Focus on: West London - Hanwell 2020/2021 - Knight Frank

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Focus on: West London - Hanwell 2020/2021 - Knight Frank
This undiscovered Crossrail hotspot is attracting new
development amid wider regeneration across West London.

Focus on:

                                                          knightfrank.com/research
West London
Hanwell
2020/2021
Focus on: West London - Hanwell 2020/2021 - Knight Frank
FOCUS ON: HANWELL 2020

                        FOCUS ON: HANWELL
                           Improvements to transport infrastructure and a healthy pipeline of
                                         new homes will help drive demand.

W
       est London offers plenty of scope       through Ealing, Southall and Hanwell.                       London, combined with its ample
       for regeneration, and developers           Data from the ONS, which tracks                          access to green space, including
are now looking further afield as major        migration around the UK, shows a 22%                        parks, gardens and woodland, make
infrastructure projects like Crossrail join    increase in the number of people moving                     it a popular destination for young
up outer suburbs with central London.          into Ealing over the last five years alone.                 professionals as well as families.
   One such area is Hanwell in the                                                                            More than two thirds of movers to
                                               Room for growth
London Borough of Ealing. Primed to                                                                        Ealing identified in the ONS data were
benefit from the launch of Crossrail,          Despite this, the borough remains                           under the age of 35, for example, while
services from Hanwell Station in Zone          relatively affordable. Over the past decade,                analysis of households currently living
4 on the Elizabeth Line to Tottenham           house prices in Ealing have increased 70%,                  in Ealing shows that just over half
Court Road will take just 19 minutes           on par with London overall, but outpacing                   can be classified into a few household
down from 55 minutes currently, while          nearby borough Hounslow (64%).                              types, showing them to generally be
the commute to Canary Wharf will take          However, average house prices in Ealing                     successful high-earning families, or
31 minutes down from just over an hour.        of £480,254 remain just below the London                    ambitious 20-30-year olds renting in
As well as improved transport links, this      average of £484,864, and 45% below                          highly commutable areas.
is also a pocket of London which already       Richmond Upon Thames’s £694,885.                               The number of households located
has access to some of the top performing          Since Crossrail was confirmed in                         in the borough is projected to grow
schools in London, as well as thousands        2008, our analysis of property within a                     1.4% between 2018-2028 to 125,329.
of acres of green space. Against this          20-minute walk of Hanwell Station shows                     The Greater London Authority
backdrop and considering its appeal as a       house prices have increased by 61%.                         forecasts that the overall population
leafy suburb with period housing, Hanwell         The relative affordability of homes                      of Ealing will grow 12% over the
could outperform Knight Frank's forecasts      in Ealing compared to other parts of                        next decade.
for Greater London house prices.

Regeneration
                                                   Fig 1. West London property values
Some 1,847 new homes sit in the planning           Average sales price, last 12 months
pipeline for Hanwell, within 1.5km
of Hanwell Station, with 501 of those
currently under construction. The wider
improvements in the area include a
refurbished Grade II listed station building
in preparation for the Elizabeth line,
hundreds of new homes near the Flight
of 7 locks along the Grand Union Canal,
which has a towpath popular with walkers
and cyclists, and the £116m regeneration
of the High Lane Estate.
   Hanwell is also poised to benefit
from large scale regeneration across
                                                                                                   Acton
West London, such as the £26bn
regeneration of nearby Old Oak and
Park Royal in Acton, as well as the
ongoing development of the former BBC
Television Centre and the wider White
                                                   Source: Knight Frank Research / Land Registry
City area, which is creating a ripple effect

                                                                         2
FOCUS ON: HANWELL 2020

                                                                                                                                                      being surrounded by more established
                                                                                                                                                      areas with existing high-end food and
                  H
                  HA
                  H A
                    AN NW
                        WEE
                          ELLLL IIN NHANWELL
                                      NNUUM
                                          MBB
                                            BEERRSS IN NUM BE R S
                   H ANNW
                        W ELLLL I INN NNUUM
                                          M BEERRSS                                                                                                   retail offerings such as Ealing, Chiswick
                                                                                                                                                      and Richmond. Hanwell is a fifteen-
                                                                                                                                                      minute bus ride away from Ealing’s
                                                                                                                                                      Dickens Yard, a new leisure spot with bars,
                                                                                                                                                      restaurants and shops.
                                                                                                                                                          Brentford in Hounslow, located a

