Future EO-1 Block 4 Grand Science Challenges - Diego Fernandez et al, Science Section (EOP-SDS) - Copernicus ...
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Future EO-1 Block 4
Grand Science Challenges
Diego Fernandez et al, Science Section (EOP-SDS)
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
June 2020
FutureEO response to Grand Challenges
Paris Agreement UN SDGs Disaster Risk Reduction
The grand challenges that humankind is facing require more than ever
that scientists advance their understanding of the planet, its processes
and its interactions with human activities and translate that knowledge
into information, policy advice and services for the benefit of citizens, their
business and their lives.
Slide 2
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space Agency
Unique opportunity for Europe
ESA Europe will
In the next decade EC-RTD
rely on theFutureEO
most comprehensive Horizon Europe
EO system in the word…
ESA new Science and Innovation New EU Research and Innovation
But to respond these challenges
Earth Observation Programme Framework Programme
EO alone is not enough…
New ICT, Could Computing, AI, …
Interdisciplinary & Open Science
Enhanced models and prediction
In-situ Networks/citizen data Slide 3
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space Agency
Collaboration Agreement Signed
A common goal
“…. to jointly advance Earth
system science and its
contribution to respond to the
global challenges that society
is facing in the onset of this
century”
The European Commission’s Deputy Director General for
Research and Innovation, Patrick Child and ESA’s Director of
Earth Observation Programmes, Josef Aschbacher at the
signing ceremony, January 2020.
Slide 4
EC RTD-ESA Cooperation: Focus and Approach
Flagship Action areas
• Advancing observing capacity Joint Planning Working
• Advancing basic understanding Group (JPWG)
of Earth and climate systems
• Advancing models and
predicting capabilities Common Scientific
Agenda
• Informing society and
promoting scientific education
• Designing novel solutions for
citizens Flagship Actions
Slide 5
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space Agency
Proposed Phasing
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
EOEP-5
FutureEO-1
FutureEO-2
FutureEO-3
H2020
Horizon Europe
Consolidation
Phase Pilot Assess
(and ad-hoc ESA Full Implementation & Next
activities matching
Phase
Slide 6
planned H2020 calls)
Towards a common scientific agenda
Preliminary potential Flagship Actions based on:
• Initial Priorities 2020 Identified:
• Analysis of Earth science needs across Horizon
Europe clusters;
ü Relevance for EU policy’s initiatives;
ü DegreeHorizon
• Common of maturity;
Europe and ESA Science
ü Existing
Strategy record of on-going and or planned activities by ESA and EC:
priorities;
e.g., parallel calls in 2020
• Potential of coming EO technology to provide a
major contribution in the coming decade;
• Major science issues associated to European
priorities;
• Science challenges from major international
science programmes; Slide 7
Flagship Action on Polar Regions
Objectives
Advance our observation
capabilities, basic
understanding and prediction
capacity of the different
changes taken place in Polar
regions, its interactions and
feedbacks with the Earth and
climate systems and its
expected impacts from regional
to global scales.
Budget: ~2 Million Euro
ITT issued: Q4 2020
Slide 8
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space Agency
ESA-RTD Polar Cluster
EU Polar Cluster ESA Polar
Towards a RTD-ESA Polar Science Cluster Science Cluster
(2020)
Scientific
collaboration Larger
Sharing scientific
knowledge scope
Sharing
data
Sharing Tools Interdisciplinary Slide 9
Ocean Health
Objectives
Advance observations and enhance
the scientific understanding of the
ocean’s role in the Earth system and
its responses to management actions
AND establish an strong science
basis to develop a Digital Twin of
the Ocean as an advance tool to
reverse the cycle of decline in ocean
health and improve conditions for
sustainable development of the Ocean
Budget: ~1.5 Million Euro
ITT issued: Q4 2020
Slide 10
Source: OceanSODA, Univ. of Exceter, IFREMER
European Space AgencyFlagship on Sea Level and Coastal Hazards
Sea level rise is
Enhance our observation
… changes in the freshwater,
capacity and the scientific
accelerating. Sea
atmospheric and oceanic
understanding of the
But this
circulations,
regional
levels does
could risenot
sea sea
levelstate
1.3
and by
patterns
solid
and itsEarth processes
evolution, the plus
tell us in
meters
different
anything
additionalthe next
coastal
ocean, hydro-
atmosphere
about80the
and solid
involved,
causes
Earth processes
dynamical
years. and
its interactions and
biogeomorphological
and the impacts
itschanges,
impacts and
on coastal
many other
hazards…
on people’s lives…
human influences
Proceedings not
of the National
associated
Budget:Academy with
of climate
Sciences
~1 Million Euro
changeQ3
ITT issued: … 2020
February 2018
WCRP, Sea Level
Grand Challenge
Slide 11
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space AgencyBiodiversity &
vulnerable ecosystems
Objectives
Improve scientific
understanding and
observational capabilities of
the changes of biodiversity
and vulnerable ecosystems,
their response to natural and
anthropogenic pressures and
the connections and
feedback between the Earth
system and the integrity and
Sentinel-2 offers unique capabilities to perform for the
resilience
first time a global of assessment
ecosystems. of the fragile
ecosystems such as coral reefs from space. The
combination of S2 bleaching and habitat change
Budget: ~1.5 Million Euro
information with ocean parameters (e.g., SST,
carbonate system parameters) and ecosystem models
ITT issued: Q3 2020
represent an unique opportunity;
Credit: Dr. Chris Roelfsema Slide 12Extreme Events
Objectives
Enhance the detection,
characterization and attribution of
extreme events and such as
heatwaves, droughts, extreme
precipitation and the risk of
associated hazards and compound
events especially with respect to
understanding and characterizing
their impacts on and feedbacks with
the Earth system, human activities
and ecosystems.
