Investor Presentation - Etsy Investor Relations
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Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements include statements related to our outlook, business strategy, market size, financial guidance and key drivers thereof, our ability to execute on our strategy to own special purchase occasions, the impact of our key initiatives, our product roadmap and potential future growth. Forward- looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by terms such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “could,” “estimates,” “expects,” “may,” “plans,” “will,” “intends,” or similar expressions and the negatives of those words. Forward-looking statements involve substantial risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those that we expect. These risks and uncertainties include: (1) our history of operating losses; (2) the fluctuation of our quarterly operating results; (3) our ability to implement our business strategy; (4) our ability to attract and retain an active and engaged community of Etsy sellers and Etsy buyers; (5) our ability to recruit and retain employees (6) the importance to our success of the trustworthiness of our markets and the connections within our community; (7) our ability to enhance our current offerings and develop new offerings to respond to the changing needs of Etsy sellers and Etsy buyers; (8) the effectiveness of our marketing efforts; (9) our ability to effectively transition and integrate our new executive officers and implement our business strategy; (10) the effectiveness of our mobile solutions for Etsy sellers and Etsy buyers; (11) our ability to expand our business in our core geographic markets; (12) our dependence on third-party payment providers; and (13) the potential misuse or disclosure of sensitive information about our members and the potential for cyber-attacks. These risks and uncertainties are more fully described in our filings with the SEC, including in the section entitled “Risk Factors” in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2017, and subsequent reports that we file. Forward-looking statements represent our beliefs and assumptions only as of the date of this webcast/ presentation. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. This presentation is a high-level summary of our business. For more information please refer to our form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017 and other filings with the SEC 2
Etsy’s Value Proposition 1 2 3 Attractive platform Two-Sided $155 Billion for creative Marketplace: 1.9 million estimated online entrepreneurs active sellers, 33.4 spend in top Etsy million active buyers, categories and over 50 million items; geographies creates a strong competitive position 4 5 6 Sophisticated Strong brand Attractive financials technology platform and awareness, with significant widely respected high NPS scores margin potential engineering team and organic traffic 5
How Etsy’s Unique Marketplace Works 33.4 Million* More Buyers More GMS Active Buyers Etsy is a go-to shopping destination for unique and special goods Invest in the More Sellers Buyer Experience 1.9 Million* Active Sellers Etsy helps sellers start, manage and More scale their businesses Revenue Etsy facilitates the transaction, invests in the platform and delivers a global base of buyers *Active buyers and active sellers were approximately 33.4 million and approximately 1.9 million, respectively, as of December 31, 2017 6
Etsy creates a marketplace for creative entrepreneurs: Sellers focus on their craft and we do everything else Services and Tools Etsy Payments Shipping Labels Business Quickbooks Shop Manager Management Seller Handbook Platform Services and Tools Etsy sponsored PLAs to drive traffic to sellers’ shops Promoted Listings Pattern Marketing Google Shopping Services Etsy’s email marketing strategy to drive visits Sales and promotions tools for sellers Social Medial Tool Global Buyer Base Millions of visitors per month 7
… And we provide access to millions of buyers around the world Personalization Connection Made to customer specification Buyer-to-Seller relationships Product Range Trust & Reliability Secure transaction Large assortment of unique, Purchase guarantee original and vintage products from all over the world Frictionless shopping experience Buyers can search and browse over 50 million items 8
Diversified revenue stream with value-added seller services that drive revenue growth Etsy Payments • Transaction processing fee • 3-4% of the transaction total + $0.20 - $0.51 charged in local currency • Mandated for all eligible sellers Shipping Seller • Shipping Labels Services • Wholesale USPS/Canada Post/ 59%* FedEx shipping labels Marketplace • $0.20 listing fee per item • 3.5% transaction fee on goods 41%* sold Promoted Listings • On-site ad product • Cost-per-click pricing model Pattern • Custom website offering • $15/month + transaction fees Other on goods sold 0%* *Percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2017 9
