IMPROVING BATTERIES THROUGH SELF-HEALING SILICON ANODES

 
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    IMPROVING BATTERIES THROUGH SELF-HEALING SILICON ANODES
                           Raul Casas RAC198, Andrew Buonanno APB57, Josh Briggs JMB431

Abstract—Constructing more efficient batteries has emerged                  CURRENT LITHIUM-ION BATTERY
as a crucial prerequisite in the process of making new                             TECHNOLOGY
technologies viable, such as electric cars. When considering
how to improve upon current batteries, factors like energy-
density, cost, and safety are key. This means manufacturers                  Lithium-ion batteries are the current standard for battery
can increase energy output from each battery, resulting in             technology. Lithium is lightweight and has massive
increased driving range and fewer batteries necessary. For             electrochemical potential, which leads to higher possible
consumers, this means a more viable alternative to gas or              voltages than previous batteries using nickel [1]. There are
hybrid vehicles.                                                       other options for batteries, but they are outdated or flawed.
      Replacing the widely-used carbon graphite anode with a                 The closest competitor for lithium-ion batteries is the
silicon based self-healing anode is a possible solution. This          Nickel Metal-Hydride (NiMH) battery, but in application the
paper will discuss how this switch could improve energy-               lithium-ion battery is by far the most effective option in
density by a factor of ten; however, during the charging and           electric vehicles, a growing market. The future of the electric
discharging cycle, silicon expands over four times its initial         vehicles market is heavily reliant on improving batteries to
size, which leads to detachment from surrounding electrical            yield better driving range and reduce cost. When compared to
connections and pulverization of the silicon anode. Over time,         NiMH batteries, there are several key advantages of lithium-
this decreases efficiency, lifespan, and charge capacity.              ion batteries. Although they have similar energy storage,
Currently, silicon is used in small amounts with the carbon            NiMH batteries are much heavier and have shorter lifespans,
graphite anode to improve energy-density, but it is difficult to       usually caused by the memory effect, which limits the
add more silicon without managing the anode’s expansion.               battery’s future charge capacity when recharged before the
      This paper will evaluate possible methods to incorporate         existing charge is completely used [2]. The memory effect has
more silicon into battery anodes. The primary focus will be            consequences, especially in electric vehicles. If the battery is
on the use of various self-healing polymers to create a binder         not drained of all charge before recharging repeatedly,
or casing that restricts the silicon’s expansion. During               crystals begin to form and reduce the NiMH battery’s charge
experimental trials, batteries using self-healing binders have         capacity [3]. When an electric vehicle is charged after each
shown the potential to endure many charge and discharge                use without a periodic complete discharge, the crystallization
cycles, while taking advantage of silicon’s charge capacity            occurs. This effect also occurs if the battery is overcharged.
advantage over graphite. Other methods to make silicon                 This phenomenon is known as the memory effect because it
anodes a possibility will also be considered. This paper will          is the result of the battery remembering previous energy
focus on comparing methods of integrating more silicon into            output and not delivering more than that on subsequent uses.
anodes with the results compared to carbon graphite anodes                   NiMH batteries have a specific energy of 50-64 Wh/Kg,
and will evaluate the impact of silicon anodes with a focus on         but lithium-ion batteries have a specific energy of around 90
the application for electric vehicles.                                 Wh/Kg. Lithium-ion batteries have a specific power twice
                                                                       that of the NiMH battery. Predictions by Aditya Prabhakar, a
Key words- carbon graphite anode, electric cars, lithium-ion           graduate student at Missouri University of Science and
battery, silicon anode, self-healing polymer                           Technology, and Mehdi Ferdowsi, a professor researching
                                                                       plug-in hybrid electric vehicles at Missouri University of
                                                                       Science and Technology, state that the switch from NiMH to
                                                                       lithium-ion batteries provides a 40-50% weight reduction, a

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IMPROVING BATTERIES THROUGH SELF-HEALING SILICON ANODES
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20-30% battery volume reduction, and an increase to                      graphite’s charge capacity of 372 mAh g-1. The result is a
efficiency [4].                                                          battery that can store much more charge.
      Additionally, lithium-ion batteries may eventually be
the cheaper option over time. In 2007, the NiMH battery was                          LIMITATIONS OF SILICON ANODES
cheaper, but the price of nickel has been rising since 1958.
