INVESTOR UPDATE - Jefferies

Page created by Alexander Gray
 
CONTINUE READING
INVESTOR UPDATE - Jefferies
INVESTOR
UPDATE
INVESTOR UPDATE - Jefferies
SAFE HARBOR
DDR considers portions of the information in this presentation to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, both as amended, with respect to the Company’s
expectation for future periods. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are
based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that its expectations will be achieved. For this purpose, any statements
contained herein that are not historical fact may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. There are a number of important factors
that could cause our results to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements, including, among other
factors, local conditions such as supply of space or a reduction in demand for real estate in the area; competition from other available
space; dependence on rental income from real property; the loss of, significant downsizing of or bankruptcy of a major tenant;
constructing properties or expansions that produce a desired yield on investment; our ability to buy or sell assets on commercially
reasonable terms; our ability to complete acquisitions or dispositions of assets under contract; our ability to secure equity or debt
financing on commercially acceptable terms or at all; our ability to enter into definitive agreements with regard to our financing and joint
venture arrangements or our failure to satisfy conditions to the completion of these arrangements; and the success of our capital
recycling strategy. For additional factors that could cause the results of the Company to differ materially from those indicated in the
forward-looking statements, please refer to the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014, as amended. The
Company undertakes no obligation to publicly revise these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that arise
after the date hereof.

                                                                                                                                           2
INVESTOR UPDATE - Jefferies
OVERVIEW
DDR OVERVIEW AND INVESTMENT THESIS

      $17B                            407                           117MSF                                      95.5%
      AUM                             # PROPERTIES                  TOTAL GLA                                   LEASED RATE

• Invest in market dominant prime power centers located in large and supply-constrained markets occupied by high credit quality
  retailers that cater to the consumer’s desire for value and convenience
• Experienced management team with diverse retail and investment backgrounds, shareholder centric, and free from conflicts of
  interest
• Unique, scalable operating platform that drives strong and consistent results and creates incremental value

• Focused on NAV growth and long-term value creation

• Prudent risk profile with free cash flow to reinvest in the portfolio and room to further grow the dividend

                                                                                                                                  4
DDR GREW FFO BY 18% DESPITE SELLING NEARLY 200
ASSETS SINCE YEAR-END 2012
                                                            OPERATING FFO GROWTH, 2013 - 2015
25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%
                FRT                    DDR                     REG              WRI      EQY    KIM   RPAI

 Growth calculated using the midpoint of most recent 2015 FFO guidance range.                                5
THE CORRELATION BETWEEN MULTIPLE AND GROWTH
SUGGESTS ROOM FOR MULTIPLE EXPANSION
                                                       2015 FFO Multiple                         FRT	
  

                                                                                                                             25x	
  

                                                                           REG	
  
                                                                                                                             22x	
  

                                                                                                                             19x	
  
                                                               KIM	
  
       RPAI	
                                                              WRI	
  
                                                                                                                             16x	
  
                                    KRG	
                                              DDR	
  
                                                                                                           BRX	
  
                                                                                                                             13x	
  

                                                                                                                            10x	
  
-­‐10%	
                -­‐5%	
               0%	
                            5%	
                            10%	
     15%	
  
                                                   2014 - 2015E FFO Growth

             DDR IS ~4 TURNS BELOW THE WARRANTED VALUATION, BASED ON YOY FFO GROWTH
                                                                                                                                6
LOWER RISK PROFILE ALLOWS FOR HIGHER PAYOUT
RATIO GOING FORWARD
                                                                 CURRENT FFO PAYOUT RATIO
      80%

      70%                                                       Peer Average = 62%

      60%                                                                                                                               56%
                                                                                                                                 53%
                                                                                                                          49%
      50%                                                                                                          47%

      40%

      30%
                                                                                                            23%
      20%

      10%

        0%
                  EQY        RPAI       KIM        WRI        REG        FRT        KRG        BRX          DDR    DDR    DDR    DDR    DDR
                                                                                                            2011   2012   2013   2014   2015

Source: Bloomberg, Company Reports; 2015 payout ratio calculated using the midpoint of FFO guidance range                                      7
CAPITAL ALLOCATION IS DDR’S TOP PRIORITY
                                     ACQUIRED OVER 40% OF YE09 GROSS ASSET VALUE
                          43%
           $2.0
                                                                                   ACQUISITIONS   DISPOSITIONS

           $1.5       SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2010,
                      DDR HAS TURNED OVER MORE
                                THAN 65%
           $1.0        OF ITS GROSS ASSET VALUE

           $0.5
BILLIONS

           $0.0

           -$0.5
                          36%

           -$1.0                                     29%
                                                                        25%
           -$1.5
                   2010                2011                2012          2013      2014           2015 YTD

                                              SOLD 25% OF YE09 GROSS ASSET VALUE

                                                                                                             8
INTENSE FOCUS ON INCREASING RENT PSF HAS
YIELDED ATTRACTIVE GROWTH
                            RENT PER SQUARE FOOT

 $14.50                                                     4.4% CAGR

                                                                        $14.29
 $14.00                                            $14.15

 $13.50
                                      $13.53

 $13.00

                   $12.85
 $12.50
          $12.45

 $12.00

 $11.50
          2011     2012                2013        2014                 1Q15

                                                                                 9
PORTFOLIO QUALITY UPGRADE TRANSLATES INTO
      INCREASING PRICING POWER
10%                                    12%                                                      96%
           > 95%
          LEASED                                    BLENDED SPREAD    LEASED %
                       OVER 280BP OF
                       PRICING POWER
                                       10%
8%                                                                                              95%

                      < 95%            8%
6%                   LEASED                                                                     94%

                                       6%

4%                                                                                              93%
                                       4%

2%                                                                                              92%
                                       2%

0%                                     0%                                                       91%
          2014 LEASING SPREAD                2010          2011      2012        2013   2014

