It's all about the customer - Are Asia's Flag Carriers really behind the curve in airline retailing? - Farelogix
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It’s all about the customer Are Asia’s Flag Carriers really behind the curve in airline retailing? www.farelogix.com
For some time, industry observers have contended that airline retail- ing in Asia is lagging behind other markets, such as the US and Europe, where many Full-Service Carriers (FSCs) unbundled their fares and are reaping substantial revenue gains through ancillary merchan- dising. With eight out of 11 Skytrax five-star airlines based in Asia1, is airline retailing here really behind the curve? Shouldn’t we see the superior customer experience and brand offering as a strategic advantage and not something that should be unbundled? Moreover, what are the unique airline retailing opportunities and strategies for Flag Carriers in Asia? Having lived and worked in Asia for more than a decade, mostly in the airline or travel tech verticals, I will shed some light on the topic and share my take on airline retailing in Asia in this paper. Mark McDonald Director – Asia Pacific Farelogix Based in Hong Kong, Mark McDonald is Farelogix Director, Asia commerce, and travel retailing strategies. He also represented Pacific. A digital business and technology strategist, Mark has the company in the IATA Advisory Forum. Prior to that role, he more than 20 years’ experience supporting large business and consulted with airlines on NDC and ONE Order initiatives. Mark IT transformation programs across a number of industries. also held a number of thought leadership positions with Cathay Leveraging his deep understanding of the airline industry in Asia, Pacific focused on retailing, sales and distribution, CRM, digital Mark is spearheading the company’s broader expansion into the marketing, travel retailing,and e-commerce. Early in his technolo- region. He is working with leading airlines to support the develop- gy career, Mark held technical roles with industry leading technol- ment of new distribution strategies and revenue generation op- ogy and companies such as Microsoft, Oracle, and Huawei. portunities through the application of next generation technology for airline commerce. Mark holds a Master of Science (Management) degree from North Carolina State University and a Bachelor of Economics de- Prior to joining Farelogix, Mark was Regional Director, Asia Pacific gree from the University of Queensland, Australia. Most recently, at OpenJaw Technologies where he was charged with business Mark earned an Aviation Strategy and Leadership certificate from development and consulting to industry-leading airlines in Hong US-based Stanford University’s Centre for Professional Develop- Kong, Korea, Taiwan, and Thailand on their distribution, airline ment. www.farelogix.com Copyright 2019 3
Why Asian Flag Carriers Have Not Unbundled We can trace the history of ancillary fees back to the 2008 recession and the decision by American Airlines to start charging for checked bags2. This move aimed to offset the high cost of jet fuel and other effects of the financial crisis, which had been compounded by the emergence of Low-Cost Carriers (LCCs). In a market characterized by high price-sensitivity and lower demand for premium products and services (i.e. lower product-sensitivity), North American and European FSCs chose to gradually unbundle the all-inclusive airfare particularly on domestic and some regional routes. It was a positive move for airline profitability, and in a relatively homogenized market, cus- tomers benefited from greater personalized choice. Unlike their North American and European counterparts, Asian Flag Carriers have not unbundled core airline prod- ucts such as seats, meals, and bags. The reasons for not unbundling provide a window into the distinctive traits of Asia, including: The unique characteristics of the Asian A greater proportion of “product- traveler sensitive” international travel in the region Higher traffic volumes Airline history and operations A diverse and fragmented market Note: Asia’s Flag Carriers refers to full-service airlines including Korean Air, Asiana, Japan Airlines, ANA, Cathay Pacific, Singapore Airlines, Garuda, Qantas, Virgin Australia, Air New Zealand, Philippine Airlines, Malaysia Airlines, Thai Airways, Vietnam Airlines, China Airlines, Eva Air, and the big four in mainland China – Air China, Hainan Airlines, China Eastern, China Southern, and Xiamen Airlines. 4
Customer experience is everything The quality of Asian hospitality is world-renowned and springs from a heightened, even cultural importance. Asian hospitality is characterized by a desire to connect with guests emotionally and provide value-added experiences. An expectation for a high-level of personal touch and a premium product remains at the very heart of the travel ex- perience for a significant portion of the Asian travel market. In Asia, many travelers still expect their travel to be organized for them, whether on group tours or by travel agents. Also, the Asian customers who book with Flag Carriers expect the basic features (seat, bag, meal) to be included. It is a widely held here in Asia that unbundling basic elements from the fare runs counter to expectations of these customers and would cause alarm and result in customer experience and operational issues for airlines. This expectation is reflected in the China regulator, CAAC, mandating all-inclusive airfares. With yield and customer experience so tightly related in the region, most Asian Flag Carriers are taking a cautious approach to unbundling, especially as price-based competition from LCCs is nipping at their heels. While there are a number of successful LCCs in the region, including AirAsia, Jetstar, and Scoot, most Flag Carriers maintain a strong market position with high-quality product offerings. www.farelogix.com Copyright 2019 5
