Hedge Fund Launches Bid to Split Shell - Energy Intelligence
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10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html October 27, 2021 WWW.ENERGYINTEL.COM COPYRIGHT © 2021 ENERGY INTELLIGENCE GROUP. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. UNAUTHORIZED ACCESS OR ELECTRONIC FORWARDING, EVEN FOR INTERNAL USE, IS PROHIBITED. CONTENTS Hedge Fund Launches Bid to Split Shell Hedge Fund Launches Bid to Split Shell Hedge fund titan Third Point has taken a large stake in Royal Dutch Shell and is pushing to break the Gazprom to Start oil and gas giant up into multiple public companies to boost its valuation. European Gas Storage Injections Shell's share price performance has been hampered by a strategy and company structure that tries Iran Willing to Restart to please too many competing interests with different priorities for growth, shareholder returns Nuclear Talks Next and decarbonization, Third Point founder Daniel Loeb argued in a letter to the fund's investors. Month Equinor Steps Up Gas "Shell's board and management have responded to this with incrementalism and attempts to 'do it Exports to Europe all,'" Loeb said. Ministry: Nord Stream 2 Won't Undermine "In trying to do so, Shell has ended up with unhappy shareholders who have been starved of returns Security and an unhappy society that wants to see Shell do more to decarbonize." US Inventory Build Upsets Oil Price Rally The bid by Third Point is one more illustration of the potential for further massive changes at the largest Western energy companies as they grapple with their place in the energy transition. In Brief China Caps Refining Shell has resisted such ideas, arguing that its integrated, marketing-focused model is well-suited to Capacity adapt to the changing energy mix. Russian Draft Carbon Strategy Ready But earlier this year, little-known investment fund Engine No. 1 unseated three members of Exxon Fighting Damages Mobil's board in a push to sharpen its energy transition strategy. Libyan Refinery Elsewhere, Italy's Eni has already committed to an initial public offering (IPO) of its renewables and Eni Eyes IPO for Var Energi retail gas and power unit, while Spain's Repsol is analyzing a similar approach. Wintershall Dea Loeb proposes that Shell should split itself up and create "multiple standalone companies" housing Reports Strong Quarter the varied parts of its portfolio that could appeal to investors with different desires. Data Snapshot He suggests that Shell's legacy oil-related businesses could essentially be wound down by scaling back investment, selling assets and returning cash to shareholders, while the natural gas and Oil and Gas Prices, Oct. 27, 2021 renewables businesses could offer lower shareholder payouts but higher growth. Equity Markets, Oct. "Pursuing a bold strategy like this would likely lead to an acceleration of CO2 reduction as well as 27, 2021 significantly increased returns for shareholders, a win for all stakeholders," Loeb wrote. Shell responded that it "regularly reviews and evaluates the company's strategy with a focus on generating shareholder value." "Shell's Investor Relations team has had preliminary conversations with Third Point and we will engage with them, as we do with all of our shareholders," the supermajor said in a statement after news of Third Point's proposal became public. Shell executives have pushed back against suggestions that the company would be more valuable if it were split into its different business units. "I fully believe this is the right model for the energy transition," Shell CFO Jessica Uhl has said of Shell's integrated structure. TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne has expressed similar sentiments, saying a spinoff of the French major's sizable energy transition businesses is "not on the table." https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 1/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html Strategic Differences Others, however, have embraced the idea — albeit in a less dramatic form. Eni announced earlier this month that it would begin the process for an IPO of a minority stake in its Eni R&R unit, which houses its retail power and gas business and its renewable power generation business. Repsol is entertaining a similar approach for its own renewable power division, alongside the possibility of bringing in a strategic financial partner for the business. Eni has also sought out different corporate structures for some of its legacy upstream assets. It combined its Norwegian offshore business with private equity-backed Point Resources to form Var Energi. The two announced on Wednesday that they are considering strategic options for Var, including a potential IPO. But Shell has approached the transition with a