First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College

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First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College
President’s First Monday Report                                           Issue 19, December 2, 2013

        First Monday Report
           Focus on:
   Future Worker Shortages
    and College Attainment

 Issue 19, December 2, 2013

 Upcoming Events:
                                                 Future Worker Shortages
Dec 8      Last day of Instruction
                                          In June 2013, the Georgetown University Public Policy
Dec 9–13   Week of Final Exams
                                          Institute published the results of a study it conducted
Dec 9      Campus-wide Holiday Open       regarding    the    job   growth     and    educational
              House                       requirements through 2020.          The study, titled
           2:00 PM – 4:00 PM              Recovery, concluded that if significant reform is not
           Light refreshments - Choir     undertaken in higher education at all levels, our
           Student Services 3rd Floor
                                          economy will suffer from a lack of appropriately
              Lounge
                                          educated workers. In summary, the report draws the
Dec 24–25 Christmas Holidays              following conclusions:
              Campus Closed
                                            1. The United States economy is projected to
Dec 30– Jan 1    New Year’s Holiday
                                               grow from 140 million jobs in 2010 to 165
                    Campus Closed
                                               million jobs in 2020. This projection includes a
                                               presumption that Congress is able to resolve the
                                               nation’s budgetary challenges, which will place
                                               the nation on the road to economic recovery.
                                                                                     Continued on page 2
                   Home for the Holidays
 In order to accommodate the numerous employees who wish to spend the holiday season with their families
 and to allow us to take advantage of some cost cutting measures, we are planning to close as many campus
 buildings as possible from December 23, 2013 through January 1, 2014. It is our hope that most of us will
 use vacation days on December 23, 26 and 27 so that we can be away from campus for the entire time
 period. However, if you cannot use vacation time on those days, the College will keep the Student Services
 third floor open on December 23 and Administrative Services will be open on December 26 and 27.
 Employees who work on those days must check in with Vice President Earic Peters in room 48322 on
 December 23; and with Vice President Rolf Schleicher in building 8000 in the Village on December 26 and
 27. Please notify your supervisor of your intent to work on those three days and gain approval. You will
 still need to submit an Absence Certification Request form for vacation days.
                                                                                                   Page 1
First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College
President’s First Monday Report                                               Issue 19, December 2, 2013

Recovery study
continued from page 1                       36 percent of the job                four most in-demand
2. By 2020, 65 percent of all                openings will not                    competencies in the
   jobs will require                         require education                    labor market. Of all
   postsecondary education                   beyond high school.                  occupations, 96 percent
   and training beyond high                                                       require critical thinking
                                       Of the 55 million job openings
   school. In 1973, workers                                                       and active listening to be
                                       by 2020, only 7 million (12%)
   with postsecondary education                                                   very important or
                                       will require less than a high
   held only about 28 percent of                                                  extremely important to
                                       school education; 13 million
   jobs; by comparison, they                                                      success. Seventy
                                       (24%) will require a high school
   held 59 percent of jobs in                                                     percent require
                                       diploma; 10 million (18%) will
   2010 and will hold 65 percent                                                  mathematical knowledge
                                       require some college but no
   of jobs in 2020.                                                               to be either very
                                       degree (roughly half will be
3. There will be 55 million                                                       important or extremely
                                       certificate earners); 7 million
   job openings in the                                                            important to success.
                                       (12%) will require an
   economy through 2020: 24                                                       Over 60 percent of
                                       associate’s degree; 13 million
   million openings will be                                                       occupations require oral
                                       (24%) will require a bachelor’s
   from newly created jobs                                                        comprehension to be
                                       degree; 6 million (11%) will
   and 31 million openings                                                        either very important or
                                       require a master’s degree or
   will result from baby                                                          extremely important to
                                       higher.
   boomer retirements.                                                            success.
                                       5. Job openings in
4. By educational                                                               7. The demand for
                                          healthcare; community
   attainment:                                                                    physical skills has
                                          services; and Science,
  35 percent of the job                                                          continued to decline
                                          Technology, Engineering,
      openings will require at                                                    over time, except for
                                          and Math (STEM) will
      least a bachelor’s                                                          “near vision,” which is
                                          grow the fastest among
      degree;                                                                     necessary to read
                                          occupational clusters.
  30 percent of the job                                                          computer screens and
                                       6. Judgment/decision-
      openings will require                                                       other types of
                                          making, communications,
      some college or an                                                          documentation.
                                          analysis, and
      associate’s degree;                                                         Almost all occupations
                                          administration will be the
                                                                                        continued on page 3
                                                                              either very important or extremely
 Seasonal Fun Facts                                                           important to their jobs.
                                                                          8. The United States will fall short
                                                                              by 5 million workers with
 New Year’s Ball:                                                             postsecondary education – at the
                                                                              current production rate – by
 Past – The original ball lowered in Times Square on New Year’s Eve back      2020.
 in 1907 was made of iron and wood and decorated with 100 light bulbs.    Both   the executive summary and the
                                                                          full report are available at the
                                                                          following website:
 Present – The modern New Year’s ball is made of Waterford crystal, covered with 696 light bulbs, 96
                                                                          http://cew.georgetown.edu.recovery.2
 strobe lights, and 90 rotating pyramid mirrors.
                                                                          020
                                                                                continued on page 3 “Educational Attainment”

