Football Injury Index - English Premier League 2018-19 Review - Kinesport
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Football Injury Index English Premier League 2018-19 Review
Contents •• Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 •• Club Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 •• Injuries and Performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 •• Injuries by Month . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 •• Injuries by Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 •• Injuries by Position. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 •• Injuries by Age. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 •• Looking Ahead. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Introduction
Welcome to the fourth annual Football Injury Index
from Marsh JLT Specialty, covering the 2018-19
season. Each year, the Index looks at how injuries
have affected the 20 football clubs in the English
Premier League (EPL) over the course of the
most recent season. This information helps clubs
understand the financial impact of players’ injuries,
and assess their injury risks.
£ 221 M
Total Cost of Injury 2018/19.
380 Games; 1 Point in It
The EPL season never fails to serve up thrilling drama — and 2018-19 was no
exception. Not since 2012 — when a last-minute goal sealed the top spot for
Manchester City — have we seen a closer title race. After 380 games, City
once again clinched glory on the last day of the season, finishing one point
ahead of Liverpool.
Pep Guardiola’s team completed an unprecedented domestic treble in the English
men’s game by also winning the FA Cup and the League Cup. Liverpool’s fans
had their own reason to celebrate a couple of weeks later, when the club beat EPL
rivals Tottenham Hotspur in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) final. Remarkably,
the EPL provided all four European finalists this season, with Chelsea beating
Arsenal in the Europa League showpiece. This was the first time any national
league had achieved this feat.
For their part, Arsenal had a mixed first campaign of the post-Arsene Wenger
era. Under new manager Unai Emery, the club failed to qualify for next season’s
UCL, while reaching (but losing) the Europa League final. Meanwhile, Manchester
United couldn’t sustain the impressive “bounce” when Ole Gunnar Solskjaer
replaced Jose Mourinho as manager mid-season. Their sixth-place finish means
no UCL spot next season.
At the other end of the table, two newly promoted clubs (Fulham and Cardiff City)
were immediately relegated back to the Championship — in contrast with the
previous season, when all three promotees survived.
Bucking the trend, Wolverhampton Wanderers put in a stellar performance in
their first season back in the big time. The club finished seventh, reached the FA
Cup semifinals, and drew praise for their attractive football.
Marsh JLT Specialty • 1
Marsh • 1
Injuries on the Up
For professional football clubs, paying out salaries to injured By comparison, the cost of injuries rose by a relatively modest
players is a cost of doing business. And the cost is on a relentless 3%, to around £221 million year-on-year. This followed a 21%
upward curve. During the 2018-19 season, injuries increased jump in costs during the previous season.
both in number and cost to EPL clubs (see Figure 1).
The 2017-18 figure may have been inflated by the effect on
The total number of injuries (764) was the highest since we players’ wages of a bumper new Sky TV deal. Nonetheless, the
began collecting data eight years ago — and up 15% from last long-term trend is clear: As TV money has poured into the game,
season (663). This reversed the previous year’s trend, when total inflating players’ salaries, the cost of injuries to EPL clubs has,
injuries fell by around 10% year-on-year. since the 2011-12 season, almost doubled.
FIGURE
1 Cost and number of injuries continues to increase.
764
800
718 714
663
700
603
573 580
600 121241
1214 11145449
1497
149 19
111449 11111454497
111154497 111152448979
1114449
11124489 1111112444499
18
500 111114244498 18
1111499 11111522447998
11747 15479 11145449897
1112448 111124499
149 19
111449 11112444899 1114498
1 4 1115244979
111154497 111154997 111124544897
11547 11 19
11112444489 11112444489 111112444489
400 11540 111144499 19
11111244489
19
11111244489
11 9
1111124489
1149 1149 1149 1149 1124489
19 19 111489
11248 111248 111248 1112449
11249 11248 111124498 148 148 11112498
111249 111249 1
1149 1149 1149 1149 1149 1149
1149
300
200
100
0
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
Total injuries Total cost of injuries (in GBP)
2 • Football Injury Index
Methodology
Working with Sporting Intelligence, a specialist
sports news and data provider, Marsh JLT
Specialty has sourced, classified, and studied
data on EPL injuries since 2011. Using public
sources, our analysis covers official matches
played by EPL clubs in all competitions.