                                        61%
                                        61%
                                        61%                                                           70%
                                                                                                      70%
                                                                                                      70%                                                         3,300
                                                                                                                                                                  3,300
                                                                                                                                                                  3,300
                                                                                                                                                      mile and a half south of Hanwell, is also
                       Price
                        Priceincrease
                              increaseforforhomes
                                              homeslocated
                                                     locatedwithin
                                                              withinaa                   Proportionof
                                                                                        Proportion  ofpeople
                                                                                                        peoplemoving
                                                                                                                 movingto toEaling
                                                                                                                              Ealing                  undergoing
                                                                                                                                                            Acreswidescale
                                                                                                                                                            Acres of
                                                                                                                                                                  ofgreen   regeneration,
                                                                                                                                                                     greenspace
                                                                                                                                                                          space
                       Price
                        Price
                         20  increase
                          20minincrease
                             min  radiusfor
                                   radius  ofhomes
                                          for
                                          of  homeslocated
                                             Hanwell
                                              Hanwell located
                                                      Stationwithin
                                                       Station sincea a
                                                               within
                                                               since                    Proportion
                                                                                             agedof
                                                                                         Proportion
                                                                                             aged   ofpeople
                                                                                                   up
                                                                                                   up   people
                                                                                                        to
                                                                                                       to       moving
                                                                                                                 moving
                                                                                                           35years
                                                                                                           35  years     totoEaling
                                                                                                                      in2018
                                                                                                                     in  2018 Ealing                           Acres
                                                                                                                                                                Acresof
                                                                                                                                                                      ofgreen
                                                                                                                                                                     in
                                                                                                                                                                      in  greenspace
                                                                                                                                                                         Ealing
                                                                                                                                                                         Ealing space
                        20  min
                              minradius
                          20Crossrail
                                   radiusofofHanwell
                                              HanwellStation
                                                       Stationsince
                                                                since                       aged
                                                                                              agedupuptoto3535years
                                                                                                               yearsinin2018
                                                                                                                         2018                         with 140,000inin
                                                                                                                                                                     square
                                                                                                                                                                       Ealing feet of new retail
                                                                                                                                                                     Ealing
                            Crossrail  was
                                        was  announced
                                              announced  in
                                                          in2008
                                                             2008
                           Crossrail
                             Crossrailwas
                                        wasannounced
                                              announcedinin2008
                                                             2008
                                                                                                                                                      and leisure space planned for its high
                                                                                                                                                      street. This will include shops, bars and
                                                                                                                                                      restaurants split across approximately 40
                                                                                                  ELIZABETH
                                                                                                   ELIZABETH LINE
                                                                                                             LINE
                                                                                                  ELIZABETH
                                                                                                   ELIZABETHLINE
                                                                                                              LINE                                    units. Workhouse Dock, an existing but
                                                                                                                                                      neglected mooring on the River Brent,

