Lyme disease in British Columbia: Are we really missing an epidemic?

 
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Lyme disease in British Columbia: Are we really missing an epidemic?
B. Henry, MD, MPH, FRCPC, M. Morshed, PhD, SCCM

                                                        Lyme disease in British
                                                        Columbia: Are we really
                                                        missing an epidemic?
                                                        Results from surveillance and research on Lyme disease suggest
                                                        there is a real but low risk of contracting this tick-borne illness in BC.

                                                                                                           yme disease is a tick-borne

                                                                                                 L
      ABSTRACT: The risk of Lyme disease                endemic areas of the eastern United
      depends on climate, geography, the                States (29 per 100 000). There is no               zoonosis caused in North
      abundance of specific insect vec-                 evidence to support an epidemic of                 America by infection with
      tors, and human interaction with                  Lyme disease in BC. Responses to a                 the spirochete Borrelia burg-
      these. In BC, Ixodes pacificus, the               recent survey indicate that physi-       dorferi. Humans acquire Lyme dis-
      primary tick vector for the cause-                cians generally are aware of the low     ease through the bite of an infected
      ative spirochete, Borrelia burgdor-               but real risk of Lyme disease, know      tick.1 The principal tick vector in BC
      feri, has consistently been found in              to treat patients with clinical symp-    is the Pacific black-legged tick, Ixodes
      low numbers in populous areas, and                toms, and understand that Lyme dis-      pacificus,2 which is found throughout
      rates of infection in this tick remain            ease is preventable and treatable.       the highly populated areas of southern
      at less than 1%. Correspondingly,                 Public health authorities will contin-   BC. This situation is in contrast to
      rates of human cases of Lyme dis-                 ue to remind residents and visitors      eastern Canada and the US, where the
      ease in BC are less than 0.5 per                  to BC of the simple measures they        tick Ixodes scapularis is the most
      100 000 per year; this is similar to              can take to prevent tick bites and ex-   common vector. The low incidence of
      rates reported in US states with envi-            posure, as well as which early signs     Lyme disease in BC may be explained
      ronmental epidemiology like BC’s                  and symptoms should lead them to         by the fact that I. pacificus is a less
      and considerably less than in high                seek appropriate medical treatment.      competent vector than I. scapularis, is
                                                                                                 less abundant, and is less likely to feed
                                                                                                 on deer mice.3-5 Studies have shown
                                                                                                 that infectivity rates are lower in areas
                                                                                                 where I. pacificus predominates than
                                                                                                 in areas where I. scapularis predomi-
                                                                                                 nates. Lyme disease advocacy groups
                                                                                                 in BC have expressed concern that an

                                                                                                 Dr Henry is medical director, Vectorborne
                                                                                                 Diseases Program, BC Centre for Disease
                                                                                                 Control. She is also an assistant professor
                                                                                                 in the School of Population and Public
                                                                                                 Health at the University of British Colum-
                                                                                                 bia. Dr Morshed is program head of Zoonot-
                                                                                                 ic Diseases and Emerging Pathogens,
                                                                                                 Provincial Health Services Authority, Public
      This article has been peer reviewed.                                                       Health Reference Laboratories.

224   BC MEDICAL JOURNAL VOL.   53 NO. 5, JUNE 2011 www.bcmj.org
Lyme disease in British Columbia: Are we really missing an epidemic?

epidemic is being ignored. Surveil-
                                                                                                                 Ecological Niche
lance and research on Lyme disease in
BC indicate this is not the case.                                                                                     Optimal