The analysis in this report is based on our “There were 764 injuries to players
estimate of the financial cost for every injury
suffered by an EPL player during the 2018-19
during the 2018-19 season — that’s
season. Injury costs represent the fixed salary
paid by the club to the injured player during
the highest number in any season
their absence. since we began collecting data.”
All injuries causing a player to miss at least
one official match are taken into account. All
salary and injury cost data cited is provided by
Sporting Intelligence.
764
Total number of injuries
in 2018-19.
15 %
Increase of number of injuries
from 2017-18.
86 %
Increase in salaries paid by clubs to
injured players since 2012-13.
Club Analysis
On average, EPL clubs suffered just over 38 injuries
each during the 2018-19 season — around one per
game. On average, each club paid out a total of more
than £11 million to injured players. The cost per injury
averaged around £290,000.
Looking at the cost of injuries by club throws the financial divide between the
“big six” and the rest of the EPL into sharp relief. Between them, Arsenal, Chelsea,
Liverpool, the two Manchester clubs, and Tottenham Hotspur accounted for 54%
of injury costs. Together, they’ve experienced a 48% increase in salaries paid to
£ 290 K
Average injury cost 2018-19.
injured players since 2016 (see Figures 2 and 3).
With an all-star squad and wealthy owners, it is perhaps unsurprising that
Man City tops the injury costs table, with a total outlay of £26.3 million (see
Figure 4). This is despite having only the seventh highest injury total (44), and
“On average,
the lowest among the top six teams. However, City’s push for an unprecedented
“quadruple” had an effect, with its injury total almost double that of last year (24).
Premier League
clubs paid some
Manchester United — another big-salary payer — is second in the injury cost
table, having spent £25.2 million. United had the highest injury cost spend in the £11 million each
league during 2017-18, despite a relatively modest number of injuries (37). Last
season, however, the club suffered more injuries than any other (63) — which may to injured players
partly explain the team’s faltering league performance.
over the course
of the season.”
FIGURE
2 Top six clubs take more than half of injury costs.
£120M
£101M
Top 6 Clubs Other Clubs
4 • Football Injury IndexFor 2018-19, Tottenham Hotspur experienced the second Wolverhampton Wanderers’ excellent return to the top flight was
highest injury total (61), while lying sixth in the cost table undoubtedly helped by a relatively injury-free season. The team
(£17.9 million). Spurs contested its first-ever UCL final last had just 11 layoffs — the lowest number of any EPL club in the
season, and made the FA Cup semifinals, on the back of a long last eight years. As a newly promoted team, Wolves presumably
World Cup campaign for several players last summer. This had a modest wage bill by Premier League standards. This kept
arguably took its toll: The club’s injury total almost doubled injury costs down to £1.1 million — just 4.3% of Manchester
last season (up from 33 in 2017-18). Over the last three seasons City’s total.
(2016–19), its payouts to injured players more than doubled
(110%) — a far higher increase than other top six clubs.
FIGURE
3 Top six EPL teams see overall increase of 48% in salaries to injured players since 2016.
110%
73%
49%
44% 41%
11%
Tottenham Hotspur Chelsea Arsenal Manchester City Manchester United Liverpool
Marsh JLT Specialty • 5FIGURE
4 Manchester City had the highest cost of injuries in 2018-19,
while Manchester United led in number of injuries.
44 Manchester City 26.3
63 Manchester United 25.2
49 Arsenal 24.2
45 West Ham United 22.8
61 Tottenham Hotspur 17.9
50 Liverpool 15.2
39 Crystal Palace 11.5
50 Chelsea 11.5
28 Everton 9.4
35 AFC Bournemouth 8.0
37 Watford 7.7
39 Newcastle United 6.8
28 Burnley 6.1
34 Southampton 6.0
28 Brighton 5.0
43 Huddersfield 4.7
19 Leicester City 4.4
27 Fulham 4.1
34 Cardiff City 3.3
11 Wolverhampton 1.1
Wanderers
Total injuries (in millions GBP) Cost of injuries (in millions GBP)
6 • Football Injury Index“Wolverhampton
Wanderers’ excellent
return to the top flight
was undoubtedly
helped by a relatively
injury-free season.”
