MAGAZINE Automotive World - August-2020
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Automotive World MAGAZINE Issue 9 | September 2020 New CEO to set faster pace for Ford’s transformation Voyage's CEO offers his view of a COVID-ready vehicle | China positions for robotaxi lead with 2022 Asia Games | Nio harnesses AI to create a step change in personal assistants | Apollo Tyres shares the secrets to its COVID survival | Easelink redefines EV charging for a world of shared and autonomous mobility
IN THIS ISSUE 04 16 28 New CEO to set faster pace for Ford’s transformation 22 32 New CEO to set faster pace for Nio: ‘AI will become one of our 04 Ford’s transformation most intimate friends and 22 companions’ What’s the post-COVID 12 commercial vehicle outlook? Voyage’s ‘COVID-ready’ vehicle to salvage shared mobility 28 2022 Asian Games could 16 confirm China’s autonomous Who will succeed in the 32 leadership crowded LiDAR space? Copyright statement © 2020 All content copyright Automotive World Ltd. All rights reserved. This publication - in whole or in part - may not be shared, copied, reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or be transmitted in any form by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior permission of Automotive World Ltd. 2 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Published in September 2020 38 52 by: Automotive World est. 1992 46 64 Automotive World 1-3 Washington Buildings Stanwell Road, Penarth, CF64 2AD, UK www.automotiveworld.com T: +44 (0) 2920 707 021 Mild hybrids—a multi-billion euro growth opportunity 38 alongside e-mobility? support@automotiveworld.com Registered number: 04242884 46 How has COVID reshaped the US industry outlook? VAT number: GB 815 220 173 How to make cities ready for autonomous vehicles, 52 and AVs ready for cities CEO & Managing Director: Gareth Davies 56 Interview: Paul Campion, Chief Executive, TRL Editor: Megan Lampinen 60 Apollo Tyres: COVID-19 response case study Contributors: Autonomy and shared mobility prompt charging Freddie Holmes 64 innovation Jack Hunsley Xavier Boucherat ADAS nomenclature standards pave way for 68 autonomous driving Production: Anmol Mothy Freight technology will help US trucking through the 72 capacity crunch and beyond © Automotive World Ltd 2020 September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 3
New CEO to set faster pace for Ford’s transformation While Hackett was faced with arrival of COVID-19 and the immediate production impact, Farley is left to address the new normal it has created, writes Megan Lampinen T here’s change afoot at relationship, the transition should Ford with the promise of go smoothly, but Farley faces a new Chief Executive. significantly more friction in other After three years in the upcoming challenges. top post Jim Hackett has decided to retire and hand over the reins to current Chief Operating Officer Continuity Jim Farley, effective 1 October. The two Jims have been working Back in 2017 Hackett was closely together over the past few specifically tasked with years as Hackett had him in mind modernising the company. Like for a potential successor almost Alan Mulally, a Boeing executive from the start. Given their close before leading Ford, Hackett came 4 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Hackett has revamped the model line-up, cutting out weaker performers and launching groundbreaking new models from outside the automotive sector, having spent 30 years at furniture company Steelcase. At Ford, he quickly set about applying the principles of design thinking—an approach to product development that centres on user experience and which became “ a key part of his strategy. Hackett also revamped the model line-up, cutting out weaker performers and launching ground- breaking models like the Mustang Mach-E, the new F-150 and the upcoming Bronco. Under His stint leading the New his leadership Ford established pivotal global Businesses, Technology & partnerships with the likes of BMW, Volkswagen and Rivian. But after three years— Strategy team has given the same length of time served by his him a good predecessor Mark Fields— it’s now time to step down, and the board knew just where to look. understanding of just how profoundly new Farley is an automotive industry veteran and spent 20 years at Toyota before he joined Ford technology is shaping the in 2007, hired by Mulally to serve as Global auto sector Head of Marketing and Sales. He later led Lincoln, Ford South America, Ford of Europe and all Ford Global Markets. Last year he was put in charge of Ford’s New Businesses, Technology & Strategy team, tackling strategic decision making around artificial intelligence, automation, connectivity and new forms of propulsion. Earlier this year he was named 6 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Chief Operating Officer, a position widely regarded as a precursor to a CEO appointment. “We really didn’t look outside for a candidate, though we talked about it,” Bill Ford, Ford’s Executive Chairman, told media. “Whenever we threw some names around, Jim’s rose to the top. Sometimes going outside is great, and Alan Mulally and Jim Hackett are proof of that. But there are also benefits to continuity, especially if you are on the right path. The projects Jim and Jim were working on together were exactly what was needed to propel us into the future.” Other management changes will be up to Farley down the line, but as he helped form the current management team, big surprises seem unlikely. Farley himself is regarded as a “car guy”, frequently spending weekends The new Bronco is one of several significant product launches intended to refresh Ford’s image September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 7
Mobility today entails much more than just car manufacturing racing vintage cars. His stint leading the New Businesses, Technology & Strategy team has given him a good understanding of just how profoundly new technology is shaping the auto sector. “Jim is perhaps the singular executive that understands the integration of technology and auto,” observed Bill Ford. Farley’s long automotive industry experience and solid marketing background should also prove real assets. “Since Ford is about to enter a new execution phase, the company likely decided it was time for a more experienced auto executive who knows the ins and outs of the industry to lead the charge, as opposed to an outsider trying to create change,” observed Jessica Caldwell, Executive Director of Insights at Edmunds. “Farley’s specialty is marketing, which will play a critical role as Ford gears up for significant product launches that are intended to revive and refresh Ford’s image.” “ Jim is perhaps the singular executive Lots of work ahead Ford has come a long way under Hackett, shifting assertively into new mobility and technology areas. The automaker has also done much to address the underlying fitness that understands the of the base business, reducing bureaucracy integration of and restructuring operations in underperforming markets. But it’s far from technology and auto done. “We have lots of work