
                                           2.6   5.0    4.6 5.5 6.6                                              59.3 66.4 73.7                                              15.0         0.8    1.1    1.3    0.8                3.9    4.7   5.5   6.3    7.3    8.3
                                           4.0          5.9 6.6        7.8 8.9                                                                                                            0.2
                                                                                                                                                                                          0.8                  1.4   1.0                                                  9.4 10.5 11.7
                                                                  7.3 7.8                                                                                                                                            1.6    1.3   1.6
                                   60.0                                     8.2 10.1 11.3                                                                                                                                   1.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1.7    2.0   2.3

                                                                                                                                                        Millions of Units
                                                                                 8.6      12.5 12.1                                                                          10.0                                                        1.7         2.6    2.5
                                                                                      8.8                                                                                                                                                      1.8                 2.4    2.3
                                   40.0                                                    9.1 8.8 11.8          11.3 10.9                                                               13.3 14.5 13.8 12.9 11.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1.8    1.8    1.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2.2     2.1
                                          71.6 74.6    72.5 69.5 65.8                                8.5                                                                                                                                                                  1.8    1.8
                                                                      61.5 56.4                                   8.2 7.8 10.6                                                   5.0                              10.9 9.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1.9
                                                                                50.9 45.1                                   7.5                                                                                                                8.0   7.1    6.5
                                   20.0                                                   38.9 35.5 32.3                                                                                                                                                           6.0    5.5    5.0     4.5
                                                                                                                 28.9 25.5 21.8
                                                                                                                                                                                  -
                                     -                                                                                                                                                  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
                                          2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ICE    HEV         PHEV    BEV
                                                               ICE     HEV       PHEV    BEV

                                                                     Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   China
           25.0
                                                                                                                                                                      40.0

           20.0                                                                                                                                                       35.0
                                          1.9    2.5    3.3
                                    1.3   1.6                 4.3    5.4                                                                                              30.0
                                    1.3          1.7                       6.7    8.1
                                    1.0   1.2           1.8                             9.6   11.3 12.6 14.0 15.3

                                                                                                                                          Millions of Units
           15.0                                  1.3          1.9                                                 16.5 17.6                                           25.0                      2.7    3.5    4.5    5.8   7.5    9.4    11.6 13.9 16.4 18.7 21.1 23.5 26.0 28.5
                                                        1.4          2.0                                                                                                                2.2
                                                              1.5          2.1                                                                                                          0.9
                                                                                                                                                                                        0.6     1.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                0.8    1.7    2.1    2.6
                                                                     1.5                                                                                              20.0                             0.9    1.1          3.0
                                                                                  2.2                                                                                                                                1.2          3.3
  Millions of Units

                                                                           1.5                                                                                                                                             1.4           3.6
           10.0                                                                   1.6   2.3                                                                                                                                       1.5
                                                                                               2.4                                                                    15.0                                                     3.8       1.7
                                    15.0 15.5 14.6 13.7                                 1.6          2.2                                                                                                                       1.9                    4.0    3.7
                                                        12.6 11.5                              1.6         2.0     1.8                                                10.0             21.2 21.0 20.6 19.9 18.7                                       2.1           3.4    3.1
                                                                                                     1.4   1.3           1.6                                                                                    17.3 15.5                                    2.1    2.0            2.8
                  5.0                                             10.2            8.8                              1.1            1.4                                                                                     13.6 11.4                                        2.0     1.9     2.5
                                                                                        7.4                              1.0      0.9                                       5.0                                                                                                            1.8
                                                                                               5.9   5.3   4.7                                                                                                                                        9.3    8.2    7.3    6.5
                                                                                                                   4.2   3.7      3.2                                                                                                                                              5.8     5.1
                        -                                                                                                                                                    -
                                   2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035                                                                          2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
                                                         ICE   HEV    PHEV   BEV
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ICE    HEV         PHEV    BEV