Rising nickel price combined with an increasingly efficient                    The problem with using a pure silicon anode is that
mass production of lithium-ion batteries in gigafactories                during the charging and discharging cycle, the anode expands
could result in a turning point in pricing [5]. Cost is a massive        over four times its initial size. This is due to an improved
consideration for electric vehicles. It is estimated that the            lithiation ability over graphite. For every one silicon atom, 4.4
battery cost for Tesla Model 3 is around 37% of the vehicle              lithium atoms can be bound to form Li22Si5 [9]. For every one
cost. Taking advantage of economies of scale for production              carbon atom, .17 lithium atoms can be bound to form LiC 6.
while nickel prices continue to rise is important. Lithium-ion           The difference in ratios is the main cause of silicon’s immense
batteries also have a longer lifespan with a typical life of 500-        expansion compared to carbon. This expansion can cause
1,000 cycles, rather than 300-500 cycles for NiMH batteries              reduced contact with the electrode and other connectors,
[2]. In this case, the lifespan is defined as the number of              which reduces efficiency, and damages the silicon in the
charging cycles before dropping below 80% of the initial                 anode, which shortens the lifespan and reduces charge
capacity. NiMH batteries also experience up to 30% self-                 capacity. This also causes an unstable solid electrode interface
discharge per month, while lithium-ion batteries experience              (SEI) layer to form on the anode [10]. This occurs primarily
10% self-discharge per month. Since electric vehicles may sit            during the first charging cycle but continues to affect the
between charges, this is an important metric.                            battery through subsequent cycles. The formation of an SEI
      In application, such as electric vehicles, these effects are       greatly reduces the charge capacity. This creates internal
amplified due to the scale of the batteries required for electric        resistance. Reducing the SEI formations is an important
cars. Because of this, lithium is essential in current batteries.        consideration for developing a silicon anode. This is a
Attempts at improving batteries further would require total              manageable problem, though. Fluoroethylene carbonate is a
changes in either composition, such as solid state batteries, or         common additive to the electrolyte of a battery. Its presence
utilizing different chemistries. These ideas are far from being          creates a thinner SEI formation on the anode with a lesser
cost-effective and require more research. Thus, when                     impact on the battery’s efficiency. Thus, being able to control
improving batteries, the next logical step is to look at the             the silicon’s expansion or minimize the effects becomes the
anode.                                                                   focus for further analysis.
      Graphite anodes are currently the most popular choice
for the lithium-ion anode. These anodes are low-cost, long-                           SELF-HEALING POLYMERS
lasting, and utilize a relatively high reversible capacity of 372
mAh g-1 [6]. So, further improving the graphite anode could                    One method of restricting silicon’s expansion during the
be crucial for technological advancements.                               charging and discharging cycle is by using self-healing
                                                                         polymers as a binder to limit the expansion [8]. Self-healing
               NEW ANODE TECHNOLOGY                                      materials are defined as having the ability to heal damages
                                                                         automatically and autonomously, or without human
      One current procedure for improving batteries is adding            intervention [11]. Further, there are intrinsic self-healing
small amounts of silicon to improve performance. George                  polymers that require a stimulus to be activated [12]. Their
Crabtree, director of the Joint Center for Energy Storage                counterpart, extrinsic self-healing polymers, utilize a healing
Research, estimates that upwards of 10% of current lithium-              agent that is encapsulated and embedded into the polymer
ion anodes are silicon [7]. In 2015, Elon Musk stated that the           during the manufacturing stage. Intrinsic and extrinsic
Tesla Model S would use silicon in batteries to improve the              systems are both currently in use as self-healing polymers for
driving range by six percent. Small improvements to current              anodes.
