HO CHI MINH CITY - BENEFITS OF URBAN CLIMATE ACTION C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Benefits of Urban Climate Action | C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report 2 CLIMATE, AIR QUALITY AND HEALTH C40 and Johnson & Johnson are The time for urgent climate such as extreme cold and hot weather, working in partnership to connect the action floods and droughts. Finally, cities dots between climate action, improved need to attend local issues of air Cities are responsible for about 70% air quality in cities and better health pollution, including pollutants and toxic of global CO2 emissions and play a amongst citizens. compounds. leading role in limiting global increases C40 has undertaken cutting-edge in temperature to 1.5°C, in line with the In order to tackle both air quality and research, working with 26 cities to date Paris Agreement. Simultaneously, cities climate change, cities need clean to measure the air quality and health need to take adaptation measures to and efficient transport, buildings and benefits of climate action, and use this protect themselves against current industry solutions. to make a stronger case for action. and future extreme weather events, HO CHI MINH CITY Ho Chi Minh City is located in Southern Vietnam and covers an area of about 2,000 km2. With a population of approximately 8.8 million people (National Statistics Office 2016), Ho Chi Minh City is the largest and most populous city 8.8 AREA OF in Vietnam. Ho Chi Minh City’s road transport sector represents a key contribution to the MILLION 2,000 city's overall greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In particular, road transport PEOPLE KM2 emissions in Vietnam are dominated by motorcycles, ahead of cars, heavy duty vehicles and buses. THE NEED TO TACKLE AIR QUALITY Air pollution is a serious problem in Ho Chi Minh City, causing a high incidence of air quality related health issues. PM2.5 CONCENTRATION IS According to the World Health Organization (WHO), the annual average concentration of PM2.5 should not exceed 10 μg/m3. In Ho Chi Minh City, the 3 TIMES ABOVE THE annual average is around 31 μg/m3, showing that people are exposed to very WHO RECOMMENDED VALUE harmful levels of air pollution.1 THE HEALTH BURDEN Air pollutants represent a major risk to people’s health, particularly affecting children and older people. PM2.5, often used as an indicator of air pollution, 7, 300 PREMATURE can penetrate deep into lungs and is linked to respiratory and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, even at low concentrations. DEATHS EACH YEAR In Ho Chi Minh City, about 7,300 premature deaths2 every year are attributable IN HO CHI MINH CITY ARE to the current PM2.5 levels. DUE TO PM2.5 LEVELS 1 WHO Database Maps 2 Burden of air pollution on mortality was calculated by using the relative risk from published studies relating air pollution concentrations to health outcomes. This was applied to the difference between city-wide annual average PM2.5 concentration and the GBD’s theoretical minimum exposure (5.8 µg/m3), and to the mortality rate in the local population. This is assuming impacts only in adults (ages 30+).
Benefits of Urban Climate Action | C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report 3 Understanding the problem The road transport sector in Ho Chi Ho Chi Minh City has about 7.3 million 40% OF PM2.5 Minh City is responsible for 40% of the total PM2.5 concentration in the motorbikes. These motorbikes, which are all privately owned, operate on fossil fuels and contribute significantly CONCENTRATION city. Within this sector, 60% of the to poor air quality in the city. total contribution is generated by COMES FROM THE motorbikes and 3% from buses. ROAD TRANSPORT SECTOR HO CHI MINH CITY MOTORBIKES 60% 60% OF ROAD TRANSPORT 7.3 3% OF ROAD SECTOR PM2.5 31 μg/m3 SECTOR PM2.5 CONCENTRATION IS GENERATED BY MOTORBIKES MILLION CONCENTRATION MOTORBIKES IS FROM BUSES The action Ho Chi Minh City is looking to introduce 10% of the existing motorbike fleet has two key actions to reduce air pollution been quantified. in the city: converting 1,300 buses from diesel to CNG (Compressed Natural The bus and motorbike upgrades will Gas) and promoting the uptake of affect the urban area of the city, which electric motorbikes in place of gasoline represents about a quarter of the total ones. A pilot project to shift to using city area and 6.7 million people. electric motorbikes is expected to start at the start of 2019. For the purpose of this analysis, the benefits of upgrading CLEANER BUSES AND MOTORBIKES 1,300 PROMOTE ELECTRIC 1/4 OF THE TOTAL BUSES USING CNG MOTORBIKES CITY AREA