significantly different strategy than Eni or Repsol. Unlike many of its competitors, Shell has largely steered clear of renewable power generation and instead focused on selling power to customers, regardless of where it is generated, rather than setting lofty targets for its own renewable power capacity. Existential Questions The question of what the energy company of the future should look like is often pondered by analysts and investment bankers, but there is little consensus about which of the various models is likely to prove most successful. European utilities faced similar questions much earlier than the oil sector. Many splintered into companies specializing either in renewable or fossil-fuel power and sold off their upstream oil and gas units. The pure-play renewables companies that emerged from this process have flourished but the benefits haven't always come back to the parent company. "Historically, European oil companies and utilities which sell down assets at a premium to fair value do not see sustained share price performance beyond the very short term," the analysts at investment bank HSBC said in a note. But Loeb's overture, coming on the heels of an investor-driven shakeup of the board at Exxon Mobil, shows that companies themselves may not have as much choice in the matter as they would like. Oil majors were once seen as impenetrable fortresses where investors rarely dared to challenge board decisions. The scale of change in the energy transition, ongoing efforts to develop convincing strategic responses, and lagging share values have opened them up to criticism — and made them more vulnerable to interference from activist investors. Wire service reports estimated the value of Third Point's investment in Shell at between $500 million and $750 million against Shell's total market capitalization of around $190 billion. But Engine No. 1 succeeded with a similarly small holding in Exxon. Noah Brenner, London Gazprom to Start European Gas Storage Injections Gazprom will start injecting gas into its depleted storage facilities in Europe on Nov. 8 in response to a request from Russian President Vladimir Putin. By then the Russian gas giant will have completed its domestic injection campaign, which has been a top priority ahead of the cold winter months. The effort to stockpile enough winter gas at home has strained Gazprom's production capacity in recent months. That could help to explain why the Russian company did not ship more gas to the European market in recent weeks as prices spiked because of tight supplies. https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 2/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html During an online meeting in Moscow on Wednesday to discuss gas issues, Putin said Gazprom's injections into European storage facilities will help to keep European buyers supplied during the winter and should provide some relief to the European gas market. But injections could also lead to a temporary lack of pipeline capacity for export flows to Europe, potentially further restricting near- term supplies to Europe and keeping prices high. That could give Gazprom and Russia additional grounds to push for speedier certification of the company's controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline so that it can start shipping gas to Germany. Accusations Against Gazprom Some European politicians have previously accused Gazprom of deliberately restricting exports of gas to the region and pushing up prices to expedite final approval of the pipeline by Germany. The company denied this. Gazprom has booked only limited pipeline transit capacity via Ukraine and Poland and will likely find it difficult to hit its European gas export target of 183 billion cubic meters for this year. During the online meeting with Putin, CEO Alexei Miller acknowledged that the company's current storage volumes in Europe are "insignificant, literally very, very low — slightly less than 190 million cubic meters." The company's key Rehden storage facility in Germany, for example, was only 21% full as of Tuesday, compared with Europe's overall storage level of 77%, which is significantly below the five-year average for this time of year. Gazprom depleted its European stocks by withdrawing a record 10.6 Bcm of gas in the winter of 2020-21. That was driven in part by its decision to sell gas from storage, rather than increasing transit flows via neighboring Ukraine, with which it has a difficult relationship. Minimal Summer Injections Gazprom did not inject much gas into storage during the summer — it even withdrew some gas when it slashed flows via the Yamal- Europe pipeline — and it has recently prioritized its domestic storage campaign over exports. Miller said Gazprom expects to reach its targeted level of 72.6 Bcm for domestic stocks