HOTELS AFRICA - RESEARCH - Accommodating growth in Africa - Knight Frank
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HOTELS AFRICA 2018 RESEARCH AFRICA HOTELS: HOTEL MARKET OVERVIEW ROOMS FOR GROWTH Hotel supply levels vary greatly across Africa. The growth potential of Africa is increasingly The distribution of Africa’s current Elsewhere in Africa, the tourist islands of Hotel development hotspots in East AFRICA IN 2030 recognised by international hotel operators, investors supply of branded and chain hotels is Mauritius, the Seychelles and Zanzibar all have a significant presence of branded Africa include the major cities of Kenya, illustrated by the hotel density map on Ethiopia and Tanzania. POPULATION GROWTH and developers. pages 4-5. The current hotel stock is hotels and resorts. In contrast, some of Although it is a comparatively well- By 2030, Africa’s population heavily concentrated in a small number Africa’s largest cities, including Kinshasa, will increase by 36% to Khartoum and Addis Ababa, have only a supplied region, North Africa continues Global and local hotel chains have Africa’s population is growing at a faster of markets. South Africa has the 1.7 billion targeted Africa as a growth region, rate than that of any other global region; largest supply, with almost 30% of the handful of international branded hotels. Across Africa, more than half of the to see new development, accounting for around 29% of pipeline projects. due to both its relative undersupply it is currently home to around 1.2 billion continent’s chain hotels. The largest continent’s capital cities have fewer than This stems from the expansion of major of international-quality hotels, and the people, but UN projections suggest hotel markets in South Africa URBANISATION five chain hotels each. multinational chains, and from Middle expectation of increased demand for that this figure will more than double are Johannesburg and Cape Town, but By 2030, Africa’s urban Eastern hotel developers and chains population will rise by 63% rooms. Underpinning this are Africa’s by 2050 40m and that it will pass 4 billion by chain hotels are spread widely across The distribution of pipeline projects varies entering North Africa. 770 million 40m end of the century. Growth will be the to long-term economic and demographic the country, due in large part to the significantly compared with the existing growth prospects, which have continued increasingly concentrated in the large extensive hotel networks of local brands supply, reflecting the increased focus of Across the continent, development to attract hotel groups’ interest despite cities of Sub-Saharan Africa, with the such as Protea Hotels, Tsogo Sun and activity is being driven primarily by international chains on markets currently CITY GROWTH a slowdown in overall African economic populations of cities such as Luanda, City Lodge. perceived as being undersupplied. the expansion plans of the larger Africa will have 15 cities 40m Lagos, Dar es Salaam, Nairobi and Addis with populations over growth in recent years. 40m Most strikingly, 35% of projects under multinational hotel groups. All of the 5in 2030, Ababa forecast to grow by more than Outside of South Africa, the largest million Pan-African GDP growth dropped to 80% during the 2015-2030 period. concentration of chain hotels is in development in the continent are in West Africa, which is home to only major global players have multiple hotels under development across Africa, and compared with 2.1% in 2016, its lowest level in more the North African countries of Egypt, 7 cities today 40m Africa’s fast-growing, economically 9% of the current supply. The greatest several of them have made eye-catching than two40m decades, 40m primarily 40m due to the Morocco and Tunisia. Resort locations 40m 40m 40m 40m 40m 40m 40m developing cities will need increased concentration of these projects is announcements about their future impact of lower commodity prices on such as Sharm El Sheikh, Hurghada ECONOMIC GROWTH numbers of hotel rooms to in Nigeria, primarily in Lagos and African plans. Hilton, for example, its major oil-dependent economies. and Marrakesh are among the biggest Africa’s economy will be accommodate both business travellers Abuja, where multiple hotels are under launched its US$50 million Africa Growth worth US$3.8 trillion However, growth is