Kemira Investor Presentation - Chemistry for a resource-efficient future INVESTOR PRESENTATION
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FEBRUARY 11, 2021 Kemira Investor Presentation Chemistry for a resource-efficient future INVESTOR PRESENTATION
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Content 1. Kemira in brief 2. Investment highlights 3. Kemira as a sustainable investment 4. Pulp & Paper 5. Industry & Water 6. Recent progress 7. Appendix FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2
O UR PURPO SE We enable our customers to improve their water, energy and raw material efficiency G LO BAL T RENDS O UR CUST O M ERS O UR VISIO N CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS Pulp & Paper Our vision is to be the first Higher use of water, energy, tissue & board Water Treatment choice in chemistry for Oil & Gas water intensive industries GROWING ENVIRONMENTAL OUR STRATEGY AWARENESS New materials to enable circular economy Kemira is a great product company with chemistry Material and resource efficiency and selling of chemicals at the core of our business. OUR OFFERING We win with best suited products and tailored We provide expertise, application know- services that improve our customers product quality, how and chemicals that improve our process and resource efficiency. customers‘ product quality, process and Our target is to grow above-the-market with an resource efficiency. operative EBITDA margin of 15-18%. O UR VALU ES We drive performance and innovation. We are dedicated to customer success. We care for people and the environment. We succeed together. FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 4
Kemira in brief 2020: REVENUE EUR 2,427 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 435 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 17.9%, OPERATIVE ROCE 12.1% SEGMENT SPLIT GEOGRAPHIES PRODUCTS ◼ 40% ◼ 60% 10% ◼ 20% Other: APAC e.g. defoamers, ◼ 25% Bleaching Industry & Water Pulp & Paper 35% 1. China dispersants, and pulping #2 globally AMERICAS 2. South and biocides 1. USA Korea 2. Canada 3. Indonesia ◼ 15% 3. Brazil Sizing #1 in and 55% water strength EMEA treatment 1. Finland in NA and 2. Sweden ◼ 20% ◼ 20% Europe 3. UK Polymers Coagulants #2 in friction reduction in North American shale oil & gas Revenue by geographies and product category represent FY 2020. CUSTOMERS EXAMPLES OF Several thousand customers LARGEST CUSTOMERS TOP 10 customers are ~25% of revenue Municipalities, e.g. TOP 50 customers are ~50% of revenue Frankfurt, Berlin, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Singapore Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5% FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5
Global reach – local excellence 63 MANUFACTURING SITES KEMIRA HQ Helsinki, Finland R&D Espoo, Finland Regional HQ Atlanta, USA R&D Regional HQ Atlanta, USA Shanghai, China R&D EMEA 54% Shanghai, China EUR 1,305 MILLION ASIA PACIFIC 11% 2,530 EUR 259 MILLION AMERICAS 36% EUR 862 MILLION 924 UNITS IN 40 COUNTRIES 1,467 SALES IN OVER 100+ COUNTRIES Polymers and other process chemicals (24) Bleaching and pulping (10) Coagulants (29) Employees R&D and technology centers FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 6
We have transformed the company several times over the past 100 years 1950 1961 1972 1985-1992 1994 2008 2015 Development of Name changed The “Kemira” Expansion Kemira is listed on Water chemistry Acquisition of first chemicals for to Rikkihappo Oy name adopted continues in the Helsinki stock established as the Akzo Nobel’s paper applications (Sulfuric acid Ltd.) Europe e.g. exchange focus of strategy paper chemicals Belgium and business Spain STATE- PUBLICLY TRADED OWNED COMPANY FERTILIZERS AS CONGLOMERATE WATER AS CORE STRATEGY CORE STRATEGY 1920 1982 1989 2004 2009 2020 Establishment of First expansion Kemira expands GrowHow listed Tikkurila listed on Kemira centennial the state-owned abroad to the UK to Asia through on the Helsinki the Helsinki Stock anniversary sulphuric acid and joint venture in Stock Exchange Exchange phosphorous Japan fertilizer plants FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 7
Pulp & Paper – strong business with solid track record REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA REVENUE BY CUSTOMER REVENUE BY EUR million TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH PRODUCT CATEGORY 1,520 1,523 1,457 1,477 1,458 ◼ 40% ◼ 40% ◼ 20% ◼ 5% Other ◼ 40% 1,417 Pulp Board & Printing & Bleaching tissue writing papers ◼ 10% & pulping 260 Polymers 218 195 198 192 ◼ 20% 171 Defoamers, dispersants, biocides and Market 1% 2% -1-2% other process ◼ 25% growth* Sizing & chemicals 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 strength MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND CUSTOMER EXAMPLES Solenis (paper)* #1 MARKET GROWTH BY REGION ◼ 15% ◼ 50% ◼ 35% APAC Kemira (pulp and paper) m.s. ~16% #2 EMEA Americas Nouryon (pulp) #3 Ecolab (paper) #4 Market Kurita (paper) #5 1% 1% 2-3% growth* * Solenis-BASF combined entity *chemical market growth in 2021-2026 Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5% FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 8
Industry & Water – strong positions in chosen categories REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA REVENUE BY APPLICATION REVENUE BY EUR million TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH PRODUCT CATEGORY 1,136 956 1,009 1,073 970 906 ◼ 75% ◼ 15% ◼ 10% ◼ 15% ◼ 50% Water treatment Oil & Gas Other Other Coagulants 175 products 192 131 such as 116 107 114 Municipal Industrial defoamers and biocides 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Market 2-3% 5-6% 2-3% ◼ 35% growth* Polymers 2015-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES WATER TREATMENT OIL & GAS Market share Market share ~25% in ◼ 55% ◼ 40% ◼ 5% MUNICIPAL INDUSTRIAL ~30% in coagulants and polymers used in shale EMEA Americas APAC customer examples customer examples ~20% in polymers oil & gas Amsterdam Los Angeles Barcelona Montreal Main competitors in Main peers in polymers Frankfurt New York City coagulants: (also in water treatment): Berlin Toronto • Feralco (Europe) • SNF Oslo Melbourne Market • Kronos (Europe) • Solenis* growth* 3-4% 3-4% 5-6% Paris Shanghai Stockholm Singapore • Chemtrade (NA) • Solvay (only O&G) • USAlco (NA) * Solenis-BASF combined entity *chemical market growth in 2021-2026 Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5% FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 9