by Nov. 1, but will continue to inject gas until Nov. 8 before switching its focus to replenishing its European stocks. Last winter, Gazprom withdrew a record 60.6 Bcm from domestic storage, drawing down 84% of its stocks. Completion of domestic injections will free up 200 MMcm-300 MMcm/d of production capacity and will add almost 850 MMcm/d of withdrawal capacity from storage to cover winter demand at home and abroad. Putin said last week that Russia is ready to start supplying additional gas to Europe via the Nord Stream 2 pipeline as soon as Germany certifies a Gazprom subsidiary as an authorized pipeline operator. One of the twin Nord Stream 2 lines has already been filled with gas and is ready to start operations, while the second will follow in December, Putin said. Gazprom's Gas Storage Capacity in Europe Gazprom's Equity Stake Total Active Gazprom's Daily Withdrawal Capacity Used by Daily Withdrawal Capacity Used by Country Storage (%) Capacity (Bcm) Capacity (Bcm) Gazprom Group (MMcm/d) Gazprom Export (MMcm/d) Austria Haidach 55.5% 3.10 2.40 24.5 24.5 Banatski Serbia 51.0 0.55 0.28 2.5 2.5 Dvor Germany Jemgum 83.3 0.90 0.80 19.9 0.0 Germany Katharina 50.0 0.52 0.52 25.8 25.8 Germany Rehden 100.0 4.24 4.24 50.5 50.4 Germany Etzel 33.0 1.00 0.30 6.9 0.0 Netherlands Bergermeer 0.0* 4.60 1.85 26.1 26.1 Czech Damborice 50.0% 0.37 0.30 6.9 6.9 Republic Total -- -- 15.28 10.69 163.1 136.2 *Gazprom provided the necessary volume of cushion gas to get access to Bergermeer capacity. Source: Gazprom Vitaly Sokolov, Moscow https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 3/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html Iran Willing to Restart Nuclear Talks Next Month Iran is willing to resume multilateral talks about its nuclear program "before the end of November," its top negotiator at the talks said on Wednesday. The talks in Vienna have stalled since the June elections in Iran. Ali Bagheri-Kani's statement via Twitter followed a meeting in Brussels this week with Enrique Mora, the top EU diplomat involved in the talks about reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal. He called the meeting with Mora a "very serious and constructive dialogue," adding that "We agree to start negotiations before the end of November." The declaration of willingness to take part in a seventh round of negotiations in Vienna comes as US officials have warned that the window of opportunity for reaching an agreement to revive the nuclear deal is narrowing. The Vienna talks were intended to secure a commitment from Iran to return to compliance with the deal's restrictions on the country's nuclear program in return for the lifting of US sanctions on its oil exports. But US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and other US officials have argued that Iran's nuclear program could advance beyond the point where a return to the deal would not yield sufficient nonproliferation benefits. US negotiator Rob Malley told reporters on Monday that the US is "in a critical phase" when it comes to determining whether the deal — formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) — can be revived. "We’ve been at this now for — we had six rounds of talks and now we've had a hiatus of many months, and the official reasons given by Iran for why we're in this hiatus are wearing very thin," he said. Malley met with EU officials last week after a Mideast visit that included stops in the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. In his remarks to reporters on Monday, Malley reiterated what he and other US diplomats have said before — that at some point the window for returning to the deal, and a path for lifting sanctions on Iran's oil sector, will close. "At some point, the JCPOA will have been so eroded because Iran will have made advances that cannot be reversed, in which case we can't be talking. You can't revive a dead corpse." He stressed that the Biden administration would still prefer to see a meaningful return to the deal. But he added that if this were not possible, it would not necessarily mean that the door for diplomacy with Iran closes. Bridget DiCosmo, Washington Equinor Steps Up Gas Exports to Europe Norway's Equinor plans to step up its gas exports over the next six months to provide additional supplies to a tight European gas market. The company will take gas that is normally injected into the Gina Krog field to boost oil production and sell it instead, thereby increasing exports by about 170 million cubic feet per day (4.8 million cubic meters per day). "This is an extraordinary measure," CFO Ulrica Fearn said on Wednesday during the company's third-quarter earnings call. "Why six months? We want to make sure we know how this works ... This is temporary for now, but we need to revisit the situation as we go