Godzilla Methodology Means for Determining Center of Gravity

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Godzilla Methodology Means for Determining Center of Gravity
Marine amphibious assault vehicles maneuver back
                                                                                                     to USS Tortuga at Hat Yao Beach, Krabi Province,
                                                                                                    Thailand, as part of joint/combined exercise Cobra
                                                                                                       Gold 2012 (U.S. Marine Corps/Courtney White)

Godzilla Methodology
Means for Determining Center of Gravity
By James P. Butler

          hat are enemy force capabili-                staffs need to address in planning mili-      how to determine the center of gravity.

W         ties? Where does the enemy
          derive its strength? What are
the enemy’s objectives? Combatant
                                                       tary operations.
                                                           One of the terms commonly used
                                                       while conducting an analysis of enemy
                                                                                                     How does a military planner or analyst
                                                                                                     determine the “it”? How does a military
                                                                                                     commander determine his own center of
commanders are often tasked with iden-                 force capabilities is center of gravity.      gravity so he can protect it? This article
tifying which enemy forces will need to                Military analysts and historians com-         attempts to identify a methodology for
be attacked, destroyed, or neutralized                 monly refer to a force or capability as       determining centers of gravity.
in order to achieve established military               the “enemy center of gravity,” meaning            The term center of gravity first
objectives. These are some of the ques-                that this force is of such strength that      appeared in Michael Howard and
tions combatant commanders and their                   it will need to be addressed (attacked,       Peter Paret’s translation of Carl von
                                                       destroyed, or neutralized) to achieve the     Clausewitz’s immortal discussion of
                                                       objective of the operation. Although          warfare On War.1 Clausewitz actually
Dr. James P. Butler is a Professor of Joint Military
                                                       use of this term is common, seldom            used the German term Schwerpunkt to
Operations at the Naval War College.                   does anyone offer an explanation for          describe “that area where the greatest

