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Libya Weekly
Operational Preview
April 11, 2021
Prepared by:
Risk Analysis Team, Libya
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
© 2021 GardaWorld Proprietary
1
Table of Contents
Outlook .................................................................................................. 3
Short Term Outlook .............................................................................................................................. 3
Medium to Long Term Outlook ............................................................................................................. 3
Executive Summary ............................................................................... 3
Political Developments ......................................................................................................................... 3
Security Developments ......................................................................................................................... 4
Infrastructure ........................................................................................................................................ 4
Coronavirus .......................................................................................................................................... 4
Threat Matrix .......................................................................................... 5
Key Dates .............................................................................................. 5
Assessment ........................................................................................... 5
Political Developments ......................................................................................................................... 5
Security Developments ......................................................................................................................... 6
Coronavirus .......................................................................................................................................... 6
Regional Assessment ............................................................................ 6
Tripolitania Region ................................................................................................................................ 6
Cyrenaica Region ................................................................................................................................. 7
Fezzan Region ..................................................................................................................................... 8
Acronym List .......................................................................................... 9
GardaWorld.......................................................................................... 10
Information Services ........................................................................................................................... 10
Global Leader in Comprehensive Security and Risk Management.................................................... 10
This is an abridged version of the GardaWorld Weekly Libya .Xplored report. To subscribe to
our full report or to request a quote for security services in Libya please contact Nicholas
Bennett, Regional Director, Libya.
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
2Outlook
Short Term Outlook
▪ The political landscape in Libya continues to evolve at a pace. The new Presidential Council (PC)
is driving forward, keen to realign international stakeholders and promote domestic reconciliation
and reconstruction. The formation of the Government of National Unity (GNU) is another major
milestone in the country’s progress back to stability, but both the GNU and PC face a number of
challenges in the coming months as the country prepares to move to elections in December.
▪ While the political environment is seeing significant movement, the military situation remains
stagnant. The Sirte to Jufra frontline remains in situ, as do foreign fighters. The situation is however
calm, although there remains the potential for isolated incidents in response to political
developments. The 5+5 Joint Military Commission continues its work, but it is unclear how much
progress can be expected this year with the GNU restricted in how much it can meaningfully shape
the security track.
▪ COVID-19 continues to affect Libya and travel in and out through Turkey and Tunisia although, at
present, PCR testing is helping to keep travel corridors open. The country is expected to begin its
delayed vaccination program and despite localized lockdowns and curfews, coronavirus continues
to have little effect on normal daily life.
▪ Crime (including carjacking's, armed robberies, murders, and kidnappings) remain common in
many areas of the country with perpetrators exploiting local gaps in security to carry out attacks.
Crime reporting remains high across all regions.
Medium to Long Term Outlook
▪ The successful implementation of the new PC and GNU are notable achievements, putting Libya
back on a path to unity, but many threats to this progress remain. In many respects, the GNU has
been seen as a relatively weak body, but this could work in Libya’s favour, leaving the prime minister
room to continue driving the process forward as he builds a broad support base across the various
factions. The country is gearing up for elections in December 2021, an ambitious timeframe that
will need various foundations to be laid in the months ahead by the new government.
▪ Islamic State continues to suffer attrition in Libya and remains mostly dormant from an operational
perspective. However, political fragility will continue to present conditions in which the group could
begin to reconstitute some of its capability and it retains a presence in the country. Increasing
political unity could prove a motivating factor for the group to try and destabilise Libya as it moves
towards scheduled elections in December. Other terrorist factions also remain active with some
representing a kidnap threat, especially in more remote areas, while some have exploited the last
conflict with the LNA to embed themselves within security forces in Tripoli.
Executive Summary
Political Developments
▪ The new Presidential Council has continued high levels of domestic and international engagement.
The Prime Ministers of Malta and Italy as well as the EU Council President all visited Tripoli this
week as a number of nations look to reopen their embassies and consulates. The return of
international diplomats to Tripoli and Benghazi marks a new era after conflict saw many leave.
Prime Minister (GNU) Abdulhamid Dbeibah also conducted visits to both Kuwait and the UAE.
▪ Bilateral relations with Greece have been restored after a visit by the Greek Prime Minister,
Kyriakos Mitsotakis, to Tripoli. Efforts are now underway to reopen their embassy and consulate.
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
▪ The Head of the Presidential Council, Mohamed Menfi, launched the National Reconciliation
Commission on April 05. The move is part of a comprehensive national reconciliation effort by the
new government which saw a number of visits by both Menfi and Debibah to marginalized and
3areas in need of reconstruction through the week. National reconciliation efforts are expected to
focus on reconstruction and the provision of services by the government, the latter of which is a
key policy for the GNU.