along." The company is looking across its upstream portfolio to see whether it can do something similar at other fields, she added. Gas Ramp-Up Equinor reported its strongest quarterly results since 2012, driven by record gas prices that have remained buoyant in October. "This generates higher revenues for Equinor, but also serves as a reminder of the level of volatility in our markets," Fearn said. https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 4/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html "At present, European inventories are low, and we expect the market to remain tight and subject to volatility going into the winter." Equinor started to ramp up output at its Oseberg and Troll fields this month after getting the green light from Oslo to produce an additional 2 billion cubic meters of gas to help ease Europe's current gas shortage. Output from the two fields can be raised or lowered, depending on prices. “We are now flexing to produce as much as we can and turning every valve to produce and export more gas to meet European demand," Fearn said. Buyback Boost Equinor shareholders are also set to pluck the fruits of higher oil and gas prices. The company has increased the size of its fourth-quarter share buyback program to $1 billion from a previously planned $300 million. Fearn also highlighted strong cash flow and an adjusted net debt ratio of 13.2%. Equinor will maintain quarterly dividend payments of $0.18 per share. Fearn said there are no plans to change the dividend policy in the short term. "We are in a comfortable place where we are." The company has lowered its capital spending guidance for this year to $8 billion from an earlier range of $9 billion-$10 billion. This was attributed in part to delayed projects and cost savings. Capex guidance for the next few years remains unchanged at $9 billion-$10 billion in 2022 and around $12 billion per year in both 2023 and 2024. Supply Chain Cost Pressures Fearn also flagged general concerns about the current cost pressures in global supply chains. She said that while the company has not seen any direct impact yet in its own business, "It feels like there [are] some outstanding risks that might be coming our way." Equinor's third-quarter earnings got a boost from mark-to-market gains on derivatives contracts in its marketing and midstream and processing segment, which were related to European gas sales. However, it said the gains in the third quarter are likely to be offset by similar losses in the final quarter of this year and the first quarter of next year. Equinor Q3'21 Earnings Results ($ million) Q3'21 Q3'20 %Chg. Q2'21 Revenue 23,264 11,339 >100% 17,462 Operating Cash Flow 8,039 2,632 >100 6,643 Net Income 1,409 -2,124 NA 1,943 Adjusted Income 2,777 271 >100 1,578 Exploration & Production Norway* 6,760 773 >100 3,964 Exploration & Production Intl.* 556 -104 NA 399 Exploration & Production US* 288 -193 NA 230 Marketing, Midstream & Processing* 2,187 262 >100 144 Renewables* -28 15 NA -31 Liquids Production ('000 b/d) 1,048 1,076 -3 1,052 Gas Production (MMcf/d) 948 918 3 945 Oil and Gas Output ('000 boe/d) 1,996 1,994 0% 1,997 *Adjusted earnings. Source: Equinor Deb Kelly, London https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 5/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html Ministry: Nord Stream 2 Won't Undermine Security Germany's economy and energy ministry has concluded that regulatory approval of Gazprom's Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline would not pose a threat to the energy security of Germany or the EU. The ministry carried out an energy security analysis as part of an ongoing certification process that is required before the pipeline can start delivering Russian gas to Germany. The pipeline is ready to start shipping gas, but Gazprom's Switzerland-based affiliate Nord Stream 2 AG is still waiting for Germany's Bundesnetzagentur (BNetza) to decide whether to certify it as an independent system operator. EU regulations require a network operator from a non-EU country to be certified to operate a pipeline in an EU member state. Nord Stream 2 AG submitted an application to BNetza in June for certification to operate the German section of the pipeline, which originates in Russia and runs to Germany via the Baltic Sea, thereby avoiding transit routes through Ukraine and Poland. The ministry noted that while its analysis is part of the certification process, it will not determine the outcome of the decision to be made by BNetza, which is an independent federal agency. The ministry added that it had consulted nine other EU countries including Poland and Italy before embarking on the analysis. BNetza is expected to make a preliminary decision by early January, which will then be reviewed by the European Commission to