Introduction to Carvana - May 2020 - Investor Relations | Carvana
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SAFE HARBOR Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements reflect Carvana’s current expectations and projections with respect to, among other things, our financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance, and business. These statements may be preceded by, followed by or include the words "aim," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "intend," "likely," "outlook," "plan," "potential," "project," "projection," "seek," "can," "could," "may," "should," "would," "will," the negatives thereof and other words and terms of similar meaning. Forward-looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Among these factors are risks related to the “Risk Factors” identified in Carvana’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2019 and our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for Q1 2020. There is no assurance that any forward-looking statements will materialize. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which reflect expectations only as of this date. Carvana does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments, or otherwise. Market and Industry Data This presentation includes information concerning economic conditions, the Company’s industry, the Company’s markets and the Company’s competitive position that is based on a variety of sources, including information from independent industry analysts and publications, as well as Carvana’s own estimates and research. Carvana’s estimates are derived from publicly available information released by third party sources, as well as data from its internal research, and are based on such data and the Company’s knowledge of its industry, which the Company believes to be reasonable. The independent industry publications used in this presentation were not prepared on the Company’s behalf. While the Company is not aware of any misstatements regarding any information in this presentation, forecasts, assumptions, expectations, beliefs, estimates and projects involve risk and uncertainties and are subject to change based on various factors. 2
KEY OPERATING METRICS SUCCESSFUL EXECUTION 72% YoY 89% YoY TOTAL MARKETS Growth RETAIL UNITS Growth GROSS PROFIT AT YEAR END SOLD PER UNIT CAR VENDING TOTAL NET LOSS AND MACHINES 53% YoY REVENUE ($M) 101% YoY EBITDA MARGIN Growth Growth 4 ( (*) GPU: 2018, 2019, and Q1 2020 include a $43, $31, and $10 impact from the 100K Milestone Gift, respectively ; EBITDA MARGIN: 2018, 2019, and Q1 2020 include a 0.6%, 0.4%, and 0.0% impact from the 100K Milestone Gift, respectively
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS MASSIVE, FRAGMENTED MARKET Exceptionally large and inefficient used car market SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE Simple, seamless and differentiated used car buying experience PROVEN GO-TO-MARKET STRATEGY Demonstrated, capital-light market expansion playbook VERTICAL INTEGRATION & FULFILLMENT Purpose-built vertically integrated platform ROBUST FINANCIAL MODEL Robust financial model supports growth and margin expansion 5
MASSIVE, FRAGMENTED MARKET INDUSTRY OVERVIEW Auto is… Massive Fragmented & Ripe for Disruption 43,000+ Used Car Dealerships (7) $1.0 Tn $764 Bn 1.8% 81% in 2018 U.S. Sales (1) in 2017 U.S. Used Car Sales (2) U.S. Market Share of Consumers Do Not Enjoy Largest Dealer Brand (2) the Car Buying Process (5) 20% of U.S. Retail Economy (1) 2.0% 2017 – 2022 CAGR (3) 8.6% Aggregate Market Share of 8% Consumers Rated Car Salespeople Top 100 Used Auto Retailers (4) Highly Trustworthy (6) (1) NADA Data 2018 report (2) Edmunds.com 2018 Used Vehicle Market report and Publicly-listed dealership filings (3) Technavio 2017 U.S. Used Car Market report (4) Publicly-listed dealership filings and Automotive News Top 100 Dealership Groups (5) DealerSocket 2016 Independent Dealership Action report – Represents North American consumers (6) 2015 Gallup Poll (7) Borrell Associates 6
MASSIVE, FRAGMENTED MARKET DIGITAL ECONOMY IS TRANSFORMING CAR BUYING % % % of customer would consider test drive purchases purchasing only one involve online a car online (2) vehicle (3) research (1) (1) Capgemini 2014 Cars Online report (2) Accenture 2015 Automotive Digital Survey (3) AutoTrader 2016 Car Buyer Journey report 7
SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE CARVANA'S VISION IS FOCUSED ON PROVIDING OUR CUSTOMERS WITH: Best Experience Best 10 minutes – time in Value which purchase can be $1k+ in average savings completed after vehicle per vehicle compared selection to traditional dealers As soon as Next Day car deliveries in select markets Best Selection 33,500+ cars available Note: 33,500+ vehicles available are as of March 31, 2020; $1k+ in average savings per vehicle vs. traditional dealers for full year 2019 8
SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE A SIMPLE AND SEAMLESS CAR BUYING EXPERIENCE Vehicle Search & Discovery From Any Device Intuitive vehicle search with 33,500+ vehicles available online Trade or Sell – All Online Nearly instantaneous, firm, fully automated trade-in offers Real-Time, Personalized Financing Majority of customers have chosen to finance with Carvana Seamless Transaction Technology Buy a car without leaving your device Note: 33,500+ vehicles available as of March 31, 2020 9
SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE A BETTER WAY TO SELL A CAR SIMPLE AUTOMATED Three step process: Our artificial intelligence algorithms determine a real- 1. Input license plate or VIN time offer for the customer 2. Enter vehicle details, and No Haggling 3. Answers a few questions Guaranteed for 7 days or 1,000 miles Annual Wholesale Gross Profit CONVENIENT DATA-DRIVEN per Wholesale Unit You schedule at time that’s Our vehicle data and convenient for you valuation technology enables strong gross profit per unit We pick up the car using our last-mile delivery network $422 Wholesale GPU * We’ll review and hand you a 231% y-o-y growth in vehicles check on the spot acquired from customers * * For the year ended December 31, 2019 10
SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE CREATING DIFFERENTIATED FULFILLMENT EXPERIENCES Carvana Delivery • Scheduled appointments with delivery as soon as the next day in our markets • Delivered by Carvana-uniformed employee in a branded, custom single or two car hauler, in our markets Vending Machine • Operational efficiencies combined with strong branding • 24 vending machines currently operational (1) • 2x+ growth in Nashville market penetration within two quarters after vending machine launch • Creates a unique video of the experience for customers to share via social media (1) As of May 6, 2020 11
SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE DELIVERING SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCES 4.7 53,000+ 96% 82 Customer Reviews Would Recommend Net Promoter Score Rating (1) on Carvana.com (1) To A Friend (2) (NPS) (3) “ ” “ ”“ ” Carvana will I never change the Carvana thought car way cars are is the bomb! buying could sold. be enjoyable. (1) As of March 31, 2020 (2) Through March 31, 2020, based on respondents to the question (3) Survey performed by Bazaarvoice through March 31, 2020 12
GROWING UNITS & REVENUE PROVEN EXPANSION STRATEGY Repeatable Market Entry Enabling Rapid Expansion of Proven by Success in Our Playbook Operating Markets Markets Carvana Markets at End of Period MARKET PENETRATION BY COHORT (1) 2.09% Activate Team of 161 Expansion Advocates 146 146 137 EST. MARKET PENETRATION CapEx Light 109 1.47% Market Launch 85 78 65 0.98% Connect to 56 Logistics Network 44 0.56% 39 0.46% 0.67% 30 0.35% 21 23 14 16 11 Turn on Marketing 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 9 Program Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 (1) As of December 31, 2019 13
VERTICAL INTEGRATION & FULFILLMENT SUPPORTED BY PROPRIETARY VEHICLE ACQUISITION ALGORITHM Auctions Off-Lease Customer Off-Rental Vehicles Vehicle Inventory Acquisition 33,500+ Online cars available in all Auctions & • Manheim, Adesa, Smart Auction • Enterprise, Hertz markets vs. 11-100 at typical dealers (1) Other Sources • Customers Quality • Year, Mileage, No Reported Accidents Screening • Vehicle reporting Apply Data • Market data • Carvana data (clickstream, historical sales) • Expected pricing, recon, and transport Optimization • Fit with existing inventory (1) 2016 NIADA Used Car Industry report based on 2015 data Note: 33,500+ vehicles available as of March 31, 2020 14
VERTICAL INTEGRATION & FULFILLMENT IN-HOUSE INSPECTION, RECONDITIONING & MERCHANDIZING Inspection and Reconditioning Photography and Annotation • Ability to buy all car types and recondition • 360-degree, interactive exterior and them to a consistent car quality interior virtual tour of each vehicle • Over 400k existing annual IRC capacity at full utilization* • Patented imaging technology • Transparency to the customer through • Robust processes and internal expertise annotation of material defects to set up future IRCs as needed *Based on 8 IRCs in operation as of May 6, 2020 15