Tick and mouse                                                                                                        Potential
surveillance
The BC Centre for Disease Control                                                                                     Not suitable
has actively screened ticks in over 125
areas of the province. From 1993 to
1996, 10 056 ticks were tested and 40
were found positive for B. burgdorferi
(0.40%). From 1997 to 2007, 8602
ticks were tested and 30 ticks were
found positive (0.35%), demonstrat-
ing a stable, low prevalence of infec-
tion. I. pacificus ticks were found most
commonly in the Lower Mainland and
Vancouver Island; Dermacentor ander-
soni, which is not a competent vector
for Lyme disease, was the tick identi-
fied most commonly throughout BC.
                                                0   100 200 300 400
     On Vancouver Island, active drag-
ging for ticks at 17 sites yielded only                   KM
41 ticks, mostly I. pacificus, all of
                                            Figure 1. Forecasted ecological niche of Borrelia burgdorferi in British Columbia.
which were found negative for B.
burgdorferi. Active solicitation of
ticks from veterinarians on Vancouver      population we tested 3500 deer mice             north of N51° latitude ( Figure 1 ).
Island and the Gulf Islands led to 115     by culture and found 30 (0.83%) pos-                There is concern that global warm-
tick submissions, all of which were        itive. We also tested 164 mice for anti-        ing could lead to expansion of the eco-
found negative for B. burgdorferi. In      bodies to B. burgdorferi and found 6            logical niche for the vector, resulting
the Okanagan over 2 years, 5557 D.         (3.66%) positive, demonstrating a low           in the potential for increased exposure
andersoni ticks were collected (no I.      prevalence in this reservoir.                   to infected ticks in BC.7 Our models
pacificus ticks were found). Of 110                                                        indicate a modest geographic range
ticks randomly tested for B. burgdor-      Ecological niche modeling                       expansion for Ixodes ticks and B. burg-
feri by culture and PCR, all were          In order to identify areas with risk of         dorferi based on 2050 climate warm-
found negative. A total of 219 deer        Lyme disease transmission in BC, we             ing projections; however, the areas
mice were trapped from the same            undertook ecological niche modeling             where expansion might occur are
areas and tested for antibodies to B.      for both ticks and B. burgdorferi infec-        sparsely populated and the densely
burgdorferi by the National Microbi-       tion and assessed the potential impact          populated centres of southern and in-
ology Laboratory in Winnipeg, and all      of climate change. Modeling identi-             terior BC are already within the exist-
were found to be negative.                 fied optimal environmental condi-               ing ecological niche of B. burgdor-
     We receive 800 to 1000 ticks from     tions in south coastal BC (i.e., Van-           feri. There are also variable local
physicians, veterinarians, and the pub-    couver Island, Lower Mainland, and              habitats within regions, so exact risks
lic every year. Approximately half are     Sunshine Coast) and interior BC val-            within a region may vary greatly.
I. pacificus, of which one to two per      ley regions.6 The habitat in these areas            Lyme disease may also, though
year are found to be positive for B.       is characterized by low-lying vegeta-           rarely, be acquired from “adventi-
burgdorferi.                               tion such as high grass and brush, with         tious” ticks that drop off migrating
     The major mammalian reservoir         abundant leaf litter and a nearby water         birds. These ticks pose a theoretical
for B. burgdorferi in BC is the deer       source. Niche modeling demonstrates             risk of infection during the summer
mouse. To assess prevalence in this        that B. burgdorferi is generally absent         months throughout the province.8

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Lyme disease in British Columbia: Are we really missing an epidemic?

                                                                                                   Physician awareness
                                                                                                   In 2008 we conducted a survey of
                    16      Travel                                                                 physicians in BC. We modified a pre-
                            Endemic                                                                viously validated questionnaire11 to
                    14
                                                                                                   collect data on respondent demogra-
                    12                                                                             phics and general knowledge of Lyme
                                                                                                   disease. The survey included ques-
                    10
                                                                                                   tions about geographic risk percep-
           Number