                                                                                                                     Page 2
First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College
President’s First Monday Report                                        Issue 19, December 2, 2013

 Educational Attainment
                                     The higher education           And students of color.” We
continued from page 2                attainment rate of young       must meet the needs of these
                                     adults (ages 25-34) is a       21st century students to ensure
consider “near vision” to be
                                     good leading indicator of      the growth of California’s
either very important or
                                     where higher education         economy.
extremely important to their
                                     attainment rates are           For California to achieve Goal
jobs.
                                     headed. In 2011, the rate      2025, our annual targets for
8. The United States will fall
                                     was 40.1 percent – almost      degree attainment among 25-
short by 5 million workers
                                     one-and-a-half percentage      to-64-year olds should be as
with postsecondary
                                     points higher than that        follows:
education – at the current
                                     among all adults, and two-          2011 = 38.9 percent
production rate – by 2020.
                                     and-a-half percentage                 (actual)
Both the executive summary           points higher than in 2008.         2013 = 41.9 percent
and the full report are available                                        2015 = 44.9 percent
                                     Lumina’s attainment goal
at the following website:                                                2017 = 47.9 percent
                                     has always included high
http://cew.georgetown.edu.rec        value postsecondary                 2019 = 51.0 percent
overy.2020                           certificates, but data on           2021 = 54.0 percent
                                     the number of adults                2023 = 57.0 percent
Related to the results of the                                            2025 = 60.0 percent
Georgetown study is the annual       holding certificates is not
report from the Lumina               readily available. This
                                                                    To ensure that Goal 2025 is
Foundation on progress toward        year, however, the first
                                                                    reached, the Lumina
their “goal that 60 percent of       solid estimates of the
                                                                    Foundation has set ten targets,
Americans obtain a high-quality      number of high-value
                                                                    or metrics, the nation must hit
postsecondary degree or              postsecondary certificates
                                                                    by 2016. These ten targets
credential by 2025.” This            have been produced. They
                                                                    are:
Lumina Foundation objective is       suggest that an additional
                                                                    1. 55% = Increase the
called “Goal 2025.” The 2013         5 percent of the U.S. adult
                                                                       percentage of Americans
annual report is the fourth in       population between the
                                                                       who believe increasing
their series of annual updates.      ages of 25 and 64 hold a
                                                                       higher education
The current report updates the       postsecondary certificate
                                                                       attainment is necessary
educational attainment results       with significant economic
                                                                       to the nation to 55
through 2011. The data show          value.
                                                                       percent. The baseline
the following:                        The recent increase in           number from 2012 was 43
 In 2011, the percentage of           attainment rates –               percent; the 2014 target is
 Americans between the ages           especially among young           48 percent.
 of 25 and 64 with a two-year         adults – is a step in the     2. 67.8% = Increase the
 or four-year college degree          right direction, but we          percentage of students
 was 38.7 percent. This is an         must increase attainment         who pursue
 increase from last year’s            much more to reach Goal          postsecondary education
 report; in 2010 the                  2025.                            directly from high school
 attainment rate was 38.3           In addition to the update on       to 67.8 percent. In 2009,
 percent. Overall the U.S.          national numbers, the              this number was 63.3
 attainment rate has been           report, which is over 200          percent; the 2012 baseline
 increasing slowly but steadily;    pages in length, includes a        number was 62.5 percent;
 in 2008, it was 37.9 percent,      review of the data by state.       the 2014 goal is 66.2
 and in 2009 it was 38.1            The data for California show       percent.
 percent.                           our progress over the four      3. 1.3% = Increase the
                                    years is virtually flat. The       first-time participation
                                    percentage of working age          rates of older adults to
                                    adults 25 to 64 with at least
                                    an associate’s degree was       4.                        Page 3
First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College
President’s First Monday Report                                     Issue 19, December 2, 2013