ahead of us to really complete our mission,” asserted Bill Ford. It now falls to Farley to execute Hackett’s US$11bn restructuring plan and oversee pivotal product launches. Some of these 8 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Ford and Agility Robotics are exploring how robot, Digit, can help get packages to the door efficiently with the help of self-driving vehicles launches, notably the 2020 Ford Explorer, went dreadfully wrong and proved a real setback. “Farley is now set to replace Jim Hackett, whose efforts to turn around the company have been hindered by the botched Explorer SUV launch as well as by COVID-19,” said Ana Nicholls, Managing Editor for the Industry Briefing at the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). “While Hackett did manage to rein in Ford’s losses, Farley will find that he has a tough job turning that into a profit.” For the fourth quarter last year, well before the pandemic arrived, Ford reported losses of about US$1.7bn. Stock price will also September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 9
Mustang Mach E remain a thorn in Farley’s side, as it has Farley. “It’s Amazon, Baidu, Tesla, Apple, for all the company’s Chief Executives Toyota and others. They are well- over the past decade. During the media financed and voracious companies.” call Farley dodged questions about whether or not he would prioritise the But everyone, no matter how well stock issue, stating only that he was financed or voracious, is feeling the “optimistic as growth initiatives like impact from the novel coronavirus. electric commercial vehicles come into While Hackett was faced with arrival of focus.” Shareholders may demand COVID-19 and the immediate production greater clarity if things do not change impact, Farley is left to address the new quickly, particularly when some of the normal it has created. “Markets, though newer start-ups, some of which have yet rebounding slowly, are in meltdown to build a vehicle, have seen nearly worldwide, with only China astronomical valuations. offering some relief,” Nicholls pointed out. “Next year will bring a bigger rebound, but still not enough to make up The new normal for the lost ground. Much more restructuring will be needed if Ford is to Farley may not be willing to talk about soldier through.” the stock prices of these companies, but he clearly has them in his sights—along Farley’s wealth of experience at Ford will with some of the technology giants with help in tackling this and other aspirations to becoming mobility players. challenges, and should also go down well “We know our competition today,” said with colleagues and workers. That said, 10 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Ford is investing heavily in autonomous driving technology Nicholls suggests that “he will also need The investment community has been to draw on his knowledge of the outside similarly bullish in their outlook on this world, particularly in interactions with new appointment, with Credit Suisse tech companies and with Volkswagen, Analyst Dan Levy writing that “Farley which has tech-sharing alliance with brings a greater sense of urgency and Ford. The company’s gains from its action.” In the same vein, RBC Capital investment in self-driving business Argo Markets analyst Joseph Spak suggested AI shows the potential of that alliance, that the move signals “Ford is ready to but Ford will need to make sure it is not take on a more aggressive, faster moving the troubled junior partner.” path forward.” Vishwas Shankar, Research Director at As for Farley, he has emphasised the Frost & Sullivan, believes Farley will keep continuity of his leadership plans more up the momentum that Ford has recently than anything else: “I don’t see any built up. “Farley will be looking at Ford’s daylight between Jim [Hackett] and internal strengths, its cash cows and myself. The areas in which I believe we crown jewels, and revisiting partnerships have huge growth opportunity are the and investments in key areas within same we have been working on together. CASE mobility,” he told Automotive Yes, I’m my own man but we have a World. “Like his predecessors, he will tremendous team at Ford. I’m optimistic continue to let go of non-productive about executing our base business and assets and focus operations in those these new areas to compete against new areas where Ford can be best-in-class, and existing competitors. I will share always with an eye on profitability.” specifics with the team at the right time.” September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 11
What’s the post- COVID commercial vehicle outlook? Roland Berger's Wilfried Aulbur shares his expectations for the CV sector in the wake of the novel coronavirus 12 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
T he global commercial seen automakers re-evaluating vehicle (CV) sector is investment portfolios—what facing some serious activities make sense versus what headwinds. The novel can you do without? There has also coronavirus (COVID-19) and the been a re-evaluation of the core subsequent economic downturn are business—are there product impacting automaker strategies, segments that you shouldn’t be touching on everything from covering anymore? Look at the production planning and supply medium-duty space in Europe as an chain management to powertrain example. That’s a relatively small offerings and autonomous driving volume one. Do you really need to investments. Wilfried Aulbur, Senior be present in this market? If you still Partner at Roland Berger, has been want to be present in the market, do following developments closely. you really need to develop major components for this segment or can How big a hit has the CV you buy them instead? segment taken from COVID-19? Has there been any significant The volatility of this pandemic has dialling back on electrification been quite pronounced. Although investment? the CV industry knows how to handle volatility, this has been a From a CV player perspective, we significant shock. We have seen a have not seen a major retraction of dramatic reduction in North investment. The vehicle America coming from a high. The manufacturers that have exposure same thing is happening in Europe. to Europe know that the emissions China recorded a very sharp regulations will come and, as a contraction but currently sees lots consequence, they need of optimism. Our initial projection electrification. They also need for China was that the market would hydrogen as a medium- to long- be flat, but it seems to be growing term solution. We have seen players this year due to the kind of activities understanding that they will need that the government is putting in to work together to create the scale place in trying to prop up the and bring down cost to a level that overall economy. is feasible for the overall ecosystem. The joint venture between Daimler What does this mean for and Volvo is a good example of this. automakers? Do you see newcomers like This environment leads to a Nikola posing a serious threat to situation where all the major players the more established players on are, first and foremost, challenged to this front? conserve cash. We have seen this reaction across the board in terms of One has to wait and see. As a B2B everybody cutting non-essential business that’s very much around expenses, making sure they don’t understanding the business model spend marketing money that doesn’t of the end customer, the hurdles for really bring a return. Everybody is operating in this environment and going in for cost and headcount being successful here are high. reduction measures. We have also That’s because you need the September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 13