                                                                                               10
DDR’S MANAGEMENT TEAM HAS DECADES OF
OPERATIONS EXPERIENCE
EXECUTIVE          TITLE                      YEARS IN INDUSTRY   EXECUTIVE         TITLE                      YEARS IN INDUSTRY

                   Senior Vice President -                                          Senior Vice President -
                   Peripheral Development           28                              Leasing - Western Region         18

    Ken Stern                                                     Anthony Vodicka

                   Senior Vice President -                                          Senior Vice President -
                   Leasing                          23                              Leasing                          15

  David Dieterle                                                    Bryan Zabell

                                                                                    Senior Vice President -
                   Vice President -
                   Leasing - Eastern Region         22                              National Accounts                13

   James Bold                                                        Bill Kern

                                                                                                                              11
SHAREHOLDER-FRIENDLY CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
FOSTERS ETHICAL LEADERSHIP AND TRANSPARENCY
             BEST PRACTICES                                    NOTABLE UPDATES

P COMPENSATION   DICTATED BY LONG TERM
   SHAREHOLDER VALUE CREATION – NOT FFO
                                               – David Oakes has joined the board of directors

P EQUITY COMPENSATION > CASH COMPENSATION
                                               – Four board members did not stand for reelection in 2015
P NON-STAGGERED BOARD
P MAJORITY INDEPENDENT DIRECTORS
                                               – Alexander Otto, whose family owns 17% of DDR’s
P SEPARATE CHAIRMAN AND CEO                     outstanding stock, joined DDR’s board of directors in 2015

P NO POISON PILL
                                               – DDR achieved 92% approval in 2014’s Say-On-Pay vote to
P   NO SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS PLAN                  approve the compensation of named executive officers

P SIX OF THE NINE DIRECTORS ARE INDEPENDENT
                                                                                                           12
OVER THE LAST 20 YEARS, REITS OUTPERFORMED A
60/40 STOCKS AND BONDS ALLOCATION BY 280 BP
                                     TWENTY YEAR ANNUALIZED RETURNS BY ASSET CLASS, 1995 – 2014
 14%

 12%           12%

                               10%
 10%
                                               9%

   8%
                                                               6%          6%     6%    5%
   6%

   4%                                                                                           3%
                                                                                                         3%         2%
   2%

   0%
              REITs         S&P 500       60/40 Stocks       Bonds         Gold   Oil   EAFE   Homes   Average    Inflation
                                            & Bonds                                                    Investor

Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Guide to the Markets, U.S. 2Q 2015                                                      13
HISTORICAL DATA DOES NOT VALIDATE FEARS SURROUNDING
THE CORRELATION BETWEEN REITS AND RISING INTEREST RATES

                                                                     CUMULATIVE Δ (BP)

                                           10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD                IMPLIED CAP RATE

   1986 - ‘87                                            + 193                            0         RISING RATES ARE DRIVEN BY A
                                                                                                      STRENGTHENING ECONOMY
                                                                                                       AND HEALTHY CONSUMER
   1993 - ‘94                                            + 248                           - 40              FUNDAMENTALS.

   1998 - ‘00                                            + 204                           - 10

   2003 - '07                                            + 149                           - 260

   2012 - ‘14                                            + 110                           - 60

 The correlation between DDR’s returns and the 10-Year Treasury from 1994 - 2014 is less than 3%.

Source: Cohen & Steers, “What History Tells Us About Rising Rates”                                                                 14
THE POWER
CENTER THESIS
NEVER UNDERESTIMATE THE U.S. CONSUMER
                                                          U.S. RETAIL SALES
                 $500

                 $450

                 $400

                 $350
   IN BILLIONS

                 $300

                                                                              4.4%
                 $250

                 $200

                 $150

                                                                              Long-Term Annual Growth
                 $100

                  $50

                  $0
                       1992   1994   1996   1998   2000      2002    2004     2006   2008   2010   2012   2014

Source: US Census Bureau                                                                                         16
JOBS AND WAGES MOST INFLUENCE THE US
CONSUMER OVER THE LONG TERM…
                                             83% CORRELATION BETWEEN WAGE GROWTH AND RETAIL SALES
       10%
                                                                                      Wage Growth, Y/Y                     Retail Sales - SA ex-Autos and Gas Y/Y %
        8%
        6%
        4%
        2%
        0%
       -2%
       -4%
       -6%
             1997   1998     1999    2000     2001    2002    2003     2004    2005     2006    2007        2008   2009   2010    2011    2012    2013    2014    2015

                                       83% CORRELATION BETWEEN EMPLOYMENT GROWTH AND RETAIL SALES
        4%                                                                                                                                                              10%
                                                                                   Non-Farm Payrolls, Y/Y                  Retail Sales - SA ex-Autos and Gas Y/Y %     8%
        2%
                                                                                                                                                                        6%
        0%                                                                                                                                                              4%
                                                                                                                                                                        2%
       -2%                                                                                                                                                              0%
                                                                                                                                                                        -2%
       -4%
                                                                                                                                                                        -4%
       -6%                                                                                                                                                              -6%
             1997   1998    1999    2000     2001    2002     2003    2004    2005     2006    2007     2008       2009   2010   2011    2012    2013    2014    2015

Source: Credit Suisse Equity Research (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Credit Suisse estimates, company data)                                                                     17
…AND WILL BENEFIT FROM HISTORICALLY LOW
UNDEREMPLOYMENT AND HIGH CONSUMPTION
           SEASONALLY ADJUSTED UNDEREMPLOYMENT                                                    REAL PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES PER CAPITA
            UNDEREMPLOYMENT: HIGHLY-SKILLED LABOR EMPLOYED IN
               LOW-PAYING JOBS OR WORKING BELOW CAPACITY
  18%
                                                                                                          $36
  17%                                                                  UPWARD                                                           OUTPACING PRE-
                                                                     PRESSURE ON                                                          RECESSION
  16%                                                                WAGE GROWTH                                                            HIGHS
                                                                                                          $35
  15%