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MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
Vehicle Projections from 2021-2035
North America
U.S. adoption of EVs has accelerated substantially in the last 18 to 24 months as GM, Ford and other OEMs have
pulled forward production plans to hasten the availability of electrified offerings

                                                                           North America
                                                               ICE          HEV          PHEV             BEV
                     25.0

                     20.0

                                    1.2    1.5
                                    0.3           2.0    2.6
                     15.0           1.1    0.5                       3.2      3.9
                             0.8                  0.8                                     4.7       5.5          6.3    7.3
                             0.2           1.3                                                                                 8.3    9.4   10.5   11.7
                             0.8                  1.4    1.0
                                                                     1.3
 Millions of Units

                                                         1.6                  1.6
                                                                     1.6                  2.0
                                                                              1.7                   2.3
                     10.0                                                                                        2.6
                                                                                          1.7                           2.5
                                                                                                    1.8                        2.4
                                                                                                                 1.8                  2.3
                                                                                                                                             2.2
                                   14.5                                                                                 1.8                         2.1
                            13.3          13.8                                                                                 1.8
                                                 12.9                                                                                 1.8
                                                        11.9                                                                                 1.8
                      5.0                                        10.9                                                                               1.9
                                                                              9.9
                                                                                          8.9
                                                                                                    8.0
                                                                                                                 7.1    6.5    6.0    5.5    5.0    4.5

                       -
                            2021   2022   2023   2024   2025     2026        2027        2028      2029         2030   2031   2032   2033   2034   2035

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MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
New Automotive OEMs
                    Stimulating Change
                    29 OEMs are either operational or planning for production North America by 2029, 13 of the OEMs are New EV Startups

                                                                                           2022%    2029%
               #                   OEM          2022 Units    2029 Units   % Growth        Share    Share
               1    General Motors               2,623,732     2,999,838     2.3%           18.2%    17.5%
               2    Ford Motor                   2,260,580     2,415,089     1.1%           15.6%    14.1%   •    Detroit 3 OEMs (Ford, GM, Stellantis) comprises
               3
               4
                    Stellantis
                    Toyota Motor
                                                 1,967,809
                                                 1,923,412
                                                               2,191,782
                                                               2,016,927
                                                                             1.8%
                                                                             0.8%
                                                                                            13.6%
                                                                                            13.3%
                                                                                                     12.8%
                                                                                                     11.8%
                                                                                                                  44.4% of 2029 N.A. production volumes
                5   Honda Motor                  1,216,958     1,615,701      4.8%           8.4%     9.4%
                6   Hyundai Motor                 916,851      1,173,824      4.2%           6.3%     6.8%   •    The Major 3 Japanese OEMs (Toyota, Honda, and
                7   Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi    1,005,314     1,009,651      0.1%           7.0%     5.9%
                8   Tesla                         490,769       870,087      10.0%           3.4%     5.1%        Nissan) account to 27.1% of 2029 N.A. volumes
                9   Volkswagen                    593,500       787,395       4.8%           4.1%     4.6%
               10   BMW                           499,557       547,419       1.5%           3.5%     3.2%   •    German OEMs (BMW, Daimler, and VW) account
               11   Mercedes-Benz Group           398,270       332,052      -3.0%           2.8%     1.9%
               12   Subaru                        276,004       314,423       2.2%           1.9%     1.8%        for 9.7% of 2028 N.A. volumes
               13   Rivian Automotive              21,073       243,092      50.3%           0.1%     1.4%
               14
               15
                    Mazda Motor
                    Geely Group
                                                  200,523
                                                   30,496
                                                                225,472
                                                                121,981
                                                                              2.0%
                                                                             26.0%
                                                                                             1.4%
                                                                                             0.2%
                                                                                                      1.3%
                                                                                                      0.7%
                                                                                                             •    Other Asian based OEMs (Hyundai, Subaru, Mazda,
               16   Fisker                            0          62,615        N/A           0.0%     0.4%        Geely, Jianghuai,) will account for 12.2% of 2029
               17
               18
                    Lucid Motors
                    VinFast
                                                    4,591
                                                      0
                                                                 47,817
                                                                 44,708
                                                                             47.8%
                                                                               N/A
                                                                                             0.0%
                                                                                             0.0%
                                                                                                      0.3%
                                                                                                      0.3%
                                                                                                                  N.A. production volumes
               19   Canoo                            88          28,778     162.5%           0.0%     0.2%
               20   Via Motors                        0          24,527        N/A           0.0%     0.1%   •    Tesla accounts for 5.1% of 2029 2029 N.A. volumes
               21   Lordstown                        499         15,743      77.8%           0.0%     0.1%
               22   Oshkosh                           0          13,842        N/A           0.0%     0.1%
               23   Arrival                          797         12,454      58.1%           0.0%     0.1%   •    New EV Start Ups will account for 1.6%
               24   Faraday Future                 1,327         11,451     43.2%            0.0%     0.1%       • (Rivian, Bollinger, Lucid, Lordstown, Canoo,
               25   Bollinger                         0           9,140        N/A           0.0%     0.1%
               26   Jianghuai                      8,516          8,185      -0.7%           0.1%     0.0%         Fisker, Oshkosh, Faraday Future, Arrival,
               27   Jianghuai-VW                   2,984          3,447      2.4%            0.0%     0.0%         Amazon/Zoox, Karma, Vinfast, Via,)
               28   Amazon                           310          1,503      30.1%           0.0%     0.0%
               29   Karma Automotive               1,040          1,057      0.3%            0.0%     0.0%
                    Total N.A. Production       14,445,000    17,150,000     2.5%          100.0%   100.0%
                                                EV Startups
Updated: August 2022