estimated by the markets in these countries, but and rising tourist demand. Over the long development for international brands Initiative in late 2017, with the aim of in 2030, more than International Monetary Fund to have international hotel chains also have a 60% bigger than today term, the UN World Tourist Organization including Hilton, Sheraton and Marriott. adding 100 African properties to its reasonably large presence in commercial Tanzania Kenya Nigeria Mauritius Uganda Namibia Côte d'Ivoire Botswana Mozambique Zimbabwe Egypt Tunisia South Africa Morocco Algeria recovered to approximately 3.5% in forecasts that international tourist cities such as Cairo and Casablanca, The East Africa region also accounts for a portfolio over the next five years. The 2017. The large oil-driven economies of numbers in Africa will grow at one of the where demand is driven by business significant share of pipeline projects, with activities of other major hotel groups are Nigeria and Angola are gradually moving fastest rates globally. Africa received TOURISM GROWTH travellers in addition to tourism. 26% of the projects under development. outlined on pages 6-7. Annual international tourist out of recession, while growth rates 57 million international tourist arrivals arrivals will more than double have remained resilient in less resource- in 2016, but the UNWTO projects that by 2030 to reach 134million dependent countries such as Kenya, this will reach 134 million by 2030. At Ethiopia, Tanzania, Côte d’Ivoire and FIGURE 2 present, Morocco is the top destination Senegal. These countries are forecast to Number of chain and branded hotels – top ten countries in Africa with over 10 million arrivals, but future Source: UN Population Division, USDA Economic maintain annual GDP growth in the 5-8% growth is forecast to be strongest in the Research Service, UN World Tourism Organization range over the next five years. East, West and Central regions of Africa. FIGURE 1 10.0m 10.3m Annual international tourist arrivals (millions) – top ten countries in Africa 5.3m 5.7m 2.2m 1.3m 1.4m 1.5m 1.6m 1.7m 68 60 58 46 Mozambique Côte d'Ivoire South Africa Zimbabwe Botswana Morocco Namibia Tunisia Algeria Egypt 31 28 430 300 153 103 SOUTH AFRICA EGYPT MOROCCO TUNISIA KENYA MAURITIUS NIGERIA TANZANIA ZIMBABWE ALGERIA Source: United Nations World Tourism Organization. 2015 or 2016 data, depending on availability Source: Knight Frank Research. Hotel numbers exclude lodges, safari camps, chalets and cruise-hotels. Data as at December 2017. 2 3
HOTELS AFRICA 2018 RESEARCH HAMMAMET SOUSSE AFRICA HOTEL In addition to the well-known international CASABLANCA TUNISIA hotel operators, several brands operating DJERBA DENSITY MAP solely in Africa are actively growing their MOROCCO businesses. These include CityBlue, a chain owned by UAE investor Diar Capital, AGADIR which has opened hotels in four East CAIRO African countries and has signed pipeline MARRAKESH ALGERIA LIBYA SHARM EL SHEIKH deals in a further eight countries in East HURGHADA and West Africa. Mangalis Hotel Group, a subsidiary of Teyliom International, has MARSA ALAM opened three hotels in West Africa and has EGYPT ten pipeline projects in this region. Azalaï Hotels Group has grown from its homeland of Mali to have projects opened or under MAURITANIA construction in most major West African CABO MALI capital cities. VERDE SUDAN NIGER ERITREA Other groups that are growing in prominence in Africa include Germany’s SENEGAL Deutsche Hospitality, Spain’s Meliá Hotels THE GAMBIA CHAD BURKINA DJIBOUTI International and Switzerland’s Mövenpick FASO GUINEA GUINEA Hotels & Resorts. Asian hotel operators BISSAU NIGERIA with projects under development in Africa SOMALIA include Thailand’s Dusit International CÔTE GHANA SOUTH SIERRA D’IVOIRE ETHIOPIA and Minor Hotels Group. Middle Eastern LEONE CENTRAL AFRICAN SUDAN groups active in the region include Rotana KEY REPUBLIC LIBERIA and Emaar Hospitality, which has projects Number of branded BENIN CAMEROON and chain hotels ACCRA in Egypt under its Address brand. LAGOS TOGO Most international hotel groups have EQUATORIAL GUINEA UGANDA REPUBLIC KENYA asset-light business models in Africa OF THE whereby they usually operate, but do not GABON CONGO DEMOCRATIC 1 100+ SÃO TOMÉ & NAIROBI own, their branded hotels. This creates PRINCIPE REPUBLIC RWANDA Hotel Hotspots OF THE CONGO