check that it complies with EU law. That can up to two months to the certification process. However, it is difficult to map out a precise timeline for certification, prompting US President Joe Biden's Energy Security Adviser Amos Hochstein to express frustration about the lack of clarity around the duration of the process. Jaime Concha, Copenhagen US Inventory Build Upsets Oil Price Rally Oil prices recoiled on Wednesday, mostly in response to a US crude inventory build that scared investors away from their bullish wagers. In London, the December Brent contract was down $1.82 and settled at $84.58 per barrel, a deep dive from its intraday high of $86.28/bbl. In New York, the front-month Nymex West Texas Intermediate (WTI) December contract lost $1.99 and settled at $82.66/bbl. ICE BRENT VS. NYMEX WTI FUTURES Front Month Contracts 88 86 ($/bbl) 84 82 80 14. Oct 16. Oct 18. Oct 20. Oct 22. Oct 24. Oct 26. Oct Nymex Light Sweet ICE Brent https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 6/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html Back to the Future Brent's cresting of $85 in recent days has captured the market’s attention, but the real action is in the future time spreads. The Brent forward structure has blown out in response to fast-drawing oil inventories and the expectations of tighter winter supply. This response has been compounded by recent supply frictions in the European and Asian power markets. The scarcity premium of prompt Brent barrels over deliveries in six months is nearly $5.50, its widest since September 2013. With the exception of the front time spread, the other Brent intermonth spreads out to six months are hovering around $1. Thinning Cushing Cushion This widening is even more conspicuous in WTI futures, where the spreads over the first six months are closer to $1.20. The situation clearly reflects the low oil inventory levels at Cushing, Oklahoma, the main pricing point for WTI futures. Data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that Cushing crude stocks drew by 3.9 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 22 — the fourth-largest weekly stockdraw since 2004 — to 27.3 million bbl, less than half of the 60 million bbl in storage at the same time last year. Crude inflows to Cushing are lower than usual, partly as a collateral effect of the imminent restart of the reversed Capline pipe, analysts said. The new pipeline route through Patoka, Illinois, which bypasses Cushing, is already driving some oil volumes away. US & CUSHING CRUDE OIL STOCKS 560 72 520 60 million bbl million bbl 480 48 440 36 400 24 Jan '20 Apr '20 Jul '20 Oct '20 Jan '21 Apr '21 Jul '21 Oct '21 Cushing Total US Source: EIA Unwarranted Panic “At this rate of decline, Cushing could hit its operational floor within a few weeks,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. If anything, this is a “stunning reversal from last year, when the pandemic prompted a glut of crude oil so big that it exhausted storage capacity and briefly forced WTI below zero,” he added. But despite the Cushing concerns, US commercial crude inventories gained 4.3 million bbl on the week, showing a healthy 430.8 million bbl, which does not seem to warrant bullish panic — at least not immediately. Oil prices responded to the US inventory increase with a sell-off. With US refinery throughputs standing at 15 million b/d and an average utilization rate in excess of 85%, last week’s relatively large crude build was unexpected, which partly explains the temporary pullback. Meanwhile, gasoline inventories shed about 2 million bbl during the week to 215.7 million bbl, while distillates stockpiles decreased by 400,000 bbl to 125 million bbl. https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 7/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html But as more US refining capacity comes back on line in the coming weeks, crude draws are expected to resume and deepen in November. Julien Mathonniere, London IN BRIEF China Caps Refining Capacity China has set a cap for its oil refining capacity to help achieve its goal of halting the rise in the country's carbon emissions by 2030. Refining capacity will be capped at 20 million b/d by 2025 and there will be a strict ban on building new refineries with a capacity of less than 200,000 b/d, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said. The NDRC — China's top economic planning agency — said it would continue its policy of closing down refineries with a capacity of less than 40,000 b/d, as Beijing embraces big new integrated refining and petrochemical complexes. China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC) said earlier this year that it expects China's refining capacity to reach 19.68 million b/d by 2025 — up from 17.79 million b/d last year — which more of less aligns