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For release April 14, 2022 Franklin & Marshall College Poll: April 2022 Summary of Findings For media or other inquiries: Berwood Yost, Director byost@fandm.edu 717.358.3922 @FandMPoll getrevue.co/profile/fandmpoll
Franklin & Marshall College Poll Summary April 2022 Summary Table of Contents Key Findings 1 Detailed Findings 3 Direction of State and Personal Finances 3 Most Important Problem 4 Governor Wolf: Job Performance 4 State Issues 6 President Biden: Job Performance 6 Electoral Context 8 US Senate Primary Races 8 Methodology11 Further Reading 12 Table A-1: Financial Status 13 Table A-2: Gubernatorial Job Performance 14 Table A-3: Property Taxes and Other Tax Increases 15 Table A-4: Critical Race Theory and Parental Rights 16 Table A-5:Sexual Orientation Discussion in Schools 17 Table A-6: Sports and Gender 18 Table A-7: Presidential Job Performance 19
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Key Findings The April 2022 Franklin & Marshall College Poll finds little change in the mood of Pennsylvania’s registered voters since our March Poll, with economic concerns remaining high and voters continuing to feel deeply frustrated and mostly dissatisfied with President Biden’s performance. More than one in three (36%) respondents say they are “worse off” financially than a year ago, about the same as last month. Many Republicans and conservatives say they are “worse off” than last year, but a quarter of Democrats (26%) and a plurality of independents (40%) also say they are worse off financially. Given the concerns about their personal finances, it is unsurprising that Pennsylvania voters remain pessimistic about conditions in the state and the nation. Only one in four (29%) registered voters believes the state is “headed in the right direction.” Three in four (75%) voters who say they are “worse off” financially this year than last also say the state is “on the wrong track.” Concerns about the economy (21%), including unemployment and personal finances, remain the most important problem facing the state. About one in three (33%) registered voters in Pennsylvania believes President Biden is doing an “excellent” or “good” job as president. President Biden’s current rating is similar to President Trump’s and is lower than President Obama’s rating in Pennsylvania at the same point in their terms. The President’s positive job ratings have declined from 78% to 61% among Democrats, from 38% to 24% among independents, from 79% to 64% among liberals, and from 50% to 42% among moderates since August. Right now, more of the state’s registered voters say they will support a Republican candidate for Congress, 44% Republican versus 39% Democrat. In April of 2018, Democrats held a seven point advantage in Congressional preference, 42% to 35%. John Fetterman has increased his advantage in the Democratic US Senate primary since March--Fetterman now leads Conor Lamb 41% to 17%, with one in five (26%) still undecided about their preference. Half (47%) of those who expressed a preference in the primary say they 1
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary could change their mind about their choice. Fetterman (49%) has a substantial lead over Lamb (13%) among Democrats who identify with the progressive wing of the party, but the race is much closer among those who identify as centrists (Fetterman 41% , Lamb 31%). The Republican primary field has no clear front-runner at the moment, with Mehmet Oz (16%) and David McCormick (15%) each garnering similar shares of Republican support. More than two in five (43%) voters say they are not sure who they will vote for in the Senate race and two-thirds (66%) of those who have chosen a candidate say they could still change their minds. Favorability ratings of Mehmet Oz are negative among Republican voters, with more having an unfavorable (39%) than favorable (27%) opinion of him. The data gathering for this survey was almost finished when former President Donald Trump offered his endorsement of Mehmet Oz in the Senate race. Oz (22%) was leading among voters who identified with the Trump faction of the party prior to Mr. Trump’s endorsement, while many (36%) of those voters were still undecided about their preference. 2
