How Technology is Changing Grocery Shopping, From the Consumer Perspective - September 6, 2018 1pm ET #GroceryTrends Conference line: 866-269-6685 ...
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How Technology is Changing Grocery Shopping, From the Consumer Perspective September 6, 2018 1pm ET #GroceryTrends Conference line: 866-269-6685 Conference ID: 9680617 International Dial In: +1-647-427-3128
FMI antitrust compliance ➢ It is FMI’s policy to comply in all respects with the antitrust laws. ➢ All participants in FMI meetings and events are expected to comply with applicable antitrust and competition laws. ➢ Avoid discussions of sensitive topics that can create antitrust concerns. o Agreements to fix prices, allocate markets, engage in product boycotts and to refuse to deal with third parties are illegal. o Discussions of prices (including elements of prices such as allowances and credit terms), quality ratings of suppliers, and discussions that may cause a competitor to cease purchasing from a particular supplier, or selling to a particular customer, should be avoided. o No discussion that might be interpreted as a dividing up of territories. ➢ It is important to avoid even the appearance of unlawful activity. ➢ Questions or concerns? Please consult with FMI staff. #GroceryTrends 2
Meet your presenters David Fikes Steve Markenson VP, Communications & Director, Research Consumer/Community Affairs Food Marketing Institute Food Marketing Institute Doug Baker Vice President, Technology Food Marketing Institute #GroceryTrends 3
Research background For more than four decades, FMI has been tracking the trends of grocery shoppers in the U.S., taking note of where they shop, how they shop and what issues are most important to them as food shoppers. For the past four years, FMI has partnered with The Hartman Group to conduct this research. Methodology Quantitative Research Qualitative Research • A 25-minute online survey among n=2,136 U.S. • In-depth 1-on-1 interviews with shoppers from 4 multi- shoppers aged 18 and older, responsible for at person households and 1 single-person household in least 50% or more of the grocery shopping in the Baltimore area, including home tours of kitchens their household and food-storage areas, as well as shop-along interviews in frequented food retail locations • Fielded February 4-16, 2018 • Five 1-on-1 virtual interviews with shoppers across the • Additional analysis includes U.S. Census, nation, augmented with a homework exercise using Bureau of Labor Statistics photos and words for shoppers to show what “eating well” means to them and how shopping supports these needs • Fielded in October 2017 #GroceryTrends 4
Overview of 2018 findings 2017 2018 ➢ Channel fragmentation ➢ Online has evolved from a grocery channel to a continues, with grocery touchpoint ecommerce gaining users • Older shoppers are adopting and younger shoppers are discovering a future that differs from industry assumptions ➢ Shoppers evaluate a food retailer by how well it ➢ Transparency means supports their overarching goal of eating well context beyond the • Individualized and grounded in occasions, eating well package includes diverse objectives around taste and enjoyment, health and connection ➢ Shoppers trust in their food store to support their wellness more than ever, even as they rely on a ➢ Food retailers are wider variety of stores in order to shop well increasingly well- positioned for shopper • Grocery stores increasingly need to fulfill a diversity of food experiences, with strategic opportunities to align in-store wellness and digital touchpoints to enhance choice, enjoyment and personal connection #GroceryTrends 5
Grocery shopping remains a national pastime Currently in the U.S. “He does more of the shopping now. It used to be that he did most of the cooking when I did the shopping, but now our roles have kind of flipped now that we’re eating healthier.” 85 % of all adults say they have at least 50% of the responsibility for household grocery shopping —Tanya, 45 89% 80% (compared to 84% in 2017) #GroceryTrends 7