opportunities for developers and investors BURUNDI to either build or acquire properties operated by the major chains. Long TANZANIA ZANZIBAR SEYCHELLES construction times can be a significant DAR ES SALAAM challenge to brands seeking to grow their African portfolios. To circumvent this, some groups are pursuing growth strategies that COMOROS prioritise the rebranding of existing hotels, FIGURE 3 FIGURE 4 rather than the development of new hotels. ANGOLA Distribution of chain and branded Distribution of hotel development MALAWI As is the case in the rest of the world, hotels in Africa projects in Africa ZAMBIA the growth of the Airbnb market has CENTRAL CENTRAL CENTRAL CENTRAL AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA presented a disruptive challenge to traditional hotel operators in Africa. While 22%% 44%% 99%% ZIMBABWE still a very small part of its global presence, MAURITIUS Airbnb says that it now has 100,000 WEST WEST NORTH MOZAMBIQUE listings in Africa, accommodating 1.2 AFRICA AFRICA NORTH AFRICA AFRICA 29 29%% BOTSWANA million guests in the last year. With the 38 WEST WEST 38%% AFRICA AFRICA NAMIBIA MADAGASCAR hotel supply in many African cities being 21 21%% EAST EAST limited and slanted towards the luxury end AFRICA AFRICA 35 35%% JOHANNESBURG of the market, Airbnb accommodation NORTH NORTH AFRICA SWAZILAND provides a cheaper alternative, AFRICA particularly for younger travellers. The 5%% DURBAN 30 22%%rise of the Airbnb market has yet to have SOUTH AFRICA 99%% a discernible impact on African hotel SOUTHERN EAST EAST SOUTHERN SOUTHERN AFRICA LESOTHO SOUTHERN AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA performance, but it has demonstrated that there is demand for new, flexible and 30 30%% 27 CAPE TOWN PORT ELIZABETH 27%% affordable accommodation types across the continent. 38 38%% Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research. Hotel numbers exclude safari camps and lodges, chalets and cruise-hotels. Data as at December 2017. 4 5
HOTELS AFRICA 2018 RESEARCH MAJOR HOTEL CHAINS IN AFRICA MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL TSOGO SUN MARRIOTT LOUVRE HOTELS GROUP HILTON HOTELS & RESORTS FIGURE 5 INTERNATIONAL Africa hotel numbers by chain 149 149 20 96 7 41 13 39 14 Key Brands in Africa: Protea by Key Brands in Africa: Southern Sun, SUN1, Key Brands in Africa: Golden Tulip, Royal Key Brands in Africa: Hilton, DoubleTree Marriott, Sheraton, Four Points by Garden Court, StayEasy Tulip, Tulip Inn, Sarovar by Hilton, Curio, Conrad Sheraton, Le Méridien Selected Opening, 2017: SunSquare & Selected Opening, 2017: Golden Tulip Selected Opening, 2017: Hilton Cabo Selected Opening, 2017: Four Points by StayEasy Cape Town City Bowl, South Africa Canaan Kampala, Uganda Verde Sal Resort, Cabo Verde Sheraton Nairobi Airport, Kenya Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: StayEasy Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: Tulip Inn Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: DoubleTree Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: Maputo, Mozambique Algiers Airport, Algeria by Hilton Kigali City Centre, Rwanda Accra Marriott Hotel, Accra, Ghana The French-based but Chinese-owned Hilton is pursuing growth in Sub-Saharan Tsogo Sun is one of South Africa’s largest Marriott’s 2014 acquisition of the South hotel and leisure groups. Its portfolio is group’s African portfolio mostly comprises Africa through the conversion of existing LS TE hotels with the Golden Tulip brand. In 2017, hotels into Hilton-branded properties. Africa-based Protea Hotels gave it the largely concentrated in South Africa, but HO C OR 16 the group acquired a majority stake in the In 2017, it announced that it will invest largest hotel network in Africa, which it has been expanding into the rest of the AC 1 was further expanded by its merger continent and the Middle East. The group Indian hotel company Sarovar, which has five US$50 million over five years to support the with Starwood in 2016. The group also operates several Holiday Inn and hotels in Africa. conversion of around 100 properties. has a target of having over 200 hotels InterContinental-branded hotels in either open or in the pipeline by 2022 South Africa. INTERCONTINENTAL and is looking to enter new markets HOTELS GROUP including Benin, Botswana, Côte d’Ivoire, CITY LODGE Madagascar, Mauritania and Senegal. 