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Detailed Findings Direction of State and Personal Finances Voters remain dissatisfied with their personal finances (Figure 1). More than one in three (36%) respondents said that they are “worse off” financially than a year ago, mirroring our March survey, which was the highest proportion in the last five years. Fewer than one in five (15%) respondents say they are “better off” financially than they were last year. A quarter (28%) of registered voters expect they will be “worse off” financially a year from now, which is similar to the sentiments expressed in F&M Polls conducted since August 2021. Many Republicans and conservatives say they are “worse off” than last year, but a quarter of Democrats (26%) and a plurality of independents (40%) also say they are worse off financially (see Table A-1). Personal Finances, Registered Pennsylvania Voters, 2016-2022 We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you and your family are better off, worse off, or about the same financially as you were a year ago? 32% 33% 31% Net Jan-20, 21% 28% 29% 30% 27% 24% 23% 23% 24% 22% 21% 20% 17% 18% 16% 15% 14% 15% 11% Better Off -13% -13% -11% -12% -13% Net -17% -16% -18% -17% -17% -17% -21% -19% -19% Worse off -24% -24% -25% -26% -31% Net Apr-22, -21% -35% -36% Figure 1. This figure shows how registered voters in Pennsylvania rate their personal economic circumstances at selected times since 2016. 3
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Given concern about their personal finances, it is unsurprising that Pennsylvania voters remain pessimistic about conditions in the state and the nation. Only one in three (29%) regis- tered voters believes the state is “headed in the right direction,” which is significantly lower than the recent, pre-pandemic high of 57 percent reported in October 2019. Nearly three in four (74%) Pennsylvania voters believe that things in the US are “on the wrong track.” Three in four (75%) of those voters who say they are “worse off” financially this year than last also say the state is “on the wrong track.” Most Important Problem Concerns about the economy (21%), including unemployment and personal finances, remain the most mentioned problems facing Pennsylvania, as it was in March. Concerns about government and politicians (20%) in the state remain high, with that sentiment being driven by divisiveness and an inability to address the state’s major issues. Governor Wolf: Job Performance In July 2020, more than half (52%) of the state’s registered voters rated the governor as doing an “excellent” or “good” job; today, his positive job approval rating is at 38 percent, which is unchanged since March (see Figure 2). The governor’s approval rating differs by party and ideology (see Table A-2) and is lower among all partisan groups than it was in July 2020, par- ticularly among Democrats and independents when his ratings were 78 percent and 57 percent, respectively. 4
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Comparison of Governors’ Job Performance Ratings, Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 How would you rate the way that [fill Governor] is handling his job as Governor? Would you say he is doing… an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as Governor? 100% 90% 80% Excellent + Good Job 70% Ridge 60% 50% Wolf 40% 30% Rendell 20% Corbett 10% First Term Second Term 0% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Months in Office Source: Survey conducted March 30 - April 10, 2022 Figure 2. This figure shows how registered voters in Pennsylvania rate the performance of Governor Wolf in relation to Governors Ridge (blue line), Rendell (red line), and Corbett (green line) at similar points in their terms. 5
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary State Issues Most (63%) registered voters favor eliminating property taxes, but a proposed plan that would replace property taxes with an assortment of other tax changes is opposed (66%) by a majority of respondents. Every partisan group reports being opposed to this plan (see Table A-3). Nearly three in four (70%) registered voters favors teaching students in public schools about the history of race and racism in the United States and a majority (58%) opposes giving parents the right to sue schools that teach critical race theory, as Florida has done. A majority (61%) of Republicans supports allowing parents to sue schools they suspect of teaching critical race theory, but few Democrats (17%) or independents (33%) do (see Table A-4). Registered voters are sharply divided about passing a law in Pennsylvania that is similar to Florida’s law that limits instruction about sexual orientation and gender identity. About one in three (35%) strongly supports such a law while about two in five (42%) strongly opposes it. Republicans (57%) are more likely to strongly support such a law while Democrats (59%) and independents (42%) are more likely to strongly oppose it (see Table A-5). A majority (64%) of registered voters supports passing a law in Pennsylvania that would require athletes to participate in sports based on their gender as assigned at birth. Passing such a law is strongly supported by four in five (80%) Republicans and half (53%) of independent voters, while a third (30%) of Democrats also strongly support the idea (see Table A-6). President Biden: Job Performance About one in three (33%) registered voters in Pennsylvania believes President Biden is doing an “excellent” or “good” job as president, which is a sizable decline from his June rating of 44 percent and his August rating of 41 percent, but similar to his ratings in March. Figure 3 compares President Biden’s job ratings to President Obama’s and President Trump’s job ratings; President Biden’s current rating is similar to President Trump’s and is lower than President Obama’s rating in Pennsylvania at the same point in their terms. A majority of Democrats (61%) 6
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary rate the President’s performance positively, while fewer Republicans (9%) or independents (24%) do so (see Table A-7). Conservatives (6%) are much less likely than moderates (42%) or liberals (64%) to give the President positive job approval ratings. The President’s positive job ratings have declined from 78% to 61% among Democrats, from 38% to 24% among indepen- dents, from 79% to 64% among liberals, and from 50% to 42% among moderates since August. Comparison of Presidents’ Job Performance Ratings, Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 How would you rate the way that [fill President] is handling his job as President? Would you say he is doing… an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as President? 100% 90% 80% 70% Excellent + Good Job 60% 50% Obama 40% 30% Trump 20% Biden, 33% 10% First Term Second Term 0% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Months in Office Source: Survey conducted March 30 - April 10, 2022 Figure3: This figure shows how registered voters in Pennsylvania rate the performance of President Biden in relation to Presidents Obama (blue line) and Trump (red line) at similar points in their terms. 7
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Electoral Context The March 2022 F&M Poll showed that voters in Pennsylvania were deeply frustrated, particularly about economic issues, and were mostly dissatisfied with the job President Biden is doing as president. These general sentiments found in the March survey are apparent again in the April F&M Poll. These judgments will play an important role in Pennsylvanians’ voting behaviors in the 2022 mid-term elections and they suggest the electoral current continues to run strongly in favor of the Republican Party at the moment. Right now, more of the state’s registered voters say they will support a Republican candidate for Congress, 44% Republican versus 39% Democrat. In April of 2018, Democrats held a seven point advantage in Congressional preference, 42% to 35%. Similarly, voter self-identification continues to favor Republicans. At the moment, more of the state’s registered voters identify as Republicans (50%) than Democrats (40%), continuing a trend that began last year. In April 2018, Democrats had a 50% to 43% party-identification advantage. The change in party identification comes at the same time that actual, active voter registration numbers in the state have allowed Republicans to reduce their voter registration disadvantage. US Senate Primary Races John Fetterman has increased his advantage in the Democratic US Senate primary since March--Fetterman now leads Conor Lamb, 41% to 17%, with one in four (26%) still undecided about their preference. Nearly half (47%) of those who have a preference report they could change their mind about their choice. Fetterman (49%) has a substantial lead over Lamb (13%) among Democrats who identify with the progressive wing of the party, but the race is much closer among those who identify as centrists (Fetterman 41%, Lamb 31%). John Fetterman is much better known among Democratic voters than is Conor Lamb; one in four (29%) Democrats say they don’t know enough to have an opinion about Fetterman compared to 44% who say they don’t know enough to have an opinion about Lamb. Fetterman’s 8
