FUTURE LIVING - Strutt & Parker

 
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FUTURE LIVING - Strutt & Parker
FUTURE
LIVING
INSIGHTS INTO THE
TRENDS RESHAPING
UK PROPERTY
FUTURE LIVING - Strutt & Parker
1   LO R E M I P S U M

                         CONTACTS

                          Guy Robinson                        Stephanie McMahon
                          Head of Residential                 Head of Research
                          +44 (0)20 3944 8404                 +44 (0)20 3944 8428
                          guy.robinson@struttandparker.com    stephanie.mcmahon@struttandparker.com

                          Louis Harding                       Vanessa Hale
                          Head of London Residential          Head of Residential Research
                          +44 (0)20 3944 9113                 +44 (0)20 3944 8883
                          louis.harding@struttandparker.com   vanessa.hale@struttandparker.com

                          Kate Eales                          Mark Dorman
                          National Head of Lettings           Head of London Residential Development & Investment
                          +44 (0)20 3944 7801                 +44 (0)20 3944 8717
                          kate.eales@struttandparker.com      mark.dorman@struttandparker.com
FUTURE LIVING - Strutt & Parker
3

                                                                                                 WELCOME

          Change is happening all             This is why, in Future Living,
          around us . Technology is         we explore a number of
          altering our lifestyles in ways   burgeoning trends that are
          we couldn’t have imagined just    having an impact on the
          a few years ago. Environmental    residential property market
          issues and sustainability are     now, and will continue to do
          top of the agenda for an          so in the coming years.
          increasing number of people.        Each short essay examines
          Our population is growing –       a key theme and comprises
          and ageing. And there is          insightful comments from a
          an undeniably urgent need         range of expert perspectives
          to provide more homes.            to help you make sense of
             These factors will have a      the way we live and what this
          profound affect on property       means for the property sector
          values. So whether you’re         – both today and tomorrow.
          a homeowner, a landlord or          We hope you enjoy reading
          an investor, it is important      Future Living.
          to keep track of these
          evolving social, economic           GUY ROBINSON, HEAD OF
          and technological shifts.           R E S I D E N T I A L , S T R U T T & PA R K E R

CONTENTS

4                    8                 12                          14                            18                   20
Connect more         The future        Trendspotting               Meet Generation               Short-term           Paint the
The smart home       is modular        Eight key trends            Downsize                      thinking             town green
is now a reality –   Why today’s       that are set to             More retirees are             The sharing          More people than
but will the UK’s    factory-made      have an impact              swapping large                economy has          ever live in our
networks be          homes are a       on residential              homes for smaller             opened up a          cities. Can urban
ready to handle      world away        property                    properties –                  range of short-let   farming help
the growing          from the prefab                               and where they                opportunities for    make feeding
demand for data?     housing of old                                want to live is               property owners      them more
                                                                   changing, too                                      sustainable?
FUTURE LIVING - Strutt & Parker
4   SMART HOMES

                  Imagine that you’re woken
                  at 7am by your connected radio
                  playing your favourite playlist.
                  Then, after 15 minutes of snoozing,     intimate, personalised lifestyle is
                  you see the room flood with light       what’s likely to help sell the next
                  as your connected shutters open         generation of smart homes.
                  to let in the sun. As you rise, your       The concept of the connected
                  connected thermostat is warming         home isn’t new, but it’s only recently
                  your towel ready for your shower,       that it has started to become reality.
                  and your connected coffee machine       According to PwC, about 30% of
                  is busying itself with the 7:30am       us now plan to buy a smart device
                  brew. A quick check in the              for the home – up from 14% in 2016
                  (unconnected) mirror and you’re         – suggesting that the technology
                  almost ready to face the day.           is moving out of ‘early adopter’
                     While it’s not exactly the utopian   territory. And last year, Marc
                  vision of the 21st century as we        Allera, CEO of BT’s Consumer
                  pictured it in the 1960s, this          division, predicted that the
                                                          average household will have 50
                                                          connected devices by 2023.
                                                                                                    £10.8
                                                             But are the UK’s telecoms              billion
                                                          networks ready to cope with the           Predicted spend
                                                          demand for bandwidth that this            on smart home

CONNECT                                                   will bring? How is the housing
                                                          market set to adapt? And is the
                                                                                                    devices in 2019
                                                                                                    Source: PwC

                                                          mainstream desire for connected

MORE                                                      homes here just yet?
                                                             Regarding the last question,
                                                          the answer is ‘perhaps’. Only one
                                                          in five people, says PwC, expects
                                                          a connected-home device to have
                                                          a positive impact – but perceptions
                                                          of value tend to improve once
                                                          people have bought one. So it’s not
                                                          technology that sells a connected
From voice-activated                                      home; it’s an understanding of how
                                                          it can meet our basic human needs.
speakers to internet-
                                                             The connected home has been
enabled security                                          seen in the past as ‘slightly pointless
cameras, smart devices                                    technology for technology’s
are increasingly part of                                  sake’, notes David Mattin, Global
the furniture in many                                     Head of Trends and Insights at
British households. But                                   TrendWatching – a reputation
as the connected home                                     caused by white-elephant goods
                                                          such as $10,000 smart fridges.
becomes ever more
                                                          But the uptake of virtual assistants
data-hungry, how will                                     such as Alexa and Siri shows things
the UK’s networks cope?                                   are changing, he suggests. »
Words   Chris Alden
FUTURE LIVING - Strutt & Parker
5
6   SMART HOMES

