HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON - POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR GROWING THE FINTECH SECTOR IN ASIA PACIFIC - Oliver Wyman
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Financial Services ASIA PACIFIC RISK CENTER: PUBLIC POLICY SERIES HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR GROWING THE FINTECH SECTOR IN ASIA PACIFIC
DRIVING GROWTH IN FINTECH of accelerating access to financial services, policy- makers, governments, and regulators are often The emergence of financial technology (fintech) tasked with the challenge of facilitating and ensuring brings to market new solutions to increase fintech develops in a way that minimizes the risks to efficiency and financial inclusiveness in areas the financial system and society as a whole. of payments, lending, broking, trading, capital raising, and personal financial management, In that context, there are several aspects that needs among others. to be prioritized (Exhibit 2): The role of managing the development of fintech in any market typically falls to the SUPPORTING GROWTH: government and financial regulators, who have played either a supporting or inhibiting role for THE ROLE OF REGULATORS new entrants. As fintech continues to develop AND GOVERNMENT across the world, countries have been forced to The main objective of regulators and government embrace new financial technologies in order to remain competitive. in developing the fintech sector is to empower consumers where conventional banks are In Asia-Pacific (APAC), many governments and lagging2 – to improve efficiency, increase regulators have made the development of fintech financial inclusion and to increase access to an explicit policy objective in recent years. Driven financial services, all while stimulating innovation by a desire to increase financial inclusion1 for and competition. significantly “unbanked” or “underbanked” populations, governments have successfully There are three main actions that regulators accelerated the growth of fintech financing in and governments must take to ensure the the region (Exhibit 1). However, this rapid growth smooth development of a thriving fintech of the fintech sector has the potential to expose landscape – (1) Provide innovation support, systemic risks for the banking sector and the (2) Ensure a conducive investment environment, broader economy. Besides being the main enablers and (3) Enhance digital and financial infrastructure. Exhibit 1: Global and Asia-Pacific Fintech Investments 2010 – 2016 (US$ MILLIONS) 25 20 15 10 5 Asia-Pacific 0 Rest of the World 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: APRC analysis on CB Insights data 1 The Business Times, 2018. ASEAN to use fintech as financial inclusion boost. 2 World Bank, 2018. Financial inclusion for Asia’s unbanked. Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman 2
Exhibit 2: Key priorities for Fintech Development • Regulatory support for innovation • Financial System Stability • Investment Support • Cross-industry risk • Infrastructure Build-up • Consumer Protection GROWTH RISK SUPPORT MANAGEMENT = = Source: Oliver Wyman analysis SUPPORT INNOVATION necessary processes that discuss overall business plans, risk management frameworks, and reporting DESIGN REGULATIONS TO requirements. Given that most new entrants to ALLOW EXPERIMENTATION the fintech sector are likely to graduate from the sandbox into the final approval process, dedicated Over the last two years, one of the main policy teams of financial regulators need to manage tools used to support the development of the “final stage” fintech approvals and licensing and fintech sector has been the creation of regulatory work closely with teams who run the regulatory “sandboxes” (see Exhibit 3). sandboxes to ensure that the right fintech entrants reach maturity. This learning process allows new entrants to test their business ideas with real customers and better understand relevant regulatory boundaries. INVEST Meanwhile, adequate oversight from regulators and policy-makers during this process also allows Governments and regulators are also key to creating the right investment environment for for more learnings regarding new fintech entities fintech companies to pave the way to greater before actual regulations are mandated for their access to capital. products and services. IMPROVING THE THE ART OF POST-SANDBOX INVESTMENT ECOSYSTEM REGULATORY APPROVAL The role of governments and regulators is The process of final regulatory approval before imperative for developing the fintech sector, the “go-live” of any fintech company is another but specific approaches in creating a conducive area of increasing importance. This final stage is investment environment may need to differ from currently a site of significant uncertainty amongst one country to another. fintech professionals, who undertake a highly iterative process going through multiple rounds of In China, the government has maintained a review with the regulator teams. These concerns laissez-faire approach to private fintech investors, dampen investor appetite and can prevent choosing not to interfere by providing benefits fintech innovations from going to market, but are or subsidies such as tax breaks. China appears Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman 3
