Land Development Surrounding Christchurch Airport and Competitiveness
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Confidential Land Development Surrounding Christchurch Airport and Competitiveness Briefing Paper for Christchurch International Airport 31 July 2013 Copyright Castalia Limited. All rights reserved. Castalia is not liable for any loss caused by reliance on this document. Castalia is a part of the worldwide Castalia Advisory Group.
Confidential Table of Contents 1 Introduction 1 2 Competitive environment for airports 2 3 How do airports compete 6 4 How can an airport improve its competitiveness 7 5 Why development that assists airport competitiveness also benefits the city 17 6 Conclusions 20 Tables Table 4.1: Comparison of New Zealand and Australian Airports and their Development Plans 13 Table 4.2: Conditions relevant to choosing airport model for development 15 Figures Figure 4.1: Examples of Relevant Literature 7 Figure 4.2: Determinants of Airport Competitiveness 8 Figure 4.3: Models of airport development 10 Figure 4.4: CIA location in the wider context of Christchurch City 15 Figure 4.5: Industrial employment and land uptake distribution in Christchurch 16 Figure 5.1: Relationship between the Airport and Its Surrounding Area 18 Boxes Box 4.1: Examples of adopting a mixed airport model 11 2
Confidential 1 Introduction This Briefing Paper considers the role of industrial and commercial development at Christchurch International Airport Ltd (CIAL) and associated land holdings in terms of underpinning the competitive position of the aeronautical services at the Christchurch International Airport (CIA). CIAL wishes to understand whether a strategy to improve its competitiveness through land development is consistent with international experience and compatible with the Christchurch City Council’s (CCC) City Recovery and the City Plan. CIA’s aim, like all international and domestic airports in New Zealand, is to recover the costs of aeronautical services through charges to airport users. Revenue from commercial development does not contribute to the costs of the core aeronautical services. However, whilst commercial and industrial development of the surrounding areas of CIA is not intended to cross-subsidise the provision of core aeronautical services, it is nevertheless crucial to CIA’s competitiveness: that is, its ability to grow volumes and recover aeronautical costs at reasonable charges. Our key insight—both from our experience advising other airports and from the relevant literature—is that CIA is not a passive recipient of origin-and-destination travel to the Canterbury region. CIA competes in its own right, and has the ability to promote its aeronautical services through developing an increasingly sophisticated commercial and infrastructure offering in response to similar developments by its competitors. In the rest of this paper we: Establish, in Section 2, the analytical framework for considering the competitive threats and opportunities facing an airport and apply this to CIA. We show that CIA has to respond to competition from other airports such as Auckland and the airports on the eastern seaboard of Australia Explain, in Section 3, how airports compete with each other. We set out the broad distinction between price and quality competition Examine, in Section 4, how an airport can improve its competitiveness for a given level of airport charges. We show the significance of spatial factors— such as the commercial development around the airport—on competitive positioning. We also consider the experience of major international airports and the implications of that experience for commercial development around CIA, including consistency with the City Recovery and the City Plan Discuss, in Section 5, why development that assists airport competitiveness also benefits the city. We make a distinction between the realisation of agglomeration effects and optimisation of transport infrastructure Present our conclusions in Section 6. 1
Confidential 2 Competitive environment for airports Airports have evolved over the last 20 years The traditional view of airports as monopoly infrastructure passively serving origin- destination demand generated by factors outside the airport’s control is no longer valid as a general proposition, although it may still apply to some minor airports. Over the last twenty years, there has been tremendous change in the aviation sector. Wide ranging changes encompass deregulation of airline markets, more cost focussed airline business models, and technological developments which have increased the operational flexibilities of airlines as well as the information and choice available to passengers. These changes, in turn, produced more commercially focussed airports, seeking to respond to the challenges posed by the new competitive environment. The development of low cost, point-to-point airline models has dramatically reduced the “stickiness” between airlines and airports. In combination with aircraft technological developments which have increased the flying options available to airlines (such as reduced dependence on local weather through ground-based guidance), this has led to a greater willingness by airlines to change their route structure in quick response to economic incentives. Growing incomes and lower airfares have also led to a fundamental change in how people make their discretionary journeys: airline and airport services drive demand as much as they respond to it. Many travellers make a two-step choice: the first decision is to undertake a journey. The second choice—where they will go and how they will get there—will often depend on airline prices and schedules. This has led to a fierce airline competition for passengers, which has implications for airports too. Airports must now compete with each other for both passengers and airlines which have