▪ The legal committee of the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum (LPDF) met in Tunisia this week and
was able to agree on the constitutional norms. It is now due to present these along with its final
report to the LPDF. This reportedly includes a mechanism for the President to be appointed by the
HoR rather than a popular vote. Unconfirmed reports have suggested that the agreement was
strongly opposed by six of the 18 committee members, all of who are reportedly linked to the
Muslim Brotherhood.
Security Developments
▪ The head of the Zuwara Security Directorate, Imad Al-Din Masoud Abaza, was detained by a
suspected SDF force on April 06. The arrest triggered a demonstration at the entrance to the nearby
Mellitah Oil & Gas Facility however reports indicate that the facility remained operational.
▪ SDF targeted security force elements in Tripoli as well through the week. On April 05, Ayan Anjim,
a member of TRB who holds a command position at the Ain Zara/Ruwaimi prison, was arrested.
On April 09, SDF carried out a raid at the 427 Battalion Border Guard Camp to arrest what they
called “criminal elements.”
▪ Tensions between SDF and the General Security Agency (Zintani) have also continued in the Hay
Andalous and Gorji areas after SDF again attempted to enter the area on April 04. As with previous
incidents, the General Security Agency forced SDF to withdraw and fired shots into the air in a
warning to stay out with tensions remaining high into the following day. On April 07, a minor clash
occurred between the two armed groups.
▪ The General Authority for Research and Identification of Missing Persons announced that two
further mass graves were discovered in the Alrabet area of Tarhuna. These are the latest to be
discovered in the area with reporting suggesting most, if not all, are dating back to the last offensive
on Tripoli when the town was controlled by Kani Brigade (aka 9 Brigade after they aligned with the
LNA). At least 300 bodies have been found so far in several mass graves in the town since the end
of the conflict.
▪ Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) has confirmed that one person was killed and two teenagers were
wounded in a shooting at the Al Mabani Investigation and Deportation Unit in Tripoli on April 08.
Indiscriminate shots were reportedly fired at detained migrants by guards after tensions rose in the
overcrowded facility.
Infrastructure
▪ The Man-Made River Authority (MMRA) announced that approximately 170 wells are out of service
due to sabotage and illegal connections. The statement was made following a visit to the Al-
Hasawna Water System to assess the effect of recent attacks on the feeding wells. The MMRA
warned that the continued attacks and the inability to protect the project threatened the water supply
in the west of the country.
Coronavirus
▪ Prime Minister Debibah has received his first COVID-19 vaccination dose on April 10 as Libya looks
to kick start its vaccination program. This came as Libya received 100,000 doses of the Sputnik V
vaccination. This is the third shipment of vaccinations into the country and the second of the Sputnik
vaccine which are being provided by the UAE. The GNU has announced that the vaccination of
vulnerable groups, medical personnel, and the elderly is to start within the next few days.
▪ The COVID-19 curfew in Sirte was lifted on April 09 after a decision by the Steering Council. A
partial lockdown is in place in Benghazi while lockdowns are still in effect in Sabha, Kabaw, Jadu,
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
and Gharyan however local reports suggest these are not being widely adhered to.
4Threat Matrix
Region Political Terrorism Militancy Crime Kidnap
Tripolitania High-Extreme High High High High
Tripoli Extreme High High High High
Cyrenaica High Moderate Low Moderate Moderate-High
Benghazi High-Extreme Moderate-High Moderate High High
Fezzan High High-Extreme High High High
Sabha High High-Extreme High High-Extreme High
Threat Scale Minimal Low Moderate High Extreme
Key Dates
Date Occasion Comment
April 12, 2021 Beginning of Ramadan +/- 1 day
May 01, 2021 May Day Public Holiday
May 12 - 14, 2021 Eid al-Fitr Public Holiday
July 19, 2021 Day of Arafah Public Holiday
July 20 – 22, 2021 Eid al-Adha Public Holiday
Assessment
Political Developments
Dbeibah and Kubis visit the UAE
Late on April 07, Prime Minister Dbeibah met with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed Bin Zayed
al-Nahyan in the UAE. Sheikh Mohamed tweeted the following morning that it had been “an honour” to
meet Libya’s new prime minister. He further stated: “Libya will overcome its challenges and we stand
at the side of the Libyan people at this critical moment. The new road map will hopefully lead to stability
and unity.” He also stated that the UAE “is looking forward to further growing these relations over the
coming period.”