Exhibit 3: Success factors for designing a three-staged fintech regulatory sandbox STAGE 1 STAGE 2 STAGE 3 APPLICATION HEADING EXPERIMENTATION HEADING EXIT Clear articulation of eligibility Well-defined space and Ensure sandbox entity is truly and evaluation criteria to reduce duration for the experimentation ready to exit, with sufficient time and cost of getting innovative for containment of failure provision to extend or ideas into market consequences should it occur discontinue entirely Transparent and efficient system Produce a final report summarizing Upon exiting, fintech firm can enables greater access to finance to findings, lessons learnt, and next successfully deploy the financial innovators and reduce regulatory steps from testing phase service, with full compliance to uncertainty relevant legal and regulatory requirements Source: Oliver Wyman analysis to be a unique example though – in most of the Besides early-stage seed funds, governments other Asia-Pacific markets, private funding is less also make direct investments into fintech abundant, resulting in governments having to take companies through sovereign wealth funds. These more proactive measures to encourage fintech investments are made with the longer-term view investment. In 2018, the Australian government of the potential impact on the market and are both revised and expanded their investor tax incentive financial and strategic in nature. However, such scheme3 to support fintech start-ups; Singapore direct investments tend to be targeted at more and Hong Kong have also maintained tax incentives mature fintech companies. for fintech investors. While direct government investment is important, it needs to be done in a way that does not HAVING A MEASURED APPROACH compromise the free market. Government direct Where necessary, governments often channel investment into “national champions” has rarely funds into the fintech sector through a mix of been successful and creates more problems than development grants and direct investment. Such it solves. It usually drives a premature selection of funding ranges from providing interest-free grants winners and losers and undermines the free market and seed funds, to prudently allocating resources, through undesirable crowding out effects. to directly funding more promising fintech start- ups, to indirectly supporting venture capital (VC) The best approach is for governments to identify firms to invest into these new fintech entrants. the gaps in funding in different stages but take a passive investor approach through investment Development grants for fintech start-ups are in local private VCs in order to avoid government regarded as a crucial source of early funding to crowding out effects. This usually ensures initiate product development during the testing innovation, while promoting a level-playing field. phase. The Hong Kong government for example launched the Innovation and Technology Venture Fund worth HKD 2 billion (US$ 256 million) for INFRASTRUCTURE co-investments in promising fintech start-ups. In addition to regulating and attracting capital in This Fund has already announced five VC funds as developing fintech, regulators and governments co-investment partners for identifying promising are also key builders of the foundations needed to investment targets in Hong Kong. support the fintech sector. 3 https://www.zdnet.com/article/australian-government-to-extend-investor-tax-incentives-to-support-fintech-startups/ Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman 4
TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND DATA SHARING CAPABILITIES INTERNET COVERAGE Finally, fintech products and services are limited One of the fundamental bases of developing a without a supporting framework to ensure data successful fintech sector is a well-established is accessible to fintech companies. The wealth of information and communication technology financial and behavioral data owned by incumbents (ICT) sector. A well-developed technological is both a major competitive advantage and a huge infrastructure allows easy adoption of new barrier to entry. As such, governmental intervention fintech technologies. and any regulatory imperative to share this data across platforms catalyzes the development of In larger developing markets, many fintech fintech companies. applications focus on extending financial services to unserved and underserved sectors of the There are, however, technical challenges and population. The large geographical spread and liability issues related to data sharing. Conforming lack of physical infrastructure available for these to universal data standards will be costly, as banks populations create transmission and distribution will be required to update or map legacy systems challenges, as well as a high cost to serve. As a to fit the new data standard specifications. Scaling result, mobile networks become the key financial this framework will also run into challenges, as services distribution channel. Countries such as new agreements with relevant parties and legacy India and Brazil see high levels of fintech adoption data systems will all need to be revised. Devising in payments, credit and savings services, driven by a direct-access platform open to Third Party a strong foundation of broad mobile coverage. Providers (TPPs) will also place a burden on banks that may not wish to adequately open the market. Many fintech solutions, particularly those that incorporate cloud-based data portals or