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MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
2022-2029 Vehicle Program Launches
                  by Powertrain Variants
                  Total of 280 upcoming program launches with an increasing focus on BEV dedicated platforms and HEV Variants. From
                  2022-2029, 207 programs launched will offer an electrified variant (74% of all launches)

                 Powertrain Variants of
                  Vehicle Programs        2018      2019      2020       2021     2022       2023     2024     2025      2026    2027      2028      2029    2022-2029
                            BEV            0         0         2          11       13         16       19       22        18      11        10        11        120

                            HEV             1         0        2           1        1            1      2           0     1        5         3         4         17

                             ICE            20       24        20         11        6            11     12          11   15        9         5         4         73

                       Electric Variant     10        7        5           7        9            7      11          7    13       11         8         4         70

               Total Program Launches       31       31       29          30        29           35     44      40       47       36        26        23         280

              Battery Electric Vehicle Launches                      Hybrid Electric Vehicle Launches                    ICE Vehicle Launches
              • A total of 132 Programs Launched in the ‘22          • A total of 83 Programs Launched in the ‘22        • A total of 138 programs launched in the ‘22
                to ’29 timeframe will have a BEV variant               to ’29 timeframe will have HEV variant (30%         to ’29 timeframe will an have ICE variant
                (47% of all launches)                                  of all launches)                                    (49% of all launches)
              • 120 of those programs will be on BEV only            • 66 HEV programs will be on shared                 • 65 of ICE programs will be on shared
                dedicated platforms (91% of all BEV                    platforms with ICE or BEV variants (80% of          platforms with HEV or BEV variants (47% of
                launches)                                              all HEV launches)                                   all ICE launches)

Updated: August 2022

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MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
EV Launches Thru 2029 Planned in North America
                               147+ and growing

                             Car
                             22
                                      GM: Celestiq (2023)                 Tesla: Roadster (2023)        Stellantis: Charger (2024)       Tesla: Model 3 (2024)       Honda: Acura TLX (2026)                Volvo: S60 (2027)
   # of Launches 2022-2029