                                   3,30073
                                       73                                                        19
                                                                                                1919   mins
                                                                                                      mins
                                                                                                       mins                                                          501
                                                                                                                                                      will be revived with 24-hour moorings,
                                                                                                                                                                     501
o Ealing                         Acres of
                            Outstanding
                            Outstanding
                                         73
                                        orgreen
                                         or Goodspace
                                            Good primary
                                                 primaryand
                                                         and                              Journey
                                                                                          Journeytime
                                                                                                  timeon
                                                                                                      onthe
                                                                                                         theElizabeth
                                                                                                            ElizabethLine
                                                                                                                      Line                               New
                                                                                                                                                         Newhomes
                                                                                                                                                                     501
                                                                                                                                                      and lined with restaurants, pubs and
                                                                                                                                                               homesunder
                                                                                                                                                                       underconstruction
                                                                                                                                                                              construction
18                         Outstanding
                            Outstanding
                              secondary
                              secondaryoror
                                      in  Good
                                            Goodprimary
                                         Ealing
                                         schools
                                          schools primary
                                                  in      and
                                                   inEaling
                                                      Ealingand                          Journey
                                                                                          Journey
                                                                                              to  time
                                                                                                    timeon
                                                                                                         onthe
                                                                                               toTottenham
                                                                                                  Tottenham    Elizabeth
                                                                                                             the
                                                                                                              Court
                                                                                                               Court  RoadLine
                                                                                                                 Elizabeth
                                                                                                                     Road  Line                         New
                                                                                                                                                          New
                                                                                                                                                      cafes.  homes
                                                                                                                                                               homes
                                                                                                                                                             Sitting
                                                                                                                                                         within
                                                                                                                                                          within 1.5kmunder
                                                                                                                                                                  1.5km underconstruction
                                                                                                                                                                              construction
                                                                                                                                                                       adjacent
                                                                                                                                                                        of
                                                                                                                                                                        ofHanwell
                                                                                                                                                                            Hanwellwill  be Waterfront
                                                                                                                                                                                    Station
                                                                                                                                                                                    Station
MBERS                        secondary
                               secondaryschools
                                          schoolsininEaling
                                                      Ealing                                 totoTottenham
                                                                                                  TottenhamCourt
                                                                                                               CourtRoad
                                                                                                                      Road                               within
                                                                                                                                                          within1.5km
                                                                                                                                                                  1.5kmofofHanwell
                                                                                                                                                                            HanwellStation
                                                                                                                                                                                     Station
                                                                                                                                                      Square, which will establish a dedicated
                                                                                                                                                      space for outdoor markets, performances
                                                                                                                                                      and public events.