28 10 ACCORHOTELS 58 4 Key Brands in Africa: InterContinental, Key Brands in Africa: City Lodge, Holiday Inn, Crowne Plaza BE ST Road Lodge, Town Lodge, Courtyard Selected Opening, 2017: Holiday Inn WE 4 ST Mutare, Zimbabwe 2 116 20 Selected Opening, 2017: Town Lodge ER N Windhoek, Namibia Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: Key Brands in Africa: ibis, Mercure, Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: City Crowne Plaza Nairobi Airport, Kenya Novotel, Sofitel, Fairmont Lodge Hotel, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania The InterContinental Hotels Group has a Selected Opening, 2017: ibis Casa relatively modest African pipeline. Recent TSOGO SUN One of South Africa’s large hotel Voyageurs, Casablanca, Morocco expansion has come through the opening chains, the City Lodge group is now 96 Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: Fairmont of the rebranded Holiday Inn in Mutare, INTERCONTINENTAL expanding into other markets in East and HOTELS GROUP Citystars Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt Southern Africa. Zimbabwe, a franchised property owned by 28 African Sun Limited. AccorHotels’ presence in Africa is spread across 13 brands, ranging from RADISSON HOTEL GROUP midscale and economy operations such BEST WESTERN as ibis and ibis Budget, to luxury brands including Fairmont and Raffles. In 2015, the group announced plans to open 50 42 20 hotels in Angola in partnership with the 24 9 local investor AAA Activos LDA; so far, Key Brands in Africa: Radisson Blu, three hotels have opened under the ibis Radisson RED, Park Inn by Radisson Key Brands in Africa: Best Western, Best Styles brand. Western Plus, Best Western Premier Selected Opening, 2017: Radisson Blu, N’Djamena, Chad Selected Opening, 2017: Best Western HILT RES HOTEL Plus, Ibadan, Nigeria 39 S O Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: Park Inn N ORT S & by Radisson Luanda Kilamba, Angola Pipeline Highlight, due in 2018: BW CIT 58 YL Premier Collection The Alba, Nairobi, Kenya OD Radisson Hotel Group rebranded from GE Carlson Rezidor in early 2018. Its Radisson The comparatively small size of Best KEY Blu brand has over 30 hotels in Africa, while Western’s African footprint partly reflects the first African hotel using the Radisson the fact that its business model is Number of hotels in Africa RED brand opened in Cape Town in 2017. uncommon in Africa. It does not own or Among its pipeline projects, the group has Source: Knight Frank Research. RADIS manage hotels; instead, independent hotel S Countries present in Africa SON OTEL owners operate Best Western-branded signed an agreement to operate five new Data as at December 2017. GROU HOTEL RE H P LOUV ROUP Park Inn by Radisson hotels in Angola. 42 G hotels under licence agreements. 41 6 7
HOTELS AFRICA 2018 RESEARCH AFRICA HOTELS 2017 KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS BY COUNTRY FIGURE 7 Historical occupancy rates FIGURE 8 Historical RevPAR performance PERFORMANCE REVIEW OCCUPANCY ADR REVPAR % US$ US$ 80% US$100 ALGERIA MOZAMBIQUE North Africa North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Sub-Saharan Africa At a pan-African level, the hotel sector recorded a 48% 43% steady improvement across all key performance 131 63 145 62 70% US$80 indicators in 2017. BOTSWANA NAMIBIA 60% US$60 The overall African hotel occupancy rate, Africa, according to STR data. The Sub- as reported by hotel data provider STR Saharan Africa Average Daily Rate (ADR) 57% 101 57 60% 88 53 Global, was 58.0% in 2017, up from was US$121.35 in 2017, a level which US$40 50% 54.9% in 2016. This was primarily driven compares well with most other global by an improvement in the North African CABO VERDE NIGERIA regions. However, this belies a large occupancy rate, which rose by more variation in ADR across the countries of than seven percentage points to 54.6%. Sub-Saharan Africa, and it reflects the 68% 87 60 46% 145 67 40% US$20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Occupancy rates across North Africa relative absence of budget and midscale have been depressed in recent years, hotels in the sample data. Source: STR Global Source: STR Global partly due to the impact of heightened CÔTE D’IVOIRE SENEGAL security concerns on tourism. However, At a country level, Mauritius and the performance of 2017 indicates Seychelles