significantly more choice than in the past. The result is a more competitive and dynamic airport market. This resulting competitive pressure on airports has to be seen in the context of the economic nature of those businesses. Airport costs are largely fixed, partly as a result of investment in infrastructure but also because of associated operating costs, including those on safety and security, which vary little with scale of traffic. This gives airports a natural incentive to attract traffic to defray those costs. To put it simply, airports are a volume game: airports with small traffic volumes have costs that are only marginally lower than airports with much larger volumes. Airports that seek to recover their costs from small volumes end up with unsustainably high unit charges. In fact, few small volume airports are financially viable. Overall, airports are two-sided businesses, engaging in a commercial relationship with both airlines and passengers. Airports, therefore, have to respond to increased passenger and airline choice by competing to both retain and attract traffic. The key question is what it is that airports can do to respond to more footloose airlines that are willing and able to take their business elsewhere if service, price and market conditions are more favourable and more footloose passengers making informed decisions about their journeys. The main response has been for airports to become more pro-active, offering a greater range of commercial services. Every traveller is aware of the increased commercial services being offered within terminals, and the importance of such services for the attractiveness of an airport. However, the “arms race” between airports has spread well beyond the terminal. Airports have become more than a terminal for air transport. 2
Confidential The success of an airport—and its ability to serve as a strategic asset for a region—has increasingly become dependent on the ability of an airport to position itself as a hub in the broadest sense: a hub for transport, commerce and industry. Overall, there is an important inter-relationship between the attractiveness of a region and the competitive positioning of an airport. Of course, the intrinsic attractions and the population base of a region will create its own base-line of origin-destination travellers. However, a competitive hub will generate additional traffic, which in turn, will lead to greater frequencies and more competitive pricing by airlines. Such increased connectedness will then make the region more attractive to travellers, creating a virtuous cycle. Competitive rivalry with other airports is a key challenge for CIA CIA is not primarily an origin-destination airport for Christchurch and the Canterbury region. The South Island visitor economy and production industry depends on CIA to connect with international markets. In 2012-13, the airport was used by over 5.5 million passengers and approximately 30,000 tonnes of goods were imported and exported. Nearly 60 per cent of international visitors who arrived at CIA came for a holiday.1 CIA is used by over 85 per cent of international visitors to the South Island.2 However, while CIA is the only commercial airfield in the South Island able to take long- haul flights, it has no physical monopoly on the hub role: Long-haul travellers are able to reach various points in the South Island by connecting via Auckland, Sydney, Brisbane or Melbourne Travellers from Auckland have a variety of travel options for various South Island destinations Trans-Tasman travellers are able to choose direct flights to Queenstown. To put these choices into context, we can look at competition faced by Christchurch to act as a hub for traffic to Queenstown. Passengers destined to Queenstown can instead fly directly from other competing airports: 7 daily flights from Auckland 3 daily flights from Sydney 2 daily flights from Melbourne 2 daily flights from Brisbane.3 In contrast, there are five (5) daily flights from Christchurch to Queenstown. To provide a more systematic analysis of competitive pressures, we apply M.E. Porter’s (1979) five forces framework of competitive analysis (see Figure 2.1). 1 International visitor Survey (IVS) of the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE). 2 www.nzairports.co.nz 3 Information sourced from various airport websites and search engines. The number of flights to Queenstown is based on a one week sample for July 2013. 3
Confidential Figure 2.1: Porters Five Forces Framework The framework draws upon industrial economics to derive five forces that shape competition in an industry. Below we consider these forces for CIA (where relevant): Threat of new entrants—Threat of new competing airports is generally low because of the large investment which is needed for new infrastructure and because of the stringent planning and regulatory processes which have to be followed before approval of any new development is given. While completely new airports are unlikely, significant investment in an existing airport can be thought of as new entry. For example, the upgrade of the Queenstown Airport effectively created a new entrant in the South Island market. If Wellington Airport proceeds with investment to enable long-haul flights, it would also become a competitor Threat of substitutes—Other transport modes represent substitution threats. With respect to leisure passenger traffic, CIA both compliments and competes with land transport. Travellers who wish to explore the South Island by car have the option of commencing and terminating their journey at a number of South Island airports, as well as the ferry terminal in Picton. Sea and road transport may be substitutes for air freight Power of buyers—The relative strength of airlines can vary significantly. This power may influence the charging practices of the airport. Airlines do not only open and close individual routes. They also open and close bases – or vary their size – at individual airports. An airport can strengthen its commercial position with respect to airlines by deepening commercial links with the region, and enabling the airlines to benefit from such links Rivalry amongst existing airports—The amount of rivalry varies considerably. If the airport is focused on point to point traffic, such rivalry may be limited. However, if the airport is also competing for hub or transit traffic, the degree of rivalry will be intense. CIA falls into the latter category. In its role as the Gateway to the South Island, Christchurch competes with Auckland, Brisbane, Melbourne or Sydney. As the gateway to the South Island, it effectively competes with Queenstown, Dunedin (which is seeking to 4