Lumina Foundation Annual Report
continued from page 3

  1.3 percent. In 2009, this                                     degrees known as the
                                    The 2012 baseline number
  number was 0.9 percent;                                        Associate Degree-Transfer (AD-
                                    was 36.3 million; the 2014
  the 2012 baseline number                                       T). Currently, 25 AD-Ts [also
                                    goal is 36 million.
  was 1.1 percent; the 2014                                      known as the Transfer Model
                                  8. 60% = Increase the          Curriculum (TMC)] have been
  goal is 1.2 percent.
                                    overall higher education     approved by the Academic
4. 3.3 million = Increase           completion rate (first-      Senate for California
  higher education                  time/full-time, within 6     Community Colleges (ASCCC).
  enrollment among                  years) to 60 percent.        Another 10 TMC degrees are
  Hispanic students to 3.3          The 2012 baseline number     pending approval, including
  million. In 2009, this            was 42 percent; the 2014     three in agriculture areas. In
  number was 2.4 million;           target is 45 percent.        addition to these 35 degrees,
  the 2012 baseline number
                               9. 48% = Increase the             eight more disciplines are in
  was 2.5 million; the 2014
                                  higher education               the process of creating TMCs.
  goal is 2.9 million.
                                  completion rate to 48          These degrees offer the
5. 3.25 million = Increase        percent for adult              opportunity for California
  higher education                learners (ages 25-64).         community colleges to adopt
  enrollment among                The 2012 baseline number       up to 43 defined transfer
  African Americans to            was 42 percent; the 2014       pathways to the California
  3.25 million. In 2009, this     target is 45 percent.          State University system. In
  number was 2.6 million;                                        addition to moving forward with
                               10. 3 million = Increase
  the 2012 baseline number                                       the AD-T degrees, State
                                  the number of associate
  was 2.7 million; the 2014                                      Chancellor Brice Harris
                                  and bachelor’s degrees
  goal is 3 million.                                             convened a task force to
                                  awarded annually to 3
6. 22 million = Increase                                         examine the possibilities of
                                  million. In 2009, this
  total higher education                                         California community colleges
                                  number was 2.4 million;
  enrollment by 4 million                                        offering bachelor’s degrees in a
                                  the 2012 baseline number
  students to 22 million.                                        few select disciplines. A further
                                  was 2.5 million; the 2014
  In 2009, this number was                                       review of the associate degree
                                  goal is 2.7 million.
  17.6 million; the 2012                                         transfer and community college
                               I believe these two reports       baccalaureate degrees will be
  baseline number was 18.1
                               present compelling evidence       discussed in a future First
  million; the 2014 goal is 20
                               of the need for those of us       Monday Report.
  million.
                               who are privileged to work at
7. 800,000 fewer =             Pierce College every day to do
  Reduce by 800,000 the        all we can to ensure our
  number of working age        students graduate with a
  adults (25-64 years old) degree or certificate. One of
  with some college and        the ways we can accomplish
  no degree. In 2009, this     that goal is through the
  number was 36.1 million;     adoption of the statewide
the 2012 baseline number
  was 36.3 million; the 2014                                                              Page 4
First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College
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