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary favorability (56%) ratings are also stronger than Lamb’s favorability (39%) ratings. The Republican primary field has no clear front-runner at the moment, with Mehmet Oz (16%) and David McCormick (15%) each garnering similar shares of Republican support. More than two in five (43%) voters say they are not sure who they will vote for in the Senate race and two-thirds (66%) of those who have chosen a candidate say they could still change their minds. Republican voters most often report that the economy (19%), including inflation and jobs, is the issue they are most likely to consider as they choose a candidate. Favorability ratings of Mehmet Oz are negative among Republican voters, with more having an unfavorable (39%) than favor- able (27%) opinion of the candidate. David McCormick has more positive (29%) than negative (15%) favorability ratings than Oz, but half (50%) of voters say they don’t know enough about him to have an opinion. The data gathering for this survey was almost finished when former President Donald Trump offered his endorsement of Mehmet Oz in the Senate race. Oz (22%) was leading among voters who identified with the Trump faction of the party, while many (36%) of those voters were still undecided about their preference. 9
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary US Senate Primary, Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 If the [Democratic/Republican] primary election for US Senate were being held today would you vote for: (rotated) Democratic Primary Republican Primary April 2022 April 2022 n=356 n=317 John Fetterman Mehmet Oz 16% 41% David McCormick 15% Conor Lamb 17% Kathy Barnette 7% Malcom Kenyatta 4% Jeff Bartos 6% Someone else Carla Sands 5% 9% George Bochetto 2% None 2% Someone else 6% Do not know 26% Do not know 43% Source: Survey conducted March 30 - April 10, 2022 Figure 4. This figure shows voters’ choices in Pennsylvania’s US Senate Primary by party. 10
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Methodology The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted March 30 – April 10, 2022. The interviews were conducted at the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall. The data included in this release represent the responses of 785 registered Pennsylvania voters, including 356 Democrats, 317 Republicans, and 112 independents.1 The sample of voters was obtained from Marketing Systems Group. All sampled respondents were notified by mail about the survey. Interviews were completed over the phone and online depending on each respondent’s preference. Survey results were weighted (age, gender, education, geography, and party registration) using an iterative weighting algorithm to reflect the known distribution of those characteristics. Estimates for age, geography, and party registration are based on active voters within the PA Department of State’s voter registration data. Gender and education is estimated using data from the November 2018 CPS Voter Registration Supplement.2 The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.2 percentage points when the design effects from weighting are considered. An alternative means of calculating the variation in a sample is to take a series of bootstrap samples from the original sample and to use those bootstrapped samples to produce an estimate of sampling error (see Canty, Angelo. 2002. “Resampling Methods in R: The boot Package.” R News 2/3 (December): 2-7). The procedure involves resampling a data set, calculating a statistic for each bootstrapped sample, accumulating the results of these samples and calculating a sample distribution. The standard deviation of the mean of 10,000 bootstrapped samples for the estimated positive job approval for Governor Wolf was 1.8% and 95% of the samples fell within a range of 35% and 42%. In addition to sampling error, this poll is also 1 The data reported here is voter REGISTRATION and is consistent with past reporting practices. The survey also asked about self-reported voter IDENTIFICATION, which shows a slightly different partisan split: 50% identify as Republican (n=373), 8% as Independent (n=60), and 40% as Democrat (n=301) and the balance not offering a response. Partisan compar- isons in this summary show self-reported registration. 2 Data downloaded from IPUMS-CPS, University of Minnesota, www.ipums.org, accessed 12/31/2021 11