Confidential expand its trans-Tasman connectivity) and Nelson (which is well linked to the North Island and provides an attractive entry/exit point on a land journey encompassing the West Coast and Queenstown). On Porter’s five forces framework, CIA comes out as being tightly constrained by competition. This has significant implications for CIAL’s commercial strategy, and in turn, for deciding what investments CIAL should be allowed to make. 5
Confidential 3 How do airports compete Airports compete on price and service. Service can cover elements such as the location, accessibility, quality and size of the aeronautical, as well as the surrounding commercial or industrial facilities. Airports set aeronautical charges to recover efficiently incurred costs and earn a reasonable return on investment. However, pricing by an airport is also constrained by competitors—an airport that does not offer a competitive product, or is not able to attract sufficient volume of traffic to utilise its facility, may need to charge below full cost recovery charges to stay competitive. This competitive tension is particularly relevant when one airport competes with another rather than subsidise prices, such as Dubai, or Malaysia Airports that have held landing and parking charges constant for the last 19 years.4 The level of airport charges depends on the scale of the airport. If quantities can be increased, price can be maintained or made more competitive. Therefore, CIAL needs to create an environment for increasing traffic volumes. One way to do this is to improve the service quality. In section 2 we described how airlines have a choice of airports and routes they can service and this is no different at CIA which is competing against Auckland and Australian airports. For a given level of aeronautical charges, other factors, such as the quality of the overall airport service including development of areas around the airport, affect the attractiveness and competitiveness of the airport in terms of attracting airlines, and accordingly passengers and freight. In other words, improvement in the overall airport product—that is price and quality of services—leads to a virtuous cycle: increase in traffic allows airport charges to be lowered (or to be kept from rising) as costs are spread over higher traffic or passenger volumes. This, in turn, contributes to airport competitiveness, and hence leads to further growth in volume. This means that retaining existing—and attracting new—traffic is not the passive outcome of an airport just being there, but rather is an outcome of competitive strategy that includes actions to improve the price and the quality of the product. Such a strategy may result in an increase in non-aeronautical revenues. Aeronautical services are not isolated from non-aeronautical revenues—airport experience (such as leisure or retail) is essential to the quality of an airport. 4 Amadeus, “Reinventing the Airport Ecosystem”, May 2012 6
Confidential 4 How can an airport improve its competitiveness What makes an airport more or less competitive? Various studies around the world have shown that there is no one single determinant of this. There is an existing body of research and analysis regarding what determines the connectivity and competitiveness of airports—Figure 4.1 provides a few examples. The key point is that the studies in the literature can be divided into spatial and temporal as well as into local hub and global network analyses. The spatial approaches consider only whether connections exist and not when it is offered. Temporal examinations take into when connections are made. Local hub analyses take the perspective of the analysed airport with its incoming and outgoing flights. The global network perspective however takes the whole air traffic network into account. Figure 4.1: Examples of Relevant Literature One of the few studies that cover an area beyond a single country is an analysis of the competitive strengths of eight major international airports in Asia (Park, 2003). This study used a multi-decision criteria approach for the analysis. Deriving from Porter’s ‘Five Forces’, Park examined five core-factors that determine the competitive advantage of an airport. Park identified spatial factors, facility factors, demand factors, service factors and managerial factors5: Facility factors—The facility at an airport is the most visible attribute of its competitiveness. Airports are competing to build new facilities and are investing in strong marketing highlighting their state-of-the-art facilities. There are two types of infrastructure associated with airports: air-side and ground infrastructure. Air-side infrastructure includes the facilities which are directly controlled by the airport such as aircraft parking stands, runways, terminals and so on. Ground infrastructure consists of the transportation networks which connect the airport to the metropolitan areas in the region 5 Park, Y. (2003): An analysis of the competitive strength of Asian major airport. Journal of Air Transport Management, Vol 9. 7