platforms, Further, regulators and governments need to require a robust backbone of online connectivity understand the importance of metadata to for day-to-day operations. Blockchain platforms increase traceability and address any liability also require consistent connections to maintain issues that may arise when data is shared registers and run authentication. between traditional banks and fintech entrants. Essentially, the use of universal metadata CENTRALIZED PAYMENTS SYSTEM standards enables the mapping of complex, intricate, and ever-evolving relationships across Increasingly, governments are recognising the entities, strengthening governance and building importance of e-payment infrastructure in creating confidence in the system. a conducive fintech environment and broadening the digital economy. Regulators typically hold sole authority for supervision and oversight of their nation’s payments infrastructure and are PROTECTING STABILITY: responsible for managing and integrating the REGULATORY REFORMS FOR various services that make up the platform. RISK MANAGEMENT However, setting up a national payment There are several key risk management infrastructure is not without practical challenges. considerations that governments ought to focus Launched in April 2016, India’s Unified on as they drive the growth of their fintech sector. Payments Interface (UPI) was seen by many as a Financial innovation reduces costs and improves success – many major international and local firms efficiency, but it also introduces new risks to use the system as their payment infrastructure economic and financial stability, hence presenting (such as Jet Airways and WhatsApp), resulting in new challenges for supervisory authorities. the steady growth of UPI transactions. However, As illustrated in Exhibit 4, a fintech regulatory more than 90% of UPI transactions remain peer- program needs clear goals of ensuring financial to-peer, and the system has not been able to scale stability, coordination among cross-sector up commercial transactions which reduces its regulators, and strong customer protection and economic value. empowerment. Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman 5
Exhibit 4: Governing risks in the fintech sector through the stability protection pyramid MAINTAIN FINANCIAL 01 SYSTEMS STABILITY Ensure regulatory reforms continue to drive fintech growth without disrupting bank funding, credit quality, $ or impacting the broader economy 02 REGULATE CROSS-SECTOR INSTITUTIONS Better management of interconnected risks and business implications 03 CONSUMERS EMPOWER AND PROTECT Provide safequards while broadening society’s access to finance Source: Oliver Wyman analysis MAINTAINING FINANCIAL framework to proxy the systemically importance SYSTEM STABILITY selection criteria for selected fintech entities. While there are currently no compelling signs of Before any fintech entities grow too big and fintech financial instability risks materializing, become systemically important, authorities should some emerging (macro-prudential) risks4 would be proactive and agile in policy-making to respond escalate quickly if left unchecked. For example, to the ever-evolving fintech space. Regular review fintech may gain prominence through indirect of the regulatory framework is necessary to monitor network effects between highly-connected entities growth and product evolution. Regulators have in the form of market infrastructure, so much so developed very sophisticated techniques that that the importance and prevalence of network allow easy and non-intrusive monitoring process. complexity and associated contagion effects could However, some of the most successful approaches be significant. In time, fintech may grow to become like social listening and other advanced analytics systemically important, exhibiting concerning create legal issues. Because these approaches trends such as interconnectedness and centrality are sometimes able to predict issues before they issues, among others. even occur, they might be legally challenged by market participants. Thus, regulators and government bodies will benefit from closely monitoring fintech companies, especially those that provide banking services REGULATING CROSS- and that may grow systemically important in SECTOR INSTITUTIONS terms of size, complexity, interconnectedness, Fintech is growing the frequency and complexity substitutability, and global (cross-jurisdictional) of interactions between technology, financial activity. Regulators and governments may take services, telecommunications and other sectors, reference from the denominators under the G-SIB such that a new supervisory system needs to be 4 FSB, 2017. Financial Stability Implications from FinTech. http://www.fsb.org/wp-content/uploadsF/R270617.pdf Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman 6