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary subject to other sources of non-sampling error. Generally speaking, two sources of error concern researchers most. Non-response bias is created when selected participants either choose not to participate in the survey or are unavailable for interviewing. Response errors are the product of the question and answer process. Surveys that rely on self-reported behaviors and attitudes are susceptible to biases related to the way respondents process and respond to survey questions. Further Reading • Importance of the 2022 Pennsylvania Election - Franklin & Marshall College Poll - The 2022 Primary Elections: Political Catnip • Limitations of primary polling - F&M College Poll: Primary Polling 2022, April 2022 • Party Identification in Pennsylvania - Franklin & Marshall College Poll: Party Identification Shifted to Republicans in 2021 • Party Factions in Pennsylvania Politics - Medvic, Stephen K; Yost, Berwood A. (2021, November 4-5). Party Factions Among the Voters. 2021 State of the Parties: 2020 and Beyond, Virtual Conference 12
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Table A-1: Financial Status Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you and your family are better off, worse off, or about the same financially as you were a year ago? About the Better off Worse off Do not know same Party* Republican 9% 48% 42% 0% Democrat 21% 26% 52% 0% Independent or something else 10% 40% 50% 0% Ideology* Liberal 24% 21% 54% 1% Moderate 17% 27% 55% 0% Conservative 6% 53% 40% 0% Gender* Male 20% 35% 45% 0% Female 10% 37% 52% 0% Age* Under 35 28% 32% 41% 0% 35-54 17% 31% 52% 0% Over 55 11% 41% 48% 0% Education* HS or less 16% 42% 42% 0% Some college 7% 41% 52% 0% College degree 20% 29% 50% 0% Race White 15% 34% 51% 0% Nonwhite 14% 44% 41% 0% Race & Education, White Voters* White, No College Degree 8% 43% 49% 0% White, College Degree 22% 24% 53% 0% Employment* Fulltime 21% 32% 46% 0% Other 8% 41% 51% 0% Retired 10% 38% 51% 1% Income* Under $35,000 5% 48% 46% 1% $35,000-$75,000 15% 36% 49% 0% Over $75,000 21% 29% 50% 0% “Born-again” or evangelical Christian Yes 9% 41% 50% 0% No 17% 34% 48% 0% Region* Philadelphia & Southeast 21% 31% 49% 0% Northeast 8% 49% 42% 1% Allegheny & Southwest 15% 43% 42% 0% Northwest 10% 32% 58% 0% Central 12% 34% 54% 0% Urban-Rural Classification** Large Central Metro 22% 35% 42% 0% Large Fringe Metro 15% 35% 50% 0% Medium Metro 10% 38% 51% 1% Small Metro 22% 26% 52% 0% Micropolitan 4% 43% 53% 0% Noncore 5% 52% 43% 0% * p
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Table A-2: Gubernatorial Job Performance Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 How would you rate the way that Tom Wolf is handling his job as governor? Would you say he is doing an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as Governor? Excellent/Good Fair/Poor Do not know Party* Republican 10% 88% 2% Democrat 64% 34% 2% Independent or something else 35% 59% 5% Ideology* Liberal 71% 26% 3% Moderate 48% 50% 2% Conservative 9% 91% 0% Gender Male 34% 65% 2% Female 40% 57% 3% Age Under 35 29% 69% 2% 35-54 38% 59% 3% Over 55 40% 58% 2% Education* HS or less 25% 72% 3% Some college 37% 61% 2% College degree 45% 53% 2% Race White 38% 60% 2% Nonwhite 34% 63% 4% Race & Education, White Voters* White, No College Degree 32% 66% 3% White, College Degree 47% 52% 1% Employment Fulltime 36% 61% 3% Other 34% 63% 3% Retired 39% 59% 2% Income Under $35,000 37% 59% 4% $35,000-$75,000 42% 56% 2% Over $75,000 36% 62% 2% “Born-again” or evangelical Christian* Yes 22% 77% 1% No 42% 55% 2% Region Philadelphia & Southeast 42% 57% 1% Northeast 43% 56% 1% Allegheny & Southwest 40% 57% 3% Northwest 32% 65% 4% Central 30% 67% 3% Urban-Rural Classification* Large Central Metro 36% 61% 3% Large Fringe Metro 44% 55% 1% Medium Metro 37% 60% 3% Small Metro 34% 60% 6% Micropolitan 19% 81% 0% Noncore 20% 73% 6% * p
