Year of transformation - Ipsos

 
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Year of transformation - Ipsos
FULL-YEAR 2018 RESULTS

      2018, year of
     transformation

    28 February 2019
    © 2019 Ipsos All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
1    © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
    and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
Year of transformation - Ipsos
Agenda

                           1                     2                3            4
                  A market in                 The Total       2018 Results   Outlook
                transformation              Understanding
                                             programme:
                                           Objective growth

2   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Year of transformation - Ipsos
The market is transforming: Words from our clients
    James Quincey, CEO Coca-Cola
     CHANGE IN CONSUMERS
                                                                      CHANGE IN THE PRODUCT OFFERING                         CHANGE IN METHODS
     “The basic motivations of consumers have
                                                                      “For more than a century, we were                      “We have to be organised to
     not changed that much... The big change is
                                                                      able to grow by offering a relatively                  make the best use of data,
     that we have gone from a world that
                                                                      limited range of products. Today, it's                 create new marketing
     generally suffered from food shortages to a
                                                                      essential that we offer broader ranges                 platforms, adapt our sales
     world of surplus. The main problem today is
                                                                      both in terms of price ladder and                      methods and still keep in touch
     not feeding yourself but feeding yourself
                                                                      product.“                                              with the consumer.”
     well.”

     THE POWER OF BEING LOCAL
                                                                                       AGILITY
     “You have to be willing to delegate more power and
                                                                                       “You have to multiply message forms, you have to go
     responsibility to the local level.”
                                                                                       faster, you have to be willing to test and try everything,
      “...Today it's the people on the ground who can
                                                                                       while working to get better as you go. We have to go into
     understand and adapt to consumers, who are different in
                                                                                       'agility' mode.“
     every culture.“

3     © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018   Source: Les Echos, 15 February 2019 – « Coca-Cola doit passer en mode agile »
Year of transformation - Ipsos
A volatile market increases the need for
reliable data

                                           • Today, it is increasingly important to anticipate
                                             and act quickly
                                           • This increases the value of sound information

4   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Data taken from market research and
surveys have certain characteristics
By using statistical science and sampling, research can inexpensively
produce data that provide:

               Accuracy                     Freshness
                                                                                Security

    Representativeness                     Predictability               4 S's   Simplicity

                                                                                Speed

         Thoroughness                       Neutrality                          Substance

5   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
The explosion in Big Data highlights the relevance
of market research
Success depends on the usefulness of information and one’s ability to
transform the data into action

    Data means any form of fact or         Information is a form of data        Knowledge is a piece of
              statistic                     that can be used because it    information processed to make it
                                              has been given meaning                  actionable
           “The sun rises at 5:38.”        “The sun rises in the east at    “If you are lost, look towards the
                                           5:38 and sets in the west.”     rising sun to find your way again.”

6   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
A dynamic market

                                                                                       The wider market ($76.3 billion in 2017) is
                                                                                       growing faster, over 5% on average, and
     The core market ($45.8 billion in 2017) is resilient                              particularly includes the following segments:
     and growing at about 3% per year on average                                       • Analytics;
                                                                                       • Social Media monitoring;
                                                                                       • Survey software.

    Growth of the total research market:

                            5,9%                               5,8%                                                        6,2%
                                                                                              4,3%
                                                    3,5%                               3,7%                         3,3%
                                                                                                                                  Core market
                2,0%
                                                                                                                                  Wider market

                      2014                               2015                             2016                         2017

7       © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018   Sources: ESOMAR Global Market Reports
Ipsos outperforms its direct competitors
       MAJOR COMPANIES IN THE INDUSTRY:
       • often focused on the CPG sector;
       • sometimes overlook local markets;
       • less involved in services that use new technology, new uses and
         downstream – including decisions to be taken and aligning the teams.
                                                                                                                                                   Implementation of TU
                                                                                                                                                Macro uncertainties, sector changes,
                                                                                                 New Way                                                 intrinsic factors
                                                                                             → Return to growth                                    → Accelerate growth ‘19-21
                                        2014                          2015                           2016                          2017                       2018