Confidential Demand factors—The level of origination-destination (O-D) demand and that of transit and transfer traffic may be influenced by the economy within which an airport is situated. Relevant factors may be social (such as popularity of the destination), legal (air transport liberalization), or economic (country GDP and metropolitan population) Managerial factors—Economic considerations such as airport costs and efficiency Service factors—This covers levels of service to users, types of aircraft operations, and levels of charges. For passengers, the customer experience at a hub airport may form part of the decision-making process when selecting a travel route. Similarly, airlines will consider the hourly capacity and efficiency of gate departure and taxi departures. Another significant factor when considering the competitiveness of a hub airport are the various charges associated with the airport. Charges need to be set at a level which maximises profit and revenue for the airport but also increase the number of airlines and passengers which use the airport as a hub Spatial factors—The level of regional development around the airport, such as international trade zones, logistics and convention centres, aviation-related industrial complexes and other facilities. This is illustrated in Figure 4.2 below. Figure 4.2: Determinants of Airport Competitiveness Source: Based on Park (2003) It can be seen that there is no simple answer to the question of what makes an airport more or less competitive. Demand for airport services comes from a complex interaction of origin-destination demand, the quality of the transfer product and the interaction between the airport and the performance of the key airlines. 8
Confidential Spatial factors have now become critical differentiators As airport competition intensified over the last 20 years, airports have increasingly responded by improving their core product—terminal services—to meet expected standards. The initial wave of airport responses to competition focused on designing attractive terminals, including the standard duty free shop, and providing a range of car parking facilities. The second wave added a diverse range of retail shops within the terminal. This was followed by an expansion of the variety of retail, leisure and accommodation at, or adjacent to, the terminal. As most hub airports responded to competitive pressure in a similar way, the core offering has become increasingly difficult to differentiate. With the opening of the new terminal, CIA has responded to the need to provide expected core product quality, rather than succeeding in differentiating itself from its competitors. Having exhausted the traditional strategies, airports are now using spatial development as a key competitive differentiator. This is evidenced by a further wave of airport development. Increasingly, we see the traditional airport infrastructure—terminals and runways—being surrounded by a range of additional business and retail facilities, such as business parks, industrial centres, conference facilities, hotels, sporting facilities and the like. In this latest wave of competition, airports increasingly find themselves in a race to gain the first mover advantage and to introduce innovative approaches to these developments. Major airport hubs, including CIA’s competitors in Australia and New Zealand, are progressing with their plans to develop land around the airport for industrial and commercial use. Spatial factors have influenced two main models of airport development The focus on the spatial factors has influenced academic thinking about airport business models. The literature differentiates two archetypal models: Efficient Gateway and Aerotropolis (or Airport city). The key difference between these two fundamental conceptions is the degree of reliance on spatial development around the airport. In reality, no airport follows a pure archetype. However, the two distinct concepts are useful for understanding the role of commercial and industrial development surrounding the airport in airport competitiveness. The Efficient Gateway Model—exemplified by Frankfurt and Zurich—focuses on designing and managing transport infrastructure so that travellers are drawn to the attraction of the city or region rather than the airport and its surrounding areas. The airport is just the gateway to the city. In this model the attractiveness and competitiveness of an airport relies on the competitiveness of the city or region. Therefore, policies regarding the development of airports are reliant on the development strategies of the whole region. The Aerotropolis concept—(see John Kasarda6)—focuses on airport’s own strategy and attractiveness, and has been adopted by leading airports in Asia such as the hubs in Singapore, Hong Kong, Bangkok and Seoul. An Aerotropolis consists of an airport core which is surrounded by aviation-linked and other businesses, much like a central city core and its commuter-linked suburbs. Figure 4.3 shows the distinction between these models. The airport area defines the boundary of the airport that strictly covers the aeronautical services. A narrow Efficient 6 Centre for Air commerce, Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise, University of North Carolina – Chapel Hill. 9
Confidential Gateway Model would result in the focus purely on developing efficient transport links between the airport and the main city or region. The Aerotropolis focuses on developing a sub-metropolitan area around the airport to improve both urban and airport competitiveness. Figure 4.3: Models of airport development While Frankfurt and Singapore can be thought of as relatively “pure” representations of the respective models (see Text Box 4.1), the trend has been towards combining the elements of both. It is critical to emphasise, however, that the trend has been one way: all airports have been moving towards adopting commercial and industrial development strategies. 10