Co-shopping is still the prevailing strategy WORLD OF SHOPPERS Single-person Households Multi-person Households CO-SHOPPERS varying degrees of sharing the labor 27% 44% 7% 23% SELF SHOPPER PRIMARY SHOPPER SECONDARY SHOPPER SHARED SHOPPER ALL shopping Majority of shopping Minority of shopping Equal shopping 44% 56% 35% 65% 70% 30% 59% 41% vs. 2017 vs. 2017 vs. 2017 vs. 2017 45% 55% 39% 61% 66% 34% 48% 52% #GroceryTrends 8
One-third of shoppers now shop online Today: 34% of shoppers are shopping online 28% are shopping online-only retailers, up from 16% in 2015 #GroceryTrends 9
Weekly trips remain stable, even among online shoppers Online 1.6 Shoppers 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 1.6 2.0 trips per 1.9 1.9 week Non-Online 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 TRIPS 1.6 1.5 Shoppers 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 #GroceryTrends 10
Online shopper’s weekly spend higher than typical shopper $127 per week by online $110 shoppers $105 $106 $107 $100 $103 $101 $98 $98 $97 $93 $104 $109 SPEND $97 $98 $98 $100 $93 $94 $95 $86 $87 $90 spent on groceries per week Weekly spending on "grocery-type" items (FMI estimate of prior calendar year) Weekly spending on key grocery categories (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics estimate) of calendar year shown 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 #GroceryTrends 11
Insert picture #GroceryTrends Meet the Online Shopper 12
Online shoppers shop multiple channels/banners CHANNELS USED ‘ALMOST EVERY TIME’ WHEN SHOPPING FOR Shoppers FOOD AND GROCERIES visit an average of Online Non-Online 4.1 Shoppers Shoppers retail banners for groceries each Supermarket 55% 59% month Supercenter 29% 23% Mass 22% 12% ONLINE Club 14% 6% Shoppers visit an Limited Assortment 15% 7% average of Natural/Organic 11% 2% 5.3 Drug 10% 2% retail banners for Ethnic 12% 1% groceries each month Number of Channels 3.8 2.8 #GroceryTrends 13
The gender divide in online shopping, almost equal All Shopers 45% 55% Online Shoppers 51% 49% Non-Online Shoppers 42% 58% Males Females #GroceryTrends 14
The generational divide in online shopping, or not WORLD OF SHOPPERS All Shoppers 32% 29% 32% 7% Online Shoppers 47% 31% 19% 4% Non-Online Shoppers 24% 27% 39% 9% Millennials GenX Baby Boomers Silent #GroceryTrends 15
What is the demographic profile of online shoppers? Non- 40% Online 23% 54% 36% Online Shoppers $74,000 52% 68% $87,000 #GroceryTrends 16
Online shoppers are planners Pre-shopping Activities Check pantry/fridge 84% 78% Check recipes 42% 55% Non-Online Plans out meals 34% 44% Online Shoppers List Making Make shopping list 75% 81% Different lists for different stores 29% 39% #GroceryTrends 17
Online shoppers utilize digital and traditional list tools List Development Tools 87% Paper list 77% 6% Paper list on flyer/handout from store 15% Digital tool/service for lists in general (such as Cozi, 4% Google Keep, Remember-The-Milk, Wunderlist, AnyList) 17% 3% List feature on store's website or app 15% Digital tool/service for grocery lists (such as Out-Of- 2% Non-Online Milk, Grocery IQ, Yummly or BigOven) 10% Online Shoppers #GroceryTrends 18
Shoppers are savvy digital shoppers Digital Shopping Activities 23% Check stores’ online offerings 46% 27% Use grocery store app 46% 27% Search online for discounts 43% 8% Go online for product info 36% 14% Use other grocery-related app 35% Non-Online 5% Search online for reviews 30% Online Shoppers #GroceryTrends 19
Insert picture The Online Shopping Experience 20
Online shopping happens less frequently than in-store shopping Frequency of online ordering 15% 15% 24% 46% Once+/Week Every two weeks Once a month Less often Online Shoppers order an average of once per month #GroceryTrends 21
Online shoppers take advantage of online service features Online Shopping Activities List-building tools based on previous purchases 58% Return of unwanted items 57% Subscribe-and-save for frequently purchased 52% items Integration with other online services (recipes, 38% meal-planning, nutrition, financial, etc.) #GroceryTrends 22