                                                                                                22%

                                                       nt
                                                                       12%

                                                                           a
                                                                        ist
                                                                      ss
                                                                    ea
   The user experience is what

                                                                om

                                                                  g
                                                                      9%

                                                                in
matters. ‘People obsess over things

                                                               y
                                                            at
                                                           lh

                                                            rit
                                                                         g
                                                                                11%

                                                          he
                                                                       in

                                                         cu
                                                        ita
like their wake-up routine – small                                                  ell

                                                       se
                                                     art

                                                      ht
                                                   Dig
                                                                                  rb

                                                   lig

                                                                                                                    37
personal moments in their days,’                                               oo

                                                  art
                                                Sm

                                                                                                              36

                                                                                                                      %
                                               art
                                              Sm
                                                                                  7% speakers

                                                d

                                                                                                                                41%
says Mattin. ‘They can become

                                                                                                                %
                                             eo
                                            Sm

                                                                                                                          41%
                                                                                     rt

                                                                                                       36
                                                                                         17%

                                          Vid
consumed by the perceived quality

                                                                                                         %
                                                                                 a

                                                                                                 34
                                                                               Sm

                                                                                                   %
of those moments.’
   Perhaps it’s people for whom
these moments are most precious
who will become the next wave                        Will own in five years
of adopters for connected homes.
                                                     Currently own
These may be time-poor, work-
focused, ambitious people who             Household takeup of smart devices in 2018
see the home as a sanctuary from          Source: EY
the chaos of the world outside.
   Over time, says Mattin, the
experience in the connected home
will become less transactional
and more emotional – less about
refilling the washing powder and
more about needs such as health,
wellness and companionship.
   Two immediate obstacles stand
                                                            14%                                        30%
in the way of this vision. One is                            2016                                      2018
privacy, with the ‘techlash’ being
a growing media trend of the past
couple of years. But Mattin argues
that if the trade-off is right, people
will continue to exchange privacy
for the right level of personalisation.   Demand for smart devices
                                          Source: PwC
   Just as thorny is the question of
connectivity infrastructure. If you
already have high-speed broadband,
then in the short run, the smart
home is likely to mean a relatively
small bump in required bandwidth.
   A security camera such as the
                                          2025: 15 million
                                          premises connected to full fibre
Google Nest Cam IQ, for example,
requires an upload bandwidth of
between 0.8 and 4Mbps, depending
on the selected quality mode –
                                          2027: 5G
                                          deployed to most of UK population
though as it’s always on, it will
eat through 100 to 400GB a month,
so unlimited data is a must. Yet
multiply the number of cameras,
                                          2033: 100%
                                          full-fibre coverage across all parts of the country
and your connected home could
become a bandwidth-hungry hub.            UK government telecoms targets
   That’s small comfort to the 2%         Source: Department for Digital, Culture, Media & Sport
7

Good morning Paris: towards the personalised home
The future of connected homes lies in solutions personalised to habits, says
Antoine Robin, Innovation Manager and Project Director at BNP Paribas Real
Estate, which has recently launched Issy Préférence, a 60-unit connected
apartment building on the outskirts of Paris.
   A connected wake-up routine, he explains, is already compatible with an
Issy Préférence home, with shutters, heating and coffee machine, for example,
working in synchronicity. Other modes include ‘departure’, which prompts
the building to close blinds, switch off lights and activate security features.
   Issy Préférence allows you to incorporate devices such as connected
thermostats, shutters, doorbells, TVs, lights, washing machines and more
in a tech-agnostic, future-ready environment that you control with your
smartphone. ‘We installed the technology at no extra cost to residents, and
the result is that almost 75% of them use the solution regularly,’ Robin says.

