January 28 2022 - Lipman Family Farms
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THE MARKET UPDATE ROUND TOMATOES later harvests. This creates more shrink at the packing level, With recent cooler weather and rain in the growing areas, FL’s but the final product is still nice. round tomato production has slowed down a notch this week but remains adequate. Quality is excellent on crown picks and There’s still plenty of grape tomatoes coming out of Mexico, slightly less on any 2nd harvests. The size profile is a touch but volume is slightly lighter due to the cooler nights. bigger than usual for this time of year but there is a mix of sizing options available. The Naples/Immokalee area, where BELL PEPPERS Lipman and several other growers are currently harvesting, Although FL’s East and West coast pepper growers have been has a very cool forecast ahead for the weekend with the in full Winter production mode, last weekend’s cool chance of freezing temperatures for one or two nights. This temperatures and this week’s rain have slowed down harvests two-day shot of cold air may cause bloom drop and impact this week. With near freezing temperatures projected for this production in 3-4 weeks, but volume will definitely be affected weekend, supply will likely remain on the light side for at least to some degree in the short term. the next week or so. Most of the fruit that’s available is still in the jumbo and 2X size range, with limited XL volume and very Growing areas in Sinaloa have been experiencing night time little choice product. Overall quality is good with no major lows in the 40-50’s, which is keeping the projected volume issues reported. increases at bay. Maturity is lagging behind but the fruit is there and we should see the volume increases eventually. Mexico’s bell pepper production has been strong with good Supplies are currently moderate with sizing still heavier to big volumes coming into Nogales from Sonora and Sinaloa in the fruit (4x4’s and 4x5’s) and overall quality has been good. East early part of the week. All sizes and grades were available with Mexico and Baja still have a handful of fruit, but volume is some looking to move large and medium fruit. There have waning as each area enters its wintertime production been occasional reports of bruising and inventory started to schedule. build up for some, but overall quality has been good. As the week progressed, some growers slacked off on harvests, as ROMA TOMATOES market prices were very low, and supply has temporarily FL’s overall roma production levels are down about 25% this tightened up going into the weekend, especially on XL sizing. week but there has been enough available to meet demand. Lipman’s Naples crops held at steady production levels and CUCUMBERS has excellent quality. In part due to variety, but mostly due to The vast majority of Eastern cucumbers is still coming from the daily temperature variance (+20 degrees), our fruit is the Honduran import programs, which will continue through running on the large side with more jumbo and XL than mid-March. The logistics piece of that supply seems to have smaller sizes. The weekend’s chilly weather will slow things smoothed out a little and product is available on a more down a bit, so we’re likely to see less fruit for the next 7-10 consistent basis. Quality is average to good, depending on the days. lot, and all sizes/grades are available. There’s been a very limited amount of FL product around, but this weekend’s Despite cooler nights, Guaymus, Culiacan and Guasave roma freeze/near freeze will likely take that acreage completely out growers continue to have good volumes. There’s more of the picture. Hopefully the weekend weather won’t hinder acreage in play, so the slow-down is less impactful on the start of FL Spring crops, currently planned to begin availability. Expect mostly consistent production now through around March 10. the month of February. Overall quality is very nice. Sonora and Sinaloa continue to provide a steady supply of GRAPE TOMATOES cucumbers. Growing conditions have been ideal so quality FL’s grape tomato production has been rolling along at fairly remains strong as long as the fruit is fresh. Some growers consistent levels, but lightened up a bit this week as some have just started new shade houses, so we expect consistent growers transitioned to Mexico acreage and cooler weather supply over the next several weeks. had an impact on production. Lipman (and others) will continue with regular harvest plans through the Winter YELLOW & ZUCCHINI SQUASH season, but there will be less overall acreage in play until the Squash production is at extremely limited levels in FL this Spring. The weekend’s cold temperatures will likely slow week. Lighter acreage, cold weather, and the wind’s effects on production another notch for next week, so expect light to moderate supplies. Quality continues to be very nice on the Continued on page 2 earlier picks, but begins to decline once you hit the 8th and ON THE HORIZON | 01
