First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment - Pierce College
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President’s First Monday Report Issue 19, December 2, 2013 First Monday Report Focus on: Future Worker Shortages and College Attainment Issue 19, December 2, 2013 Upcoming Events: Future Worker Shortages Dec 8 Last day of Instruction In June 2013, the Georgetown University Public Policy Dec 9–13 Week of Final Exams Institute published the results of a study it conducted Dec 9 Campus-wide Holiday Open regarding the job growth and educational House requirements through 2020. The study, titled 2:00 PM – 4:00 PM Recovery, concluded that if significant reform is not Light refreshments - Choir undertaken in higher education at all levels, our Student Services 3rd Floor economy will suffer from a lack of appropriately Lounge educated workers. In summary, the report draws the Dec 24–25 Christmas Holidays following conclusions: Campus Closed 1. The United States economy is projected to Dec 30– Jan 1 New Year’s Holiday grow from 140 million jobs in 2010 to 165 Campus Closed million jobs in 2020. This projection includes a presumption that Congress is able to resolve the nation’s budgetary challenges, which will place the nation on the road to economic recovery. Continued on page 2 Home for the Holidays In order to accommodate the numerous employees who wish to spend the holiday season with their families and to allow us to take advantage of some cost cutting measures, we are planning to close as many campus buildings as possible from December 23, 2013 through January 1, 2014. It is our hope that most of us will use vacation days on December 23, 26 and 27 so that we can be away from campus for the entire time period. However, if you cannot use vacation time on those days, the College will keep the Student Services third floor open on December 23 and Administrative Services will be open on December 26 and 27. Employees who work on those days must check in with Vice President Earic Peters in room 48322 on December 23; and with Vice President Rolf Schleicher in building 8000 in the Village on December 26 and 27. Please notify your supervisor of your intent to work on those three days and gain approval. You will still need to submit an Absence Certification Request form for vacation days. Page 1
President’s First Monday Report Issue 19, December 2, 2013 Recovery study continued from page 1 36 percent of the job four most in-demand 2. By 2020, 65 percent of all openings will not competencies in the jobs will require require education labor market. Of all postsecondary education beyond high school. occupations, 96 percent and training beyond high require critical thinking Of the 55 million job openings school. In 1973, workers and active listening to be by 2020, only 7 million (12%) with postsecondary education very important or will require less than a high held only about 28 percent of extremely important to school education; 13 million jobs; by comparison, they success. Seventy (24%) will require a high school held 59 percent of jobs in percent require diploma; 10 million (18%) will 2010 and will hold 65 percent mathematical knowledge require some college but no of jobs in 2020. to be either very degree (roughly half will be 3. There will be 55 million important or extremely certificate earners); 7 million job openings in the important to success. (12%) will require an economy through 2020: 24 Over 60 percent of associate’s degree; 13 million million openings will be occupations require oral (24%) will require a bachelor’s from newly created jobs comprehension to be degree; 6 million (11%) will and 31 million openings either very important or require a master’s degree or will result from baby extremely important to higher. boomer retirements. success. 5. Job openings in 4. By educational 7. The demand for healthcare; community attainment: physical skills has services; and Science, 35 percent of the job continued to decline Technology, Engineering, openings will require at over time, except for and Math (STEM) will least a bachelor’s “near vision,” which is grow the fastest among degree; necessary to read occupational clusters. 30 percent of the job computer screens and 6. Judgment/decision- openings will require other types of making, communications, some college or an documentation. analysis, and associate’s degree; Almost all occupations administration will be the continued on page 3 either very important or extremely Seasonal Fun Facts important to their jobs. 8. The United States will fall short by 5 million workers with New Year’s Ball: postsecondary education – at the current production rate – by Past – The original ball lowered in Times Square on New Year’s Eve back 2020. in 1907 was made of iron and wood and decorated with 100 light bulbs. Both the executive summary and the full report are available at the following website: Present – The modern New Year’s ball is made of Waterford crystal, covered with 696 light bulbs, 96 http://cew.georgetown.edu.recovery.2 strobe lights, and 90 rotating pyramid mirrors. 020 continued on page 3 “Educational Attainment” Page 2