                             CUV
                             74
                                     Rivian Automotive: R1S (2022)           GM: Lyriq (2022)          Volkswagen: ID.4 (2022)       Geely/Volvo: XC90 (2023)        Lucid : Gravity (2024)            Ford: Explorer (2024)

                             SUV
                             10
                                     GM: Hummer SUV (2023)               GM: Escalade IQ (2024)           GM: Tahoe EV (2026)            Ford: Expedition (2026)          Ford: Navigator (2026)        Stellantis: Wrangler (2027)

                             PUP
                             20
                                    Lordstown: Endurance (2022)      Ford: F-150 Lightning (2022)                                          Ram: 1500 (2023)                                             Honda: Ridgeline (2028)
                                                                                                         Tesla: Cybertruck (2023)                                      GM: Silverado EV (2023)

                             Van
 Cum.                        21
  147                              GM: EV600 (2022)                   Arrival: EV Van (2022)        Oshkosh: NGDV (2023)                Ford Motor: Transit (2026)          Honda: Odyssey (2026)   Amazon/Zoox: Autonomous Van (2027)

Updated: Aug 2022

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MAPP 2022 Benchmarking Conference - Winning Strategies for Processors To Thrive in the Automotive Sector
Case Study - OEM Electrification
General Motors and the Ultium Platform
GM’s Ultium platform is a large-scale skateboard architecture used for GM’s electric vehicles. All OEMs are developing
vehicle architectures to utilize the same battery and drivetrain components over multiple vehicle “top hats”.
Standardization is critical to reduce complexity and drive down costs

• Battery manufacturers and OEMs to utilize common
  components for different battery packs
     • Higher volumes to drive down costs – minimize
       unique components                                                                                       Equinox EV

     • Simplify components, supply chain, and
       assembly
                                                                                            GM BEV3
     • GM is targeting 19 different battery and drive                                   ~2/3 of EV Volume
       configurations, compared with current 550 ICE                                      ~500k in 2028
       drivetrain configurations                                                                              Cadillac Lyriq

• Commonization of cells has the most significant
  impact on pack costs                                                   Ultium Cells
     • GM and LG Energy targeting cost below
       $100/kWh with Ultium battery pack
• Flexibility in design is required to meet demands for                                                        Silverado EV
  different vehicle types (sedan, trucks, SUVs, etc.)
     • Differences in pack sizes ranging from 50 to                                          GM BET
       200kWh                                                                           ~1/3 of EV Volume
                                                                                          ~260k in 2028
                                                                                                               Hummer EV

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Working with EV Startups
       EV OEMs can provide significant growth opportunity to suppliers, but assessment of the risks in start-up OEM will be critical

   Key Areas                                                              Critical Areas for Suppliers to Explore
                  •   What is the customer’s target segment of the market ( Luxury EV, EV truck, Fleet vehicle, public transit )
Strategy and
                  •   Estimated value and share of the market ( total market volume, production volumes, estimated market share)
Market
                  •   Product position vs competitive offerings (Price, technical specification, timing to market/SOP)
Positioning
                  •   Long term strategy for additional products/model launches
                  • Value proposition: design and engineering elements that create a unique customer value proposition (battery technology, motor technology,
                    exterior design, interior design, Autonomous and connected technology)
Product           • Product and technology feasibility ( is the technology developed enough to support long term commercial growth)
Development &
                  • Vehicle development timeline (Sled builds, alpha builds, beta builds, testing, preproduction vehicles, start of production, start of sales)
Engineering
                  • Engineering freeze timing or engineering change process (often late)
                  • Long leadtime items (passenger safety ) that may delay SOP or sales milestones
                  • Make vs buy strategy for major components systems
Purchasing        • Reputable suppliers and engineering firms that are engaged with the start up
                  • Ability to mitigate financial risk (advance payments for tooling and engineering)
                  • Production strategy and location (greenfield, brownfield, contract manufacturer)
Manufacturing     • Production readiness timelines, volume forecast, production ramp up
                  • Level of investment/capital expenditures needed to start production by area (body shop, assembly line, paint shop, battery, etc)
                  •   Financial transparency provided to suppliers (Private vs publicly traded, historical or projected financials)
                  •   Previous and future funding efforts/rounds (milestone contingencies related to funding) and overview of capital structure (Equity vs debt, key shareholders)
Financial
                  •   Understanding of liquidity and current levels of cash on hand
                  •   Current and forecasted cash burn rate, how long will the current funding last?