Marsh JLT Specialty • 7Injuries and
Performance
Depth of squad is critical when competing for major
honours. Tellingly, Manchester City pipped Liverpool
to the title despite suffering more from injuries
(see Figure 5).
The champions had an average of 4.61 players missing per game, compared
to 3.91 for Liverpool. And Manchester City players were out for 1,407 days
in total — significantly more than Liverpool’s 1,136 days. (This is despite City
suffering six fewer injuries in total.) It could also be argued that Pep Guardiola
lost more influential players than Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool. Two of City’s long-
4.61 Players
Average number of missing players
term absentees were club Captain Vincent Kompany and star playmaker Kevin per game for Man City, compared
de Bruyne. By contrast, Liverpool’s longest layoffs affected Alex Oxlade- to Liverpool’s 3.91.
Chamberlain, Joe Gomez, and Adam Lallana.
FIGURE
5 Despite higher injury totals, Manchester City takes top spot in 2018-19.
BATTLE FOR TOP SPOT
Manchester City Liverpool
44 TOTAL INJURIES 50
1,407 DAYS OUT 1,136
£26.3M COST OF INJURIES £15.2M
98 EPL POINTS 97
£598.8K AVG. COST OF INJURY £303.1K
4.61 AVG. NUMBER OF UNAVAILABLE 3.91
PLAYERS
8 • Football Injury Index“Manchester United finished bottom of the big six ‘mini-league’,
and suffered the most layoffs during the season.”
The Big Six
Looking across the top six, Arsenal lost by far the most days Spurs’ injury-hit campaign is reflected in a more than 200%
through injury (1,771), and finished second from the bottom rise in days missed by their players — up from 791 in 2017-18,
of this elite group. Did injuries hold back the team’s progress to 1,652 last season (see Figure 6). There was a clear impact on
in its first season under Emery? Manchester United finished at their league performance: the team scored seven fewer points,
the bottom of the big six “mini-league”, and suffered the most and finished a place lower, in fourth.
layoffs during the season.
FIGURE
6 Year-on-year injuries may have played a role in performance among the top six clubs.
AVG. UNAVAILABLE
TOTAL INJURIES DAYS OUT EPL POINTS
PLAYERS
CLUBS
2017-18 2018-19 2017-18 2018-19 2017-18 2018-19 2017-18 2018-19
Manchester City 24 44 776 1,407 2.81 4.61 100 98
Liverpool 44 50 1,218 1,136 4.20 3.91 75 97
Chelsea 38 50 906 1,014 2.63 3.43 70 72
Tottenham Hotspur 33 61 791 1,652 3.04 5.50 77 71
Arsenal 54 49 1,034 1,771 4.40 6.40 63 70
Manchester United 37 63 1,071 1,238 4.38 4.30 81 66
Marsh JLT Specialty • 9Across the League
West Ham finished comfortably in mid-table (10th), despite As we’ve seen, seventh-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers had
having the most players missing per game (7), and the most the fewest days missed and players unavailable on match days.
match days missed (2,003), (see Figures 7 and 8). Long layoffs
for Andy Carroll (twice), Jack Wilshere, and Andriy Yarmolenko
contributed to the club’s high absence rate.
FIGURE
West Ham United averaged more than 7 players missing
7 per match, but was in the middle for points scored.
EPL Total Points
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
8
WHU
7
Avg. Number of Unavailable Players Each Matchday
ARS
6
TOT
5
WAT MNC
HUD BOU MNU
4 NCW
CAR BUR LIV
CRY EVE
CHE
3 BRI SOU
FUL
LEI
2
1
WOL
0
10 • Football Injury IndexFIGURE
Manchester City led the EPL in points in 2018-19 and was
8 slightly above average for injuries.