President’s First Monday Report Issue 19, December 2, 2013 Educational Attainment The higher education And students of color.” We continued from page 2 attainment rate of young must meet the needs of these adults (ages 25-34) is a 21st century students to ensure consider “near vision” to be good leading indicator of the growth of California’s either very important or where higher education economy. extremely important to their attainment rates are For California to achieve Goal jobs. headed. In 2011, the rate 2025, our annual targets for 8. The United States will fall was 40.1 percent – almost degree attainment among 25- short by 5 million workers one-and-a-half percentage to-64-year olds should be as with postsecondary points higher than that follows: education – at the current among all adults, and two- 2011 = 38.9 percent production rate – by 2020. and-a-half percentage (actual) Both the executive summary points higher than in 2008. 2013 = 41.9 percent and the full report are available 2015 = 44.9 percent Lumina’s attainment goal at the following website: 2017 = 47.9 percent has always included high http://cew.georgetown.edu.rec value postsecondary 2019 = 51.0 percent overy.2020 certificates, but data on 2021 = 54.0 percent the number of adults 2023 = 57.0 percent Related to the results of the 2025 = 60.0 percent Georgetown study is the annual holding certificates is not report from the Lumina readily available. This To ensure that Goal 2025 is Foundation on progress toward year, however, the first reached, the Lumina their “goal that 60 percent of solid estimates of the Foundation has set ten targets, Americans obtain a high-quality number of high-value or metrics, the nation must hit postsecondary degree or postsecondary certificates by 2016. These ten targets credential by 2025.” This have been produced. They are: Lumina Foundation objective is suggest that an additional 1. 55% = Increase the called “Goal 2025.” The 2013 5 percent of the U.S. adult percentage of Americans annual report is the fourth in population between the who believe increasing their series of annual updates. ages of 25 and 64 hold a higher education The current report updates the postsecondary certificate attainment is necessary educational attainment results with significant economic to the nation to 55 through 2011. The data show value. percent. The baseline the following: The recent increase in number from 2012 was 43 In 2011, the percentage of attainment rates – percent; the 2014 target is Americans between the ages especially among young 48 percent. of 25 and 64 with a two-year adults – is a step in the 2. 67.8% = Increase the or four-year college degree right direction, but we percentage of students was 38.7 percent. This is an must increase attainment who pursue increase from last year’s much more to reach Goal postsecondary education report; in 2010 the 2025. directly from high school attainment rate was 38.3 In addition to the update on to 67.8 percent. In 2009, percent. Overall the U.S. national numbers, the this number was 63.3 attainment rate has been report, which is over 200 percent; the 2012 baseline increasing slowly but steadily; pages in length, includes a number was 62.5 percent; in 2008, it was 37.9 percent, review of the data by state. the 2014 goal is 66.2 and in 2009 it was 38.1 The data for California show percent. percent. our progress over the four 3. 1.3% = Increase the years is virtually flat. The first-time participation percentage of working age rates of older adults to adults 25 to 64 with at least an associate’s degree was 4. Page 3
President’s First Monday Report Issue 19, December 2, 2013 Lumina Foundation Annual Report continued from page 3 1.3 percent. In 2009, this degrees known as the The 2012 baseline number number was 0.9 percent; Associate Degree-Transfer (AD- was 36.3 million; the 2014 the 2012 baseline number T). Currently, 25 AD-Ts [also goal is 36 million. was 1.1 percent; the 2014 known as the Transfer Model 8. 60% = Increase the Curriculum (TMC)] have been goal is 1.2 percent. overall higher education approved by the Academic 4. 3.3 million = Increase completion rate (first- Senate for California higher education time/full-time, within 6 Community Colleges (ASCCC). enrollment among years) to 60 percent. Another 10 TMC degrees are Hispanic students to 3.3 The 2012 baseline number pending approval, including million. In 2009, this was 42 percent; the 2014 three in agriculture areas. In number was 2.4 million; target is 45 percent. addition to these 35 degrees, the 2012 baseline number 9. 48% = Increase the eight more disciplines are in was 2.5 million; the 2014 higher education the process of creating TMCs. goal is 2.9 million. completion rate to 48 These degrees offer the 5. 3.25 million = Increase percent for adult opportunity for California higher education learners (ages 25-64). community colleges to adopt enrollment among The 2012 baseline number up to 43 defined transfer African Americans to was 42 percent; the 2014 pathways to the California 3.25 million. In 2009, this target is 45 percent. State University system. In number was 2.6 million; addition to moving forward with 10. 3 million = Increase the 2012 baseline number the AD-T degrees, State the number of associate was 2.7 million; the 2014 Chancellor Brice Harris and bachelor’s degrees goal is 3 million. convened a task force to awarded annually to 3 6. 22 million = Increase examine the possibilities of million. In 2009, this total higher education California community colleges number was 2.4 million; enrollment by 4 million offering bachelor’s degrees in a the 2012 baseline number students to 22 million. few select disciplines. A further was 2.5 million; the 2014 In 2009, this number was review of the associate degree goal is 2.7 million. 17.6 million; the 2012 transfer and community college I believe these two reports baccalaureate degrees will be baseline number was 18.1 present compelling evidence discussed in a future First million; the 2014 goal is 20 of the need for those of us Monday Report. million. who are privileged to work at 7. 800,000 fewer = Pierce College every day to do Reduce by 800,000 the all we can to ensure our number of working age students graduate with a adults (25-64 years old) degree or certificate. One of with some college and the ways we can accomplish no degree. In 2009, this that goal is through the number was 36.1 million; adoption of the statewide the 2012 baseline number was 36.3 million; the 2014 Page 4
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