Kemira’s financial targets FINANCIAL TARGETS AND HISTORICAL FIGURES Targets 2018 2019 IFRS 16 impact in 2020 Financial target 2019 Revenue MEUR 2,593 MEUR 2,659 - MEUR 2,427 Above-market Change +4% Change +3% Change -9% growth Operative 12.5% 15.4% Around +1.3 %-point 17.9% 15-18% EBITDA* Gearing* 62% 66% Around +11 %-points 63% Below 75% * Targets updated in February 2019 due to IFRS 16 accounting change. 2018 figures are PRE IFRS 16. KEY FACTORS TO WATCH FOR Factors 2020 comments Sales price vs raw material price development Good management of fixed and variable costs, including lower raw materials and electricity costs. Organic growth through volume and sales price increases Group’s organic growth -4%, excl. Currencies and Oil & Gas -2%. Growth investments – Polymer capacity expansion in Netherlands (2019- Investments in China and the Netherlands contributed 2020), AKD sizing Joint Venture in China (2019-2020), Polymer capacity positively to EBITDA in 2020 (impact double-digit millions). expansion in the US (2021), bleaching expansion in Uruguay (2022-2023) FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 10
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Investment highlights FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 11
Why invest in Kemira Strong profitability improvement track record 1 Focus on profitable sustainable growth Operative EBITDA margin improved to 17.9% and Operative EBIT to 9.8% in 2020 Attractive dividend 2 Updated dividend policy: competitive and over-time increasing dividend Dividend proposed to be increased to EUR 0.58 (0.56) Sustainability at the core of strategy 3 Kemira will become the leading provider of sustainable chemical solutions for water-intensive industries FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 12
Strategy and Equity Story in summary HOW KEMIRA CREATES VALUE OUR MARKET BUILDING A GREAT EXECUTION – VALUE FOCUS CHEMICALS COMPANY OVER VOLUME Chemicals for Pulp & Paper, Great products: Improving product and market mix Oil & Gas and Water Treatment 4 core areas are polymers, coagulants, Focusing on capital efficiency sizing and bleaching chemicals which meet #1 or #2 in our core markets our customers’ needs incl. resource efficiency Investing selectively in core Market growth estimated to be 3-4% p.a. product areas with higher return Great operations: supported by higher use of fiber-based on capital employed Deliver reliably with consistent quality products, resource efficiency and regulation Great people: Deep application expertise and innovation capability FINANCIAL TARGETS Above-market revenue growth • Operative EBITDA 15-18% • Gearing below 75% FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 13
Global megatrends largely favor Kemira – sustainability becoming a key driver for the long term CHANGING GROWING DEMOGRAPHICS ENVIRONMENTAL AWARENESS Growing Changing More efficient use Focus on biobased Tightening Climate change middle-class lifestyles with of scarce natural and recyclable environmental mitigation and urbanization growth in e- resources materials for our regulation commerce customers Higher use of Higher use of Chemicals to support Alternatives to fossil fuel Increased need for water Increased need for water water and tissue packaging and board circular economy needs based solutions treatment treatment FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 14
Healthy market growth for Kemira’s relevant markets KEMIRA RELEVANT MARKET PULP & PAPER RELEVANT MARKET EUR billion EUR billion 9 CAGR: 10 27 1-2% CAGR: 22 3-4% 2019 2025 Pulp Printing & writing Board & tissue INDUSTRY & WATER RELEVANT MARKET EUR billion 18 13 CAGR: 5-6% 2019 2025 2019 2025 Americas EMEA APAC Water treatment Oil & Gas Other Source: Management estimation based on various sources FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 15
Good profitability improvement track record REVENUE OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million Revenue OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN declined due EUR million to COVID-19 pandemic +4.5% 500 20 2,593 2,659 435 2,486 2,427 410 2,373 2,363 +7.2% 400 17.9% 2,137 311 323 15 303 15.4% 300 287 253 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% 200 11.8% 12.1% 10 100 0 5 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PRE IFRS 16 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 16
Strengthening the foundation and improving profitability Organic growth / expansion of site Acquisition Operational efficiencies Closure of site / divestment Start-up of Ortigueira Chevron CEOR deal & Ramp-up of of new AKD Botlek expansion Start-up of new AKD wax site sodium chlorate site (BR) wax site (CN) (CN) Bradford polymer Start-up of Joutseno chlorate Polymer investment decision, Ramp-up of of Botlek expansion (UK) expansion (FI) Mobile (US) polymer facility (NL) Joint Venture – Dry polymers Eastover Bleaching San Giorgio polymer Major oil sands tailings water AKD wax manufacturing (SK) extension start-up (US) expansion (IT) treatment deal (CA) JV deal closed (CN) 2020 Operative 2019 Operative EBITDA 2018 EBITDA 2015: 12.1% Move from ‘Value over volume’ 2020: 17.9% 2017 to ‘Active price management’ 2016 ‘Value over volume’ initiated Chlorate and peroxide Two segment expansion on-going in Fray Transportation agreement with structure operational Odyssey go-live in Europe Cost savings in Pulp & Paper Bentos (UY) Odyssey Goole coagulant expansion (UK) Closing of ECOX detergent Odyssey go-live on-going Botlek modernization (NL) production (SWE) in North America Divestment of coagulant Raw material flexibility: asset (IT) BOOST operational - Coagulants to Magnetite excellence program launch - Bradford AN purification Divestment of Kemira Operon Closures of Ottawa (CA) and (water treatment facility Zaramillo (ES), coagulants operations, FI) FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 17
The dividend policy has been updated KEMIRA’S NEW DIVIDEND POLICY Competitive and over-time increasing dividend No fixed payout ratio We have a solid dividend track record ◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield 0.56 0.58* 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.48 5.8% 5.4% 5.4% 4.5% 4.9% 4.6% 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.5% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 *BoD prosposal to the AGM 2021 to be paid in two installments in May and November. FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 18
We invest in core products globally KEY INVESTMENT FOCUS ON CORE PRODUCT GROUPS SINCE 2016 PRODUCTS • Bleaching chemicals ◼ 20% Other: ◼ 25% Bleaching • New chlorate plant in Brazil e.g. defoamers, and pulping • New chlorate line in the U.S. dispersants, • New chlorate line and peroxide capacity in Finland and biocides • Freed peroxide capacity from ECOX closure in Sweden • Chlorate and peroxide expansion in Uruguay (2022-2023) • Polymer capacity additions Revenue • Italy EUR 2,427 • UK ◼ 15% • Aberdeen, USA Sizing* million • Netherlands and (2020) • South Korea (start 2021) strength • Mobile, USA (start 2021) • Sizing chemicals – capacity additions due to integration of acquisitions (Akzo Nobel and China AKD wax) ◼ 20% ◼ 20% Coagulants • Coagulants Polymers • Goole, UK (start 2022) *Sizing = Resistance against water absorption Note: Revenue by product rounded to the nearest 5%. FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 19