                                                                                                                                                      Green space and education

                                                                                                                                                      Ealing is one of London’s greenest
                                        501
                                        70%                                                          3,300                                            boroughs with 3,300 acres of green space,
hted
   Line
     within a               New homes
                           Proportion of under
                                         peopleconstruction
                                                 moving to Ealing                                 Acres of green space                                golf courses, parks, walks, sports facilities
 d since
 tion                       within
                               aged1.5km  of35
                                      up to Hanwell  Station
                                               years in 2018                                            in Ealing
  n 2008                                                                                                                                              and cycle paths.
                                                                                                                                                          Hanwell is close to Brent River Park,
                                                                                                                                                      a curving strip of 988 acres of open space
                                                                                                                                                      along the Brent Valley, with a zoo, a
                                     ELIZABETH LINE
                 Economy and Leisure                                                   The Crossrail effect is already leading                        cricket club, and allotments. Other nearby
                      61%
                       61%--Price
                                Priceincrease
                                        increasefor   forhome
                                                           homelocated
                                                                     locatedwithin
                                                                                 withinaa20-minute
                                                                                            20-minute    radius
                                                                                                          radiusof
                                                                                                  to improvements   ofHanwell
                                                                                                                        Hanwell Station
                                                                                                                                 Stationthe
                                                                                                                              around    since
                                                                                                                                         since Crossrail
                                                                                                                                               Crossrail
                                                                                                                                             area. As waswas
                                                                                                                                                          wasannounced
                                                                                                                                                              announced in
                                                                                                                                                                    greenin2008
                                                                                                                                                                            2008
                                                                                                                                                                             spaces include Lammas Park,
                     61%
                       61%---Price
                      70%
                       70%       Price increase
                                         increase
                               -Proportion
                                 Proportion     of   for
                                                       forhome
                                                 ofpeople
                                                     people home   located
                                                                moving
                                                                movinglocated
                                                                            to  within
                                                                                  withinaaged
                                                                             toEaling
                                                                                 Ealing   a20-minute
                                                                                            20-minute
                                                                                          aged up
                                                                                                upto
                                                                                                   to35 radius
                                                                                                       35    yearsofin
                                                                                                           radius
                                                                                                            years    inHanwell
                                                                                                                     of  Hanwell
                                                                                                                        2018
                                                                                                                         2018   Station
                                                                                                                                 Stationsince
                                                                                                                                         sinceCrossrail
                                                                                                                                                Crossrail wasannounced
                                                                                                                                                              announcedinin2008
                                                                                                                                                                            2008
                 Hanwell      benefits      from      proximity          toto
                                     19 mins                                                            501
                     70%
                       70%
                      3,300  - Proportion
                               -  Proportion
                       3,300––AcresAcresof      ofof
                                            ofgreen people
                                                      people
                                                greenspace     moving
                                                         spacein moving
                                                                    inEaling
                                                                        Ealing Ealing
                                                                              to Ealing aged
                                                                                          aged up
                                                                                                upto 35
                                                                                                    to 35 years
                                                                                                             years in  2018
                                                                                                                      in 2018
                                                                                                  well as better station buildings, new                             which has nine floodlit tennis courts, and
                 some3,300
                       3,300
                      19major
                       19 mins
                           mins– –Acres
                                    Acres  ofofgreen
                                  ––businesses
                                     Journey
                                      Journey   green
                                                 time   space
                                                  timeand
                                                        onspace
                                                         on  the
                                                              the in inEaling
                                                                        Ealing Line
                                                               employers,
                                                                   Elizabeth
                                                                    Elizabeth      LinetotoTottenham
                                                                                            TottenhamCourt CourtRoadRoad
                     1919mins
                      82
                       82  -mins  – –Journey
                                      Journey
                            -Outstanding
                              Outstanding       time
                                                or
                                                 ortime
                                                    Goodon
                                                     Good onthetheElizabeth
                                                             primary
                                                              primaryElizabeth
                                                                         and
                                                                          and    Line
                                                                                   LinetotoTottenham
                                                                                                  ticket
                                                                                             Tottenham   Court
                                                                                                          inCourt Road
                                                                                                              halls    and other modernisation,
                                                                                                                     Road                                           Osterley Park, home to National Trust
ary and          while        Journey
                        Crossrail         time
                                         will    on
                                                also  the   Elizabeth
                                                        bring      another Linesecondary
                                                                                 secondary    schools
                                                                                               schools   in   Ealing
                                                                                                              Ealing
                                                                                                               New homes under construction
                     8282
                      501 - Outstanding
                            - Outstanding
                       501––New Newtohomes
                                       homes   oror Good
                                                     Good
                                                 under
                                                  underCourtprimary
                                                              primary
                                                           construction
                                                           construction  and
                                                                           and  secondary
                                                                                  secondary   schools
                                                                                               schools  in inEaling
                                                                                                               Ealing
aling                                   Tottenham                  Road within  within1.5km
                                                                                        1.5kmof ofHanwell
                                                                                                   HanwellStation
                                                                                                  Ealing’s     Station
                                                                                                                within
                                                                                                                 five    1.5km of Hanwell
                                                                                                                         Crossrail         Station
                                                                                                                                    stations,  including            mansion Osterley House.
                     501
                       501– –NewNewhomes
                                       homesunder underconstruction
                                                            constructionwithin   within1.5km
                                                                                         1.5kmofofHanwell
                                                                                                   HanwellStation
                                                                                                                Station
                 major local employer, Heathrow Airport,
                                                                                   Hanwell, are attracting investment and                                 Ealing also has 73 outstanding or
                 to within just over 10 minutes train
                                                                                   regeneration projects that are providing                           good primary and secondary schools in
                 journey, as well as substantially reducing
                                                                                   opportunities for jobs, homes and leisure                          the borough, according to Ofsted. It is
                 commute times from Hanwell into the
                                                                                   in the local area.                                                 among the top ten boroughs in London
                 City and Canary Wharf.
e Crossrail was announced in 2008                                                      The rise in residential development                            for highest proportion of GCSE passes in
                     Hanwell is close to Brentford,
                                                                                   in Hanwell and across the borough will                             English and maths, based on state and
                 Chiswick and White City with their mix
                                                                                   in turn attract more amenities.                                    grammar schools, according to research by
                 of established and start-up businesses,
                                                                                       Hanwell has already seen the launch                            the Department for Education.
                 including at Chiswick Business
                                                                                   of new bars and restaurants over                                       Between 2018-2019, more than 70%
                 Park and along Brentford's 'Golden
                                                                                   the past few years, such as the Dodo                               of pupils at Ealing schools attained a
                 Mile'. The largest employers include
                                                                                   Micropub on Boston Road which sells                                standard pass for maths and English
                 pharmaceutical company GSK, oil and
                                                                                   craft beers, and nearby pub The Green                              GCSEs, with over half achieving a 'strong'
                 gas firm Tullow Oil and engineering firm
                                                                                   W7, while local places to eat include the                          pass, according to the DfE.
                   Worley. radius
ocated within a 20-minute    Otherofmajor  local
                                     Hanwell     employers
                                             Station since Crossrail was announced in 2008
ving to Ealing aged up to 35 years in 2018                                  family-run Italian L’oro Di Napoli and                                        This places Ealing above the London
n Ealing           include  Sky   and  Japanese   video  game
                                                                            gastro pub The Grosvenor.                                                 average rate of 68.7% for standard passes
 lizabeth Line to Tottenham
                   developer Court Road
                                Sega. Ealing also houses part
ary and secondary schools in Ealing                                            It has the potential to attract further                                in these subjects and the England average
uction within 1.5kmofofthe ParkStation
                        Hanwell  Royal industrial estate.
                                                                                   investment, while also benefiting from                             rate of 64.9%.