Budget: ~1 Million Euro
ITT issued: Q2 2020
Slide 13
Source: WACMOS-MED, Estellus
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space AgencyESA Science Clusters
• Bring together different expertise, data and knowledge
• Promote networking, collaborative research, and foster international
collaboration
• Contribute to stronger European research area in close collaboration
European and international partners
Overall budget ITT 2020: 3 x 1 Million Euro (for Polar, Ocean and Carbon)
Slide 14
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space AgencyScientific Consultations
• ESA-EC EO and Polar Science, October, Copenhagen, Denmark
• ESA-EC EO, Food systems under pressure, ESRIN, TBD 2021EO and
Water Cycle Science, 16-18 November, Versailles, France
• Workshop of Sea Level and Coastal Hazards, 2021, Bern (CH), ISSI
• ESA-EC EO and Biodiversity, 2021, TBD
• 4th Carbon from Space Workshop, 2021, TBD
Slide 15
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space AgencyOther priorities and
future EO missions
FLEX
Fluorescence Florence
estimates from
FLEX campaign
demonstrating
the validity of
Evaporation rates
Sen4ET the retrieval
principle.
Above ground
biomass estimates
from P-Bans SAR
airborne data
demonstrating the
S1 soil moisture BIOMASS mission
Biomass retrieval principle
Slide 16
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
European Space AgencyFuture EO-1 Block 4
EO Solutions for a Resilient Society
EO for Environmental Threats
Gordon Campbell
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
June 2020Overview
• Scope is to integrate prototype capabilities to enhance assessment
and monitoring of resilience to environmental threats (complementing
Science Grand Challenges activity)
• Integrate available datasets, models, analysis approaches etc (in
particular state of the art hybrid AI-conventional modelling)
• Preparation for follow-on activities in 2023
• Main activities in 2020:
• Enhanced statistics for characterizing resilience
• Urban Resilience
• Ecosystem Resilience
• Health Resilience
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use EOP-SD | 29/11/2018| Slide 18Enhanced Statistics for Characterizing Resilience Objective: • Develop and validate prototype capabilities to integrate EO derived information and conventional data into national statistical office methodologies to characterize resilience Scope: • Understand gaps in current methodologies to characterize priority issues related to resilience (environmental conditions, movement of persons, transport infrastructure etc) • Verify capability of EO derived information to characterize issues of relevance • Develop and test methodology to generate enhanced indicators ITT issue: Q2 2020 Contract Value: 400k€ ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use EOP-SD | 29/11/2018| Slide 19
Resilience Assessment:
Objective:
• Develop and test prototype capabilities to integrate EO derived information into systems
for monitoring and assessing factors related to resilience
• ITT in 2020 will address 3 areas – Urban Resilience, Health Resilience, Ecosystem
Resilience
Scope for each domain:
• Consolidate priority issues to be considered and assess current monitoring/modeling
approaches
• Identify additional information layers derived from EO data and the scope for integration
into different modeling levels
• Develop prototype capabilities to extract EO derived information and integrate into the
overall modeling and analysis approach
• Identify gaps and elaborate a road map for future developments
• ITT issue: Q3 2020
• Implementation approach: single ITT with 3 separate contracts, each of 700kEuro
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use EOP-SD | 29/11/2018| Slide 20Future EO-1 Block 4
EO Solutions for a Resilient Society
EO for Sustainable Development Goals
Marc Paganini et al, Applications Section (EOP-SDA)
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
June 2020FutureEO-1 Resilient Societies SDG
Overarching objectives
Support the collaborative efforts of the United Nations, GEO and CEOS
to assist Countries
(essentially ESA Member States and Developing Countries)
embracing EO solutions into their national systems and processes
in relation to their engagement
on the 2030 agenda on Sustainable Development (SDGs).