were 2017’s top-performing FIGURE 9 59% 158 93 71% 147 104 that the sector is gradually recovering; markets, in terms of both occupancy and Key performance indicators, 2017 occupancy was at its highest level since room rates. Both markets are dominated 2010, but it remained substantially below AFRICA by luxury resort hotels, and have EGYPT SEYCHELLES the levels of a decade ago. been relatively immune to the security In contrast to the volatility of the North concerns that have impacted resort 55% 66 36 73% 368 270 Africa region, occupancy in Sub- locations elsewhere in Africa. These Saharan Africa has been steadier over two markets are expected to remain the recent years, staying close to 60%. The continent’s top performing markets in ETHIOPIA SOUTH AFRICA Sub-Saharan region also consistently 2018, and they are increasingly popular records higher room rates than North targets for investors. 58.0% US$62 54% 192 104 64% 92 59 US 107 FIGURE 6 +3.1% +2.1% +7.8% Global hotel performance comparison, 2017 GHANA TANZANIA OCCUPANCY ADR REVPAR 150 100 56% 157 88 54% 137 75 120 80 KENYA TUNISIA 55.0% US$46 60.0% US$73 US 83 US 121 48% 127 60 53% 66 35 +7.6% -7.9% +7.1% -0.3% +8.2% +7.8% 90 60 ADR REVPAR ADR REVPAR ADR/RevPAR (US$) OCCUPANCY OCCUPANCY Occupnacy (%) MAURITIUS ZAMBIA NORTH AFRICA SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 60 40 Source: STR Global 80% 211 168 49% 127 62 30 20 GLOSSARY MOROCCO ZIMBABWE Occupancy %: The number of rooms sold as a proportion of available rooms for a specified time period Average Daily Rate (ADR): A hotel’s total Rooms Revenue divided by the number of rooms sold during the period 0 0 AMERICAS ASIA-PACIFIC EUROPE MIDDLE EAST NORTH AFRICA SUB-SAHARAN 56% 114 66 55% 86 47 Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR): The total Rooms Revenue divided by the total number of available rooms AFRICA during the period ADR RevPaR Occupancy (%) Source: STR Global Source: STR Global 8 9
HOTELS AFRICA 2018 RESEARCH CAPITAL MARKETS OVERVIEW THE VIEW FROM THE GULF The hotel sector is one of the most active segments of the African real estate Additionally, large family groups involved In the past, North Africa has been a firm investment market. in the hospitality sector are increasingly favourite with Middle Eastern investors, looking at African countries – mainly due to historic and cultural ties, and this A series of significant hotel transactions An example of a recent acquisition by a be increased opportunities for investors Ali Manzoor concentrating on largely untapped is likely to remain the case for the time have been completed in recent years. hotel operator is ONOMO’s purchase of and developers to target the budget Associate Partner, Hospitality and markets within East and West Africa – as being. As North Africa is one of the key These have involved a variety of investors Inn On The Square in Cape Town, which and midscale hotel segments. Emerging Leisure, Knight Frank Middle East +971 56 4202 314 possible locations in which to deploy outbound destinations for Middle Eastern including property funds building their was previously managed by aha Hotels formats such as apartment hotels, which ali.manzoor@me.knightfrank.com capital, as previously preferred regional African portfolios, international investors & Lodges. ONOMO has hotels in eight are still in their infancy in most of Africa, are tourists, recognisable brand names seeking exposure to the sector and hotel African countries and has raised €106 another potential target for investors. markets have become unviable due to arguably offer easier market penetration. owner-operators growing or restructuring million from two investors, CDC Group conflicts and geopolitical issues. Prime examples include Abu Dhabi-based As is the case across all property sectors, their African businesses. and CIC Capital, to support the expansion Eagle Hills’ 184-key Fairmont property in the scarcity of investible hotel assets Overall, these investors are looking of its African portfolio. Taimur Khan La Marina Morocco in Rabat, the Kuwaiti One of the most visible investors in this presents a major challenge to global Senior Analyst, Development to take advantage of the undersupply sector is Quantum Global, whose US$500 A hotel’s branding is crucial to its investors seeking to enter African markets. Consultancy & Research, of international grade