Insurance Growth Report 2022 - Navigating increasing complexity INTERACTIVE PDF - OPTIMISED FOR DESKTOP - Actuarial Post
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Insurance Growth Report 2022 Navigating increasing complexity INTERACTIVE PDF – OPTIMISED FOR DESKTOP
2 Contents 03 Overview M&A activity on 04 the up in 2021 05 Five growth drivers to watch 11 Regional focus shifting 15 Increase in cross-border deals in 2021 16 Buoyant outlook for 2022
3 Overview Sentiment across the insurance industry is markedly positive, especially in the context of events of recent years. While 2021 saw the pandemic continue to shape the economic and political landscape, rising prices across all product lines, even those perceived as difficult, generated healthy top line growth for many insurance businesses. The claims picture was relatively benign. Although there were a number of significant catastrophes, combined with some large attritional losses, there were no seismic events that would have depleted market capacity. On the flipside, inflationary pressures are starting to return and re/ insurance carriers are feeling the impact of rising costs on their operations. The war for talent has intensified post-COVID, as the industry cannibalises its own talent pool rather than look further afield. For those businesses looking to expand, the decision on whether to grow through acquisition or by building out existing operations has never been more relevant.
4 Volume of deals globally 2009-2021 M&A activity on Despite having to suffer through 300 291 282 272 289 the up in 2021 266 another year of the pandemic, 250 244 250 the global M&A market has held 225 219 222 221 206 its nerve. 200 200 192 192 201 186 186 196 197 201 197 180 170 While there are new avenues to growth 162 157 on the horizon, mergers and acquisitions 150 continue to provide attractive opportunities for insurers to grow their businesses, 100 expand into new markets and acquire new customers. Following a particularly busy second half of the year for deal-making, 50 M&A activity for 2021 as a whole was back close to the heights of 2019 levels. Deals in the Americas were up strongly year-on-year, 0 while M&A in Europe saw a marked uptick H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012 H2 2012 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021 in activity in H2 2021. However, Asia Pacific saw the number of completed transactions drop to their lowest level since 2017. Activity in the Middle East & Africa was also down compared to last year, despite a relatively strong second six months. 418 deals completed in 2021 (up from the previous year, 407)
5 Five growth drivers to watch
6 Innovation takes Insurtech companies are coming However, with regulation in this space still centre stage embryonic, without a harmonised approach into their own as engines of to regulating AI across jurisdictions, carriers growth for the insurance sector. potentially risk butting up against individual Investment flowing into the insurtech space country/state data protection laws in their keeps growing by leaps and bounds. The The US remains the most developed market use of AI. In the Middle East, for example, successful insurtechs are at a place where, for for insurtechs, with a number of firms having regulators are still relying on regulatory various reasons, they want to have that full reached a mature phase of growth where sandboxes for these activities. Whilst stack insurance company. These companies want they are now looking to acquire existing creating flexibility, this undermines certainty to grow further, go on to develop products and insurance operations to become ‘full stack’ of regulatory approach to key issues. control their destiny.” carriers, rather than becoming agencies that sell policies on behalf of other carriers. In The experience of moving to remote other regions, by contrast, the relative lack working during the pandemic has forced of insurtech unicorns means that most firms insurance businesses of all sizes to Vikram Sidhu are still too small to either partner with large overcome the issue of investment in Partner, New York insurers or acquire carriers. outdated legacy IT systems by moving to +1 212 702 6773 cloud-based solutions. This is opening up vikram.sidhu@clydeco.us Insurers are also looking to leverage opportunities for product innovation and their abundant data to find new areas of greater agility as carriers partner with tech growth, with an industry-wide push to firms on transforming their platforms. make use of innovations such as artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to improve data capture and analysis and to boost overall efficiency.