In June, Scania warned that it was conducting a broad review of the number of consultants and employees on its books, with an eye to reducing global headcount infrastructure. With a fuel cell or an electric truck, you need to think about the uptime, the convenience in terms of getting repairs done and the training of a network. There are some real challenges to make these things work and I think that’s one of the reasons potentially why Nikola tied up with Iveco. This partnership gives it access to the kind of ecosystem and experience that it needs to really roll out its technology. talent. They are trying to use this a consequence, the negative crisis to their advantage. impact will also be there as far as Autonomous driving has been the overall economic another major investment Will the pandemic prove a performance. In that sense, area for many CV companies. short-term or long-term that’s a real cause for concern. Has this been sidelined in the challenge? Having said that, the first green wake of COVID-19? shoots are visible. If we look at In some sense, the COVID the kilometres driven by trucks Here we have seen two situation is a short-term in the US or Europe, they are approaches. Some players have challenge. Even if we don’t get very much close to being back to decided to push back this under control quickly, I normal numbers. autonomous investments for the would think that by 2021 we time being, while others see this would have some solution in Which players are going to as an opportunity. They may be terms of medication, which then emerge from this in the thinking that in this environment would lead to normalisation of strongest position? it will be more difficult for start- the overall economy, albeit on a ups to secure funding. That lower level. By that time, if it In transport there are some means they may be able to either really takes that long, the sectors that are actually doing gain a head start—or increase it— negative impact on employment quite well already. If you carry when it comes to acquiring will be quite significant. And, as groceries to supermarkets, you’re 14 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Many delivery applications have recorded a boost in activity following the pandemic probably not doing badly. If you that the worst is behind us and first order of business is clearly are exposed to some of the e- they can start buying again ensuring cashflow, being able commerce players or are taking rather than ageing their fleet. to defend market share as goods to shopping centres, you’re much as possible, and not not doing badly. It is a varied Given the current constraints jeopardising essential picture across the different end of the industry and lowered investments in the future. applications, but overall, traffic outlooks, what do you think has come back to normal levels would characterise a And when it comes to what or close to normal levels. successful 2020 for the CV constitutes essential industry? investment, is that going to Will that translate into service vary some degree by and parts revenue for OEMs? If you are able to manage your company? cash flows reasonably well in Definitely, so that’s positive for this year and you manage to Yes, exactly. It will vary on the the network and the OEMs. safeguard essential overall position of the company, Down the line, it will also lead to investments, I think then you’ve and how invested it is in certain order incomes that are closer to done a good job. We have an technologies already. It also what a normal year would look unprecedented challenge with depends on the strategic call like. In the US, the fleet both the supply side and the that a company takes on a customers have the confidence demand side disruption. The particular technology. September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 15
2022 Asian Games could confirm China’s autonomous leadership Large events like this have become popular stages on which to showcase self-driving capabilities, and the pressure is on to get it right. By Megan Lampinen T he next Asian Games could (AVs) are set to play a key role, and if prove make or break for Hangzhou gets it right, China’s global China’s autonomous reputation as an AV pioneer could be mobility ambitions. Like the solidified. Olympics, this sporting event—held every four years—attracts floods of The country has been jockeying for a visitors, temporarily boosting the leadership position in self-driving number of people in the host city. For technology, and numerous 2022, the challenge of transporting development projects are currently those crowds falls to the city of underway. By 2025, the government Hangzhou, Zhejiang. Speaking at a aims to have large-scale production of recent logistics planning conference, self-driving cars, though admittedly Hangzhou 2022 Deputy Secretary operating in limited geographies. General and Deputy Mayor of the McKinsey believes China could Municipal Government, Chen potentially become the world’s largest Weiqiang, warned that transportation market for AVs and predicts that AVs and logistics for the Games would be could account for more than 40% of “complex.” Autonomous vehicles its new vehicle sales by 2040. What 16 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Cao Cao’s fleet is powered by DeepRoute technology better opportunity to showcase the electric robotaxis during the event. latest capabilities and future promise Both visitors and participants will be than the upcoming Games. able to hail a ride using the Cao Cao app for travel within the city. “With Large events like this have become more than 40 venues being used popular stages on which to during the Games, the ability to demonstrate AV capabilities. Aptiv seamlessly hail a robotaxi will save and Lyft have been running self- attendees time on walking and allow driving taxi fleets at CES in Las Vegas. them to visit as many places as Yandex was supposed to run a fleet at possible during their time there,” the North American International pointed out Nianqiu Liu, Vice Auto Show this year, though the show President of DeepRoute. was cancelled in the wake of COVID- 19. Toyota planned to have a fleet It is DeepRoute that provides the shuttling visitors around the 2020 automated functionality to the fleet. Tokyo Olympics, though this too was Its comprehensive Sense II system hit by COVID and is now postponed includes sensing capabilities, high- until 2021. definition (HD) mapping, perception, planning and control, simulation and cloud technology. According to the No emissions, no driver company, DeepRoute-Vision and its synchronisation controller for sensor Providing the Asian Games go ahead data, DeepRoute-Syntric, can as planned, Geely-backed ride-hailing accurately detect surrounding objects company Cao Cao Mobility will be in real-time to deliver a safe and operating a fleet of autonomous, smooth driving experience. September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 17