  14%
                                                                                                          $34

                                                                                              THOUSANDS
  13%

  12%
                                                                                                          $33
  11%

  10%
                                   NATURAL RATE OF UNDEREMPLOYMENT
   9%                                                                                                     $32

   8%

   7%                                                                                                     $31
        2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 E                                           2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 E

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Goldman Sachs Investment Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis                                                                18
IMPROVING CONSUMER BALANCE SHEETS IMPLY
ADDITIONAL SPENDING CAPACITY
                                        HOUSEHOLD FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS RATIO
                      DEBT AND FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS A PERCENT OF DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME

   19%

   18%

   17%

   16%
                                                                         APART FROM 4Q12, THE CURRENT
                                                                       FINANCIAL OBLIGATION RATIO IS THE
                                                                          LOWEST IT HAS BEEN 33 YEARS
   15%
          2000                 2002                    2004   2006   2008            2010             2012   2014

Federal Reserve Board, Bank of America Merrill Lynch                                                                19
RELATIVE TO TOTAL U.S. RETAIL SALES, DDR’S TOP TENANTS HAVE
WON THE MARKET SHARE BATTLE THROUGHOUT THE CYCLES
                                       TOTAL SALES GROWTH
                                         (INDEXED TO 100)
450
             US RETAIL             TJX
400          WMT                   TGT
             DKS                   WFM
             BBBY                  PETM
350
             KSS                   BBY
             ROST
300

250

200

150

100

50
      2003    2004       2005   2006      2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013
                                                                                           20
OUR TOP TENANTS ARE WINNING THE MARKET
SHARE BATTLE
 100%
             Value/Convenience: Discounters, Warehouse Clubs, Dollar Stores, Specialty Grocers
  80%
                                                                                                                                Department stores are losing market
  60%                                                                                                                            share at more than 2.5% annually
  40%
  20%
             Dept. Stores: JCPenney, Macy’s, Nordstrom, Bloomingdale’s, Saks, Dillard’s, Bon-Ton
    0%
          1988       1990         1992       1994        1996        1998        2000        2002        2004        2006         2008        2010        2012       2014

   65%
                                                                                          Traditional Grocers: Ahold, Delhaize, Kroger, Publix, Supervalu, Safeway
   55%
               70% of DDR’s wholly-owned Prime assets
                    contain a grocery component
   45%                                                                                    Non-Traditional Grocers: Walmart, Target, Costco, BJ’s, Sam’s Club, Whole Foods,
                                                                                          The Fresh Market, Trader Joe’s, Sprouts Farmers Market, Fresh Thyme

   35%
             2001          2002      2003       2004        2005        2006       2007        2008        2009       2010        2011        2012        2013       2014

Source: US Census Bureau                                                                                                                                                     21
CONSUMERS CONTINUE TO SPREAD THEIR GROCERY
SHOPPING ACROSS MULTIPLE CHANNELS
          EXPECTED CHANGE IN STORE COUNT, 2013 – 2018E                                                         EXPECTED CHANGE IN MARKET SHARE, 2013 – 2018E

                                                                                                     100       85
     20,886
                                                                                                                                 65                 61

                                                                                                       50                                                              31

                                                                                                       -

                                                                                                              WHOLE FOODS,       SAM’S CLUB,        TRADER JOE’S,     DOLLAR GENERAL,
                                                                                                      (50)     THE FRESH          COSTCO,               ALDI,          DOLLAR TREE,
                                                                                                              MARKET, ETC.      WALMART, ETC.      SAVE-A-LOT, ETC.        ETC.

                                                                                      BASIS POINTS
                                                                                                     (100)

                                                                                                     (150)
                      804
                                       668
                                                                                                     (200)
                                                       320

                                                                                                     (250)

                                                                                                     (300)
                                                                                                                                                                                        (303)
                                                                 (576)
                                                                                                     (350)
DOLLAR, DRUG, WHOLESALE,            ORGANIC         LIMITED   TRADITIONAL
                                                                                                             ORGANIC          WHOLESALE,          LIMITED        DOLLAR, DRUG, TRADITIONAL
CONVENIENCE SUPERCENTERS                          ASSORTMENT SUPERMARKETS
                                                                                                                             SUPERCENTER        ASSORTMENT       CONVENIENCE SUPERMARKETS
   STORES
                                                                                                                                                                    STORES

Source: JLL, Willard Bishop. Traditional supermarkets are defined as stores offering groceries, meat, and produce, with 15,000 - 60,000 SKUs and at least $2M in annual sales.                  22
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT DDR’S PUERTO RICO
PORTFOLIO
11%         Puerto Rico as a percentage of DDR’s pro rata base rent

60%         Estimated value of the top three Prime + malls as a % of the total portfolio…

>$500psf    …In-line tenant sales performance of those top three enclosed malls

3.6%        Debt coupon on the 7-year, non-recourse loan encumbering Plaza Escorial completed in 2014

10 / 15     Prime + or Prime assets, representing 90% of portfolio value

70%         Base rent derived from U.S. based credit-worth tenants

+2.4%       Total NOI growth from 2013 to 2014

4.9 Years   Weighted average lease term remaining
                                                                                                        23
WHILE DEMAND IS STRONG, SUPPLY OF POWER CENTERS
PER CAPITA IS DECLINING
                                     U.S. POWER CENTER GLA PER CAPITA

  3.0

  2.5
               POWER CENTER GLA PER CAPITA HAS
               DECREASED BY 2% SINCE 2010 AFTER
                 GROWING NEARLY 5X SINCE 1975
  2.0