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Interior and Under-hood Plastics
   Comprise Majority of Automotive Plastics Opportunity
                                                                                           Weight of Plastics in Avg. Vehicle (lbs.)
                                                                                                                               ~331 Total Pounds
                                                                                                                               of Plastic in the
The majority of the opportunities in automotive plastics are                                                                   Average Vehicle
within the Interiors and Under-hood sub segments:                                                    17
                                                                                                14           21
   •   Interiors comprise 150 lbs. of plastics, 50% of the total plastics                                                              Interiors
       used in the vehicle                                                                                                             Under-hood
                                                                                                   34                                  Bumpers
   •   Under-hood makes up 79 lbs. of plastics, 24% of the total plastics                                           165
       used in the vehicle                                                                                                             Exterior Trim
                                                                                                                                       Lighting Body
                                                                                                        79                             Panels
Additionally, plastic usage in vehicles is projected to grow from
approximately 9% of total vehicle weight currently to 11.5% of                                                                  Source: Institute of Production Technologies,
vehicle weight in 2030

                                                                                                        Plastic Applications in a Vehicle
                         Plastics as a % of Vehicle Weight
           15.0%
                                                       11.5%+
           10.0%                   9.0%

            5.0%

            0.0%
                                  2018                 2030
              Source: McKinsey/Plante Moran research

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Impact of EV Transition on Under-hood Plastics Components
                      Part Type          Definition                                   Example products

                                         Due to plastics anti-corrosive nature is
                      Fluid and fuel     often the material of choice in fluid
Growth                Systems            systems such as coolant expansion
opportunity                              reservoirs, washer reservoirs, brake fluid
                                         reservoirs, fuel tanks                                AC Coolant
                                                                                                                          Washer Fluids                    Fuel Tanks              Brake Fluid Tanks
                                                                                           expansion reservoirs
Will become
                                         Due to high heat and abilities to
obsolete (ICE only)                      manufacture complex shape assemblies
                                         plastic injection molding is often select
Neutral – used        HVAC Systems       from HVAC applications such as: shroud
by both ICE/EV                           and fan assemblies, coolant pump casings,
                                         HVAC ducting, Radiator support                                                                                                      Radiator Support Assemblies
                                                                                             Shroud and Fan                           HVAC Ducting
                                         assemblies
                                         Plastic is the material of choice in under
                                         hood applications due it’s high-heat
                                         resistant properties applications include
                      Powertrain
                                         end Frames, Rocker Covers, Engine
                      Underhood
                                         Covers, Intake manifolds, Turbocharger
                      Applications       duct, Timing belt pulleys, Battery Boxes ,     Oil Pans              Engine Covers               Air Filters           Intake manifold       Turbocharger Duct
                                         throttle bodies, Oil pans, SCR Tank
                                         Systems

                                         Battery pack structures, holders, frames,
                      Electric Vehicle
                                         manifolds, bass bars, Chargers,
                      Components         Connectors, Traction motor plastics
                                                                                         Battery Pack
                                                                                                                        Chargers                        Connectors                       Frunk

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Impacts of EV growth on Under-hood Plastics

                                                    Electrification Impact
                                                 2018-     2025-
  System                        Product Line     2025      2030        2030+                                                  Rationale
                                                                                 Electric vehicle demand more complex coolant systems as maintaining proper battery temperature is
     Fluid and fuel Systems