of UK homes and offices – mostly         automation will require, according          and wireless access points. A
rural – who get a download speed         to Rahim Tafazolli, Director of the         property’s connectivity will become
of less than 10Mbps, according to        5G Innovation Centre and Regius             part of its USP, alongside aspects
Ofcom, or the 5% who can’t access        Professor of Electronic Engineering         such as the proximity of a railway
super-fast broadband (30Mbps             at the University of Surrey.                station or an outstanding school.
download speed). The picture is             ‘If you have video cameras or               Ultimately, because connected
complicated by the fact that, video      robots at home, and control them            homes have the power to serve
aside, many devices connected to         remotely, 5G will enable that               basic human needs, it means they
the internet require only narrow         automation aspect,’ Professor               are here to stay, argues Mattin.
bandwidth – but come with                Tafazolli says. ‘If you are controlling a      ‘The earliest adopters have been
challenges of their own.                 robot, it has to be very accurate and       young people interested in tech,’
   Take the mains-powered internet       reliable. That’s what 5G brings.’           he says, ‘then we move to affluent
radio in your kitchen. It’s happy           What does this mean for                  professionals in metropolitan areas,
enough on your existing Wi-Fi.           property? The likelihood is that as it      and it will spread from there.’
A battery-powered sensor in your         develops, the connected home will              But he adds, in the long term,
loft conversion’s skylight, however,     become yet another factor in what           there’s no inherent limit to the
might struggle with Wi-Fi’s power        might be termed an ‘infrastructure          number of connected devices:
demands, and perhaps also its            premium’ for properties in areas            ‘All homes will have these
range. To solve these issues – and       with high population densities,             technologies, [just as] they
avoid a rewire in existing homes –       where there will be more fibre links        now have a phone or a TV.’ ◆
new wireless networks are being
developed that promise ‘low power,
wide access’ (LPWA) suitable for
internet-enabled devices, alongside
a new iteration of Wi-Fi.
                                           A property’s connectivity
   The national landscape will evolve,
too. The government hopes that           will be part of its USP, alongside
5G, which should offer gigabits-per-
second bandwidth, will be deployed
to most of the UK by 2027. And
                                         proximity to a railway station
5G can enable the mission-critical
wireless networking that future          or an outstanding school
8   MODULAR HOMES

                                                                   THE
                                                                   FUTURE
                                                                   IS

                                                                   For some, the word prefab
                                                                   conjures images of the mass-
                                                                   produced stop-gap houses
                                                                   hastily thrown up in post-war
                                                                   Britain. But in light of new
                                                                   materials, manufacturing
                                                                   and construction methods,
                                                                   is it time to rethink our idea
Housebuilding
                                                                   of a factory-made home?
in England
                                                                   Words   Clare Dowdy
                                  Annual target
                                  300,000
                                  New homes built in 2017-18
                                  222,190
                                  Modular homes built in 2017-18
                                  4,000-6,000

Sources: Ministry of Housing,
Communities & Local Government,
Legal & General Modular Homes
9

                                                                                                  25%
                                                                                                  Potential
                                                                                                  reduction in
                                                                                                  costs for homes
                                                                                                  constructed off
                                                                                                  site compared
                                                                                                  with traditional
                                                                                                  methods
                                                                                                  Source: Ministry
                                                                                                  of Housing,
                                                                                                  Communities &
                                                                                                  Local Government

                                 A boom in prefabricated homes                      The components are made in
                                 may have lessened the post-war                  factories around the country, some
                                 housing crisis, but the proliferation           of them owned by property developers
                                 of quickly built, poorly made houses            such as Urban Splash. The parts are
                                 gave the technique a bad name. It’s             either delivered to a distant location
                                 a fact lamented by Peter Murray,                or, in some cases, manufactured on
                                 Chairman of New London Architecture,            or near the building site.
                                 in the organisation’s Factory-Made                 The latter is happening in Leeds.
                                 Housing report: ‘The failures of the            Developer Citu is making timber-framed
                                 1960s were a huge setback for the               housing in its own 7,400 sq m factory
                                 concept of factory-made housing.’               just a few hundred metres from its site
                                    But half a century or so on,                 on the city’s South Bank, and will put
                                 offsite construction in the UK is               up 520 low-carbon homes there.
                                 having a renaissance. Thanks to                    For Chris Thompson, Citu’s Founder
                                 modern technology, government                   and Managing Director, it’s all about
                                 encouragement and increasing interest           consistent quality. ‘We want to get to a
                                 from developers, it is starting to fulfil its   position of defect-free houses,’ he says.
                                 potential. More and more homeowners                Many in the industry echo Thompson’s
                                 and tenants are being introduced to             belief that MMC’s biggest selling point

30%
Decrease in construction
                                 the benefits of living in these buildings.
                                    The fledgling sector has a multitude
                                 of monikers: prefab, factory-made,
                                                                                 is its potential to improve standards.
                                                                                    ‘As technology and manufacturing
                                                                                 combine forces, the new customer
                                 modular, MMC (modern methods of                 proposition will far outweigh doing
time for homes made
off site compared with
                                 construction). These terms refer to a           business as usual,’ says Mark Farmer,
traditional methods              host of offsite building methods, from          CEO of Cast Consultancy and author
Source: Ministry of Housing,     the creation of a window or wall to a           of the government’s 2016 review of the
Communities & Local Government   frame, pod or entire volumetric floor.          housing industry, Modernise or Die. »
10    MODULAR HOMES

     SWEDEN

     JAPAN            14-20%
     USA     7%
                                                                                    Some offsite developers offer
    2%
     UK                                                                          a level of customisation that is rare
                                                                                 with conventional construction. At
Estimated proportion of new                                                      Urban Splash’s House developments
properties that are factory-made                                                 in Manchester, purchasers get a
Source: New London Architecture                                                  standardised shell with a staircase,
                                                                                 kitchen and bathroom pod; they can
                                                                                 then choose sizes, living spaces and
                                                                                 layouts in a variety of arrangements.
                                                                                    In contrast to continental Europe,
                                                                                 large-scale factory-made housing
                                                                                 has been slow to get off the ground
                                                                                 in the UK. But it’s now the disruptive
                                                                                 force in housebuilding, and some
                      %
                   90