YELLOW & ZUCCHINI SQUASH...Continued COLORED BELL PEPPERS quality have taken a toll on harvests in the Immokalee, There’s still plenty of colored bells available from Central Mexico Homestead and East Coast areas. The forecasted cold and Culiacan-area growers this week. As we move into the first weather this weekend will also have a negative impact on week of February, we expect to see less volume from both West production since squash crops don’t respond well to the cold. and Central Mexico. Culiacan-area growers are just coming off a Although we could see a slight rebound once the weather big flush and have slightly cooler temperatures in store which will warms up, we anticipate product staying snug until Spring slow their volumes for the short term while Central Mexico’s low- crops begin in about mid-March. tech season is nearing its end.With a portion of the growers out of the mix, supply should settle in at somewhat lighter levels for the Older fields in the southern areas of Mexico have played out next 3-4 weeks. Quality is mixed, with the better fruit coming from and new plantings have been coming on slower than expected high-tech operations. thanks to cool weather, creating a snug supply situation in the West. However, we are beginning to see signs of life in MINI (PERSIAN) CUCUMBERS zucchini as some new-fields harvests have started this week. Volume has been tightening up since many growers let their fields Yellow squash is still very limited and is lagging behind by a go after a prolonged period of cheap market prices. However, week or two. The acreage is there and production will increase there's still plenty available and quality is good in both Mainland over the new few weeks, with the timing of that dependent on Mexico and Baja. weather. MINI SWEET PEPPERS EGGPLANT Our year-round mini sweet program in Baja is going strong with FL’s eggplant production is at a seasonal low with very light steady volumes and good quality. Mainland Mexico growers are availability. The limited acreage in south FL is not seeing also into strong production. Mini sweet availability looks to be in a strong production as the cool/cold weather has its way. When good place for at least the next month or so. weather patterns improve, we could see a few more eggs in the pipeline but production will remain at light Winter levels ORGANIC GRAPE TOMATOES until new crops and areas get going in April. Quality is just We have solid volumes of organic grapes coming from our ranch okay, as only about ½ of the current harvests are fancy fruit. with nice quality. With most other growers in the same situation, availability is very good on this item, with potential promotional Mainland Mexico’s eggplant production is carrying on at opportunities available. mostly consistent levels with nice-quality fruit coming into Nogales. As we move into March and lead up to Easter, ORGANIC ROMAS demand will strengthen for the Lent season on this item. Organic roma production remains consistent with an adequate amount of product available to meet demand. We expect this CHILI PEPPERS trend to continue through the month of February before FL’s chili pepper production is now at minimum Winter levels tightening up in March. with limited volume coming from the East Coast and Immokalee areas. Jalapenos, poblanos and Cubanelles are available pretty consistently (in light volumes), but there are very little, if any, specialties around. We expect the cold weather, rain, and then more cold weather to tighten things up a little more over the short term. Sonora and Sinaloa’s chili pepper crops are bringing good volumes and quality on all varieties. New plantings are on tap to begin soon, so we don't expect any major availability issues in the near future. GREEN BEANS Between less acreage, cool weather, and rain, FL’s green bean supply is very light this week. At this point, quality has been good on what’s available, but it is raining today and we could see impacts on quality this weekend. Add the weekend’s forecast to the mix, and we’re looking at light supply for at least the next 7-10 days. Green bean production is limited in Mexico this week for several reasons: 1) Cooler night-time weather is slowing down production increases, 2) Some growers report labor issues, and 3) Prior low market prices hindered some from taking care of their crops and now yields are suffering. It looks like supply is going to stay on the lighter side for the next few weeks. ON THE HORIZON | 02
Transportation Produce Facts: The national average price for diesel fuel continues its upward trajectory this week (up Barometer: $.05), moving from $3.73 to $3.78 per gallon All reporting regions in the country saw price increases, ranging from $.02 per gallon in the ITEM QUALITY PRICING Rocky Mountains to $.08 per gallon in New England. Diesel fuel prices are $1.06 higher than the same Bell Pepper Good E-Higher; W-Lower time last year. The highest diesel prices are reported from Cucumber Good E-Steady; W-Steady California ($4.82) and the West Coast ($4.49), while the lowest costs can be found on the Gulf Coast ($3.53) and in the Midwest (3.66). Eggplant Varied E-Steady; W-Steady The truck situation in Nogales has improved slightly, but shortages continue in all active Green Beans Varied E-Higher; W-Higher shipping areas. The "mostly" price for a truck from Nogales to Philadelphia is around $9,750. Running a truck from South Florida to Philly will Jalapeños Good E-Steady; W-Steady cost in the neighborhood of $3300 per load. Squash-Hard Mostly Good E-Steady; W-Steady Squash-Soft Varied E-Elevated; W-Elevated Tomatoes Good E-Steady; W-Steady Events DID YOU KNOW? -Eggplants aren't really vegetables; they're berries. That's not so strange March 3-5, 2022 considering other fruits (like SEPC's Southern Exposure tomatoes) are commonly mistaken Swan & Dolphin Resorts for vegetables. Lake Buena