Geely established Cao Cao as a strategic move into ride-hailing, and it is now present in more than 50 cities DeepRoute-Syntric is an advanced World. “As the system could be data synchronisation controller that deployed quickly and cost-efficiently, can synchronise information from it proved a real help in achieving Cao different types of sensors, enabling Cao’s robotaxi service objectives.” the perception algorithm to process sensor data aligned in the same However, considerable work was still standard. The data creates HD maps, needed to bring everything together, which allow the self-driving vehicle to and teams from DeepRoute, Cao Cao understand what’s on the road and and Geely worked closely on not only how to execute its trajectory. the integration of the self-driving system but also the backend “Since our computing platform within operations for dispatch and the user- the self-driving solution is small and based app experience. DeepRoute is our sensing solution is an all-in-one also working with Cao Cao to create product, Cao Cao found that it was testing and operation guidelines as easy to integrate,” Liu told Automotive well as standards for the robotaxis. 18 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
The AutoX and Amap partnership marked the first time that robotaxis were available on a major ride-hailing platform in China From pilots to mass designed to be cost-efficiently production manufactured at scale so it will be accessible to self-driving companies of While autonomous driving pilots like all sizes,” he added. “To keep costs to this one have become increasingly a minimum for our customers, we frequent, that doesn’t necessarily created our own inference engine so mean the technology is ready for that the system doesn’t require a large commercialisation. For DeepRoute, computing platform.” though, it’s not far off. “In terms of safety and cost, our technology is very DeepRoute also stands out from the close to being ready for mass competition in terms of the accuracy production,” Liu asserted. of its perception technology. Liu proudly points to test results from the The cost aspect could prove the real KIITI Vision Benchmark Suite, a ace up its sleeve. At mass production, project between the Karlsruhe he projects system costs at around Institute of Technology and Toyota US$20,000. “The system was Technological Institute at Chicago: September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 19
DeepRoute's advanced perception technology can detect objects around a vehicle up to 140 meters away “Our advanced perception technology testing in various cities as well as using has ranked highly on the KITTI and test courses and simulation. Semantic KITTI tests, showcasing how it can identify different types of objects with a high level of accuracy.” A good fit for The perception model and algorithm automation can detect objects around a vehicle up to 140 meters, even in low-visibility While cities around the world are weather conditions. interested in harnessing the potential benefits of autonomous driving, The next step in system development China could be a particularly good is to gain exposure in a wider variety fit. A KPMG study from July 2020 of environments. As Liu elaborated: found China to be one of the top five “While we have already made strong performing countries in terms of progress enabling vehicles to operate securing AV-related industry safely, with few driver engagements in partnerships. At the same time, a variety of scenarios, our solution still numerous local companies are needs to be deployed in more cities to transitioning to become suppliers of collect more data to train the system.” pivotal AV technologies including DeepRoute is conducting real-world chipsets, LiDAR, AI algorithms and 20 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
vehicle communications technologies. The a base for its autonomous mobility country’s extensive 5G network could also development, and opened a new research facilitate developments. hub there in April 2019. “China is leading the world, both on But it’s not all about robotaxis; trucks are technology and pace of adoption and another focus area for autonomous implementation, especially with its early developments, and earlier this year introduction of 5G networking,” said Philip DeepRoute partnered with Dongfeng Ng, Partner, Head of Technology, KPMG Commercial Vehicle Co to equip container China. “Along with work to develop trucks with its self-driving solutions to cooperative vehicle infrastructure system, automate operations in the Xiamen Ocean this will build strong foundations for the Gate Container Terminal, owned by Cosco introduction of AVs. The Chinese public also Shipping. “This industrial application appear receptive to using such vehicles, demanded a customised solution for its particularly younger generations.” unique requirements,” explained Liu. “Our DeepRoute’s Liu also noted the importance of perception model quickly learned how to positive consumer attitudes around this identify relevant objects such as shipping technology. “Studies have shown that people containers and cranes—things that aren’t in China are very open to self-driving generally seen during typical self-driving technologies,” he noted. tests—and navigate safely around them. This “ People are culturally accepting of ride-sharing and they celebrate the idea of AVs Robotaxis in particular are a hot application streamlined their terminal loading and area for autonomous technology, not unloading process.” surprising given the low vehicle ownership ratio, so Cao Cao and DeepRoute have plenty With projects like these, China could well be of company in this space. “People are one of the first markets in the world to see AVs culturally accepting of ride-sharing and they go mainstream. Liu is certainly bullish in his celebrate the idea of AVs,” said Jewel Li, Chief outlook: “We believe autonomous mobility will Operating Officer at Chinese autonomous roll out across China in the next five years as tech developer AutoX. The company has there are already robotaxi services in several been working with China’s largest mobility Chinese cities. Our partnership with Cao Cao operator, Amap, on a robotaxi trial in pushes us one step closer to a future where Shanghai. Aptiv has also honed in on China as autonomous transportation will be the norm.” September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 21
Nio: ‘AI will become one of our most intimate friends and companions’ In-vehicle AI assistants could offer automakers daily access to a previously inaccessible market. By Jack Hunsley 22 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