Fare Families: A Means to an End To better address their specific market segments, including the price-sensitive traveler, many Asian Flag Carriers have started using Fare Families to offer flight ancillaries, albeit through traditional means and ATPCO fare filing. In Asia, Fare Families are often differentiated by attributes such as the number of miles or frequent flyer status credits earned, whether the seat is upgradeable to the next class, which seats are available to be reserved, and even whether advanced seat selection is allowed. However, meals, checked bags, pillows, blankets, and seat selection (during the check-in window) re- main included and not charged separately. Additionally, priority check-in and priority boarding are highly protected benefits for frequent fliers and passengers flying in premium cabins. “ Priority check-in and priority boarding are highly protected benefits for frequent fliers and passengers flying in premium “ cabins. 6
Regional Travel in Asia: Big Enough Market for Everyone While unbundling in the US and Europe has given customers welcome choice, the Asian air travel market features unique dynamics which have led to Flag Carriers valuing the all-inclusive fare. None of these dynamics is more potent than the sheer size of the Asia market when compared to other geographic regions. Higher traffic volumes on regional routes Regional travel in Asia cannot be easily compared with routes of similar length in Europe and the US. Of the top 100 busiest routes (domestic or international) in the world, 80 of them are in the Asia Pacific market, ten are in North America, and the remainder in the Middle East, South/Central America, Africa, and India. Notably, none of them are in Europe. The volume of traffic on Asian routes means a larger addressable market and more clearly defined market segments. Figure 1: Top 100 Busiest Air Routes3 R ank A irpor t 1 A ir po r t 2 D i s ta n c e ( k m ) 2017 P a s s e n ge r s N o te 1 Jeju Seoul-Gimpo 449 13,460,306 Domestic 2 Melbourne Sydney 705 9,090,941 Domestic 3 Sapporo Tokyo-Haneda 835 8,726,502 Domestic 4 Fukuoka Tokyo-Haneda 889 7,864,000 Domestic 5 Mumbai Delhi 1150 7,129,943 Domestic 6 Beijing Shanghai-Hongqiao 1081 6,833,684 Domestic 7 Hanoi Ho Chi Minh City 1171 6,769,823 Domestic 8 Hong Kong Taipei-Taoyuan 802 6,719,030 International 9 Jakarta Surabaya 700 5,271,304 Domestic 10 Tokyo-Haneda Naha 1573 5,269,481 Domestic 11 Tokyo-Haneda Osaka-Itami 407 5,106,584 Domestic 12 Jeddah Riyadh 857 5,091,629 Domestic 13 Jakarta Denpasar 991 4,952,852 Domestic 14 Chengdu Beijing 1559 4,951,620 Domestic 15 Guangzhou Beijing 1898 4,864,177 Domestic 16 Jakarta Singapore 896 4,810,602 International 17 Brisbane Sydney 756 4,742,771 Domestic 18 Cape Town Johannesburg 1292 4,698,849 Domestic 19 Cancun Mexico City 1294 4,656,308 Domestic 20 Jakarta Makassar 1439 4,559,737 Domestic 21 Beijing Shenzhen 1979 4,496,351 Domestic 22 Guangzhou Shanghai-Hongqiao 1176 4,469,990 Domestic 23 Shanghai-Hongqiao Shenzhen 1217 4,445,654 Domestic 24 Bangalore Delhi 1717 4,183,799 Domestic 25 Hong Kong Shanghai-Pudong 1247 4,162,347 International 26 Kuala Lumpur Singapore 296 4,108,824 International www.farelogix.com Copyright 2019 7
Fragmentation of wealth across the region (based on GDP/capita) If we use GDP/Capita as a proxy for price sensitivity in airfare purchasing, the GDP/capita in Asia is at ~USD$13,500 with some territories/countries such as Japan, Korea, Macau, Hong Kong, Singapore, Brunei, and Malaysia with GDP/capita more than double the regional average. Conversely, Asia also has territories/countries at the other end of the spectrum such as Cambodia, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Philippines, and Indonesia that are well below the regional average. Figure 2: Asian Countries by GDP4 With the fragmentation of wealth in Asia comes more distinct customer segments, even down to a territory/ country level. With considerably greater passenger volume comes even larger customer segments, enabling both Flag Carriers and LCCs to successfully operate on the same route by addressing their specific market segments and only competing for the overlapping price-sensitive economy travelers. Given the size of the premium “product- sensitive” market, Asian Flag Carriers are best placed to service their customer need by retaining an all-inclusive product. In Europe, where GDP/capita of European countries is much closer to the average6, there is less income disparity and a more homogenized addressable market. This results in more competition between airlines, greater likelihood for commoditization, and therefore greater drive for unbundling. 8
