HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company Limited - Nine months ended December 2014
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HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company Limited Nine months ended December 2014 This is the sole and exclusive property of HDFC Life
Performance Snapshot – 9M FY15 Financial Highlights Other Highlights Revenue Growth • Ranked 1st in Group • Registered net profit • Conservation ratio* at Received Premium of ` 5.7 Bn 92% and 3rd in Individual WRP in private • Solvency Ratio of • ` 1.4 Bn (7%)# sector 187% against a interim dividend paid during the year regulatory • 36% growth vs PY in requirement of 150% New business premium$ • Accumulated losses wiped off in Q1 FY15 • NBM at 21.2% for individual business • Renewal premium higher by 17% vs PY • Expense ratio at 10.7% vs 11.2% PY • MCEV of ` 77.8 Bn as at September 30, 2014 • Assets under management at ` 635 Bn, up 37% $ New Business Premium includes Group business * Conservation ratio is for individual business # Dividend @ 7% on face value of shares of ` 10 each excluding Dividend Distribution Tax 2
Performance Summary – 9M FY15 9M FY14 9M FY15 Change FY13 FY14 Change Revenue Growth Market Share# 12.8% 14.9% - 17.5% 13.8% - New Business Premium$ (` Bn) 25.2 34.4 +36% 44.3 40.4 -9% Renewal Premium (` Bn) 51.6 60.5 +17% 68.9 80.2 +17% Total Premium (` Bn) 76.8 94.9 +23% 113.2 120.6 +7% Financial Highlights IGAAP Surplus (` Bn) 5.3 5.7 +8% 5.1 7.3 +42% Expense Ratio 11.2% 10.7% - 10.8% 10.7% - Premium less Policyholder 44.9 36.5 -19% 74.0 73.6 -1% Payouts (` Bn) AUM (` Bn) 462 635 +37% 401 503 +25% Other Highlights Conservation Ratio* 79% 92% - 79% 79% - Solvency 202% 187% - 217% 194% - NBM (Pre OR) 24.1% 21.2% - 17.8% 26.2% - MCEV^ (` Bn) 60.9 77.8 +28% 58.7 69.9 +19% #Market Share is computed on Individual Weighted Received Premium (WRP) basis $New Business Premium includes Group business * Conservation ratio is for individual business ^ MCEV is disclosed on a half-yearly basis 3
New Business Private Market Share & Ranking 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 17.5% Individual WRP 13.8% 17.2% 14.9% 12.8% Rank 2 3 3 2 3 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 14.4% Group Received Premium 17.4% 10.9% 15.3% 8.9% Rank 4 1 1 4 3 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 Total Received Premium 14.4% 15.6% 13.6% 13.7% 13.3% Rank 3 3 2 3 2 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 Continued to consolidate market share for Individual business and has been ranked amongst Top 3 for over 4½ years Ranked 1st amongst private players in Group business in 9M FY15 with 30% higher collection than closest peer Note: Market Share is computed on WRP basis for Individual business and on received premium for Group and Total business 4
Premium Income ` Bn 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 94.9 23% 2.2 117% 120.6 7% 113.2 11% 13.7 40% 2.0 10% 76.8 9% 1.8 -13% 7% 14.8 30% 70.3 1.0 6% 11.4 20% -39% 0.9 9.8 77% 5.5 -4% 60.5 17% 68.9 9% 80.2 17% 44.6 6% 51.6 16% 31.1 19.2 15% 18.5 28% 16% 23.6 -24% 14.4 -25% 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 Total Premium Single Premium (Individual) Group Premium Renewal Premium (Individual) First Year Regular Premium (Individual) Total premium grew by 23% vs PY, aided by robust growth across new business, renewal and group premium Effective customer education initiatives and ongoing customer engagement aiding growth in renewal premium 5
Distribution Mix 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 5% 9% 8% 5% 8% 8% 5% 7% 68% 56% 72% 65% 70% 72% 74% 70% 12% 7% 8% 6% 7% 7% 7% 5% 20% 22% 16% 19% 13% 16% 16% 16% 9M FY13 9M FY14 Q1 FY13 9M FY15 Q1 FY14 Q1 FY15 FY13 FY14 Agency Broker AgencyDirect Bancassurance Broker Bancassurance Direct Agency Broker Bancassurance Direct The Company is investing in new tie ups with other banks and NBFCs while strengthening its existing Bancassurance relationships Investments in focussed distribution channels such as Defence, Develop-Nurture-Achieve (DNA) model for Agency, Online and other Direct channels continue to be made as a part of the Company‟s diversification efforts The Company maintained its leading position in Online segment with 92% growth vs PY Note: The percentages are with reference to APE for individual business 6