A series of R&D projects will be implemented
to foster and facilitate the uptake of EO solutions into national SDG monitoring,
for countries to better set, measure and monitor progress towards the SDG Targets,
report on the SDG Global Indicator Framework,
and eventually put in place informed and evidence-based development policies.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official UseFutureEO-1 Resilient Societies SDG
Programmatic content
The SDG programmatic element is composed of the following 4 main components:
1. SDG PATHFINDERS
Development of innovative and robust EO methods, addressing new areas of EO uptake
in SDG methodologies.
2. SDG SCALING-UP
Ramp up of EO methodological approaches to promote EO best practices across countries
for synoptic monitoring and reporting on SDGs.
3. SDG ENGINES
Customisation of EO exploitation platforms to support cost-effective SDG implementation
by countries (priority to European infrastructures such as TEP and DIAS).
4. SDG ENGAGEMENT
Stakeholder Engagement (scientific workshops, SDG MOOCs) to raise awareness and
facilitate country appropriation.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official UseSDG 15.3.1 Pathfinder
SEN4LDN, Land Degradation Monitoring at HR
Objectives Develop and showcase new methodologies that exploit the high frequency and spatial resolution
of the Sentinels (S1 and S2) complemented by 3rd party missions, to help countries setting their
Land Degradation Neutrality (LDN) targets and reporting on their progress.
Impact Increase the spatial details of national assessments of land degradation and restoration
and provide synoptic information for countries to plan LDN interventions at appropriate scales.
Main tasks § Develop robust automated EO methods to map land cover and its changes (robust
change detection for LDN) and land productivity dynamics (robust phenological analysis
for LDN) at high spatial resolution.
§ Investigate methods to integrate the 10-30m data streams with the existing default
300m-1km datasets used in UNCCD 2015 land degradation baseline.
§ Develop an integrated EO-based solution to assess land degradation (and in particular
land potential and resilience) at high spatial resolution.
§ Demonstrate adequacy of approach in a number of biomes that are representative of
the diversity of land degradation processes.
Partners UNCCD secretariat, GEO LDN co-lead by GIZ (WG2 Data Quality Standards and WG3 Data
Analytics), IAEG-SDG WGGI, GEO EO4SDG, National UNCCD Focal Points
Budget 400 KEUR
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
ITT 2020 Q3SDG 11.1.1 Pathfinder
Informal Settlement Mapping
Objectives Develop advanced AI-based models to automatically identify, delineate and characterise the
spatial extent of slums, and support countries monitoring progress on the proportion of urban
population living in informal settlements.
Impact Rapid urban growth of recent decades has led to an increase number of people living in slums
and informal settlements (estimated to 1.6 billion people). Provide tools for countries to conduct
rapid estimation of slum expansion and densification.
Main tasks § Develop robust automated AI-based EO methods to monitor the extent of slums,
their physical characteristics and their dynamics (e.g. densification and expansion).
§ Study how freely available S1 and S2 data streams can be exploited with VHR satellite
imagery to monitor the dynamics of informal settlements at affordable prices.
§ Study how slum morphological parameters derived from EO products can be merged with
socio economic data to estimate the proportion of urban population living in slums.
§ Demonstrate adequacy of approach in different cities that have a diversity of slum
settings (for upscaling purposes).
Partners UN Habitat, World Bank, UNICEF Innovation Lab, GEO Human Planet Initative (HPI), IAEG-SDG
WGGI, GEO EO4SDG, Pilot cities, National Statistics Office from Pilot countries
Budget 300 KEUR
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
ITT 2020 Q4SDG Engines
EO Platform Solutions for SDG monitoring
Objectives Integrate EO data processing and data analytics engines on existing EO exploitation platforms
for seamless integration into national SDG monitoring systems.
Impact Integration of EO workflows in national processes and systems on SDG monitoring.
Main tasks § Customise an EO data processing workflow on a Cloud/HPC based platforms (preferably
DIAS systems) for one SDG target/indicator (to be selected by the Bidders)
§ Integrate the produced EO data products with other datasets (e.g. socio-economical data) in
a Data Analytics Portal with data visualisation, statistical and analytics tools.
§ Implement 2 national cases (one European country and one developing country) to
demonstrates the end-to-end integration in a national monitoring and reporting on SDGs.
§ Conduct a scientifically and statistically sound validation of the produced EO data
products and derived statistics.
§ support countries developing / strengthening their technical capacities to use EO for
the monitoring of the selected SDG target/indicator.
Partners IAEG-SDG WGGI, GEO EO4SDG, National Statistics Offices and Line ministries from the 2 pilot
countries (to be engaged by the Bidders), UN Custodian Agencies.
Budget 3 contracts of 150 KEUR
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
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