AVG. NUMBER OF UNAVAILABLE
CLUBS 2018/19 EPL POINTS NUMBER OF MATCHES
PLAYERS
1 Manchester City 98 61 4.6
2 Liverpool 97 53 3.9
3 Chelsea 72 63 3.4
4 Tottenham Hotspur 71 58 5.5
5 Arsenal 70 58 6.4
6 Manchester United 66 53 4.3
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 57 46 0.7
8 Everton 54 42 3.7
9 Leicester City 52 43 2.5
10 West Ham United 52 43 7.0
11 Watford 50 46 4.5
12 Crystal Palace 49 45 3.7
13 Newcastle United 45 42 4.2
14 AFC Bournemouth 45 43 4.3
15 Burnley 40 47 3.8
16 Southampton 39 43 2.9
17 Brighton 36 45 3.0
18 Cardiff City 34 40 3.9
19 Fulham 26 42 2.8
20 Huddersfield 16 40 4.4
Marsh JLT Specialty • 11Injuries by Month
On average, EPL teams spent a total of £20.2 million
each month on players laid off through injury during
2018-19.
Like every season, December/January witnessed the most injuries, given the
annual festive fixture congestion that EPL managers so frequently bemoan
(see Figure 9).
In 2017-18, this led to a spike in January; last season, it appears to have struck
a month earlier. December 2018 saw the highest number of injuries (118), and
£ 20.2
Average monthly payout to
M
the highest injury cost (£29.3 million) across the league (see Figure 10). In fact, injured players across the EPL.
the number of injuries that month was far higher than the eight-year average for
December. As the heavy festive schedule continued to bite, injury levels remained
high in January (88, costing £24.9 million), and February (78, costing £20 million).
August usually sees relatively few injuries. The season only starts midway through
the month, and players return refreshed from the summer break and conditioned
by pre-season training. Yet, 2018-19 saw a peak in the number of injuries during
the first month back (113).
This could well be a hangover from the World Cup last summer. Some 108 EPL
players went to Russia — by far the most from any one league, and way ahead of
Spain’s La Liga, in second place (78). In fact, the Premier League provided the
whole of England’s squad, and around half of Belgium’s — both of which went all
the way to the semifinals.
April also registered a high number of injuries (81), as the long season reached
its “sharp end”, and clubs found themselves fighting for the title, European
qualification, and Premier League survival.
12 • Football Injury IndexFIGURE
9 Number of August injuries unusually high in 2018-19.
140 Avg. 2011-2018
120
100 2018-2019
p36
NUMBER OF INJURIES
80
p66
p23
60
40
20
0
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May
FIGURE
10 Injury costs typically highest in December/January.
30M
Others
Arsenal
25M
Chelsea
20M Liverpool
RUNNING COST
Manchester City
15M Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
10M
5M
0
Jul 2018 Aug 2018 Sep 2018 Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dec 2018 Jan 2019 Feb 2019 Mar 2019 Apr 2019 May 2019
“December 2018 saw the highest number of
injuries (118), and the highest injury cost across
the league (£29.3 million).”
Marsh JLT Specialty • 13Injuries by Type
Not all injuries are equal. Some are harder to treat,
take longer to heal, cause clubs more problems
— and cost more (see Figure 11).
In 2018-19, knee injuries were the most common cause of layoffs among EPL
clubs, caused the longest absences, and were the costliest. That followed two
seasons in which hamstring injuries had been the most common.
There were 114 knee layoffs during the 2018-19 season, compared to 108
hamstring pulls. Ankle injuries (70) were a distant third. Knee problems also
114
Knee injuries — lasting on average
caused by far the lengthiest absences (58 days per injury, on average). Ankle 58 days.
injuries, in second place, led to an average 40 days out.
As a result, knee injuries accounted for more than a quarter (26%) of all injury
costs to EPL clubs last season (a total of £58.8 million).
In the 2017-18 season, sickness saw a 600% spike in frequency, rising to 62
absences from just nine in 2016-17. It increased further last season (66), but the
illnesses were short-lived, as we might expect for young athletes. With an average
duration of just under 11 days, sickness layoffs were by far the shortest.