                                                                                                              3
Imperial College at White City                                    When it opens the Crossrail route will                        Central and District Lines, and currently
is only five miles away while other                             cover more than 62 miles from Reading                              operates a high-speed Elizabeth Line
nearby London universities include the                          in the west, through new tunnels below                             service to Paddington Station.
University of West London which has                             London, to Shenfield and Abbey Wood via
                                                                                                                                   Outlook
campuses in Ealing and Brentford.                               Canary Wharf in the east.
                                                                     Along the way, it will take in Hanwell,                       Knight Frank forecasts house prices in
Connectivity
                                                                Acton Main Line, Ealing Broadway, West                             Greater London will climb 14% between
Hanwell Station will be served by the                           Ealing and Southall stations. With five                            2020 and 2025. Hanwell remains for now
new Elizabeth Line, offering high speed                         stations on the Elizabeth Line, Ealing will                        a lesser known London suburb which is
services direct to central London every                         have more access to Crossrail than any                             poised to gain from its access to Crossrail.
five minutes at peak times. International                       other London borough apart from Newham                             Despite being less well established than
travel from Heathrow will be easily                             in east London which also has five.                                its neighbours, it is set to benefit from the
accessible. Travel to Heathrow Airport                               Hanwell is also close to several                              high-quality new development slated for
will take 11 minutes, down from 40                              underground tube stops, including                                  the next five years in its surrounds, which
currently, while commuting to Bond                              Northfields and Boston Manor which are                             in turn will attract more investment and
Street will take 17 minutes, down from                          served by the Piccadilly Line and Ealing                           raise its profile.
45 minutes.                                                     Broadway to the east, which is on the

   Fig 2. Transport enhancements
   Journey times from Hanwell Main Line Station to…*

              BOND STREET                             LIVERPOOL STREET                                 CANARY WHARF                                HEATHROW T2/T3
                 17 MINS                                      24 MINS                                       31 MINS                                       11 MINS

    Source: Knight Frank Research   *once Elizabeth Line is operational

We like questions, if you've got one about our research, or would
like some property advice, we would love to hear from you.

Research                                                         New Homes

Anna Ward                                                        Emma Fletcher-Brewer                                                           Seb Warner
+44 20 3861 6991                                                 Tel +44 20 7861 1705                                                           +44 20 7861 5426
anna.ward@knightfrank.com                                        emma.fletcher-brewer@knightfrank.com                                           seb.warner@knightfrank.com

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