                     8                                                                             tion, laboratory testing, and three clin-
                                                                                                   ical scenarios. Physicians were also
                     6                                                                             asked whether they were aware that
                                                                                                   Lyme disease is reportable.
                     4
                                                                                                       We sent questionnaires to all
                     2                                                                             pediatricians, internists, and family
                                                                                                   practitioners who gave a BC address
                     0
                         1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008               as their practice address. The response
                                                                                                   rate was 32% (1673/5199). Of these
                                                        Year                                       respondents, 148 (8%) recalled diag-
                                                                                                   nosing 221 cases of Lyme disease in
       Figure 2. Number of endemic and travel-related cases of Lyme disease in BC between 1997     2007, while 58% of family physicians
       and 2008. Travel-related cases include patients with exposure histories in countries with
       endemic Lyme disease.
                                                                                                   and 66% of specialists indicated they
                                                                                                   knew Lyme disease is reportable.
                                                                                                       Physicians scored high on the
      Human surveillance                                                                           knowledge questions, with over 90%
      We used capture-recapture methodolo-              to that of Washington and California,      correctly identifying the signs and
      gy and a review of BC’s three sources             with yearly incidence rates of less than   symptoms of Lyme disease as well as
      of passive surveillance (laboratory               0.5 per 100 000 population (including      the causative agent and incubation
      data, enhanced surveillance forms,                travel-related cases). These rates have    period. Fewer were aware that erythe-
      and cases reported on the public health           remained stable over the past 10 years.    ma migrans ( Figure 3 ) on its own is
      information system) to estimate the               In contrast, the incidence of Lyme dis-    diagnostic. The mean overall knowl-
      annual number of Lyme disease cases               ease in the 10 highly endemic states in    edge score was 74% (8.9/12).
      in BC between 1997 and 2008, to                   US is 29.2 per 100 000 people,9 indi-          Three clinical scenarios were pre-
      develop a more accurate estimate of               cating important differences in both       sented: Scenario 1 involved a patient
      the burden of disease, and to compare             disease risk and burden of illness.        with erythema migrans and no labor-
      BC with Washington, California, and                   Capture-recapture methods show         atory testing; more than half (57%)
      high-endemic areas in the eastern US.             underreporting of Lyme disease does        of all respondents answered correctly
           Ninety-three cases of Lyme disease           occur in BC. The best model places         (“give antibiotics at this time”), while
      were identified over the 12-year period           the corrected number of cases in BC        one-third opted to first test for Lyme
      ( Figure 2 ); 45 patients (48.4%) were            between 1997 and 2008 at 142 (95%          disease. Scenario 2 involved an asymp-
      male and most were between 41 and                 CI:111-224), for a maximum incidence       tomatic patient with history of a tick
      70 years of age (mean age 43.7 years,             of 0.5 per 100 000 population. Under-      bite; 56% indicated correctly they
      range 3.5–80.6). One-third of patients            reporting is common for rare diseases      would educate and reassure the pa-
      acquired their illness outside of BC.             when surveillance is passive.10 Wheth-     tient. Scenario 3 involved a patient
      The mean age of patients with travel-             er underreporting results from clinical    with arthritis, no history of erythema
      related disease was 40.4 years, young-            cases being treated without testing        migrans, and multiple negative tests
      er than those who acquired Lyme dis-              and not reported or whether cases are      for Lyme disease; 82% correctly re-
      ease in BC (mean age 44.8 years).                 truly not diagnosed is not known. To       ported they would investigate causes
           The annual incidence rate of Lyme            help gain insight into this question       other than Lyme disease, or refer the
      disease in BC ranged from 0.1 to 0.3              we looked at physician awareness of        patient to a specialist.
      per 100 000 population, a rate similar            Lyme disease in BC.                            Several questions addressed phy-

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Lyme disease in British Columbia: Are we really missing an epidemic?