VERTICAL INTEGRATION & FULFILLMENT BACKED BY IN-HOUSE LOGISTICS NETWORK Premium Fulfillment Capabilities Control over delivery times enables seamless customer experience Speed of delivery drives conversion Centralized Carvana inventory powers broad selection Logistics Network Enables vehicle • Inspection & reconditioning centers cost arbitrage • Hubs across geographies • Vending machines Connected through the hub-and-spoke Carvana Logistics Network Lower cost than using third party shipping Note: As of May 6, 2020. 16
GROWING UNITS & REVENUE RAPID SECULAR GROWTH $3,940 Revenues Retail Units ($M) Sold 177,549 $1,955 94,108 $859 44,252 $365 18,761 $130 6,523 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 17
EXPANDING GPU & OPERATING MARGINS GROWTH LEVERAGING UNIT ECONOMICS Gross Profit Key Drivers of Gross per Unit Profit Expansion Reduce average days to sale Scale provides cost of sales efficiencies Increase retail cars sourced CarMax, Inc. Gross Profit from customers Increase wholesale cars sold per Unit Increase conversion of existing products ~$3,898 (1) Lower cost of funds on financing Addition of new products and services (1) FY2019 Gross Profit plus CarMax Auto Finance net income divided by used vehicle units sold; Note: CarMax Gross Profit per Unit is not presented to imply that Carvana will achieve comparable results (*) 2018, 2019, and Q1 2020 include a $43, $31, and $10 impact from the 100K Milestone Gift, respectively 18
EXPANDING GPU & OPERATING MARGINS GROWTH SHOWING OPERATING LEVERAGE NET LOSS AND EBITDA MARGIN ADVERTISING EXPENSE PER UNIT SOLD (1) CUSTOMER ACQUISITION COST BY COHORT CUSTOMER ACQUSITION COST $1,082 $1,050 $807 $709 $1,323 $1,488 $1,034 (*) 2018, 2019, and Q1 2020 include a 0.6%, 0.4%, and 0.0% impact from the 100K Milestone Gift, respectively (1) As of December 31, 2019 19
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES INTEGRATION CREATES COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES NATIONAL CONSUMER FOCUSED BRAND FULLY LARGE SCALE TRANSACTABLE RECONDITIONING E-COMMERCE EXPERIENCE INTERNAL LOGISTICS PROPRIETARY FINANCING NETWORK PLATFORM LEADING FULFILLMENT EXPERIENCE 20
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE IN THE CURRENT MODEL Grow Current Markets Add New Markets Increase Penetration 2019 Revenue ($M) 66.9% Q4 2019 ATL YoY Growth 2.09% $3,940 58.6% 7.7% 2.09% 41.2% 19.7% 0.46% 9.7% 3.1% 1.8% Carvana Carvana Carvana Carvana 2019 Market Penetration 4Q19 Total U.S. Population Coverage Atlanta Market Penetration Across Atlanta by Year From 1st Quarter Launched to Q4 2019 146 Markets (1) Market Penetration (2) (1) Market penetration for year ended Dec. 31, 2019 across 146 total markets open as of Dec. 31, 2019 (2) Market penetration of Atlanta for quarter ended December 31, 2019 21
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES PROGRESS TOWARDS OUR FINANCIAL Long Term OBJECTIVES Target FY 2017 FY 2018 Q1 2019 Q1 2019 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2020 – YoY Revenue Growth 180% 135% 128% 101% 45% Gross Margin ** 5.3% 7.9% 10.1% 12.9% 12.6% 15 – 19% Advertising 7.4% 6.5% 5.7% 5.2% 6.8% 1.0 – 1.5% SG&A ex. Advertising and D&A ‡ 21.1% 18.2% 14.9% 13.7% 16.9% 4.5 – 5.5% D&A 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 0.5 – 1.0% SG&A Total as % of Revenue ‡ 29.8% 26.0% 21.7% 20.0% 25.1% 6 – 8% (25.5)% (19.1)% (13.0)% (9.3)% (16.7)% – Net Loss Margin † EBITDA Margin * (23.2%) (16.9%) (10.5%) (6.2%) (12.6%) 8 – 13.5% **Gift impact of 0.2%, 0.1% and 0.0% in 2018, 2019, and Q1 2020, respectively. ‡Gift impact of 0.4%, 0.2%, and 0.0% in 2018, 2019, and Q1 2020 respectively. †Gift impact of 0.6% ,0.4%, and 0.0% in 2018, 2019, and Q1 2020 respectively. * Gift impact of 0.6%, 0.4%, 0.0% in 2018, 2019, and Q1 2020 respectively 22
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES SIGNIFICANT GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES Develop New Products Improve Brand Awareness Innovate and Extend Technology Enter New Leadership Key Geographical Drive Revenue Markets Growth in Existing Markets 23
