Global Cosmetics Cluster Europe
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1 GCC.EU MARKETS WATCH JANUARY 2021 GCC.eu LATEST NEWS AND MARKET INTELLIGENCE ON THE Markets TARGET COUNTRIES FOR THE GCC.EU NETWORK INDIA - MEXICO - SOUTH KOREA - UAE - USA Watch
Voice of the Industry Dear colleagues, dear friends, As you probably know, Europe is the leading consumer market for the cosmetics industry with €79.8 billion in 2019, out of a worldwide turnover of €500 billion. More than a market, cosmetics is a major industrial asset for Europe. It generates nearly 2 million direct jobs. It invests in research and innovation. It benefits from an exceptional pool of talents and skills. It promotes international expertise that places Europe at the forefront of the world. Through the “Global Cosmetics Cluster - Europe” (GCC.eu), Cosmetic Valley and its partners wanted to unite European players in an increasingly competitive context, in a changing world. Sharing best practices, pooling resources, collaborating on innovation, jointly addressing major export markets, are all wishes shared by the members of this great network. A network fostering the development of your business with the support of the European Commission. To offer consumers ever safer, more innovative and sustainable products, To develop the economy and employment in Europe in the cosmetics sector, For Europe to consolidate its position as a leader and global benchmark, GCC.eu is offering in 2021 a support program dedicated to the internationalization of your business. The GCC.eu teams are at your disposal to go international and help you in the recovery of your activity. CHRISTOPHE MASSON GENERAL DIRECTOR COSMETIC VALLEY 2
GCC.EU MARKETS WATCH JANUARY 2021 Special Latest Focus News TARGET MARKETS NEWS ON BEAUTY & PERSONAL CARE BUSINESS, INNOVATION, MARKET UPDATE TRENDS, REGULATORY & RETAIL P. 04 P. 13 Market Go Data International BEAUTY & PERSONAL FIND SERVICES & ACTIVITIES CARE MARKET DATA ON TO ENHANCE YOUR TARGET COUNTRIES INTERNATIONALISATION P. 17 P. 24
SPECIAL FOCUS JANUARY 2021 Beauty & Personal Care Market Update SOURCE: EUROMONITOR BEAUTY & PERSONAL CARE: QUARTERLY STATEMENT Q4 2020 Last months of 2020 reveals a general downgrade in beauty for the year 2020, as the global economy slips into recession and the overall industry landscape remains unpredictable. The 2021 recovery is slated to be rosier than originally expected, due to initial signs of successful mass COVID-19 vaccination in a few countries, as well as various business initiatives to stimulate demand and the return to consumption. The latest 2020 downgrade is further driven by the new wave of lockdowns seen in several countries, which continues to impact brick-and-mortar sales as people are confined to their homes. On the positive side, resilience is being seen in categories aligned with enhanced self care routines, wellness and preventative health principles. 5
SPECIAL FOCUS JANUARY 2021 Despite a number of operational challenges and All forecast scenarios anticipate the recovery of transformational consumer shifts, industry the industry by 2022; however, further sentiment remains upbeat and various downgrades to global economic forecasts could opportunities remain. potentially slow the pace. Skin care continues to be a bright spot, set to grow twice as fast as colour cosmetics in all While some positive signs of growth are starting scenarios due to its alignment with self care and to emerge across isolated geographical and health. Though premium beauty has seen a category pockets, the industry will need to brace significant slump it is still projected to grow 3-6 itself for a continued battle to capture and times faster than mass beauty over the next five engage with more channel and brand agnostic years in all scenarios, led by Asia. consumers as a “new normal” socioeconomic Digital acceleration continues, with a number