HO CHI MINH CITY - BENEFITS OF URBAN CLIMATE ACTION C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report

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HO CHI MINH CITY - BENEFITS OF URBAN CLIMATE ACTION C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report
BENEFITS OF URBAN
CLIMATE ACTION
C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report

                                         HO CHI
                                         MINH
                                         CITY
HO CHI MINH CITY - BENEFITS OF URBAN CLIMATE ACTION C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report
Benefits of Urban Climate Action | C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report                                                                           2

CLIMATE, AIR QUALITY AND HEALTH
    C40 and Johnson & Johnson are                 The time for urgent climate                       such as extreme cold and hot weather,
    working in partnership to connect the         action                                            floods and droughts. Finally, cities
    dots between climate action, improved                                                           need to attend local issues of air
                                                  Cities are responsible for about 70%
    air quality in cities and better health                                                         pollution, including pollutants and toxic
                                                  of global CO2 emissions and play a
    amongst citizens.                                                                               compounds.
                                                  leading role in limiting global increases
    C40 has undertaken cutting-edge               in temperature to 1.5°C, in line with the         In order to tackle both air quality and
    research, working with 26 cities to date      Paris Agreement. Simultaneously, cities           climate change, cities need clean
    to measure the air quality and health         need to take adaptation measures to               and efficient transport, buildings and
    benefits of climate action, and use this      protect themselves against current                industry solutions.
    to make a stronger case for action.           and future extreme weather events,

                                                        HO CHI MINH CITY

      Ho Chi Minh City is located in Southern Vietnam and covers an area of about
      2,000 km2. With a population of approximately 8.8 million people (National
      Statistics Office 2016), Ho Chi Minh City is the largest and most populous city
                                                                                                            8.8                 AREA OF
      in Vietnam.

      Ho Chi Minh City’s road transport sector represents a key contribution to the
                                                                                                      MILLION                   2,000
      city's overall greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In particular, road transport
                                                                                                      PEOPLE                        KM2
      emissions in Vietnam are dominated by motorcycles, ahead of cars, heavy duty
      vehicles and buses.

                                          THE NEED TO TACKLE AIR QUALITY

      Air pollution is a serious problem in Ho Chi Minh City, causing a high incidence
      of air quality related health issues.
                                                                                                      PM2.5 CONCENTRATION IS
      According to the World Health Organization (WHO), the annual average
      concentration of PM2.5 should not exceed 10 μg/m3. In Ho Chi Minh City, the
                                                                                                      3 TIMES ABOVE THE
      annual average is around 31 μg/m3, showing that people are exposed to very                      WHO RECOMMENDED VALUE
      harmful levels of air pollution.1

                                                      THE HEALTH BURDEN
      Air pollutants represent a major risk to people’s health, particularly affecting
      children and older people. PM2.5, often used as an indicator of air pollution,                  7, 300 PREMATURE
      can penetrate deep into lungs and is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular
      morbidity and mortality, even at low concentrations.                                            DEATHS       EACH YEAR
      In Ho Chi Minh City, about 7,300 premature deaths2 every year are attributable                  IN HO CHI MINH CITY ARE
      to the current PM2.5 levels.
                                                                                                      DUE TO PM2.5 LEVELS
1
  WHO Database Maps
2
   Burden of air pollution on mortality was calculated by using the relative risk from published studies relating air pollution concentrations to
health outcomes. This was applied to the difference between city-wide annual average PM2.5 concentration and the GBD’s theoretical minimum
exposure (5.8 µg/m3), and to the mortality rate in the local population. This is assuming impacts only in adults (ages 30+).
HO CHI MINH CITY - BENEFITS OF URBAN CLIMATE ACTION C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report
Benefits of Urban Climate Action | C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report                                                         3

                                           Understanding the problem
                                           The road transport sector in Ho Chi        Ho Chi Minh City has about 7.3 million

          40%     OF PM2.5
                                           Minh City is responsible for 40% of
                                           the total PM2.5 concentration in the
                                                                                      motorbikes. These motorbikes, which
                                                                                      are all privately owned, operate on
                                                                                      fossil fuels and contribute significantly
          CONCENTRATION                    city. Within this sector, 60% of the
                                                                                      to poor air quality in the city.
                                           total contribution is generated by
          COMES FROM THE                   motorbikes and 3% from buses.
          ROAD TRANSPORT
          SECTOR
                                                            HO CHI MINH CITY MOTORBIKES