Center store continues to dominate online, though fresh categories are gaining Past-year online purchases most Categories ordered online least often include non-perishables often include many perishables Health & beauty 38% 20% Milk, non-dairy substitutes Salty snacks 35% 19% Fresh meats and seafood Coffee & tea 34% Meat / 18% Non-prescription drugs Dairy Deli Bakery HH cleaning items 34% Seafood 17% Packaged meats Paper products 30% 14% Deli foods Packaged/canned foods 30% 11% Fresh bakery items Center Aisles Produce 10% Fresh prepared Frozen Checkout 7% Meal kits 3% Baby foods* #GroceryTrends 23
While online is emerging as a player in center store, in-store retains trust in the important fresh categories Prefer to buy online Prefer to buy in-store Routinized Tasks, Routinized 2% Fresh produce 92% Purchases 3% Deli foods 91% 3% Refrigerated dairy foods 91% Online is helping to absorb the 4% Fresh meats & seafood 91% FRESH 3% Fresh bakery items 91% PERIMETER drudgery of shopping—not only Milk or substitutes 90% 3% the task itself, but by managing 3% Packaged meats 89% routine, bulk-oriented or less 5% Fresh prepared 87% inspiring staples. 3% Frozen foods 87% 3% Packaged breads 86% 4% Sweets 76% 5% Baking/cooking items 75% 4% Ready to drink beverages 75% 5% Packaged/canned foods 73% 4% Salty snacks 73% 5% Condiments 73% 6% Meal kits 69% 6% Non-prescription drugs 68% 9% Coffee & tea 67% 9% Bulk foods 65% 15% Baby food 64% 9% Household cleaning products 63% 8% Paper products 63% 11% Health & beauty products 62% 17% Pet food or treats 58% #GroceryTrends 24
Range of options for online order delivery ONLINE FOOD SOURCES USED, BY GENERATION 38% 29% 28% 26% 19% 18% 18% 14% 13% 12% 11% 9% 8% 5% 6% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% Online grocery ordering Online for same/next-day Meal kit subscriptions CSA subscriptions Food service (takeout, (net) delivery (net) pickup, delivery) ONLINE FULFILLMENT MODELS USED, BY GENERATION 13% 15% 14% 11% 16% 13% 9% 10% 10% 9% 10% 5% 4% 6% 5% 6% 5% 2% 3% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 3% Standard shipping to my Pickup at my local store Pickup at a drop-off Same-day home delivery Next-day home delivery home via UPS, postal location other than the service, etc. store Total Millennials Gen-X Boomers Matures 18-37 38-53 54-72 73+ #GroceryTrends 25
Use of online grocery is spreading across generations ONLINE FULFILLMENT SERVICES USED, BY GENERATION, HISTORICAL TREND Same/next-day Standard shipping Pickup at my Pickup at other home delivery to home local store location 19% 16% 15% 15% 15% 14% 14% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2017 2018 2018 0% 0% Millennials Boomers Millennials Boomers Millennials Boomers Millennials Boomers Gen X Same/next-day home delivery Gen X Standard shipping to home Gen X Pickup at my local store Gen X Pickup at other location #GroceryTrends 26
Insert picture #GroceryTrends Online In-Store 27
Technology is widely used in-store by all shoppers Millennials Total Gen X Boomers with kids
Online shoppers use technology in-store in many ways In-store Technology Activities Use a smartphone in store 83% 90% Use digital coupons 47% 63% Check weekly specials at primary store 43% 59% Look up recipes 33% 59% Read reviews of products/brands 18% 49% Use in-store item locator 16% 39% Scan QR code or barcode to compare 11% pricing across store 40% Non-Online Scan QR code or barcode of item to learn 9% Online Shoppers more about nutritional content 38% #GroceryTrends 29
Retailers should consider multiple touchpoints to engage shoppers Used a rewards card or account 51% 50% Used a mobile app* 46% 29% Grocery store app 27% 20% Interacted through the store's website 19% 13% Grocery Store 17% Signed up for newsletters via email or home address 10% app downloads Signed up to receive customized email or newsletters 11% 19% up 14% from 15% in 2017 Submitted contest entry with phone number or address 7% to 22% Followed/liked my store through online social network 16% 4% Provided my phone number for text messages 12% 4% Online Shopers Maintained health profile with store 9% dietitian/nutritionist 0% Non-Online None of the above 18% Shoppers 34% #GroceryTrends 30