7 New business Developing ecosystems will be The anticipated growth in parametric models are insurance business could form a key part an important growth strategy of this. The growth of insurtech start-ups for insurers in the year ahead: emerging writing parametric business via an MGA Any insurer who finds the right partners and model is being paralleled by traditional builds up ecosystems that can be seamlessly identifying key services that carriers expanding their existing parametric connected with a bank or another distribution dovetail with their insurance offering across multiple business lines. partner will, in five years, be in a much better Adding a variety of data and analytics position than those who just experiment in products and integrating those providers and tech businesses to their this area.” into their customer journey. digital ecosystems will help carriers with structuring parametric triggers and A recent McKinsey study on the value of facilitating payments on parametric policies. digital ecosystems suggested they could Eva-Maria Barbosa account for around EUR60 trillion in revenue Partner, Munich globally by 2030. +49 89 244420101 eva-maria.barbosa@clydeco.com While the insurance sector is firmly on the path to digitalization following the move to remote working during the pandemic, those who don’t take full advantage of digital platforms, and access to innovations such as automation, data analytics and modelling are likely to be left behind.
8 Build, buy Alongside, or as an alternative Growth in M&A activity has been or both? accompanied by an increased appetite for to acquisitions, insurers are also warranty and indemnity (W&I) insurance. pursuing a number of avenues The Middle East, in particular, is emerging Brexit is acting like a slow puncture for the as a growth W&I market as awareness of the London market. The UK branches are gradually for generating organic growth. product grows, and European W&I carriers getting smaller as business migrates to Europe. have had two record years in a row. The more As regulation gets ever more complex, so does As well as the development of parametric mature US W&I market also offers significant the ability to do business on a global basis – and insurance products across a range of room for growth. Brexit has highlighted this.” business classes, which promises to be a significant opportunity, other product Following Brexit, many UK insurers are innovations include coverage for the growing looking to expand representative offices use of telemedicine, a renewed focus on in Europe into fully-licensed subsidiaries, Ivor Edwards renewable energy solutions driven by ESG to meet Continental demand for specialty Partner, London imperatives, and emerging risk solutions for capacity. For the London market, however, +44 (0) 20 7876 4162 climate change-related exposures. this represents less of an opportunity than a ivor.edwards@clydeco.com drain of capacity into Europe. In the cyber market there has been a continuing expansion of cyber insurance operations and capacity, driven in part by the proliferation of data protection regulations around the world. China and the UAE are examples of jurisdictions that have introduced new cyber security and data privacy legislation in recent months.
9 Run-off business The legacy market remains In the Middle East, strong appetite for proliferating portfolio transfers as a means of divesting a popular choice for the assets continues to build momentum for divestment of non-core assets, worldwide the realistic prospect of a standalone run- Run-off is becoming a hot topic. I’ve had off market in the region. While appetite more conversations with international run-off whether from P&C carriers and among buyers and sellers, as well as specialists around accessing the market in this banks selling off life insurance investors in legacy operations, is buoyant, region in the last 12 months than ever before. the region’s regulators are still some way off This year we will see much more discussion with divisions, or the spin-off of from delivering a workable framework for regulators and increased activity for the purpose underperforming classes of run-off business. of run-off.” business or subsidiaries due to In the US, run-off players still have plentiful market conditions. capital available to conduct legacy deals. A growing number of carriers are thinking Peter Hodgins The legacy market remains a popular choice about how best to position themselves Partner, Dubai for the divestment of non-core assets, for growth, post-pandemic, with strategic + 971 4 384 4000 whether from P&C carriers and banks selling disposals being considered as a route to peter.hodgins@clydeco.com off life insurance divisions, or the spin-off freeing up capital. of underperforming classes of business or subsidiaries due to market conditions. In Europe, the overhaul of Solvency II regulations is putting a lot of pressure on insurers to change their approach to both underwriting and investments, to align themselves with climate change goals, as regulators look to restrict access to capital relief measures for insurance business stemming from carbon-intensive industries.