26    Forum / Means for Determining Center of Gravity                                                                      JFQ 72, 1st Quarter 2014
Godzilla Methodology Means for Determining Center of Gravity
concentration of enemy troops can be            destroyed; and finally he indicates that the   commanders need to know what to at-
found.”2 In the English translation of the      purpose of this destruction is to achieve      tack (the enemy center of gravity) and
book, center of gravity is defined as “the      a political or military objective. If one      what to defend (the friendly center of
hub of all power and movement, on which         were to look at Operation Desert Storm in      gravity). Rapidly attacking the enemy
everything depends. That is the point           August of 1990 for an example of center        center of gravity may be a determining
against which all our energies should be        of gravity, analysis would identify Saddam     factor in the outcome of war.
directed.”3 This definition indicates that a    Hussein and his inner circle security ap-          For years, commanders and their staffs
center of gravity is not just any concentra-    paratus as the enemy strategic center of       have struggled to correctly identify centers
tion of military strength, but the source of    gravity and the Republican Guard as the        of gravity. If an enemy has multiple forces
strength that must be attacked.                 operational center of gravity.7 Although       that are strong and formidable, how does
     Planners and analysts of modern            Saddam had multiple critical strengths         a planner determine which one is the cen-
warfare expend great time and energy            (for example, an integrated air defense        ter of gravity? For example, enemy sources
analyzing enemy force capabilities to pre-      system, land-based ballistic missiles,         of strength may include a strong army,
pare for military operations. Where does        missile-armed surface combatant ships,         superior navy, and formidable air force.
the enemy derive its strength? What is the      and sea mine inventories and delivery          Which force should commanders devote
enemy’s source of power? Analysis may           platforms) available during this operation,    their maximum effort toward attacking,
reveal that a particular leader is the source   the Republican Guard was the source of         neutralizing, or destroying?
of power at the strategic level of war or       power used to achieve his objective of
that an elite division or army component        occupying and holding Kuwait. That was         Center of Gravity Analysis
is the source of power at the operational       the force the allies needed to degrade,        In answering these questions, Vego pro-
level.4 These sources of power where the        neutralize, or destroy to prevent Saddam       poses that commanders and their staffs
enemy derives its strength are commonly         from achieving his operational objective       conduct an analysis of objectives and the
referred to as centers of gravity.              of defeating or neutralizing the coali-        military situation to determine centers
     Joint doctrine defines center of gravity   tion force attempting to liberate Kuwait,      of gravity. The purpose of analyzing the
as “a source of power that provides moral       which was linked to his strategic objective    military situation is to determine critical
or physical strength, freedom of action,        of retaining Kuwait as a 19th province.8       factors, which are things “considered
or will to act.”5 Joint doctrine also speci-                                                   essential for the accomplishment of the
fies that centers of gravity may be found       Why Is This Important?                         specific military objective.”11 Critical
at all three levels of war (strategic, opera-   Commanders need to effectively                 factors can be tangible (physical things
tional, and tactical) and that they should      employ their forces in order to enhance        that can be measured or touched) or
be nested, meaning the destruction of an        their ability to achieve objectives. The       intangible (abstract things that are dif-
operational-level center of gravity should      strength of forces needs to be applied         ficult to measure). For example, in mea-
have a major impact on the strategic cen-       toward achieving objectives, not wasted        suring the tangible aspects of an army
ter of gravity. For example, destruction        on secondary, insignificant actions.           division, one could count the number
of an operational-level center of gravity       Many of the principles of war directly         of troops or tanks or artillery pieces
(for example, an elite army division) will      apply in determining the importance            assigned to the unit. Intangible factors
impact the strategic center of gravity (the     of centers of gravity.9 For example, the       of the army division might include a
nation’s will to fight).                        commander should direct the operation          discussion of unit morale, training, or
     Milan Vego, one of the foremost the-       toward a clearly defined goal (which           warfighting ability.
orists on operational warfare, emphasizes       emphasizes the principle of objective).             In addition to identifying tangible
the importance of identifying the center        The commander should also concen-              and intangible factors, Vego proposes di-
of gravity and defines it as “a source of       trate the effects of combat power at           viding critical factors into two categories:
massed strength—physical or moral—or            the most advantageous place and time           critical strengths and critical weaknesses.
a source of leverage whose serious deg-         (emphasizes the principle of mass) and         Critical strengths are “primary sources of
radation, dislocation, neutralization, or       minimize the expending of combat               physical or moral potential/power or ele-
destruction would have the most decisive        power on secondary efforts (emphasiz-          ments that integrate, protect, and sustain
impact on the enemy’s or one’s own              ing economy of force).10 Although all the      specific sources of combat potential/
ability to accomplish a given political/        principles of war can be addressed to          power.”12 Determination of what forces
military objective.”6 The value of Vego’s       varying degrees in this way, their rel-        are critical is based on the good judg-
definition is that he addresses three key       evance is not as direct.                       ment and experience of commanders and
aspects of a center of gravity. First, he           Time is also a critical element            their staffs. Elements are deemed critical
identifies the center of gravity as a source    in warfare. The efforts of the com-            strengths if they affect or potentially af-
of physical or moral strength; he then in-      mander should be synchronized toward           fect accomplishment of the objective.
dicates that this source of strength should     achieving the objective in the shortest        Critical weaknesses are sources of power,
be degraded, dislocated, neutralized, or        possible time. To be successful in warfare,    essential for accomplishing the objective,

JFQ 72, 1st Quarter 2014                                                                                                      Butler    27
Godzilla Methodology Means for Determining Center of Gravity
USS John C. Stennis and USS George Washington in Andaman Sea with their carrier strike groups (U.S. Navy/Kenneth Abbate)