Insert picture Online vs. In-store 31
Online shopping has emerged as a solve for the pragmatic elements of shopping well while supporting personalization “The main online advantage is the extremely fast checkout. It might take me 30 minutes to gather everything I need, whereas online I get the same stuff in a few minutes. Saving time. That’s the main thing.” – David, 45 ADVANTAGES OF ONLINE GROCERY SHOPPING Saves time 53% Online lubricates friction points of More convenient 50% task and budgetary management Allows me to get items I can't find in store 31% Time, convenience, accessibility are biggest benefits. Saves money 20% It also delivers a degree of Provides a wider selection of products 19% personalization, using technology to anticipate needs and preferences for Can keep stored shopping list and reorder from it 17% more seamless use. More pleasant than going to the store 16% Online broadens and deepens Knows my preferences/shopping history 15% choices Taps notions of personalization by More sustainable than single trips to the store 11% Pragmatism providing greater access to categories Exploration Provides better-quality products 8% and brands that align with household Ethics interests and preferences. Provides fresher produce 7% #GroceryTrends 32
Loss of control, cost and quality are disadvantages of online shopping DISADVANTAGES OF ONLINE GROCERY SHOPPING I can't pick my own products 33% “When in the store, I can look around I can't return items easily 28% to see what they have if they are out food or something. Maybe I’ll do X or Is more expensive 27% Y. And I can see if the ingredient list has changed by the manufacturer. I Products are sometimes delivered spoiled or broken 23% can’t do that if someone else is picking my food for me. I can make the best Products aren't as fresh 22% choices for me.” – Dena, 47 Is harder to notice and explore new 22% products Takes away opportunity to get out of the house 18% “If I were to shop online, I’d have to have more money. I couldn’t be as financially tied Takes more time 13% to what’s on sale.” – Stephanie, 33 Is less fun than going to the store 10% Is more complicated 9% Is less convenient 7% None 11% #GroceryTrends 33
Despite in-roads by online, in-store remains differentiated for its expertise in fresh categories and service B&M does Online does a a better job better or equal job Freshness of perishable items 60% 22% Good value for money 44% 36% Affordable everyday prices 46% 35% Broad selection of products 41% 42% Convenient to use 38% 45% Ability to save through sales, discounts and coupons 45% 35% Openness and honesty 31% 38% Helpful customer service 45% 33% Easy returns process 49% 26% Quick access to customer service 48% 32% Sustainable and ethical practices 27% 36% Availability of loyalty/rewards programs 42% 32% Access to detailed product information 26% 49% Selection of natural product offerings 32% 39% Selection of organic product offerings 32% 38% Opportunities to explore & learn about food/cooking 25% 39% #GroceryTrends 34
Online shoppers hold online and in-store to similar standards IMPORTANT QUALITIES OF A REGULAR FULL-SERVICE SUPERMARKET VS. ONLINE FOOD RETAILER (Among Online Shoppers) Freshness of perishable items 75% 68% Affordable everyday prices 71% 67% Convenient to use 59% 63% Broad selection of products 64% 59% Openness and honesty 59% 58% Helpful customer service 49% 53% Ability to save through sales/discounts/coupons 58% 52% Quick access to customer service 45% 51% Easy returns process 44% 50% Access to detailed product information 37% 48% Sustainable and ethical practices 41% 38% Regular full-service supermarket Availability of loyalty/rewards programs 39% 34% Online food retailer Selection of natural product offerings 36% 33% Selection of organic product offerings 34% 31% Opportunities to explore & learn 21% 26% #GroceryTrends 35
Insert picture The Future of Food Retail 36