technology by using silicon have already shown immense                         The process of self-healing, regardless of the type,
potential impact when applied to electric vehicles.                      occurs in three stages [13]. First, a triggering must occur that
      Based on current lithium-ion batteries, developing                 begins the process. This stage is a direct effect of the damage
methods to increase the amount of silicon in the anode is a              incurred. The second stage is the transport of materials to the
clear pathway toward an improved battery capable of                      damaged site. The final stage is the resulting chemical
sustaining technological growth. Compared to the current                 reaction that heals the damage. This final stage is where the
graphite carbon anodes, pure silicon anodes could                        various types of self-healing polymers vary. The process of
theoretically increase charge capacity by a factor of ten [8].           capsule-based self-healing is extrinsic and limited to one use
Silicon has a charge capacity of 4,200 mAh g-1, compared to              in theory. Capsules are embedded in the material, so a damage
                                                                         to the material ruptures the local capsules and releases a

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healing agent. Additionally, vascular self-healing materials
rely on a network of capillaries that allow the healing agent to
flow throughout the material in an extrinsic system. This
concept can have multiple uses, and it also has the benefit of
being able to inject more healing agent to the system. Last,
an intrinsic system may use intermolecular forces, such as
hydrogen bonding in organic compounds. Because many of
these intrinsic systems use reversible reactions, the self-
healing capabilities are not limited to one use. Intrinsic
systems are the most popular option for creating a binder that
serves to contain the expansion of the silicon anode because
cracking occurs everywhere on the binder.
                                                                                                    Figure 1 [14]
HOW SELF-HEALING POLYMERS WORK                                                    Benefit of a self-healing binder surrounding a
      WITH SILICON ANODES                                                                           silicon anode

                                                                             Figure 1 shows the benefit of the self-healing polymer
      Since there are clear, quantitative benefits to using a
                                                                       used in the study compared to traditional polymer binders,
silicon anode, the next step is to evaluate various methods to
                                                                       such as polyvindylidene fluoride (PVDF), sodium
make the silicon anode viable, and to balance the benefits of
                                                                       carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC), and alginate binders, each
improved charge capacity with charge retention. For intrinsic
                                                                       common in graphite anodes. These do not need to expand as
systems, the self-healing polymers each rely on different
                                                                       much due to graphite not experiencing expansion to the same
intermolecular forces and dynamic bonding between silicon
                                                                       extent as silicon. They can only be stretched to 10%, 4%, and
nanoparticles and the organic binder. They all have similar
                                                                       2%, respectively. This means that none of them are a
healing capabilities, so comparisons based mainly on
                                                                       reasonable option for use with silicon anodes. Wang’s
quantitative data are fair.
                                                                       composite polymer can be subjected to 100% stretching. The
                                                                       anode used in trials has a charge capacity of 2,617 mAh g-1.
                   Analysis of Hydrogen Bonding
                                                                       This is six times larger than the theoretical capacity of
                                                                       graphite. After 20, 50, and 90 cycles, the anode coated in
      Wang et al. describes a silicon microparticle (SiMP)
                                                                       Wang’s composite experienced 100%, 95%, and 80%
anode with self-healing properties that is readily available,
                                                                       capacity retention, respectively. PVDF, CMC, and alginate-
low-cost, has a life cycle ten times longer than state-of-art
                                                                       coated anodes had 14%, 27%, and 47% capacity retention,
anodes made from SiMPs, and retain a capacity upwards of
                                                                       respectively, after just 20 cycles. This research lays the
3,000 mAh g-1 [14]. The self-healing binder relies on
                                                                       groundwork for self-healing polymers providing significant
hydrogen bonding in this case. The anode in this experiment
                                                                       improvements in lifespans for batteries. Based on the
is 50% silicon by weight, which is an immense improvement
                                                                       improved life cycle of this composite over binders used with
over the projected 10% silicon by weight currently in lithium-
                                                                       graphite anodes, it will now become the benchmark for future
ion batteries. The self-healing coating uses a stretchable layer
                                                                       comparison.
of self-healing polymer with dynamic bonding and
conductive carbon black nanoparticles. This creates a
                                                                                            Analysis of Ionic Bonding
repeatable and autonomous healing process with conductive
properties. The researchers use a synthesized, randomly-
                                                                             Kang et al. takes a different approach to the development
branched hydrogen-bonding polymer. The hydrogen bonds
                                                                       of the self-healing binder [8]. Kang references various studies
are dynamic in this case. Figure 1 depicts the intrinsic self-
                                                                       where dynamic ionic bonding has shown usefulness in self-
healing system compared to traditional binders used with
                                                                       healing materials. Kang and his team developed a polymer
graphite anodes. The self-healing binder keeps the silicon
                                                                       made with amine functionalized silicon (Si-NH2), carbon
interlocked to preserve lithiation ability and conductivity.