of reality unfolds. players reporting double-digit growth rates for their online sales for their last quarter. Under Euromonitor’s C19 pessimistic scenarios 1, 2, and 3, BPC is expected to decline by 3% globally in 2020, 25-57 basis points lower than our base case scenario. Global recovery is anticipated in 2021 under scenario 1 (25-35% probability over a one year horizon), but under the other two scenarios a much slower recovery is predicted, due to the potential for a third and possible fourth wave in 2021 and the later mass roll-out of COVID-19 vaccines or treatments in 2022-2023. Source: Euromonitor Beauty and Personal Care Industry Forecast Dashboard, Updated November 2020 6
SPECIAL FOCUS JANUARY 2021 Soft demand drivers FROM THE EUROMONITOR INDUSTRY FORECAST MODEL CLEANSING PRODUCTS TO INVESTMENT IN DIGITAL CONTINUES TO PROLIFERATE FLOURISH ON THE BACK OF IMPROVED HYGIENE PRACTICES Hygiene-related categories have remained resilient during the pandemic, and newly established preventative health awareness and habits are set to sustain growth moving forward. Further opportunities exist in upscaling hand hygiene offerings with a number of added attributes, such as natural fragrances, skin conditioning, moisturising and sustainable packaging. Oral care, on the other hand, could benefit from a more beauty-aligned positioning, professional strength formulas and endorsing its necessity as part of well-rounded self-care routines. SUSTAINABILITY EFFORTS SUPPORT NARRATIVES OF Unsurprisingly, companies such as Unilever and PURPOSE AND CONSCIOUS BEAUTY P&G are riding the wave of pandemic-related consumption. Unilever reported 20% growth in its cleansing portfolio in the Jul-Sep quarter and has launched hand sanitisers in 65 new markets since March. The company’s flagship brand Lifebuoy became its latest EUR1 billion brand, and was reported to have grown by 67% year to date. P&G launched Safeguard hand soap and hand sanitisers in North America and reported growth of 30% in personal cleansing for its latest quarter, with double-digit growth in every region. Source: Euromonitor International’s Voice of the Industry Sustainability Survey, conducted in June 2020 7
SPECIAL FOCUS JANUARY 2021 About our target markets USA India INDIA - MEXICO - SOUTH KOREA - UAE - USA MIXED GEOGRAPHICAL RESPONSES IN Q4 2020 USA saw a slight upgrade, as a result of a rise in overall retail spend (up by 7% in November according to the US Census Bureau), stronger consumer demand and booming online activity reported for the last quarter by major market players. A flat five-year forecast CAGR is expected, as growth in skin care, bath and shower, and baby products is set to offset continued declines in colour cosmetics and fragrances. Conversely, Japan saw the largest downgrade in Q4 2020 versus Q3, with total beauty sales now expected to dip by 7.9% in 2020 versus growth of 1.6% expected pre-COVID-19, due to weaker than expected consumer sentiment with restrictions on movement and other measures being strengthened on the back of rising cases. Softer in-store traffic, sharp declines in prestige sales and a significant dip in inbound tourism have been largely to blame. China continues its positive rebound trajectory, forecast to witness a CAGR of 8% over 2019- 2024, owing to burgeoning online sales (including new points of sale on social media and livestreaming) and strong domestic spending, particularly in the area of prestige skin care and make-up. 8