We continued to invest in product development in 2020 Innovation We innovate together with our customers to improve water, energy and raw material efficiency. Research and development expenses totaled EUR 29 million euros in 2020, representing around 1.2% of the revenue. Achievements in 2020 • New product launches: 7 • New patent filings: 37 • Patent families: 367 • Patents: 1,726 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 20
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Kemira as a sustainable investment FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 21
We have a strong commitment to sustainability FIVE THEMES AS SUSTAINABILITY FOCUS AREAS SAFETY Safe production and use of our products throughout their lifecycle, strong safety culture Chemical PEOPLE sector Strong company culture, diversity and commitment average Chemical to people sector average WATER We help ensure safe clean water for people and nature Solutions to provide safe clean water with water-related risks managed effectively CIRCULARITY We are making the circular bioeconomy a reality Chemical Improve customer resource efficiency; increase biobased sector and recycled raw material use average CLIMATE Kemira will help build a carbon neutral society Chemical Ambition to be carbon neutral by 2045, and -30% CO2 Chemical sector emissions by 2030 (Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions) sector average average *) includes people, operations (environment) and chemical safety FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 22
Sustainability targets renewed in February 2021 SAFETY PEOPLE WATER CIRCULARITY CLIMATE High safety Foster strong Ensure water- Improve customer Reduce costs with performance company culture related risks are resource efficiency renewables and fundamental to and commitment to managed effectively Increase biobased energy efficiency business people and recycled raw Low carbon product material use offering NEW KPIS TRIF 1.5 by 2025 Reach top 10% Continuously Reduce waste Scope and 1.1 by 2030 cross industry norm improve freshwater intensity by 15% 1&2 emissions -30% for Diversity & use intensity by 2030 by 2030 Inclusion by 2025 Biobased products >500 million EUR revenue by 2030 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 23
52% of revenue generated from products that improve customer resource-efficiency PULP & PAPER INDUSTRY & WATER Kemira’s chemicals improve the manufacturing process and enable better resource-efficiency. WATER TREATMENT OIL & GAS For example Municipal and industrial Shale: Our chemistry is helping to improve water treatment: Our chemicals reduce friction and recycled fiber quality and content, chemical water treatment provides improve energy efficiency of shale energy and water efficiency in the most compact plant and producers paper mills smallest possible environmental Oil sands tailings: Case: footprint Wastewater treatment of oil sands Lightweight packaging: with our Case: tailings ponds strength chemicals, our customers Sludge de-watering: with our can make their packaging lighter CEOR: chemicals, our customers are able yet stronger. Lighter weight results to reduce the water content in Our chemicals reduce friction and in lower logistics cost and thus sludge. As a result, demand for enable a better yield from existing environmental footprint. logistics is lower resulting in better wells environmental footprint FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 24
SUSTAINABILITY WILL BE A KEY DRIVER FOR FUTURE GROWTH Customer behavior TO SUPPORT OUR CUSTOMERS IN THE SHIFT TOWARDS HIGHER SUSTAINABILITY, is changing with an WE WILL: Address growing recyclability and increased focus on biodegradability demand for products sustainability Gradually transform our product portfolio to more biobased Pulp & Paper Reduce the use of fossil-fuel based carbon Customers desire for biodegradable and recyclable products - growing need for biobased chemicals as raw material TO INCREASE THE SUSTAINABILITY Customer product portfolio will evolve when going OF OUR OPERATIONS, further into the bioeconomy – totally new uses for fiber WE WILL: Industry & Water Increase the share of recycled Overall sustainability focus driven by consumers material in our products Growing market for circular products with high share of recycled content FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 25
W E WA N T TO E N S U R E P R O F I TA B L E GROWTH BY BECOMING THE LEADING P R O V I D E R O F S U S TA I N A B L E C H E M I C A L S O L U T I O N S F O R WAT E R - I N T E N S I V E INDUSTRIES CURRENT REVENUE TARGET REVENUE IN 2030 ~100 MEUR >500 MEUR FROM BIOBASED FROM BIOBASED PRODUCTS PRODUCTS CURRENT SHARE TARGET SHARE IN 2030 12% 40% OF RENEWABLE CARBON OF OF RENEWABLE CARBON OF ALL CARBON CONTAINING ALL CARBON CONTAINING RAW MATERIALS RAW MATERIALS FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 26
What will the sustainability focus mean for our businesses? Pulp & Paper Industry & Water • Increase focus on circularity as customers • Increase focus and investments on water are demanding recyclability and treatment biodegradability • In Oil & Gas, direct focus to growing and less • Focus investments in sustainable pulp, volatile CEOR and oil sands tailings packaging and tissue applications. Limit businesses investments in declining printing & writing applications. • Explore new markets for water treatment, particularly in APAC • Explore new competencies, e.g. barrier solutions to capture market growth • Explore new competencies and product lines opportunities within water treatment FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 27
We will increase focus on water treatment to further improve sustainability of I&W portfolio 24% WE WILL CREATE AN ACTION PLAN TO FURTHER IMPROVE THE SUSTAINABILITY of current raw materials PROFILE OF THE I&W PORTFOLIO from recycled sources Further improve the circularity of our business by increasing share of recycled materials Start building a biobased polymer portfolio Already Increase segment focus on water treatment applications and capabilities up to 80% Increase Oil & Gas focus on growing and less volatile businesses, i.e. CEOR and of raw materials from Oil Sands tailings. Expected recovery in shale recycled sources in provides near-term growth opportunities. coagulants FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 28