  1.5

  1.0

  0.5
     1975   1978   1981     1984     1987     1990   1993   1996   1999   2002   2005   2008   2011   2014

                                                                                                             24
SHOPPING CENTERS ARE EXPERIENCING LITTLE NEW
DEVELOPMENT ON AN ABSOLUTE AND RELATIVE BASIS
Construction lending remains restrained as Basel III forces banks to hold 50% more capital for a construction loan

                                             NEW DELIVERIES AS A % OF EXISTING STOCK

          2.0%

          1.5%

                                                                                                             EVEN A
                                                                                                           SMALLER %
                                                                                                            MEET THE    '05 - '08
          1.0%                                                                                             DEFINITION
                                                                                                           OF A POWER
                                                                                                             CENTER     '09 - '12
                                                                                                                        '13 - '14
          0.5%

          0.0%
                       APARTMENTS                INDUSTRIAL                  OFFICE                ALL SHOPPING
                                                                                                     CENTERS

                                                                                                                                    25
KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM MEETINGS AT ICSC RECON
THEME #1: RETAILERS CONTINE TO TRADE DOWN TO OFF-PRICE AND VALUE CONCEPTS
          Macy’s Backstage, F21 Red, Whole Food’s value, and Bloomingdale’s outlet have been added to compete with TJ Maxx, Ross, and Burlington

THEME #2: OUTLET BRANDS ARE EXPANDING INTO POWER CENTERS FOR MORE DESIRABLE CO-TENANCY, CONVENIENCE
          Nike Factory, J Crew Outlet, and Gap Outlet, in addition to traditional mall tenants like Forever 21

THEME #3: CAP RATES IN BOTH CORE AND SECONDARY MARKETS CONTINUE TO DECLINE
          Power centers with and without grocery anchors continue to trade sub-6%

THEME #4: NON-TRADITIONAL BUYERS OF SHOPPING CENTERS CONTINUE TO EMERGE
          Interested parties include traditional grocery retailers, power center tenants, and B mall landlords

THEME #5: THE RESURGENCE IN SMALL SHOP CONCEPTS IS CONCENTRATED IN FITNESS AND FAST CASUAL
          New burger, pizza, and cycle concepts, many of which are mom-and-pop shops, are spurring demand

                                                                                                                                                   26
NEW STORE OPENING PLANS CONTINUE TO BE
ROBUST BASED ON RECENT MEETINGS
RETAILER                      PREFERRED FOOTPRINT (SF)   PLANNED OPENINGS     TIMELINE, AND OTHER NOTABLE ITEMS:

Walmart Neighborhood Market                 50,000             250          Looking to open 250 stores in 2015 and 200 stores in 2016

Aldi                                        18,000             125          Intending to add 500 new stores over the next 4 years

Panera                                       4,300             110          Looking to continue to open 110 stores annually

Five Below                                   7,500              85          Their next new market will be in Los Angeles

Famous Footwear                              5,000              55          Annual openings of 55 stores will continue through 2017

Costco                                     140,000              35          Looking to open 35 stores in 2015 following 35 openings in 2015

Burlington                                  50,000              30          Looking to open 30 stores in both 2015 and 2016

Nordstrom Rack                              35,000              30          Looking to open 20 – 25 units annually

Planet Fitness                              20,000              30          Looking to open 30 stores within the next year

J Crew Factory Outlet                        6,000              25          Increasing presence in power centers as outlet construction has slowed

Nike Factory Outlet                         19,000              20          Increasing presence in power centers as outlet construction has slowed

Total Wine                                  20,000              17          Projecting an additional 20 stores in 2016 and 2017

                                                                                                                                                     27
EXISTING RETAILERS CONTINUE TO EVOLVE THEIR
FOOTPRINTS AND ROLL OUT NEW CONCEPTS
RETAILER                    PREFERRED FOOTPRINT (SF)   CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS OR ALTERNATIVE FOOTPRINT

Dick’s Sporting Goods                100,000           Experimenting with a side-by-side concept featuring adjoined Field and Stream and Dick’s Sporting Goods

Macy’s Backstage                      35,000           Off-price concept will debut in September

Nordstrom Rack                        25,000           Smaller footprint will target smaller-metro markets, and will have a scaled down merchandise mix

Bloomingdale’s Outlet                 25,000           Outlet concept will open three units in 2015, and is planning an additional 3 – 6 units annually

Whole Foods Value Concept             25,000           New concept targets millennial shoppers, offering a lower price point in smaller-format boxes

Starbucks                             15,000           Will open Starbucks Roastery stores in major metros over the next few years

Charlotte Russe                       10,000           Fast fashion Lemonpop concept targets whole family

Payless ShoeSource                     7,500           Large format concept contrasts with 3,000 SF average stores, and are looking top open 30 in 2015

Macy’s Micro Store                     6,000           Small format concept will target street and off-mall locations, and will offer buy online, pick up in store

Verizon Smart Store                    5,000           Experiential store will include areas for music, gaming, tablets, phones, fitness tech, and workshops

Panera                                 2,500           Panera To You concept provides limited seating, and plans to grow as a pick up/delivery café

Massage Envy                           2,000           Typical prototype is 3,500 SF; new stores are intended to reach hard-to-access markets

Sally Beauty                           1,750           Developing a new concept to compete with ULTA, including higher-end merchandise and salon chairs

Starbucks                                750           Will roll out their “express” stores in urban markets in 2016

                                                                                                                                                                     28
NEW RETAILERS PROVIDE MOMENTUM IN THE SHOP
AND BOX CATEGORIES
RETAILER                  DESCRIPTION

Active Ride Shop          Sells skate clothing, shoes, and skateboards, and is targeting 3,500sf stores in CA, NV, AZ, TX, CO

Air Time                  Trampoline park operator looking for 27,500sf Midwestern locations