                                                                       black as a conductive filler particle, and poly(acrylic acid)
Through this process, the anode is healed and maintains its
                                                                       (PAA). These are mixed with water and stirred. Once the
charge capacity over longer durations.
                                                                       mixture is dried, the electrode is formed. Kang proves the
                                                                       ionic bonding of ammonium carboxylate salt at the boundary
                                                                       between silicon nanoparticles and PAA. The created Si-
                                                                       NH2/PAA anode relies heavily on this ionic bonding, which
                                                                       can be increased by a heavier coating of amine groups.

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      The initial Coulombic efficiency of the Si-NH2/PAA              that is injected into the silicon anode [15]. This is an extrinsic
anode is 75%. For CMC and PAA binders without the amine               system with vascular characteristics. Although more
functional group, the initial Coulombic efficiencies are 70%          restrictive on charge capacity than the binders, the proposed
and 76%, respectively. Last, the researchers used a control of        anodes are still an improvement over graphite anodes. The
silicon nanoparticles functionalized with surface methyl              claimed benefits are increased life span due to the alloy
groups and a PAA binder. The addition of methyl groups                possessing self-healing properties, reduced stress on the
limits the intermolecular forces to being weak van der Waal           anode due to the injection being liquid, and improved
interactions. For the control, the initial Coulombic efficiency       conductivity compared to the self-healing polymer binders.
is only 58%.                                                          The theory is that nanostructures have inactive elements that
      Next, the researchers cycled the different batteries at a       contribute extra weight, extra volume, and unnecessary
current density of 2.1 A g-1. The Si-NH2/PAA results show a           reactions with the electrolyte. To support the claim of a longer
capacity retention of 80% at 400 cycles. The discharge                life span, Wu states that there is no obvious decay over 1,000
capacity was 1,177 mAh g-1 at the end of 400 cycles. For the          cycles. Although this anode is only 33% silicon by weight, it
CMC and PAA binders, where only hydrogen bonding is                   is impressive to control the expansion to achieve such a
possible with the silicon, the capacity retention is only 35%         reduction in capacity fade over many more cycles than studied
after 400 cycles. Last, the control group shows capacity              with Kang’s anode. The liquid metal, a silicon-gallium alloy,
retention of 5% after 400 cycles. The resulting conclusion is         is more conductive than carbon materials or organic
that stronger intermolecular forces between the silicon               polymers. Adding silicon to a more conductive liquid metal
nanoparticles and the binder yield improved capacity                  material than graphite yields better charge capacity and adds
retention due to the ability of the binder to interact when the       healing effects. To compare to Kang’s study, however, when
silicon fractures. Thus, ionic bonding yields the best healing        used at 2 A g-1, the battery has a charge capacity of only 670
effects on the anode.                                                 mAh g-1. Being greater than the theoretical capacity for pure
      In addition, the Si-NH2/PAA contained 10%                       graphite anodes, this is an option to consider due to its
fluoroethylene carbonate by weight to control the SEI                 longevity; however, from a charge capacity perspective, the
formation. This reacts with the amine functional groups in the        anode in Si-NH2/PAA anode is a much better option. Over
Si-NH2/PAA binder. The SEI is stable, and the resistance due          1,000 cycles, the Coulombic efficiency is 99.3%. The
to the SEI is consistently around 40 ohms. Without the amine          minimal capacity fade over a long period of use is vital to
functional group and the resulting ionic bonding, the                 being useful in application.
resistance peaks at roughly 180 ohms. Since much of the                     Wu ran another trial with 66% silicon by weight. This
capacity fade from SEI occurs in the first cycle, the Si-             resulted in an initial capacity of roughly 2,000 mAh g-1, but
NH2/PAA binder has minimal initial fade compared to its               after just 300 cycles, the charge capacity dropped to 584 mAh
counterparts without the amine functional group. This is              g-1. Since Wu’s 66% silicon by weight is similar to Kang’s
important for longevity and consistency in the battery.               60% silicon by weight anode, a direct comparison is fair. The
      Comparing this to Wang’s the aforementioned study               liquid metal has significant capacity fade. After 400 cycles,
shows the importance of the Si-NH2/PAA binder. First,                 Kang’s battery had over twice the charge capacity as Wu’s
Wang’s composite was studied with a .4 A g-1 current density          battery did after 100 fewer cycles.