                                            0.3%                      -1.0%                          3.0%                          2.4%                       0.7%
                                                                                                                                                                     1
                                            4.5%                       N/A                           3.1%                          1.8%                       0.8%

                                            0.6%                      -0.2%                         -0.9%                         -2.9%                       -1.4% 2
                                                                                                                                           1
                                        -2.0%                          1.1%                         -1.7%                         -1.3%                        N/A

                                              Sources: Company publications, Nielsen: estimates of organic growth based on statements made by
8    © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018     management during earning calls, Kantar: figures from WPP’s Data Investment Management division
                                              (1) H1 figure only, (2) 9M figure only
From data generation to full control of information

                   TECHNOLOGY AND AUTOMATION

              DEFINITION OF                      DATA
                  NEEDS                       PRODUCTION

     •   Understanding of client   •   Primary data from                     DATA                                               INFORMATION
         issues
                                                                                                      DATA ANALYSIS                                     ADVISORY
                                       surveys and panels                INTEGRATION                                              DELIVERY
     •   Study design              •   Third-party data
                                       (behavioural, social,
                                       customer, other         •   Analytical models         •   Understanding of the   •   Visualisation     •   Support clients in
                                       available data)                                           societal context           platforms             taking action
                                                               •   Artificial intelligence
                                                                                             •   Reliability and        •   Storytelling
                                                                                                 relevance of data

                                                                                             •   Sector / category /
                                                                                                 segment expertise

                                                                                  TEAM EXPERTISE

9    © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
The Total
                 Understanding
                  programme:
            Objective Growth

     28 February 2019
10   ©©2019   IpsosRésultats
        2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved.
                             Annuels 2018 Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
     and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
The pillars of Total Understanding
Kick-off: 1 July 2018
Implemented by: 31 December 2018

                                                                                                     REINFORCED CROSS-
                                                       CLIENT                  STRONG LOCAL                                     ACQUISITIONS
         SERVICE LINES                                                                                   COMPANY
                                                    ORGANISATION                 PRESENCE               CAPABILITIES

     •   Ensure                                 •   Better                 •   Greater                •   Science Team A    •    Opportunity
         competitiveness of                         management of              responsibility         •   Tech Team A       •    Technology
         all our services                           our client                 of local markets       •   Ipsos Knowledge   •    Know-how
     •   Use the New                                relationships,         •   Greater presence in        Centre
         Services                                   globally and locally       key markets
                                                •   Re-balance the
                                                    client base among
                                                    sectors

11       © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
75 Services operated by 17 Service Lines                                                                                                                 SERVICE
                                                                                                                                                           LINES

                CONSUMERS                                                    Contribution of audience segment         DOCTORS AND PATIENTS
                                                                                     in 2018 Revenue
                        Audience Measurement                                                                                        Healthcare3
                         Brand Health Tracking
                                                                                                 11%
                                                                                                                       CITIZENS
                       Clinics and Mobility Labs
                                                                                                                                    Public Affairs
                           Creative Excellence
                                                                                                            12%
                                                                                                                              Corporate Reputation
                                Innovation
                                                                                                                       CLIENTS AND EMPLOYEES
                        Ipsos UU (Qualitative)1

                               Ipsos MMA
                                                                                                                16%           Customer Experience
                                                                    61%                                                  Retail & Consumer Intelligence
                 Market Strategy & Understanding

                                Observer2                                                                                         Mystery Shopping

                     Social Intelligence Analytics                                                                            Quality Measurement

                                             (1) Qualitative research, excl. pharma
12   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018    (2) Excl. public sector
                                             (3) Includes quantitative & qualitative research
Pursuing innovation: New Services                                                                                   SERVICE
                                                                                                                      LINES

 Each Service Line has a programme of innovation and
 incorporation of New Services
                                                                MEASURE DIFFERENTLY
                                                                Web listening, Communities, Behavioural Economics,
 Contribution of New Services                                   Ethnography, Neurosciences, Consumer & Retail Audit,
                                                                Mediacell

 Weight
 of New
                                                         14%
 Services in
                                             13%                HAVE THE DATA IN REAL TIME
                                                                Mobile, Services Overnight, Enterprise Feedback
 revenue           11%                                          Management (EFM).