5 2 years on, Stanley Kubrick’s 2001: A Space Odyssey stands as one of cinema’s greatest, if slightly more bizarre, pieces of work. It also features one of cinema’s key memorable moments when the supercomputer HAL 9000 begs astronaut Dave Bowman to spare it. As Bowman chooses to ignore HAL’s pleas for mercy and begins an arduous shutdown procedure HAL delivers one of pop culture’s most famous confessions: “I’m afraid, Dave… my mind is going. I can feel it.” Though 2001 split opinions at the time, the famous late film critic Roger Ebert sang its praises, with one factor, in particular, resonating with him: how “ Kubrick had managed to make what was supposed to be the perfect computer instead the most human of all the characters. In the future of mobility, the key Though an extreme example, some similarities can be drawn from HAL to differentiator in today’s automotive industry. No automotive developer is attempting to choosing to buy a car create a wholly sentient, and inevitably malevolent, artificial intelligence (AI), but from one brand over the consensus is that AI can be used by the industry to nurture a brand identity another will no through creating a tangible virtual persona. For instance, BMW’s intelligent longer be determined personal assistant’s attention can be solely by driving summoned by simply saying “Hey, BMW.” Customers that instead want to use their range, performance, preferred home-based assistant in-vehicle can do so by calling for Alexa’s, Siri’s or equipment and Cortana’s help. It’s also a route on which Chinese start-up Nio is pinning its features. It will be the connected strategy. emotional value of Nomi the product and the brand At Nio, unsurprisingly AI’s core value is found in enabling autonomy, given its long-term aim to build electric, autonomous vehicles (AVs). However, if and when these electric AVs make it to market, Nio is confident it can also create September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 23
“ Early on, people may say Nomi is just a little robot on top of the instrument panel. However, Nomi is designed to be far more just an ‘add-on’ to the standard infotainment system. It is the brain and centre of car’s AI an in-vehicle environment where user and the vehicle,” said Ted Li, driver and machine can converse and Associate Vice President, Product interact with one another seamlessly. Management Department & Senior To reach this future, Nio’s first Expert, Experience Manager at Nio. stepping stone can be seen through “Nomi can give the user a much more the development of its own bespoke engaging ownership experience, not in-vehicle virtual personal assistant, just through operating functions, but ‘Nomi’. also by offering a digital companionship which is not First unveiled alongside the launch of achievable through conventional the ES8 SUV in 2017, the automaker methods.” originally marketed Nomi as “the world’s first in-car AI system,” capable When Nio says ‘companionship’ it of interacting with passengers using quite literally means that. At the most its ‘emotion engine’. “The most basic level, Nio allows owners to obvious business area for AI is rename their Nomis to whatever autonomous driving, where Nio Pilot name they’d like. For US$700 users is already trying to become one of the can also upgrade to the ‘Nomi Mate’, market leaders. However, the other which contrary to the base model less obvious yet fundamental area is features two digital eyes which turn lifetime companionship, which to greet passengers as they enter the defines the relationship between the vehicle and can display a variety of 24 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
facial emotions. Regardless of which model buyers opt for, Nio places great significance on fostering this human-machine relationship. “Early on, people may say Nomi is just a little robot on top of the instrument panel. However, Nomi is designed to be far more just an ‘add-on’ to the standard infotainment system. It is the brain and centre of car’s AI,” said Li. “Each motion, open and closure, adjustment and command are all neural connected to Nomi’s emotion engine and conversation system.” Relationship Today, however, Nio just scratches the surface of Nomi’s “ in-vehicle possibilities. Going forward the automaker is eager to expand on Nomi’s current functionalities and bring more Nomi can give the user a AI-enabled value to the customer experience. “In our next steps, much more engaging we will give Nomi further AI capabilities, including autonomy ownership experience, and cabin perception. The entry- level Nomi will also be able to not just through operate a wide range of interior functions including media operating functions, but players, opening windows and also by offering a digital sunroofs as well as handling navigation,” said Li. Though a companionship which is common development route throughout the sector, Li is eager not achievable through to stress how important these seemingly minor features will be conventional methods in fostering a brand identity in a connected, autonomous world. “In the future of mobility, the key differentiator in choosing to buy a car from one brand over another will no longer be determined solely by driving September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 25
range, performance, equipment and Privacy features. It will be the emotional value of the product and the brand,” If assistants such as Nomi do end up he said. Nio, in particular, sees as the main point of interaction, it current adoption rates on products could pose some practical problems. featuring Alexa and Siri functionality One example is the cultural consumer as a key indicator in how consumer differences when attempting to interests are changing in this develop such AI-enabled functionality connected space. “AI will become one for several markets. Western of the most intimate friends and consumers traditionally prefer their companions to our next generation, virtual assistants to remain strictly as well as ourselves,” he added. “In machine-like, whereas Asian the very distant future, when full customers tend to prefer a more autonomy is available and when the personified digital experience. steering wheel is no longer necessary, Nomi will become the primary “Asian culture tends to be more interface for user interaction. That is receptive to animated and virtual the end goal.” characters compared to the rest of the 26 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