Cinepolis                 Mexico’s largest theater chain, expanding into the US; operating with luxury, traditional, and hybrid concepts

Cycle Bar                 Instructor-led cycling workouts expanding nationwide through franchising, looking for 2,500sf spaces

Jake’s Wayback Burgers    Retro-style fast-food restaurant serving burgers and milkshakes, designed to compete with Five Guys

Lucky’s Market            Specialty grocer looking for 30,000sf spaces, run by the Wild Oats founders

Midici Neapolitan Pizza   Fast casual pizza concept looking for 4,000sf spaces, developed by the creators of Menchie’s

MOD Pizza                 Fast casual pizza concept looking for 2,600sf spaces and planning to double their 45 store base by YE16

Pet Supermarket           Competition to PetSmart and Petco, looking for 8,000sf spaces; plans to double store count to 300 in next 5 years

Tin Drum Asiacafè         Fast casual Asian concept started by the creators of Tropical Smoothie Cafe

                                                                                                                                              29
TOP 20 TENANTS HAVE STRONG CREDIT PROFILES
                      % OF    % OF                                                % OF    % OF
                                        RATING (S&P /                                                RATING (S&P /
COMPANY              TOTAL   OWNED                        COMPANY                TOTAL   OWNED
                                       MOODY’S / FITCH)                                             MOODY’S / FITCH)
                      ABR     GLA                                                 ABR     GLA
1. TJX Companies      3.4%    3.9%   A+ / A3 / NR         11. Gap / Old Navy /
                                                                                  1.6%    1.3%    BBB- / Baa3 / BBB-
                                                          Banana Republic
2. PetSmart           3.0%    2.5%   B+ / NR / NR
                                                          12. Office Depot        1.5%    1.4%    B- / B2 / NR
3. Bed Bath &
                      2.9%    3.0%   A- / Baa1 / NR
Beyond                                                    13. Publix              1.4%    2.0%    NR
4. Walmart            2.6%    5.1%   AA / Aa2 / AA
                                                          14. Ulta                1.2%    0.7%    NR
5. Kohl’s             2.4%    3.9%   BBB / Baa1 / BBB+
                                                          15. Ascena              1.1%    0.7%    NR
6. Dick’s Sporting
                      2.2%    2.2%   NR
Goods                                                     16. Kroger              1.1%    1.6%    BBB / Baa2 / BBB
7. Ross Stores        2.0%    2.4%   A- / A3 / NR
                                                          17. Barnes & Noble      1.0%    0.7%    NR
8. Best Buy           2.0%    1.7%   BB / Baa2 / BB
                                                          18. Jo-Ann              1.0%    1.2%    B / Caa1 / NR
9. Michaels           1.8%    1.8%   B+ / NR / NR         19. Lowe’s              1.0%    2.0%    A- / A3 / NR
10. AMC Theatres      1.6%    0.9%   B+ / NR / NR         20. Staples             0.9%    0.8%    BBB- / Baa2 / BBB-

                                                          Total                  35.7%    39.8%

                                                                                                                       30
WHY WE ARE INVESTING IN POWER CENTERS
                                                                                                         GROCERY ANCHORED NEIGHBORHOOD
METRIC                        POWER CENTERS
                                                                                                         CENTERS
1. SCALE = FLEXIBILITY        >40 acres, >350ksf                                                         10 - 20 acres, ~125ksf

2. CREDIT QUALITY             >75% ABR from Nationals                                                    ~25% ABR from Nationals

3. COLLECTION RISK            Low: National Tenants                                                      High: Local Tenants

4. TRADE AREA POPULATION      350k+                                                                      200k-

5. ANCHOR LOSS IMPLICATIONS   Minimal/Opportunity                                                        Disastrous

6. MARKET SHARE TREND         Gaining                                                                    Losing

7. SITE PLAN CONTROL          Flexible                                                                   Inflexible

8. ANNUAL ROLLOVER            ~10%                                                                       ~20%

9. ECONOMIES OF SCALE         Relationships/Co-Tenancy                                                   Health of grocer is all that matters

10. MERCHANT TYPE             Food, Service, Hardlines, Softlines, Entertainment, Mass Merchants, Home   Food and Service

                                                                                                                                                31
THE OCCUPANCY COST OF DDR’S TOP TENANTS
HIGHLIGHT THE EFFICIENCY OF BRICK-AND-MORTAR
                            OCCUPANCY COST
                                                                          9.8%
10%
                                                       GROSS SHIPPING
                                                      COSTS / NET SALES

 8%

                                             6.5%   6.6%         6.7%
                                   6.4%
 6%
                           4.8%
             4.1%   4.4%
      3.8%
 4%

 2%

 0%
      WFM    ROST   JWN    PETM    BBBY      DKS    TJX         ULTA      AMZN

                                                                                 32
POWER CENTER PRICE DISCOVERY
 Institutional quality power center transactions not involving DDR:

DATE            MARKET                     PRICE (MIL)                PRICE PSF   CAP RATE   ANCHORS
4Q13            Austin                                81                   231        6.5%   Home Depot, Best Buy, Marshalls, Chair King, Bed Bath & Beyond

4Q13            San Francisco                        202                   233        5.2%   Lowe's, Costco, Kohl's, Toys R Us, TJ Maxx, Jo-Ann, Nordstrom Rack

4Q13            Seattle                              165                   344        5.2%   Regal, Dick's Sporting Goods, LA Fitness, Ross, Marshalls

4Q13            Denver                               116                   276        6.4%   24 Hour Fitness, Dick's Sporting Goods, Best Buy, Sprouts

4Q13            Denver                               124                   190        6.5%   JC Penney, AMC, Ross, REI, H&M, Staples, Forever 21

4Q13            Atlanta                               53                   284        5.7%   Bed Bath & Beyond, Havertys, TJ Maxx, PetSmart