with the cap set by the NDRC. China's refining capacity greatly exceeds its oil demand which has recently been running at around 14 million b/d. Dawn Lee, Beijing Russian Draft Carbon Strategy Ready Russia's economic development ministry has submitted a draft strategy for lowering the country's carbon emissions to the government for approval. Economic Development Minister Maxim Reshetnikov said the strategy document sent to the government shows how Russia can attain net-zero carbon emissions. He said it should be possible to achieve carbon neutrality by the target date of 2060, which was recently announced by President Vladimir Putin. The strategy describes two scenarios — a passive one in which Russia takes no policy measures to reduce carbon emissions, and an active one in which it does take such measures. Both scenarios envisage a reduction in the country's energy exports by 2050. And both also assume that absorption of carbon dioxide by Russia's vast forests will make a major contribution to reducing the country's net emissions. The ministry calculates that under the passive scenario, Russia's annual net emissions would fall by 460 million tons of CO2 equivalent by 2050, while under the active scenario, annual net emissions would decrease by 1.57 billion tons of CO2 equivalent. Russia currently emits around 1.6 billion tons of CO2e per year. Reshetnikov, Natural Resources Minister Alexander Kozlov and Putin's Special Climate Envoy Ruslan Edelgeriyev will be among the senior officials who will represent Russia at the upcoming COP26 climate conference in Glasgow. Nadezhda Sladkova, Moscow Fighting Damages Libyan Refinery Damage caused by clashes between armed groups halted the operations of the 120,000 b/d Zawiya refinery complex in Libya this week, the country's National Oil Corp. (NOC) said. Eight storage tanks holding crude oil and refined products were damaged, as were five base oil and chemicals storage tanks and an electrical transformer, NOC said. https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 8/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html The clashes at the complex occurred ahead of elections scheduled for Dec. 24, which have sparked hopes of a return to political stability and an enduring recovery of its oil industry. Despite occasional outbreaks of unrest, Libya has been able to maintain crude crude production in a recent range of 1.1 million-1.2 million b/d. NOC said all production units were undergoing inspection "to determine the extent of damage resulting from the clashes." Rafiq Latta, Nicosia Eni Eyes IPO for Var Energi Italy's Eni and private equity-backed Point Resources are looking at strategic options for their Var Energi joint venture, including a possible initial public offering (IPO) of shares. The company was formed in 2018 when Eni merged its Norwegian operations with Point Resources, a portfolio company of Norwegian private equity fund Hitec Vision. Its ownership is split between Eni with just under 70% of the equity and Point with just over 30%. Regardless of the path the pair chooses, Eni said it intends to remain the majority owner of Var. Var produced 239,000 boe/d in the first half of this year and claims to be the largest independent producer on Norway's Continental Shelf. Earlier this month, Eni announced it would move ahead with plans for an IPO of its retail gas and power and renewable power generation business — colloquially referred to as Eni R&R. Noah Brenner, London Wintershall Dea Reports Strong Quarter Wintershall Dea reported a surge in revenues and earnings for the third quarter of 2021 on the back of strong oil and gas prices. The German independent drives 71% of its upstream production from natural gas, mainly in Russia and Northern Europe. Its quarterly adjusted net income rose 244% year on year to €234 million as revenues more than doubled to €1.98 billion. The strong performance was achieved despite a fire at a gas condensate treatment plant in Russia during the quarter, which took a bite out of the company’s production, which came in at 588,000 boe/d for the quarter. Wintershall's production guidance for the full year is 615,000-630,000 boe/d. Capital spending for the quarter came in 17% lower than in the third quarter of 2020 at €210 million. Full-year capex is therefore expected to come in at the low end of management's guidance of €1 billion-€1.1 billion. Wintershall said it continues to make progress on carbon capture and storage and hydrogen initiatives. During the quarter the company signed a cooperation agreement with VNG to build a "turquoise" hydrogen production facility in Germany, while a CCS project in Denmark has moved forward to its next phase, which will see offshore carbon dioxide injection start in late 2022. Jon Mainwaring, London