world,” said Li. “However, most people handled in an encrypted way and will will gradually grow fond of Nomi once be erased from the cloud once all they start to experience it and get used voice and learning sessions are to it.” Though Nio is confident that all completed,” added Li. “Given that we markets will eventually warm to Nomi, are also planning our global entry anyone developing similar tools will strategy, our connected vehicle and need to think carefully about how best data services will be strictly following to develop that human-machine- GDPR and related privacy protocols.” interface (HMI) operability to cater for Nomi also runs proprietarily on Nio’s bespoke market demands. bespoke operating system which only “ AI will become one of the most intimate friends and companions to our next generation,as well as ourselves Another consideration is data privacy, operates software digitally certified by especially if the industry shifts to Nio itself. largely shared vehicles. Though a virtual human-like assistant would be Time will tell whether consumers will a hugely valuable tool in this truly warm to in-vehicle virtual theoretical market, in which vehicles assistants, as well as whether these are potentially more akin to assistants can display and invoke whitegoods, reassuring consumers emotion in a HAL-like manner. But what that their information remains private is clear is that through the use of AI and secure will be critical in there lies a previously largely unlocking this value. inaccessible opportunity for automakers to interact with customers in-vehicle on In the case of Nomi, Li reassures that a daily basis. Today, these players must all voice conversations and data place significant development focus on processing passes through a local making sure such assistants can offer embedded engine. From here, Nio users an enjoyable, and frustration-free then deploys a cyber security gateway experience. With that foundation built which handles all data and market interests weighed, communication between the car and automakers can then decide just how the cloud, with all data also being human they would like their future masked and anonymised. “All data is vehicles to appear. September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 27
Voyage’s ‘COVID- ready’ vehicle to salvage shared mobility Voyage’s third-generation robotaxi could become the model for creating COVID-ready shared vehicles. By Jack Hunsley T he COVID-19 pandemic has D.C. is still down 56.9% compared to hit mobility hard. On one the 25.7% decrease currently seen hand, automakers and across Moovit’s native Israel, for suppliers have been forced example. to take stock and reprioritise development to keep afloat. On the These drops are perfectly other hand, on-road traffic initially understandable. Many nations have ground to a halt. Though lockdowns warned citizens to only use public have started to lift and commuters are transit if there is no alternative and if beginning to return to their daily their journey is absolutely essential. routines, transit levels are still However, another explanation could depressed. be heightened concerns over the Figures from Intel’s transit aggregator contagion and how easily it might Moovit paint this picture well. Taken spread within a confined area such as from daily data of public transit usage a bus or a taxi. For an automotive across 108 cities worldwide, not one industry building towards a shared, single city on Moovit’s books has seen mobility world, failure to address this transit usage return to pre-COVID anxiety could be catastrophic. But it is levels. Some are faring far worse than an anxiety which several players are others: transit usage in Washington, eager to overcome. 28 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
COVID-ready has announced its third generation robotaxi, the G3. Based on Chrylser’s One such player is robotaxi operator Pacifica Hybrid minivan, the G3 offers Voyage. To date, it has made its name Vovage around a 50% cost saving over largely by shunning the more popular its current G2 model. Spec-wise, it dense inner-city development comes equipped with Voyage’s programmes to instead trial its ‘Commander’ technology, which technology in retirement communities includes its “state-of-the-art in Florida and California. Though on perception, prediction, and paper it might not sound a wholly behavioural modules,” and well as its exciting testing ground, it is important collision mitigation system ‘Shield’ to bear in mind that The Villages and remote operations solution facility in Florida is home to more ‘Telessist’. Most intriguing in this than 120,000 people, technically COVID-hit market, however, is it’s making it one of the fastest-growing “ambulance-grade” automatic metropolitan areas in the entire disinfection system. country. For Voyage, it’s a location which sits perfectly in the ‘Goldilocks’ “It is ‘COVID-ready’, and I do not use complexity sweet spot: not too big, that term loosely,” Voyage’s Co- not too small, but just right. Its work Founder and Chief Executive, Oliver so far also has attracted the attention Cameron, told Automotive World. “As of FCA which partnered with the we’ve seen with Uber’s and Lyft’s operator in May 2020. results, the shared mobility industry is in the process of being decimated Though it has seen some initial early because not only do you have a success the time has come for the contract workforce which is perhaps a company to target scale, and little inconsistent in the safety to do that it standards across the fleet but there is September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 29
The Voyage G3 uses ultraviolet to deactivate pathogen DNA, halting reproduction cycles of viruses, fungi and bacteria also just the fact that you have a to enable a more hygienic shared human driver which is an inherent world. One benefit is that, contrary transmission risk. We saw this as a to its predecessor, the G3 is a technology challenge.” driverless car and so removes the chance of direct driver-to-rider Though the G3’s initial design transmission. To attempt to eliminate philosophy was not targeted solely at transmission risks entirely, however, countering COVID, the global Voyage opted for a more ambitious pandemic has encouraged Voyage to solution through the use of think how its vehicles could be used ultraviolet-C (UV-C) light. 30 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
“To tackle this issues we looked On paper, it is an attractive transmitted in shared vehicles towards ambulances as they offering for any shared vehicle with this solution. Hopefully, have already solved this operator, but for Voyage, in we’ll see more of these vehicles problem by installing UV-C particular, the solution is from ourselves and other lights,” said Cameron. “When extremely important. Given its companies which can start to these are triggered, with no one current core demographic of prevent several other viruses in the car as that would be very senior citizens, many of whom such as the seasonal flu.” dangerous, the lights can perhaps have underlying health eradicate infectious viruses that conditions or weaker immune might be lurking on surfaces or systems, finding a practical and The future in the air.” This process, which effective sanitation mechanism takes around three to four could quite literally be the Looking forward, Voyage remains minutes, is operated using three difference between life and wholly confident in its lights which can halt the death. development roadmap. Currently, pathogen reproductive cycle Voyage’s first G3, referred to as through inactivating DNA. “It is particularly important for the ‘Alpha G3’, is already Effective on a range of us to tackle COVID as it is very operating