Corporate sustainability performance Q4 2020 1/2 Priority KPI+Target Performance Comments Progress Three new R&D projects were started in Q4 2020 and all 53% 52% of them are planned to improve customer phase 51% Product sustainability resource efficiency. During year 2020 we started totally 12 AHEAD OF At least 50% of Kemira’s revenue 49% new R&D projects out of which 10 are planned to improve TARGET Sustainable products generated through products improving resource efficiency. At the same time we have customers’ resource efficiency. Baseline 2018 2019 2020 commercialized 7 R&D projects and all of them are and solutions average improving resource efficiency at customer phase. 2016-2017 Workplace safety After good safety performance in H1 2020, the second half Achieve zero injuries on long term; 3,9 was not satisfactory and we totalled one incident more 3,5 TRIF* 1.9 by end of 2021. than in 2019. As a result, we were not on target for our 2,1 2,2 1,9 YTD safety goal (TRIF 2.2 vs. 2.0). BEHIND TARGET We continue to work with behavioral safety to continuously 2017 2018 2019 2020 Target 2021 improve our safety performance. Climate change 2020 shows a 4.8% reduction in actual 100 98,6 95,2 Reduce combined Scope 1 and Scope 2 annualized emissions compared to our baseline of 2018. 70 Responsible greenhouse gas emissions by 30% by This is a significant improvement, as the modelling when ON 2030, compared to the 2018 baseline setting Kemira’s 2030 target expected a 4% increase for operations and supply TARGET (0.93m t CO2eq). Ambition to be carbon 2020, before declining. chain neutral by 2045 2018 2019 2020 Target 2030 Supplier Management Supplier sustainability assessments continued as Share of direct key suppliers screened planned. During 2020 we completed 60 new supplier 100% 90% 50 through sustainability assessments and 69% 74% 75% assessments with an average score of 52/100. An 80% 40 audits (cumulative %). The target 60% 30 additional 10 suppliers have been invited to take an IN includes five sustainability audits for the 40% 16 17 20 assessment. Supplier assessments and audits are part of PROGRESS 11 highest-risk** suppliers every year, and 20% 10 sourcing processes and Sourcing function target setting cumulatively 25 audits by 2020. 0% 0 and are monitored on monthly basis. In 2020, supplier Baseline 2019 2020 Target 2018 2021 assessment target was met but we were not able to % of key suppliers # of audits (cumul.) conduct targeted number of audits mainly due to covid-19 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION and related restrictions. 29 * TRIF = Number of Total Recordable Injury Frequency per million hours, Kemira + contractor, year-to-date ** Suppliers with lowest sustainability assessment score
Corporate sustainability performance Q4 2020 2/2 Progress Priority KPI+target Performance Comments Employee engagement index based on In Q4, we completed the MyVoice 2020. Based on 81 81 bi-annual MyVoice survey the MyVoice our employee engagement score had Keep the index at or above the external increased to 81, which is six above the external industry norm. 75 manufacturing benchmark of 75. The participation rate was ON 81%, increasing by 14% points since 2019. During 2020, TARGET we continued our continuous feedback and listening model Engagement Participation for prioritized areas with our new, agile methods 2020 Target of engagement measurement, benchmarking and taking action. People and integrity Leadership development activities 1 533 1 839 1 500 During 2020, we experimented with more digital provided, average learning and this continued in Q4. Examples includes 1 036 Two leadership development activities development for leaders in manufacturing, commercial and AHEAD OF 494 per people manager position during functions. We also ran two Talent Journey programs TARGET 2016–2020. The cumulative target is virtually for our nominated Talents. 1,500 by 2020. 2016 2017 2018 2019 Target 2020 Integrity index Integrity has been measured in the MyVoice Pulse KPI to measure compliance with the 81% survey 2020 using a new method (it is called ‘Speak My Kemira Code of Conduct. The target is to 80% Mind’, which is one single item Index). Therefore, it is not ON maintain the Integrity Index level above directly comparable to the previous 2018 results. In 2020 TARGET industry benchmark of 77%. 2020 the Integrity Index score is 80 points, 10 points Integrity Index Participation above manufacturing benchmark FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 30
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Pulp & Paper Driving growth as market leader FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 31
Pulp & Paper chemicals market estimated to grow 1-2% REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA • Pulp & Paper chemicals market drivers EUR million 1,477 1,520 1,523 – Hardwood and softwood pulp demand increasing 1,457 1,458 1,417 driven by growth of packaging needs (e-commerce, non-plastic solutions), growing tissue demand and 260 lack of recycled fiber 218 171 195 198 192 – Demand increase continues for packaging, driven by online shopping, last-mile delivery, product safety and non-plastic solutions 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE – Growth in tissue demand driven by increasing ◼ 20% wealth in emerging countries Printing & ◼ 40% writing papers – Ongoing digitalization of media drives decline of ◼ 40% Board & tissue graphic paper demand Pulp • Growth areas, pulp and board & tissue, represent over 80% of our Pulp & Paper Market 1% 2% -1-2% revenue growth – Ongoing capacity additions suit well for the need of growing demand FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 32
Markets impacted by COVID-19 in the short term, long-term drivers remain solid SHORT TERM IMPACT LONG TERM IMPACT EXPECTED CAGR OF COVID-19 OF COVID-19 2020-2026* Graphic Paper Demand declined, particularly advertising-driven paper Structural decline and digitalization likely to consumption and office paper demand accelerate -2-3% Printing & Writing demand expected to decline by up Some recovery on print advertisement and office to 20% in 2020 paper possible after situation normalizes Tissue High demand in H1/2020 Resilient demand Increased demand for more high-quality virgin fiber Megatrends (growing middle-class, growing +2-3% based (at-home) tissue and hygiene products GDP of emerging countries) remain intact Packaging Strong demand for online and packaged daily E-commerce growth to accelerate consumer goods. Other megatrends (plastics replacement, +2-3% Higher consumer demand will only partly offset the growing urban middle class) remain unchanged falling demand for industrial and B2B-transport packaging Pulp Pulp demand solid Demand supported by packaging and tissue Wastepaper collection and sorting interrupted demand +1-2% Efficient pulp mills coming online forcing high cost and old pulp mills out of market Sources: RISI, Hawkins Wright, Pöyry, management estimation *End market FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 33
From our existing markets, we see growth opportunities in Asia-Pacific and in Pulp AS I A - PA C I F I C PULP • Customer demand to shift increasingly to • Growth in pulp expected to be driven by Asia-Pacific with most of new board and paper increasing need for packaging and tissue production capacity expected in the region • Demand to shift more towards market pulp • Big customers expected to capture larger and recycled pulp share of the region’s market; emerging • New investments expected to concentrate in sustainability focus of consumers to benefit Northern Europe and South America larger suppliers • Fragmented chemical market with many small and local producers provides opportunities for further consolidation KEMIRA POSITION KEMIRA POSITION Focused on larger and financially healthy producers Well-positioned to capture selected growth opportunities in Northern Customer market consolidation could create opportunities for Europe and South America through existing strong Kemira to differentiate with full product portfolio offering customer relationships FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 34