hotels, Africa’s United Real Estate Company’s Assoufid Knight Frank Middle East golf resort development in Marrakesh and million investment vehicle QG Africa attractiveness to investors. Many have However, for those able to source the population boom and the expected +971 56 4202 312 Hotel LP is targeting midscale to upscale a preference for assets that can be best quality stock, the sector offers taimur.khan@knightfrank.com exponential growth in travel and tourism Qatari Diar’s Anantara resort in south business hotels in Africa. Its first two rebranded after purchase, rather than opportunities to acquire international- across the continent. west Tunisia. acquisitions were the InterContinental hotels that are locked in to long-term standard properties. Hotel investments in management contracts. Investors may feel Africa will be best suited to investors with In recent times, Africa’s growing From a Middle Eastern perspective, we are Finally, as the tourism profiles of East Hotel in Lusaka and the Mövenpick Ambassador Hotel in Accra. With a sale that they can gain value by moving a hotel long-term horizons, who can ride out any hospitality market has seen increased beginning to see something of an uptick African countries continue to grow price of US$100 million, the latter was the to a higher-scale brand but, as the sector short-term volatility in the sector, and tap levels of investment from Middle Eastern in the activities of renowned investors – alongside various private-public largest-ever single-asset hotel deal in Sub- matures across Africa, there will also into its future growth potential. hospitality groups. While some investors and developers building portfolios of partnerships particularly with Middle Saharan Africa. have been driven to diversify their properties across key hospitality hotspots, Eastern behemoths such as DP World – holdings due the slowdown in domestic particularly Morocco and Egypt in North we can expect increased investment from Mara Delta, which was rebranded as Grit Real Estate Income Group in 2017, markets, others continue to be active in Africa, as well as emerging locations in Middle Eastern investors into key markets has been highly acquisitive across all both domestic and foreign markets. Sub-Saharan Africa. in this region. commercial property sectors over the last few years. It has gained exposure to the hotel and hospitality sector through HOTEL MARKET OUTLOOK its purchase of stakes in four resorts in Mauritius in two separate transactions. Another major player in the sector is the South African REIT, Hospitality Property Many of the continent’s largest cities oil economies and heightened security hotel supply in many African cities Fund (HPF), which is majority-owned by continue to be challenging markets for concerns in North Africa, have shown is targeted primarily at affluent the Tsogo Sun hotel group. Following its hotel operators entering or expanding that short and medium term risks can international travellers, there is space purchase of 29 Tsogo Sun hotels in 2017, in Africa. New hotel developments are emerge. Developers, investors and Mövenpick Ambassador Hotel, acquired by Quantum Global for US$100 million. Photo: © Mövenpick Hotels & Resorts in the market for midscale and budget HPF owns 53 hotel or hospitality assets. regularly subject to protracted delays, hotel operators should weigh such risks hotel brands catering more to regional and there is an ongoing disparity against longer-term market prospects. and domestic demand. between the stated pipelines of major New hotel developments need to Selected recent African hotel transactions hotel groups in Africa and their ability be well-timed, correctly located and Hotel operators will need to tailor the Date Property Location Seller Buyer Price to open these projects on time. targeted at the right audiences. experiences that they offer to other (US$) Nonetheless, there is considerable Travel to and within Africa has historically emerging audiences. Africa’s growing Q2 2017 Tsogo Sun Portfolio South Africa (29 locations) Tsogo Sun Holdings Hospitality Property Fund 276m* economic ties with China, for example, growth potential within the African been hindered by poor air connections, Q4 2016 Mövenpick Ambassador Hotel Accra, Ghana Kingdom Holding Company Quantum Global 100m hotel sector, particularly outside of but these are