Segment Mix 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 2% 3% 7% 3% 10% 19% 22% 15% 39% 45% 36% 43% 40% 23% 30% 36% 59% 52% 58% 50% 61% 50% 48% 49% Q1 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q1 FY15 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 Unit Linked Participating Non Participating Unit Linked Participating Non Participating Unit Linked Participating The Company continues to cater to emerging segments such as online term, health and annuity while maintaining a balanced product mix to cater to the needs of diverse segments Promising sales of first-of-its-kind Online ULIP product “Click2Invest” along with buoyant equity markets have aided in the sales of ULIP products Note: The percentages are with reference to APE for individual business 7
Conservation Ratio 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 92% 40% 79% 79% 40% 79% 79% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 Improvement in Conservation ratio aided by: Heightened focus on need-based selling Increased interaction with lapsed policyholders aiding revival collection Note: Conservation ratio is for individual business 8
Persistency Ratio 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 90% 88% 91% 91% 40% 86% 72% 71% 72% 67% 68% 30% 20% 10% 0% 13th month 25th month 37th month 49th month 61st month Dec-13 Dec-14 Improvement in 37th and 49th month persistency due to Continued focus on need-based selling approach and increased customer interaction initiatives Higher proportion of post Sept 10 policies (with higher lock-in period) in CY vs PY Note: Persistency ratios are calculated with a 1 month lag for the period of December-November for respective years on reducing balance basis 9
Operating Expenses ` Bn 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 30.0% 14.0 20.0 30.0% 20.0% 12.2% 11.2% 10.7% 18.0 20.0% 12.0 10.8% 10.7% 10.0% 16.0 10.0% 10.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 8.0 -10.0% 10.0 -10.0% 6.0 -20.0% 8.0 10.1 -20.0% 8.6 8.6 6.0 12.2 12.9 4.0 -30.0% -30.0% 4.0 2.0 -40.0% -40.0% 2.0 - -50.0% - -50.0% 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 Operating Expenses Operating Expense/Total premium Ratio 20.0 30.0% Opex / Total Premium 18.0 Ratio continues to decline and is one of the lowest in the private industry 20.0% 11.5% 10.8% 10.7% Investments continue to be made in new distribution channels, technology and products 16.0 10.0% 14.0 0.0% 12.0 10.0 -10.0% 8.0 -20.0% 12.2 12.9 6.0 11.7 -30.0% 4.0 -40.0% 2.0 - -50.0% FY12 Note: Operating expenses exclude service tax FY13 FY14 10
Premium less Policyholder Payouts ` Bn 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 40.0 47.211.9 44.9 74.0 73.6 36.5 180.0 80.0 120.0 40.0 35.0 8.9 160.0 10.0 70.0 7.3 30.0 100.0 94.9 20.0 140.0 60.0 120.6 24.2 113.2 25.0 76.8 - 120.0 5.0 50.0 80.0 70.3 19.3 20.0 17.7 (20.0) 100.0 40.0 60.0 50.2 80.0 15.1 - 30.0 15.0 (40.0) 40.0 9.3 60.0 20.0 10.0 28.2 (60.0) 35.7 40.6 20.85.2 (5.0) 40.0 10.0 5.0 20.0 8.2 1.1 (80.0) 1.8 0.6 3.7 20.0 3.6 6.4 - 2.3 - (10.0) - (100.0) - (10.0) Q1 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q1 FY15 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 Total Total Premium TotalPremium Premium Surrenders & Withdrawals Surrenders & Withdrawals Claims by Death, Maturity & Others Premium less policyholder payouts Surrenders & Withdrawals Claims by Death, Maturity & Others Net Cash flow Claims by Death, Maturity & Others The Company continues to maintain a healthy positive premium less policyholder payouts despite higher surrenders & withdrawals aided by need-based selling and strengthening of KYC processes Surrenders & withdrawals grew by 78% vs PY in value terms (driven by well-performing equity markets) though number of policies increased by 20% (21% lower vs PY for Q3 FY15) Notes: 1. Total Premium and Benefits Paid are gross of reinsurance 2. KYC – Know Your Customer 11