SPECIAL FOCUS JANUARY 2021 About our target markets India INDIA - MEXICO - SOUTH KOREA - UAE - USA BIG UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING INDIA’S RECOVERY Most beauty categories saw a downgrade in E-commerce sales have been supported by India, as the country continues to be plagued the industry’s response to some of the by rising COVID-19 cases. Lack of stringent digital and delivery omnichannel initiatives safety advice and poor contact tracing quickly dopted in other parts of the world, implementation from the government makes such as kerbside pickup, livestreaming and home seclusion still a factor, which is heavily AR/VR, partly offsetting declines in offline impacting store-based retailers. retail. The pandemic has kickstarted the digital Euromonitor International’s Digital shift, with beauty e-commerce expected to Consumer survey 2020 indicates that 43% of grow by 35% in 2020. Online sales are not, Indian consumers had used virtual reality in however, sufficient to fully mitigate the loss the past year, versus a global average of of revenue from physical channels, as BPC 22%, giving ample opportunities for brands ecommerce is still in its infancy in India and to ramp up their digitalisation efforts. accounted for only 4% of value sales in 2019. Pure play beauty e-tailers, such as Nykaa, are leading the digital shift with exclusive online tie-ups with several foreign brands, as well as transparent genuine product guarantees to gain consumers’ trust. US-based Fidelity Investments has recently invested an undisclosed sum in Nykaa to ride on the fast-growing beauty ecommerce market in India. FURTHER DOWNGRADE IN INDIA’S GDP TO PUSH BPC RECOVERY TO 2022 9
SPECIAL FOCUS JANUARY 2021 About our target markets S. Korea INDIA - MEXICO - SOUTH KOREA - UAE - USA “MASKNE” SOLUTIONS INCREASE GROWTH POTENTIAL FOR ACNE TREATMENTS The need for clinical backing is no stronger than in results-driven categories such as acne treatments, with a quarter of global respondents citing “efficacy” as the most desired product feature. At a time when people are wearing masks to protect others from COVID-19, many are exposing their faces to more irritation than usual, which creates various skin issues, such as acne, rashes, breakouts, blemishes and itchiness. Google trends show a sharp jump in searches for the term “maskne” since May 2020, with a significant proportion coming from Singapore, Philippines and Malaysia, given the tropical climate. Asia presents the largest revenue potential for the category, followed by Western Europe, with innovation activity and “maskne” product repositioning still mostly coming from Asia. The South Korean retailer Peach & Lily has responded by creating a Maskne Essentials category on its e- commerce platform, primarily for acne treatments. While the 15-29 age group is the key target, there is ample scope for adult-positioned products which offer other attributes, such as radiance, hydration and firming properties. With skin sensitivity being a core concern and a key underlying factor in breakouts, several ingredient manufacturers, as well as cosmetics ODM players, are investing in this space. Evonik is targeting Asia Pacific with its natural skin sensitive active ingredient Rovisome Sensitive NG, while Cosmax announced a new formulation free from fragrances, essential oils or surfactants, which can be irritating to the skin. 10
SPECIAL FOCUS JANUARY 2021 About our target markets UAE Mexico USA INDIA - MEXICO - SOUTH KOREA - UAE - USA DIGITAL TESTING AND SUBSCRIPTION MODELS TO REVIVE FRAGRANCES Fragrances have been one of the worst causalities of the pandemic, with five year forecasts across all regions bar Asia remaining in negative territory. Our latest quarterly update, however, indicates a modest recovery in 2021 for countries including the US, Russia, Germany and Australia. While the olfactory nature of fragrances and their high dependence on trial makes it difficult to succeed online, leveraging subscription boxes could play a role in the category’s recovery through sampling and experience. 2020 has seen the rise in adoption of beauty subscription services, and a number of players, such as Lush and Feelunique, have made a foray into this space. Digital sampling programme initiatives are also underway. L'Oréal Luxe, for example teamed up with Pinterest in November on the Luxury Fragrance Finder, featuring a custom landing page quiz that seeks to match Pinterest users with their perfect fragrances, which can then be purchased via the L’Oréal Luxe e-commerce site. As retail stores reopen, fragrance brands will look to upgrade hygiene standards and incorporate contactless testers at the point of sale, with Natura’s latest partnership with Noar tech start-up in Brazil being a case in point. 11