Our two-sided marketplace creates a virtuous cycle $3.3B Active Buyers 33.4M GMS $2.8B 28.6M 24.0M $2.4B 19.8M $1.9B 14.0M $1.4B More Buyers More GMS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Invest in the More Sellers Annual Revenue Buyer Experience Active Sellers 1.9M 1.9M Pattern Shipping Labels $441.2 1.7M 1.7M Promoted Listings 1.6M 1.6M Etsy Payments 1.4M 1.4M Marketplace $365.0 1.1M $273.5 $195.6 More $125.0 Revenue 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 10
Our Growth Strategy 11
Our Strategy 12
2017 GMS in top Etsy categories in $ millions 800 600 400 200 Clothing & Home & Jewelry Craft Supplies Art & Paper & Accessories Living Collectibles Party Supplies Category Rank (Etsy GMS) #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 13
2017 Estimated annual spend in top Etsy categories and geographies ~$1.3 Trillion in $ billions 600 450 300 150 Clothing & Home & Jewelry Craft Supplies Art & Paper & Accessories Living Collectibles Party Supplies Category Rank (Etsy GMS) #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 ** Source: Euromonitor (March 2017), Assoc. for Creative Ind. (Jan 2017), TEFAF (2017), Hiscox (2017), IBIS 14
Etsy is well positioned to grow market share estimated spend in top $1.3T categories and top geographies United States estimated online spend Canada United Kingdom Australia $155B in top categories and top geographies France Germany $3B Estimated Etsy Market Share 2% (based on GMS) ** Source: Euromonitor (March 2017), Assoc. for Creative Ind. (Jan 2017), TEFAF (2017), Hiscox (2017), IBIS 15
Etsy is well positioned to own “special” Special shopping occasions happen frequently in our core categories and core geographies “Special” “Special” purchases span shopping a wide variety of occasions occur occasions and retail quite frequently categories. in everyday life. special “Special” …91%* allows buyers of Etsy buyers agree to express their Etsy offers items individual style. they can’t find elsewhere. *In a 2016 survey of Etsy.com buyers 16
When does special matter? Style Gifting Celebrations (me) (you) (us) 17
In 2018 we aim to win by owning “special” 2 Million Creative Entrepreneurs Human, Personal Commerce Unique Inventory 18 *Active sellers were approximately 1.93 million as of December 31, 2017
In 2018 we aim to win by delivering “special” 33 Million Thoughtful Consumers Seeking something “Special” In search for Inspiration 19 *Active buyers were approximately 33.4 million as of December 31, 2017
2018 Focus: Executing key initiatives to address opportunities Marketing Capabilities Search & Discovery Trust & Reliability Seller Tools & Services 20
Our strategy to win: Our key initiatives Secure shopping experience Traffic acquisition across all Build trust and confidence for: channels Unbranded items Empower sellers to compete Marketing with larger retailers Unbranded seller Trust and Reliability Capabilities Emails Digital Acquisition SEO Site-wide sales & promotions Conversion Rate Visit Growth ACVV Search and Discovery Frequency Expand services & tools Curated shopping experience platform for sellers Connected experience across all Increase promoted listing devices inventory Best-In-Class Enhance shipping tools Large assortment of unique Search, Discovery inventory connected to Seller Services and Continued expansion of business inspiration and Inspiration management platform Tools Continued Pattern enhancements Etsy Payments: a more frictionless payment process 21
Enhancing buyer trust and removing friction from the buying experience has increased conversion rate New Structured Return Policy Best Seller Badge 22
Enhancing the buying experience and improving search has increased conversion rate Context Specific Search Ranking Scarcity Badges 23
Acquiring, engaging and retaining buyers are critical to growing GMS Buyer Journey Search and Lasting Consideration Purchase Impressions Discovery Brand Unique Buyer Checkout Sharing the Browsing, Inspiration Transparency Perception Items Experience Process experience Buying again I’m looking for something special…… Can I find what I’m looking for? Is my purchase secure? How do I feel about Etsy? Channels Retention and Repeat Visits • Site Navigation • Trust Signals • Emails • Direct Traffic • Personalized Search • Guest Checkout • GPLA • SEO • Recommendations • Multi-shop Checkout • SEM • Social • Recently Viewed • Etsy Payments • More targeted marketing 24
Best-In-Class tools and services that our sellers need to compete Free Tools Paid Services Google Shopping enables sellers to invest in their success with product ProList inventory Etsy Payments: a more friction- listing ads helps sellers to drive traffic to less checkout experience their shops Sales and Promotions tool helps sellers to create sales and run promotions in Pattern helps sellers build custom Continued improvements to our their shops websites and manage inventory shipping labels service 25
2017 Seller Services adoption rate expanded 54% of active sellers used at least one seller service Relative sizing of Seller Services Pattern Shipping Labels Promoted Listings Etsy Payments 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Etsy Payments Promoted Listings Shipping Labels Pattern1 ~usage rate ~usage rate ~usage rate ~usage rate 50% 15% 28% 2.5% 85% of GMS +4%* Y/Y +18%* Y/Y +11%* Y/Y processed through Etsy payments *Reflects growth on an absolute basis 1Pattern was launched in April 2016, 2.5% usage represents approximately 50,000 26 active sellers as of December 31, 2017.