                                                                                 of those factories are starting to
                                                                                 deliver in greater numbers.
                                                                                    Financial services giant Legal &
                                                                                 General has built a 51,000 sq m
                                                                                 factory near Selby, North Yorkshire.
                                                                                 This has the capacity to produce
   ‘It will be one that is underpinned   of Planning at Strutt & Parker,         about 10,000 modules a year, which
by an “off the shelf” level of price     referring to the potential for lower    equates to around 3,500 homes.
certainty, more customisation and        energy bills. ‘But they also want to       Ilke Homes manufactures offsite
choice, high-quality architecture        have a lifestyle that fits with their   affordable homes in partnership
and design, and smart technology         sense of social responsibility.’        with housing associations and
embedded into homes. All this will         These homes are not just better       developers. Using MMC, its 25,000
deliver a higher technical build         made, they’re also quicker to build     sq m factory in Knaresborough,
quality and a better occupational        – good news for owners and buyers.      North Yorkshire, builds eight
experience than a traditional build.     Traditional onsite construction –       modular homes a day. The firm aims
Customers will vote with their feet.’    with its ‘wet trades’, such as          to build 2,000 new homes a year
   Nicola Kelly, Partner at niche        bricklaying – are at the mercy of       within the next 24 months, with
property venture Cube Haus, agrees:      the weather, delays in transporting     plans to scale up to 5,000 homes
‘The homebuyer can be assured            materials, and poor communication       a year in the next five years.
that quality control processes in the    between multiple contractors.              While MMC is getting plenty of
factory mean that errors, redesign         ‘These are all very frustrating to    attention, McLarty points out that
or correction can be done as the         homebuyers, with the resultant costs    ‘the uptake is still not yet there’.
work proceeds and not at the end,        of interim accommodation while             However, Farmer believes ‘we’re
where issues are usually hard to         waiting for the project to finish,’     finally entering the period when
spot and only manifest themselves        says Kelly. Offsite construction, on    construction begins to transform
once the property is in use.’            the other hand, reduces the noise,      itself’. If that’s the case, then perhaps
   Citu’s houses at its Climate          dust and nuisance to neighbours.        it’s time to reclaim the term prefab. ◆
Innovation District in Leeds are
not the only ones trumpeting
their sustainable credentials.
‘Increasingly, homeowners are
interested in being eco-friendly
                                           We want to get to a position
from an economic standpoint,’
says John McLarty, National Head         of defect-free houses
11

  Today’s offsite-
manufactured homes
are characterised by
their high quality,
precision engineering,
digital design
and eco-efficient
performance...
truly 21st-century
homes
Nicky Gavron AM, Chair of the London
Assembly’s Planning Committee

                                       10%
                                       Factory-made housing accounts
                                       for a small proportion of the homes
                                       built in London each year – less than
                                       10% of total construction output
                                       Source: New London Architecture
12    PROPERT Y TRENDS

The micro wave                                 Electric dreams          Green attitude         Smarter renting
Hong Kong is famous for its ‘micro flats’ –    Electric cars have       The increasing         An American
and now they’re taking hold in the UK.         proved popular in        awareness of           revolution is quietly
   Despite being controversially tiny – they   the luxury vehicles      needing to take        taking shape in the
are smaller than the 37 sq m (for a studio     market and among         action to save the     UK as work gathers
flat with a shower) that planning guidelines   taxi drivers in our      planet appears to      pace to construct
suggest – almost 8,000 were built in 2016,     cities’ congested        be having an effect,   purpose-built US-
according to research from Which?              streets, but they        Strutt & Parker’s      style ‘renting-only’
magazine, after the government relaxed         have yet to go truly     latest Housing         developments all over
permitted development rules in 2013.           mainstream. That is      Futures report         the country. Known
   Micro flats offer just enough space to      going to change soon,    reveals. The most      here as ‘build to rent’,
sleep and watch TV in and include a basic      says Deloitte, which     sought-after           they are set to change
bathroom, fridge, microwave and kettle –       predicts that the cost   service among new      the rental sector by
but residents typically use a communal         of electric and petrol   property buyers        offering professionally
kitchen and dining area.                       car ownership will       is now recycling,      managed, high-spec
   Most of the developments have been in       converge in 2024.        beating porters,       apartments with
London. For example, the Collective offers     In addition, the         housekeeping           amenites such as
micro homes for short- and long-term lets      government is            and security.          gyms or concierge
in its ‘co-living’ developments in Canary      preparing legislation                           services. Tenants pay
Wharf and northwest London.                    that will make it a                             a monthly fee that
                                               legal requirement                               includes all bills and
                                               for new-builds in                               have longer, more
                                               England to feature                              secure tenancies,
                                               integral electric-                              with no deposit or
Homes smaller than               7,809         vehicle charging
                                               points from 2020.
                                                                                               upfront charges.
37 sq m built per year
Source: Which?/
Ministry of Housing,
Communities
& Local                  5,605
Government