Indian GAAP Profits ` Bn 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 7.3 5.7 7.3 5.8 5.3 5.5 5.1 7.5 0.9 0.6 4.8 4.5 6.5 4.0 5.1 5.5 7.7 3.8 0.4 3.5 0.6 4.5 2.8 2.5 3.9 7.7 5.4 3.5 4.8 3.0 1.8 1.5 2.5 3.9 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 - (0.4) (0.1) (0.5) - (0.4) (0.2) (0.5) FY13 FY14 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 Shareholders' surplus Policyholders' surplus Deficit reversed in policyholders' A/c Paid interim dividend of ` 1.4 Bn (7%)# in Q3 FY15, 40% higher vs FY14 550 Declared a net profit of ` 5.7 Bn due to a strong back book, despite new business strain on 34% higher individual new business 450 The Company wiped off its accumulated losses in Q1 FY15 350 250 # Dividend @ 7% on face value of shares of ` 10 each excluding Dividend Distribution Tax 12
Assets Under Management 9M Performance PY (12M) Performance 42% 37% 25.3% 40% 50 18% 500 20% 24.4% 50 450 0% 400 -20% 50 635 -40% 350 503 50 300 -60% 401 462 250 -80% 50 392 -100% 200 50 -120% 150 31st Dec 2012 31st Dec 2013 31st Dec 2014 31st Mar 2013 31st Mar 2014 AUM in Rs bn Growth in AUM vs LY AUM in Rs bn Growth in AUM vs LY 50% 45% 48% 52% 45% 46% 52% 45% 45% 46% 46% 50% 55% 55% 52% 54% 55% 55% 54% 54% 48% 48% 31stDec 31st Mar2012 2012 31st 31st Mar Dec2013 2013 31st Mar 31st 2014 Dec 2014 31st Mar31st 2012Mar 2013 31st Mar 2013 31st Mar 31st 2014Mar 2014 Debt Equity Debt Equity Debt Equity Debt Equity Continued to rank amongst Top 3 in terms of total AUM in private sector with a 3 year CAGR of 32% The debt-equity mix has stabilized over the recent years with the Company maintaining a balanced portfolio 13
Fund Performance Since Inception Last 1 Year 17.1% 64.0% 14.6% 55.9% 13.1% 13.1% 10.8% 44.5% 9.9% 30.6% 32.3% 7.3% 6.0% 22.4% 14.3% 14.9% Opportunities Secured Balanced Growth Opportunities Secured Balanced Growth Benchmark Returns HDFC Life Returns 64.0% benchmarks in all the major fund categories over both, medium and The company has outperformed long term horizon 55.9% The company continues to strengthen its research capabilities to ensure a more diverse investment 44.5% portfolio & Opportunities Fund: 32.3% Inception Dates: Growth Fund, Balanced Fund, Secured Fund: January 2,200430.6% January 4,2010. Benchmarks: Growth Fund: BSE 100, Balanced Fund: 45% BSE-100 & 55% Crisil Composite Bond Index, Secured Fund: CRISIL Composite Bond Index, Opportunities Fund: CNX MIDCAP Index 22.4% Fund performance represented in Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 14
New Business Profits ` Bn 9M FY13 9M FY14 9M FY15 FY13 FY14 1 New business APE 20.1 14.9 18.3 32.8 25.4 New business profits1,2 3.6 3.6 3.9 5.8 6.7 New business margin1,2 17.9% 24.1% 21.2% 17.8% 26.2% New business profits (after impact of 4.3 4.1 acquisition expenses overrun) 1 New business margin (after impact of 13.2% 16.1% acquisition expenses overrun) 1 1 Margins and APE are shown for individual business only 2 Based on loaded acquisition expenses Higher new business profits due to 23% growth in new business APE vs PY New business margin for 9M FY15 lower vs PY due to revised expense assumptions based on review of cost structure 15
Progress on Strategic Themes Long Term Positioning • Average policy term has improved to 14.5 years (PY 13.6 years) • Balanced product mix with Traditional (42%) and Unit Linked (58%) Fortification & Diversification • Widened reach through new tie ups with NBFCs, MFIs and other partnerships • „Plug and Play‟ integration model for partner tie-ups put in place • Readiness for bancassurance open architecture model Owning Customer Segments • Launched 5 new products in 9M FY15 : • Sampoorn Samriddhi Plus - Limited premium endowment plan • Click2Invest – Low-cost Unit Linked Plan with only Mortality & Fund Management charges • Youngstar Udaan – Traditional Children plan with multiple benefit options • Click2Protect Plus – Comprehensive protection plan • Health Assure – Revamped Health Plan 16