10 A wider range Bancassurance continues to While launching start-up operations of distribution remains challenging in the current economic be a growth market in Europe climate, the exit of capacity from some and Asia, notwithstanding the channels markets is being matched by the licensing Partnerships between insurance and non- of new players – notably in the Middle East insurance businesses is a major growth area, retrenchment of banks from life where the DIFC has seen a number of new because when customers have a relationship insurance business. underwriting vehicles established, including with an existing business, they think of it Lloyd’s syndicates. Licensing has also been holistically. That kind of offering makes sense Banking firms are continuing to have great a route to expanded distribution in Asia, as from the customer’s perspective. However, it’s success in selling insurance through apps carriers look to set up in Hong Kong rather also a space the regulators are scrutinising and online portals. However, while this than acquiring existing operations. very carefully.” represents a good growth opportunity for carriers it also requires a different Strategic alliances between insurers and partnership structure, with insurers needing non-insurance business are also strongly to invest heavily in additional capabilities, in evidence, whether with bricks-and- Joyce Chan such as data analytics and improvements to mortar retailers, e-commerce platforms or Partner, Hong Kong the online customer journey, to be able to technology firms. +852 2287 2752 service this business. joyce.chan@clydeco.com The MGA market continues to grow, particularly around insurtech platforms. Strategic alliances between between carriers and MGAs offer the former an easier route to white-labelling new products than launching their own new platforms.
11 Regional focus shifting
12 Regional focus Percentage of deals by region 60 Despite a growing number of shifting deals in Europe in 2021 the 50 48.9 market still remains depressed 40 post pandemic. 33.4 30 There is lots of interest from potential buyers but there simply are not enough 20 suitable targets. In contrast, general market 10.9 sentiment in the US – once again the world’s 10 5.4 most active market for M&A by some margin – is more buoyant, which propelled 0 H2 2021 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012 H2 2012 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 the country’s deal total in 2021 to a six- year high. We expect this strong appetite for deal-making to endure in the coming Americas Europe APAC Middle East & Africa year. Meanwhile, in Asia Pacific, the ongoing impact of COVID-19 continues to dampen appetite for M&A, and significant caution Region 2020 2021 %change Increase in mega deals coming to market around making investments will remain for Global 407 418 +2.7% the foreseeable future. Although the first – In 2021 there were 25 deals valued at over USD 1.0 Americas 192 224 +16.7% half of 2021 saw very few deals in the Middle billion versus 20 in 2020 Europe 103 125 +21.4% East and Africa, there was a notable uptick APAC 75 41 -44.0% – Geographic spread of big spenders in activity in the second six months and we MENA 32 17 -46.9% expect this trend to continue with further – Eight acquiror nationalities among the top 20 largest deals through 2022. deals by value versus 13 in 2020. Region H1’21 H2’21 %change – Last year the US had six and France and South Korea Global 197 221 +12.2% two each Americas 116 108 -6.9% UK hosts biggest deal of 2021 Europe 51 74 +45.1% – Regent Bidco Ltd’s takeover of RSA Insurance Group APAC 18 24 +33.3% PLC for USD 9.2 billion was the largest deal of 2021 MENA 5 12 +140%
13 160 Volume of deals in Europe 2009 - 2021 144 140 138 119 120 98 Activity in 98 100 87 85 88 Europe picks up 80 77 74 74 69 79 67 60 65 65 63 61 59 60 54 55 53 53 50 51 40 20 • Most active countries in Europe by number 0 of deals: UK 37, France 19, Spain 15 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012 H2 2012 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021 160 Volume of deals in Americas 2009 - 2021 140 132 136 129 122 120 116 107 108 102 104 102 Deals in the 99 97 100 95 93 89 90 92 89 90 83 84 86 Americas at 81 80 77 71 62 six-year high 60 40 20 • Most active countries in the Americas by number 0 of deals: US 180, Canada 17, Bermuda 15 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012 H2 2012 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
