Year of transformation - Ipsos
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FULL-YEAR 2018 RESULTS 2018, year of transformation 28 February 2019 © 2019 Ipsos All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information 1 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018 and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
Agenda 1 2 3 4 A market in The Total 2018 Results Outlook transformation Understanding programme: Objective growth 2 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
The market is transforming: Words from our clients James Quincey, CEO Coca-Cola CHANGE IN CONSUMERS CHANGE IN THE PRODUCT OFFERING CHANGE IN METHODS “The basic motivations of consumers have “For more than a century, we were “We have to be organised to not changed that much... The big change is able to grow by offering a relatively make the best use of data, that we have gone from a world that limited range of products. Today, it's create new marketing generally suffered from food shortages to a essential that we offer broader ranges platforms, adapt our sales world of surplus. The main problem today is both in terms of price ladder and methods and still keep in touch not feeding yourself but feeding yourself product.“ with the consumer.” well.” THE POWER OF BEING LOCAL AGILITY “You have to be willing to delegate more power and “You have to multiply message forms, you have to go responsibility to the local level.” faster, you have to be willing to test and try everything, “...Today it's the people on the ground who can while working to get better as you go. We have to go into understand and adapt to consumers, who are different in 'agility' mode.“ every culture.“ 3 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018 Source: Les Echos, 15 February 2019 – « Coca-Cola doit passer en mode agile »
A volatile market increases the need for reliable data • Today, it is increasingly important to anticipate and act quickly • This increases the value of sound information 4 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Data taken from market research and surveys have certain characteristics By using statistical science and sampling, research can inexpensively produce data that provide: Accuracy Freshness Security Representativeness Predictability 4 S's Simplicity Speed Thoroughness Neutrality Substance 5 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
The explosion in Big Data highlights the relevance of market research Success depends on the usefulness of information and one’s ability to transform the data into action Data means any form of fact or Information is a form of data Knowledge is a piece of statistic that can be used because it information processed to make it has been given meaning actionable “The sun rises at 5:38.” “The sun rises in the east at “If you are lost, look towards the 5:38 and sets in the west.” rising sun to find your way again.” 6 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
A dynamic market The wider market ($76.3 billion in 2017) is growing faster, over 5% on average, and The core market ($45.8 billion in 2017) is resilient particularly includes the following segments: and growing at about 3% per year on average • Analytics; • Social Media monitoring; • Survey software. Growth of the total research market: 5,9% 5,8% 6,2% 4,3% 3,5% 3,7% 3,3% Core market 2,0% Wider market 2014 2015 2016 2017 7 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018 Sources: ESOMAR Global Market Reports
Ipsos outperforms its direct competitors MAJOR COMPANIES IN THE INDUSTRY: • often focused on the CPG sector; • sometimes overlook local markets; • less involved in services that use new technology, new uses and downstream – including decisions to be taken and aligning the teams. Implementation of TU Macro uncertainties, sector changes, New Way intrinsic factors → Return to growth → Accelerate growth ‘19-21 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 0.3% -1.0% 3.0% 2.4% 0.7% 1 4.5% N/A 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.6% -0.2% -0.9% -2.9% -1.4% 2 1 -2.0% 1.1% -1.7% -1.3% N/A Sources: Company publications, Nielsen: estimates of organic growth based on statements made by 8 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018 management during earning calls, Kantar: figures from WPP’s Data Investment Management division (1) H1 figure only, (2) 9M figure only
From data generation to full control of information TECHNOLOGY AND AUTOMATION DEFINITION OF DATA NEEDS PRODUCTION • Understanding of client • Primary data from DATA INFORMATION issues DATA ANALYSIS ADVISORY surveys and panels INTEGRATION DELIVERY • Study design • Third-party data (behavioural, social, customer, other • Analytical models • Understanding of the • Visualisation • Support clients in available data) societal context platforms taking action • Artificial intelligence • Reliability and • Storytelling relevance of data • Sector / category / segment expertise TEAM EXPERTISE 9 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