sicians’ perceptions of risk in their       or symptoms and positive laboratory
community of practice. When asked           tests, establishes the diagnosis of Lyme
about their patients’ risk of develop-      disease.13 Erythema migrans is an an-
ing Lyme disease after a tick bite, 94%     nular, slowly expanding erythematous
of respondents indicated they believed      lesion, usually 5 cm or greater in diam-
their patients faced some risk. Logis-      eter, that may exhibit partial central
tic regression modeling showed that         clearing or central necrosis, giving a
physicians have a good understanding        bull’s-eye appearance. Erythema mi-
of the spatial distribution of risk with-   grans typically occurs 7 to 14 days
in the province, with greater risk per-     after infection (range 3 to 30 days),
ceived in areas where ecological con-       and in some cases secondary lesions
ditions are most suitable for disease       may occur.14 In contrast, a localized
transmission.                               tick-bite reaction occurs within hours
    The final questions of the survey       of the bite, expands over hours, and
addressed physician perceptions of          resolves within 48 hours. In studies,
patients requesting evaluation for          erythema migrans rash occurs in at
Lyme disease because of nonspecific         least 80% of all patients with Lyme
symptoms such as fatigue and muscu-         disease and 90% of children.15 Pa-
loskeletal pains. While a majority          tients can also experience symptoms
(79% of family physicians and 72% of        of fatigue, chills, fever, headache, and
specialists) indicated they believed        migratory arthralgias, and lymphaden-          Figure 3. Erythema migrans.
that their patients’ symptoms were          opathy, which may last several weeks
                                                                                          Source: CDC/James Gathany
caused by something other than Lyme         if untreated.
disease, 31% of family physicians and           Untreated infection can spread over
12% of specialists reported they had        several weeks or months and lead to                Most cases of Lyme disease are
treated such patients for Lyme disease      three main syndromes:                         successfully treated with antibiotics.
because of patient concern.                 • Neurological. Neurological abnor-           Treatment is most effective if begun
    This survey shows physicians are          malities can include aseptic menin-         early in the course of illness. Howev-
knowledgeable about and aware of the          gitis, cranial neuritis, Bell palsy, and    er, a small percentage of patients have
risk of Lyme disease in BC, despite           radiculoneuritis. Such abnormalities        lingering symptoms that last months
the province being a low endemic              affect about 5% of untreated patients.      to years even after appropriate treat-
area. It is also apparent physicians in     • Musculoskeletal. Musculoskeletal            ment. Symptoms include muscle and
BC are comfortable with treating pa-          manifestations can include migrato-         joint pain, arthritis, cognitive defects,
tients empirically, in many cases based       ry joint and muscle pains without           sleep disturbance, and fatigue. The
on patient concern. More cases are            objective signs of swelling.                cause of these symptoms is not known,
clinically diagnosed and treated than       • Cardiac. Rarely occurring cardiac           although there is some evidence that
are reported to public health.                manifestations can include atrioven-        they result from an autoimmune res-
                                              tricular block and acute myoperi-           ponse. Long-term antibiotic treatment
Clinical picture                              carditis.                                   has been found to be of no benefit in
Ticks are most likely to transmit infec-        Weeks to years after onset of in-         patients with long-term symptoms,
tion after being attached for more than     fection (mean 6 months) episodes of           and has been associated with some-
24 hours of feeding, making prompt          swelling and pain in large joints (espe-      times severe adverse effects, includ-
detection and removal of ticks a key        cially the knees) can occur in up to          ing death.17,18
way to prevent Lyme disease. A tick         60% of untreated patients, leading to              In addition, a group of patients
attached for less than 24 hours is un-      chronic arthritis. Some patients devel-       with nonspecific symptoms such as
likely to transmit infection, even if it    op chronic axonal polyneuropathy or           fatigue, memory changes, and muscu-
is infected with B. burgdorferi.12          encephalopathy. Lyme disease is rare-         loskeletal pain have been identified
     Erythema migrans diagnosed on          ly fatal, although patients with late         by some physicians as suffering from
physical examination, even in the           disseminated disease can have severe,         “chronic Lyme disease” despite mul-
absence of other Lyme-specific signs        chronic, and disabling symptoms.16            tiple negative laboratory tests and no

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Lyme disease in British Columbia: Are we really missing an epidemic?