Latest TARGET MARKETS NEWS ON News BUSINESS, INNOVATION, TRENDS, REGULATORY & RETAIL MARKETS TOPICS INDIA - USA - MEXICO BUSINESS - INNOVATION SOUTH KOREA - UAE TRENDS - LEGAL - RETAIL
LATEST NEWS JANUARY 2021 Latest News TARGET MARKETS NEWS ON BUSINESS, INNOVATION, TRENDS, LEGAL & RETAIL BUSINESS UAE A KEY ECONOMIC PARTNER OF SOUTH KOREA (INTERVIEW) UAE is a key economic partner of South Korea, and the value of their trade exchange exceeded $12.5 billion in 2019, and over 200 Korean companies are currently operating in the UAE, according to Kim Young-ju, Chairman of the Korea International Trade Association (Kita). Source & more information BEAUTY STARTUP NYKAA PLANS $3 BILLION IPO THIS YEAR The startup founded by Falguni Nayar, a former investment banker, is working with advisers to prepare for the share sale in Mumbai. Source & more information CORONAVIRUS HAS SLOWED K-BEAUTY’S BILLIONAIRE BOOM Social distancing and remote work have lessened demand for make-up and led to store closures. Travel restrictions have also cut off the flow of big-spending Chinese tourists and individual merchants who buy tax-free goods Source & more information 13
LATEST NEWS JANUARY 2021 MARKETS TOPICS INDIA - USA - MEXICO BUSINESS - INNOVATION SOUTH KOREA - UAE TRENDS - LEGAL - RETAIL LEGAL - REGULATORY COSMETICS CONTAMINATION: PRODUCTS MANUFACTURED IN INDIA, MIDDLE EAST AND US HAVE HIGHEST LEVELS OF MICROBIAL CONTAMINATION Cosmetics manufactured in India, Middle East and US are the most susceptible to contamination by aerobic mesophilic bacteria, yeast and moulds, according to new research. Source & more information FULL DECLARATION OF INGREDIENTS, NOT COSMETIC, MADE MANDATORY The Indian government has decided to set up the first Central Cosmetics Laboratory and appoint inspectors across states. Source & more information TRENDS COVID-19 CREATES RESILIENT BEAUTY TREND AND ACCELERATE CLEAN BEAUTY MOVEMENT IN APAC - DSM Resilient beauty is a new trend set to emerge from the COVID-19 pandemic, according to ingredient manufacturer DSM. Source & more information SKINCARE, E-COMMERCE: BEAUTY INDUSTRY LIFELINES COVID-19 has wreaked havoc across all industries. Some saw its effects in the first months and even weeks of the crisis. In other cases, the effects are just beginning to show. A latter example is the beauty industry, which has noticed that the use of masks is not encouraging the purchase of makeup. Source & more information TOP TRENDS REFORMING THE INDIAN BEAUTY INDUSTRY It’s go-time for innovative beauty trends and beauty beyond boundaries to grow like never before in India. With the global beauty industry being valued in the billions, India has begun to take its place at the beauty table. Source & more information 14
LATEST NEWS JANUARY 2021 MARKETS TOPICS INDIA - USA - MEXICO BUSINESS - INNOVATION SOUTH KOREA - UAE TRENDS - LEGAL - RETAIL CORONAVIRUS HAS SLOWED K-BEAUTY’S BILLIONAIRE BOOM Social distancing and remote work have lessened demand for make-up and led to store closures. Travel restrictions have also cut off the flow of big-spending Chinese tourists and individual merchants who buy tax-free goods Source & more information INNOVATION CES REPORT: BEAUTY-TECH TRENDS TO WATCH IN 2021 Customized beauty and AR try-on were hot topics at CES this year as beauty continues to make its mark on the annual event. Source & more information RETAIL GLOBAL COSMETIC BRANDS ARE LESS EXPENSIVE IN CANADA AND THE USA THAN IN CHINA The price