New AKD wax investment in China fully operational • Construction started in 2017, manufacturing facility fully operational with positive EBITDA contribution in 2020 • Produces mainly AKD wax and its key raw material fatty acid chloride (FACL) – AKD is sizing chemical used in board and paper to create resistance against liquid absorption – Plans to produce coagulants for water treatment • Kemira strengthens its position and secures supply of key raw material for AKD wax JOINT-VENTURE ACQUIRED ASSET FULFILLS OUR KEY CRITERIA FOR ACQUISITIONS: Tiancheng with Kemira GROWTH – End-products in growing markets APAC – Enables profitable growth in APAC holding 80% investment SUPPLY – Backward integr. & self-sufficiency (FACL) SUSTAINABILITY – FACL from renewable material of around EUR 70 LOCATION – Close to our existing production PROFITABILITY – Accretive after ramp-up million FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 35
Upcoming investments will further strengthen our long-term performance B L E A C H I N G E X P A N S I O N I N U R U G U AY SOUTH KOREA • Multi-year agreement with UPM-Kymmene • Joint Venture with Yongsan Chemicals, includes bleaching capacity to existing Fray Kemira minority shareholder Bentos mill as well as new 2.1 million ton pulp • Polymer investment in a growing market; mill in Paso de los Toros. efficiency improvement from backward- • Expansion of both sodium chlorate and integration hydrogen peroxide at the existing Fray Bentos • Premium dry polymer products: paper and chemical island site packaging mills in APAC and water treatment • The extension will support long-term growth in facilities as end customers bleaching, one of Kemira’s strategic focus • Will support strengthening competitive areas position in APAC • Financial contribution expected as of 2023, • Scheduled opening in H1 2021, ramp-up by investments to take place in 2021-2022 the end of 2021. INVESTMENT AROUND USD 30 MILLION EQUITY INVESTMENT AROUND EUR 5 MILLION FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 36
We are looking to transform our portfolio more towards biobased products C U S T O M E R S S E E K I N G A D D E D VA L U E WE WILL BECOME THE LEADING F R O M S U S TA I N A B I L I T Y A N D P R O V I D E R O F S U S TA I N A B L E B I O M AT E R I A L S C H E M I C A L S O L U T I O N S F O R W AT E R - • Maximizing biocontent in end-products to INTENSIVE INDUSTRIES differentiate from plastic applications -> • Kemira’s aim is to improve customer resource recyclability of products key efficiency, particularly in pulp and packaging • Pulp & Paper companies making increasing • 12% of all carbon containing raw materials investments to renew and broaden wood- used in Kemira is already renewable based end-product portfolio • Ambition to create a green portfolio in the long • Many Pulp & Paper customers announcing term ambitious sustainability targets related to CO2 • Key product lines strength, sizing and barriers emission reduction and more efficient water as well as retention chemicals usage • Kemira’s current biobased solutions: e.g. sizing agents, such as Sunflower ASA and AKD wax, and rosin FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 37
Our focus is to maintain profitability while increasing focus on growth PRIORITIZED GROWTH ACTIONS FURTHER PROFITABILITY • Shift current portfolio more IMPROVEMENT towards packaging and tissue ON-GOING • Continuous performance and • Disciplined price and cost • Capture growth in Asia-Pacific cost-structure enhancement, management particularly in Process & • In Pulp applications, seize growth • Increase share of customer wallet Functional chemicals opportunities in Europe and South America. • Continued complexity reduction • Restructuring of Pulp & Paper Americas organization • Focus on growing biobased • Capitalize on new facilities in market organically or through China and the U.S. and upcoming M&A, particularly in barriers investment in South Korea PROFITABILITY & CASH FLOW GROWTH FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 38
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Industry & Water Stronger platform for profitable growth FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 39
Industry & Water relevant chemicals market estimated to grow 3-4% REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA • Demand for water treatment chemicals expected EUR million 1,136 1,009 1,073 to increase due to 956 906 970 – Higher demand for water driven by industrial growth 192 175 and population growth 116 107 114 131 – More stringent discharge limits for waste water – Better dewatering of sludge 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2015-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and – Phosphorus recovery Oil & Mining segments – Water reuse REVENUE BY APPLICATION ◼ 15% ◼ 10% • Higher demand for Oil & Gas solutions expected Other ◼ 75% Oil & Gas – Shale friction reducer market expected to grow due Water treatment to higher energy demand and increasing number of wells fracked – Oil sands operators face regulatory requirements for Market growth 2-3% 5-6% 2-3% their tailings treatment – Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery lucrative in certain fields due to better yield from existing reservoirs FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 40
COVID-19 impact clear on shale, but remaining I&W business areas continue to be resilient short and long-term SHORT TERM IMPACT LONG TERM IMPACT EXPECTED CAGR OF COVID-19 OF COVID-19 2020-2026* Municipal Marginal drop in volumes due to lower activity mainly Expected to grow with around GDP Water in the hospitality industry 3-4% No changes to previous views Treatment Industrial Temporarily lower industrial activity has decreased Expected to recover with economy and continue to Water chemical demand by 5-10% grow with around GDP 3-4% Treatment No changes to previous views Oil Sands Volumes lower than expected for Kemira’s end No impact on the long-term tailings treatment Tailings market, expected to recover in 2021 demand 8-9% Treatment Chemically No impact on active projects and projects in planning No impact expected Enhanced phase • Projects long-term in nature, project breaks ~15% Oil Recovery (cEOR) are expensive Shale Sharp drop in fracking activity leading to -70% of Industry expected to recover gradually by 2025 Oil & Gas Friction Reducer demand for 2020 compared to 2019 Shale role in future global oil supply to be confirmed 15-20% Market bottom in Q2 followed by modest sequential pick-up during Q3 *Kemira estimates FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 41