                                                                ANALYSE BIG DATA
                                                                Data analytics / Data Science, Ipsos Science Center, Path to
                                                                Purchase

                  2016                        2017       2018
 Organic                                                        OFFER EXPERT ADVISORY SERVICES
 Growth
                  +27%                       + 17%       +13%   Market Entry Research, Workshops, Advisory services,
                                                                Insight Cloud

            Continued momentum of the New Services in 2018

13    © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Analyse big data:                                                         SERVICE
                                                                            LINES
 Radio France and France Télévisions

     CITIZEN INPUT ABOUT PUBLIC RADIO AND TV
     • 130,000 participants expressed what they want for the future
       of public radio & TV
     • Open expression via a web platform: +30 open- and close-
       ended questions
     •    400,000 transcripts, 20,000 photos, avg. 22 mins. spent per
         respondent
     • Artificial Intelligence: creation of semantic analysis algorithms
     • Human intelligence: reading of the fraction of transcripts
       contributing the most to the nature of the topics

14   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Re-balancing the client base                                                                                       CLIENT
                                                                                                                 ORGANISATION

 Sector changes in 2018
      reminder
     % of 2017                     % of 2018                            Organic growth by sector
     Revenue                       Revenue
       29%                             26%                  CPG     -9,1%

       17%                             18%                  TMT                                                  8,0%

       13%                             13%              Pharma                               0,1%

       8%                               9%     Financial services                                  3,5%

       7%                               7%         Public sector                                          5,6%

       7%                               7%          Automotive                    -1,4%

       19%                             20%        Other sectors

15   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Special attention to a dynamic sector: GAFA,                                                                          CLIENT
                                                                                                                   ORGANISATION
platforms, mobile

                                                                      KEY FIGURES

        COMPLEMENTARY KNOW-HOW
                                                                      Portfolio of the 7 main TMT sector clients
        • Services involved, in particular:
                                                                      2018 weight: 6.0% (4.5% in 2017)
          Brand Health Tracking, Ipsos UU, Customer Experience,
          Corporate Reputation, Social Intelligence Analytics, User
          Experience, Media Development (other Specialist
          Services)                                                   REVENUE GROWTH
                                                                      Euro millions at current exchange rates

        • Ipsos provides its expertise in analysing consumer                                           104
          behaviour together with data collected in real time by                          78
          those clients.                                                    58                                  +33.4%
                                                                                                                Organic
                                                                           2016         2017          2018

16   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Local client organisation: closer to clients                                                     CLIENT
                                                                                               ORGANISATION

                                                                               Client strategy

     • Be the client’s voice in Ipsos and the voice of Ipsos with the client
                                                                               Growth
     • Presence in all key countries (45 countries, 214 professionals)

     • Local experts focused on the business challenges of key clients

     • Increase market share
                                                                               Collaboration
           • Through more tailored services
           • Through a multiplication of touchpoints within the client
                                                                               Client
                                                                               relationship

17     © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Developing client relationships: Škoda AUTO                                                                          CLIENT
                                                                                                                   ORGANISATION

           A CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE PROGRAMME
           CONDUCTED IN 30 COUNTRIES                            KEY FIGURES
           • Comprehensive client assistance                    SKODA
                      − Production of new data, analyses of
                        existing data                           Ipsos client since 2012
                      − Creation of a data reporting portal
                      − Development of a new technology for     Majority of revenue generated in Czech
                        measuring the quality of the customer   Republic
                        experience                              REVENUE GROWTH
                      − Standardisation of methods              Euro millions at current exchange rates