26 % £58.8 M 1 ST
Of all injury costs were related Total cost of knee injuries. Knee injuries were the most
to knee injuries. common and costliest injuries.
14 • Football Injury Index“Knee injuries are the most
troublesome. They caused
more than a quarter of all
injury payouts this season,
costing clubs £58.8 million.”
Marsh JLT Specialty • 15FIGURE
11 Knee injuries in 2018-19 were the most frequent and also the most expensive.
Knee NUMBER OF
INJURIES
Hamstring NUMBER OF
INJURIES
114 108
AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY
58 DAYS 32 DAYS
AVERAGE INJURY COST AVERAGE INJURY COST
£516K £311K
TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST
£58.8M £33.5M
Ankle NUMBER OF
INJURIES
Illness NUMBER OF
INJURIES
70 66
AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY
40 DAYS 11 DAYS
AVERAGE INJURY COST AVERAGE INJURY COST
£392K £124K
TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST
£27.5M £8.2M
Knock NUMBER OF
INJURIES
Groin NUMBER OF
INJURIES
66 54
AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY
18 DAYS 25 DAYS
AVERAGE INJURY COST AVERAGE INJURY COST
£167K £239K
TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST
£11.0M £12.9M
16 • Football Injury IndexHip/Thigh NUMBER OF
INJURIES
Foot NUMBER OF
INJURIES
52 40
AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY
22 DAYS 51 DAYS
AVERAGE INJURY COST AVERAGE INJURY COST
£223K £573K
TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST
£11.6M £22.9M
Calf/Shin NUMBER OF
INJURIES
Back NUMBER OF
INJURIES
36 32
AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY
29 DAYS 24 DAYS
AVERAGE INJURY COST AVERAGE INJURY COST
£211K £233K
TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST TOTAL ESTIMATE OF COST
£7.6M £7.5M
“Over the past two seasons, hamstring injuries have
been the most common cause of layoffs among
EPL clubs.”
Marsh JLT Specialty • 17Injuries by Position
As was the case the season before, goalkeepers had
very few injuries in 2018-19 — just 28 — but suffered
the most severe cases (see Figure 12). Their average
layoff was 41 days, due in part to long-term absences
81
for Burnley’s Nick Pope and Manchester City’s
Claudio Bravo.
Low numbers of goalkeeping injuries are down to two factors. First, there are
£ M
fewer keepers in each squad (usually only three). Second, they stay out of the
Midfielders cost their clubs
action during much of a football match.
the most in injury payouts.
But when called into action, their unique role on the pitch exposes them to a high
degree of physical danger: jumping, diving, scrambling for the ball at players’ feet,
and colliding with others in crowded penalty areas. This explains the lengthier
layoffs they typically experience — alongside the fact that they tend to be older. “Midfielders
Midfielders replaced forwards as the most expensive position for injuries this replaced forwards
season, costing their clubs £81 million in layoffs. This was more than a third (36%)
of the total injury cost across the 2018-19 campaign. Defenders suffered the most as the most
injuries (285, compared to 249 for midfielders) — perhaps unsurprisingly, given
the physical nature of their role.
expensive position
for injuries this
As per the season before, forwards saw the shortest absences (27 days on
average). As the best-paid position, with a crucial role in creating and scoring season, accounting
goals, are injured attackers being rushed back into first-team action?
for 36% of the total
injury cost.”
18 • Football Injury IndexFIGURE
12 Injuries to goalkeepers had the highest average expense.
GOALKEEPERS DEFENDERS
28 Total injuries 285 Total injuries
41.2 Average Severity (days) 31.7 Average Severity (days)
COST OF INJURIES COST OF INJURIES
£10.0M £73.2M
AVG. COST OF INJURIES AVG. COST OF INJURIES
£355.4K £256.8K
MIDFIELDERS FORWARDS
249 Total injuries 202 Total injuries
33.8 Average Severity (days) 27.1 Average Severity (days)
COST OF INJURIES COST OF INJURIES
£80.9M £62.2M
AVG. COST OF INJURIES AVG. COST OF INJURIES
£325.1K £308.1K
Marsh JLT Specialty • 19Injuries by Age
Footballers generally hit their prime in their mid-to-
late 20s. So we’d expect their wages to be highest
during this period, and the physical demands on
them to be the most strenuous. This may partly
118.6
explain why almost half (49%, or 374 injuries) of last
season’s injuries struck players between 26 and 30
years old (see Figure 13). £ M
In turn, more than half (52%) of the total cost of injuries to EPL clubs was incurred Players between 26 and
for players of that age group (£118.6 million). This is more than twice the amount 30 years old accounted for
for those between 21 and 25 years old (£54.4 million), the next costliest group. 52% of the season's injury costs.