Progress on Strategic Themes Contd... Unique Customer Experience • Revamped website - Simple, user friendly interface with 73% of the total service transactions processed through website • 53% of renewal payments received through online and direct debit modes • 89% of new business applications initiated using POS platform • Best in class claim repudiation ratio at 4.5%* for 9M FY15 Cost Leadership • Steadily improving cost ratios since FY09 • No capital infusion in last 3 years • Accumulated shareholder losses have been wiped off in Q1 FY15 * In NOP terms 17
Awards and Accolades 32nd in „Top 50 Best Places to National Quality Excellence Work for‟ Awards 2014 for Best Business Process Excellence Program National Gold Award for Excellence in Cost Management organized by ICAI „Most Admired Life Insurance TDWI Best Practices Award 2014 Companies in Private Sector‟ at for BI on a Limited Budget the BFS&I Awards, 2014 For more details about our Awards & Accolades, kindly refer our website at www.hdfclife.com 18
Awards and Accolades Contd… Ranked amongst Top 100 CISOs Best Product Innovation (Life Loyalty Award for Financials – at Infosec Maestros Awards, Insurance), Best Technology Non Banking Financial Sector at 2014 Innovation (Life Insurance) and the 7th Loyalty Awards and Most Socially Responsible Summit, 2014 Insurer (Overall), 2014 My FM Stars of the Industry - Amongst „50 Most Talented Innovative Leadership in Quality Youth Icon Award at the My FM Quality Professionals of India‟ at Award at the World Quality Stars of the Industry Awards, World Quality Congress and Congress and Awards, 2014 2014 Awards, 2014 For more details about our Awards & Accolades, kindly refer our website at www.hdfclife.com 19
Appendix & Glossary
Analysis of Change in MCEV EV profit ` Bn 7.9 77.8 -0.7 3.5 69.9 0.4 -0.8 3.1 2.4 Operating Investment Acquisition Expected variances and Methodology New Variances expense return on change in and business overrun inforce economic assumption profits changes (before assumptions expense 53.0 49.8 over-run)* 4.4 Embedded value operating profit (EVOP) 24.8 20.1 Value of in-force business Shareholder’s Adjusted Networth MCEV at MCEV at 31st Mar 14 30th Sep 14 11% growth in MCEV vs FY14 Operating variance is mainly due to adverse persistency experience on UL Investment variance is mainly due to strong performance of capital markets in H1 FY15 * New business profits pertain to Overall (Individual + Group) business 21
Appendix 1 : MCEV methodology and approach MCEV methodology The calculations of embedded value and new business profits have been performed using a market consistent embedded value (“MCEV”) approach. This approach differs from a traditional EV approach primarily in respect of the way in which allowance for risk is made. Within the traditional EV approach allowance is made for risk through an increase in the risk discount rate used to value future shareholder cash flows, whilst within the MCEV calculation explicit separate allowances are made for risk. Components of MCEV There are two components to the MCEV: 1. Shareholders’ adjusted net worth –this component represents the market value of assets attributable to shareholders. This amount is derived from the Indian GAAP balance sheet adjusted to allow for assets on a market value basis, elimination of intangible assets and to allow for shareholder attributable assets or liabilities residing within the unit-linked and non Par policyholder funds. 2. Value of in-force –this component represents the discounted value of after tax shareholder attributable cashflows expected on the business as at the valuation date. No allowance is made for future new business. This amount has been adjusted to deduct allowances for non hedgeable risk, frictional costs of required capital and the time value of financial options and guarantees. 22