[14]. This is much lower than the current density used by                   In this sense, Kang’s Si-NH2/PAA anode is the better
Kang (2.1 A g-1). The lower current density reduces the               option for electric vehicle application in terms of driving
silicon’s expansion and the deleterious effects resulting from        range, but Wu’s battery with 33% silicon by weight may be
prolonged use. Therefore, maintaining 80% capacity retention          overall better in application for electric vehicles due to the
with the Si-NH2/PAA binder after 400 cycles at the higher             minimal capacity fade after 1,000 cycles. Increased longevity
current density is much more impressive than 80% after 90             means less maintenance is necessary regarding the vehicle’s
cycles for the first composite at the lower current density.          batteries, but driving range is sacrificed.
Furthermore, the anode in Wang’s study was 50% silicon by
weight; the anode in Kang’s study was 60% by weight. With                    CONSIDERING SILICON ANODES
more silicon in the anode, resulting in more fracturing, but
overall improved longevity, Kang’s Si-NH2/PAA binder is a
                                                                             WITHOUT A POLYMER BINDER
clear improvement on composites utilizing hydrogen
bonding.                                                                    Because silicon anodes pulverize or show signs of
                                                                      damage after the first cycle, finding data to compare for a
        Liquid Metal: An Alternative to Polymers                      benchmark is difficult. However, Dose et al. discusses this in
                                                                      “Capacity Fade in High Energy Silicon-Graphite Electrodes
     Wu et al. describes another type of self-healing silicon         for Lithium-Ion Batteries.” They use approximations to
anode that uses liquid metal, an alloy of gallium and silicon,        isolate the silicon’s decay. In a 15% silicon by weight graphite

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anode with an initial charge capacity of roughly 860 mAh g -            charge densities, and typically require little to no
1
  , the capacity retention after 100 cycles is around 75% [16].         maintenance.
Over a test of 1,000 cycles, the capacity retention is down to                However, as previously examined, most current lithium-
around 41%. From the battery used in the study, Dose                    ion batteries use graphite anodes. These batteries need to be
assumes that the graphite components had “little fade,” so the          improved in order to be more efficient and cost-effective for
silicon components are assumed to account for the decline               the mass market. In reference to an article by the Royal
from 61% capacity retention after 400 cycles to 46% capacity            Society of Chemistry titled “Lithium-ion Batteries: A Look
retention after 1,000 cycles.                                           into the Future,” to ensure a driving range of 150 km with a
       Isolating the data from 400 cycles and comparing to the          single charge for a common sub-compact passenger car, the
battery with a polymer binder yields interesting results. The           battery would have to weigh over 160 kg based on the current
unrestricted silicon’s 61% capacity retention, observed by              average lithium-ion energy density [19]. This is impractical
Dose, compared to 80% capacity retention, observed by                   when options exist to make the batteries more efficient. A
Kang, if a self-healing binder is used appears to be an                 battery with a much higher energy density would be the ideal
insignificant change. It is important to note, though, that as          solution. Researchers have found that replacing the graphite
the silicon becomes less efficient in the anode at lithiation,          anode with a silicon anode can increase the battery’s capacity
there is reduced volume expansion, which leads to less                  by more than ten-fold and, thus, greatly increase the energy
cracking and a steadier charge capacity over time [8]. Even             density, which allows for weight reduction of the battery
more impressive, the anode used in Kang’s study was 60%                 pack. However, a silicon anode on its own is not the perfect
silicon by weight, rather than 15%. The battery used in Dose’s          solution. Testing has found that during the lithiation
study is similar, albeit slightly improved in terms of silicon          electrochemical process, the anode expands and contracts
percentage by weight, to current lithium-ion batteries.                 which causes cracks, pulverization, and eventually the battery
Maintaining a higher charge capacity, despite increasing the            is no longer reliable to function.