           • Services proposed                                                                2,9
                                                                                 2,2
                      −   Mystery Shopping                           1,7
                      −   Enterprise Feedback Management                                                    +71%
                      −   Advisory                                                                        in 2 years
                      −   Workshops                                 2016        2017         2018

18   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Targeting growth markets: India                                                                     STRONG LOCAL
                                                                                                       PRESENCE

     PUBLIC AFFAIRS IN INDIA:
     • Large-scale polling to determine the configuration of
       public opinion in India before the 2019 elections:           Key figures - India
              − prominent nationwide coverage of the study;
              − 34,000 individuals polled in                        > 700 employees
                320 parliamentary districts
                                                                    Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore
     • Study of the attractiveness of Indian cities for the World
       Bank:                                                        2018 weight: 1.2%
              − quality of life and economic attraction indices;    2018 Revenue: €21 million
              − 100+ Indian municipalities covered.
                                                                    Revenue growth:
                                                                    in millions of INR
                                                                                          1 721
                                                                            1 374
                                                                                                  +24.4%
     EXAMPLE OF A MAJOR FMCG SECTOR PLAYER:                                                       Organic
     • Setup of a global centre for product testing.                         2017         2018

19   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Reinforced cross-company capabilities                                                                           REINFORCED CROSS-
                                                                                                                COMPANY CAPABILITIES

                                            Apply the sciences for a better understanding of individuals
                                                      and groups and measure their behaviour
                                                                  Science Team A

                                                                       Science
               Cutting-edge technologies to                                                                 43 years,
                 process all data formats                                                               in 89 countries,
                      Tech Team A                                                                         200 cities,
                                                                       Teams
                                                                                                         5,000 clients,
                                                        Technology                Know-how             8,000 researchers

                                                                    Expert teams
                                                               Ipsos Knowledge Centre

20   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Acquisition of GfK Research                                                                                ACQUISITIONS

         OPPORTUNISTIC ACQUISITION          COMPLETED SINCE OCTOBER 2018                      2019
      • Additional leadership in these      • 97% of staff agreed to being     • Potential in key countries
        segments:                             transferred within Ipsos
                                                                               • Momentum for NORM (a
        - Public Affairs;                   • Integration of staff completed     virtual reality platform)
        - Healthcare;
        - Innovation;                       • Client relationships             • Optimisation of staff and
        - CX and Mystery Shopping.            consolidated                       operational capabilities
      • Low integration costs               • Master Service Agreements              Revenue impact (MEUR)
                                              transferred at 31 March 2019                     180        200
      • Attractive acquisition multiple:
                                              (90%)                                   30
        0.5x sales (price: €105m)
                                                                                    2018a     2019e      2020e

                                                                                For operational reasons, 2019 will
                                                                                not be a full year

21   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Acquisition of Synthesio                                                                                                                                              ACQUISITIONS

              STRATEGIC ACQUISTION                                                  MADE IN 2018                                                          2019
      •   Acquisition of a recognised tech                           •   Integration of personnel:                                        • Maintain platform leadership
          leader (per Forrester & Gartner1)
                                                                         ‐ Product Teams concentrated                                     • Investment in text analytics
          in monitoring and analysing
                                                                           on the platform and
          conversations from social
                                                                           technology
          networks
                                                                         ‐ Reporting Teams within Ipsos
      •   Broadened Ipsos service offering,
          new services for Synthesio clients                         •   Integration of capabilities:                                         Social Intelligence Analytics 2019E
      •   Double-digit 2018 growth                                       ‐ Shared development plan                                                          Revenue:
                                                                           between the Data Science
      •   Strengthens transition from single
          channel to a multi-channel
                                                                           teams
                                                                                                                                                €30m (+44%2)
          strategy                                                                                                                            incl. c.€20m for Synthesio
      •   Price: $50m