in San Jose, California. pathogens including viruses, dangerous for seniors,” said The first driverless ‘Beta G3’ will fungi and bacteria, the solution Cameron. “While COVID is the be on the road in a few months allegedly eradicates 99.9% of focus currently, there is going to according to Cameron. Though a pathogens including the be a significant reduction of the few more G2 vehicles are still seasonal flu and COVID-19. most infectious viruses being expected to be added to the fleet, Voyage anticipates that these vehicles will be fairly quickly cycled out for the new model. Production for the G3 is currently “ scheduled for early 2021 for deployment in both its California and Florida operations. Effective on a range of It will be interesting to follow the impact that Voyage’s new pathogens including scalable model could have on this currently struggling sector. viruses, fungi and Though the G3 could offer a total 50% cost reduction overall, bacteria, the solution more specifically it has been able to achieve a 65% cost allegedly eradicates reduction on its sensor costs and a 25% reduction on its 99.9% of pathogens computing costs. These savings combined with a theoretical including the seasonal COVID-ready vehicle offers a compelling example for the flu and COVID-19 ride-hail players already operating in major towns and cities which are eager to ease rider concerns. September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 31
Who will succeed in the crowded LiDAR space? Affordable, scalable LiDAR remains an elusive piece of the self-driving puzzle. This is not for lack of effort, with numerous companies competing in the space. By Xavier Boucherat I f the LiDAR segment looks LiDAR’s purported benefits, and the crowded, it is hardly surprising: race to bring down unit cost has the majority of automakers and intensified in recent years, self-driving technology particularly with the emergence of developers agree that LiDAR will be solid state technology as opposed to pivotal for realising safe autonomous mechanical scanning. This year at vehicles. That company which can CES, the same Velodyne claimed to provide scalable, affordable units have completed work on an stands to profit enormously. automotive LiDAR which, produced at volume, could go below US$100. The The US$75,000 price tag on early figure is an estimate, but one worth roof-mounted Velodyne models taking seriously, having come from a proved as big a talking point as market leader. 32 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Velodyne isn’t the only company to marks the evolution of Luminar from have established a name for itself “tech development company working primarily on the basis of LiDAR with R&D programmes to the first development. Luminar has gone from company enabling autonomy in strength to strength in recent years, automotive series production,” Chief recently partnering with Volvo on its Executive Austin Russell said in a SPA2 modular vehicle architecture. statement. This will bring its LiDAR units to series production by 2022, enabling high- Then there are startups such as level autonomy functions such as Blickfeld and AEye. The former, based Highway Pilot. The recent addition of in Munich, has tasked itself with a goal five new executives, all with shared across the space: the considerable automotive experience, production of high performance, September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 33
Automotive LiDAR players Evolution of the industry Source: LiDAR for Automotive and Industrial Applications report, Yole Developpement Source: Yole Developpement The LiDAR space is increasingly crowded mass producible solid state LiDAR. Its to automakers today. But the 2019 recent Series A financing round shuttering of Oryx Vision, an Israel- attracted investment from based LiDAR start-up, has demonstrated Continental, Bayern Kapital and the difficulty of making a business out of Osram Ventures, among others. LiDAR. With the self-driving car widely Meanwhile, Dublin, California-based agreed to be more years out than AEye has dedicated its efforts to the previously predicted, and with the creation of intelligent perception drying up of investment interest in the technology, namely iDAR (Intelligent wake of the novel coronavirus disease Detection and Ranging). Smart (COVID-19), what will it take to survive in perception software will be key for the LiDAR space? helping LiDARs to operate in real time, as scanners will need to distinguish between those objects Grab your partner which are important, and those that are not. “LiDAR companies that will survive are those that are currently As such, the space is attracting both partnering with automakers and Tier hardware and software talent with 1s,” says Alexis Debray, Technology different aims and ideas of how to run a and Market Analyst at Yole company. Luminar’s Russell, for Developpement, a technology example, wants to run a perception-as- consultant with expertise in sensing. a-service business, with subscription Luminar’s recent partnering with models that make its software available Volvo is a key example, and the 34 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Time-to-market: LiDAR for ADAS vehicles - Integration roadmap Source: LiDAR for Automotive and Industrial Applications report, Yole Developpement Source: Yole Developpement Series production of some LiDAR will begin soon company is also collaborating with Toyota and group was ongoing, and that together they are Audi. Meanwhile, Softbank-backed, Israel-based making “good progress,” but could not provide Innoviz, a solid-state LiDAR developer, has further details. partnered with BMW for its future models, with the Level 3 enabled iNext EV potentially arriving on In December 2019, Silicon Valley-based Quanergy roads as early as 2021. A spokesperson for BMW announced a partnership with with Geely that aims confirmed to Automotive World that work with the to develop and commercialise solutions for the broad development of both smart city and autonomous “ vehicle systems: one will not work without the other, said Chief Executive Louay The development of both LiDAR and Eldada in a statement. automated driving has proven to be “The development of both much more complex than anticipated LiDAR and automated by OEMs… LiDAR companies that have driving has proven to be much more complex than not been able to raise enough money anticipated by OEMs,” said or generate enough cash will not Debray, “and will therefore still require a lot of time survive for long and R&D. LiDAR companies that have not been able to raise enough money or September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 35