APAC, CEOR and oil sands tailings provide strong growth opportunities GROWING NEED FOR POLYMERS WATER TREATMENT IN APAC OIL SANDS TAILINGS CEOR • Largest and fastest growing • Market growth driven by regulatory • Exploration and drilling of new water treatment market liability to treat tailings from oil oil wells increasingly expensive; • Expected market CAGR ~5%. sands in Canada ensuring most efficient use of until 2030 • Market expected to grow current wells • Fragmented market; many local significantly into 2030s with tailings • Market expected to grow clearly players with local manufacturing remediation demand expected to until 2030, more moderate continue for at least the next 50 growth until 2050 years KEMIRA POSITION KEMIRA POSITION KEMIRA POSITION Mainly export business, Strong relationship with Serving customer in the North Sea, focus on premium segment all oil sands operators several other customer pilots ongoing FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 42
Kemira’s six actions 1. The requirements of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive (UWWTD) must be implemented fully and equally in all member states. for cleaner 2. 3. Emission limit values (especially phosphorus) in water discharges should be tightened. Digitalization can improve both the quality waters 4. of monitoring and the cost efficiency of water treatment. Emerging pollutants need to be included IN EMEA in the legislation. 5. Pollution from storm-water overflows must be limited and discharges safely disinfected. 6. Clearer guidance is needed on applying innovation and sustainability criteria in public procurement for water treatment. FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 43
Regulation continues to support growth in European water treatment market Regulation under update Comments & Implications Urban • Basis for wastewater treatment business in Europe Wastewater • Target to better enforce existing legislation in all countries Treatment Directive • Other potential improvement areas: energy efficiency and micropollutants control (UWWT)* • Revised directive will increase use of coagulants and polymers in non-compliant countries • New regulation expected to be fully operational in late 2025 Water • Regulation evaluated to be fit for purpose and won’t be opened for changes Framework Directive (WFD) Drinking Water • Only minor changes with small impact: Directive (DWD) – New tighter limits for Lead and Chromium in drinking water • New regulation is expected to be fully operational in 2025 Water Reuse • New EU wide regulation (no additional national implementation required) defining minimum quality standards for water reuse regulation in agriculture • The regulation does not incentivize increased water reuse, however clear quality standards are hoped to boost water reuse Estimated to increase water treatment chemical demand by ~40 MEUR / p.a. in the long term * most relevant for Kemira FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 44
Oil & Gas expected to grow in the long-term REVENUE IN OIL & GAS Long-term market growth opportunities with EUR million Kemira’s selective market diversification 350 300 250 Kemira’s offering 200 150 • Process efficiencies: polymers that reduce 100 50 energy consumption by 60% in shale oil fields 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 • Cost reduction: higher concentrated liquids that make offshore oil recovery more cost effective (CEOR) REVENUE SPLIT 2020 • Addressing environmental regulations: tailings ◼ 15% ◼ 40% treatment in oil sands Other Shale fracking New innovative technologies driving ◼ 45% expansion Oil sands and Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery Figures rounded to closest 5% FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 45
We have diversified our Oil & Gas business since the last oil downturn Revenue split 2020 Revenue split 2015 ◼ 15% Other ◼ 35% Other ◼ 45% ◼ 40% ◼ 5% ◼ 60% Oil sands Shale fracking Oil sands Shale fracking and and Chemical Chemical Enhanced Oil Enhanced Oil Recovery Recovery 2020 UPDATE • Action taken to optimize current Oil & Gas organization to the prevailing market situation. Orgnization ready when demand picks up. • Sequential recovery in shale market continued towards year-end FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 46
Our polymer investment in the Netherlands serves growing CEOR market • Capacity addition announced in October 2017, facility fully operational with positive EBITDA contribution as of Q1 2020 • Manufacturing facility serves offshore CEOR • Investment includes capacity addition as well as improves backward integration • Multi-year extension to current contract with Ithaca Energy announced in September 2020. The extension will ensure good utilization of the facility going forward. Investment around EUR 30 million, EBITDA contribution high single-digit millions (annualized) FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 47
Water treatment customers focus increasingly on sustainability • Consumers increasingly aware of sustainability issues • Water treatment customers increasingly focused on reducing CO2 footprint • Kemira survey shows customers are willing to pay a premium for biobased products • Micropollutant removal and disinfection leading themes currently in sustainable water management Growing market for sustainable and circular products. Also biobased products growing in importance. FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 48
Our focus is to maintain profitability while increasing focus on growth PRIORITIZED GROWTH ACTIONS FURTHER PROFITABILITY • Increase focus on sustainable IMPROVEMENT water treatment business and ON-GOING look for growth, particularly in Oil & Gas profitability • Disciplined price and cost APAC • Cost structure already management streamlined; ready for growth • In Oil & Gas, focus on growing • Continued complexity reduction when shale demand picks up CEOR and oil sands tailings • Capitalize on new polymer asset APAC profitability applications in the Netherlands and upcoming • Organization reorganized, focus • Consider M&A opportunities in polymer investment in Mobile, new water treatment capabilities on growth to improve scale USA, including backward- and strengthening regional integration efficiencies footprint PROFITABILITY & CASH FLOW GROWTH FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 49
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Latest news and financials FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 50
Highlights in 2020 • Strong performance in 2020: improved profitability, good operational performance, improved customer satisfaction and employee engagement. • Challenging market environment due to COVID-19 pandemic and related economic slowdown • Revenue development excluding Oil & Gas and currencies -2% illustrating resilience of business model. Strong profitability: operative EBITDA margin improved to 17.9%. • Financial target for operative EBITDA margin updated to 15-18% (previously 15-17%). Also dividend policy updated: aim to distribute competitive and over-time increasing dividend. • New manufacturing facilities in China and the Netherlands facilitate growth; existing facility expansion in Uruguay to support future growth in Pulp & Paper FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 51