                                 60%
                                               60% OF ROAD TRANSPORT                       7.3              3% OF ROAD
                                                                                                            SECTOR PM2.5
              31 μg/m3                        SECTOR PM2.5 CONCENTRATION
                                              IS GENERATED BY MOTORBIKES
                                                                                       MILLION              CONCENTRATION
                                                                                       MOTORBIKES           IS FROM BUSES

The action
Ho Chi Minh City is looking to introduce   10% of the existing motorbike fleet has
two key actions to reduce air pollution    been quantified.
in the city: converting 1,300 buses from
diesel to CNG (Compressed Natural          The bus and motorbike upgrades will
Gas) and promoting the uptake of           affect the urban area of the city, which
electric motorbikes in place of gasoline   represents about a quarter of the total
ones. A pilot project to shift to using    city area and 6.7 million people.
electric motorbikes is expected to start
at the start of 2019. For the purpose of
this analysis, the benefits of upgrading

            CLEANER BUSES AND MOTORBIKES

    1,300              PROMOTE
                       ELECTRIC                1/4 OF THE TOTAL
     BUSES
   USING CNG           MOTORBIKES              CITY AREA
HO CHI MINH CITY - BENEFITS OF URBAN CLIMATE ACTION C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report
Benefits of Urban Climate Action | C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report                                                     4

The benefits
With support from C40, the city           Air quality improvements, in terms of      premature deaths, life expectancy and
analysed the social and economic          reduced concentrations of PM2.5 are        life years gained are used to quantify
impacts of upgrading 1,300 buses          observed in the whole city.                mortality impacts.
from diesel to CNG, as well as shifting
10% of the current motorbike fleet to     The air quality improvement leads          The economic impact represents the
electric. The results showed a massive    to a reduction in the health burden        monetary value of averting a hospital
improvement in air quality, which         of cardiovascular- and respiratory-        admission and of gaining an extra year
would improve the population’s health     related diseases and deaths. Hospital      of life.
and produce considerable economic         admissions are used as an indicator
benefits.                                 for morbidity, while the change in

Benefits of shifting to 10% e-motorbikes

                                          AIR                        HEALTH
  0.5%  PM2.5          2.3%   PM2.5                                                             106             +1,400
  REDUCTION
  IN WHOLE CITY
                       REDUCTION IN       QUALITY                                      PREMATURE
                                                                                       DEATHS AVERTED
                                                                                                             LIFE YEARS
                       INTERVENTION                                                                          GAINED OVER
  AREA                 AREA                                     6 day
                                                                                       PER YEAR              THE WHOLE CITY
                                                                increase in life

  ₫   111 BN           ₫ 2.7 BN
                                                                expectancy for
                                                                each citizen. For                +6          172 AVERTED
                                                                those living in        DAYS IN LIFE          HOSPITAL
  TOTAL VALUE          AVOIDED                                                         EXPECTANCY
  OF AVERTED           HEALTHCARE                               the intervention                             ADMISSIONS
  DEATHS               COSTS                                    area, it increases     PER CITIZEN           PER YEAR
                                                                to 7 days.

ECONOMICS            The value of averted hospital admissions                        172 averted hospital admissions per year,
                     is ₫1.9 billion (Vietnamese Dong)                               including 125 for respiratory diseases,
                     for respiratory and ₫470 million for                            and 47 for cardiovascular diseases.
                     cardiovascular diseases.

Benefits of upgrading 1,300 buses from diesel to CNG

  0.1%                 0.5% PM2.5 AIR                                HEALTH
        PM2.5                                                                                     25           +331 LIFE
  REDUCTION            REDUCTION IN QUALITY                                            PREMATURE           YEARS GAINED
  IN WHOLE CITY        INTERVENTION                                                    DEATHS AVERTED      OVER THE WHOLE
  AREA                 AREA                                     1 day increase in
                                                                                       PER YEAR            POPULATION
                                                                life expectancy

  ₫   26  BN           ₫ 626 M
                                                                for each citizen.
                                                                For those                        +1          40 AVERTED
  TOTAL VALUE          AVOIDED                                  living in the          DAY IN LIFE           HOSPITAL
  OF AVERTED           HEALTHCARE                               intervention           EXPECTANCY            ADMISSIONS
  DEATHS               COSTS                                    area, it increases     PER CITIZEN           PER YEAR
                                                                to 2 days.