generate enough cash will not survive for long.” Computing and processing are also important aspects of automotive LiDAR, he added, and the system must be able to deliver useful data to the car. This potentially creates space for software and data specialists, but without solid partnerships, the cash-burn between now and the era of commercialised autonomy will surely be too much for many to handle. Focus on cost The main challenge for LiDAR, says Pierrick Boulay, also Market and Technology Analyst at Yole Developpement, remains clear: it must evolve from its high price, low volume model to a low price, high volume one. “This must be done while maintaining revenue streams, or at least while starting to generate revenue,” he says. “Velodyne, which invented the real-time 3D LiDAR 15 years ago, has started this transition. Moreover, the automotive market is especially difficult since it requires several years of qualification and cost pressure. The involvement of Tier 1s is key to bringing LiDAR to cars.” As things stand, he adds, LiDAR costs remain some ten times more expensive than cameras, and costs could rise further. This is despite the emergence of solid state LiDAR, which compared with its mechanical counterpart technology has helped realise some cost reductions whilst eliminating moving parts. “The first embedded LiDAR used by Audi used a mechanical scanning approach with an edge emitting laser at 905nm and avalanche photodiode arrays, but the cost was more than US$600,” he says. “The next LiDARs used by BMW and Volvo are expected to be even more expensive.” 36 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
Cruise acquired Strobe to help reduce the cost of LiDAR technology That said, Boulay believes that short- handle these tasks with a high degree range LiDARs with no mechanical of success, and have a distinct scanning could be cost effective and advantage in these situations. increase safety in harsh weather Meanwhile, radar can complement conditions within the next two to both technologies in adverse weather, three years. This will come at the as cameras can be impaired by snow cost of performance and complexity and fog, and LiDAR range can be when compared with long-range affected. Therefore, successful LiDAR LiDAR, but for the purposes of companies might aim to produce advanced driver assistance systems solutions that lend themselves to (ADAS), it could provide LiDAR holistic integration. companies with a much needed source of revenue, and a way to With such varied approaches in develop deeper relationships with business plans and some variations in automakers. technology, it is unclear who in the LiDAR segment will survive. Further Early LiDAR-enabled ADAS consolidation is likely, possibly applications could give a clearer among the self-driving developers picture of which sensors work best in not developing their systems in different situations. LeddarTech, a house: Argo, Cruise and Aurora have Quebec-based sensor developer, already snapped up Princeton argues It should not be assumed that Lightwave, Strobe and Blackmore LiDAR can handle every sensing respectively. Those remaining challenge: “LiDAR cannot detect companies that can establish big colours or interpret text,” wrote Preeti partnerships will benefit from some Prasher, ASIC Test Engineer, financial security and R&D funding at LeddarTech, in a blog post. a time when budgets are being “Consequently, it is extremely difficult, slashed. But with further innovation or even impossible, for LiDAR to clearly yet to be realised within the identify traffic lights or road signs.” space, one bright idea could yet put Conversely, camera-based systems can an unknown player on top. September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 37
Mild hybrids— a multi-billion euro growth opportunity alongside e-mobility? Experts from McKinsey & Company explore the technological and market opportunities within the rapidly changing powertrain landscape 38 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
T he powertrain landscape is vehicles (MHEVs) represent a changing fundamentally technological leap in the other part across global automotive of the automotive market—that is, markets and vehicles solely based on a electrification—the transition from combustion engine. What combustion engine-powered technological and market powertrains to electric powertrains— opportunities can be expected from is at the heart of this development. this technology in the rapidly Optimistic forecasts expect between changing powertrain landscape? 30% and 50% electric powertrains by 2030 in most regions. This includes From today’s viewpoint, combustion battery-powered electric vehicles engine-based powertrains will (BEVs), plug-in hybrid electric remain dominant at least for the vehicles (PHEVs), fuel-cell electric coming decade—yet with significant vehicles (FCEVs), and hybrid electric differences across key markets as the vehicles (HEVs). Mild hybrid electric speed of electrification varies. In September 2020 Automotive World Magazine 39
Exhibit 1: MHEV propulsion system architectures MHEV propulsion MHEV propulsion system system architectures architectures TM Transmission M Electric machine Eng. Internal combustion engine Differential and axis Potential MHEV architectures Most common MHEV architectures P0 Belt Engine P0 P2 Engine M Engine Clutch P1/P2 M/G P3 TM TM P4 TM The MHEV architecture (P0 – Px) is Electric machine linked to ICE through Electric machine connected directly with the characterized by the position of the accessory belt crankshaft electric machine in the powertrain ICE is supported by transmission of force onto ICE is supported by transmission of force the belt directly onto the crankshaft Source: IHS McKinsey & Company Europe and China, the share of ‘Mild hybrids’ typically refers to electric powertrains* could increase vehicles with at least one electric 48- to about 45 to 50% by 2030. In the volt (48V) motor that assists a classic US, electrification could take place at internal combustion engine (ICE) and an initially lower pace, with later a 48V battery that is charged by an acceleration to a share of about 35% electric generator recovering excess electric powertrains by 2030. The mechanical energy. Mild hybrid COVID-19 pandemic is accelerating technology can be combined with electrification in Europe and China both gasoline and diesel engines; due to additional government however, diesel mild hybrids only incentives, unchanged stringent play a role in Europe. regulation, and an increased appetite for sustainable mobility. In contrast, COVID-19 is slowing down MHEV architectures electrification in the US due to relaxed regulation, low oil prices There are different powertrain system having a significant impact on architectures for mild hybrids, as gasoline prices, and several delayed shown in Exhibit 1, but two or halted EV model launches by US- architectures are most relevant. In based OEMs. the P0 architecture—by far the most common architecture—the 48V motor Mild hybrid technology brings higher is linked to the combustion engine efficiency and lower running costs to with an accessory belt. In the P2 combustion engines and could architecture, the 48V motor is therefore provide promising connected to the crankshaft. As opportunities for OEMs, suppliers, Exhibit 2 shows, current projects and customers until electric reflect a much lower production powertrains become ubiquitous. volume of the P2 architecture in the 40 Automotive World Magazine September 2020
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