As the landscape changes, B&M will remain in shoppers desire to eat well and shop well TO HELP ME EAT WELL, 2-3 YEARS FROM NOW, I WILL… Shop in store more No change Shop online more Total 19% 65% 16% Millennial 18-38 18% 55% 27% Gen X 39-52 17% 64% 19% Boomer 53-71 20% 73% 8% Millennial with kids 18% 48% 34% Millennial without kids 18% 59% 23% How grocery stores will be used is likely to shift “I’ll do some in-person shopping just to pick my own produce and the social element. But I can imagine Online increasing ... When we’re fully into our retirement … We will have all this time but we may want to use that time for something else.” – Randy, 55 & Linda, 55 #GroceryTrends 37
The future value of food retail will require it to navigate quality, facilitate choice and create personal connection “In the future we may do the physical Adapting, Integrating Channel Strategy store only when we want to explore Rather than a separate, competitive specialty items or certain fresh channel, Online may well be integrated as a things. Especially if they have very central part of retailers’ strategy, speaking personable employees and the to shopping and eating occasions especially samples are impeccable.” suited to that touch point. – Eric, 31 & Therese, 30 What would be a problem if regular stores disappeared and I had to get all my groceries online … No, this isn't a 8% 13% priority for me 33% 26% 38% 37% 48% 25% 39% No, online-only 36% resources will 67% 23% 26% 35% solve this 48% 28% 44% Yes, this will be a 38% 36% 28% problem 24% The perishable I won't be able to I will feel It will be harder to I won't have access It will be harder to With quick items won't be as choose my own disconnected from know where to a live person to get products in an delivery, I won't be fresh or high- foods and the products I products come help me find and ethical and/or as motivated to quality beverages consume from choose products sustainable way make weekly/monthly meal plans #GroceryTrends 38
Digital communication is increasingly influencing both eating and shopping well Already entrenched in pre-shopping, digital tools are increasingly influencing in-store rituals ⚫ Digital list making ⚫ Websites and apps for passive and active discovery, information ⚫ Smartphone use in-aisle ⚫ Amazon Prime household penetration and use in non-food grocery “Prior to the smartphone, I needed a computer. But in the store I may pivot my plan. I’ll google something to find a quick recipe or text [my wife] to confirm things.” – Eric, 31 #GroceryTrends 39
Procuring groceries online is the inevitable progression of digital’s influence on eating and shopping well Third-Party Delivery Replace visits Click & Collect Consumers are experimenting with Pure Play various modes and resources to determine if/how online delivers Direct to Consumer against shopping-well aims Augment visits Meal Kits Snack Kits “[I tried a third-party grocery delivery] service and it was great. Whether it’s grocery delivery or shipped to your doorstep the key is the quality of the person picking the items.” – Dena, 47 #GroceryTrends 40
KEY TAKEAWAYS ABOUT HOW TECHNOLOGY IS CHANGING GROCERY SHOPPING Shoppers now experience food digitally: Younger consumers already accept digital tools in their food shopping routines, have begun to leverage digital innovations to expand their eating routines, and expect digital platforms and tools to evolve to help them to both eat and shop well; a meaningful number of older shoppers are now starting to experience food through technology as well Supermarkets are central: Although online retailers are developing new solutions and experiences, B&M supermarkets will continue to have an important role, particularly for fresh categories and personal experiences #GroceryTrends 41
Q&A #GroceryTrends 42
From FMI … June 26 July 31 Today 1. Inside the Grocery 2. The Shopper Desire 3. How Technology is Shopper’s Head: to Eat Well and the Changing Grocery Where They’ve Been, Implications for Shopping, From the Where They’re Going. Shopping. Consumer Perspective. #GroceryTrends 43
Learn more about Grocery Shopping Trends and download the full report at: www.fmi.org/grocerytrends #GroceryTrends 44
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