                                            (1) Forrester Wave report – Social Listening Platforms, Q3 2018, Gartner report - Market Guides
22   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018   for Social Analytics Applications since 2013
                                            (2) as compared to pro forma 2018 revenue with Synthesio 2018 revenue on a full-year basis
Benefits of Total Understanding

                                                    • More competitive in every market segment
                         A more specialised
                                                      vs. niche players
                         offering                   • Worldwide leadership

                         A more agile               • A client organisation to guarantee the value
                         organisation                 of the service to the client

                                                    • An organisation more in keeping with the
                         Increased responsibility
                                                      client's
                         by local markets           • Trusted partner

23   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Annual
                     Results
                      2018

     28 February 2019
24   ©©2019   IpsosRésultats
        2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved.
                             Annuels 2018 Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
     and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
Key figures FY 2018

            €1,749.5                           + 0.7%        (4.1%)       9.9%          €108
                million                                                                 million

                                                             Currency   Operating
            Revenue                         Organic growth                          Free Cash Flow
                                                              effects    margin

25   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
A stable adjusted net profit

                                                                                                                                                                      Change
     In millions of euros                                                         2018                                        2017
                                                                                                                                                                    2018 – 2017
     Revenue                                                                     1,749.5                                    1,780.5                                      -1.7%
     Gross profit                                                                1,138.4                                    1,156.7                                      -1.6%
     Gross margin                                                                 65.1%                                      65.0%                                          -
     Operating margin                                                             172.4                                      182.3                                       -5.4%
     Operating margin / revenue                                                   9.9%                                       10.2%                                          -
     Other operating income and expense                                            (5.3)                                     (14.3)                                     -63.3%
     Finance costs                                                                (21.3)                                     (20.4)                                       4.4%
     Income Tax                                                                   (38.5)                                     (14.6)                                      163%
     Net profit (attrib. to the Group)                                            107.5                                      128.5                                      -16.3%
     Adjusted net profit* (attrib. to the Group)                                  125.2                                      127.4                                       -1.7%
     * Adjusted net profit is calculated before (i) non-cash items covered by IFRS 2 (share-based payments), (ii) amortisation of intangible assets identified on acquisitions (client
     relationships), (iii) the net tax effect of other non-operating income and expenses, (iv) the non-cash effect on changes in puts in other financial income and expense and (v)
     deferred tax liabilities from goodwill, which in some countries can be amortised.

26      © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Share of revenue by region

                                                2018 Revenue                    Total growth
                                                                        Share                          Organic growth
                                            (in millions of euros)              2018 – 2017
     EMEA                                         761.5                 44%       -0.8%                    0%

     Americas                                     653.4                 37%       -5.1%                   -0.9%

     Asia-Pacific                                 334.6                 19%       3.2%                     6%

     Revenue                                     1,749.5                100%      -1.7%                    0.7%

     Including:                                                 Share                     Organic growth
     Developed countries                                         68%                           -0.8%
     Emerging countries                                          32%                           3.9%

27   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Breakdown of revenue by audience

                                                              2018 Revenue                                                                Total growth
                                                                                                           Share                                                             Organic growth
                                                          (in millions of euros)                                                          2018 – 2017
      Consumers1                                                  1,059.7                                   61%                               -3.9%                                -0.3%

      Clients and employees2                                       287.6                                    16%                                -1%                                  1.3%

      Citizens3                                                    205.9                                    12%                               8.8%                                  7.5%

      Doctors and patients4                                        196.3                                    11%                               -0.8%                                -0.9%

      Revenue                                                     1749.5                                   100%                               -1.7%                                 0.7%
      Breakdown of Service Lines by audience segment:
      1Audience Measurement, Brand Health, Clinics & Mobility Labs, Creative Excellence, Innovation, Ipsos UU (excl.pharma), Ipsos MMA, Market Strategy & Understanding, Observer (excl. public sector),