The meeting was followed by a three-day visit by SRSG Jan Kubis who met with Minister of Foreign
Affairs and international cooperation, Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed bin Sultan Al-Nahyan, State Minister
of Foreign Affairs, Khalifa Shaheen al-Marar, and Diplomatic Advisor to the President, Dr. Anwar
Gargash.
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
5Security Developments
SDF actively targeting security force members
The Special Deterrence Force (SDF) has been active this week, targeting members of other security
forces.
▪ On April 05, the force arrested Ayan Anjim, a member of TRB who holds a command position at
the Ain Zara/Ruwaimi prison. He was released soon after.
▪ On April 06, SDF was reportedly behind the arrest of the head of the Zuwara Security Directorate,
Imad Al-Din Masoud Abaza, on the authority of the Public Prosecutor.
▪ On April 04, SDF attempted to enter the Hay Andalous area, resulting in shots fired by General
Security Agency. Tensions continued to simmer until a minor clash occurred between the two on
April 07 in which two people were wounded.
▪ On 09 April, SDF raided the 427 Battalion Border Guard/ Thunderbolt Camp in Salahuddin to arrest
members for various crimes including carjackings, kidnappings, and prostitution. A clash ensued
following the raid in which one fighter was killed.
Coronavirus
Reported cases have continued the recent upward trend with 5531 incidents reported compared to
5445 last week. Libya has now received its third shipment of vaccines and is expected to begin its
delayed vaccination program.
Regional Assessment
Tripolitania Region
Significant Incidents
▪ Kidnap - Apr 04 01:00, Tripoli Province, Abu Saleem: Two females were kidnapped by unknown
perpetrators. The SSA responded to the incident.
▪ Armed clash - Apr 04 02:30, Tripoli Province, Hay Andalous: A dispute between SDF and members
of the General Security Agency resulted in the discharge of weapons in the Tuesday Market area.
▪ Murder/ Execution - Apr 04 19:00, Tripoli Province, Suq al-Juma: A taxi driver named as Taha
Ma'ref was shot and killed.
▪ Kidnap - Apr 04 22:00, Sirte Province, Sirte: An individual was kidnapped in the al-Naqah area of
the city.
▪ Arrest - Apr 05, Tripoli Province, Ben Ashour: TRB member Ayad Anjim was arrested by SDF
(RADA) forces. He was reportedly released at some point on Apr 5 or 6.
▪ Security Operation - Apr 05 14:10, Al-Jafara Province, Aziziyah: A RADA security operation was
reported in the Aziziyah area involving the use of searches and VCPs.
▪ IDF - Apr 06 00:00, Tripoli Province, Abu Sitta: A suspected IDF impact was reported in the area
of the Diabetic Clinic on Al Shat Road.
▪ Arrest - Apr 06 06:00, Nuqat Al-Khams Province, Zuwara: The arrest of the Head of the Zuwara
Security Directorate was arrested by suspected SDF personnel.
▪ Border Closure - Apr 06 12:00, Nuqat Al-Khams Province, Ras Ajdir: The border crossing at Ras
Ajdir was reportedly blocked with sandbanks in response to the earlier arrest of the Head of the
Zuwara Security Directorate.
▪ Demonstration - Apr 06 12:00, Nuqat Al-Khams Province, Mellitah Terminal: An armed group was
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
reported at the main entrance to Mellitah O&G complex. The gathering was in relation to the earlier
arrest in Zuwara. The group withdrew after approximately 1hr.
▪ CP/ Roadblock - Apr 06 12:00, Nuqat Al-Khams Province, Ajaylat: CPs were established in the
Sabratha and Ajaylat areas following the earlier arrest.
6▪ Demonstration - Apr 06 12:30, Nuqat Al-Khams Province, Mellitah Terminal: Protestors forced the
closure of the main gate at Mellitah. The protest is in response to the arrest of the Head of the
Zuwara Security Directorate.
▪ SAF - Apr 06 23:00, Tripoli Province, Wadi Alrabea: SAF was reported in the area of the MMR CP.
▪ Murder/ Execution - Apr 07 15:30, Al-Jabal Al-Gharbi Province, Gharyan: An individual was shot
and killed in a targeted attack near Gharyan power station.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 07 22:00, Tripoli Province, Tripoli: An armed clash was reported between GSA
and SDF forces resulting in two injured.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 08 19:00, Az Zawiyah Province, Sabratah: An armed clash was reported
between a youth group and an unknown militia.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 08 19:00, Al-Murqub Province, Zliten: An armed clash was reported in the area
of Asmarya University.