Confidential Box 4.1: Examples of adopting a mixed airport model Frankfurt Airport—Efficient Gateway adopting aspects of Aerotropolis model The airport initially applied the Efficient Gateway Model as it was surrounded by forest to its location in the Frankfurt City Forest. This meant that the area was predominately dominated by aeronautical activities. Thus a majority of the investment into redevelopment and expansion by the city of Frankfurt is spent on the city itself, further developing and maintaining its position as one of the largest financial districts in Europe. Such infrastructure includes its highly developed train and road systems which allow quick and easy access to the airport: the high-speed network of German Rail (Deutsche Bahn), regional and metropolitan train services and Germany's most important motorway interchange at the intersection of the A3 and A5 superhighways. However, Frankfurt airport has seen a shift towards the Aerotropolis model with the development of the Sheraton Hotel & Conference Center, the office and conference facilities of the Frankfurt Airport Centers, the Airport City Mall and plans for further commercial development, such as the Gateway Gardens to be completed by the year 2020—this site will host offices, services, hotels, conference, trade show and exhibition space, recreational facilities, bars and restaurants, and retail outlets. Further development plans include new logistics and a distribution park for forwarders, logistics companies and aeronautical-related businesses. Lastly, the expansion of the CargoCity South over the next few years will allow it to maintain its position as Europe’s largest cargo hub. Changi Airport—Aerotropolis adopting aspects of Efficient Gateway model Changi airport is a major airport hub and the fifteenth busiest airport, in terms of passengers, in the world as well as the fifth busiest in Asia in 2012. Furthermore, it is the twelfth busiest cargo hub, handling over 1.8 million tonnes of cargo in 2012. The airport adopted the Aerotropolis Model to support the government’s focus on maintaining a good connection between water and air-based transportation along with its specialisation in business and trade industries. However, as the airport is a significant contributor to the Singaporean economy and due to the minute size of Singapore, the entire country has been planned to facilitate the Aerotropolis status. Nonetheless Singapore’s policy has also focused on efficient ground transport from Changi Airport to the existing CBD. Several modes of transportation (including public buses and public trains—MRT) enable travel to the CBD within 30 minutes. Overall, we believe that the emerging pattern is economic development built around an axis stretching from a more or less dense cluster of airport-related activities plus commercial and industrial development around the airport to the core commercial and industrial areas of the surrounding city. 11
Confidential There is a race to promote development of land around airports The importance of spatial factors is currently playing out in a kind of arms race as many airports have either already strengthened their competitive position by promoting surrounding industrial and commercial developments, or have produced master plans to do so. Key hubs in Asia—which set the pattern for other airports—have undertaken major investments in commercial districts: The Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA) is undergoing significant developments through the construction of three commercial districts which are adjacent, or close to, the HKIA’s terminal and runways. The first of these districts is composed of logistic facilities. Features of this district include some facilities constructed and operated by an international consortium of Asian and European Partners, the facilitation of the world’s largest stand-alone air- cargo and air-express facility and a mixed-use freight-forwarding warehousing and office complex. The second commercial district is being developed as an office park, targeting regional and air travel-intensive professionals. The third and largest district is known as SkyCity. The district intends to be a destination for working, shopping, entertainment, meetings, and trading Incheon Airport in South Korea currently hosts several non-aeronautical businesses within and beyond the airport area. Such businesses include a golf course, casino, spa, ice skating rink and the Museum of Korean Culture. However the airport’s operator is further expanding and developing such infrastructure through the airport’s “Air City.” This feature of the airport includes several office buildings, logistics and manufacturing zones, shopping centres, hotels, entertainment and tourist districts, housing and essential services for airport staff and residents Kuala Lumpur International Airport has developed, in addition to retail and office developments, motor sports, an automotive hypermarket and leisure venues to attract both the locals and tourists, creating a dual based market. The Beijing Capital International Airport master plan includes non- aeronautical infrastructure such as shopping and entertainment complexes, education facilities, sports and leisure facilities, logistic and light manufacturing zones, finance and trading districts and housing areas. Table 4.1 looks in more detail at how airports in Australia and New Zealand have embraced the concept or principle of developing land for commercial and industrial use around airports. In particular, Auckland International Airport—the key competitor to CIA within New Zealand—explicitly sees itself developing into an Aerotropolis through its business district. The Auckland Airport Business District is a commercial hub, which is growing rapidly. The district includes warehouse and logistic facilities, recreation and heritage attractions, an office complex with hotel accommodation and retailers for passengers and airport workers, an entertainment, retail and education district and two cargo centres. All of these facilities are linked to major transportation services. The expansion and development of this business district is part of a long term Masterplan by the airport, with the aim of improving its competitiveness and attractiveness. 12