                              Coolant reserves    →          ↗               ↗   key to the longevity of the vehicle

                              Brake Fluid                                        Electric powertrains will increase uptake of full electromechanical braking and reduce the need for
                              Reserves
                                                  →          ↘               ↘   hydraulic braking

                                                                                 Electric powertrains will eliminate the need for fuel systems as they are replaced by battery systems
                              Fuel Tank           →          ↘               ↘   and HEV and PHEV variants will utilize smaller gas tanks

                              ICE Components      →          ↘               ↘
Under-hood
Applications
Powertrain

                                                                                 Electric vehicle components will replace ICE focused components
                              BEV Components      →          ↗               ↗
                              Transmission                                       Electric vehicle transmission are much less complex than ICE based vehicles, will reduced the need
                              Components
                                                  →          ↘               ↘   for precision value add plastic components
                                                                                 Increase in shared vehicles will increase demand for more complex multi-zone HVAC Systems to
 HVAC Systems                                     →          →               →   allow Customers to set climate to their preferred settings

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Strategic Directions Impacting both OEMs and Suppliers
             Business Models in transition
              Suppliers will have critical strategic investment decisions to make over the next 2-3 years. The next decade will
              bring dramatic product shifts toward Electric Vehicles, while ICE products will begin to decline dramatically

              Today
                                                              North America Vehicle Production
                                                                                                                                                                       Strategic Considerations
                                                                                                                                 Maturity                          •   Product strategy & roadmap

                                                         EV Growth
                                                                                                                                                                   •   Organic and M&A growth
                                                                                                                                                                       strategies
EV                                                                                                                                                                 •   Capability gaps
          Introduction                                                                                                                                             •   Viability of EV startups and
                                                                                                                                                                       partners
                                                                                                                                                                   •   Capex decisions
      2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050

                                                                  North America Vehicle Production
                                                                                                                                                                   •   Product divestitures and
                                                                                                                                                                       operations restructuring
             Maturity                                                                      ICE Decline
                                                                                                                                                                   •   Consolidation and roll-up
ICE
                                                                                                                                                                   •   Operating profit
                                                                                                                                                                       reinvestment strategies
                                                                                                                                                                   •   Pricing strategies
          Peak ICE in 2022
      2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050

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NAPIS Trends
Automotive Processors vs. Industry

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Labor Productivity & Employee Turnover
NAPIS Results
Since 2019, Automotive processor turnover has increased at rate of more than 2x the industry rate. Addressing
declining labor productivity presents processors with their best opportunity to grow profit margins

                                                                                            Employee Turnover
                                                                                                                           5 ppts
                                                                       40%
                                                                                                                           12ppts
•   Increased competition for labor from non-manufacturing             30%
    companies and high job quit rates drive increasing
    employee turnover                                                  20%

                                                                       10%

•   Value added per Labor Dollar is declining– processors must          0%
    increase labor productivity to maintain and grow profitability             2016      2017     2018       2019     2020          2021

                                                                                          Full Survey     Transportation

•   Investment in automation and Industry 4.0 technology will                          Value Added Per Labor Dollar
    be critical to insulate automotive processors from employee        $2.50
    turnover and increase labor productivity
                                                                       $2.40

                                                                       $2.30

                                                                       $2.20

                                                                       $2.10

                                                                       $2.00
                                                                                2016      2017     2018      2019      2020         2021

                                                                                          Full Survey     Transportation

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Profitability & Growth
   NAPIS Results                                                Two Year Sales Growth

                                                 7%              Full Survey      Transportation

                                                 6%

                                                 5%
Processors serving the automotive                4%

industry have seen sales growth                  3%

underperform the rest of the industry            2%

                                                 1%
from 2019-2021                                   0%
                                                        2016    2017      2018        2019         2020   2021