Benefits of Urban Climate Action | C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report 4 The benefits With support from C40, the city Air quality improvements, in terms of premature deaths, life expectancy and analysed the social and economic reduced concentrations of PM2.5 are life years gained are used to quantify impacts of upgrading 1,300 buses observed in the whole city. mortality impacts. from diesel to CNG, as well as shifting 10% of the current motorbike fleet to The air quality improvement leads The economic impact represents the electric. The results showed a massive to a reduction in the health burden monetary value of averting a hospital improvement in air quality, which of cardiovascular- and respiratory- admission and of gaining an extra year would improve the population’s health related diseases and deaths. Hospital of life. and produce considerable economic admissions are used as an indicator benefits. for morbidity, while the change in Benefits of shifting to 10% e-motorbikes AIR HEALTH 0.5% PM2.5 2.3% PM2.5 106 +1,400 REDUCTION IN WHOLE CITY REDUCTION IN QUALITY PREMATURE DEATHS AVERTED LIFE YEARS INTERVENTION GAINED OVER AREA AREA 6 day PER YEAR THE WHOLE CITY increase in life ₫ 111 BN ₫ 2.7 BN expectancy for each citizen. For +6 172 AVERTED those living in DAYS IN LIFE HOSPITAL TOTAL VALUE AVOIDED EXPECTANCY OF AVERTED HEALTHCARE the intervention ADMISSIONS DEATHS COSTS area, it increases PER CITIZEN PER YEAR to 7 days. ECONOMICS The value of averted hospital admissions 172 averted hospital admissions per year, is ₫1.9 billion (Vietnamese Dong) including 125 for respiratory diseases, for respiratory and ₫470 million for and 47 for cardiovascular diseases. cardiovascular diseases. Benefits of upgrading 1,300 buses from diesel to CNG 0.1% 0.5% PM2.5 AIR HEALTH PM2.5 25 +331 LIFE REDUCTION REDUCTION IN QUALITY PREMATURE YEARS GAINED IN WHOLE CITY INTERVENTION DEATHS AVERTED OVER THE WHOLE AREA AREA 1 day increase in PER YEAR POPULATION life expectancy ₫ 26 BN ₫ 626 M for each citizen. For those +1 40 AVERTED TOTAL VALUE AVOIDED living in the DAY IN LIFE HOSPITAL OF AVERTED HEALTHCARE intervention EXPECTANCY ADMISSIONS DEATHS COSTS area, it increases PER CITIZEN PER YEAR to 2 days. ECONOMICS The value of averted hospital admissions 40 averted hospital admissions per year, is ₫454 million for respiratory and ₫172 including 29 for respiratory diseases, and million for cardiovascular diseases. 11 for cardiovascular diseases.
Benefits of Urban Climate Action | C40 Cities Technical Assistance Report 5 DRIVING ACTION SUPPORT BUS OWNERS RAISE PUBLIC AWARENESS BOOST COLLABORATION The key barriers to the The main challenge to the uptake The air quality and health benefits implementation of the bus upgrade of electric motorbikes is the will also be communicated to the programme are related to the delays lack of public awareness on the relevant departments within the in the provision of CNG fueling environmental, social and economic city (e.g. Health, Environmental, Air stations. benefits associated. Quality and Transport departments) through several workshops, with the To this end, the city will use the Further discussions with the relevant aim to consolidate the collaboration results from this analysis to promote departments are to be conducted in and improve the analysis with more behavioural change through public order to push this action. In addition, accurate and local data. campaigns. the bus owners are to be supported financially, by means of reduced- Financial incentives for upgrading Further actions to tackle air interest loans. to electric motorbikes are not yet pollution in the city will be in place, though these may be reviewed, mainly involving solid discussed with policymakers and waste management and industrial relevant departments. emissions. NEXT STEPS The installation of charging stations The estimated benefits will be The city will install around 20 to support the transition to a cleaner presented to the mayor to gain automatic monitoring stations in the circulating fleet will be discussed support for the action and for public city by the end of 2020. The city and planned with the transport campaigns. These could take many will also apply for additional funds department. forms, such as lectures on air pollution and collaborations with universities. in schools and universities, public radio These measures will improve data campaigns and roadside displays of air availability and understanding of air quality levels. quality issues. METHOD AND ASSUMPTIONS Methodology available here. Key assumptions: • PM2.5 concentration values used for the whole city are are an average minimum exposure (5.8 µg/m3), and to the mortality rate in the local of the modelled annual mean PM2.5 data range provided by the WHO population. This is assuming impacts only in adults (ages 30+). Maps database. The analysis has been carried out following the methodology outlined • In the absence of local PM2.5 source apportionment data, the WHO in the BUCA Guidance Manual. data have been used. As HCMC is not present in the WHO database, Hanoi has been used as a proxy. Next steps for the analysis: • Proxy data from Hanoi used for hospital admissions for respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Future data collection activities based on the data gaps in the analysis include: • Proxy data from Auckland (New Zealand) used for VOLY and VHA • Collecting data for NOX and NO2 and converted using the relevant PPP exchange rate. • Collecting hospital admission data by gender and age • Burden of air pollution on mortality was calculated by using the • Developing VOLY and VHA estimates. relative risk from published studies relating air pollution concentrations to health outcomes. This was applied to the difference between city- Cover Picture : Min An, Unsplash wide annual average PM2.5 concentration and the GBD’s theoretical
You can also read