The Total Understanding programme: Objective Growth 28 February 2019 10 ©©2019 IpsosRésultats 2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Annuels 2018 Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
The pillars of Total Understanding Kick-off: 1 July 2018 Implemented by: 31 December 2018 REINFORCED CROSS- CLIENT STRONG LOCAL ACQUISITIONS SERVICE LINES COMPANY ORGANISATION PRESENCE CAPABILITIES • Ensure • Better • Greater • Science Team A • Opportunity competitiveness of management of responsibility • Tech Team A • Technology all our services our client of local markets • Ipsos Knowledge • Know-how • Use the New relationships, • Greater presence in Centre Services globally and locally key markets • Re-balance the client base among sectors 11 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
75 Services operated by 17 Service Lines SERVICE LINES CONSUMERS Contribution of audience segment DOCTORS AND PATIENTS in 2018 Revenue Audience Measurement Healthcare3 Brand Health Tracking 11% CITIZENS Clinics and Mobility Labs Public Affairs Creative Excellence 12% Corporate Reputation Innovation CLIENTS AND EMPLOYEES Ipsos UU (Qualitative)1 Ipsos MMA 16% Customer Experience 61% Retail & Consumer Intelligence Market Strategy & Understanding Observer2 Mystery Shopping Social Intelligence Analytics Quality Measurement (1) Qualitative research, excl. pharma 12 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018 (2) Excl. public sector (3) Includes quantitative & qualitative research
Pursuing innovation: New Services SERVICE LINES Each Service Line has a programme of innovation and incorporation of New Services MEASURE DIFFERENTLY Web listening, Communities, Behavioural Economics, Contribution of New Services Ethnography, Neurosciences, Consumer & Retail Audit, Mediacell Weight of New 14% Services in 13% HAVE THE DATA IN REAL TIME Mobile, Services Overnight, Enterprise Feedback revenue 11% Management (EFM). ANALYSE BIG DATA Data analytics / Data Science, Ipsos Science Center, Path to Purchase 2016 2017 2018 Organic OFFER EXPERT ADVISORY SERVICES Growth +27% + 17% +13% Market Entry Research, Workshops, Advisory services, Insight Cloud Continued momentum of the New Services in 2018 13 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Analyse big data: SERVICE LINES Radio France and France Télévisions CITIZEN INPUT ABOUT PUBLIC RADIO AND TV • 130,000 participants expressed what they want for the future of public radio & TV • Open expression via a web platform: +30 open- and close- ended questions • 400,000 transcripts, 20,000 photos, avg. 22 mins. spent per respondent • Artificial Intelligence: creation of semantic analysis algorithms • Human intelligence: reading of the fraction of transcripts contributing the most to the nature of the topics 14 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Re-balancing the client base CLIENT ORGANISATION Sector changes in 2018 reminder % of 2017 % of 2018 Organic growth by sector Revenue Revenue 29% 26% CPG -9,1% 17% 18% TMT 8,0% 13% 13% Pharma 0,1% 8% 9% Financial services 3,5% 7% 7% Public sector 5,6% 7% 7% Automotive -1,4% 19% 20% Other sectors 15 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Special attention to a dynamic sector: GAFA, CLIENT ORGANISATION platforms, mobile KEY FIGURES COMPLEMENTARY KNOW-HOW Portfolio of the 7 main TMT sector clients • Services involved, in particular: 2018 weight: 6.0% (4.5% in 2017) Brand Health Tracking, Ipsos UU, Customer Experience, Corporate Reputation, Social Intelligence Analytics, User Experience, Media Development (other Specialist Services) REVENUE GROWTH Euro millions at current exchange rates • Ipsos provides its expertise in analysing consumer 104 behaviour together with data collected in real time by 78 those clients. 