             2,871
 2,337

     2013      2014       2015     2016
                                                £976
                                                Estimated cost
                                                to install a
                                                charging point
                                                outside a
£2,040                                          new-build home
Estimated cost to
                                                Source: Department
retrofit a charging
                                                for Transport
point outside an
existing property
13

  Property sales                                    Yo-Yo House
                                                    Homes with flexible
                                                                           No key,
                                                                           no problem
                                                                                                    Hot in the city
                                                                                                    TV shows such
                                                    walls and layouts      Door locks that use      as Escape to the

could take just                                     are the next big
                                                    trend, according to
                                                                           your smartphone
                                                                           and/or fingerprint to
                                                                                                    Country imply that
                                                                                                    we all want to live in a
                                                    the latest Housing     open your front door,    more bucolic location,

three weeks                                         Futures report from
                                                    Strutt & Parker. It
                                                                           rather than keys, are
                                                                           now available from
                                                                                                    but research by Strutt
                                                                                                    & Parker suggests
                                                    highlights how, as     companies such as        otherwise. Urban
                                                    people stay put        Klevio and Yale.         living is becoming
                                                    for longer, we will    Keyless technology       more desirable, with
                                                    increasingly need      has been around          15% of respondents
Speedier deeds                                      homes that can         since the early          to a 2017 Housing
Despite its paper-bound history of deeds,           be easily adapted                               Futures survey saying
                                                                           2000s, but the
the Land Registry is going digital and is           to suit changing                                that they aspire to
                                                                           recent quantum
leading a charge to make the UK a world-            circumstances and                               live in a city – up
                                                                           leap in smart home
beater in home conveyancing technology.             accommodate                                     from 9% in 2013.
                                                                           equipment has
Its Digital Street project will, its latest pilot   multi-generational     ignited the market.
has suggested, help cut the time it takes           households. This       In particular, keyless
to buy and sell a property from the current         means movable walls    doors are heralded
three months to three weeks.                        and easy access to     as a solution to the
   The agonising wait between offer and             pipes and cables to    problem of delivering
exchange is one of the most frustrating             enable a wholesale     goods when
                                                                                                                  15%
periods during the homebuying process, as           redesign of a          residents are not at
solicitors, paperwork, money and patience           property’s interior.   home, as many of
disappear into a black hole and purchases
                                                                           them also enable
are at risk from gazumping and gazundering.
                                                                           remote locking
   The Land Registry is working with more
                                                                           and unlocking.
than 250 organisations – including law
firms, banks and payment and identity
technology startups – and other property
                                                                                                     9%
companies, and says it expects the project
to bear fruit in between two and five years.

                                                                                                      2013         2017

                                                    We highlight eight key shifts
                                                    in lifestyle and technology
                                                    that are changing the way
                                                    we live in and sell our homes
                                                    Words   Nigel Lewis

                                                    TRENDSPOTTING
14     DOWNSIZI N G

As they approach retirement,             quarter require easier accessibility,
many people find themselves              such as lateral living rather than
asset-rich – perhaps owning a            multiple staircases. Some 23%
family house that, now their             would like a smaller house with
children have grown up and moved         flexible space for guests or family
out, is bigger than they need –          when it’s needed. Also, a fifth of
but relatively cash-poor. So what’s      respondents were seeking a smaller
the next step? For an increasing         garden, which suggests that a
number, the answer is to downsize.       balcony or shared and managed
   Selling a larger home to move into    open space may be preferable.
a smaller one allows homeowners             The idea of downsizing to obtain
to release equity to pass to younger     the ideal home for later life is gaining
generations, invest to fund the          ground. A 2018 study by financial
longer-term future, or simply spend      services group Legal & General
on luxuries such as cars or holidays.    found that 39% of UK homeowners
   But downsizing can offer more         aged 55 and over have downsized
than simply financial benefits. It       or are considering such a move –
can be an act of personal liberation,    up from 32% three years previously.
allowing older people to return to          Not only would downsizing make
a lifestyle they put on hold during      larger homes available for those
decades of parenthood, career            who need them, but the downsizers
progression and carrying the             would themselves secure a larger
responsibilities of a family home.       lump sum to use towards their
   In other words, downsizing can        enhanced lifestyle. The Prudential
be the start of a new chapter, rather    says a typical downsizer will net »
than the end of one. ‘There’s a
generation of people with good
levels of disposable income who

                                                                        MEET
want a lifestyle that reflects this,’
says Stephanie McMahon, Head
of Research at Strutt & Parker.