Multi-platform social media tool to help sellers drive traffic to their Etsy shops Sellers can leverage their Instagram, Facebook, Twitter and Pinterest social networks to build their businesses 27
Our Strategy: Etsy wants to own “special” and win everyday purchase occasions Focus on Etsy.com in our six Win “special” shopping occasions Empower the Etsy Community core geographic markets Celebrations (us) Gifting (you) 1.9 Million* Creative Entrepreneurs Style (me) 28 *Active sellers were approximately 1.93 million as of December 31, 2017
Financials 29
Healthy two-sided marketplace 25% GMS CAGR from 2013 to 2017 GMS Active Sellers Active Buyers 36M $3.4B 33.4M 28.6M 24M $2.3B 24.0M 19.8M 14.0M 12M $1.1B 1.4M 1.6M 1.7M 1.9M 1.1M 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 30
Diversified revenue mix with accelerating Seller Services revenue growth $500M Marketplace 3.5% Transaction Fee $0.20 Listing Fee Seller Services $375M Etsy Payments Promoted Listings Shipping Labels Pattern REVENUE Other $250M $125M $0M 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 31
Steady revenue growth over time 37% Revenue CAGR from 2013 to 2017 $441.2M AGR rC -Yea $365.0M % 5 37 $273.5M $195.6M $136.3M $125.0M $110.2M 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 4Q16 4Q17 32
Healthy Gross Profit and Gross Margins Gross Profit Gross Margin $290M 68.5% $242M 66.8% $177M 65.1% $122M 63.4% $92M $77M $73M 61.7% 60% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 4Q16 4Q17 33
Leveraging our OPEX base to support profitable growth 25.6% 4Q Adjusted EBITDA margin Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA Margin $60M 35% 28% $45M $34.8M 21% $30M $22.8M 14% $14.8M $15.3M $15M $14M $13.1M $12.7M $9.7M 7% 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17
Fourth Quarter 2017: Financial Results GMS Revenue Net Income Adjusted EBITDA2 $1.02B $136M $45M $35M +17.8% Y/Y +23.6% Y/Y $0.36 EPS1 25.6% margin GMS Revenue Adjusted EBITDA* $136.3M $1,019.5M $34.8M $865.2M $110.2M $106.4M $101.7M $766.4M $96.9M $719.0M $748.8M $669.7M $677.2M $85.3M $87.6M $629.9M $81.8M $22.8M $14.8M $15.3M $14.0M $13.1M $12.7M $9.7M 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 *2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1EPS reflects diluted earnings per share, basic EPS is $0.37 2Reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures is contained in the Appendix 35 *Revised to reflect the correction of an immaterial error
Full Year 2018 Guidance GMS Growth Revenue Growth Adj. EBITDA Margin* 14% - 16% 21% - 23% 20% - 22% ~$3.7B - $3.8B ~$534M - $543M ~$108M - $118M** * Reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures is contained in the Appendix. ** Based on the mid-point of 2018 revenue guidance Photo by Knobbly 36
Management Team: Extensive marketplace, tech and financial experience Josh Silverman Rachel Glaser Linda Findley Kozlowski Mike Fisher Chief Executive Officer Chief Financial Officer Chief Operating Officer Chief Technology Officer • Member of Etsy’s Board of Directors • Brings more than 30 years of senior financial • Brings more than 20 years of experience in • Manages our technology strategy helping to • Two decades of leadership experience include experience to Etsy operations, international marketing, business further scale our global platform growing consumer technology companies and • Previously at Leaf Group, where she served as development, public relations, and customer • Prior to joining Etsy, Mike was the co-founder scaling global marketplaces CFO since 2015 service and managing partner of the consulting firm • Previously served as President of Consumer • As the CFO at Move, Inc. she helped lead a • Prior to joining Etsy in 2016, Linda was COO of AKF Partners Products and Services at American Express, CEO successful sale of the company to News Evernote, where she oversaw worldwide • Mike’s career in technology has also included of Skype, and CEO of shopping.com, and held Corporation operations in offices across 7 countries the roles of Chief Technology Officer of Quigo, various executive roles at eBay Vice President of Engineering & Architecture for PayPal, and various roles at General Electric Jill Simeone