14 80 Volume of deals in APAC 2009 - 2021 70 60 52 52 M&A in Asia 50 Pacific at 38 40 38 38 35 37 36 36 34 33 33 31 four-year low 29 30 28 27 26 26 26 25 23 22 24 21 20 18 20 10 • Most active countries in APAC by number of deals: 0 Japan 17, Australia 6, India 4 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012 H2 2012 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021 18 Volume of deals in ME&A 2009 - 2021 17 16 16 15 14 13 12 12 12 12 Mixed year for 11 11 10 10 10 deal-making in 9 9 8 8 7 7 the Middle East 6 8 5 5 & Africa 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 • Most active countries in the Middle East and Africa 0 by number of deals: Israel 4, Kuwait 4, UAE 2 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012 H2 2012 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
15 Increase in In 2021, there was a 9% increase Percentages and directions of cross-border deals cross-border in mergers and acquisitions 5% involving foreign targets. deals in 2021 2% Cross border deals accounted for 22% of the global total of completed deals, compared 35% 43% to 21% the previous year, with the US and the UK remaining the two most popular 12% destinations with 21 and nine inbound 21% 0% transactions respectively. Interest from North 0% American buyers in European targets was up, 0% accounting for 35% of outbound M&A from 17% the region, compared to 24% in 2020. There 0% was also a noticeable rise in traffic going the other way with investment from Europe into 43% North American targets up from 3% to 21% year-on-year. However, Americas’ investors pulled back from Asia as the percentage of deals fell from 14% in 2020 to just 5% in 2021. The number of cross-border deals involving Asian acquirors was relatively muted, in line with broader sentiment in the region, with those deals that did get over the line principally involving US and UK targets. 93 60% completed cross-border deals of cross-border deals in in 2021, up from 85 in 2020. 2021 were intra-region.
16 Buoyant outlook Re/insurers have remained We expect that M&A activity will remain for 2022 buoyant and that completed deals will resilient in the face of global exceed 200 worldwide in the first half of economic pressures, having 2022, rising above 220 for the second half of the year. come out the pandemic very strongly in both underwriting There will be some regional variations, with a continued lack of suitable acquisition targets and investment terms, and in markets like Europe and Asia, in spite of are positioning themselves continued interest from strategic buyers and private equity. However, the MENA region is for a more growth-oriented expected to see a burgeoning M&A market environment in the next year this year, with more activity in GCC countries than has historically been the case. Notable and beyond. amongst potential acquirors in the US will be the more mature insurtech firms, who are looking to acquire existing carriers. But there are some clouds on the horizon. There are signs that market hardening is In some regions, the run-off market is likely slowing down at least in certain classes, to benefit from strategic disposals as carriers which will have an inevitable impact on look to position themselves for a new era of re/insurers’ balance sheets. Regulatory economic growth. At the same time, portfolio complexity is increasing, as too is the cost transfers remain a viable source of growth of compliance. In addition, the increasing for companies who are reluctant to commit possibility of interest rate rises is a double- to full-blown acquisitions. edged sword that will lift investment returns but restrict the availability of capital to fund However, re/insurers will continue to seek acquisitions. Those positioning themselves innovative solutions to the perennial issue of for M&A activity may seek to accelerate their generating growth, with a range of alternative plans as a result. options to acquisitions being deployed.
17 Contributors Vikram Sidhu Eva-Maria Barbosa Partner, New York Partner, Munich +1 212 702 6773 +49 89 244420101 vikram.sidhu@clydeco.us eva-maria.barbosa@clydeco.com Ivor Edwards Joyce Chan Partner, London Partner, Hong Kong +44 (0) 20 7876 4162 +852 2287 2752 ivor.edwards@clydeco.com joyce.chan@clydeco.com Peter Hodgins Mark Williamson Partner, Dubai Partner, Guildford + 971 4 384 4000 +44 20 7876 5341 peter.hodgins@clydeco.com mark.williamson@clydeco.com
440 Partners 1,800 Lawyers 4,000 Total staff 50+ *includes associated offices Clyde & Co LLP is a limited liability Offices worldwide* partnership registered in England and Wales. Authorised and regulated by the Solicitors Regulation Authority. © Clyde & Co LLP 2022 www.clydeco.com 2098861 - 02 - 2022
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