that are grossly inadequate to accomplish         if the attacking force had the ability to             How does one know if he has selected
the mission.13 At the operational level           exploit this vulnerability. On the other         the correct center of gravity? Even if one
of war, a force might be considered as            hand, identification of critical strengths       explicitly followed Vego’s recommenda-
a critical weakness if it were necessary          as critical vulnerabilities is often more        tion for conducting an analysis of force
to accomplish the objective and it was            difficult. Determination of vulnerabilities      capabilities, one could still select the
considered to be deficient in some aspect         in elements considered critical strengths        wrong element on the critical strength
such as mobility, firepower, doctrine, mo-        is possible, especially if one considers at-     list. This could be a costly error if forces
rale, or training. In determining critical        tacking logistic support or sustainment          were wasted attacking the wrong center
strengths and weaknesses, it is essential         requirements. For example, if a carrier          of gravity. The Godzilla Methodology
to keep military objectives in mind.              strike group (a naval force composed of a        was developed to resolve this problem
Consideration should be given only to             carrier and multiple cruisers, destroyers,       and assist military planners in determin-
those elements (critical strengths or criti-      frigates, and submarines) is identified as a     ing which element on a list of critical
cal weaknesses) that have some effect on          critical strength, its vulnerability may be      strengths is the correct center of gravity.
accomplishing the objective.                      its logistic support. Rather than attacking
     Continuing to follow Vego’s analytical       the carrier strike group directly, an enemy      The Godzilla Methodology
construct, other factors to be considered         might attack this force indirectly by tar-       Since Godzilla first terrorized Japan in
are those that are vulnerable to attack.          geting its supply ships.                         Ishiro Honda’s 1954 film (appropri-
Those elements (critical strengths or                  Having identified critical strengths,       ately titled Godzilla), this monster has
critical weaknesses) open to attack or ex-        critical weaknesses, and critical vulnerabil-    wreaked havoc on civilizations through-
ploitation because of some deficiency are         ities, the next step in determining center       out the world.16 As a fictional creature
identified by Vego as critical vulnerabili-       of gravity is to look at the list of elements    born from the fallout of atomic bomb
ties.14 It is often easier to identify elements   considered critical strengths. One of the        testing in the Pacific, this giant quasi-
considered critical weaknesses as critical        elements on that list is the center of grav-     dinosaur has gained popularity as both
vulnerabilities because their deficiency          ity, a critical strength that is essential for   a destructive monster and as a hero, a
may lend itself to the reason the force           achieving the objective. This is where the       defender of friends.
is vulnerable to attack. For example, an          analysis could lead to problems and er-              Godzilla had the power to reach out
infantry battalion (composed of approxi-          rors—the misidentification of the center         and destroy antagonist forces and protect
mately 850 men) might be considered a             of gravity is a common mistake. The cen-         friendly forces from harm. For example,
critical weakness because it does not pos-        ter of gravity may not be the strongest or       as an antagonist, he was depicted sinking
sess the ability to defend itself from attack     largest force on the critical strength list.     ships, downing aircraft, and even destroy-
from the air.15 This same deficiency might        Reasoning must be employed to deter-             ing cities; as a hero, he was depicted as
lead those conducting the analysis to             mine which critical strength is necessary        defending friends from imminent de-
consider this force a critical vulnerability      to achieve the objective.                        struction by other mythical monsters.