1Q14            Philadelphia                          92                   202        6.2%   Home Depot, BJ’s Wholesale, Conway’s, PetSmart, Staples, Walgreens

3Q14            Los Angeles                          260                   776        5.0%   Old Navy, Nordstrom Rack, Men’s Wearhouse, Marshalls

3Q14            Chicago                               50                   260        5.7%   Fresh Farms, Babies R Us, Ross, Walgreens

3Q14            Wash. DC                              88                   540        4.3%   Whole Foods, Michaels, Modell's, Gold's Gym, CVS

3Q14            Orlando                              114                   263        5.8%   Kohl's, Ross, Bed Bath & Beyond, Regal, Sports Authority, Old Navy, Michaels

4Q14            Denver                                86                   174        6.0%   Dick's, Kohl's, Office Depot, Petco, Sprouts

4Q14            Atlanta                               55                   248        5.3%   Target (U), Publix, TJ Maxx, Office Depot, Dick's, PetSmart

4Q14            Charlotte                             61                   257        6.3%   Marshalls, PetSmart, Old Navy, Best Buy, Office Max

1Q15            Minneapolis                          107                   230        6.0%   Cub Foods, Kohl's, HomeGoods, TJM, Nordstrom Rack

1Q15            Los Angeles                          187                   591        5.5%   Lowe's, Ross, Sports Authority, PetSmart, Ulta

1Q15            Los Angeles                          72                    760        5.9%   Marshalls, PetSmart, Michaels

1Q15            Denver                               57                    236        5.7%   Target, TJ Maxx, HomeGoods, Michaels, Golf Galaxy, PetSmart

2Q15            Oklahoma City                        53                    255        5.3%   Walmart, Babies R Us, Nordstrom Rack, Ulta, Shoe Carnival, Kirkland’s

2Q15            Northern New Jersey                  50                    358        5.0%   Nordstrom Rack, DSW, TJ Maxx, buybuyBaby, Cost Plus World Market, Ulta

                                                  $2,073                  $117        5.7%

                                                                                                                                                                            33
PORTFOLIO
MANAGEMENT
~75% OF PORTFOLIO VALUE CONSISTS OF JUST 115 ASSETS
(PRIME+ AND PRIME)
                                                                                          Values shown at pro rata

                                           JOINT                          7% OF VALUE
             5% OF VALUE                  VENTURE                         188 ASSETS
               40 ASSETS        WHOLLY OWNED
                                  NON-PRIME

                           WHOLLY OWNED
                              PRIME-                                               44% OF VALUE
    14% OF VALUE                                                                   47 ASSETS
                                                    WHOLLY OWNED PRIME+
       64 ASSETS

                             WHOLLY OWNED PRIME

          30% OF VALUE
             68 ASSETS

                                                                                                               35
DECONSTRUCTING THE PORTFOLIO:
WHOLLY OWNED PRIME +
INVESTMENT THESIS: Long-term hold

                                                          METRIC                  AVERAGE
                         JOINT
                        VENTURE                           EST. CAP RATE           4.75% - 5.75%
              WHOLLY OWNED
                NON-PRIME
                                                          # OF ASSETS                       47

                                                          NOI CAGR (5 YEAR)             > 3.0%

                                                          VALUE                       ~ $105 M
        WHOLLY OWNED
           PRIME-                     44% OF VALUE        VALUE PSF                     ~ $270
                                    WHOLLY OWNED PRIME+
                                                          SIZE                       ~ 500 KSF

                                                          ABR PSF                      ~ $17.00

                                                          LEASED RATE                    ~ 95%

           WHOLLY OWNED PRIME                             TRADE AREA POPULATION         ~ 650 K
                                                          TRADE AREA HH INCOME          ~ $90 K

                                                                                              36
DECONSTRUCTING THE PORTFOLIO:
WHOLLY OWNED PRIME
INVESTMENT THESIS: Long-term hold with a focus on upgrading merchandise mix and enhancing market dominance

                                                                                  METRIC                     AVERAGE
                          JOINT
                         VENTURE                                                  EST. CAP RATE              6.0% - 6.5%
               WHOLLY OWNED
                 NON-PRIME
                                                                                  # OF ASSETS                        68

                                                                                  NOI CAGR (5 YEAR)              ~ 3.5%

                                                                                  VALUE                         ~ $50 M
         WHOLLY OWNED
            PRIME-                                                                VALUE PSF                      ~ $195
                                   WHOLLY OWNED PRIME+                            SIZE                        ~ 330 KSF

                                                                                  ABR PSF                       ~ $14.05

                                                                                  LEASED RATE                     ~ 93%
             30% OF VALUE                                                         TRADE AREA POPULATION         ~ 385 K
           WHOLLY OWNED PRIME
                                                                                  TRADE AREA HH INCOME          ~ $82 K

                                                                                                                       37
DECONSTRUCTING THE PORTFOLIO:
WHOLLY OWNED PRIME -
INVESTMENT THESIS: Evaluate for investment to increase growth profile or for short or medium term disposition

                                                                                        METRIC                  AVERAGE
                           JOINT
                          VENTURE                                                       EST. CAP RATE           6.75% - 7.75%
                WHOLLY OWNED
                  NON-PRIME
                                                                                        # OF ASSETS                       64

                                                                                        NOI CAGR (5 YEAR)             ~ 3.0%

      14% OF VALUE                                                                      VALUE                        ~ $24 M
       WHOLLY OWNED
                                                                                        VALUE PSF                     ~ $125
          PRIME-
                                    WHOLLY OWNED PRIME+                                 SIZE                       ~ 260 KSF

                                                                                        ABR PSF                      ~ $10.70

                                                                                        LEASED RATE                    ~ 93%

             WHOLLY OWNED PRIME                                                         TRADE AREA POPULATION         ~ 290 K
                                                                                        TRADE AREA HH INCOME          ~ $71 K

