INVESTOR PRESENTATION - RUSSEL CREEDY GRANT ELLIS - Restaurant Brands
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RESTAURANT BRANDS NEW ZEALAND LIMITED (RBD) INVESTOR PRESENTATION MAY 2018 RUSSEL CREEDY GRANT ELLIS GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER GROUP CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 1
OUTLINE Restaurant Brands 101 Growth Opportunities FY18 Results Outlook New Zealand Operations Questions Australia Operations Summary Hawaii Operations 2
RESTAURANT BRANDS A CORPORATE FRANCHISEE, OPERATING ACROSS THE PACIFIC SAIPAN & GUAM HAWAII NEW ZEALAND AUSTRALIA 3
RBD INVESTMENT THESIS AN ATTRACTIVE INVESTMENT ON A NUMBER OF LEVELS PROVEN CAPABILITY IN SHARPLY FOCUSED GROWTH INVESTMENT IN MANAGING AND GROWING A HIGH STRATEGY THAT HAS TRANSFORMED STRONG CASH PERFORMING STABLE OF ICONIC, THE COMPANY INTO A MULTI-BRAND GENERATING BRANDED FOOD CHAINS INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS BUSINESSES Consistent track record of continued Demonstrated execution capability with a track Strong balance sheet growth in revenues and earnings record of store transformation and operational and cash flows excellence that can be replicated in new World-class corporate franchisee with acquisitions and across additional brands Consistent and growing recognised skills in marketing, facility dividend yields and supply chain management Strong capital allocation capabilities that have consistently grown returns for shareholders 4
GROUP FINANCIAL OVERVIEW TRACK RECORD OF DELIVERING CONTINUED GROWTH EVIDENCED BY FY18 NUMBERS 740.8 121.9 497.2 86.2 359.5 387.6 66.9 329.3 53.5 61.5 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 TOTAL SALES (NZ$M) TOTAL EBITDA (NZ$M) 40.4 28.0 23.0 21.0 30.6 19.0 16.5 22.5 24.2 18.9 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 TOTAL NPAT (excluding non-trading items) (NZ$M) DIVIDEND PER SHARE (NZ cents) 5
GROUP FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AUSTRALIA (QSR) AND HAWAII (PIR) ADDED STRONGLY TO FY18 STORE SALES AND MARGIN GROWTH, UNDERPINNED BY A STRONG NZ KFC PERFORMANCE 740.8 167.5 121.9 497.2 151.8 24.1 387.6 97.2 86.2 66.9 22.0 15.0 HAWAII 387.6 400.0 421.4 66.9 71.2 75.8 AUSTRALIA NEW ZEALAND FY1 6 FY1 7 FY1 8 FY1 6 FY1 7 FY1 8 SALES CONTRIBUTION (NZ$M) EBITDA CONTRIBUTION (NZ$M) 6
GROUP FINANCIAL OVERVIEW FY18 OPERATING CASH FLOWS UP 42% IN LINE WITH PROFITABILITY INVESTING CASH FLOWS REFLECT LARGER ASSET BASE 67.8 47.9 44.3 31.1 20.8 20.3 OPERATING INVESTING NET INFLOWS NET OUTFLOWS* FY16 FY17 FY18 * Excluding acquisitions and divestments GROUP CASH FLOW (NZ$M) 7
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT FY18 SAW BANK DEBT UP ON AUSTRALIA AND HAWAII ACQUISITIONS BUT WELL WITHIN FACILITY LIMITS AND WITHOUT ANY PRESSURE ON THE BALANCE SHEET 253 55 166.8 74 166.8 FACILITY: BTMU (A$50m) 46.5 125 FIRST HAWAIIAN (US$51M) 22.6 8.1 12.7 WESTPAC (NZ$60M & A$60M) FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 ACTUAL* FACILITY BANK DEBT(NZ$M) BANK DEBT (NZ$M) Net Debt: EBITDA 1.7:1 Gearing (D:D+E) 44% 8
STRONG REVENUES THE NEW ZEALAND BUSINESS CONTINUED SOLID GROWTH WITH FY18 SALES IN EXCESS OF $420M, LED BY KFC 421.4 400.0 387.6 34.9 36.3 33.4 25.8 26.7 26.8 41.1 40.5 44.9 CARL'S JR. 319.6 STARBUCKS 296.5 282.5 PIZZA HUT KFC FY16 FY17 FY18 SALES (NZ$M) 10
EARNINGS MOMENTUM KFC DRIVES NEW ZEALAND EARNINGS GROWTH 75.8 71.2 66.9 2.0 1.0 4.8 0.4 4.8 3.1 4.4 4.1 4.9 61.4 66.0 CARL'S JR. 57.2 STARBUCKS PIZZA HUT KFC FY16 FY17 FY18 EBITDA (NZ$M) KFC EBITDA 20.2% 20.7% 20.6% % SALES 11