                                                                        GENERATION
‘Downsizing can make it happen.’
   In 2017, Strutt & Parker’s Housing
Futures: Platinum Generation
research revealed what downsizers
want in their next home to improve
their lives. For example, a third want                                  DOWNSIZE
lower maintenance and just over a

                                                           Many older people are choosing to
Homeowners aged 55-                                        downsize to unlock equity, move to their
plus who have downsized                                    dream home and begin a new chapter
or are considering it                                      in later life. But forget rural idylls or
Source: Legal & General                                    coastal seclusion – this group of silver
                                                           city-slickers wants something more
                                                           Words     Graham Norwood
                39%
32%

2015            2018
15
16   DOWNSIZI N G

                                                                            into high-quality apartments with
                                                                            a Soho House members’ club and
What the over-                                                              gym, 24-hour concierge, private
65s want from                                                               cinema, lounge and lobby.
their next home                                                                ‘These facilities aren’t aimed
Source: Strutt & Parker
                                                                            solely at downsizers, but a lot have
                                   £112,000 after buying a smaller          bought there because they can see
                                   home, with one in nine making more       the quality of life the location
                                   than £200,000. Owners of larger          offers,’ Curtis says. ‘The scheme is
                                   properties would in turn release         close to two tube stations serving
     33%                           even larger sums.                        three different lines, an overground
     Lower maintenance                In years past, such windfalls         station and a Westfield centre,
                                   might have prompted people to            and is conveniently located for
                                   retire to a coastal haven or country     Heathrow and the West. If you
                                   retreat. Today, however, a growing       want an active lifestyle, you want
                                   number want to move to London.           to live somewhere like this.’
     26%                           In the capital, active retirees can         Another scheme that is set to
     Improved security
                                   enjoy a rich cultural life alongside     be popular with the downsizing
                                   the infrastructure of excellent          demographic is Triptych Bankside,
                                   transport, super-fast broadband,         which is being launched this autumn
                                   hi-tech fitness facilities and           and is due to be completed in 2021.
     23%                           well-resourced healthcare.               Close to the Tate Modern, Borough
     A smaller property               In addition, as the concept of        Market and Waterloo station, it’s
                                   ‘older living’ changes, moving to        perhaps the quintessential central
                                   or remaining in London makes it          London destination for downsizers.
                                   easier for many people to continue          ‘A further advantage is that
     20%                           working – as the dividing line           buyers can plan their move to
     A smaller garden              between work and retirement is far       a smaller but far more central
                                   more blurred now than in the past.       apartment here,’ says Mark Dorman,
                                      ‘The cliff edge of retirement is      Senior Director and Head of London
                                   today more of a gentle incline, with     Residential Development &
     11%                           people phasing out of work,’ says        Investment at Strutt & Parker. ‘They
     Close to amenities            Jon Greer, Head of Retirement            commit to buy off-plan now, and
                                   Policy at investment solutions           this usually means an uplift in value
                                   consultancy Quilter. ‘Government         even before the purchaser moves in
                                   predictions show a massive 50.5%         – plus, there’s a chance to have a
Proportion of                      of 65- to 69-year-olds will be           wider choice of fixtures and fittings’.
UK population                      economically active in 2067,                It’s all a far cry from the idea of
                                   compared to 10.2% in 1992.’              the thatched cottage or seaside
aged 65-plus                          So what is the most liberating kind   semi, but retirees and downsizers
Source: ONS
                                   of property for the newly invigorated    in the 21st century are making a
                      20.7%        downsizer to enjoy in London?            break from the past.
                                      ‘Some locations, especially              ‘Whatever their age, people want
           18.2%                   new developments, are ideal for          to live in places rather than buildings,’
15.9%                              downsizers who don’t want to             adds Dorman. ‘We demand not
                                   compromise on quality or facilities      just rooms, but facilities, services
                                   but simply need less space and           and a lifestyle of the highest quality.
                                   no garden to manage,’ says Sarah         And now we can get it.’ ◆
                                   Curtis, Director of London New
                                   Homes at Strutt & Parker.
                                      She cites Television Centre, the
2007          2017         2027    former BBC TV headquarters in west
                     (projected)   London, which has been remodelled
17

   There is a need for
housing that provides
security, accessibility,
community and
care for individuals
as they move into
later life... Successful
downsizing is about
choice and not social
obligation
Strutt & Parker Housing Futures: Platinum Generation

                                                       22%
                                                       More than a fifth of people who
                                                       have downsized or are considering
                                                       it say that it’s best to do it when
                                                       aged between 65 and 69
                                                       Source: Legal & General
18   SHORT LETS

                                                        £           £                £

                                                 £              £

                                                        £           £                          £

          SHORT-
                                                                £

          TERM                                          £

          THINKING                                                  £

How have short-let
marketplaces such as
Airbnb and the wider
sharing economy                                                 they’ve had on people’s attitudes to
changed the way                                                 their homes. Many homeowners now
we think about our                                              realise that they can make extra
properties – and what                                           income from their vacant property
                                                                or spare room – a shift driven by
opportunities does this
                                                                both financial and lifestyle trends.
new rental landscape                                               ‘People are beginning to recognise
offer for homeowners?                                           that leaving a home sitting empty
Words   Nigel Lewis       From being a little-known             is a missed benefit,’ says Merilee
                          house-sharing platform created        Karr, Chair of the Short Term
                          around a kitchen table in San         Accommodation Association (STAA)
                          Francisco in 2007, Airbnb has         and founder of homestay company
                          grown to become a global byword       UnderTheDoormat. ‘For example,
                          for holiday lets. In the UK, short    the weak pound is persuading many
                          lets are now booked more than         British people to consider renting
                          188,000 times every month through     out their home while they’re on
                          online platforms such as Airbnb,      holiday to help pay for their now
                          HomeAway and dozens of other          more expensive overseas break.’
                          similar sites, according to Airdna.      Indeed, recent research by Airbnb
                             But while there is debate around   reveals that 63% of hosts reported
                          what the growth of short-let          that income from the site helped
                          websites means for housing markets,   them pay bills they would otherwise
                          what’s discussed less is the impact   have struggled to settle.
19