High International Traffic Volume The third unique aspect of the market in Asia is that there It is not possible to compare routes of a similar is significantly more international travel in the region. Of length such as the domestic-like London-Frankfurt the top 100 busiest routes in the world, 17 are interna- (~1.5M PAX/year) with say a Hong Kong-Bangkok tional, and 13 of those are in Asia. Of the top 10 busiest (>3M PAX/year). On London-Frankfurt only British airports for international travel, five are in Asia (the other Airways and Lufthansa compete with 18 flights per five are in Europe). day, with LCCs flying from London airports (e.g. Gatwick, Stansted, and Luton) to secondary airports Passenger expectations on international travel are more such as Frankfurt-Hahn. As for Hong Kong-Bang- product-sensitive than they are for domestic travel, and kok, there are 22 flights per day, with offerings from all-inclusive fares are expected. The size of the premium Cathay Pacific, Emirates, and Thai for premium and international market in Asia drives the competition to offer connecting traffic, whereas Air Asia, Thai Smile, better products and services. and Hong Kong Airlines service the needs of more price-sensitive economy travelers. Figure 3: Top 100 Busiest International Air Routes5 www.farelogix.com Copyright 2019 9
“ Competition for the premium international flight experience has driven Asian Flag Carriers to create superior customer experience and brand propositions that are a “ strategic advantage. Operational Concerns Given the above, it is understandable that Asian Flag Carri- ers have little appetite to unbundle in the same way as their counterparts in North America and Europe. To compound this, the internal effort to create and operationalize new air ancillary products is sizable. Often buy-in is required across numerous, and sometimes entrenched, commercial and operations departments, where any change to existing processes is likely to be met with resistance. While holding onto a traditional business model might make sense in light of market dynamics, it should not stop visionary airline managers in the region from finding other ways to create new revenue streams while maintaining a premium customer experience. 10
The Full-Service Carrier Opportunity: Adding Value By adding value rather than taking it away, Asian FSCs can create new revenue streams and enhance their cus- tomer experience at the same time. Airline Retailing can go beyond unbundling the all-inclusive airfare, to retailing individual services and transforming how an airline markets and sells its products. Some value-added ancillary examples include: Extra Legroom and Ad- Prepaid Excess Baggage, Upgraded Meals Special onboard products vanced Seat Reservation dynamically priced in such as Champagne for a fee, dynamically self-service and indirect priced in self-service and channel indirect channels Off-peak Lounge Passes Booking on Hold/Fare Ancillary Bundles Non-air ancillaries such as Lock Insurance While leading Flag Carriers in Asia, such as Cathay Pacific and Singapore Airlines, have brought some of these products to market, a quick look at the offerings of the major Asian Flag Carriers suggests that there is still signifi- cant opportunity to add ancillary services and grow revenue streams. The Challenge Even if Asian Flag Carriers take a different approach to their counterparts in Europe or North America, existing pricing and distribution systems (PSS, GDS, ATPCO) remain inflexible. These systems do not allow airlines to create and sell new air ancillary products in the way a modern retailer would want. Thankfully, there are alternative solutions in the market that enable airlines to create new ancillary products and bring them to market quickly. www.farelogix.com Copyright 2019 11
Different Strategies in a Diverse Market Asia remains a fragmented market, with unique and diverse market conditions, and protection of the all-inclusive offering is not right for every airline. Growing knowledge of Airline Distribution and Retailing transformation has provided airlines in the region with new opportunities to address their specific challenges. As such, 2019 could be a tipping point for some Asian FSCs. Expect to see bold moves aimed at adding value to existing offers and the creation of new revenue streams. In this pursuit, the biggest hurdles to overcome will be their GDS agreements and legacy PSS technology constraints. Qantas One shining light in the region is Qantas, which has launched its Qantas Distribution Platform (QDP) with Farelogix, providing them with full control over their offers and distribution strategy. Qantas is also able to bring new ancillary products to market faster than what was previously possible. Following the success- ful QDP launch in 2018, this is an airline to watch. China We will see increased innovation from Chinese air- lines, such as China Southern and China Eastern, as they make significant moves into retailing. Currently, the Chinese regulator, CAAC, restricts airlines from unbundling and forces an all-inclusive airfare with checked bags, seats, and meals. However, there have been rumors that the CAAC will allow Chinese airlines to sell ancillaries in a move that should spur significant offer innovation. From a direct connect perspective, Chinese airlines have already been connecting directly to partners for some time. The big opportunity for Chinese airlines will be to take more control of their inbound markets through direct connects with online travel agencies (OTAs) and aggregators. 12