Appendix 2 : Components of value of in force (“VIF”) Present value of future profits (“PVFP”) Cost of non hedgeable risk (“CNHR”) This component has been calculated by discounting the The VIF incorporates an explicit deduction to allow for non projected future after tax shareholder attributable cash- hedgeable and non economic risks. The CNHR has been flows expected to arise on in-force business at the valuation derived using a cost of capital approach and is calculated as date. The cash-flows have been projected on a the discounted value of an annual charge applied to deterministic basis using the Company‟s best estimate view projected risk bearing capital. of future persistency, mortality and expenses. Future The initial risk bearing capital has been calculated based investment returns and the risk discount rate have been set on 99.5th percentile stress events for non economic equal to the returns from the risk free (government bond) assumptions over a 1-year time horizon. This initial risk yield curve at the closing balance sheet date. bearing capital has been updated based on the portfolio Time Value of Financial Options and Guarantees of business as at 31st March 2013. ("TVFOG") Projected risk bearing capital has been determined by The Company has regularly carried out analysis of the running-off the initial risk bearing capital in line with the profile of guarantees in its Par funds to identify the level of expected movement in the regulatory solvency margin guaranteed benefits occurring at future time periods. The requirement. investment strategy of the Par funds is re-set to enable, 99.5th Percentile stress events have been taken from where possible, hedging of these guaranteed benefits the EU Solvency II, QIS 5 framework (previously QIS 4 through cashflow matching of the guarantees with fixed framework). In order to allow for the greater risks interest assets. As a result, the Company is of the view that associated with emerging markets, the risk bearing there is no residual TVFOG associated with the Par funds. capital has been uplifted by 50%. The cost associated with the investment guarantees in the The annual charge applied to the projected risk bearing unit linked funds has been allowed for in the PVFP capital is 4% p.a. calculation. The stress events, uplifts to NHR, run-off pattern for Frictional Costs of Required Capital (“FCRC”) projected risk bearing capital and annual charge, are The VIF allows for a deduction in respect of the frictional reviewed and modified if necessary on an annual basis. costs of holding required capital (“FCRC”). Required capital has been set equal to the amount of shareholder attributable assets required to back local regulatory solvency requirements. The FCRC has been calculated as the discounted value of investment costs and taxes on shareholder attributable assets backing the required capital over the lifetime of the in-force business. 23
Appendix 3 : Key assumptions underlying MCEV Expenses Mortality and morbidity Maintenance expenses have been based on the latest Mortality and morbidity assumptions are set by product expense analysis done in FY13 and are inflated at 7.5% line and are based on past experience. per annum. These assumptions do not incorporate any allowance for future productivity improvements. Persistency The Company has recently reviewed its cost structure based on the expense analysis and has derived the Persistency assumptions are set by product line, payment projected long-term acquisition expense assumptions mode and duration in-force, based on past experience based on this review. These assumptions are higher than and expectations of future experience. Separate those used earlier and have been incorporated into the decrements are modeled for lapses, surrenders, paid-ups calculation of pre-overrun margins for 9M FY15 and partial withdrawals. Economic assumptions Tax assumptions The closing MCEV is calculated assuming projected Tax assumptions are based on interpretation of existing earned and risk discount rates are both set equal to the tax legislation, where appropriate supported by legal risk free (government bond) yield curve at the closing opinion. balance sheet date. Profits attributable to shareholders are assumed to be The new business profitability is calculated with