Kruti Patel Goyal David Zhang Carissa Menendez General Manager, Etsy Markets General Counsel and Secretary General Manager, Seller Services Vice President, People and Workplace • Brings more than 15 years of experience in • Manages our seller services platform globally • Manages our global marketplace through • Leads Etsy’s global People team, including talent international strategic advising, compliance, overseeing development of the tools and services developing our business, product, and acquisition and management, learning and public company reporting that enable our sellers to effectively start, scale and growth strategy & engagement, Workplace, HR systems, along with the • Before joining Etsy, Jill served as Vice manage their creative businesses • Brings extensive experience launching and scaling compensation & benefits teams President, Senior Counsel and Assistant • Held many integral roles at Etsy over the past six e-commerce platforms to Etsy • Since joining Etsy in 2013, Carrissa has held roles of Secretary at American Express Global years from Business & Corporate Development, • Previously at Amazon where he served in a variety increasing responsibility and scaled our global HR Business Travel International, Marketplace Integrity and Trust & Safety of roles, including leading the consumables operations processes portfolio for Amazon subsidiary Quidsi 37
Etsy’s Value Proposition 1 2 3 Attractive platform Two-Sided $155 Billion for creative Marketplace: 1.9 estimated online entrepreneurs million active sellers, spend in top Etsy 33.4 million active categories and buyers, over 50 million geographies items; creates a strong competitive position 4 5 6 Sophisticated Strong brand Attractive financials technology platform and awareness, with significant widely respected high NPS scores margin potential engineering team and organic traffic 38
Appendix Etsy is not able, at this time, to provide GAAP targets for net income margin for 2018 because of the unreasonable effort of estimating certain non-cash items that are excluded from non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA margin, including, for example, provision or benefit for income taxes and foreign exchange gain or loss, the effect of which may be significant. 39
Reconciliation of Annual Net (Loss) Income to Adjusted EBITDA 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (in thousands) Net (loss) income ($796) ($15,243) ($54,063) ($29,901) $81,800 Excluding: Interest and other non-operating expense, net 256 549 1,202 5,502 8,736 Provision (benefit) for income taxes 854 4,983 26,069 27,025 (49,535) Depreciation and amortization 12,380 17,223 18,550 22,525 27,197 Stock-based compensation expense 3,834 5,920 8,981 13,168 19,953 Stock-based compensation expense-acquisitions — 4,130 1,860 2,733 3,904 Asset impairment charges — — — 551 3,162 Net unrealized loss on warrant and other liabilities 419 411 3,133 — — Foreign exchange loss (gain) — 3,049 21,775 14,951 (29,105) Acquisition-related expenses — 2,059 — 570 — Restructuring and other exit costs — — — — 13,897 Contribution to Etsy.org — — 3,500 — — Adjusted EBITDA $16,947 $23,081 $31,007 $57,124 $80,009 40
Reconciliation of Quarterly Net Income (Loss) to Adjusted EBITDA 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 (in thousands) Net income (loss) $1,192 ($7,311) ($2,399) ($21,383) ($421) $11,669 $25,802 $44,750 Excluding: Interest and other non-operating expense, 97 1,333 2,046 2,026 2,152 2,153 2,254 2,177 net Provision (benefit) for income taxes 13,614 4,261 4,363 4,787 (1,052) (9,437) (12,562) (26,484) Depreciation and amortization 4,731 5,103 5,786 6,905 6,938 6,660 7,022 6,577 Stock-based compensation expense 2,581 3,452 2,975 4,160 4,043 4,881 5,832 5,197 Stock-based compensation expense- 656 816 1,110 151 842 1,613 724 725 acquisitions Asset impairment charges — — — 551 — — — 3,162 Foreign exchange (gain) loss (8,120) 6,386 (1,337) 18,022 (2,780) (16,103) (8,069) (2,153) Acquisition-related expenses — — 512 58 — — — — Restructuring and other exit costs — — — — — 11,260 1,766 871 Adjusted EBITDA $14,751 $14,040 $13,056 $15,277 $9,722 $12,696 $22,769 $34,822 41
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