28   Forum / Means for Determining Center of Gravity                                                                       JFQ 72, 1st Quarter 2014
The basic premise of the Godzilla           in order to establish an airfield, which         their objective? Surprisingly, the answer
Methodology is to use this mythical              would be used to facilitate follow-on op-        is still no. In fact, it is not until Godzilla
monster to determine which force on the          erations for the island-hopping concept          destroys the amphibious attack force that
critical strengths list is required to achieve   developed during World War II.                   the Allied operational objective is pre-
the objective. Godzilla destroys (re-                Godzilla will defend the Japanese-           vented. Thus, the amphibious attack force
moves) one force at a time from the list         held island from attack by Allied forces.        is the enemy operational center of gravity.
of critical strengths until removal of a par-    If the Japanese had conducted an analysis        It is the only force capable of establishing
ticular force prevents the objective from        of force capabilities to determine the           lodgment ashore.
being achieved. When that happens and            Allied operational- level critical strengths,         Determining the center of gravity is
the objective can no longer be achieved          they may have identified the following           only one step in identifying how to attack
because of the removal (neutralization           elements: the submarines assigned to             the enemy. After determining the enemy
or destruction) of a particular force, then      commander, Submarine Forces Pacific;             center of gravity, the Japanese staff of-
that force is the center of gravity. The         the land-based air in the region; a fast car-    ficers would still have to continue their
Godzilla Methodology allows planners             rier force (consisting of aircraft carriers,     analysis to determine how to attack it and
to identify which force is the center of         fast battleships, cruisers, and destroy-         the other enemy forces identified in the
gravity by comparing forces identified as        ers); a fire support group (consisting of        analysis of critical strength forces. For
critical strengths to the objective.             battleships, cruisers, and destroyers) used      example, the Japanese staff officers would
     By definition, the center of gravity is     primarily for force protection and gunfire       also need to address how to defeat or
a source of strength whose destruction or        support; and an amphibious attack force          neutralize the Allied fast carrier force and
neutralization would have a decisive im-         (composed of cruisers, destroyers, de-           fire support group. These forces would
pact on the enemy’s or one’s own ability         stroyer escorts, escort carriers, transports,    have been assigned to support and pro-
to accomplish a given political/military         cargo ships, landing craft, mine craft, and      tect the amphibious attack force so the
objective.17 Having determined which             supply vessels carrying one or more Army         Japanese would have to deal with each
force is the center of gravity, planners can     or Marine divisions).                            of these forces in some way (deception
continue their analysis to determine how             Using Godzilla as a destructive              may be used in addition to annihilation)
to attack (enemy) or defend (friendly)           force, the Japanese staff officers could         before commencing an attack on the am-
sources of power.                                have examined this list of Allied critical       phibious attack force.
                                                 strengths by destroying one force at a                In this example, the amphibious at-
An Example                                       time, and then analyzing the impact the          tack force possesses minimal strength
To illustrate this methodology, Godzilla         removal of each force would have had on          during its transition to the amphibious
will be used to determine centers of             achieving the objective. For example, if         operating area. It has significant potential
gravity for a notional Allied amphibious         the Japanese used Godzilla to destroy all        strength because of the infantry division
operation in the Pacific during World            the Allied submarines operating in the           onboard, but only minimal offensive
War II. Looking first at the enemy               region, would that prevent the Allies from       strength while in transit. This is the fact
objectives, Godzilla will support Japa-          achieving their operational objective of         that causes staff officers the greatest prob-
nese forces by destroying Allied critical        establishing lodgment ashore? The answer         lem when trying to determine centers
strengths until one is identified whose          is no. Considering all the forces that re-       of gravity. The fast carrier force and fire
removal would prevent the Allies from            main on the critical strength list, the Allies   support groups obviously possess greater
achieving their operational objective.           could still conduct an amphibious landing        dynamic strength, so why are they not
Having determined the enemy (Allied)             and achieve their objective (seizing the         the center of gravity? The answer lies with
center of gravity, the Godzilla Method-          island). Thus, the Allied submarines are         the objective. If the objective is to seize
ology will then be used to determine             not the center of gravity. Continuing            and occupy an island, then the amphibi-
the friendly (Japanese) center of gravity.       with this methodology, if Godzilla de-           ous attack force is the only force that can
    The ultimate strategic objective of          stroyed all the land-based aircraft in the       achieve that objective. This is the only
the Allied forces in the Pacific during          operational region, would this prevent           force listed as a critical strength that has
World War II was “the unconditional sur-         the Allies from achieving their operational      the ability to seize and hold territory.
render of Japan.”18 The immediate Allied         objective? Once again, the answer is no.         Aircraft, ships, and submarines cannot
strategic objective was “to obtain posi-         The Allies could still use their remaining       seize and hold territory; only the am-
tions from which the ultimate surrender          forces to assault and occupy the island.         phibious forces of the amphibious attack
of Japan can be forced by intensive air          Thus, land-based aircraft should not be          force can do that.
bombardment, by sea and air blockade,            considered the center of gravity. Godzilla            This methodology can also be used
and by invasion if necessary.”19 An Allied       could then destroy another force, such as        to determine the friendly (Japanese)
generic operational-level objective, nested      the fast carrier force or the fire support       center of gravity. The Japanese strategic
under these strategic objectives, might          group. Would removal of either of these          objective in the Pacific during World
have been to seize an island in the Pacific      forces prevent the Allies from achieving         War II was to win a great engagement

JFQ 72, 1st Quarter 2014                                                                                                          Butler     29
center of gravity, the Godzilla methodol-
                                                                                                      ogy may provide an answer. Without
                                                                                                      application of this imaginative methodol-
                                                                                                      ogy, planners may make costly mistakes
                                                                                                      by focusing their attack on the wrong
                                                                                                      force. Mistakes of this type can lead to
                                                                                                      catastrophic consequences. JFQ