similar taxed at 14.16% for Life business and 0% for Pensions assumptions, except that the yield curve at the opening business. balance sheet date is used. Allowance is made within the tax computation for No allowance for any illiquidity premia is made within the dividend offsets permitted under Section 2A of the earned rates, except for group credit spread products. Income Tax Act and for losses incurred within the Shareholder Fund. No allowance is made for future changes to taxation such as the Direct Tax Code. These changes will be incorporated only once materially enacted. It is expected that implementation of DTC in its current form will result in a material negative impact to the MCEV and new business profitability. 24
Appendix 4 : Key components underlying MCEV movements Analysis of change in MCEV Opening modeling, assumptions and methodology Operating Variances: The Operating Variances capture changes: The models, assumptions and methodology are the impact of the deviations of the actual claims, continuously refined and improved and the impact of persistency and maintenance expense experience during these refinements is reflected in the opening changes. the period from that assumed in the opening MCEV calculation. Investment variances and change in economic Expected return on inforce: This item reflects expected assumptions: This reflects the impact due to the actual investment income on shareholder assets during the investment return being different from the expected period, and reflects that future shareholder profits are returns and the impact from the change in the yield curve closer than at the start of the period. This positive item at the end of the period compared to the yield curve at will occur in each MCEV period. the start of the period. 25
Glossary Commission ratio – Ratio of total commissions paid out on first year, single and renewal premiums to total premiums. Conservation ratio – Ratio of current year renewal premiums to previous year‟s renewal premium and first year premium. APE (Annualized Premium Equivalent) – The sum of annualized first year regular premiums and 10% weighted single premiums and single premium top-ups. First year premiums – Regular premiums received during the year for all modes of payments chosen by the customer which are still in the first year. For example, for a monthly mode policy sold in March 2014, the first installment would fall into first year premiums for 2013-14 and the remaining 11 installments in the first year would be first year premiums in 2014-15. New business received premium – The sum of first year premium and single premium. Operating expense – All expenses of management excluding service tax. It does not include commission. Operating expense ratio – Ratio of operating expenses (excluding service tax) to total premiums. Renewal premiums – Regular recurring premiums received after the first year. Solvency ratio – Ratio of available solvency margin to required solvency margins. Total premiums – Total received premiums during the year including first year, single and renewal premiums for individual and group business. Weighted received premium (WRP) – The sum of first year premium and 10% weighted single premiums and single premium top-ups. 13th month persistency – Percentage of contracts, measured by premium, still in force 13 months after they have been issued. 26
Disclaimer This release is a compilation of published financial results, other information and is not a statutory release. This may also contain statements that are forward looking. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ from our expectations and assumptions. We do not undertake any responsibility to update any forward looking statements nor should this be constituted as a guidance of future performance. This release is a privilege copy intended for reference of selected group. These disclosures are subject to the prevailing regulatory and policy framework as on December 31, 2014 and do not reflect any subsequent changes. 27
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