Confidential Table 4.1: Comparison of New Zealand and Australian Airports and their Development Plans Auckland Brisbane Canberra Perth Population 1,397,300 2,189,878 367,000 1,897,548 Runways 1 2 2 2 Terminal 3 2 1 3 Airlines 22 26 3 28 Destinations 56 72 7 51 Air movements 165,515 184,288 142,079 Passengers Per Year 14,160,640 21,017,060 3,065,893 12,632,800 Int 7,697,657 4,483,094 0 3,492,160 Dom 6,462,983 16,516,320 3,065,893 9,140,640 Total Land Area (ha) 1,500 2,700 436 2,105 Total land area for 64 Hectares 1,000 Hectares 12 Hectares 997 Hectares development Development Zones Passenger: Terminal Precinct Brisbane Domestic: Commercial office, SouthWest Precinct: Airfreight services, Precinct 1 – 196 ha: including transport, car hotel, retail catering services, maintenance, fuel Commercial, industrial, short parking, hotels, shopping, Brisbane International: Office, commercial, facilities, retail, office, industry, stay accommodation, entertainment, office, and hotel, retail, cargo/ freight, warehouse hotel/motel, warehouse warehouse/showroom, short stay accommodation Banksia Place: Freight, aviation, food North-West Precinct: Transport, recreational Central: Serviced land bound processing, business, commercial, hotel. freight, industry, retail support, office Precinct 2 – 238 ha: by major arterial roads and Number 1 Airport Drive: Retail, office, golf support Commercial, industrial, short serviced by the northern course, visitor centre, hotel, business, DFO, North-East Precinct: Transport, freight, stay accommodation, expressway homemaker centre, tourism, health centre, industry, community facilities, support recreational, warehouse, aviation Northern: freight and dining facilities facilities to public/tenants/staff, commercial logistics. Export Park: Freight, education facilities, commercial accommodation, Precinct 3 - 141 ha: Industrial, workshops, conference facilities, function single/multi-unit dwellings. warehouse, showroom rooms Precinct 4 - 42 ha: General Airport Industrial Park: Light and General commercial, industrial Industry. Precinct 5 - 76 ha: Natural environment conservation 13
Confidential Auckland Brisbane Canberra Perth Aerotech Park: Aviation based maintenance Precinct 6 - 73 ha: General facility. commercial, warehouse/showroom, industrial, short stay accommodation Precinct 7 - 233 ha: Recreational, conservation. Further Development The rapidly growing Auckland Plans to significantly improve its airport area Majura Park will be the only Airport Information Airport Business District such as the expansion of its domestic airport precinct, external to the passenger includes warehouse and and a new parallel runway terminal retail area, with a shopping logistic facilities, recreation Plans to create a commercial hub from centre. This precinct will form a and heritage attractions, an Airport Village to the Domestic Terminal commercial hub for Canberra Airport. office complex with hotel and beyond over the next decade The vision for this precinct is for a accommodation and retailers The new Property Development Master mixed use area, capitalising on the retail for passengers and airport Plan foresees the construction of 25 new and office opportunities that exist for workers, an entertainment, buildings in the next 5 years which includes the precinct. retail and education district the construction of hotels, commercial and The Fairbairn precinct: Will be and two cargo centres some retail space, as well as sites for developed as a diverse mixed-use zone All of these facilities are industrial and mixed industry and business with a large variety of different uses. located near major use. Part of the vision for Fairbairn is to transportation services. The attract major security, Defence, public expansion and development and private sector and other tenants of this business district is part requiring such infrastructure, along with of a long term Masterplan by other office tenants who may be the airport and will improve attracted to the precinct. An office and its competitiveness and mixed use zone will be developed. attractiveness. Glenora precinct: This essentially undeveloped area adjoins the access road to Fairbairn precinct. It plays an important role in terms of air navigation facilities and the fire station. There is significant opportunity to develop a mixed use zone, which will incorporate a wide range of uses including a general aviation area, along with small scale retail and office uses. 14
Confidential CIA must respond to retain its competitiveness CIAL is well positioned to respond to the emerging competitive threats through industrial and commercial development that enhances CIA’s competitiveness while contributing to City Recovery. In Table 4.2 we consider conditions which the literature indicates may drive the choice of the archetypical airport business model: distance from the CBD land use restrictions (or availability) quality of the road transport between the CBD and the Airport availability of high quality public transport between the CBD and the Airport. It is clear that CIA is well-suited to a mix of the two models: development of both a commercial and industrial hub to complement connectivity to the thriving CBD. Table 4.2: Conditions relevant to choosing airport model for development Conditions Efficient Gateway Aerotropolis Distance from CBD Near (10-20km) Far (>20km) Land use Possibly restricted due to Land available for industrial environmental considerations and commercial development (green belt or forest) or proximity to population centre Road highway Excellent Good Public Rail/Underground Critical Not required connecting CBD to airport While there is no doubt that CIA must continue to serve as an efficient gateway, it can strengthen its position as a hub by anchoring air links into a growing commercial and industrial area around the airport. Figure 4.4: CIA location in the wider context of Christchurch City Source: CIA Strategy Property Vision, prepared by Urbis, 2007 15