STRATEGIC AGENDA – NEW ZEALAND Resolve Starbucks position Formalise master franchise for Pizza Hut Enhance Carl’s Jr. profitability with a view to further development Build Pizza Hut network in NZ through independent franchisee ownership (120+ stores) Maintain KFC margins and sales growth over long term New KFC store builds (2+ pa) with wider store design options Introduce a further brand to NZ 12
AUSTRALIA OPERATIONS 13
KFC AUSTRALIA OPPORTUNITIES THE KFC BUSINESS IN NSW CONTINUES TO EXPAND WITH NEWLY ACQUIRED STORES AND ORGANIC SALES GROWTH Northern Territory c.5 restaurants There are over 600 KFC Queensland c.130 restaurants across Australia, restaurants mostly held by franchisees NT QLD WA SA New South Wales Western Australia c.200 restaurants NSW RBD 61 c.40 restaurants ACT Yum! 50 South Australia VIC c.15 restaurants Other Franchisees 90 c.50 restaurants Victoria Tasmania TAS c.15 restaurants c.150 restaurants 14
FY18 SOLID SALES AND EARNINGS GROWTH TOTAL SALES UP 56% WITH ORGANIC GROWTH, FULL YEAR TRADING (VS FY17) AND ACQUISITIONS EBITDA UP 47% WITH SOME SOFTENING OF MARGIN BUT 15% OF SALES SUSTAINABLE 151.8 22.0 SSS +4.9% 97.2 15.0 FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18 SALES (NZ$M) EBITDA (NZ$M) 15
EXPANSION OF THE BEACHHEAD STORE GROWTH BY ACQUISITION SAW STORE NUMBERS UP 45% BY YEAR END 10 STORES 1 STORE 61 STORES NEW STORE 8 STORES AQUIRED BUILDS FROM PURCHASES YUM! 42 STORES FROM SMALLER FRANCHISEES ORIGINAL ACQUISITION STORES AS AT APRIL 2016 FEB 2018 16
STRATEGIC AGENDA – AUSTRALIA Consolidate recent acquisitions and above-store structure Continue to acquire smaller independent KFC franchisees (primarily NSW) New store builds in growth corridors and CBD locations Acquire large parcels of KFC stores as and when opportunities arise Introduce a further brand to Australia 17
HAWAII OPERATIONS 18
SALES - FY18 DELIVERED ON BUSINESS CASE 122.4 119.8 55.6 51.5 66.8 68.3 PIZZA HUT TACO BELL YR 1 BUSINESS CASE FY18 ACT UAL SALES (US$M) 19
EBITDA – OVERALL ON TARGET TACO BELL MARGINS STRENGTHENED WHILE PIZZA HUT WAS IMPACTED BY US NATIONAL VALUE CAMPAIGNS AND LABOUR COST PRESSURES 19.0 17.2 6.1 3.3 12.9 13.9 PIZZA HUT TACO BELL YR 1 BUSINESS CASE FY18 ACT UAL EBITDA (US$M) 20
THE STORE TRANSFORMATION PROCESS IS UNDERWAY FY18 FY19 1 - NEW STORES 2 1 1 2 MINOR REFURBISHMENTS - 5 2 3 MAJOR REFURBISHMENTS 2 3 Kailua Taco Bell - - RELOCATES - - SSS +60% - 1 TRANSFORMATIONS - 3 21
STRATEGIC AGENDA – HAWAII Return Pizza Hut to positive SSS growth and margins above current levels Drive new store builds and transformations of Taco Bell brand Accelerate move out of large Pizza Hut red roof stores into smaller delcos Build new delcos KFC business in Hawaii (by acquisition or new store builds) 22
GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES 23
POTENTIAL FOR EXPANSION IN ALL MARKETS THERE ARE CONSIDERABLE NETWORK GROWTH POSSIBILITIES IN EXISTING MARKETS; HOWEVER THE US MAINLAND PRESENTS A STEP-CHANGE OPPORTUNITY New Zealand Australia Hawaii US Store builds Store build (corridors) Potential acquisition Potential acquisition Small franchisee New store builds (beachhead) acquisitions Large acquisition Store builds (network) N/A Relocations New store builds Potential entry Potential entry New store builds Potential acquisition Transformations (beachhead) 24