Financial highlights of 2020 Q4 Q4 Δ% FY FY Δ% Organic revenue growth improved towards year- EUR million (except ratios) 2020 2019 2020 2019 end • COVID-19 related economic slowdown impacted Revenue 605.6 657.7 -8% 2,427.2 2,658.8 -9% volumes, particularly in printing and writing and shale Operative EBITDA 107.9 90.1 +20% 435.1 410.0 +6% • Organic revenue growth excluding Oil & Gas stable of which margin 17.8% 13.7% - 17.9% 15.4% - in Q4 2020, -2% in 2020 Strong margin development continued in Q4 2020 Operative EBIT 57.0 42.4 +34% 237.7 224.0 +6% • EBITDA supported by lower variable costs, of which margin 9.4% 6.4% - 9.8% 8.4% - including raw materials and efficiencies from new investments in China and the Netherlands Net profit 23.8 8.6 177% 138.0 116.5 +18% • Good fixed cost management EPS diluted, EUR 0.14 0.05 214% 0.86 0.72 +19% Earnings per share EUR 0.86 Cash flow from Strong cash flow from operating activities operating activities 146.4 142.5 +3% 374.7 386.2 -3% Dividend proposal of EUR 0.58 per share Dividend per share, proposal by the BoD, 0.58 0.56 +4% EUR* *Board of Director’s proposal to the AGM 2021 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 52
Pulp & Paper: clear profitability improvement in 2020 Market environment in 2020 REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) • Pulp, board and tissue demand remained resilient; EUR million demand in printing and writing chemicals declined. 385 390 386 376 381 383 378 Improvement in market demand in Q4. 369 373 370 357 352 +7% Organic growth improved towards year-end +5% +6% +4% • Economic slowdown impacted volumes, particularly +0% -3% -3% -3% -1% 0% -4% -5% in printing & writing products where revenue declined by 9% in 2020 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 • Sales volumes increased in Q4 2020, sequential 2018 2019 2020 improvement in all customer segments OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% Strong operative EBITDA margin in 2020 EUR million 18.4% 18.6% 18,6% 16.0% 15.9% • Profitability improvement in APAC 13.6% 13.1% 13.3% 14.4% 13.6% 65.5 68,9 11.6% 12.1% 61.3 60.2 65.6 • 2020 margin improvement result of good cost 52.3 51.2 50.7 53.7 52.6 42.7 45.4 management and contribution from recent investments Organizational restructuring in the Americas during Q4 2020 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2* Q3* Q4* Q1* Q2* Q3* Q4* FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2018 2019 2020 53 * Includes IFRS16 impact
Industry & Water: relative profitability improved despite lower sales volumes Market environment in 2020 REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million • Municipal water treatment market grew slightly 290 307 272 284 271 272 despite COVID-19; industrial water treatment market 245 267 264 244 236 226 declined due to lower industrial activity +14% +11% +11% +5% +6% • Modest sequential recovery in shale demand +2% +4% -1% -1% continued in Q4 2020 -22% -18% -10% Organic growth Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 • Organic revenue growth excluding Oil & Gas 0% in 2018 2019 2020 Q4 2020, -2% in 2020. Revenue in municipal water treatment increased in 2020. OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million • Shale revenue continued to recover sequentially in Q4 2020 18.3% 17.7% 19.5% 16,6% 16.8% 18.1% 18.5% Strong operative EBITDA margin in 2020 12.8% 12.9% 12.3% 13.8% 10.9% 52.4 56.8 45.0 48.2 40.0 47.6 34.8 36.7 33.3 37.5 39,0 • Profitability supported by lower variable costs and 26.6 good fixed cost management. Positive contribution from polymer expansion in the Netherlands. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2* Q3* Q4* Q1* Q2* Q3* Q4* 2018 2019 2020 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 54 * Includes IFRS16 impact
Oil & Gas: sequential shale market recovery continued in Q4 2020 Market environment in 2020 • Shale: shale market bottomed in Q2 2020. Sequential market recovery continued in Q4 2020; typically Q4 seasonally slower quarter REVENUE DEVELOPMENT EUR million • In oil sands tailings, Kemira’s end market demand in 2020 clearly lower than expected. CEOR* end market solid. 73 77 87 Kemira performance in 2020 57 57 56 66 62 66 46 52 45 41 38 • Oil & Gas revenue declined by 46% in 2020 38 27 • Q4: Kemira shale revenue continued to recover sequentially, but remained at a low level compared to Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2019 2017 2018 2019 2020 • Multi-year contract extension signed with Ithaca for CEOR 2021 expectation • Shale and oil sands tailings demand expected to recover gradually, CEOR to remain solid *CEOR, chemical enhanced oil recovery FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 55
Strong results in customer satisfaction and employee engagement Strong customer satisfaction – positive Employee engagement continued to feedback on Kemira’s actions during improve – clearly above industrial COVID-19 benchmark NET PROMOTER SCORE* EMPLOYEE ENGAGEMENT 47*** 36** 81 33 28 30 6 PTS ABOVE MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY BENCHMARK 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 * Promoter customers (very loyal) – Detractor customers (unhappy), Scale: 0-19 Satisfactory, 20-39 Good, 40+ Excellent. ** New rolling process implemented in 2019 ***Average NPS score in 2020, data in 2020 limited due to a 6-month break in interviews following COVID-19 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 56
W E WA N T TO E N S U R E P R O F I TA B L E GROWTH BY BECOMING THE LEADING P R O V I D E R O F S U S TA I N A B L E C H E M I C A L S O L U T I O N S F O R WAT E R - I N T E N S I V E INDUSTRIES CURRENT REVENUE TARGET REVENUE IN 2030 ~100 MEUR >500 MEUR FROM BIOBASED FROM BIOBASED PRODUCTS PRODUCTS CURRENT SHARE TARGET SHARE IN 2030 12% 40% OF RENEWABLE CARBON OF OF RENEWABLE CARBON OF ALL CARBON CONTAINING ALL CARBON CONTAINING RAW MATERIALS RAW MATERIALS FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 57
Partnerships announced in December are important steps in our biobased strategy DUPONT DANIMER SCIENTIFIC • Exclusive partnership to develop enzymatic • Exclusive partnership to develop biomaterial platform technology developed by biodegradable coating for Kemira applications DuPont Nutrition & Biosciences (now part of in paper and board IFF) for Kemira applications • Danimer’s plant seed-based PHA will be used • Partnership will leverage DuPont’s platform to develop biobased alternatives to that utilizes plant-based sugars as raw polyethylene coating materials. Kemira will bring application development expertise. • NEXT STEPS: Aim to manufacture coatings for limited commercial applications in 2021 • NEXT STEPS: In 2021 partners will work on before exploring broader production options joint application development before doing pilot scale sales in 2022-2023. FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 58