Confidential Other than planning restrictions, physical features and the availability of land around the airport provide a basis for efficient commercial and industrial development. A hybrid plan would be consistent with City Recovery and Plan objectives A hybrid approach would not only allow CIAL to respond to pressure from competitors, but also enable the City and its businesses to benefit from agglomeration effects and optimised transport. It would also facilitate the development of a business and transport corridor from the airport to the CBD, leveraging the current growth of business activity in western Christchurch—Figure 5.5 shows that there has been a significant movement of industrial employment and take-up of vacant industrial land, towards western Christchurch. Figure 4.5: Industrial employment and land uptake distribution in Christchurch Source: Plan Change 84, SPAZ Business Land Study for Christchurch City Council, Property Economics, July 2013. Overall, given the prominence of spatial factors in airport competitiveness, the lack of industrial and commercial development around CIA would lead to lost opportunities in what is clearly an “arms-race” between airports. It would also mean lost opportunities for the city and the region. The experience of competing airports shows that the “Aerotropolis” developments do not come at the expense of linked CBDs. Rather, they tend to strengthen the agglomeration effects along an increasingly efficient transport corridor. We discuss this in more detail below. 16
Confidential 5 Why development that assists airport competitiveness also benefits the city Industrial and commercial development around CIA can realise agglomeration effects Airport-related activities have a direct relation to air-freight and air-passenger movements—such as industrial parks to increase freight, logistics and distribution activities, or hotels and conference facilities. In terms of air freight, airlines attempt to maximise efficiency by combining passengers and freight. Airport-oriented activities choose the airport because of the image of the airport and its typically excellent ground accessibility. The price of land and surface connectivity are the key factors in determining those activities locating in the airport area. For both these associated activities, the business can range from hotels, air-cargo facilities, offices and business parks, warehouses and logistic parks, retail/wholesale market places and recreational and entertainment districts. There are a number of drivers which have spurred the development and creation of these activities. One important driving force is the ability of airports such as CIA to attract landside business development. An array of businesses have benefited from locating closer to airport areas as airports provide significant value to these businesses by offering quick distance market connectivity. Locating close to CIA can be a very attractive location for a variety of companies. Being near the airport and benefitting directly from its operation can attract further corporate customers who benefit from relocating within the vicinity of the airport. For example, such business locations benefit from well-developed infrastructure leading to the airport and therefore minimize commute times/distances for its customers (for example conference centres). On the other hand, there are companies that benefit from the associated traffic volumes. Their operations, therefore, become easily accessible. Airports can also attract companies just looking for industrial development independent from the airport. This is because a CBD is not an appropriate site for industrial businesses. Therefore, they have a choice of location when seeking to locate their business. Locating near an airport is advantageous because of the agglomeration effects and transport and logistics infrastructure at the airport. We provide three examples of the types of business located around an airport to benefit from the agglomeration effects: Logistics facilities on site are often not able to completely satisfy the scale and complexity for air cargo. Several airports have built airport logistics parks in the vicinity to provide more support. The logistics parks help to promote quick turnaround and value-added logistics activities that are often ideal for high technology, high value products and fulfilment of orders through electronic commerce. The existence and development of nearby logistics parks become another influential factor when airlines, for example, select a cargo hub. Time-sensitive goods processing industries, such as manufacturing, have also reaped the benefits of locating themselves near airports. A manufacturer’s ability to meet the needs of a customer is dependent upon the existence of a comprehensive ground-to-air shipping network of air cargo carriers, trucking 17