                                                                                                      Notes
                                                                                                           1
                                                                                                             Carl von Clausewitz, On War, ed. and
                                                                                                      trans. Michael Howard and Peter Paret (Princ-
                                                                                                      eton: Princeton University Press, 1976).
                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                             Ibid., 485.
                                                                                                           3
                                                                                                             Ibid., 595.
                                                                                                           4
                                                                                                             Joint Publication (JP) 3-0, Joint Opera-
                                                                                                      tions (Washington, DC: The Joint Staff, August
                                                                                                      11, 2011), identifies three levels of war to
Members of 82nd Airborne board C-17 Globemaster III to conduct static line jump during mobility air   distinguish between national objectives and tac-
forces exercise (U.S. Air Force/Jason Robertson)                                                      tical actions. The strategic level is the highest,
                                                                                                      referring to the employment of the instruments
at sea (decisive battle) with the Allies to         attack the Allied forces en route to the is-      of national power to achieve theater, national,
negotiate a settlement.20 An example of             land to prevent the landing. The Japanese         or multinational objectives. The operational
                                                                                                      level links the tactical to the strategic, and the
a theater-strategic objective may have              naval fire support group is the friendly          tactical is characterized as the employment of
been to maintain control over a particular          operational-level center of gravity that          forces in relation to each other.
geographic region to keep the Japanese              should be protected. Protection in this                5
                                                                                                             JP 5-0, Joint Operational Planning (Wash-
sea lines of communication open, their              example does not mean this force should           ington, DC: The Joint Staff, August 11, 2011),
resources flowing, and their territorial ex-        be held back and hidden from harm, but            III-22.
                                                                                                           6
                                                                                                             Milan Vego, Joint Operational Warfare:
pansion boundaries intact. An operational           rather that it should be used in the attack       Theory and Practice (Newport, RI: U.S. Naval
objective may have been to prevent the              with the support of other forces on the           War College, 2009), VII-13.
Allies from attacking this notional island          list of critical strengths. For example, the           7
                                                                                                             U.S. Naval War College, Joint Operation
in the Pacific. If Japanese planners were to        land-based air could be used to provide           Planning Process (JOPP) Workbook (Newport,
compile a list of friendly critical strengths       protection from aircraft attack and the           RI: U.S. Naval War College, 2012), C-7–C-9.
                                                                                                           8
                                                                                                             Ibid., C-7.
(Japanese forces), it would be similar to           submarines could be used to provide                    9
                                                                                                             Nine principles of war are recognized in
the Allies, and might include a naval fire          defense in depth for the Japanese naval           joint doctrine: objective, offensive, mass, ma-
support group (multiple types of war-               fire support group as it attacks the Allied       neuver, economy of force, unity of command,
ships such as aircraft carriers, battleships,       center of gravity.                                security, surprise, and simplicity. See JP 3-0.
cruisers, and destroyers), submarines,                   The Godzilla Methodology provides
                                                                                                           10
                                                                                                              JP 3-0, A-1–A-5.
                                                                                                           11
                                                                                                              Vego, VII-14.
land-based air, and an infantry battalion.          a simple but effective means of identify-              12
                                                                                                              Ibid.
    In using the Godzilla Methodology to            ing centers of gravity. This mythical film             13
                                                                                                              Ibid., VII-16.
determine the friendly center of gravity,           figure can be used by commanders and                   14
                                                                                                              Ibid.
each element on the critical strength list          their staffs during the planning process to            15
                                                                                                              Yves J. Bellanger, U.S. Army Infantry
would be analyzed and removed one item              determine which forces are necessary to           Divisions 1943–45: Volume 1—Organization,
                                                                                                      Doctrine and Equipment (Solihull, England:
at a time until the objective cannot be             achieve military objectives. Identification       Helion and Company Limited, 2002), 53.
achieved. For example, if all the subma-            of enemy centers of gravity allows com-                16
                                                                                                              David Kalat, A Critical History and
rines in the area were removed, could the           manders to focus their efforts on the             Filmography of Toho’s Godzilla Series, 2nd ed.
Japanese still prevent the Allies from at-          neutralization or destruction of those            (Jefferson, NC: McFarland Company, 2010), 2.
tacking this notional island? Yes, they have        forces that have a decisive impact on ac-
                                                                                                           17
                                                                                                              Vego, VII-13.
                                                                                                           18
                                                                                                              Commander in Chief, Pacific Ocean
other forces that would allow the Japanese          complishing a given political/military            Areas, Campaign Plan Granite (College Park,
to achieve their objective. It is easy to           objective. The identification of friendly         MD: Department of the Navy, 1944), 1.
ascertain that the naval fire support group         centers of gravity allows commanders to                19
                                                                                                              Ibid.
would be the critical strength necessary            focus their efforts to protect and possibly            20
                                                                                                              David C. Evans and Mark R. Peattie,
for achieving the objective of preventing           enhance the capability of those forces            Kaigun: Strategy, Tactics, and Technology in the
                                                                                                      Imperial Japanese Navy 1887–1941 (Annapolis,
the Allies from seizing this notional island        necessary for achieving objectives.               MD: Naval Institute Press, 1997), 515.
in the Pacific. This is the only force with              If commanders are having difficulty
enough mobility and strength available to           determining which force is the enemy

30   Forum / Means for Determining Center of Gravity                                                                        JFQ 72, 1st Quarter 2014
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