Japan In Japan, the two Flag Carriers, All Nippon Airways (ANA) and Japan Airlines (JAL), remain traditional FSCs operating with legacy systems and processes. I predict that neither of these airlines will look to un- bundle but will create ancillary offers that add value to their core brand proposition. It is likely that both airlines will soon look to bring new fare and ancillary product offerings to market and break some of the limitations of ATPCO product definitions and pricing with dynamic pricing capabilities. For example, both airlines currently show four different economy fare brands; these could be reduced to three without negatively impacting yields. This would allow these airlines to create ancillary products that unlock new revenue streams. Unlike in Europe or the US, the drivers for New Distribution Capability (NDC) and direct connect will be international growth through OTAs and aggrega- tors, although there are also some domestic travel agents in Japan, such as JTB, which are looking to differentiate their service offerings with NDC content. South Korea In South Korea, FSCs Korean Airlines and Asiana have been gathering knowledge about merchandis- ing and distribution transformation. Despite com- petition from LCCs, the market is big enough for both premium and low-cost products to co-exist, so any move into merchandising will likely take the value-added ancillary approach. As in Japan, the drivers for NDC and direct connect will be pressure from aggregators and OTAs. Once this happens, expect some of the large travel agencies to increase their interest in NDC and direct connect content. www.farelogix.com Copyright 2019 13
South East Asia In South East Asia, state-owned FSCs, includ- ing Thai, Garuda, and Malaysia airlines, con- tinue to be cautious with their NDC and direct connect strategies. However, with Singapore Airlines taking a merchandising and NDC leadership position in the region, we can expect other airlines to follow suit. In North America and Europe, one of the drivers for unbundling was competition from LCCs. Growing competition in the region will result in a similar move for some Asian FSCs. Following restructuring and intense competition from Air Asia, Malaysia Airlines have started to unbun- dle. Philippine Airlines (PAL) have significant domestic operations and a world-renowned, home-grown competitor in Cebu Pacific. As such, PAL may start to unbundle to better compete. Likewise, in the highly price-sensitive Vietnamese market that also sees stiff compe- tition from Vietjet and Jetstar, Vietnam Airlines has an opportunity to protect their proposition and open the offer to merchandising. As has been commented before at the industry level, when it comes to distribution transfor- mation in South East Asia, many airlines have not looked for alternatives to GDS-distribution. Transformation will only happen if these airlines consider the lack of differentiation, no rich content, inability to implement dynamic pricing, inflexibility to create ancillary product offerings, and GDS commercials problematic or not. 14
Airline Retailing: The ‘How To’ Guide for Asian Flag Carriers. While some FSCs in Asia have already embarked on a journey into merchandising and customer choice, con- straints with legacy airline pricing and distribution systems remain significant challenges to overcome. The Interna- tional Air Transport Association (IATA), NDC slogan “Together, Let’s Build Airline Retailing” indicates that NDC is not only a best practice, but a wholesale transformation of the air commerce business. The aim of this transformation is to move airlines from being flight-only sellers to becoming airline retailers. What does this mean in real terms? The table below illustrates the road to transformation. Today Tomorrow Merchandising Static prices, fee filing, slow to Dynamic pricing, rules configuration, market fast to market Pricing Static pricing, RBDs/fare classes, Dynamic pricing, pricing rules con- fare filing figuration Offers Price/schedule-based offers Price/schedule + rich content + product differentiators Product Offerings Flight-only seller Flights + air ancillaries + non-air ancillaries Distribution GDS-controlled indirect distribution Airline-controlled direct distribution agreements Messaging EDIFACT XML/JSON Product Definitions Complex product definitions (fare Clear product definitions that are rules) that are difficult for passen- understood by passengers gers to understand Business Model Legacy business model and sys- Retailing business model and sys- tems (PNRs, tickets etc.) tems (ONE Order) Strategy Seller-first, system constrained Passenger-first, system enabled To quote Eric Leopold, Director, Transformation, Financial and Distribution Services at IATA, airlines must “unlearn the methods which made the industry successful in the past. Challenge existing technology constraints …. ‘decon- struct’ our legacy processes, and build the digital airlines retailing world together.” www.farelogix.com Copyright 2019 15