      history of acute disease. This syndrome           by the US Centers for Disease Control        standard and unproven ways. As a
      is the subject of ongoing scientific              and Association of State and Territori-      result, these laboratories can return a
      research, with a number of possible               al Public Health Laboratory Directors.       positive result that is not reproducible
      infectious and noninfectious causes               • Step 1: Enzyme immnoassay (EIA)            by public health laboratories follow-
      being investigated. One recently dis-               (VIDAS, BioMériux, France). This is        ing the internationally recognized pro-
      covered virus, Xenotropic murine leu-               a very sensitive test, meaning it will     tocols. For example, some private US
      kemia virus, has been associated with               detect almost all true cases of Lyme       labs use only one marker for IgM and
      a similar syndrome in some studies19                disease but will also react if a patient   only three markers for IgG Western
                                                                                                     blot tests, which can result in a false-
                                                                                                     positive result and a high rate of cross-
                                                                                                     reactivity with other infections.21 This
                                                                                                     can lead not only to unnecessary treat-
                                                                                                     ment for Lyme disease, but can also
      Early treatment prevents late                                                                  prevent patients from receiving treat-
                                                                                                     ment for the condition that is actually
      complications and should be                                                                    causing their symptoms.
      initiated on clinical suspicion                                                                    Antibody tests may be negative
                                                                                                     early after infection by B. burgdorferi,
      pending laboratory results.                                                                    as it may take several weeks to devel-
                                                                                                     op antibodies. If the diagnosis is
                                                                                                     unclear and acute serology is nega-
                                                                                                     tive, a convalescent test 2 to 4 weeks
                                                                                                     later may aid in diagnosis. Because
                                                                                                     erythema migrans is considered diag-
      but not in others.20 There is a need for            has certain other diseases, including      nostic for Lyme disease, a patient pre-
      further research into the cause of this             mononucleosis, lupus, and various          senting with this distinctive rash
      syndrome and therapeutic options for                microbial infections.                      requires no further testing. However,
      people who are suffering from its                 • S t e p 2 : We s t e r n b l o t ( W B )   a patient with erythema migrans treat-
      debilitating symptoms.                              (MARDX, Trinity Biotech Co., CA,           ed early with antibiotics may not
                                                          US). This test is conducted on a           develop antibodies. If the patient pres-
      Diagnostic testing in BC                            specimen that yields positive or           ents with other symptoms of Lyme
      With the exception of direct detection              equivocal/indeterminate EIA results.       disease and erythema migrans is atyp-
      of B. burgdorferi from biopsy speci-                It is a very specific test that can dis-   ical or absent, serologic testing should
      mens of erythema migrans rash, there                tinguish between true-positive and         be done at initial presentation and
      is no validated direct test for the B.              false-positive results from the EIA.       repeated after 2 weeks. Early treat-
      burgdorferi bacterium in blood or                   Western blot IgM is considered reac-       ment prevents late complications and
      other samples and the organism can-                 tive when two markers (out of three        should be initiated based on clinical
      not be easily cultured. Laboratory test-            required markers) are identified, and      suspicion pending laboratory results.
      ing for Lyme disease relies on detec-               Western blot IgG is considered reac-           Even after curative antibiotic treat-
      tion of antibodies in blood. Because                tive when five markers (out of ten         ment, antibodies may persist in the
      antibodies to B. burgdorferi proteins               required markers) are identified.          blood for years, meaning that a posi-
      can be induced by infection with                      These tests, taken together, show        tive antibody test after treatment does
      microbes other than B. burgdorferi,13             whether a patient has ever been ex-          not indicate treatment failure. Because
      antibody tests can yield false-positive           posed to B. burgdorferi. Positive results    of long-term persistence of antibod-
      results unless properly interpreted.              do not demonstrate active infection          ies, asymptomatic patients should not
          A two-step process to test for evi-           and must be interpreted in light of          be retested, as a positive test result can
      dence of Lyme disease is used by the              patient history and symptoms.                be misleading.
      Public Health Laboratories of the BC                  Some commercial laboratories use             In BC for the past 10 years, PHSA
      Provincial Health Services Authority              either discredited tests (such as urine      laboratories have consistently receiv-
      (PHSA), following recommendations                 antigen tests) or interpret tests in non-    ed about 3000 patient samples for

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Lyme disease in British Columbia: Are we really missing an epidemic?