▪ SAF - Apr 08Evening, Tripoli Province, Mabani IDU: One person was killed and two teenagers
were wounded in a shooting at the Al Mabani Investigation and Deportation Unit (IDU).
▪ Assault - Apr 09 12:30, Misrata Province, Misrata: A number of expatriate staff reportedly assaulted
members of the Municipal Guard after the latter had seized belongings.
▪ Murder/ Execution - Apr 09 14:50, Tripoli Province, Salahuddin: An armed group member was
murdered.
▪ Armed Attack - Apr 09 16:30, Misrata Province, Wadi Zamzam: An armed group forced the closure
of the Wadi Zamzam Municipal Building in protest over the appointment of a new mayor.
▪ Sabotage - Apr 09 21:00, Sirte Province, Acadouko Conference Hall: An armed group targeted the
Audit Bureau office near the Acadouko Conference Hall. Items were also stolen.
▪ Security Operation - Apr 09 23:00, Tripoli Province, Simfero Salahuddin: SDF carried out a raid on
the 427 Battalion Border Guard Camp/ Thunderbolt in Salahuddin, in an attempt to arrest armed
group members allegedly involved in kidnappings, carjackings, robberies, and prostitution.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 09 23:30, Tripoli Province, Simfero Salahuddin: A separate armed group
reportedly responded to the SDF raid at 427 Battalion Border Guard Camp resulting in clashes with
SDF. One fighter was killed while others received minor injuries. Further arrests were also made by
SDF.
▪ Murder/ Execution - Apr 10 23:30, Nuqat Al-Khams Province, Ajaylat: Essam al-Taieb was killed
in an armed confrontation with the Shalfuh militia.
Cyrenaica Region
Significant Incidents
▪ Kidnap - Apr 04, Benghazi Province, Fuwayha: An individual was kidnapped by an unknown group.
▪ IDF - Apr 04 02:00, Benghazi Province, Bohdema: A suspected IDF launch was reported in the
Bohdema area.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 04 02:00, Benghazi Province, Laithi: An armed clash was reported in the Al-
Laithi area.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 04 03:00, Benghazi Province, Benghazi: A suspected armed clash was reported
in the Al Hawari area.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 05 00:00, Benghazi Province, Benghazi: An armed clash was reported in the
Wahaisha area.
▪ Kidnap - Apr 05 20:50, Benghazi Province, Fuwayha: An alleged member of the Internal Security
Agency was kidnapped in the area of the Daqadosta Buildings.
▪ Kidnap - Apr 05 23:00, Benghazi Province, Benghazi: Following an attempted kidnapping of
Egyptian nationals an armed clash was reported between the perpetrators and the security
response.
▪ Other - Apr 07 18:55, Al-Wahat Province, Ajdabiya: A conference being held by the Ajadibya youth
forum was disrupted by Internal Security forces. The forum was primarily discussing the return of
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
IDPs, national reconciliation, and institutional security weaknesses.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 07 19:30, Benghazi Province, Daryanah: An armed clash in Daryanah resulted
in the death of a CID officer.
7▪ Kidnap - Apr 09 23:00, Benghazi Province, Benina Airport: An employee of Libyan Airlines was
reported to have been kidnapped near Benina Airport.
▪ Murder/ Execution - Apr 10 21:00, Benghazi Province, Garyounis: The bodies of three unidentified
females were found in the Garyounis area. The victims were believed to have been kidnapped.
Fezzan Region
Significant Incidents
▪ Armed Robbery - Apr 04 12:30, Sabha Province, Bardi: A truck driver was the victim of an armed
robbery in the Bardi area.
▪ Armed Robbery - Apr 04 13:30, Sabha Province, Sabha: A local national was the victim of an
armed robbery in the Secondary area.
▪ Murder/ Execution - Apr 04 18:00, Murzuq Province, Umm Al-Aranib: A local national was shot and
killed.
▪ Armed Robbery - Apr 05 23:00, Sabha Province, Sabha: A Sudanese national was killed during an
armed robbery.
▪ Murder/ Execution - Apr 06 00:00, Sabha Province, Sabha: Two African nationals were killed in a
targeted attack.
▪ Threat Warning - Apr 07, Wadi Al-Hayaa Province, Sharara Oilfield: PFG members threatened to
force the stoppage of export operations on Shahara Oil field if their field allowance payment is not
reinstated within two weeks.
▪ Armed Robbery - Apr 07 12:30, Sabha Province, Sabha: A truck driver was robbed of cash, phones
and other valuables in the area of the Arts Faculty.
▪ Kidnap - Apr 07 20:00, Sabha Province, Samnu: Three local nationals were kidnapped in the al-
Zighan area.