“If Old Things Don’t Go, New Things Won’t Come” With a proliferation of five-star airlines in Asia, airline retailing is not lagging behind; it’s already ahead and it’s on the cusp of furthering leadership through the creation of the kinds of value-added ancillary services that customers want. Rather than unbundling the cus- tomer proposition, Asian airlines need to look at their ability to unbundle from a technical and operational standpoint to add value to their already superior cus- tomer experience and brand propositions. Asian Flag Carriers should also look beyond their current systems and process constraints. At Farelogix, we have extensive experience and the market-leading technology platform that is enabling many pace-setting airlines around the world to accel- erate growth through distribution and retailing trans- formation. Our platform allows airlines to embrace the new worlds of merchandising and distribution but still fulfill through the PNR and integrate with existing downstream processes, including support for varied ticketing options and BSP/ARC settlement for agencies. Criti- cally, we understand that letting go of old things is challenging. “If old things don’t go, new things will never come” is a famous motivating proverb in Chinese culture. Don’t let old things stop you from embracing the new things that are in front of you. A very liberating quote if you think about it. 16
References: 1. Skytrax Five Star Airlines, skytraxratings.com, Retrieved from https://skytraxratings.com/airlines?stars=5&types=full_service [Accessed Date: 22 January 2019] 2. History of Airline Fees: Bags, Food & More, Farecompare.com, Retrieved from https://www.farecompare.com/travel-advice/airline-fees-bags-history/ [Accessed Date: 22 January 2019 3. List of busiest passenger air routes (2017), Wikipedia.org. Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_busiest_passenger_air_routes [Accessed Date: 22 January 2019] 4. List of countries by GDP (PPP) per capita (2017), Wikipedia.org. Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita [Ac- cessed Date: 22 January 2019] 5. List of Asian countries by GDP per capita (2017), Wikipedia.org. Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Asian_countries_by_GDP_per_capita [Ac- cessed Date: 22 January 2019] 6. List of sovereign states in Europe by GDP (nominal) per capita, Wikipedia.org. Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_in_Europe_ by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita [Accessed Date: 22 January 2019] Definitions i. Unbundling - Refers to the practice of splitting a product offering into its component parts. ii. IATA - International Air Transport Association iii. NDC - New Distribution Capability is an IATA initiative to enable the travel industry to transform the way air products are retailed to corporations, leisure and busi- ness travelers, by developing a standard for airlines to distribute their products and services using internet age XML messaging, instead of pre-internet age EDIFACT. iv. XML - XML stands for eXtensible Markup Language. XML is a markup language much like HTML. The first version of XML was released in 1997 with the design goals of XML emphasizing simplicity, generality, and usability across the Internet. XML was designed to store and transport data, to be self-descriptive and human readable. v. EDIFACT - is the international standard for electronic data interchange (EDI). The term stands for Electronic Data Interchange For Administration, Commerce and Transport. EDIFACT was designed in 1987 (pre-internet) and uses a set of syntax rules to structure data. The structure of EDIFACT is not human readable, and much of the data in the document is also not human readable and appears in the form of codes that need to be interpreted through strict adherence to the EDI specifica- tion. vi. BSP/ARC - the electronic billing systems designed to facilitate the flow of data and funds between travel agencies and airlines. vii. ATPCO - Airline Tariff Publishing Company, is a centralized system, that collects and distributes pricing and product- related data (known as fares) for the airline and travel industry viii. GDS - Global Distribution System, is a centralized system that aggregates real-time inventory from airlines to facilitate transactions between airlines and travel agencies (Worldwide there are four major GDS operators that airlines connect to, and other smaller operators in specific markets) ix. PNR - passenger name record, a record in the database of an airlines reservation system that consists of the personal and itinerary information for a passenger x. Ticket - a record in the database of an airlines reservation system, has similar information to the PNR with additional payment related information. xi. GDP - Gross domestic product www.farelogix.com Copyright 2019 17
Its all about the customer Are Asia’s Flag Carriers really behind the curve in airline retailing? www.farelogix.com sales@farelogix.com Phone: 305-552-6094 18
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