Conversely, players between 26 and 30 years old are the quickest to recover from
injury (30 days on average), as they’re generally in peak physical condition.
“26-30 year olds
The oldest age group sits at the opposite end of both scales. Over-35s suffered
the fewest injuries — just nine last season. This may be because fewer of them
accounted for
play at the very highest level. Also, a higher proportion of them are goalkeepers,
who suffer fewer injuries. However, they require the longest recovery times —
52% of the season’s
more than twice that of players from 26 to 30 years old (65 days). As a result, their
injuries are twice as expensive, costing just over £785,000 each, compared to
injury costs.”
£317,000 for their younger teammates.
20 • Football Injury IndexFIGURE
13 Injuries to players between 26 and 30 years old cost clubs the most money.
Less than 21 NUMBER OF
21-25 NUMBER OF
INJURIES INJURIES
AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY 20 AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY 217
32.7 DAYS 32.1 DAYS
TOTAL COST TOTAL COST
£1.7M £54.4M
26-30 NUMBER OF 31-35 NUMBER OF
INJURIES INJURIES
AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY
374 AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY
144
30.3 DAYS 31.5 DAYS
TOTAL COST TOTAL COST
£118.6M £44.5M
Over 35 NUMBER OF
INJURIES
AVERAGE INJURY SEVERITY
9
65.2 DAYS
TOTAL COST
£7.1M
Marsh JLT Specialty • 21Looking Ahead
During the summer, Liverpool manager Jürgen
Klopp publicly ruled out spending “crazy money”
— setting the tone for his transfer strategy ahead
of the 2019-20 season.
That could be a worry for Liverpool fans, hungry for a first league title since
1990. Renewing their battle for top spot with Manchester City won’t be easy
— especially given the depth and quality of City’s squad.
Manchester City held Liverpool off despite having more players missing in the
£ 55 M
Amount Spurs paid for
2018-19 season; if the gap between the two squads grows, there could be more French midfielder Tanguy Ndombele.
than a point in it come May next year.
In Solskjaer’s first full term in charge, Manchester United are looking to recapture
their glory years, by challenging for the title and qualifying for the UCL. It’s an
ambition reflected in their willingness to pay Leicester City £80 million for England
centre-back Harry McGuire — a world-record transfer fee for a defender.
Spurs were out of the blocks early. After two seasons with very little transfer
activity, the club broke its record in July, paying Lyon £55 million for French
midfielder Tanguy Ndombele, and following up with Giovani Lo Celso on the
transfer day deadline.
Meanwhile, Arsenal must build on a moderate first campaign of the post-Wenger
era; and Chelsea could have a problem. With an untested new manager at the
helm (club legend Frank Lampard), Chelsea have faced a transfer ban. What this
will mean for their wage bill and injury costs in the coming season remains to
be seen.
At the other end of the scale, how will the league’s three newly promoted clubs
— Aston Villa, Norwich City and Sheffield United — go about trying to ensure
an extended stay in the top flight? Villa have shown their determination to stick
around, spending over £130 million during the transfer window.
Finally, how will Euro 2020 affect the coming season?
Players know that their form in the EPL will affect whether they’re selected to
represent their countries next summer. But equally, they’ll be wary of picking
up injuries that could rule them out of a major international tournament.
Whatever the season brings, we can be sure the Premier League’s 20 clubs will
pay out hundreds of millions of pounds to players as they sit on the sidelines
through injury.