      Media Development, Social Intelligence Analytics
      2Customer Experience, Market Measurement, Mystery Shopping, Quality Measurement, Retail Performance, ERM
      3Public Affairs, Corporate Reputation
      4Healthcare (quantitative and qualitative)

28   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Cash flow statement:
 good free cash flow generation
                                                                         Change
     In millions of euros                            2018     2017
                                                                       2018 – 2017
     Gross Operating cash flow                      206.3     197.2       4.6%
     Change in WCR                                   3.5      (37.8)        -
     Tax and interest expense                       (57.8)    (60.2)     -5.0%
     Property, plant and equipment and intangible
                                                    (43.6)    (18.4)      x2.4
     assets
     Free cash flow                                 108.1     80.8       32.5%
     Acquisitions                                   (161.6)   (15.0)        -
     (Purchase) / Sale of shares                     1.2       6.4       -81.3%
     Net change in debt                             122.9     (53.3)        -
     Dividends                                      (37.8)    (36.4)      3.8%
     Cash at end of period                          168.8     137.3      22.3%

29      © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
A solid balance sheet

     In millions of euros                                                     2018                                    2017

     Shareholders’ equity                                                     1,035                                    966

     Net debt                                                                 575                                      464

     Gearing                                                                  56%                                      48 %

     Net debt (at 31/12 exchange rates) / EBITDA
                                                                              x2.8                                     x2.1
     (at average exchange rates)

     Interest coverage
                                                                              x8.3                                     x9.7
     (operating margin/interest expense)

     Ipsos has a good liquidity position with over 400 million euros in available credit lines, following the success of its 7-year 300
     million euro bond issue (2.875% annual coupon) and the refinancing of its main bank facility of 160 million euros, for 5 years (with
     an option for 2 additional years), both carried out in September 2018.

30     © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Breakdown by currency

                      DEBT BREAKDOWN                                   BREAKDOWN OF IPSOS
                                                                        BUSINESS ACTIVITIES
                                                                                        Eurozone 17%
                                            EUR: 64%   Other regions: 43%

                                                                                              UK: 12%
 USD 36%

                                                                Dollar Zone: 28%

31   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Debt by maturity
                                                          SPLIT BY MATURITY

                   Gross Debt
                      (€M)

                          746

                                                                                          300

                                                   174      167
                                             5                      26
                                                                              75
                     31/12/2018             2019   2020     2021   2022   2023       0
                                                                                   2024   2025

32   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Proposed dividend of 88 euro cents (+1.1%)

                                             2018    2017

     Dividend per share                      0.88    0.87

     Earnings per share                      2.48    3.00

     Adjusted earnings per share             2.88    2.98

     Dividend payout                         30.6%   29.2%

33    © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Outlook

     28 February 2019
34   ©©2019   IpsosRésultats
        2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved.
                             Annuels 2018 Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
     and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
2019-2021 Outlook
                                                                                                        Organic growth
             BALANCED CASH ALLOCATION
                                                                                                    At least at market level

           Annual acquisitions
          3 categories: opportunities, technology
          and know-how
                                                                       2%-4%
                                                           €50M -
           Capex                                           €100M                                           Operating margin
                                                                                              Organic and non-organic, through
                                                      €35M -            10%+ to 11%                continued digitisation of data
                                                       €45M                                    collection and economies of scale

                                                                                                              2019: 10%+
                                                      2.5x –                                                  2021: 11%
                                                       3.0x            10%
         Optimized leverage                                    25% -                   Average EPS growth1
         Conservative and supporting                            30%
         growth

                          Dividend payout ratio                                   ATTRACTIVE GROWTH RATE

     (1) On diluted EPS basis, at constant currency
35   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
Q&A

36   © 2019 Ipsos. Résultats Annuels 2018
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