   ‘There are so many scenarios in      way property owners can make
which people who own properties         money from the burgeoning sharing
will consider short lets,’ says Karr,   economy, as just about any vacant
‘including, in some cases, the          space can be put up for rent. For
flexibility to help pay for their
home’s running costs or the
mortgage – while always seeking
                                        example, Stashbee allows people
                                        to let out garages for storage,
                                        JustPark provides forecourts to
                                                                                 55%
                                                                                 of people in London would
permissions where required.’            commuters, while Campspace               consider letting their
   Another factor is that people        offers gardens to ‘glampers’.            homes out. This rises to
are leading more mobile lifestyles.        As more and more of us cash           64% in central London
                                                                                 Source: UnderTheDoormat/
Retirees may have two homes, which      in on our unused property assets,        Populous
means they’re empty half the time.      the home-sharing trend is set to
Businesspeople and academics            skyrocket as part of the wider
travel the world with their careers.    sharing economy – which, PwC
Others have pieds-à-terre in cities
that stand empty for long periods.
   A survey by UnderTheDoormat
                                        has predicted, will be worth
                                        £140 billion by 2025.
                                           And there will be plenty of
                                                                                 60,471
                                                                                 Number of active
suggests that more than half of         demand. Research by Warwick              short-let listings in
all homeowners would consider           Business School reveals that 23%         London, July 2019
short lets if they felt reassured       of the population has already used       Source: Inside Airbnb

that someone was looking after          Airbnb, while 78% of 18-24 year-olds
it while they were away.                say they use sharing services. Indeed,
   ‘For short lets to be successful,    the idea of ownership – of homes         How property
the apartment or house needs to be      or otherwise – as a kind of status       owners would
directly managed by an experienced      symbol is becoming increasingly          use income
hand if the homeowner wants peace       obsolete, according to PwC,              from short lets
of mind,’ says Kate Eales, National     especially among young people.           Source: UnderTheDoormat/
Head of Lettings at Strutt & Parker.       But engaging in the sharing           Populous
   ‘For example, homeowners need        economy – whether as a host
to be aware of local planning and
leasehold rules about short-let
renting, and it’s important to have
                                        or a guest – isn’t limited to the
                                        youthful or tech-savvy. ‘It’s not
                                        just young people doing this,’ says
                                                                                 74%
                                                                                 would put towards savings
someone meet the guests at the          Karr. ‘We see people of all ages –
property before they gain access
so there’s face-to-face contact.’
   But short lets are not the only
                                        from first-time buyers to retirees –
                                        realising that their home can
                                        make them money.’ ◆
                                                                                 45%
                                                                                 would put towards
                                                                                 their rent/mortgage

                                                                                 44%
   People are beginning to                                                       would spend on a holiday/
                                                                                 visiting friends or family

recognise that leaving a home                                                    42%
sitting empty is a missed benefit                                                would put towards
                                                                                 renovating/refurbishing
20   U R B A N FA R M I N G

                              We take it for granted that
                              we can feed cities easily and
                              indefinitely. But with more than
                              two-thirds of the world’s population
                              expected to live in urban areas            they eat, according to Dejan Mitrovic,
                              by 2050, and global threats to             a director at the sustainability
                              food security (as outlined in the          consultancy Department 22.
                              Intergovernmental Panel on Climate            ‘We’ve seen a huge increase in
                              Change’s special report, Climate           interest and action taken by people
                              Change and Land), governments,             and businesses,’ he says. ‘People
                              producers, planners and citizens are       realise that if we don’t act
                              looking for more sustainable solutions     immediately, it will be too late.’
                              to food production and supply.                Neither is Steel defeatist: ‘As
                                 It’s a critical need, says Carolyn      we strive to lead good lives in a
                              Steel, author of the book Hungry           crowded, low-carbon future, we

PAINT
                              City: How Food Shapes our Lives.           must learn to value food again,’
                              And she thinks we can resolve a            she says. ‘This would mean food
                              looming crisis by learning from            markets, vegetable gardens and

THE
                              how earlier civilisations grew food.       independent bakeries fighting back
                                 ‘Our ancestors knew better,’ she        against supermarkets and retail
                              wrote in the Architectural Review in       chains. Our homes, gardens and
                              2018. ‘Ancient Athens understood           workplaces would change, too, as

TOWN                          the importance of scale in the city-
                              state: if a city was too small it lacked
                                                                         we made more time for cooking
                                                                         and eating together and growing
                              the resources to defend its territory,     and preserving food.’