Vista, FL -A study published in the New England Journal of Medicine www.seproducecouncil.com/events in 1993 showed that eggplant has, by far, the highest level Team Lipman looks forward to seeing you at of nicotine of any vegetable. But it's really such a small booth #124! amount that there's no need for concern. You would have to eat 20-40 pounds of eggplant to consume the amount of nicotine in one cigarette. May 16-18, 2022 International Fresh Produce Association's -Eggplant is a perennial plant, but most producers grow it Brandstorm Conference as an annual (they plow and destroy the plants after Marriott Marquis San Diego Marina harvesting the fruits). San Diego, CA www.freshproduce.com/events -The world's top eggplant producers are: 1) China, 2) India, 3) Egypt, 4) Turkey, and 5) Iran. Eggplant is a staple in the the cuisines of these countries. ON THE HORIZON | 03
JANUARY 28, 2022 | NEWS ARTICLES RESTAURANT INDUSTRY NEWS Yelp Economic Average: Consumers and Mudan sees the opportunities ahead for restaurants, hospitality and entrepreneurs. Restaurants Adapting to New Normal “In 2021 we saw consumer behavior continue to adapt WWW.MODERNRESTAURANTMANAGEMENT.COM to the new normal that is pandemic life,” said Mudan. January 26, 2022 “Our data shows a record peak of mentions of rising prices in reviews as businesses face inflation, Consumers described more inflationary experiences alongside supply and labor issues. At the same time, within their reviews on Yelp in 2021 than ever before, growth in people searching for higher cost businesses according to fourth quarter 2021 data for the Yelp on Yelp, and renewed interest in travel and event Economic Average (YEA) report, a benchmark of local categories could be a positive sign for local economic economic strength in the U.S. Additionally, restaurant recovery.” and food new business openings (74,616) also increased 10 percent from 2020 (67,611). Overall new Last year also brought an increase in new business business growth was near pre-pandemic levels growth with nightlife, beauty, and hotels and travel decreasing only one percent in 2021 compared to businesses making a comeback. While the omicron 2019. variant surged in Q4, increases in consumer interest across several categories signaled a return to travel "Restaurant and food businesses are continuing to and social activities. In 2021, business openings adapt to the many challenges they’ve faced over the increased by eight percent to 559,715 up from 517,231 last two years," Pria Mudan, data science leader at in 2020. Nightlife (9,344 new businesses), hotels and Yelp, told Modern Restaurant Management (MRM) travel (12,396), beauty (42,540) and local services magazine. "Our data shows restaurant and food new (60,069) categories on Yelp had the largest percentage business openings increased 10% last year from 2020 increases year-over-year, rising 26, 22, 14 and 15 – a strong sign that these businesses are adapting to percent respectively in 2021. the changing conditions. The easing of restrictions and rollout of vaccines have allowed many temporarily "Changes to everyday life and business operations as a closed restaurants to reopen and have helped create a result of the pandemic have created new favorable environment for new business to open as opportunities for entrepreneurship across industries, consumers return to dining out." including restaurants," said Mudan."We’ve seen this in food delivery businesses, which our data shows In Q4, consumer reviews mentioning higher cost of increased in Q4 2021 73 percent above pre-pandemic goods and services grew, reaching a five year peak levels (2019). In prior quarters we have also seen after dipping at the onset of the pandemic, a 29 bakeries and dessert shops open at increasing rates – percent increase from Q4 2020 and a 49 percent possibly as people continue to turn their baking increase from the five0year low in Q2 2020. As hobbies into new ventures. Both suggest that as the consumer concerns about inflation reached a record pandemic continues to evolve, more people might high, Yelp data also revealed an increase in people create new businesses that meet the needs of their searching for higher cost businesses. local communities." "We are seeing consumer interest rise for dining Another lesson: the popularity of food delivery is not options that were heavily impacted by pandemic dropping anytime soon. restrictions, with communal dining seeing a noticeable uptick in 2021, Mudan added. "Conveyor belt sushi, "Businesses that offer food delivery have continued to buffets and food courts all saw an increase in open and consumers now have more options for consumer interest last year compared to 2020. It is restaurant and food businesses that offer delivery, interesting to see the increase in consumer searches and many see it as a safer alternative to dining out," for higher priced restaurants while consumers are said Mudan. "Our data also shows that consumer also mentioning rising prices in their reviews. Yelp demand for food delivery services remains strong, data shows a 56 percent increase in searches for with consumer interest up 107 percent in Q4 2021 restaurants at the highest price point in 2021 than it was in Q4 2019. As more people become compared to 2019. As people returned to pre- accustomed to getting their food delivered through pandemic activities including travel and events, we the pandemic, we expect food delivery to continue to observed that people were more willing to spend at be a popular option for consumers in the year ahead higher price points, whether they were dining in or and beyond." out, or supporting other local businesses in their communities." ON THE HORIZON | 04