serological testing for Lyme disease               Emerg Infect Dis 2006;12:604-611.             14. Wormser GP, Dattwyler RJ, Shapiro ED,
yearly. Of these specimens, about 90           3. Steere AC, Coburn J, Glickstein L. The             et al. The clinical assessment, treatment,
have had positive or indeterminate                 emergence of Lyme disease. J Clin                 and prevention of Lyme disease, human
results on EIA and 7 to 12 cases of                Invest 2004;113:1093-1101.                        granulocytic anaplasmosis, and babesio-
Lyme disease have subsequently been            4. Dolan MC, Maupin GO, Panella NA, et al.            sis: Clinical practice guidelines by the
confirmed by WB.                                   Vector competence of Ixodes scapularis,           Infectious Diseases Society of America.
                                                   I. spinipalpis, and Dermacentor ander-            Clin Infect Dis 2006;43:1089-1134.
Conclusions                                        soni (Acari:Ixodidae) in transmitting Bor-    15. Gerber MA, Shapiro ED, Burke GS, et al.
There is no evidence to support an epi-            relia burgdorferi, the etiologic agent of         Lyme disease in children in southeastern
demic of Lyme disease in BC. The pri-              Lyme disease. J Med Entomol 1997;                 Connecticut. Pediatric Lyme Disease
mary vector, I. pacificus, is found in             34:128-135.                                       Study Group. N Engl J Med 1996;335:
populous areas in consistently low             5. Casher L, Lane R, Barrett R, et al. Rela-          1270-1274.
numbers, and rates of infection in the             tive importance of lizards and mammals        16. Feder HM Jr, Johnson BJ, O’Connell S,
tick population remain less than 1%.               as hosts for ixodid ticks in northern Cali-       et al. A critical appraisal of “chronic Lyme
Human case rates in BC are less than               fornia. Exp Appl Acarol 2002;26:127-143.          disease.” N Engl J Med 2007;357:1422-
0.5 per 100 000.                               6. Mak S, Morshed M, Henry B. Ecological              1430.
    A recent survey of clinicians con-             niche modeling of Lyme disease in             17. Patel R, Grogg KL, Edwards WD, et al.
firms doctors have good knowledge                  British Columbia, Canada. J Med Ento-             Death from inappropriate therapy for
of Lyme disease, are comfortable                   mol 2010;47:99-105.                               Lyme disease. Clin Infect Dis 2000;31:
making a diagnosis given clinical              7. Brownstein JS, Holford TR, Fish D. Effect          1107-1109.
signs and symptoms, and appropriate-               of climate change on Lyme disease risk        18. Holzbauer S, Kemperman M, Lynfield R.
ly use laboratory testing to assist in             in North America. Ecohealth 2005;2:38-            Death due to community-associated
diagnosis for those patients suffering             46.                                               Clostridium difficile in a woman receiv-
nonspecific signs and symptoms.                8. Morshed M, Scott J, Fernando K, et al.             ing prolonged antibiotic therapy for sus-
    Further research is needed to devel-           Migratory songbirds disperse ticks                pected Lyme disease. Clin Infect Dis
op diagnostic tests and treatment pro-             across Canada, and first isolation of the         2010;51:369-370.
tocols for patients suffering from non-            Lyme disease spirochete, Borrelia burg-       19. Lombardi V, Ruscetti F, Das Gupta J, et
specific, debilitating symptoms that               dorferi, from the avian tick, Ixodes aurit-       al. Detection of an infectious retrovirus,
some physicians attribute to “chronic              ulus. J Parasitol 2005;91:780-790.                XMRV, in blood cells of patients with
Lyme disease.” Otherwise, Lyme dis-            9. Centers for Disease Control and Preven-            chronic fatigue syndrome. Science 2009;
ease is a preventable and treatable                tion. Lyme disease—United States,                 326: 585-595.
illness, and public health authorities             2003-2005. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly              20. Erlwein O, Kaye S, McClure MO, et al.
will continue to remind residents and              Rep 2007;56:573-576.                              Failure to detect the novel retrovirus
visitors to the province of the simple         10. Doyle TJ, Glynn MK, Groseclose SL.                XMRV in chronic fatigue syndrome. PLoS
measures they can take to prevent tick             Completeness of notifiable infectious             One 2010;5:e8519.
bites and exposure as well as the signs            disease reporting in the United States:       21. US Centers for Disease Control and Pre-
and symptoms of acute illness so they              An analytical literature review. Am J Epi-        vention. Notice to readers: Caution re-
can seek appropriate medical treat-                demiol 2002;155:866-874.                          garding testing for Lyme disease.
ment.                                          11. Magri JM, Johnson MT, Herring TA, et al.          MMWR Morb. Mortal Wkly Rep 2005;
                                                   Lyme disease knowledge, beliefs, and              54:125.
Competing interests                                practices of New Hampshire primary
None declared.                                     care physicians. J Am Board Fam Pract
                                                   2002;15:277-284.
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