                                                                   Two Year EBIT Growth
                                                                  Full Survey     Transportation
Processors serving the automotive                20%

industry are earning lower profits than
                                                 15%

                                                 10%

the industry from 2019-2021 after                 5%

outperforming the industry in the prior           0%

                                                 -5%

three years                                      -10%

                                                 -15%
                                                         2016    2017      2018        2019        2020   2021

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Quoting Process Improvements
Quote to Win

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Perhaps you’ve heard this before??
                                          How do we know what we
   How many jobs am I winning? How
      are decreases in job size and
                                          think is happening, is really
                                          happening? How trustworthy       Have I passed on
   increases in competition impacting
          our business model?             is past experience?              all my
                                                                           inflationary cost
                                              Where in the plant           to my
                                              should we focus efforts      customers?
                                              to reduce cost?

                                        Which parts and/or customers are
                                        driving down our profit?

                                           Our customer
                                           keeps saying our
                                           rates are too high,
                                           yet they are sub-
                                           optimizing the
                                           rates!!!

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Inflation and inaccurate overhead cost implications

     Inflation and inaccurate overhead cost assignments are causing plastics processors to under- or over-
     price business

Production
overhead and
SG&A are often a                                                                                                 • PPV

significant part of
                          Accuracy                                                         Material              • Yield
                                                                                                                 • Process Scrap
product cost, yet                    Direct • OEE                                           Cost
                                     Labor • Rate inflation
inaccurate and
simple allocations                                 Margin
are used to apply                                                     Production
                                                     •   Mold support Overhead
to product cost.                                     •   Maintenance               SG&A   • Program Complexity
                                                     •   QA/Engineering                   • Cost to Serve
                                                     •   Material Support
                                                     •   Utilization / OEE
                                                     •   Change-over / lot size

                                                                       Impact                                                           21

                                                               Confidential                                                        21
Criticality of accurate data
Accurate cost and margin data is critical to management decision making
                                                           Common Errors                      Recommendations

                                                           BOM Accuracy                       Track net material issued vs
                                                                                              BOM requirements
                                                           Routers with incorrect cycle       Realistic standards with
                                                           time, crewing or pcs/cycle         weekly reviews of variance
                                                                                              to standards
                                                           Use of incorrect cost drivers      Costs should be applied based
                                                           (i.e. cost per unit, % of labor)   on its true cost driver (i.e.
                                                                                              material support based on
                                                                                              material cost, machine burden
                                                                                              based on machine hours)
                                                           High volume parts subsidize        Capture change-over time
                                                           low volume parts                   and lot size
                                                           Excess capacity cost included      Exclude excess capacity from
                                                           in overhead rates                  quoting rates (winning more
                                                                                              business will absorb excess
                                                                                              capacity
                                                           Fixed costs and SG&A applied       Apply in machine burden or as
                                                           as a % of price (price tax)        % of conversion cost or other
                                                                                              more appropriate driver

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Quote to win – 4 key factors

In most cases, your quoting approach quickly can be transformed to provide far greater accuracy with
relatively little effort

       Select the right costing and estimating techniques for your company

                                                                   •   Build accountability
       Ensure data inputs are accurate                             •   Create a quick quote vs detailed quote
                                                                       process
                                                                   •   Build the right culture for pricing, state
       Involve the right people in the process                         risks with the inputs but don’t add
                                                                       provision, let management add provision
                                                                       in the final price
       Select the right quoting technology                         •   Leverage excel, ERP or other estimating
                                                                       software consistent quoting/costing
                                                                       complexity

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Contact Information

• Ted Morgan, Partner
  Ted.Morgan@plantemoran.com
  248.223.3575

• Mark Barrott, Principal
  Mark.Barrott@plantemoran.com
  248.223.3272

To participate in NAPIS:
• Greg Alonso, Principal
  Greg.Alonso@plantemoran.com
 248.223-3254

www.plastics.plantemoran.com     Confidential   24
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