gradually improving and are creating demand for hotel styles Beachcomber Portfolio (44.4% Mara Delta (now Grit Real the relatively well-supplied markets of low-cost African airlines are emerging. that specifically appeal to Chinese Q4 2016 Mauritius (3 locations) New Mauritius Hotels Limited 53m stake) Estate Income Group) South Africa and North Africa. Even in Over the long term, a growing number tourists and business travellers. Mara Delta (now Grit Real these markets, hotel supply levels are of destinations should become more Q1 2017 Tamassa Resort Bel Ombre, Mauritius Néréide Limited 40m Experiential hotels, which aim to Estate Income Group) small compared with North American accessible to international and intra- immerse visitors into local cultures, are and European countries, indicating African travellers, driving demand for Q1 2017 Hyatt Regency Johannesburg, South Africa Investec Property Bin Otaiba Investment Group 36m another potential growth area. that there is room for growth over the hotel rooms. Q1 2016 InterContinental Hotel Lusaka, Zambia Kingdom Hotel Investments Quantum Global 35.9m long term. As demand evolves and Africa’s hotel Tourism flows within Africa will also Q2 2017 African Pride 15 On Orange Cape Town, South Africa Blend Property Group Spear REIT 23m While the long-term potential is be boosted by the expansion of the industry matures, an increasingly Q1 2017 Umubano Hotel Kigali, Rwanda Rwandan Government/LAICO Madhvani Group 20m diverse range of opportunities will evident, more transient trends such continent’s middle classes and reduced Q4 2016 Inn On The Square Cape Town, South Africa Hospitality Property Fund ONOMO Hotel Group 11m as the recent slowdown in the major visa restrictions. As the current branded arise in the sector. Source: Real Capital Analytics / Knight Frank Research *approx. US$199m in shares + US$77m in cash 10 11
KNIGHT FRANK AFRICA Peter Welborn Managing Director, Africa +44 20 7861 1200 peter.welborn@knightfrank.com INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH Matthew Colbourne Associate, International Research +44 20 7861 1238 matthew.colbourne@knightfrank.com KNIGHT FRANK MIDDLE EAST Ali Manzoor Associate Partner, Hospitality and Leisure +971 56 4202 314 ali.manzoor@me.knightfrank.com Taimur Khan Senior Analyst, Development Consultancy & Research +971 56 4202 312 taimur.khan@knightfrank.com Knight Frank Research provides strategic advice, consultancy services and forecasting to a wide range of clients worldwide including developers, investors, funding organisations, corporate institutions and the public sector. All our clients recognise the need for expert independent advice customised to their specific needs. RECENT MARKET-LEADING RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS © Knight Frank LLP 2018 This report is published for general information only and not to be relied upon in any way. Although high standards have been used in the preparation of the information, analysis, views and RESEARCH projections presented in this report, no responsibility or liability whatsoever can be accepted by Knight Frank LLP for any loss THE 2018 REPORT or damage resultant from any use of, reliance on or reference to the contents of this document. As a general report, this material INSIDE does not necessarily represent the view of Knight Frank LLP VIEW in relation to particular properties or projects. Reproduction of THE FUTURE KENYA 2018 OF REAL ESTATE THE TRENDS SHAPING this report in whole or in part is not allowed without prior written NEW 40 LEADING CITIES approval of Knight Frank LLP to the form and content within AFRICA ELON which it appears. Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership REPORT 2017/18 MUSK TRAINS, R O CKETS FRONTIERS PROSPECTS FOR REAL ESTATE ALONG THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our & S OL AR ENER GY registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where G LO B A L C I T I E S KNIGHTFRANK.COM/GLOBALCITIES NGKF.COM/GLOBALCITIES 4th Edition THE 2018 REPORT REAL ESTATE MARKETS IN A CONTINENT OF GROWTH AND OPPORTUNITY 1ST EDITION 1 NEW FRONTIERS you may look at a list of members’ names. Africa Report 2017/18 Global Cities Report - Inside View Kenya New Frontiers 2018 2018 2018 Knight Frank Research Reports are available at KnightFrank.com/Research
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