https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 9/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html DATA SNAPSHOT Oil and Gas Prices, Oct. 27, 2021 All data are produced by Energy Intelligence in cooperation with Reuters. CRUDE OIL FUTURES ($/bbl) Chg. 1st Mth. 2nd Mth. ICE Brent -1.82 84.58 83.87 Nymex Light Sweet -1.99 82.66 81.48 DME Oman -2.08 82.52 81.95 ICE Murban -1.54 84.52 83.12 INTERNATIONAL SPOT CRUDES ($/bbl) Chg. Price Prior Close Brent (Dated) -0.98 84.12 85.10 Dubai -0.46 83.45 83.91 Forties -0.68 83.85 84.53 Bonny Light -0.68 84.85 85.53 Urals -0.68 83.10 83.78 Opec Basket* 84.52 *Opec price assessed. NORTH AMERICAN SPOT CRUDES ($/bbl) Chg. Price Prior Close WTI (Cushing) -2.98 82.66 85.64 WTS (Midland) -2.11 81.54 83.64 LLS -2.78 83.16 85.94 Mars -2.98 78.26 81.24 Bakken -2.98 83.26 86.24 ICE BRENT CRUDE FUTURES $100 $80 $60 ($/bbl) $40 $20 $0 May '20 Jul '20 Sep '20 Nov '20 Jan '21 Mar '21 May '21 Jul '21 Sep '21 Nov '21 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 10/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html NYMEX LIGHT CRUDE FUTURES $100 $75 $/bbl $50 $25 $0 May '20 Jul '20 Sep '20 Nov '20 Jan '21 Mar '21 May '21 Jul '21 Sep '21 Nov '21 Nymex Light crude Futures Energy Intelligence REFINED PRODUCT FUTURES Nymex Chg. 1st Mth. 2nd Mth. Gasoline (¢/gal) -6.71 244.97 237.92 ULSD Diesel (¢/gal) -6.25 251.48 250.62 ICE Gasoil ($/ton) -16.25 726.75 721.25 Gasoil (¢/gal) -5.19 231.95 230.20 ICE GASOIL FUTURES $800 $600 ($/ton) $400 $200 $0 May '20 Jul '20 Sep '20 Nov '20 Jan '21 Mar '21 May '21 Jul '21 Sep '21 Nov '21 ICE Gasoil https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 11/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html NYMEX GASOLINE FUTURES 300 250 200 (¢/gallon) 150 100 50 0 May '20 Jul '20 Sep '20 Nov '20 Jan '21 Mar '21 May '21 Jul '21 Sep '21 Nov '21 US SPOT REFINED PRODUCTS New York (¢/gal) Chg. Price Prior Close Regular Gasoline -8.29 250.82 259.11 No.2 Heating Oil -6.81 236.83 243.64 No.2 ULSD Diesel -6.81 250.48 257.29 No.6 Oil 0.3% * 99.56 No.6 Oil 1% * 84.76 No.6 Oil 3% * 75.06 Gulf Coast (¢/gal) Regular Gasoline -8.29 246.92 255.21 No.2 ULSD Diesel -6.81 244.33 251.14 No.6 Oil 0.7% * 86.26 No.6 Oil 1% * 86.26 No.6 Oil 3% * 73.46 *Price in $/bbl. Percentages refer to sulfur content. INTERNATIONAL SPOT REFINED PRODUCTS Rotterdam ($/ton) Chg. Price Prior Close Regular Gasoline -6.70 820.30 827.00 ULSD Diesel -18.63 719.50 738.13 Singapore ($/bbl) Gasoil -0.66 94.65 95.31 Jet/Kerosene -0.69 94.56 95.25 VLSFO Fuel Oil ($/ton) -2.87 604.42 607.29 HSFO Fuel Oil 180 ($/ton) -8.74 471.53 480.27 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 12/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html NYMEX NATURAL GAS FUTURES $8 $6 ($/MMBtu) $4 $2 $0 May '20 Jul '20 Sep '20 Nov '20 Jan '21 Mar '21 May '21 Jul '21 Sep '21 Nov '21 Natural Gas Futures Refinitiv NATURAL GAS PRICES ($/MMBtu) Chg. Price Henry Hub, Nymex +0.32 6.20 Henry Hub, Spot +0.26 5.85 Transco Zone 6 - NY NA NA Chicago Citygate +0.28 5.86 Rockies (Opal) +0.21 5.95 Southern Calif. Citygate +0.22 6.91 AECO Hub (Canada) +0.90 5.00 Dutch TTF (euro/MWh) -2.88 84.95 UK NBP Spot (p/th) -10.00 201.00 US/Canada spot prices from Natural Gas Week Equity Markets, Oct. 27, 2021 All data are produced by Energy Intelligence in cooperation with Reuters. EQUITY MARKET INDEXES Chg. Index YTD %Chg. EIF Global* +0.36 311.04 +36.67 S&P 500 -23.11 4,551.68 +22.13 FTSE All-World* +2.29 881.28 +16.90 *Index for previous day https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 13/14
10/27/2021 https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html EIF INDEX 320 900 280 800 FTSE All-World EIF Index 240 700 200 600 160 500 Jul '20 Oct '20 Jan '21 Apr '21 Jul '21 Oct '21 EIF Index FT All World EIF Global Oil and Gas Index of 21 traded equities Copyright Notice Copyright © 2021 by Energy Intelligence Group, Inc. ISSN 1540-8108. International Oil Daily® is a registered trademark of Energy Intelligence. All rights reserved. Access, distribution and reproduction are subject to the terms and conditions of the subscription agreement and/or license with Energy Intelligence. Access, distribution, reproduction or electronic forwarding not specifically defined and authorized in a valid subscription agreement or license with Energy Intelligence is willful copyright infringement. Other publications: EI New Energy, Energy Compass, Energy Intelligence Finance, Jet Fuel Intelligence, LNG Intelligence, NGW's Gas Market Reconnaissance, Nefte Compass, Nuclear Intelligence Weekly, Oil Daily, Oil Market Intelligence, Oil Markets Briefing, Petroleum Intelligence Weekly, World Gas Intelligence. Web Site:www.energyintel.com https://cms-export.energyintel.com/templates/IssueTemplate.html 14/14
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