▪ Carjacking - Apr 08 13:00, Sabha Province, Abdul Kafi: An armed carjacking was reported in the
Abdul Kafi area.
▪ Murder/ Execution - Apr 08 21:00, Wadi Al-Hayaa Province, Obari: An individual was reportedly
detained, tortured, and killed in the Obari area.
▪ Kidnap - Apr 08 23:00, Sabha Province, Mansheya: Three Sudanese nationals were reportedly
kidnapped in the Mansheya area.
▪ Kidnap - Apr 09 12:00, Sabha Province, Sabha: A child was kidnapped and possibly killed in an
incident in the Secondary area.
▪ Armed Robbery - Apr 10 19:00, Sabha Province, Balqees Clinic: Ismail Amoush Al-Targi was killed
during an armed robbery near the Balqees Clinic.
▪ Kidnap - Apr 10 20:00, Al-Jufra Province, Sawknah: Three Egyptian nationals were kidnapped
between Sawknah and Hun.
▪ Armed Clash - Apr 10 22:30, Sabha Province, Jadid Agricultural Area: An armed robbery in which
the victim died earlier in the day resulted in armed clashes.
Disclaimer: The information and opinions expressed in this Report are the views of GardaWorld and constitute a
judgment as at the date of the Report and are subject to change without notice. The information and opinions
expressed in this Report have been formed in good faith on the basis of the best information and intelligence
available at the time of writing, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy,
completeness or correctness. GardaWorld accepts no liability arising out of or in connection with the comments
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
made or the information set out in this Report and the reader is advised that any decision taken to act or not to
act in reliance on this Report is taken solely at the reader's own risk. In particular, the comments in this Report
should not be construed as advice, legal or otherwise.
8Acronym List
AQ - Al-Qaeda
BAM – Al Bunyan Al Marsous (Misratan-led)
BDB – Benghazi Defense Brigade / Saraya Defend Benghazi (SDB) (Al Qaeda-aligned – AAS and
RSCB associated/umbrella group)
CBL – Central Bank of Libya
CNI – Critical National Infrastructure
DACOCT - Deterrence Apparatus for Combating Organized Crime and Terrorism
DDR - Disarmament, demobilising and reintegration
DF – Direct Fire
DPF – Derna Protection Force (an amalgamation of all militias in Derna, including the MSCD)
GECOL – General Electricity Company of Libya
GMMR – Great Man-made River
GNA – Government of National Accord (2016)
GNC – General National Congress (2012)
GNU – Government of National Unity (2021)
GTUC - Greater Tripoli Union Council (Tripoli militias and others, established in June 2020)
HNEC – High National Elections Commission
HoR – House of Representatives (Tobruk-based)
IDF – Indirect Fire (mortars/rockets)
IDP - Internally Displaced Persons
IED - Improvised Explosive Device
IOC - International Oil Company
IS - Islamic State
LIFG – Libyan Islamic Fighting Group
LNA – Libyan National Army
LNG – Libyan National Guard
LPA – Libyan Political Agreement (2015)
LPDF - Libyan Political Dialogue Forum (2020)
LROR - Libyan Revolutionary Operations Room
MoD - Ministry of Defense
MoF - Ministry of Finance
MoFA - Ministry of Foreign Affairs
MoHE - Ministry of Higher Education
MoI - Ministry of Interior
MoJ - Ministry of Justice
MoO - Ministry of Oil
MoT - Ministry of Transportation
MSCD – Mujahideen Shura Council of Derna (AQ aligned)
NFDK - No Further Details Known
NGO - Non-Governmental Organisation (aid/charity)
NOC – National Oil Company
NSG – National Salvation Government (GNC)
NSTR - Nothing Significant To Report
PC – Presidency Council (GNA)
PG – Presidential Guard
PFG- Petroleum Facilities Guard
RPG - Rocket Propelled Grenade
RSCB - Revolutionary Shura Council of Benghazi
RTA - Road Traffic Accident
SAF - Small Arms Fire
SDB – Saraya Defend Benghazi / Benghazi Defense Brigade (BDB) (Al Qaeda-aligned – AAS and
RSCB associated/umbrella group)
SDF – Rada Deterrence Force/ Special Deterrence Force/ Rada
Technical - An improvised weapon-mounted pick-up truck
TPF – Tripoli Protection Force (TRB, Nawasi 8 Force, Bab Tajoura Brigade and Ghneiwa umbrella
© 2021 GardaWorld & Proprietary
group, established in December 2018)
UXO - Unexploded Ordnance
9GardaWorld
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