silicon composition in the anode, shows a massive                             In an interview with Elon Musk, the founder of Tesla,
improvement resulting from the binder. When compared to                 he proposed that by the year 2035, electric vehicles will
the liquid metal alternative, the results are also similar. The         dominate our roads [20]. Society will likely see these changes
liquid metal battery has a charge capacity to Dose’s battery            come to fruition, but researchers must first improve on
and much less capacity fade. Compared to traditional graphite           making electric cars more practical and affordable to
anodes with trace amounts of silicon possible, these methods            consumers. At the moment, affordable, yet advanced, electric
of incorporating silicon into anodes are successful. They have          cars, such as the Chevy Bolt, take several hours to reach full
improved charge capacity and have proven to be long-lasting             charge. The Chevy Bolt still takes around ten hours for it to
in tests. The silicon anode is viable when coupled with the             reach full charge [21]. For many people, this is impractical
benefits derived from methods to control and contain its                compared to the ease of filling up a gasoline car in just a few
expansion. Although these methods are in the study phase and            minutes, especially for long trips. The Bolt’s power comes
likely far from being cost effective, batteries can be improved.        from a nickel-rich lithium-ion battery, which weighs around
Therefore, lithium-ion battery-dependent technology, such as            435 kg and boasts a range of 238 miles from a single charge.
electric vehicles, is indirectly improved.                                    As long as the development of silicon-anode lithium-ion
                                                                        batteries continues, we could soon see more striking
 APPLICATION TO ELECTRIC VEHICLES                                       performance from electric cars at more affordable prices.
                                                                        These improvements could open up a wider variety of electric
                                                                        cars. Budget cars with similar driving range to today’s electric
      Currently, around 95% of vehicles rely on the burning             vehicles would appear on the market. This would be
of fossil fuels, and transportation is one of the largest sources       accomplished by using the improved silicon anode batteries
of CO2 emissions [17]. In fact, 14% of greenhouse gas                   to increase efficiency and range, reduce weight of the vehicle,
emissions come directly from transportation. As a result, car           and reduce the input costs of production. These savings are
manufacturers and scientists have been developing more                  compounded by the fact that driving with gas is more
sustainable, energy-efficient, and environmentally-friendly             expensive than electricity. One study at the University of
vehicles. The most advanced electric vehicles today, such as            Michigan by Michael Sivak and Brandon Schoettle analyzes
Tesla’s Model S, rely on lithium-ion batteries, which appear            the average annual cost difference for each state [22]. The
to be the best option moving forward [18]. However, current             study considers gas prices on December 23, 2017. Given these
batteries have limitations for this application. As formerly            prices for each state, they used average data. They assume that
discussed, lithium-ion batteries are more efficient than other          gas vehicles get an average of 25 miles per gallon, electric
types of batteries used in electric cars, such as NiMH                  vehicles consume 33 kWh per 100 miles, and the average
batteries. Lithium-ion batteries charge faster, have higher             annual driving distance is 11,443 miles. For simplicity, this
                                                                        paper will analyze averages of data across the entire United

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States, rather than individual state considerations. The                there is a demonstrated potential to improve the driving range
average annual cost of gas consumption is $1,117, while the             in smaller vehicles.
average annual cost of electricity consumption is $485. This
yields an annual savings of $632. Therefore, an improvement             POSSIBLE ECONOMIC AND LOGISTICAL
on batteries will not only make purchasing electric vehicles
cheaper, it will have annual savings. This decrease in price
                                                                         IMPACT OF IMPROVED LITHIUM-ION
will make electric vehicles much more viable. As the price of             BATTERY IN ELECTRIC VEHICLES
vehicles decreases due batteries improved with silicon
anodes, the savings from using electricity instead of gasoline                Improved lithium-ion batteries are predicted to be higher
will help to entice consumers to switch to electric vehicles.           in demand in the near future with their use becoming more
      From a perspective with driving range being the most              common in electric vehicles, as well as consumer electronics.