GREEN                         too big and it struggled to feed
                              itself. The ideal arrangement was
                              for each citizen to have a house in
                                                                            Ann Marie Aguilar, Director
                                                                         of Operations for Europe at the
                                                                         International WELL Building
                              the city and farm in the countryside.’     Institute (IWBI), also sees valuing
                                 Today’s urban consumers –               healthy, natural food as an
                              in particular millennials – are            important step towards creating
                              increasingly interested in the             more sustainable cities.
                              provenance, health-giving qualities           ‘At IWBI, we advise on minimising
                              and environmental impact of what           the amount of processed foods
                                                                         introduced into communities by
                                                                         fast-food suppliers and »

As rooftop                                                               Total area of green roofs
gardens and                                                              in Greater London
                                                                         Source: European Federation of Green
living walls make
                                                                         Roof and Green Wall Associations/Greater
London’s buildings                                                       London Authority
increasingly
verdant, could                                                                        1.5 million sq m
an urban farming
revolution help
cities to feed                                                               715,000 sq m
their growing
populations?
                                                                          2010                               2017
Words     Dominic Lutyens
21
22   U R B A N FA R M I N G

restaurants,’ she says. ‘We believe
community gardens, allotments and
farmers’ markets impact positively
on physical and mental health.’
   Urban farming is now a global
phenomenon. ‘It is particularly             The success of Growing                The benefits of
prevalent in Dutch, German and           Underground mirrors the rise of
Scandinavian cities and, increasingly,   vertical farming as a viable method
                                                                                  vertical farming
                                                                                  Source: Strutt & Parker
in the Far East and US,’ says            of agriculture. Will Gemmill, Head
Mitrovic. ‘Architects are beginning      of Farming at Strutt & Parker,
to incorporate food production into
urban architecture.’ He cites Swedish
practice Belatchew Labs’ proposal
                                         believes that vertical farming –
                                         inside buildings, shipping containers
                                         and glasshouses using hydroponic
                                                                                  10 times
                                                                                  the output of an outdoor
to establish edible cricket farms        or aeroponic methods – has               farming system
throughout Stockholm to provide an       significant advantages in terms of

                                                                                  95%
alternative protein source to meat.      increased yield, reduced pollution
   Other forms of urban food             and reduced packaging, and cites
production are mushrooming too.          Ocado’s investment of considerable
                                                                                  water savings compared
Rooftop gardening is popular in          sums into a vertical farming fund.
                                                                                  with outdoor farming
London’s hospitality sector: for            So is the spread of urban farming
example, ingredients used at The         having an impact on the London
Dairy restaurant in Clapham, south
London, are grown on its roof,
which boasts four beehives and
                                         property market? ‘Traditional
                                         landlords are starting to consider
                                         leasing opportunities that address
                                                                                  85%
                                                                                  saving on inputs (such as
numerous vegetable beds.                 the growing desire for urban farming,’   fertilisers) compared with
   Hydroponics, meanwhile, involves      says Nick Hillard, Sustainability        outdoor farming
growing crops in water and nutrients     Director at BNP Paribas Real Estate.
rather than soil. A leading exponent        In London, a 2008 policy of
in the UK is Growing Underground,        encouraging living roofs and walls
a subterranean farm co-founded in        has had a transformative impact on
2012 by Richard Ballard and Steven       the city’s roofscape, with the capital
Dring that occupies 6,000 sq m           now accounting for more than 40%         Projected percentage
of repurposed air-raid shelters, also    of all green roofs in the UK.            of UK population
in Clapham. It supplies products            ‘London is forward-looking in its     living in cities
to Marks & Spencer, Tesco, Whole         urban greening,’ Hillard says. ‘It has   Source: UN Department of Economic
Foods Market and restaurateurs           promoted green walls and roofs in        and Social Affairs, Population Division
including Michel Roux Jr.                developments. That said, we’re still
   ‘Food production generates about      largely at a tokenistic stage: the
one-third of carbon emissions,’ says     comparative total yields for urban          88.4%                   90.2%
Ballard. ‘By contrast, we grow herbs     agriculture initiatives are still low.
and salad mixes hydroponically              ‘However, there are good                              2050
using energy-efficient LED lights.       examples of buildings reconnecting
   ‘Grown underground, our products      with nature, such as London’s                            2040
aren’t affected by changing weather      high-rise 10 Fenchurch Avenue in
conditions, which often ruin crops,      the City, which has a roof garden                        2030
so they’re of a consistent quality. As   with wisteria groves and wildflower
our farms are closer to the point of     areas open to the public.’
consumption, we use less transport,         Whether all these are signs of
which reduces our carbon footprint.’     a paradigm shift or a niche trend,                       2020
                                         it’s clear that a new mindset is
                                         challenging the old ways of food
                                         production, resulting in cities that
                                         are greener in every sense. ◆               86.3%                     83.9%
23

   There’s a trend in
cities towards vertical
farming, which has
several advantages:
it produces fresh
produce all year
round; it causes less
pollution; and it uses
less packaging
Will Gemmill, Strutt & Parker Head of Farming

                                                             62%
                                             The UK imports 62% of its fruit
                                                and vegetables from the EU,
                                         highlighting the need for solutions
                                         such as urban farms to help reduce
                                          our reliance on imported produce
                                                  Source: European Commission
@struttandparker
struttandparker.com

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