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Table A-3: Property Taxes and Other Tax Increases Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 Legislators are proposing that property tax revenues would be replaced by a combination of increas- es in other taxes, including an increase in the state income tax, applying the income tax to some retirement income that is currently untaxed, and increasing the state sales tax. Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose this plan to eliminate the property tax in Pennsylvania? Somewhat Strongly Strongly favor Somewhat favor Do not know oppose oppose Party* Republican 12% 23% 19% 43% 4% Democrat 4% 20% 24% 43% 8% Independent or something else 13% 10% 24% 47% 6% Ideology* Liberal 9% 19% 20% 46% 6% Moderate 4% 20% 27% 44% 4% Conservative 11% 21% 19% 43% 6% Gender Male 9% 23% 19% 43% 7% Female 7% 16% 25% 45% 6% Age** Under 35 9% 27% 15% 46% 2% 35-54 5% 19% 25% 42% 9% Over 55 10% 19% 23% 44% 5% Education* HS or less 13% 23% 17% 36% 12% Some college 8% 21% 20% 46% 5% College degree 5% 16% 27% 47% 5% Race White 8% 19% 24% 43% 6% Nonwhite 10% 19% 14% 48% 9% Race & Education, White Voters White, No College Degree 10% 21% 22% 41% 7% White, College Degree 5% 17% 27% 45% 5% Employment* Fulltime 7% 22% 24% 41% 6% Other 5% 19% 15% 47% 14% Retired 11% 14% 23% 48% 3% Income** Under $35,000 11% 16% 16% 43% 14% $35,000-$75,000 8% 21% 23% 42% 5% Over $75,000 7% 19% 22% 47% 4% “Born-again” or evangelical Christian Yes 8% 18% 21% 47% 6% No 9% 20% 21% 43% 7% Region** Philadelphia & Southeast 5% 17% 23% 47% 8% Northeast 6% 26% 25% 39% 4% Allegheny & Southwest 6% 16% 20% 50% 7% Northwest 18% 11% 24% 39% 8% Central 11% 23% 21% 40% 6% Urban-Rural Classification Large Central Metro 3% 19% 26% 44% 8% Large Fringe Metro 8% 15% 21% 48% 7% Medium Metro 11% 24% 22% 37% 7% Small Metro 11% 19% 33% 36% 1% Micropolitan 10% 17% 14% 51% 7% Noncore 4% 28% 7% 55% 6% * p
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Table A-4: Critical Race Theory and Parental Rights Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 Florida lawmakers are considering a law that gives parents the right to sue public schools if they believe a school is teaching about critical race theory. Would you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose passing this kind of law in Pennsylvania? Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Do not know support support oppose oppose Party* Republican 51% 10% 8% 26% 5% Democrat 10% 7% 4% 76% 2% Independent or something else 24% 9% 13% 44% 11% Ideology* Liberal 6% 2% 5% 84% 3% Moderate 14% 9% 11% 59% 8% Conservative 58% 11% 7% 18% 5% Gender* Male 31% 11% 9% 44% 5% Female 26% 6% 9% 53% 6% Age Under 35 18% 13% 6% 60% 3% 35-54 26% 8% 10% 50% 6% Over 55 31% 8% 9% 46% 6% Education** HS or less 35% 9% 11% 40% 4% Some college 31% 7% 8% 47% 6% College degree 22% 10% 7% 54% 7% Race White 28% 8% 10% 49% 6% Nonwhite 32% 10% 4% 46% 8% Race & Education, White Voters** White, No College Degree 33% 6% 11% 44% 5% White, College Degree 21% 10% 7% 55% 7% Employment Fulltime 23% 10% 9% 52% 5% Other 34% 7% 12% 41% 6% Retired 32% 8% 7% 47% 7% Income Under $35,000 31% 13% 8% 45% 4% $35,000-$75,000 26% 4% 9% 53% 8% Over $75,000 29% 9% 8% 51% 4% “Born-again” or evangelical Christian* Yes 41% 12% 11% 32% 5% No 25% 7% 7% 55% 6% Region Philadelphia & Southeast 23% 7% 8% 56% 6% Northeast 33% 13% 6% 47% 2% Allegheny & Southwest 28% 8% 10% 48% 6% Northwest 38% 7% 12% 39% 5% Central 30% 9% 8% 44% 8% Urban-Rural Classification Large Central Metro 18% 9% 10% 59% 4% Large Fringe Metro 29% 6% 9% 50% 7% Medium Metro 34% 10% 8% 42% 6% Small Metro 27% 11% 10% 45% 7% Micropolitan 27% 9% 5% 48% 11% Noncore 38% 10% 9% 39% 4% * p
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Table A-5:Sexual Orientation Discussion in Schools Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 Florida lawmakers passed a law that prevents classroom instruction about sexual orientation or gender identity for students in kindergarten through third grade and that also discourages classroom discussion about sexual orientation or gender identity for older students. Would you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose passing this kind of law in Pennsylvania? Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Do not know support support oppose oppose Party* Republican 57% 8% 9% 26% 1% Democrat 14% 9% 16% 59% 3% Independent or something else 36% 8% 9% 42% 6% Ideology* Liberal 8% 5% 12% 73% 1% Moderate 22% 12% 17% 44% 5% Conservative 67% 6% 4% 22% 1% Gender Male 39% 9% 9% 40% 3% Female 32% 8% 13% 44% 3% Age Under 35 27% 9% 16% 49% 0% 35-54 34% 7% 11% 44% 3% Over 55 37% 10% 11% 39% 3% Education HS or less 35% 10% 11% 40% 4% Some college 40% 5% 13% 39% 3% College degree 32% 11% 10% 45% 2% Race** White 34% 10% 11% 42% 3% Nonwhite 41% 3% 12% 41% 3% Race & Education, White Voters White, No College Degree 39% 9% 12% 38% 3% White, College Degree 29% 12% 10% 46% 3% Employment Fulltime 34% 9% 13% 41% 2% Other 32% 12% 8% 46% 2% Retired 37% 7% 12% 41% 4% Income Under $35,000 25% 9% 10% 52% 3% $35,000-$75,000 33% 11% 15% 38% 3% Over $75,000 38% 8% 11% 42% 1% “Born-again” or evangelical Christian* Yes 53% 3% 7% 37% 1% No 29% 10% 13% 45% 3% Region Philadelphia & Southeast 30% 8% 13% 46% 3% Northeast 33% 11% 8% 44% 4% Allegheny & Southwest 34% 9% 11% 44% 3% Northwest 42% 8% 10% 38% 2% Central 42% 8% 12% 35% 3% Urban-Rural Classification Large Central Metro 30% 7% 11% 50% 1% Large Fringe Metro 32% 9% 14% 41% 3% Medium Metro 40% 9% 10% 38% 3% Small Metro 38% 8% 14% 38% 2% Micropolitan 44% 8% 4% 39% 5% Noncore 37% 5% 4% 42% 12% * p
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Table A-6: Sports and Gender Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 A number of states have passed laws that require athletes to participate in sports based on their gender assigned at birth in order to prevent transgender athletes from participating in girls’ sports. Would you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose passing a law in Pennsylvania that requires athletes to participate in sports based on their gender assigned at birth? Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Do not know support support oppose oppose Party* Republican 80% 5% 3% 10% 2% Democrat 30% 13% 21% 27% 9% Independent or something else 53% 9% 5% 13% 20% Ideology* Liberal 14% 14% 20% 38% 13% Moderate 42% 15% 16% 16% 12% Conservative 89% 2% 1% 8% 0% Gender Male 58% 9% 8% 17% 7% Female 51% 10% 13% 18% 8% Age** Under 35 47% 6% 19% 13% 15% 35-54 56% 10% 10% 19% 6% Over 55 55% 11% 10% 18% 6% Education** HS or less 63% 9% 7% 15% 7% Some college 58% 8% 8% 16% 9% College degree 47% 11% 14% 20% 7% Race White 53% 9% 12% 18% 7% Nonwhite 61% 11% 4% 15% 10% Race & Education, White Voters* White, No College Degree 61% 7% 9% 16% 7% White, College Degree 45% 11% 16% 21% 7% Employment Fulltime 55% 9% 12% 16% 8% Other 50% 8% 11% 21% 9% Retired 55% 10% 9% 19% 6% Income Under $35,000 54% 9% 9% 21% 8% $35,000-$75,000 48% 12% 13% 18% 9% Over $75,000 55% 10% 11% 17% 6% “Born-again” or evangelical Christian* Yes 74% 10% 4% 9% 4% No 48% 10% 13% 20% 9% Region Philadelphia & Southeast 47% 12% 14% 18% 10% Northeast 51% 11% 12% 23% 3% Allegheny & Southwest 61% 6% 7% 19% 7% Northwest 66% 10% 7% 9% 9% Central 58% 9% 8% 17% 8% Urban-Rural Classification Large Central Metro 54% 7% 9% 18% 11% Large Fringe Metro 51% 12% 13% 17% 7% Medium Metro 56% 8% 12% 19% 5% Small Metro 63% 11% 4% 17% 5% Micropolitan 58% 9% 5% 17% 11% Noncore 66% 5% 4% 10% 15% * p
Franklin & Marshall College Poll April 2022 Summary Table A-7: Presidential Job Performance Pennsylvania registered voters, April 2022 How would you rate the way that Joe Biden is handling his job as president? Would you say he is doing an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as President? Excellent/Good Fair/Poor Do not know Party* Republican 9% 91% 0% Democrat 61% 38% 1% Independent or something else 24% 75% 1% Ideology* Liberal 64% 36% 1% Moderate 42% 56% 1% Conservative 6% 94% 0% Gender Male 28% 72% 0% Female 36% 63% 1% Age* Under 35 12% 86% 2% 35-54 34% 65% 1% Over 55 36% 64% 0% Education* HS or less 19% 81% 1% Some college 31% 68% 1% College degree 41% 58% 1% Race** White 34% 65% 1% Nonwhite 24% 74% 2% Race & Education, White Voters** White, No College Degree 26% 73% 1% White, College Degree 43% 57% 1% Employment Fulltime 29% 70% 1% Other 35% 64% 1% Retired 35% 64% 1% Income Under $35,000 34% 64% 2% $35,000-$75,000 35% 65% 0% Over $75,000 33% 66% 0% “Born-again” or evangelical Christian* Yes 21% 79% 0% No 36% 62% 1% Region Philadelphia & Southeast 39% 60% 2% Northeast 29% 71% 0% Allegheny & Southwest 32% 67% 2% Northwest 31% 69% 0% Central 26% 74% 0% Urban-Rural Classification** Large Central Metro 31% 67% 2% Large Fringe Metro 39% 60% 1% Medium Metro 30% 70% 0% Small Metro 25% 74% 1% Micropolitan 19% 81% 0% Noncore 23% 77% 0% * p
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