ECONOMICS            The value of averted hospital admissions                         40 averted hospital admissions per year,
                     is ₫454 million for respiratory and ₫172                        including 29 for respiratory diseases, and
                     million for cardiovascular diseases.                                        11 for cardiovascular diseases.
HO CHI MINH CITY - BENEFITS OF URBAN CLIMATE ACTION C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report
Benefits of Urban Climate Action | C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report                                                                                5

                                                             DRIVING ACTION

  SUPPORT BUS OWNERS                                   RAISE PUBLIC AWARENESS                             BOOST COLLABORATION
  The key barriers to the                             The main challenge to the uptake                   The air quality and health benefits
  implementation of the bus upgrade                   of electric motorbikes is the                      will also be communicated to the
  programme are related to the delays                 lack of public awareness on the                    relevant departments within the
  in the provision of CNG fueling                     environmental, social and economic                 city (e.g. Health, Environmental, Air
  stations.                                           benefits associated.                               Quality and Transport departments)
                                                                                                         through several workshops, with the
                                                      To this end, the city will use the
  Further discussions with the relevant                                                                  aim to consolidate the collaboration
                                                      results from this analysis to promote
  departments are to be conducted in                                                                     and improve the analysis with more
                                                      behavioural change through public
  order to push this action. In addition,                                                                accurate and local data.
                                                      campaigns.
  the bus owners are to be supported
  financially, by means of reduced-                   Financial incentives for upgrading                 Further actions to tackle air
  interest loans.                                     to electric motorbikes are not yet                 pollution in the city will be
                                                      in place, though these may be                      reviewed, mainly involving solid
                                                      discussed with policymakers and                    waste management and industrial
                                                      relevant departments.                              emissions.

                                                                 NEXT STEPS
  The installation of charging stations                The estimated benefits will be                   The city will install around 20
  to support the transition to a cleaner               presented to the mayor to gain                   automatic monitoring stations in the
  circulating fleet will be discussed                  support for the action and for public            city by the end of 2020. The city
  and planned with the transport                       campaigns. These could take many                 will also apply for additional funds
  department.                                          forms, such as lectures on air pollution         and collaborations with universities.
                                                       in schools and universities, public radio        These measures will improve data
                                                       campaigns and roadside displays of air           availability and understanding of air
                                                       quality levels.                                  quality issues.

                                                     METHOD AND ASSUMPTIONS
 Methodology available here.
 Key assumptions:
 • PM2.5 concentration values used for the whole city are are an average      minimum exposure (5.8 µg/m3), and to the mortality rate in the local
 of the modelled annual mean PM2.5 data range provided by the WHO             population. This is assuming impacts only in adults (ages 30+).
 Maps database.                                                               The analysis has been carried out following the methodology outlined
 • In the absence of local PM2.5 source apportionment data, the WHO           in the BUCA Guidance Manual.
 data have been used. As HCMC is not present in the WHO database,
 Hanoi has been used as a proxy.
                                                                              Next steps for the analysis:
 • Proxy data from Hanoi used for hospital admissions for respiratory
 and cardiovascular diseases.                                                 Future data collection activities based on the data gaps in the analysis
                                                                              include:
 • Proxy data from Auckland (New Zealand) used for VOLY and VHA
                                                                              • Collecting data for NOX and NO2
 and converted using the relevant PPP exchange rate.
                                                                              • Collecting hospital admission data by gender and age
 • Burden of air pollution on mortality was calculated by using the           • Developing VOLY and VHA estimates.
 relative risk from published studies relating air pollution concentrations
 to health outcomes. This was applied to the difference between city-         Cover Picture : Min An, Unsplash
 wide annual average PM2.5 concentration and the GBD’s theoretical
HO CHI MINH CITY - BENEFITS OF URBAN CLIMATE ACTION C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report
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