58 +33.4% Organic 2016 2017 2018 16 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Local client organisation: closer to clients CLIENT ORGANISATION Client strategy • Be the client’s voice in Ipsos and the voice of Ipsos with the client Growth • Presence in all key countries (45 countries, 214 professionals) • Local experts focused on the business challenges of key clients • Increase market share Collaboration • Through more tailored services • Through a multiplication of touchpoints within the client Client relationship 17 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Developing client relationships: Škoda AUTO CLIENT ORGANISATION A CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE PROGRAMME CONDUCTED IN 30 COUNTRIES KEY FIGURES • Comprehensive client assistance SKODA − Production of new data, analyses of existing data Ipsos client since 2012 − Creation of a data reporting portal − Development of a new technology for Majority of revenue generated in Czech measuring the quality of the customer Republic experience REVENUE GROWTH − Standardisation of methods Euro millions at current exchange rates • Services proposed 2,9 2,2 − Mystery Shopping 1,7 − Enterprise Feedback Management +71% − Advisory in 2 years − Workshops 2016 2017 2018 18 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Targeting growth markets: India STRONG LOCAL PRESENCE PUBLIC AFFAIRS IN INDIA: • Large-scale polling to determine the configuration of public opinion in India before the 2019 elections: Key figures - India − prominent nationwide coverage of the study; − 34,000 individuals polled in > 700 employees 320 parliamentary districts Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore • Study of the attractiveness of Indian cities for the World Bank: 2018 weight: 1.2% − quality of life and economic attraction indices; 2018 Revenue: €21 million − 100+ Indian municipalities covered. Revenue growth: in millions of INR 1 721 1 374 +24.4% EXAMPLE OF A MAJOR FMCG SECTOR PLAYER: Organic • Setup of a global centre for product testing. 2017 2018 19 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Reinforced cross-company capabilities REINFORCED CROSS- COMPANY CAPABILITIES Apply the sciences for a better understanding of individuals and groups and measure their behaviour Science Team A Science Cutting-edge technologies to 43 years, process all data formats in 89 countries, Tech Team A 200 cities, Teams 5,000 clients, Technology Know-how 8,000 researchers Expert teams Ipsos Knowledge Centre 20 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Acquisition of GfK Research ACQUISITIONS OPPORTUNISTIC ACQUISITION COMPLETED SINCE OCTOBER 2018 2019 • Additional leadership in these • 97% of staff agreed to being • Potential in key countries segments: transferred within Ipsos • Momentum for NORM (a - Public Affairs; • Integration of staff completed virtual reality platform) - Healthcare; - Innovation; • Client relationships • Optimisation of staff and - CX and Mystery Shopping. consolidated operational capabilities • Low integration costs • Master Service Agreements Revenue impact (MEUR) transferred at 31 March 2019 180 200 • Attractive acquisition multiple: (90%) 30 0.5x sales (price: €105m) 2018a 2019e 2020e For operational reasons, 2019 will not be a full year 21 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Acquisition of Synthesio ACQUISITIONS STRATEGIC ACQUISTION MADE IN 2018 2019 • Acquisition of a recognised tech • Integration of personnel: • Maintain platform leadership leader (per Forrester & Gartner1) ‐ Product Teams concentrated • Investment in text analytics in monitoring and analysing on the platform and conversations from social technology networks ‐ Reporting Teams within Ipsos • Broadened Ipsos service offering, new services for Synthesio clients • Integration of capabilities: Social Intelligence Analytics 2019E • Double-digit 2018 growth ‐ Shared development plan Revenue: between the Data Science • Strengthens transition from single channel to a multi-channel teams €30m (+44%2) strategy incl. c.€20m for Synthesio • Price: $50m (1) Forrester Wave report – Social Listening Platforms, Q3 2018, Gartner report - Market Guides 22 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018 for Social Analytics Applications since 2013 (2) as compared to pro forma 2018 revenue with Synthesio 2018 revenue on a full-year basis
Benefits of Total Understanding • More competitive in every market segment A more specialised vs. niche players offering • Worldwide leadership A more agile • A client organisation to guarantee the value organisation of the service to the client • An organisation more in keeping with the Increased responsibility client's by local markets • Trusted partner 23 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Annual Results 2018 28 February 2019 24 ©©2019 IpsosRésultats 2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Annuels 2018 Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
Key figures FY 2018 €1,749.5 + 0.7% (4.1%) 9.9% €108 million million Currency Operating Revenue Organic growth Free Cash Flow effects margin 25 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