FOUNDER-LED, DEEP & EXPERIENCED TEAM Ernie Garcia Mark Jenkins Co-founder & Chief Executive Officer Chief Financial Officer Ryan Keeton Ben Huston Dan Gill Paul Breaux Co-founder & Co-founder & Chief Product General Counsel Chief Brand Officer Chief Operating Officer Officer eCommerce & Technology Data & Analytics Automotive & Supply Chain Brand & Customer Experience Tom Taira Cem Vardar Richard Ball Paul Keister EVP, Special Projects Sr. Director of Decision VP of IRCs Chief Creative Support Systems Officer Ram Akella Jeff McLellan Mike Rennie Teresa Aragon VP, Engineering Director of Sr. Director of IRC Sr. Director of Pre Sale Predictive Modeling Execution Operations and Customer Experience Paul McReynolds Michael Grantham Scott Wood Jenni Stanford Director of Product, Mobile, VP of Quantitative Sr. Director of Wholesale Sr. Director of Market and Customer Lifetime Value Marketing Operations Operations & Expansion Imran Kazi Brian Boyd Jeff Miller Jessica Querin VP of Technology VP of Inventory VP of Strategic Partnerships & Sr. Director of Operations Services Strategy Vehicle Merchandising Strategy and Analytics Christina Keiser Alex Devkar Keith Hastings Bret Sassenberg VP of Strategy VP of Product Analytics Sr. Director, Product, Sr. Director of Retail Supply Chain Development 24
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS MASSIVE, FRAGMENTED MARKET $764B 2017 U.S. 1.8% Largest dealer brand Exceptionally large and inefficient used car market Used Car Sales (1) market share in US (1) SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE 96% Customers who 4.7/5.0 Average Customer Simple, seamless and differentiated used car buying experience would recommend Rating (3) to friend (5) PROVEN GO-TO-MARKET STRATEGY Demonstrated, capital-light market expansion playbook 161 Markets (4) 2.09% Market Penetration in Atlanta (2) VERTICAL INTEGRATION & FULFILLMENT 8 Existing 24 Existing Vending Purpose-built vertically integrated platform Machines (4) IRCs (4) ROBUST FINANCIAL MODEL Robust financial model supports growth and margin expansion 101% 2019 YoY 390K+ Retail Units Sold Revenue Growth (2) Since Inception (3) (1) Edmunds.com 2017 Used Vehicle Market report and Publicly-listed dealership filings (2) Metrics as of December 31, 2019 (3) Metric as of March 31, 2020 (4) Metric through May 6, 2020 (5) Through, December 31, 2019, based on respondents to the question25
APPENDIX 26
Non-GAAP Measures To supplement the financial measures prepared and presented in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”),we also include non- GAAP measures in this presentation. None of these should be considered as a substitute for other measures of financial performance reported in accordance with GAAP. In addition, the Company’s definitions of these non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. A reconciliation of each of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure can be found at the end of this presentation. 100k Milestone Gift On September 10, 2018, we announced a commitment by our Chief Executive Officer, Ernest Garcia III ("Mr. Garcia"), to contribute 165 shares of Class A common stock to us from his personal shareholdings for every one of our then-existing employees upon their satisfying certain employment tenure requirements. In connection with these contributions, we have made corresponding grants of 165 restricted stock units under our 2017 Omnibus Incentive Plan to each employee who satisfied the requirements (the "100k Milestone Gift" or "Gift"). This program ended in 2019. Under U.S. GAAP, the 100k Milestone Gift is treated as compensation expense, a portion of which relates to the production of our used vehicle inventory and is therefore capitalized to inventory and subsequently recognized within costs of sales when the related inventory is sold. In prior periods we calculated non-GAAP measures including Gross Profit ex-Gift, Gross Profit per Unit ex-Gift, EBITDA ex-Gift, EBITDA Margin ex-Gift, Adjusted Net Loss and Adjusted Net Loss per Share, to exclude the impact of the 100k Milestone Gift program. As this program has concluded it is not material to current or future years and the adjustment is no longer included within similar calculations. For the three months ended March 31, 2020, there was approximately $0.5 million of stock based compensation related to the 100k Milestone Gift program within cost of sales, which would impact all measures. For the three months ended March 31, 2019, there was approximately $3.0 million of stock based compensation related to the 100k Milestone Gift program impacting the calculation of EBITDA ex-Gift, EBITDA Margin ex-Gift, Adjusted Net Loss, and Adjusted Net Loss per Share, including approximately $0.8 million within cost of sales impacting the calculation of Gross Profit ex-Gift and Gross Profit per Unit ex-Gift. 27
Non-GAAP Financial Reconciliation 28
Non-GAAP Financial Reconciliation 29
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