Keep Your Eye on for nutrition while 81% noted the importance of satisfaction. Eighty-five percent of consumers said they the Consumer eat at least one snack for sustenance and one snack for indulgence each day. Sizing Up Snacking Trends WWW.FOODBUSINESSNEWS.NET The survey found a rising appetite for functional snacks, By: Eric Schroeder with 78% of consumers saying they snack regularly to January 26, 2022 “take care of their body” or serve “nutritional needs,” up Consumers’ preference for snacking as a regular eating eight percentage points from 2020. Seventy-two percent behavior over traditional mealtime eating occasions of consumers said they are seeking snacks that are continues to gather momentum, according to the third portion controlled, up from 63% in 2020. annual State of Snacking report released Jan. 19 by Mondelez International, Inc. Sixty-four percent of global Looking ahead, between 40% and 48% of consumers consumers said they prefer to eat many small meals surveyed said they expect to seek out snacks that offer throughout the day, as opposed to a few large ones, up the following attributes in the next few years: vitamin rich, five percentage points from 2019. boost immunity, high in protein, support gut health, low in sugar, carbs or fat, and natural/organic. A smaller To create the State of Snacking report, The Harris Poll percentage (29%) said they imagine seeking out plant- through an online survey contacted 3,055 adults aged based functional snacks and gluten-free (23%). 18 and over in 12 global markets from Oct. 5-27 on behalf of Mondelez International. As important as nourishment is, 79% of consumers said some snacks should be just for enjoyment or satisfaction. The survey found consumers are seeking out snacks to Eighty-five percent of consumers said they don’t want to meet a variety of needs to a greater degree than they sacrifice on flavor, and 74% said they can’t imagine a were two years ago, with convenience and freshness world without chocolate. rising to the top of the list of attributes that regularly impact snacking choices. Ninety-one percent of The global pandemic has changed the way consumers consumers surveyed in 2021 listed convenience as their think about snacking and how they shop. Eighty percent of top attribute, up from 87% in 2020. Freshness was just consumers said they expect to be able to buy the snacks behind at 90% (up from 85% in 2020), followed by they want whenever they want, with 74% noting they indulgence at 85% (up from 81%), healthy at 84% (up expect to be able to use any channel they want. As part of from 80%), energizing at 82% (up from 79%) and unique that trend, 53% of consumers said they shopped more at 74% (up from 68%). using at least three nontraditional or emerging channels in 2021 than in 2020. The definition of snacking also has evolved in recent years. According to the survey, 82% said “snacks have “Our State of Snacking report found that the definition of served different purposes for me at different phases of snacking is evolving among consumers globally, which is my life.” Digging deeper into the data, Gen Z consumers reshaping the meaning of snacking within people’s lives,” said they are more likely to snack to relieve anxiety (86% said Dirk Van de Put, chairman and chief executive officer vs. 76% of all consumers) and boredom (79% vs. 69% of of Mondelez International. “Snacking is much more than a all consumers), while millennials are the most likely source of nutrition and indulgence; it also is a source of generation to snack to meet their nutritional needs (85% social connection and inspiration for broadened vs 78%) and Gen X most often seeks out snacks as a experiences. Notably, consumers continue to prefer comfort food (85% vs 82%). snacking occasions throughout the day over traditional mealtime — as this growing behavior, accelerated by the More than three-fourths of consumers surveyed said ongoing pandemic, increasingly becomes part of daily life. they eat different snacks today than they ate three years That’s why we are proud to continue offering the right ago, and 84% said they anticipate there will be more snack, for the right moment, made the right way.” snack options to choose from in the next three years. Consumers also are seeking snacks as well-being boosters throughout their daily lives, part of a nuanced approach to nourishment that Mondelez noted as part of its research. The survey found 80% of consumers are seeking snacks to improve physical health, while 75% cited mental health and 80% mentioned emotional health. Meanwhile, 65% said they are seeking snacks that help them improve their social health. Different snacks lead to different nourishment needs, though, the survey found. Seventy-six percent of consumers said they seek different snacks when they are seeking physical nourishment than when they are seeking emotional nourishment. Eighty-eight percent said it’s important that their diet includes foods that are ON THE HORIZON | 05