Sustainability targets renewed SAFETY PEOPLE WATER CIRCULARITY CLIMATE High safety Foster strong Ensure water- Improve customer Reduce costs with performance company culture related risks are resource efficiency renewables and fundamental to and commitment to managed effectively Increase biobased energy efficiency business people and recycled raw Low carbon product material use offering NEW KPIS TRIF 1.5 by 2025 Reach top 10% Continuously Reduce waste Scope and 1.1 by 2030 cross industry norm improve freshwater intensity by 15% 1&2 emissions -30% for Diversity & use intensity by 2030 by 2030 Inclusion by 2025 Biobased products >500 million EUR revenue by 2030 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 59
Key operative focus areas in 2021 • Continue to mitigate impact of COVID-19 to ensure our own and our customers’ business continuity. Retain people and operational safety as top priority. • Increased focus on profitable growth; maintain focus on strict cost management • Biobased strategy: continue partnership development and R&D focus to commercialize new biobased products enabling recyclability • Operational agility: ensure good capacity utilization and capacity can be ramped up quickly when market demand recovers • Construction of polymer capacity in the U.S. and South Korea as well as expansion of bleaching capacity in Uruguay FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 60
PETRI CASTRÉN, CFO FEBRUARY 11, 2021 Financials Q4 2020 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 61
Strong profitability despite clearly lower volumes Q4/2020 REVENUE AND ORGANIC GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) Organic revenue growth -4% in Q4 2020, -7% EUR million in 2020 658 • Q4 2020 revenue declined due to lower sales volumes and -2% -2% -4% 0% 606 prices. Revenue declined particularly in shale and printing and writing • Organic revenue growth trend improved towards year-end Operative EBITDA margin improved to 17.8% in Q4 2020, 17.9% in 2020 • Operative EBITDA improved despite lower revenue. Q4 2019 Sales volumes Sales prices Currency Acquisitions & Q4 2020 impact divestments Favorable variable cost development and good fixed cost management. Efficiencies from investments in China and the Netherlands contributed positively to EBITDA. OPERATIVE EBITDA BRIDGE EUR million 108 6 -4 4 90 -4 29 -14 Q4 2019 Sales volumes Sales prices Variable costs Fixed costs Curency impact Other Q4 2020 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 62
Items affecting comparability • Q4 2020: Items affecting comparability, Q4 2020 Q4 2019 FY 2020 FY 2019 • EUR 14 million related to liabilities EUR million in a small, to-be-closed energy company in Finland owned via Within EBITDA -16.7 -20.5 -21.8 -27.7 Pohjolan Voima Pulp & Paper -16.8 -20.8 -20.0 -25.8 • Restructuring costs in Pulp & Industry & Water 0.1 0.3 -1.8 -1.8 Paper of around EUR 4 million due to organizational changes in Within depreciation, amortization the Americas 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.9 and impairment • Q1-Q3 2020: Pulp & Paper 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 • Restructuring costs in Oil & Gas Industry & Water 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.9 of around EUR 2 million Total items affecting • Increased environmental -16.7 -20.5 -21.8 -29.6 comparability in EBIT provisions due to clean-up of old manufacturing site in Finland FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 63
Impact from variable costs continued to be positive SALES PRICE VS VARIABLE COST TREND SALES PRICES AND VARIABLE COSTS (ROLLING 12-MONTH CHANGE Y-O-Y) (CHANGE Y-O-Y) EUR million EUR million 180 47 42 37 120 34 32 26 38 28 28 28 36 25 60 16 13 29 24 16 15 9 13 23 11 8 23 5 4 19 11 14 0 11 -9 3 -18 -3 -10 0 -4 -2 -2 -5 0 -4 -4 -60 -10 -23 -13 -13 -14 -16 -14 -18 -20 -20 -23 -23 -25 -120 -26 -16 -29 -32 -180 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs) Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs* Sales prices Variable costs * 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 64
Strong cash flow ALL KEY FIGURES IN EUR MILLION CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS 386 375 • Q4 cash flow from operations strong at EUR 146.4 million. January-December 2019 period included EUR 143 146 15 million return of excess capital from Kemira’s Q4 205 210 supplementary Pension Fund in Finland. Q3 71 88 121 117 Q2 93 64 57 • Net working capital improved from Q3 2020 mainly due 61 29 35 23 65 to lower inventory levels and higher payables. NWC Q1 12 50 was EUR 197 million end of December 2020 (EUR 211 2017* 2018* 2019 2020 *Pre-IFRS16 figures million at end of 2019). CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCL. ACQUISITIONS 190 201 196 • Capex estimated to be around EUR 200 million in 2021: 150 66 98 98 78 – Expansion of manufacturing facility in Uruguay to cater for 44 UPM’s upcoming pulp mill 65 44 53 39 – Mobile polymer plant to start production in H2 2021 59 53 65 65 73 2017 2018 2019 2020 Expansion Improvement Maintenance FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 65
Gearing below financial target range DEVELOPMENT OF OPERATIVE ROCE, % 12.1% 9.7% 9.8% 11.2% • Operative ROCE improved to 12.1% driven by improvement in Pulp & Paper • Pulp & Paper operative ROCE 11.1% (2019: 7.7 %) • Industry & Water operative ROCE 13.9% (2019: 2017* 2018* 2019 2020 17.6%) *Pre-IFRS16 figures NET DEBT (EUR million) AND LEVERAGE RATIO* 811 759 • Gearing 63% - below financial target range of below 694** 741** 638** 75% • Average interest rate of net debt excluding leases is 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.9% and duration is 20 months • With pre-IFRS 16 net debt figures: Dec 31 Dec 31 Dec 31 Dec 31 – gearing 53% 2017 2018 2019 2020 – leverage ratio 1.6 * Leverage ratio = Net debt / last 12 months operative EBITDA ** pre-IFRS 16 figures FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 66
Financial targets and dividend policy updated in November UPDATED FINANCIAL TARGETS • Above-the-market growth (unchanged) • Operative EBITDA margin of 15-18% (previously 15-17%) • Gearing below 75% (unchanged) UPDATED DIVIDEND POLICY Kemira’s dividend policy aims at paying a competitive and over time increasing dividend. (previously: stable and competitive dividend) FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 67
Dividend proposed to be increased to EUR 0.58 per share • Dividend proposed to be increased due to strong profitability and cash flow in 2020 ◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield • Board of Directors’ proposes to the AGM a 0.58* dividend of EUR 0.58 per share, totaling 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.56 EUR 89 million. The dividend is proposed 0.48 to be paid in two installments, in April and 5.8% in November. 4.1% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2% 4.5% • No Board of Directors discretion over second dividend installment • Kemira has paid a dividend every year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end since listing of shares in 1994 *Board of Director’s proposal to the AGM 2021 FEBRUARY 11, 2021 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 68
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