22 • Football Injury IndexInsurance Analytics
Specialists
The dedicated Data and Analytics team at Marsh
JLT Specialty provides injury analysis, insight, and
predictions to clubs from a range of sports.
Our advanced actuarial and analytics laboratory produces valuable insight into
risk factors typically leading to sporting injuries.
We also carry out tailored analyses for clubs seeking other types of financial
risk protection — for example, against missing promotions or crashing out of
European competitions, resulting in considerable financial losses.
Using advanced modelling techniques, the team helps clubs and insurers to
assess risk exposure and the fair price of coverage.
Our Model
Marsh JLT Specialty’s proprietary predictive injury model helps clients in the
sporting world to identify and prepare for injury risks.
By analysing complex variables, our model makes player-by-player injury
predictions. It takes into account individual and team risk factors, including age,
position, injury history, number of matches, and salaries. It then benchmarks
these against our comprehensive database of injury patterns and trends.
We use this information to calculate the probability of each player being injured,
and the likely severity. This allows us to estimate the potential injury cost a club
is exposed to. With top athletes commanding unprecedented financial rewards
across the sporting world, this insight can make all the difference.
Whilst this has worked in the sports industry, we are not just limited to one
sector. These models can be extended and easily modified to suit a wide
array of industries. With these models, we aim to aid our clients in better
managing their risk exposure and understand the key nuances in the industries
they operate.
Marsh JLT Specialty • 23About Marsh
Marsh is the world’s leading insurance broker and
risk adviser. With over 35,000 colleagues operating
in more than 130 countries, Marsh serves commercial
and individual clients with data-driven risk solutions
35,000+
and advisory services.
Marsh is a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies
(NYSE: MMC), the leading global professional services firm in the areas of risk,
strategy, and people. With annual revenue over US$15 billion and 75,000 Over 35,000 colleagues serving
colleagues worldwide, MMC helps clients navigate an increasingly dynamic businesses, public entities, and private
and complex environment through four market-leading firms. clients in more than 130 countries.
!
About Marsh
JLT Specialty
We are specialists who are committed to delivering
35 +
More than 35 risk, specialty,
and industry practices.
consulting, placement, account management, and
claims solutions to clients who require specialist
advice and support. We consider problems from
every angle and challenge the status quo with
entrepreneurial ideas and solutions.
With unparalleled breadth, our Marsh JLT Specialty global team is united by a
determination to bring the most experienced and relevant specialist resources
500
to our clients, regardless of where they are located. This approach means our local
specialists work seamlessly with global experts, together creating and delivering
tailor-made risk and insurance solutions to address each client’s
unique challenges. +
Our service offering is enhanced with insight-driven advice supported by tailored Over 500 offices worldwide.
data, analytic, and consultancy capabilities to support clients in making important
decisions about their complex risks.
Exceptional service combined with transparency, integrity, and accessibility
underpins our partnerships with clients.
24 • Football Injury IndexServices provided by Marsh JLT Specialty, a trading name of JLT Specialty Limited, which is a Lloyd’s Broker, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Marsh JLT Specialty is part of Marsh, a Marsh & McLennan company (“MMC”). It is not legal advice and is intended only to highlight general issues relating to its subject matter; it does not necessarily deal with every aspect of the topic. Views and opinions expressed in this document are those of MMC unless specifically stated otherwise. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the content of this document, no MMC entity accepts any responsibility for any error, or omission or deficiency. If you intend to take any action or make any decision on the basis of the content of this document, you should first seek specific professional advice. The information contained within this document may not be reproduced and nothing herein shall be construed as conferring to you by implication or otherwise any licence or right to use any MMC intellectual property. If you are interested in utilising the services of MMC you may be required by/under your local regulatory regime to utilise the services of a local insurance intermediary in your territory to export insurance and (re)insurance to us unless you have an exemption and should take advice in this regard. Copyright © 2019 All rights reserved. • August 2019 280647
For more information, please contact your local Marsh office or visit our website at marsh.com. LENNOX BATTEN Managing Director, Special Risks Marsh JLT Specialty +44 (0)20 7357 3054 lennox.batten@marsh.com
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