A stable adjusted net profit Change In millions of euros 2018 2017 2018 – 2017 Revenue 1,749.5 1,780.5 -1.7% Gross profit 1,138.4 1,156.7 -1.6% Gross margin 65.1% 65.0% - Operating margin 172.4 182.3 -5.4% Operating margin / revenue 9.9% 10.2% - Other operating income and expense (5.3) (14.3) -63.3% Finance costs (21.3) (20.4) 4.4% Income Tax (38.5) (14.6) 163% Net profit (attrib. to the Group) 107.5 128.5 -16.3% Adjusted net profit* (attrib. to the Group) 125.2 127.4 -1.7% * Adjusted net profit is calculated before (i) non-cash items covered by IFRS 2 (share-based payments), (ii) amortisation of intangible assets identified on acquisitions (client relationships), (iii) the net tax effect of other non-operating income and expenses, (iv) the non-cash effect on changes in puts in other financial income and expense and (v) deferred tax liabilities from goodwill, which in some countries can be amortised. 26 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Share of revenue by region 2018 Revenue Total growth Share Organic growth (in millions of euros) 2018 – 2017 EMEA 761.5 44% -0.8% 0% Americas 653.4 37% -5.1% -0.9% Asia-Pacific 334.6 19% 3.2% 6% Revenue 1,749.5 100% -1.7% 0.7% Including: Share Organic growth Developed countries 68% -0.8% Emerging countries 32% 3.9% 27 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Breakdown of revenue by audience 2018 Revenue Total growth Share Organic growth (in millions of euros) 2018 – 2017 Consumers1 1,059.7 61% -3.9% -0.3% Clients and employees2 287.6 16% -1% 1.3% Citizens3 205.9 12% 8.8% 7.5% Doctors and patients4 196.3 11% -0.8% -0.9% Revenue 1749.5 100% -1.7% 0.7% Breakdown of Service Lines by audience segment: 1Audience Measurement, Brand Health, Clinics & Mobility Labs, Creative Excellence, Innovation, Ipsos UU (excl.pharma), Ipsos MMA, Market Strategy & Understanding, Observer (excl. public sector), Media Development, Social Intelligence Analytics 2Customer Experience, Market Measurement, Mystery Shopping, Quality Measurement, Retail Performance, ERM 3Public Affairs, Corporate Reputation 4Healthcare (quantitative and qualitative) 28 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Cash flow statement: good free cash flow generation Change In millions of euros 2018 2017 2018 – 2017 Gross Operating cash flow 206.3 197.2 4.6% Change in WCR 3.5 (37.8) - Tax and interest expense (57.8) (60.2) -5.0% Property, plant and equipment and intangible (43.6) (18.4) x2.4 assets Free cash flow 108.1 80.8 32.5% Acquisitions (161.6) (15.0) - (Purchase) / Sale of shares 1.2 6.4 -81.3% Net change in debt 122.9 (53.3) - Dividends (37.8) (36.4) 3.8% Cash at end of period 168.8 137.3 22.3% 29 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
A solid balance sheet In millions of euros 2018 2017 Shareholders’ equity 1,035 966 Net debt 575 464 Gearing 56% 48 % Net debt (at 31/12 exchange rates) / EBITDA x2.8 x2.1 (at average exchange rates) Interest coverage x8.3 x9.7 (operating margin/interest expense) Ipsos has a good liquidity position with over 400 million euros in available credit lines, following the success of its 7-year 300 million euro bond issue (2.875% annual coupon) and the refinancing of its main bank facility of 160 million euros, for 5 years (with an option for 2 additional years), both carried out in September 2018. 30 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Breakdown by currency DEBT BREAKDOWN BREAKDOWN OF IPSOS BUSINESS ACTIVITIES Eurozone 17% EUR: 64% Other regions: 43% UK: 12% USD 36% Dollar Zone: 28% 31 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Debt by maturity SPLIT BY MATURITY Gross Debt (€M) 746 300 174 167 5 26 75 31/12/2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2024 2025 32 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Proposed dividend of 88 euro cents (+1.1%) 2018 2017 Dividend per share 0.88 0.87 Earnings per share 2.48 3.00 Adjusted earnings per share 2.88 2.98 Dividend payout 30.6% 29.2% 33 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Outlook 28 February 2019 34 ©©2019 IpsosRésultats 2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Annuels 2018 Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
2019-2021 Outlook Organic growth BALANCED CASH ALLOCATION At least at market level Annual acquisitions 3 categories: opportunities, technology and know-how 2%-4% €50M - Capex €100M Operating margin Organic and non-organic, through €35M - 10%+ to 11% continued digitisation of data €45M collection and economies of scale 2019: 10%+ 2.5x – 2021: 11% 3.0x 10% Optimized leverage 25% - Average EPS growth1 Conservative and supporting 30% growth Dividend payout ratio ATTRACTIVE GROWTH RATE (1) On diluted EPS basis, at constant currency 35 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Q&A 36 © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
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