                                                                                                                            38
DECONSTRUCTING THE PORTFOLIO:
  WHOLLY OWNED NON-PRIME
  INVESTMENT THESIS: Near-term disposition to mitigate risk

                                                              METRIC                  AVERAGE
                              JOINT
5% OF VALUE
                WHOLLY OWNED VENTURE                          EST. CAP RATE           7.50% - 8.25%
                 NON-PRIME

                                                              # OF ASSETS                       40

                                                              NOI CAGR (5 YEAR)             ~ -0.5%

                                                              VALUE                        ~ $16 M
           WHOLLY OWNED
              PRIME-                                          VALUE PSF                      ~ $90
                                       WHOLLY OWNED PRIME+    SIZE                       ~ 235 KSF

                                                              ABR PSF                       ~ $9.30

                                                              LEASED RATE                    ~ 88%

              WHOLLY OWNED PRIME                              TRADE AREA POPULATION         ~ 270 K
                                                              TRADE AREA HH INCOME          ~ $68K

                                                                                                  39
WHAT’S LEFT OF NON-PRIME?
                                                                               Values shown at pro rata
                                                                                          $ in millions
       % OF NON-PRIME VALUE

                                                             % OF
                                                  # OF
         JOINT                  CATEGORY                  NON-PRIME   STRATEGY
       VENTURES                                  ASSETS
          11%                                               VALUE

                                LEASE UP           13        40%      Sell after lease up

                                MARKETING FOR                         Currently in the market or under
                                                   18        21%
  MARKETING
     21%
                     LEASE UP   SALE                                  contract

                       40%      DEBT               4         17%      Sell at maturity

                                SINGLE TENANT      5         12%      Sell after renewal
     SINGLE
     TENANT                     JOINT VENTURES     57        11%

       12%        DEBT          TOTALS             97       100%
                  17%

                                                                                                     40
DISPOSITIONS: EVOLVING QUALITY
       2011:             2012: EXITING
  DISTRESSED              NON-CORE
      SALES               PROPERTY
Pine Ridge Square            TYPES
   (Gaylord, MI)            Tiffin Mall
  ~ 12% cap rate           (Tiffin, OH)
                         ~ 10% cap rate

 2013: EXITING            2014: TAKING
LOW GROWTH IN           ADVANTAGE OF
WEAK MARKETS                 PRICING
Carlisle Commons         ENVIRONMENT
 (Harrisburg, PA)       Abernathy Square
  ~ 8% cap rate            (Atlanta, GA)
                          ~ 6% cap rate

                                           41
THE EVOLUTION OF THE PORTFOLIO FROM SMALLER, LOWER QUALITY
  ASSETS INTO LARGE FORMAT PRIME POWER CENTERS CONTINUES

                                            # OF ASSETS AND TOTAL GLA (WHOLLY-OWNED)
              375
              350
# OF ASSETS

              325
              300
              275
              250
              225
              200
              175
                    1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15

                                               AVERAGE ASSET SIZE (WHOLLY-OWNED)
              325
              300
SF, IN 000s

              275
              250
                                                                               -37% CHANGE IN # OF ASSETS
              225                                                              +61% CHANGE IN AVG ASSET SIZE
              200
              175
                1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15

                                                                                                                           42
THE PORTFOLIO HAS MOVED UP THE QUALITY
SPECTRUM
                                               (ADD)
                  2008         (LESS)                               (EQUALS)
                                           ACQUISITIONS /
                PORTFOLIO   DISPOSITIONS                        CURRENT PORTFOLIO
                                           DEVELOPMENT

 ASSET COUNT       621           376            162                     407

 TOTAL SQUARE
 FEET (MIL)        119           49              47                     117

 AVERAGE SIZE     190,000      130,000         290,000                290,000

 LEASED RATE      92.6%         86.1%          93.2%                   95.5%

 RENT PSF         $12.34       $11.02          $13.89                  $14.02

 POPULATION
 (TRADE AREA)                  220,000         474,000                432,000

 HH INCOME
 (TRADE AREA)                  $68,000         $82,000                $82,000

                                                ORGANIC GROWTH OPPORTUNITY

                                                                                    43
THE PORTFOLIO HAS EXPERIENCED A DRAMATIC
QUALITY UPGRADE SINCE 2010
                  CONSOLIDATED PORTFOLIO                                    TOTAL PORTFOLIO
                                2010         2015                                     2010      2015

# OF ASSETS                      348         219    LEASED RATE                      91.2%     95.5%

AVG ASSET SIZE (KSF)             202         323    RENT PSF                        $12.46     $14.02

AVG ASSET VALUE (MIL)            $23         $49    ABR FROM TOP 50 MSAs              57%       77%

CONSOLIDATED AS % TOTAL         81%          93%    TRADE AREA POPULATION            359K      439K

                    RETAILERS THAT HAVE                            RETAILERS THAT HAVE MOVED
                   MOVED INTO DDR’S TOP 50                            OUT OF DDR’S TOP 25

                                                                                                        44
AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO REPOSITIONING
WILL CONTINUE

                                   2008              CURRENT                TARGET

TOTAL MSAs                         174                  106                    90%             Focused only on large growth markets

OFFICE / INDUSTRIAL
                                    7                    0                      0              Further simplification of the story
ASSETS

DOMESTIC B/C MALLS                  10                   0                      0              Focused on only one property type

We have also…
Added Boston, Orlando, Minneapolis, and San Antonio to our top 20 markets
Decreased the combined ABR from Buffalo and Detroit by $28 million, or 45% of total exposure

                                                                                                                                      45
DDR HAS WOUND DOWN 15 JVS SINCE 2011 AND WILL
CONTINUE TO FOCUS ON FEWER, HIGH QUALITY PARTNERS
                                                 JOINT VENTURES
                                                                                   All figures in millions, except asset counts and percentages