important benefit, electric vehicles using all of their potential       According to the Market Research Engine, the global lithium-
space could lead to massive improvements of driving range.              ion battery market is expected to exceed more than $92 billion
Given that many vehicles have limited space available for               at a compound annual growth rate of 16.5% [25]. This shows
batteries, the most efficient way to improve driving range is           that the market for better batteries, produced cost-effectively,
improving the batteries. This does not require more space               has the potential for profit and is bound to open up thousands
dedicated to batteries. As this becomes a reality, public               of job opportunities in the future. The goal for producing cost-
transport and long-range semi-trucks may make a drastic                 effective batteries is reaching economies of scale. Tesla has
switch to electric power. Currently, there are around 1,600             demonstrated some interest in developing the Gigafactory to
electric buses in the United States [23]. However, the L.A.             make every step of the process efficient [18]. Tesla’s target is
Metro, for example, stated that the buses were not reliable past        to account for around 60% of the world’s production of
100 miles of driving, and some buses even needed charging               lithium-ion batteries. Some of the major forces propelling this
after just 78 miles. Making electric buses more viable is               market forward are increasing demand for improved batteries
important because electric buses are estimated to save                  coming from automobile manufacturers, rapidly-spreading
$130,000 over the bus’s lifetime, along with drastically                concerns for the environment, which relates to people looking
reducing emissions. Figure 2 illustrates the potential impact           into electric cars instead of standard gasoline cars, and
that results even in a switch from hybrid buses to electric             applications of lithium-ion batteries in other consumer
buses. This switch from diesel-hybrid buses to battery electric         electronics. With all of this in mind, it appears that the market
busses, as seen on the graph, halves the resulting emissions.           production of lithium-ion batteries could grow to a massive
                                                                        extent in the coming years.
                                                                              One of the main forces holding back the market for
                                                                        lithium-ion batteries is the high cost of production. Electric
                                                                        cars are currently more expensive than gasoline models due
                                                                        to the high cost of producing batteries. Given the high cost
                                                                        and the fact that there are only four fully electric vehicles that
                                                                        can currently surpass ranges of 200 miles from a single
                                                                        charge, the average consumer is not inclined to purchase an
                                                                        electric vehicle [5].
                                                                              The switch to electric vehicles indirectly affects the
                                                                        market for oil, leading to more economic changes. The
                                                                        possibility of increased dependence on electric vehicles,
                                                                        especially in the United States, could lead to decreased
                                                                        dependence on foreign oil. Just considering electric buses in
                                                                        China, there was a reduction of 233,000 barrels of oil [23].
                           Figure 2 [23]                                Forecasts for the world by Eco Watch show that this reduction
              Emissions from buses over their lifetime                  could increase in magnitude to 7.3 million barrels of oil per
                                                                        day. Although this is just below 10% of the daily market for
      There are already plans for improving the viability of            oil, a change of this magnitude would have immense effects
electric vehicles beyond consumer cars. Tesla plans to release          on worldwide economic relations. For the United States
semi-trucks with 300 and 500-mile driving ranges [24].                  specifically, a continuing dependence on foreign oil increases
Accomplishing this, in turn, shows viability for buses and              the deficit. Instead of borrowing to reinvest, around 27% of
other heavy-weight vehicles. By showing the potential for               foreign oil is being used for passenger vehicles as of 2017
improved driving range in larger, heavy-weight vehicles,                [26]. This is not economically viable because running a deficit
                                                                        in a country’s current account, used to quantify imports and

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exports account, to only increase a temporary standard of                                        SOURCES
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[12] Y. C. Yuan. “Self Healing in Polymers and Polymer                [23] A. Schmitt. “Why are We Still Waiting for Electric
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456k#!divAbstract.                                                            ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
[17] “Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions Data.” EPA.
04.13.2017.                Accessed                 03.08.2019.       We would like to acknowledge our writing instructor, Rachel
https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/global-greenhouse-gas-               McTernan, for working closely with us throughout the
emissions-data.                                                       research and writing process. We would also like to thank our
[18] S. O’Kane. “Tesla Will Live and Die by the Gigafactor.”          co-chair, Sabrina Nguyen, for providing advice on the
The      Verge.      11.30.2018.     Accessed       03.08.2019.       technical side of our research.
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[19] B. Socratsi. “Lithium-Ion Batteries: A Look Into the
Future”. Royal Society of Chemistry. 07.27.2011. Accessed
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[20] “The Future We’re Building- and Boring.” Ted. 04.2017.
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[21] “BU-1003: Electric Vehicle (EV).” Battery University.
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[22] M. Sivak. “Relative Costs of Driving Electric and
Gasoline Vehicles in the Individual U.S. States.” University
of Michigan Sustainable Worldwide Transportation. 01.2018.
Accessed                                            03.04.2019.
http://umich.edu/~umtriswt/PDF/SWT-2018-1.pdf.

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