designed to address the corresponding risks to One emerging trend is activity-based regulation. financial stability. The same traditional regulatory The purpose of activity-based regulation is framework cannot be applied universally across to move away from regulating entities and banking, non-banking, or fintech companies, regulate the actual financial activities those as standalone and uncoordinated regulations entities are performing. That helps address the could lead to fragmentation. This will give rise to issue of industry arbitrage and allows for easier businesses easily and quickly moving jurisdictions synchronization across regulators. to take advantage of and arbitrage the traditional regulatory framework. EMPOWERING AND PROTECTING CONSUMERS Regulators are starting to address this issue. In 2017, the Asia Securities Industry & Financial Finally, regulators and governments need to Markets Association published their guidelines be more proactively involved in protecting on best practices for regulating the effective the consumer. development of fintech. In particular, one of the guidelines aims to ensure cross-sectoral and PRIVACY RISKS transboundary policy harmonisation to enhance While greater financial inclusion can empower inter-agency cooperation and promote consistency consumers by providing them with lower across different sectors. credit costs and better services, it can also raise Exhibit 5: Big Data and new business models are changing the data regulatory landscape FREE BUSINESS LINES AVAILABLE TO COLLECT DATA BUSINESS LINES TO MONETIZE DATA Online music platforms (e.g. iTunes, Spotify) Targeted advertising Activities on mobile devices (e.g. iOS, Android) E-commerce and Consumer healthcare platforms online marketing (e.g. medical data, geo-location) Social media channels BIG DATA (e.g. music and video streaming) Sale of data to third- parties Entertainment (e.g. multi-player gaming) Potential of still largely unknown data Bank accounts and personal information (e.g. AISP1/ PISP2) Bi-directional flow of data 1. Account Information Service Providers 2. Payment Initiation Service Providers Source: Oliver Wyman analysis Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman 7
privacy and legal issues, most notably unfair In addition, the financial services sector is the most lending scrutiny and privacy intrusion concerns. frequently targeted industry by cyber-criminals, Examples of such biased assessment could include accounting for almost one-quarter of all breaches consumers being rejected for mortgage loans or in 2017. Financial companies sit on vast amounts of credit lines based on medical history, or candidates financial assets and personal information – making being refused employment based on internet them attractive targets for cyber criminals. Further, usage or social media data. the growing collaboration between Fintech Regulators have taken aggressive steps to protect entrants and incumbent institutions expands data privacy. For example, the General Data the interconnectedness and network complexity Protection Regulation (GDPR) was approved by across the financial services infrastructure. This the EU parliament after years of preparation and widens points of vulnerability for cybercrimes. debate. It is a progressive first step to protecting the consumer and stakeholders around the world Regulators and government agencies need to send have been monitoring this new regulation and a clear message to financial services companies adopting it across other jurisdictions. responsible for large amounts of consumer data, whether they are fintech companies or traditional In mitigating privacy risks, the GDPR aims to empower individuals through full control of their financial institutions, stressing the heightened need personal data. It mandates explicit consent for to implement cybersecurity measures with improved use of collected data. This increases responsibility, levels of compliance. Regulators also need to accountability, and transparency to individuals and increase international collaboration on cyber security reduces the threat of data breaches. and aim to standardize key cybersecurity rules. Exhibit 6: Proactive measures are necessary to protect consumers from financial misconduct amidst the rapid digitalization INNOVATIVE PRODUCTS SO REGULATORS NEED TO ENSURE CREATE OPPORTUNITIES TO BE MORE PROACTIVELY FINANCIAL STABILITY FOR MISCONDUCT… INVOLVED… Deposit/Investment accounts ? LEGISLATING Payment provider Regulations, standards, and Mobile devices guidelines on new products and E-wallets and consumer protection Empower consumer Lending ? REGULATING AND MONITORING Investment Be proactive in identifying potential fraudulent fintech Investments in players and “Ponzi” schemes Protect system and economy Nonperforming loans Data misuse ? EDUCATING Cyber-attacks Educate customers better on Protect consumer Emerging technologies credit risks, investment risks, (e.g. cloud, IoT) and privacy breach implications Source: Oliver Wyman analysis Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman 4
MISCONDUCT RISKS CONCLUSION The creation of new products may blur the Done right, the management of Fintech definitive boundaries of what financial products development can have dramatic effects on an entail, allowing some fintech firms to fall through economy. The expanding reach of internet and the cracks of regulatory capabilities that often smartphone penetration means that fintech can lag technology advancements. As such, the become a vehicle for financial inclusion for the deployment of new products is mostly unregulated unserved and underbanked consumer, as well and brings about potential compliance risks, as as for small and medium-sized firms. This can illustrated in Exhibit 6. increase liquidity for banks, disposable incomes Innovative financial products and services often for consumers, and give small and medium- create opportunities of misconduct, as technology sized businesses better access