On the Road Again some issues there. And then vice versa, even if the Canadian driver that's going to pull some fertilizer down into the U.S. isn't vaccinated, they're not going to be allowed in.” Just When You Think Fertilizer Shortages are Improving, Trucker Vaccine Mandates Krapu says it’s not that truck traffic is shuttered. She says it’s just severely throttled back since there are so many cross- Slam Supply Chain Into Disarray border truck drivers unvaccinated. But there’s no definitive answer on just how many are still unvaccinated despite the new WWW.THEPACKER.COM mandate. She says some drivers who aren’t vaccinated are By: Tyne Morgan opting for different routes that don’t take them across the border. So, that leaves fewer drivers able to transport goods, January 27, 2022 including everything from food and fertilizer, across the border. Fertilizer availability concerns have plagued agriculture for "That is one of their concerns is how they're going to get months, but recent COVID-19 vaccine mandates in both the fertilizer back from Canada that they regularly have been getting U.S. and Canada could take even more truckers off the road. easily from Canada for years,” says Krapu. “And now we're going As the supply chain is already wading through chaos and to have to figure out a new situation. They have some drivers shortages of everything from food products to equipment that can go but if you had 14 drivers that could go and now you parts, more fertilizer shortages could be coming just before only have four, you have to be creative on how you're going to spring. get that done." Trucking industry experts warn while empty store shelves are Fewer Truckers to Go Across the Border being advertised as a product of these recent vaccine Krapu says estimates point to as few as 25% of current U.S. mandates, the issue will snowball into much more. The truck drivers are vaccinated. Shaun Haney who hosts Canada’s concerns derive from a recent vaccine mandate requiring Real Agriculture says the estimates in Canada show anywhere truckers to be vaccinated before crossing the border. from 10% to 30% of drivers going across the border are Truckers were previously exempt from federal travel unvaccinated. restrictions. The new mandate went into effect on January 15, 2022 in Canada, and on January 22, 2022 in the U.S. “Think of an example from an agriculture perspective of getting California fruits and vegetables into Canada has all of a sudden The Canadian Trucking Alliance estimates the mandate may become a lot more challenging than it was previously,” Haney block up to 20% of the 160,000 Canadian and American cross- told AgDay. “And if it does, we're also hearing those freight rates border truckers from entering either Canada or the U.S. And have gone up substantially. So a lot of concerns here and it kind in Canada, a convoy of truckers took to the road across of, in my mind, feels a little bit like a little bit of a self-inflicted Canada this week to protest the cross-border vaccine wound.” mandates. The protests started in Vancouver over the weekend and are expected to reach Ottawa by Saturday. Krapu says a group of senators and governors sent a letter to the Biden administration asking for an extension to the "I worked for two years to bring goods and services, and implementation of the vaccine mandate. That wasn’t fruitful, and toilet paper and everything to everyone. We went through she says there aren’t currently any religious or medical having no showers, no bathrooms, no food — we starved exemptions truckers can file. sometimes for days on end on the road — and nobody cared about us then, and now all of a sudden, they care," convoy Severe Shortage of Truck Drivers trucker Bridgette Belton, who owns and operates her own rig She says the issue is just adding another layer of difficulty into running food products and containers between Canada and the supply chain, as trucker drivers were already in short supply. the United States, told CBC News. “So currently with a truck driver shortage being as it is, we are seeing huge supply chain issues and have been for obviously, More Fertilizer Shortages? since the pandemic started. And that's two-fold,” says Krapu. And in the U.S., effects of driver shortages are just starting. “We're losing drivers to early retirement because of all of the Kelly Krapu is safety director for True North Compliance regulations and mandates that are being imposed. So people Services in West Fargo, North Dakota, a company that helps have chosen early retirement, and then we're not backfilling trucking companies and drivers navigate rules and those retirement positions. And then it's also we are losing regulations on the road. She says we haven't seen the full people that industry because of vaccine mandates.” extent of the impact considering the mandate for drivers coming to the U.S. only went into effect Saturday. "I have Canadian grocers report some produce shelves are bare, and been told from some chatter in industry, and some of my the cost of hauling everything from tomatoes to lettuce from the customers is a lot of their fertilizer comes from Canada,” she southern part of the U.S. has jumped 25%. It's estimated about says. "About 50% of Canada's fertilizer is exported into the $45-billion worth of goods crosses the border every month and United States. So, if an unvaccinated driver is not allowed to most of the trade between the two countries uses trucks. go into Canada to pull that fertilizer out, we're going to have QUESTIONS OR SUGGESTIONS FOR THE NEWSLETTER? EMAIL: JOANNA.HAZEL@LIPMANFAMILYFARMS.COMOM ON THE HORIZON | 06
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