US EXPANSION – THE OPPORTUNITY Market potential – California 6th largest economy in the world Proven first tier global brands (KFC and Taco Bell) Relative under-penetration in the target market Tested beachhead model (critical mass, proven management) Established QSR market (still growing strongly) Proven brand operating experience in multiple markets Strong franchisor relationship 25
OUTLOOK FY19 Current strategies The Taco Bell and Australian store KFC New Zealand Absent any major across all Pizza Hut brands acquisitions continues to changes to geographic in Hawaii have continue to add strongly underpin economic or markets are delivered a solid to growth in that continuation of market conditions, delivering positive contribution in the market. profit growth in the Group will results. first period of that market. deliver a Net Profit ownership. after Tax (excluding The opportunity non-trading items) there is network for the FY19 year enhancement of at least 10% through new store above current builds and year’s transformations. performance. 26
QUESTIONS? QUESTIONS DISCLAIMER The information in this presentation: • Is provided by Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (“RBD”) for general information purposes and does not constitute investment advice or an offer of or invitation to purchase RBD securities. • Includes forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond RBD’s control, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in this presentation. • Includes statements relating to past performance which should not be regarded as reliable indicators of future performance. • Is current at the date of this presentation, unless otherwise stated. Except as required by law or the NZX Main Board and ASX listing rules, RBD is not under any obligation to update this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. • Should be read in conjunction with RBD’s audited consolidated financial statements for the year to 26 February 2018 and NZX and ASX market releases. • Includes non-GAAP financial measures including "EBITDA”. These measures do not have a standardised meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar financial information presented by other entities. However, they should not be used in substitution for, or isolation of, RBD’s audited consolidated financial statements. We monitor EBITDA as a key performance indicator and we believe it assists investors in assessing the performance of the core operations of our business. • Has been prepared with due care and attention. However, RBD and its directors and employees accept no liability for any errors or omissions. • Contains information from third parties RBD believes reliable. However, no representations or warranties are made as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. 27
SUMMARY RBD – a corporate franchisee, New Zealand-based but successfully diversified into Australia and Hawaii FY18 – a record year with sales of $740.8 million (+49%) and NPAT (excluding non-trading) of $40.4 million (+32%) Hawaiian acquisition in nearly a full year’s trading performed close to expectations Major expansion of Australia KFC beachhead with 18 stores acquired (increase of 42%) NZ business continues to provide a strong base to sales and earnings Final FY18 dividend of 18 cps (+33%) for a full year of 28 cps Potential growth opportunities in the US 28
RESTAURANT BRANDS NEW ZEALAND LIMITED (RBD) INVESTOR PRESENTATION MAY 2018 RUSSEL CREEDY GRANT ELLIS GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER GROUP CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 29
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