of a lipstick can vary - sometimes even double - whether it’s purchased in Turkey, in France or in Thailand. The British cosmetics comparison website Cosmetify has compared the cost of five iconic beauty products in different countries worldwide. Source & more information TOP BEAUTY BRANDS IN THE MIDDLE EAST The Middle East is defined as one of the world’s fastest-growing beauty markets, buoyed by strong purchasing power and high international brand engagement, but what names are ahead of the pack? Source & more information WITH AN END TO PANDEMIC STRUGGLES IN SIGHT, BEAUTY LOOKS TOWARD A PRETTIER FUTURE Unlike apparel, which will face a longer recovery, beauty could be back to 2019 levels by the first half of 2021, according to McKinsey. Source & more information 15
Market Data SPECIFIC CATEGORIES OF BEAUTY & PERSONAL CARE ANALYSED AND COMPARED IN OUR TARGET COUNTRIES
MARKET DATA JANUARY 2021 Market Data SPECIFIC CATEGORIES OF BEAUTY & PERSONAL CARE ANALYSED AND COMPARED IN OUR TARGET COUNTRIES IN THIS EDITION Category SKIN CARE Consumer Abstract Observer UAE Mexico India Claims most used Retail Value Sales Performance Distribution Chanels Sales by Categories S. Korea USA Brands Shares In this section of the newsletter a quantitative analysis of each of our target markets for a specific category can be found. Each edition of the newsletter will focus on a different category and will analyse the performance of these markets from two different perspectives. On the one hand we will focus on the category itself with the "Category Abstract" in which you will be able to analyse the size of the market, the sales performance both overall and by subcategories. On the other hand, we will have the "Consumer Observer" where we will have a point of view closer to retail with data such as the most used Claims, the distribution channels and their evolution and the distribution of the market by brands. 17
MARKET DATA JANUARY 2021 IN THIS EDITION Category Consumer SKIN CARE Abstract Observer Retail Value RSP 2020 - EUR million 1885,5 India CLAIMS MOST USED IN THIS MARKET 2019 - TOTAL SKUS: 157.876 18
MARKET DATA JANUARY 2021 IN THIS EDITION Category Consumer SKIN CARE Abstract Observer Retail Value RSP 2020 - EUR million 1862,4 Mexico CLAIMS MOST USED IN THIS MARKET 2019 - TOTAL SKUS: 110.080 19
MARKET DATA JANUARY 2021 IN THIS EDITION Category Consumer SKIN CARE Abstract Observer Retail Value RSP 2020 - EUR million 5636 S. Korea CLAIMS MOST USED IN THIS MARKET 2019 - TOTAL SKUS: 1.386.343 20
MARKET DATA JANUARY 2021 IN THIS EDITION Category Consumer SKIN CARE Abstract Observer Retail Value RSP 2020 - EUR million 287 UAE CLAIMS MOST USED IN THIS MARKET 2019 - TOTAL SKUS: 115.006 21
MARKET DATA JANUARY 2021 IN THIS EDITION Category Consumer SKIN CARE Abstract Observer Retail Value RSP 2020 - EUR million CLAIMS MOST USED IN THIS MARKET 18.815 USA 2019 - TOTAL SKUS: 329.039 22
Go International FIND SERVICES & ACTIVITIES TO ENHANCE YOUR INTERNATIONALISATION
GO INTERNATIONAL JANUARY 2021 Go International YOURINTERNATIONALISATION FIND SERVICES & ACTIVITIES TO ENHANCE In the framework of the Global Cosmetics Cluster - Europe, SME will have available an Acceleration Programme that integrates several sets of supporting activities that allows promising companies not to only access but also boost and maximize this access to international markets and development. Targeting in priority the 5 selected countries, South Korea, Mexico, Emirates, USA and India, the project will offer 4 areas of supporting activities: Acceleration Program for SMEs internationalisation 24
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1 GCC.EU MARKETS WATCH YOUR PARTNERS WWW.EUROPE.COSMETICSCLUSTERS.COM GCC.eu LATEST NEWS AND MARKET INTELLIGENCE ON THE TARGET COUNTRIES FOR THE GCC.EU NETWORK Markets Watch INDIA - MEXICO - SOUTH KOREA - UAE - USA
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