to much needed can magnify the potential of unlawful actions financing. Financial inclusion also has important that were once subjected to intense regulatory implications for tax collection. Fintechs can aid in detection. This is compounded by the uncertainty the formalization of money and dramatically shrink around the ownership of consumer data and what gray economies. is considered appropriate for use and sharing on The digitization of industries also generally third-party platforms. increases efficiencies and pushes workforces The second and even more important issue is of and firms to evolve. Facilitating innovation and machine misconduct. The automation of financial efficiencies in the fintech sector will spur the processes is increasingly replacing tedious and emergence of adjacent digital sectors as well, such repetitive data-driven algorithms. For example, as advanced analytics and AI. Governments and once face-to-face conversations with local bank regulatory agencies should not view fintech as a managers been replaced with automated customer threat to the financial sector, but as a means to services via AI chatbots. However, the over-reliance strengthen it. Innovation led by fintech will help on these automated decision-making processes the sector by creatively eliminating structural can result in systematic errors and/or conceal inefficiencies and developing competitive products biases, such as discrimination based on race, and services. religion, or geographic locations. Thus, it is crucial that fintech services become The increased speed of automation also spreads integrated into the everyday lives of consumers, as errors much faster and further, exacerbating much as fintech becomes mainstream in financial contagion effects. Further, the opaque nature of services. Governments and regulators have a “black-box” machine learning processes has the pivotal role to play in developing these services: means to hide biases that may be hard to identify, they must become both incubators and inhibitors creating intended or unintended systematic errors of the sector, while balancing the evolutionary and that may be blinded by transparency implications. revolutionary approaches. Besides putting in place various regulations and monitoring framework to proactive identify potential mis-conduct, regulators and government bodies need to better educate consumers on the emerging risks of tomorrow’s fintech sector. Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman 5
Oliver Wyman is a global leader in management consulting that combines deep industry knowledge with specialized expertise in strategy, operations, risk management, and organization transformation. For more information please contact the marketing department by email at info-FS@oliverwyman.com or by phone at one of the following locations: ASIA PACIFIC EMEA AMERICAS +65 6510 9700 +44 20 7333 8333 +1 212 541 8100 AUTHORS Tancho Fingarov Jaclyn Yeo Principal, Finance & Risk, & Public Policy, Senior Research Analyst, Marsh & McLennan Oliver Wyman Companies’ Asia Pacific Risk Center tancho.fingarov@oliverwyman.com jaclyn.yeo@oliverwyman.com CONTRIBUTORS Peter Reynolds Wolfram Hedrich Partner, Finance & Risk, Oliver Wyman Executive Director, Marsh & McLennan peter.reynolds@oliverwyman.com Companies’ Asia Pacific Risk Center, & Partner, Finance & Risk, Oliver Wyman wolfram.hedrich@oliverwyman.com www.oliverwyman.com ABOUT THE ASIA PACIFIC RISK CENTER Marsh & McLennan Companies’ Asia Pacific Risk Center addresses the major threats facing industries, governments, and societies in the Asia Pacific Region and serves as the regional hub for our Global Risk Center. Our research staff in Singapore draws on the resources of Marsh, Guy Carpenter, Mercer, Oliver Wyman, and leading independent research partners around the world. We gather leaders from different sectors around critical challenges to stimulate new thinking and solutions vital to Asian markets. Our digital news service, BRINK Asia, keeps decision makers current on developing risk issues in the region. For more information, please email the team at contactaprc@mmc.com. Copyright © 2018 Oliver Wyman All rights reserved. This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of Oliver Wyman and Oliver Wyman accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect. The information and opinions in this report were prepared by Oliver Wyman. This report is not investment advice and should not be relied on for such advice or as a substitute for consultation with professional accountants, tax, legal or financial advisors. Oliver Wyman has made every effort to use reliable, up-to-date and comprehensive information and analysis, but all information is provided without warranty of any kind, express or implied. Oliver Wyman disclaims any responsibility to update the information or conclusions in this report. Oliver Wyman accepts no liability for any loss arising from any action taken or refrained from as a result of information contained in this report or any reports or sources of information referred to herein, or for any consequential, special or similar damages even if advised of the possibility of such damages. The report is not an offer to buy or sell securities or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. This report may not be sold without the written consent of Oliver Wyman.
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