                                               DDR         # OF         # PRIME +,         OWNED             BOOK
                              PARTNER         OWN %       ASSETS       PRIME ASSETS           GLA            VALUE               DEBT

BRE DDR RETAIL HOLDINGS III   Blackstone         5%               67           20                  11.2             $85                 $62

DDRTC CORE RETAIL FUND        TIAA-CREF          15%              26           18                   8.4             233                 122

DDR DOMESTIC RETAIL FUND I    Various            20%              56           14                   7.9             276                 184

DDR-SAU RETAIL FUND           State of Utah      20%              23           3                    2.1              56                 31

OTHER                         Various           Various           13           2                    2.0              73                 23

TOTAL                                                         185              57                  31.6             $723               $453

                      JVS MAKE UP APPROXIMATELY 7% OF DDR’S PRO RATA GROSS ASSET VALUE

                                                                                                                                              46
CAPITAL
MARKETS
BALANCED MATURITY PROFILE MITIGATES RISK
                                                     CONSOLIDATED DEBT MATURITIES
               $1,000

                $800
                                    REVOLVER
                                   AVAILABILITY

                $600
IN MILLIONS

                $400

                $200

                  $0
                                   2015     2016    2017   2018   2019   2020       2021   2022   2023   2024+
              GAAP INTEREST RATE   4.2%      7.5%   5.8%   3.8%   5.3%   6.0%       3.8%   4.7%   3.4%   3.5%
              CASH INTEREST RATE   4.5%      7.7%   6.6%   3.8%   5.3%   6.1%       3.9%   4.7%   3.4%   3.5%

                                                                                                                 48
DEBT / EBITDA REDUCTION WILL CONTINUE
                                    0.0x

                                   (0.1x)
                                               (0.15x)
PRO RATA DEBT / EBITDA (BENEFIT)

                                   (0.2x)
                                                               (0.07x)
                                   (0.3x)
                                                                              (0.11x)
                                   (0.4x)
                                                                                               (0.06x)
                                   (0.5x)

                                   (0.6x)                                                                       (0.16x)

                                                                                                                                (0.09x)
                                   (0.7x)

                                   (0.8x)
                                             INCOME FROM    LEASE-UP CIP   LEASED RATE    OPERATING ASSET     NON-INCOME       RETAINED
                                            SIGNED LEASES    (PER $100M)    INCREASE      SALES (PER $100M) PRODUCING ASSET    EARNINGS
                                            NOT YET OPEN                   (PER 100 BP)                          SALES        (PER $100M)
                                               (ACTUAL)                                                       (PER $100M)

                                                                                                                                            49
RISK REDUCTION GOES BEYOND DEBT/EBITDA
EXITED ALL INTERNATIONAL MARKETS THROUGH DIVESTURE OF BRAZILIAN INVESTMENT
P Eliminated currency, sovereign, and partner risk, as well as development and reporting risks specific to Brazil
P Removed unnecessary complexity associated with reporting and modeling
× Increased debt / EBITDA

TRADED LOW QUALITY ASSETS FOR HIGH QUALITY ASSETS AT A 100 – 200BP SPREAD
P Developed a portfolio of fortress power centers that will outperform in both a bull and a bear market
P Enhanced the credit quality and lowered the beta of company cash flows
× Increased debt / EBITDA

WOUND DOWN 15 JOINT VENTURES OVER FOUR YEARS IN FAVOR OF LONGER-TERM PARTNERSHIPS
P Simplified company structure and enhanced quality of fee income streams
P Increased management focus on DDR’s wholly-owned assets
× Increased debt / EBITDA

ISSUED LONG-TERM, UNSECURED DEBT AT HISTORICALLY LOW INTEREST RATES
P Decreased the weighted average cost of capital to approximately 6%
P Extended the weighted average debt duration of the consolidated portfolio by ~1 year to 4.3 years since 2010

REDUCED LAND AND CIP AS A PERCENT OF GROSS ASSET VALUE TO 3.5%
P Minimized development risk while simultaneously increasing focus on high-quality redevelopment projects (7 – 10% yields)
P Redirected capital allocation to the highest quality assets in the portfolio

INCREASED THE UNENCUMBERED POOL TO $7.5 BILLION
P Over the last five years, DDR has increased unencumbered NOI by 66% and increased the average asset size by 61%
P In 2015, DDR will add 8 prime assets totaling $1 billion of value to the unencumbered pool

                                                                                                                              50
FFO TAILWINDS WITH HIGH COUPON REFINANCINGS

10%

9%

8%
      Refi at 7% = ($0.01) per share earnings Impact
                                                       9.63%
7%
                                                               7.50%
6%
      Refi at 5% = +$0.05 per share earnings Impact
5%

4%                   4.48%
3%

2%

1%

0%
                     2015                              2016    2017

                                                                       51
GROWING THE UNENCUMBERED ASSET POOL
•   The $6.8 billion unencumbered pool has improved materially in terms of size, quality and credit

                                                 2009                            CURRENT                CHANGE

NUMBER OF ASSETS                                  242                                181                 -25%

UNENCUMBERED NOI                                 $252                               $462                 +83%

% OF CONSOLIDATED NOI                            49%                                66%                  +35%

UNENCUMBERED DEBT YIELD                          10%                                13%                  +30%

AVERAGE ASSET SIZE                              180ksf                             295ksf                +64%

TOP CREDITS                            Walmart, Rite Aid, Lowe’s     PetSmart, Bed Bath & Beyond, TJX

                                                                                                                 52
DDR UNENCUMBERED FOUR FORTRESS ASSETS IN
THE SECOND QUARTER
•       In June, DDR repaid the $255 million of 6.4% (cash) secured debt; the GAAP interest rate was 2.75%

•       The total value added to the unencumbered pool is greater than $650 million, implying
You can also read