Confidential companies, freight forwarders and logistics providers. Due to close proximity of an airport a ground-to-air network is established which allows the manufacturer to minimize their inventories, shorten production-cycle times and allows them to quickly access innovative inputs for custom products which in hindsight create additional value. Providers of commercial services such as retailers, hotels, entertainment facilities, health and fitness centres and so on. Not only can they attract employees of various businesses operating at the airport, but travellers too, thus establishing a dual customer base. These types of businesses can reciprocate the benefits which they have gained by generating additional passengers and cargo for the airports through this improvement in business. This symbiotic relationship improves the airport’s competitiveness and attractiveness. Figure 5.1 represents this process. The core “airport” consists of aeronautical infrastructure (runways and terminals) as well as and the most immediately airport-related businesses such as retail shops, and car parking. The airport’s accessibility, quality of infrastructure, and connectivity to customers helps attract businesses around the airport. In turn, those businesses can generate an increase in both passengers and cargo which contributes to the airport’s attractiveness and competitiveness on a local and global scale. Figure 5.1: Relationship between the Airport and Its Surrounding Area This demonstrates that agglomeration benefits can be achieved from co-locating industrial and commercial development and the airport’s key activity. As a logistics hub, the airport will increase the efficiency of the businesses located in its vicinity, while the existence of a significant commercial and industrial development on the edges of an airport increases its efficiency as a transport hub. Industrial and commercial development around CIA can optimise transport infrastructure There are significant infrastructure efficiencies from co-locating industrial and commercial development with the core airport activities. In order to remain competitive, 18
Confidential an airport requires high quality reliable access. However, if that infrastructure only serves airport’s core needs, it is likely to be under-utilised. By co-locating industrial and commercial development with an airport, a region can minimise its infrastructure investment requirement and maximise the value of high quality infrastructure: An airport is itself a key transport corridor and incorporates major local transport corridors Development around an airport is most likely to integrate land use and infrastructure benefits Such developments provide a buffer between communities and airport noise. For example, Auckland is currently investigating an airport rail link. Such a link is not feasible only to carry airport users. However, due to the commercial and industrial development around Auckland airport, a rail link that serves both the airport users and workers in the surrounding area is likely to be feasible. 19
Confidential 6 Conclusions Significant changes in the aviation sector have led to fierce airline competition for passengers. This has implications for airports—airports must now compete with each other for both passengers and airlines which have significantly more choice than in the past. CIA is no different. It competes with Auckland and Australian airports for long-haul traffic, with through connections to other South Island entry points. Queenstown, in particular, is a direct competitor as an entry point into the South Island. The competitive pressure on CIA has to be seen in the context of the economic nature of the businesses. Airport costs are largely fixed, partly as a result of investment in infrastructure but also because of associated operating costs, including those on safety and security, which vary little with scale of traffic. This gives airports a natural incentive to attract traffic to defray those costs. Although there is no single factor that can improve CIA’s competitiveness, standardisation of airports over time (around a generally high level of service) has increasingly required airports to focus on other competitive factors. In CIA’s case, commercial and industrial development can provide a key competitive differentiator. For example, commercial and industrial development around the airport can help anchor wide-bodied services which rely both on passengers and freight. Such services will encourage airlines to promote Christchurch as the gateway to the South Island, and will discourage them from cannibalizing these services by encouraging alternative gateways. More broadly, such development appears compatible with CCC’s City Recovery and City Plan. We expect there to be a virtuous circle between airport industrial and commercial development and the CBD. As increased frequency of services into CIA becomes underpinned by the industrial and commercial development in the surrounding area, increased promotion of Christchurch as a destination will feed into CBD development. While industrial and commercial activity can locate anywhere on the edges of the city, there are advantages to locating it around the airport. There are significant infrastructure efficiencies from co-locating industrial and commercial development with core airport activities. In order to remain competitive, an airport requires high quality reliable access. However, if that infrastructure only serves an airport’s core needs, it is likely to be under- utilised. By co-locating industrial and commercial development with an airport, a region can minimise its infrastructure investment requirement and maximise the value of high quality infrastructure (and more to the point, enable the development of such infrastructure). As competing airports implement their development plans, CIAL faces a stark choice to either take part in this race to maintain its competitiveness or be left behind. The consequences of being left behind are decreased competitiveness and lower growth potential, foregoing the benefits of agglomeration effects and optimisation of transport infrastructure. It also significantly increases the risk of losing business of footloose airlines and reduces the ability to tap into the lucrative routes, such as the Chinese market. 20
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